Plaintiffs' Motion for Summary Judgment; Affidavits (Redacted)
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April 26, 1988 - August 15, 1988

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Case Files, Chisom Hardbacks. Plaintiffs' Motion for Summary Judgment; Affidavits (Redacted), 1988. d1618e5a-6a4b-ef11-a317-6045bdd88b0e. LDF Archives, Thurgood Marshall Institute. https://ldfrecollection.org/archives/archives-search/archives-item/08c1cbdd-1a92-4399-baaf-de5597758c5d/plaintiffs-motion-for-summary-judgment-affidavits-redacted. Accessed April 06, 2025.
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S. • IN THE UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT FOR THE EASTERN DISTRICT OF LOUISIANA RONALD CHISOM, et al., Plaintiffs-Appellants, V . BUDDY ROEMER, et al., Defendants-Appellees. Civil Action No. 86 '5=16 4-to0' Section A PLAINTIFFS' MOTION FOR SUMMARY JUDGMENT • Pursuant to Fed. R. Civ. P. 56, plaintiffs seek summary judgment on their claim that the present method of electing ,Louisiana Supreme Court Justices from the First Supreme Court District denies them an equal opportunity to elect the candidate of their choice in violation of section 2\ of the Voting Rights Act of 1965 as amended, 42 U.S.C. § 1973. The grounds for this motion are set out in Plaintiffs' Statement Pursuant to this Court's Rule 3.9; in the affidavits attached to this Motion; and in the accompanying Brief in Support of Plaintiffs' Motion for Summary Judgment. WILLIAM P. QUIGLEY 901 Convention Center Blvd. Fulton Place Suite 119 New Orleans, LA 70130 (504) 524-0016 Respectfully submitted, ( -) 4-uoJ 1: a JULIUS L. CHAMBERS CHARLES STEPHEN RALSTON C. LANI GUINIER JUDITH REED 99 Hudson Street, 16th Floor New York, New York 10013 (212) 219-1900 PAMELA S. KARLAN University of Virginia School of Law Charlottesville, VA 22901 (804) 924-7810 ROY RODNEY, JR. 643 Magazine Street New Orleans, LA 70130 (504) 586-1200 Dated: August 15, 1988 2 RON WILSON Richards Building, Suite 310 837 Gravier Street New Orleans, LA 70112 (504) 525-4361 Counsel for Plaintiffs S CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE I hereby certify that on August , 1988, I served copies of the foregoing motion upon the attorneys listed below via United States mail, first class, postage prepaid: William J. Guste, Jr., Esq. Atty. General La. Dept. of Justice 234 Loyola Ave., Suite 700 New Orleans, LA 70112-2096 M. Truman Woodward, Jr., Esq. 1100 Whitney Building New Orleans, LA 70130 Blake G. Arata, Esq. 210 St. Charles Avenue Suite 4000 New Orleans, LA 70170 A. R. Christovich, Esq. , 1900 American Bank Buildihg New Orleans, LA 70130 Moise W. Dennery, Esq. 21st Floor Pan American Life Center 601 Poydras Street New Orleans, LA 70130 Robert G. Pugh 330 Marshall Street, Suite 1200 Shreveport, LA 71101 Robert Berman Civil Rights Division Department of Justice P.O. Box 66128 Washington, D.C. 20035 Peter Butler Butler, Heebe & Hirsch 712 American Bank Building New Orleans, LA 70130 3 Charles A. Kronlage, Jr. 717 St. Charles Avenue New Orleans, LA 70130 Counsel for Plaintiffs 4 , IN THE UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS FOR THE FIFTH CIRCUIT No. 87-3463 RONALD CHISOM, et a • Plaintiffs-Appellants, V. EDWIN EDWARDS, et al., Defendants-Appellees. • • • • • • • • AFFIDAVIT OF DR. RICHARD L. ENGSTROM Richard L. r.r.gztrom, being sworn, deposes and says: 1. I make this affidavit in support of Appellants' Motion for an Injunction Pending Appeals or, in the Alternative, for Issuance of the Mandate. 2. I am currently Research Professor of Political Science at the University of New Orleans, in New Orleans, Louisiana. A • copy of my current curriculum vitae is attached to this affidavit as Appendix A. 3. I have done extensive research into the relationship between electoral structures and the ability of black voters to participate fully in the political process and to elect the candidates of their choiqe. Among my many publications are Engstrom & Wildgen, Pruning Thorns From the Thicket: An Empirical Test of the Existence of Racial Geriormanderinct, 2 Legis. Stud. Q. 465 (1977); Engstrom & McDonald, Ouantitative Evidence in Vote Dilution Litigation: Political Participation and Polarized Voting, 17 Urb. Law. 369 (1985); and Engstrom, The Reincarnation of the Intent Standard: Federal Judges and At-Larae Election Cases, 28 How. L.J. 495 (1985). Each of these was cited with approval in Thornbura V. Gingles, 478 U.S. , 92 L.Ed.2d 25 (1986), the only Supreme Court decision interpreting amended section 2 of the Voting Rights Act. See. e.g., 92 L.Ed.2d at 48, n. 20, 50, 60. 4. I was retained by the plaintiffs in Clark v. Edwards, No. 86-435-A (M.D. La.), to analyze several issues with regard to the opportunities of black voters in Louisiana to participate in the judicial elections process and to elect the candidates of their choice. Among other things, I was asked to examine the results of judicial elections in which black candidates ran to determine whether such elections are racially pOlarized, that is, whether there is "a correlation between the race of voters and the selection of certain candidates." Thornburg V. Gingles, 92 L.Ed.2d at 61. 5. Appellants in this case have asked me to present my findings with regard to the presence of racial polarization in judicial elections conducted within Orleans Parish. 6. I used two complementary methods for determining whether voting was racially polarized--extreme case (or homogeneous precinct) analysis and bivariate ecological regression. These are the methods approved by the Supreme Court in Gingles. 