League of United Latin American Citizens (LULAC), Council #4434 v. Mattox Memorandum Opinion and Order
Public Court Documents
November 8, 1969

Cite this item
-
Brief Collection, LDF Court Filings. League of United Latin American Citizens (LULAC), Council #4434 v. Mattox Memorandum Opinion and Order, 1969. b1346ec8-ba9a-ee11-be36-6045bdeb8873. LDF Archives, Thurgood Marshall Institute. https://ldfrecollection.org/archives/archives-search/archives-item/130e3498-77ab-4ee1-84f1-b76edf0c5874/league-of-united-latin-american-citizens-lulac-council-4434-v-mattox-memorandum-opinion-and-order. Accessed October 08, 2025.
Copied!
UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT FOR THE WESTERN DISTRICT OF TEXAS MIDLAND-ODESSA DIVISION FI LED LEAGUE OF UNITED LATIN AMERICANS CITIZENS (LULAC), COUNCIL #4434§ et al. § Plaintiffs, § AND § HOUSTON LAWYERS ASSOCIATION § et al. § Plaintiff-Intervenors §§V. s §JIM MATTOX, et al.' § State Defendants § AND - • § JUDGE SHAROLYN WOOD AND § JUDGE F. HAROLD ENTZ § NOV 08 lS8$. ,, U. S. DISTRICT COURT. ' ClfFttCS OFFICE BYi^VW^TT.. DEPUTY MO-88-CA-154 MEMORANDUM OPINION AND ORDER The above-captioned cause came on for trial before the Court on September 18,.1989. This suit was brought by named individual Plaintiffs and members of the League of United Latin American Citizens ("LULAC"), Council #4434, LULAC Council #4451 and LULAC Statewide. Plaintiffs are Mexican-American and Black citizens of the State of: Texas, Plaintiffs seek (1) a Declaratory Judgment ~ • : \ ; ; •; r - . r : ' c-. • • . . . . . ^ v that the existing at large scheme of electing State District Judges in nine (9)- .target counties of the State of Texas violates Plaintiffs' civil rights by unconstitutionally diluting the voting strength of Hexican-American and Black electors in violation of 1 « Section 2 of the Voting Rights Act of 1965, as amended, 42 U.S.C. S 1973 (West Supp. 1989) ("Voting Rights Act")1; (2) a permanent injunction prohibiting the calling, holding, supervising or certifying any future elections for District Judges under the present at-large scheme in the target areas; (3) formation of . a judicial districting^scheme by which District Judges__in the target elected from districts which include single member districts; and (4) costs and attorneys' -fees. : a*; * rt f -rri ? i:c This case really had its beginning in 1965, when Congress Section 2 provides in pertinent part: "(a) No voting qualification or prerequisite to voting or.standard, practice, or procedure shall be imposed or applied by any State or political subdivision in a manner which results in a denial or abridgement of the right of any citizen of the United States to vote 'on account of race or color .... ; "(b) A violation of subsection (a) of this section is established if, based upon the totality of tcircumstances, itr> is - shown that the political u processes leading to nomination or election in the State" or political subdivision are not.equally open r.. s ; to participation by members of a class of citizens protected by subsection (a) of this section in that its members have less opportunity to participate in the political process and elect representatives of their choice. The extent to which members of a protected class have been elected to office in the ' State or political subdivision is one circumstance which may be considered: Provided. That nothing in this section establishes a right to have members of a protected class elected in numbers equal to their-’ r...." proportion in the population." \ (Emphasis in the original.) r r::r>-, ...c,, - .. 2 passed the Voting Rights Act and it was signed by President Johnson. This Act, as everyone knows, had as its purpose -"to -rid the country of racial discriminating in voting." • -- The next chapter in the saga was the holding in Chisom v. Edwards, 839 F.2d 1056 (5th Cir. 1988), cert, denied, sub nom, Chisom v. Edwards, 109 S .Ct. 310(1989]-(Chisom I). In Chisom I Judge Johnson held: "Minorities may not be prevented' from using Section 2 [of the Voting Rights Act] in their efforts to combat racial discrimination in the election of state judges; a contrary result would prohibit minorities from achieving an effective voice in choosing those individuals society elects to administer -and interpret the law." ,• • ; -. -- - --- - Having concluded, as will later be pointed out in formal Findings of Fact and Conclusions-of Law, that there "is racial discrimination in the election of state judges in some counties of the State of Texas, and the law plainly being that uuch discrimination is prohibited by the Voting Rights Act, this opinion should not come as any surprise to the attorneys or judges of this State. ^ Mr. Justice Holmes, in Southern Pacific Co, v. Jensen. 