92 L.Ed.2d at 48. A brief summary of the methodology is contained in Appendix B. 2 7. There were 27 separate contests in which Black candidates ran against white opponents. ( In four of those contests, two black candidates competed.) Regression analyses of these elections show that black voters cast a majority of their votes for the black candidates in 24 of the 27 elections. By contrast, white voters preferred white candidates in all 27 contests. The estimates based on extreme case analysis show the same pattern: in 24 of the 27 elections a majority of black voters voted for black candidates, while in all 27 elections a majority of white voters voted for white candidates. The estimated racial divisions in the vote revealed by the regression analyses of these elections, along with the correlation coefficient reflecting the consistency with which the race of the registered voters - in the various- precincts is associated with the vote for •the respective black candidates, are reported in Appendix C, Table 1 and Table 3. The estimated racial divisions in the vote revealed by the extreme case analyses are reported in Appendix C, Table 2 and Table 4. 8. I conclude from my analysis that voting within Orleans Parish in judicial elections reflects racial polarization, as that term is defined in les. Sworn to and subs,cr4bed before me this 4Ir th day of May 1988 3 APPENDIX A VITA March, 1988 RICHARD L. ENGSTROM, Research Professor of Political Science University of New Orleans OFFICE Department of Political Science University of New Orleans Lakefront New .Orleans, LA 70148 HOME Phone: (504) 245-3447 • PERSONAL AND EMPLOYMENT INFORMATION Born May 23, 1946. Married to former Carol L. Verheek. -Four children: Richard Neal, born 3/10/70; Mark Andrew, born 1/14/73; Brad Alan, born 3/31/77; and Amy Min, born 8/18/84. Assistant Professor of Political Science, University of New .Orlaans (formerly Louisiana State University in New Orleans), 1971-1974. Associate Professor of Political Science, University of New Orleans, 1974-1979. Chaiiperson, Department of Political Science, University of New Orleans, 1976-1979. Professor of Political Science, University of New Orleans, 1979- present. Research Professor of Political Science, 1987-present. Fulbright-Hays Professor, National Taiwan University and National Chengchi University, and Visiting Research Fellow, Institute of American Culture, Academic Sinica, Taipei, Taiwan, R.O.C., 1981-82. Fulbright-Hays Professor, University College, Galway, Ireland, 1985- 86. Recipient, UNO Alumni Association's Career Distinction Award for Excellence in Research, December 1985. FORMAL EDUCATION Ph.D., University of Kentucky, 1971 M.A., University of Kentucky, 1969 A.B., Hope College (Holland, Michigan), 1968. (recipient of Class of '65 Political Science Award, 1968. Dr. Richard L. Engstrom Page 2 PRIMARY TEACHING FIELDS Urban Government and Politics, Black Politics, Legislative Process, American Politics. PROFESSIONAL ACTIVITIES Associate Member, Centre for the Study of Irish Elections, University College Galway. Member, Board of Editors /Public Administration Quarterly .1977- present. Member, Editorial Board, Journal of Politics, 1988-present. Member, Board of Editors, State and Local Government Review .1988- 1990. Treasurer, Southwestern Political Science . Association, 1981 (position resigned during term due to Fulbright Lectureship). Member, Nominating Committees / Southern Political Science Association, 1980; Louisiana Political Science Association, 1981. Member /. Chastain Award Committee, Southern Political Science Association, 1978. Member, Program Committee (Urban Politics Section), 1976 Annual Meeting of the Southern Political Science Association, Atlanta, Georgia. Member, Membership Committee, Southwestern Social Science Association, 1973-74. Presented papers at meetings of the American Political Science Association, International Political Science Association, Midwest Political Science Association, Southern Political Science Association, Louisiana Political Science Association, Citadel Symposium on Southern Politics, International Society of Political Psychology, and Harvard University Computer Graphics Week. Chaired panels at meetings of the Southern Political Science Association and American Political Science Association. Served as discussant for panels at meetings of Southwestern Social Science Association; Louisiana Political Science Association; Institute of American Culture, Academic Sinica (Taiwan). Dr. Richard L. Engstrom Page 3 PROFESSIONAL ACTIVITIES - cont'd Reviewed manuscripts for the American Political Science Review, American Journal of Political Science, Journal of ISITEITi, Western Political QuarteiT7,-TUTIFF7SOZITI-Ncience Quarterly, Legislative Studies Quarterly, • American Politics Quarterly, Public Administration Quarterly, National Political Science Review, State and Local Government Review, and Howard University Press. Recipient of grant from Pacific Cultural Foundation, Taipei, Taiwan to support project entitled "The Legislative Yuan: A Study of Legislative Adaptation", (1982). Recipient of grant from private sources, New Orleans, to support a study of mayoral tenure in large American cities (1983). Reviewed grant proposals for National Science Foundation programs in Political Science and Law and Social Sciences, and National,Science Foundation graduate fellowship applications for the. National Research Council. COMMUNITY AND UNIVERSITY SERVICE Chairperson, Taskforce'on Civil Service, Mayor-Elect Ernest Morial's Transition Office (New Orleans), 1977-78. Chairperson, Search Committee for Vice Chancellor for Research and Graduate Studies and Dean of the Graduate School, 1987-88. Chairperson, Search Committee for Graduate Dean, UNO, 1978-79. Member, University Budget Committee, UNO, 1983-84. Member, Graduate Council', UNO, 1975-76. • Member, Liberal Arts Advisory Committee, UNO, 1975-76, 1982-84. Member, Academic Planning Committee, UNO, 1982-1988. Member, Faculty Council Committee on Faculty Honors, UNO, 1985-1990. Member, Committee on Research, UNO Self-Study, 1972-73; 1982-83. Member, Dean's Advisory Committee on Academic Planning, College of Liberal Arts, UNO, 1983-84. Member, University Senate, UNO, 1975-77; 1980-81; 1983-85. Dr. Richard L. Engstrom Page 4 UNIVERSITY AND UNIVERSITY SERVICE - cont'd Member, •Steering Committee, Legal Division, New Orleans Chapter, American Foundation for Negro Affairs, 1977-79. Vice President, 1975-76, and Member of the Board, 1976-77 and 1977- 78, Diversity's Gallery: A Foundation for the Arts (New Orleans). Service as expert witness in numerous vote dilution cases in federal courts. Employed by the United States Department of Justice, Lawyers' Committee for Civil Rights Under Law, NAACP Legal Defense Fund, Center for Constitutional Rights, and other organizations and plaintiffs. Numerous presentations before groups such as the Louisiana Municipal Association; League of Women Voters; Public Policy Forums at Southern University in Baton Rouge; Louisiana Municipal Clerks Institute; (La.) Black Legislative Caucus Institute; Robert A. Taft Institute of Government Seminars, Southern University; Special Committee on . Elective Law and Voter Participation, American .par Association; .Subcommittee on Civil and Constitutional Law, United States House of Representatives Committee on the Judiciary; Institute of American Culture, Academic Sinica. (Taiwan); Foundation for Scholarly Exchange (Taiwan), University College Galway, University College Dublin, Queen's university of Belfast, University of Keele, APSA Summer Institute for Black Students, College of William and Mary, and Sangamon State University. REFERENCES Dr. Robert E. Darcy, Department of Political Science, Oklahoma State University, Stillwater, Oklahoma 74074 Dr. Michael D. McDonald, Department of Political Science, State University of New York at Binghamton, Binghamton, NY 13901 Dr. Robert B. Thigpen, Department of Political Science, University of New Orleans, New Orleans, LA 70148 Dr. Jewel Prestage, Department of Political Science, Southern University, Baton Rouge, LA 70813 Dr. David W. Neubauer, Department of Political Science, University of New Orleans, New Orleans, LA 70148 Dr. Richard L. Engstrom Page 5 CURRENT RESEARCH ' "Council Size and the Election of Blacks from Single-Member Districts: Clarifying an Apparent Inconsistency Between Theory and Data" (with Michael D. McDonald). Initial draft presented at the XIIIth World Congress of the International Political Science Association, Paris, France, 1985. "At-Large Plus: The Impact of Anti-Single Shot Voting Rules and Staggered Terms on Black Councilmanic Representation" (with Michael D. McDonald). "The Politics of PR: Electoral Manipulation and Reform in Ireland" (in progress). "Cumulative Voting as a Remedy for Minority Vote Dilution: The Case of Alamogardo, New Mexico." "Minority Representation and Councilmanic Election Systems A Bleck and Hispanic Comparison," for inclusion in volume edited by Anthony Messina, Laurie Rhodebeck, Frederick Wright, and Luis R. Fraga. Dr.* Richard L. Engstrom — ' Page 1 PUBLICATIONS MONOGRAPHS Home Rule for Louisiana Parishes (Baton Rouge: Police Jury Association of Louisiana and Governmental Services Institute, Louisiana State University, 1974). Municipal Home. Rule in Louisiana (Baton Rouge: Louisiana Municipal Association and Governmental Services Institute, Louisiana State University, 1974). Municipal Government Within the 1974 Louisiana Constitution: A Reference .Guide for MUEIETTir75ffiFigls Baton. Rouge: Louisiana Municipal Associati3E and Governmental Services Institute, Louisiana State University, 1975). Louisiana Mayor's Handbook (Baton Rouge: Louisiana Municipal Association and Governmental Services Institute, Louisiana State University, 1977), (with Edward Clynch and Konrad Kressley1„. Mayoral Tenure in Large American Cities (New Orleans: School of Urban and Regional Studies, University of New Orleans-, 1983). ARTICLES, RESEARCH NOTES AND BOOK CHAPTERS "Statutory Restraints on Administrative Lobbying -- 'Legal Fiction', Journal of Public Law, Vol. 19, No. 1 (1970), 90-103 (with Thomas G. WaiRe1)7---Reprinted in Dennis Ippolito and Thomas Walker (eds.), Reform and Responsiveness: Readings in American Politics (New York: St. Martin's Press, Inc., 1972), pp. 428-438. "Race and Compliance: Differential Political Socialization," Polity, 3 (Fall 1970), 100-111. Reprinted in Charles S. Bullock, III, and Harrell Rogers, Jr. (eds.), Black Political Attitudes: Implications for Political Support (Chicago: Markham PubilTEIET53., 1972), pp. 33-44. "Political Ambitions and the Prosecutorial Office," Journal of Politics, 33 (February 1971), 190-194. "Life-Style and Fringe Attitudes Toward the Political Integration of Urban Governments," Midwest Journal of Political Science 15 (August 1971), 475-494 (with W.E. Lyons "Expectations and Images: A Note on Diffuse Support for Legal Institutions," Law and Society Review, 6 (May 1972), 631-636 (with Michael W. Giles). Dr. Richard L. Engstrom Page 2 ARTICLES, RESEARCH NOTES, AND BOOK CHAPTERS - cont'd "Black Control or Consolidation:The Fringe Response," Social Science' Quarterly, 53 (June 1972), 161-167 (with W.E. Lyons). "Life-Style and Fringe Attitudes Toward the Political Integration of Urban Governments: A Comparison of Survey Findings," American Journal of Political Science, 17 (February 1973), 182-188 (with W.E. Lyons "Racial Gerrymandering and Southern State Legislative Redistricting: Attorney General Determinations Under the Voting Rights Act," Journal of Public Law, Vol. 22, No. 1 (1973), 37-66 (with Stanley A. UTTFIR7 . )7---- "Socio-Political Cross Pressures and Attitudes Toward Political Integration of Urban Governments," Journal of Politics, 35 (August 1973), 682-711 (with W.E. Lyons). "Candidate Attraction to the Politicized Councilmanic Office: A Note on New Orleans," Social Science Quarterly, 55 (March 1975), 975-982 (with James N. Pezant). "Home Rule in Louisiana -- Could This Be The Promised Land?," Louisiana History, 17 (Fall 1976), 431-45. "Judicial Activism and