244 U.S. 205, 221, in dissenting, said: I recognize without hesitation that judges do and - J! must legislate, but they can do so only intersti— tially; they are confined from molar to molecular 3 motions. This dissent has been on the books for 82 years and, while this Court recognizes that some judges may legislate, this Court is extremely reluctant to do^so. Legislation should be done by legislators. This Court has determined that our current system, as it applies to some counties, violates Section 2 of the Voters, Rights Act. Some fixing has to be done, because the current system is broken. n o x ni rr„- r n1- . , In writing this opinion, I am cognizant of the fact that our Texas Constitution will_need to be amended. Legislators should seriously consider nonpartisan elections for District Judges. As Chief Judge Tom Phillips, pointed out in his testimony, it really makes no sense that judges are selected because of their political' filiation. A judge should decide matters before him without , regard to partisan p o l i t i c s I t speaks well of our current judiciary that our sitting judges have been able to make decisions f without regard to whether the judge is Republican or Democrat. As long as judges, ; however, are selected on a partisan ballot, there will be some rancor and enmity between the successful the unsuccessful candidate. The loser is going to have regrets hy virtue of the fact that she or he did not secure enough votes in an election. It makes no sense to believe that a judge is 4 selected because the top of the ticket is either weak or strong.— This Court felt the animosity between certain judges in the u. courtroom. _There is no need for this. Certainly-judicial reform --- will not make all candidates live by the Golden Rule, but it is a step in the right direction, x . - •_ .. v. ,; It was brought to the Court's attention that perhaps a majority of the voters in a General Election, and for that matter, in Primary Elections, have no idea of the qualification of a judge for whom they vote. Their vote is cast because a straight ticket i_La~ is being cast,' 'and a 'straight ticket includes judicial nominees __ from a particular political party. If the Constitution is to be changed, would it not make sense to have judges elected when members of school boards or city councils are elected? These races are traditionally nonpartisan, - 1 7 ? and people going to the polls to vote for school trustees or mayors L.i: c have for nthe most part some idea of the qualifications of the candidates. Judges could be selected at the same time in order to - ̂ .. make sure that one was not getting votes simply - because one is " n: Democrat or Republicans Minority voters could go to the polls - with their heads held high and with some realization that their preferred candidate either would be or could be elected. Certainly, it is not Court's intention to tell the 5 legislature how its job is to be accomplished. Single member districts may or may not be the answer if we are to continue to have partisan elections. There may be easier and better solutions that can evolve through the legislative process. These are troubled- waters. n One liesitates to plunge into such waters, because our system of selecting judges has, for the. most part, served us well for many many years. Our Congress, however, in -1964, made changes. LOur: Courts ’have construed thosei changes, and it is ' now necessary to move forwardo so that minorities can realize the rights legally bestowed upon'them, and which have, in the past, been denied.- THE PRESENT AT-LARGE SYSTEM , il. „ ^ This litigation ’challenges trhe system of electing 172 District Court Judges at—large from areas composed of entire counties.2 ■ jl ... . .... :__. v The present system of electing District Court Judges in Texas requires that each judge be elected from a District no smaller than a county. Tex. Const. Art. 5 § 7a(i) (Vernon Supp. The counties at issue are: Harris, Dallas, Tarrant, Bexar, Travis, Jefferson, Lubbock, Ector and Midland. 6 1989) .3 - _Each Judge serves a term of four (4) -years.~ Tex. Const. Art. 5 § 7 (Vernon Supp. 1989). Candidates for District Judge must be citizens of the United States and the State of Texas, licensed to practice law in this State and a practicing lawyer or Judge of a Court in this State, or both combined for four years. Id. Candidates must have been a resident of that election district for at least-two |2) years and reside in that district during his or her term of election. Id. District Court Judges must be nominated in a primary election by a majority of the votes cast. Texv Election Code § 172 .DG3=tVernon 1986) . - Each candidate's political - Party is indicated on the election ballot.Judicial candidates are usually listed far riown on an election ballot. 'They run for t specifically numbered courts and must secure a plurality of the vote in the general election to win a judicial seat. -.ho s . i - I W T .-n i - • ■ ; i-* r r > r ... C C O i C ; ' "■.; i r 1.0 o f - v . i c -. • . ■ •; : ‘ i ' ' xrc r- • METHODOLOGY, DATA AND ELECTIONS ANALYZED V : ,, . i&J fa- Statistical analysis is the common methodology employed and t accepted to prove the existence of political cohesiveness and -This system is "at-large" because judges are elected from i the entire county rather than from geographic subdistricts within -V’ the county. ■- 7 racial bloc voting necessary to establish a voter dilution case.4 Ecological regression analysis5 and extreme case analysis6 were the types of statistical analysis used by Plaintiffs' experts in the present case.7 In Thornburg v. Ginales. 