the Problem of Gerrymandering," in Randall B. Ripley and Grace A. Franklin (eds.), National Government and Public Policy in the United States (Itasca, Peacock Publishers, Inc., 1977) , pp. 239-244. "The Supreme Court and Equi-Populous Gerrymandering: A Remaining Obstacle in the Quest for Fair and Effective Representation," Arizona State Law Journal, Vol. 1976, No. 2 (1977), 277-319. Cited extensively in Karcher v. Daggett, U.S. (1983) (by J. Stevens, concurring, and J. White, dissenting "State Centralization Versus Home Rule: A Note on Ambition Theory's Powers Proposition," Western Political Quarterly 30 (June 1977), 288-294 (with Patrick F. O'Connor). "Pruning Thorns from the Thicket:- An Empirical Test of the Existence of Racial Gerrymandering," Legislative Studies Quarterly, 2 (November 1977) 465-479 (with John K. Wildgen). Cited extensively in Thornburg v. pingles,, U.S. (1986) (by J. Brennan). "Racial Vote Dilution: Supreme Court Interpretations of Section 5 of the Voting Rights Act," Southern University Law Review, 4 (Spring 1978), 139-164. • Dr. Richard L. Engstrom Page 3 ARTICLES, RESEARCH NOTES, AND BOOK CHAPTERS - cont'd "The Political Behavior of Lawyers in the. Louisiana House of Representatives," Louisiana Law Review 39 (Fall 1978), 43-79 (with Patrick F. O'Connor, Justin J. Green, and Chong Lim Kim). "Restructuring the Regime: Support for Change Within the Louisiana Constitutional Convention," Polity 11 (Spring 1979), 440-451 with Patrick F. O'Connor). "The Hale Boggs Gerrymander: Congressional Redistricting, 1969," Louisiana History, 21 (Winter 1980), 59-66. "Lawyer-Legislators and Support for State Legislative Reform," Journal of Politics, 42 (February 1980), 267-276 (with Patrick F. O'Connor). "Racial Discrimination in the Electoral Process: The Voting Rights Act and the Vote Dilution Issue," in Robert P. Steed, Lawrence.W. Moreland, and Tod A. Baker, (eds.), Party Politics in the South (New York: Praeger Publishing, 1980),. pp. 197-213. "Spatial Distribution of Partisan Support and the Seats/Votes Relationship," Legislative Studies Quarterly, 5 (August 1980), 423- 435 (with John K. Wildgen). 1 "Computer Graphics and Political Cartography: ASPEX of Gerrymandering," in Computer Mapping 'Applications in Urban, State, and Federal Government, Plus Computer Graphics in Education, Vol. 16, Harvard Library of Computer Graphics, 198T—Mapping Collection (Cambridge, Mass.: Laboratory for Computer Graphics and Spatial Analysis, Harvard University, 1981), pp. 51-57 (with John K. Wildgen). "The Election of Blacks to City Councils: Clarifying the Impact of Electoral Arrangements on the Seats/Population Relationship," American Political Science Review, 75 (June 1981), 344-354 (with Michael D. McDonald). "Post-Census Representational Districting: The Supreme Court, 'One Person, One Vote,' and the Gerrymandering Issue," Southern University Law Review, 7 (Spring .1981), 173-226. "Municipal Government," in James Bolner (ed.), Louisiana Politics: Festival in a Labyrinth (Baton Rouge: Louisiana State University Press, 1982), pp. 181-219. "The 1980 Election and the Realignment Thesis: A Note of Caution," American Studies (Mei-kuo-Yen-chiu), 12 (June 1982), 107-132. Dr. Richard L. Engstrom' Page 4 ARTICLES, RESEARCH NOTES, AND BOOK CHAPTERS - cont'd "Racial Vote Dilution and the 'New' Equal Protection Clause: City of Mobile V. Bolden," American Studies (Mei-kuo-Yen-chiu) 12 September 1982), 25-72. "The Underrepresentation of Blacks on City Councils: Comparing the Structural and Socioeconomic Explanations. for South/Non-South Differences," Journal of Politics, 44 (November 1982), 1088-1099 (with Michael D. McDonald). "The Impact of the 1980 Supplementary Election on Nationalist China's Legislative Yuan," Asian Survey, 24 (April 1984), 447-458 (with Chu Chi-hung). "The Marginality Hypothesis and the State Legislative Salary Issue," Southeastern Political Review, 13 (Spring 1985), 169-182 (with Patrick F. O'Connor "Racial Vote Dilution: The Concept and the court," in Lorn Foster (ed.), The Voting Rights Act: Consequences and Implications (New York: Praeger Publishers, 1985), pp. 13-43. "Quantitative Evidence in Vote - Diluticon Litigation: Political Participation and Polarized Voting," Urban Lawyer, 17 (Summer 1985), 369-377 (with Michael D. McDonald). Cited in Thornburg V. Gingles, U.S. (1986) (by J. Brennan). • "The Reincarnation of the Intent Standard: Federal Judges and At- Large Election Cases," Howard Law Journal 28 (No 2, 1985), 495-513. Cited in Thornburg v. Tiirg-rgs, U.S. (1986) (by J. Brennan). Abbreviated version appeared in iFocri— riiine, 1985). (Focus is a monthly publication of the Joint Center for Political Studies in Washington, D.C.). "The Effect of At-Large Versus District Elections on Racial Representation in U.S. Municipalities," in Bernard Grofman and Arend Lijphart (eds.), Electoral Laws and Their Political Consequences (New York: Agathon Press, Inc., 1986), pp. 203-225 (with Michael D. McDonald). "Repairing the Crack in liew Orleans' Black Vote: VRA's Results Test Nullifies 1Gerryduck'," Publius 16(Fall 1986), 109-121. "Quantitative Evidence in Vote Dilution Litigation, Part II: Minority Coalitions and Multivariate Analysis," Urban Lawyer 19(Winter 1987), 65-75 (with Michael D. McDonald). "District Magnitudes and the Election of Women to the Irish Dail," Electoral Studies, 6 (August 1987), 123-132. • Dr. Richard L. Engstrom Page 5 ARTICLES3 RESEARCH NOTES L AND BOOK CHAPTERS - cont'd "The .Election of Blacks to Southern City. Councils: The Dominant Impact of Electoral Arrangements," in Laurence W. Moreland,. Robert P. Steed, and Tod A. Baker (eds.) Black Politics in the South (New York: Praeger Publishers, 1987), pp. 245-258 (with Michael D. McDonald). • "Race, Referendums, and Rolloff" Journal of Politics 49 -(November 1987), 1081-1092 (with Jim M. Vande-aggUW. "Definitions, Measurements, and Statistics: Weeding Wildgen's Thicket," Urban Lawyer 20(Winter 1988), 175-191 (with Michael D. McDonald). "The Desirability Hypothesis and the Election of Women to City Councils," State and Local Government Review 20 (Winter 1988), 38-40 (with Michael D. McDonald and Bih-Er dHEU)7- "nack Politics and the Voting Rights Act(s): 1965-1982,"_in,James, Lea (ed.), Contemporary Southern Politics: Continuity and Change (Baton Rouge: Louisiana State UniveMITTiess, (forthcoming). "Detecting Gerrymandering," in Bernard Grofman (ed.), Toward Fair and Effective Representation: Political Gerrymandering and -EF-e- • Courts forthcomillg) (with Michael D. McDonald). • "Race and Representational Districting: Protections Against Delineational and Institutional Gerrymandering" Comparative State Politics Newsletter (forthcoming, special issue). BOOK REVIEWS Review of John Wilson Lewis (ed.), THE CITY IN COMMUNIST CHINA, in Journal of Politics, 34 (February 1972), 310-311. Review of Arthur I. Blaustein and Geoffrey Faux, THE STAR-SPANGLED HUSTLE: WHITE POWER AND BLACK CAPITALISM in Wall Street Review of Books, 1 (June 1973), 215-229. Review of Carroll Smith Rosenberg, RELIGION AND THE RISE OF THE AMERICAN CITY: THE NEW YORK CITY MISSION MOVEMENT, 1812-1870, in Christian Scholar's Review, Vol. 4, No. 1 (1974), 73-75. Review of Charlie Brower, ME, AND OTHER ADVERTISING GENIUSES, in Wall Street Review of Books, 2 (September 1974), 226-227. Dr. Richard L. Engstrom Page 6 BOOK REVIEWS - cont'd Review of Robert Higgs, COMPETITION AND COERCION, BLACKS IN THE AMERICAN ECONOMY, 1865-1914, in Wall Street Review of Books,- -6 (Spring 1978), 117-119. Review of Herbert E. Alexander, Alexander, FINANCING POLITICS: REFORM, in Wall Street Review 91 Review of James M. Buchanan and DEFICIT: THE POLITICAL LEGACY OF of Books, 6 (Fall 1978), 319-320. Review of American Enterprise Institute for Public Policy Research, ZERO-BASE BUDGETING AND SUNSET LEGISLATION, in Wall Street Review of Books, 7 (Winter 1979), 53-55. Review of David Rogers, CAN BUSINESS MANAGEMENT SAVE THE CITIES? THE CASE OF NEW YORK, in Wall Street Review 91 Books, 7 (Spring 1979), 75-77. MONEY IN POLITICS, and Herbert E. MONEY, ELECTIONS, AND POLITICAL Books, 6 (Summer . 1978), 209-211. . Richard E. Wagner, DEMOCRACY IN LORD KEYNES, in Wall Street Review Review of Kevin R. Cox and R.. J. Johnston.(eds.), CONFLICT, AND THE URBAN SCENE, in American Political Science Review, 1984), 531-532. Review of Manuel Carballo and Mary Jo Bane POOR IN THE 1980s, in American Political Science Review, 79 (June 1985), 523-524. Review of Terry Sanford, A DANGER TO DEMOCRACY: THE PRESIDENTIAL NOMINATING PROCESS, in Presidential Studies Quarterly, 16 (Winter 1986), 153-155. Review of Charles W. 'Whalen, Jr., THE HOUSE AND FOREIGN POLICY: THE IRONY OF CONGRESSIONAL REFORM, in Presidential Studies Quarterly, 16 (Spring 1986), 369-371. Review of Arend Lijphart and Bernard Grofman ELECTORAL SYSTEM: ISSUES AND ALTERNATIVES, in (1986), 125-127. POLITICS 78 (June (eds.), THE STATE AND THE Review of David McKay, AMERICAN POLITICS AND Studies Quarterly 17(Fall 1987), 784-785. Review of Sheila D. Collins, THE RAINBOW CHALLENGE: THE JACKSON CAMPAIGN AND THE FUTURE OF AMERICAN POLITICS, in Presidential Studies Quarterly (forthcoming). (eds.), -CHOOSING AN Irish Political Studies, SOCIETY, in Presidential • APPENDIX B • :.•••• METHODOLOGY Extreme Case Analysis Extreme case analysis is based on racially "homogeneous" precincts (in this analysis, precincts in which at least 90% of the registered voters are of one racial group or the other). Reported in the tables are simply the percentage of the votes cast within each group of homogeneous precincts (black or white) that were cast in support of the black candidate. Bivariate Ecological Regression Bivariate ecological regression provides estimates of the same behavior, but employs data for all precincts, not just those that are racially homogeneous. The figures reported in the tables are based on the empirical reationship between the percentage of registered voters in every precinct and .(1) the percentage of registered voters in every precinct voting for the black candidate(s) and (2) the percentage voting for white candidate(s). By examining two summary statistics through which these empirical relationships are expressed -- the intercept and the regression coefficient -- it is possible to estimate the percentage of both white and black registered voters who voted in a particular election, and also the percentage of the votes cast by each racial group that were cast in favor of a particular candidate. Each analysis has been weighted to reflect the different number of registered voters within each precinct. For a more detailed explanation of this estimation procedure (which was employed by the plaintiffs! *expert witness in the Gingles case), see Grofman, Migalski, and Noviello, "The Totality of Circumstances Test" in Section 2 of the 1982 Extension of the Voting Rights Act: A Social Science Perspective, 7 Law and Policy 119, 202-205 (1985) (cited in Thornburg V. Gingles, 106 S.Ct. 2752 2768 (1986)), or Grofman, An Outline for Racial Bloc Voting , . Analysis, Plaintiffs Exhibit 12, at 1-5, Gingles v. Edniisten, 590 F. Supp. 345 (E.D.N.C. 1984) (three-judge court). APPENDIX C TABLE. 1 Correlation Coefficients and Regression Estimate; of Racial Divisions in the Votes for Black Candidates Date of Election 9/16/78 3/3/79 4/7/79 (runoff) .'2/6/82 3/20/82 (runoff) 6/18/83 9/29/84 11/6/84 (runoff) 2/1/86 3/1/86 10/24/87 District (Parishes) Orleans Crim. Magistr. Orleans Civil H Orleans Civil H Orleans Criminal Orleans Criminal I Orleans Civil D Orleans Civil F Orleans Civil I Orleans Criminal B Orleans Criminal B Orleans Civil F Orleans Criminal Orleans Civil F Black Cand. Wilson Ortique Correlation % of Blacks' % of Whites' Votes Coefficientl Votes .883 32.0 2.0 .829 96.7 Ortique* .8'71 98.8 • • • .•'•••••-•••••••••••••.... • ...•. • t. ••; Julien Wilson .834 -.866 41.02 31.3 Julien .962 88.1 Davis Dorsey Johnson* Douglas. Douglas Magee Wilkerson .865 . 97.0 .686 51.6 .858 85.2 .887 74.2 • .959 88.3 .930 -.534 75.3 21.8 Blanchard .855 74.7 Magee* .953 92.3 4th Cir. Ct. Douglas .672 54.0 App., Orleans Indicates candidates who were elected. 13.8 13.0 5.0 3,2 16.3 6.6 23.2 30.1 7.2 10.9 9.3 34.6 15.0 12.8 22.2 1 All correlation coefficients reflect a statistically significant relationship between the racial composition of precincts and the vote for the black candidate. 2 The black candidate received a plurality of the votes cast by black voters. • TABLE 2 . • •• ' • Date of Election .9/16/78 3/3/79 4/7/79 (runoff) 2/6/82 3/20/82 (runoff) 6/18/83 9/29/84 11/6/84 (runoff) 2/1/86 3/1/86 10/24/87 Extreme Case Estimates of Racial Divisions in the Vote for Black Candidates District (Parishes) Orleans Crim. Magistr. Orleans Civil H Orleans Civil H • Orleans Criminal Orleans Criminal I Orleans Civil D Orleans Civil F Orleans _Civil I Orleans Criminal B Orleans Criminal B Orleans Civil F Orleans Criminal J1/2 Orleans Civil F 4th Cir. Ct. App., Orleans Black Cand. • Wilson Ortique •Ort4AVe Julien Wilson Julien Davis Dorsey Johnson* Douglas Douglas Magee Wilkerson •% of Blacks' % of Whites' Votes Votes 30.1 • . 89.2 5.5 39.7 29.5 86.2 93.0 51.4 84.6 71.9 85.7 72.8 21.3 Blanchard 73.5 Magee* 88.8 50.9 Douglas Indicates candidates who were elected. 2.4 5.9 3.6 18.2 9.1 23.3 31.8 7.4 11.5 9.8 32.7 16.1 12.6 20.8 Table 3 'Correlation Coefficients and Regression Estimates . of Racial Divisions in the Vote for Black Candidates i 'Parish.and'Municipal;-Level.:Courts . • Date of Election .9/16/78 Court Black Correlation % of Blacks' % of Whites' Candidate Coefficient Votes Votes • juvenile Court B, Or4eans: Parish, —Douglw Young 10/27/79 Juvenile Court E, Orleans. Parish Young -First City Court Ci New Orleans Pharr 12/8/79 (Runoff) Juvenile Court E, Orleans Parish Young 9/13/80 First City Court A, New Orleans Young 11/4/80 (Runoff) First City Court A, New Orleans Young 10/17/81 First City Court C, New Orleans Thomas 9/29/84 Juvenile Court A, Orleans Parish Gray Dannel Juvenile Court C, Orleans Parish Young 11/6/84 (Runoff) Juvenile Court A, Orleans Parish Gray* 9/27/86 Juvenile Court D, Orleans Parish Dannel Municipal Court, New Orleans McConduit 11/4/86 Municipal Court, New Orleans McConduit* • .911 ...... 574 .799 .933 64.7 • • *: : 3.0 1.7 4.5 .525 6.1 1.6 .863 79.5 25.3 .894 72.2 • 3.9 .974 91.7' 151 .823 93.5 '16. .916 .052 .884 68.9 19.7 46.22 9.8 18.7 4:7 .961 95.7 16.2 .831 84.1 21.0 .859 71,2 11.9 .898 . 84.4 26.5 *Indicates candidates who were elected. 1. All correlation coefficients reflect a st atistically significant relationship between the racial composition of precincts and the vote for the black candidate except that for Dannel in the 1984 Juvenile Court, Division A election in Orleans Parish. 2. The black candidates received a plurality of the votes cast by black voters. • Table 4 Extreme Case Estimates of .Racial Divisions in the Vote for Black Candidates . . Parish and Municipal-Level Courts Date of Black % of Blacks' % of Whites' Election Court Candidate Votes Votes 9116/72 • • :Juvenile Court . B,. Orleans Parish Douglas - 53.8 . Young 21.8 2.0 10/27/79 Juvenile-Court E, . Orleans Parish Young 61.8 . • First City Court C, New Orleans Pharr 5.6 1.6 . 12/8/79 (Runoff) Juvenile Court E, Orleans Parish Young 77.5 26.4 9/13/80 First City Court A, New Orleans Young 67.6 5.1 11/4/80 (Runoff) First City Court A, New Orleans . Young 89.0 17.2 10/17/81 First City Court C, '\ New Orleans Thomas ' 86.6 17 .9 9/29/84 Juvenile Court A, Orleans Parish Gray 67.3 10 .6 Dannel 19.8 19.1 Juvenile Court C, Orleans Parish Young 44.81 11/6/84 (Runoff) Juvenile Court A, Orleans Parish 9/27/86 Juvenile Court D, Orleans Parish Municipal Court, New Orleans 11/4/86 - (Runoff) Municipal Court, New Orleans 4.6 Gray* 92.9 17.7 Dannel 80.5 20.0 McConduit 67.2 11.2 McConduit* 81.7 27.5 *Indicates candidates who were elected. 1. The black candidates received a plurality of the votes cast by black voters. United States of America State of Louisiana Parish of Orleans AFFIDAVIT BEFORE ME, personally came and appeared: PAUL R, VALTEAU, JR. who, after being by me first duly sworn, did depose and say: I am a lifelong resident of New Orleans, Louisiana. I attended Dillard University in pursuit of my undergraduate degree and did graduate-in 1969. Subsequently I enrolled at the Loris University School of Law and received my Juris Doctor in 1972. In 1982 I sought the office of Civil Sheriff for the Parish of Orleans and was successful. However, this was not my earnest, nor only experience with the election process in this part of our state. I am convinced that the only place that a Black candidate has a "fair opportunity" to be elected to public office is In Orleans Parish. I say only "fair" opportunity because I know that it is very difficult for a candidate who happens to be Black to raise money and to secure a broad base of support, even in this parish. I further declare that it is virtually impossible to elect a Black person who is required to seek office from a multi-parish district. S • I am advised that a bill has been introduced in the current session of the Louisiana Legislature which, would create a separate Orleans Parish Supreme Court District. In view of all of the above, I respectfully urge the Court to enjoin the upcoming Supreme Court election until this Court can act or our Louisiana Legislature has acted in keeping with current federal jurisprudence. SWORN TO AND SUBSCRIBED BEFORE ME THIS 26TH DAY OF APRIL, 1988. IN THE . UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS. FOR THE FIFTH CIRCUIT No. 87-3463 RONALD CHISOM, et al., Plaintiffs-Appellants, V. EDWIN EDWARDS, et al., Defendants-Appellees. AFFIDAVIT OF SILAS LEE. III . STATE OF LOUISIANA ) PARISH OF ORLEANS ) SS: SILAS LEE, III, being duly sworn,, deposes and says: 1. I make this affidavit in support of appellants' Motion for a Preliminary Injunction or, in the Alternative, for Issuance of the Mandate. 2. I am president of Silas Lee and Associates, a public opinion, research and consulting firm in New Orleans, Louisiana, and Richmond Virginia. Silas Lee and Associates engages in consulting for numerous businesses, retail and fast food corporations, government agencies, broadcasting stations, newspapers, politicians, and banks. It also publishes numerous studies, polls, and commentaries, which have appeared in the New Orleans Times-Picayune, USA Today, the Louisiana Weekly, the Nevada .Journ 1, U.S*.- News :and World Repot, Ebony,. .and CBS.. Evening News, among others. 3. I am a sociology instruction in the Loyola University Upward Board Program and a member of the National Association of Political Consultants. I have been served as an expert on the social and economic status of blacks in America and on public opinion research in connection with judicial proceedings. 4. The demographic character of the New Orleans metropolitan area means that a district that includes both the city and suburban parishes submerges the city's predominantly black electorate within a larger group of white voters. The racial breakdown of voters within the four-parish area as of March 31, 1987, according to the Louisiana Elections Commissioner, is as follows: . Parish Total White Black % Black Voters Orleans _. 251.359 118.232 131.726 52.4 • Jefferson 199.534 174,742 , i 23,825 11.9 St. Bernard 40,086 38.508 1.577 03.9 Plaquemines 15.198 11,376 2,825 18.6 TOTAL 506,177 342,858 159,953 31.6 Thus, although the black community in New Orleans has an excellent opportunity to elect the candidate it prefers in an Orleans Parish-only contest, the black community forms only one- third of the electorate in a four-parish race. The prevalence of racial bloc voting, and the overwhelming refusal of white 2 , suburban voters to support black candidates makes• it Virtually impossible for a black candidate to win in the present First Supreme Court District. 5. Judicial contests have traditionally involved expensive campaigns. A successful campaign within Orleans Parish alone may cost more than $100,000. In addition, judicial races • traditionally have been low visibility races without tremendous voter interest. 6. In contrast to white candidates, most black candidates • lack the personal financial resources to underwrite a significant portion of their campaign. 7. In my opinion as a political consultant, I believe that the chance that a black candidate could win a seat on the Louisiana Supreme Court from the First Judicial .District in its present form is nonexistent. 1/4\ 8. It would be possible, however, for a black candidate to win election from a district containing only Orleans Parish. Black candidates have consistently achieved election to Parish- wide office within Orleans Parish. This reasonable chance of success would make fundraising and attracting media exposure and support substantially easier. 9. The logistics of a judicial race require that a candidate begin the planning process long before the actual election. In my opinion, a black candidate would not be able to compete effectively for a Supreme Court seat unless he made the decision to run at least six months prior to the election date. 3 to... I therefore believe that ,the scheduled election for a - seat from the First Supreme Court District should be enjoined because, even if the district were to be redrawn later this spring to include only Orleans Parish, it would be difficult, if not impossible, for a black candidate to mobilize financial and political support in the short time remaining before the October. 1, 1988, election. Sworn to and SubscAbed Before me this ,7" day of May 1988. "IP 4 IN THE UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS FOR THE FIFTH CIRCUIT No. 87-3463 RONALD CHISOM, et a .1 Plaintiffs-Appellants, V. EDWIN EDWARDS, et a./ Defendants-Appellees. X • • X AFFIDAVIT OF REVIUS 0. ORTIOUE, JR. STATE OF LOUISIANA ) 'PARISH OF ORLEANS ) SS: REVIUS O. ORTIQUE, JR.; being duly Sworn, deposes and says.: 1. I make this affidavit in support of appellants' Motion for an Injunction Pending Appeal or, in the Alternative, for Issuance of the Mandate. 2. I am a black citizen of the United States and a resident of New Orleans, Louisiana. 3. I am registered to vote in Orleans Parish, Louisiana. 4. I was admitted to the bar of Louisiana in 1956. I am also admitted to practice in the United States Supreme Court, the United States Court of Appeals for the Fifth Circuit, and the United States District Court for the Eastern District of Louisiana. 5. In 1979, I was selected by the Louisiana Supreme•Court to serve as Judge Ad Hoc• for the Civil District Court for Orleans Parish. Six months later, I was elected, in a city-wide election, to the position of Judge, Division H of the Civil District Court for Orleans Parish. In 1984, I was re-elected without opposition to a six-year term. The court on which I presently sit is the trial court of general jurisdiction in Orleans Parish. 6. In my contested race, the vast bulk of my financial support, as well as the majority of the votes I received, came from the black community. 7. I have seriously considered running for the Louisiana Supreme Court from the First Supreme Court District. I believe, however, that the current configuration of the district effectively prevents any black candidate trom being successful. White voters outnumber black voters by a substantial margin due to the inclusion of the suburbs and Orleans Parish in one multi- member district. Moreover; suburban white voters simply will not support a black candidate. Thus, under the present scheme, I will not run. Nor do I know of any other black candidate with a broad base of support in the black community who would undertake the clearly futile attempt to achieve election from the First Supreme Court District. 8. I am deterred' from running by the current configuration of the First Supreme Court District. If, however, a Supreme Court district were to be created that contained only Orleans 2 •• Parish, I would run.. Such a district would offer the black community an excellent opportunity to elect the candidate of its • choice, because blacks constitute a majority of the registered voters in Orleans Parish. Indeed, I myself have already' successfully sought election to a judicial position from an Orleans Parish jurisdiction. • •. 9. My substantial experience as a successful candidate for judicial elections within Orleans Parish and my knowledge of judicial election campaigns generally has shown me that fundraising by judicial candidates is heavily , dependent on the - perceptions of potential contributors regarding the likelihood of success. Thus, just as the present district configuration • dampens campaign contributions to black candidates, an Orleans Parish-only district would encourage such contributions. The same is true of political stpport and end9rsements: now, such support or indorsements are rendered futile by the demographic characteristics of the First Supreme Court District, but in a racially fair plan, such support would be forthcoming for black candidates. 10. An effective campaign for judicial office requires longer "lead time" than effective campaigns for many other offices. Based on my experience and personal knowledge, I think an effective campaign for the Supreme Court requires nine to eighteen months. This time is necessary to develop and obtain endorsements from organizations, elected officials, and the media; raise funds; and reach the public. Thus, if the upcoming 3 : • election were to go forward, it .would be impossible for a black *. candidate to mount an effective campaign. 11. My experience as a candidate for judicial office has shown me that incumbency is a tremendous advantage. Thus, in my opinion, allowing the election to go forward as scheduled and then scheduling a special election.would, disdvantage a black. candidate who chose to contest a fairly districted seat at such a special election. Sworn to and Subscribed Before me this A; day of May 1988 • Notary Public . 4 IN THE UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS FOR THE FIFTH CIRCUIT No. 87-3463 RONALD CHISOM, et al., Plaintiffs-Appellants, V. EDWIN EDWARDS, et al., Defendants-Appellees. • f • • AFFIDAVIT OF ISRAEL M. AUGUSTINE, JR. STATE OF LOUISIANA ) PARISH OF ORLEANS ) says: SS: ISRAEL M. AUGUSTINE, JR., being duly sworn, deposes and 1. I make this affidavit in support of appellants' Motion for an Injunction Pending Appeal or, in the Alternative, for Issuance of the Mandate. 2. I am a black citizen of the United States and a lifelong resident of New Orleans, Louisiana. 3. I am registered to vote in Orleans Parish, Louisiana. 4. I was admitted to the bar in 1952. 5. In 1969, I was appointed a judge of the Criminal Distict Court for Orleans Parish. 6. In 1970, I successfully sought reelection, as an incumbent, to that position. I continued to serve as a judge on - the Criminal District Court until 1981. 7. In running for reelection, it was necessary for me to raise significant campaign contributions. Moreover, due to the refusal of a significant number of white voters to support any black candidates, I was able to win solely because I was seeking election from a district which was predominantly black. 8. In 1981, I was elected to the Fourth Circuit Court of Appeal, on which I served until my voluntary retirement in 1984. Again, it was necessary for me to raise substantial campaign funds. Again, I believe I was able to win solely because the district in which I ran was predominantly black. 9. In both of my contested races, I received most of my financial and political support from the black community. 10. Based on my substantial experienFe as a successful candidate for judicial elections within Orleans Parish and my knowledge of voting patterns in Orleans Parish and its surrounding suburbs, I do not believe that a black candidate has any chance of winning election from the First Supreme Court District as it is now constituted. Moreover, I believe that the virtually impossibility of success prevents black candidates from attracting the kind of financial support and political backing necessary for running a serious campaign. 11. On the other hand, I believe a black candidate would stand an excellent chance of being elected to the Supreme Court from a district entirely within Orleans Parish if that candidate 2 was the choice of the black .community. :And the. possibility. of success would both attract highly qualified candidates to run and galvanize financial and, political support behind such a candidate. • 12. Based on my experience as a candidate for judicial office and my general knowledge of campaign logistics in Orleans Parish, I do not think, however, that such a-campaign can be mounted in time to contest seriously the seat now scheduled to be filled in the October 1, 1988, election. More time would be needed to do the financial and political groundwork necessary for a viable campaign. 13. Finally, I believe that providing black voters with an equal opportunity to elect the candidate of their choice to the Supreme Court would serve two critical interests. First, it would reinforce public confidence in the 9mmitment of the Court to provide equal justice .for all citizens. Second, it would send a powerful message to all citizens, particularly minority youths, that they can participate effectively in every aspect of the electoral system and can aspire to service in every governmenta position. Sworn to and Suqpribed Before me this at day of May 1988 . 3 ..• Notary Public 4