478 U.S. 30, 106 S.Ct. 2752, 92 L.Ed.2d 25 (1986), Justice Brennan held thatracial bloc^voting can be established by a type of abstract statistical inquiry called "bivariate regression analysis." This analysis correlates the race of the voters and the level of support given to the candidate. Id. at-61-» - - If a candidate is supported by a large proportion of the minority group yet does not win, the vote is declared to be racially polarized in a legally significant sense and racial bloc voting is taken to be established. All-variables beside race of the voters and support given the candidates that might also explain voters' , choices are expressly excluded from consideration. In Justice Brennan's view, "[i ]t is the difference between the choices made by [minorities] and whites - not the reasons for that difference - that results in [minorities] having less opportunity than whites to elect their preferred representatives." Id. at 63. 5c Ecological regression analysis shows the relationship between the ethnic composition of voting precincts and voting behavior, i.e.^ which candidate receives how many-votes from each race/ethnic group. This type of analysis incorporates the 4ise of a coefficient of correlation or Pearson r, accompanied by an estimate of the statistical significance of r, the coefficient-Of determination and the regression line. See Overton v. City of Austin. 871-F.2d 529, 539 (5th Cir.i 1989) . i.he ' =;-ni :cans , 6 Extreme case or homogenous precinct, analysisalooks to homogenous precincts in which almost all of the people of voting age belong to one ethnic group. If race/ethnicity reflects voting behavior, then election results in predominately minority precincts should differ from results in predominately Anglo precincts. . •j ^The majority which agreed with Justice Brennan that voter dilution was demonstrated by the'impact or results of the Zimmer factors and the Gingles threshold analysis deserted him when he came to the proof of the second and third Gingles factors. -'.. 8 The data used by Plaintiffs to support their statistical analysis varied according to the type of information available to them since the 1980 Census. Plaintiffs used voting age population data by census tract to establish the Ginales 1 factor of size and geographic compactness. Plaintiffs used a variety of data sets to establish the Singles 2 cohesiveness and Ginales 3 white-bloc voting factors depending on information available in the County in question. __ In Counties where Plaintiffs presented a case on behalf of Hispanics ’• only, they 'relied on ~the percentage of Hispanic • Justice White maintained that under Justice-Brennan's test there is racially polarized voting whenever a majority of whites vote differently from a majority of blacks, regardless of the race of the candidates. Ginqles. supra, at 83. To illustrate his disagreement, Justice White posited the hypothetical which assumed an eight-member multimember district that was 60% white and 40% black, the blacks being geographically located so that two safe black single-member districts could be drawn. Justice White further assumed that there were six white and two black Democrats running against six white and two black Republicans. Justice White wrote, "[u ]nder Justice Brennan's test, there would be polarized voting and a likely § 2 violation if all the Republicans, including the two;: blacks, are elected, and 80% of the blacks in -the predominately black areas vote Democratic." Id. at 83. Justice White concluded that such analysis was "interest—group politics rather that a rule hedging against racial discrimination." Id. at 83. Justice O'Connor and the three other Justices for whom she wrote did not reject bivariate regression analysis solely to establish political cohesiveness and assess the minority groups prospects for electoral success. , Id. at 100. However, Justice 0 Connor did reject Justice Brennan's position that evidence that explains divergent racial voting patterns is irrelevant. 9 registered voters in voting precincts in any given year. These figures were based on Spanish surname counts done by the Secretary of State of Texas. In other instances, Plaintiffs used counts of Black and Hispanic total or voting age population in each.precinct of a particular county.- When counts were not available, Plaintiffs based their analysis on 1980 census information. In some counties, precincts retained the same boundaries reported in the 1980 census. 1980 census data, from precincts with unchanged boundaries were used in those counties. In several counties, Plaintiffs reconfigured precinct lines8 and used demographic data from these newly created- precincts. When relying on census data, Plaintiffs calculated the number-of non^minorities ̂ within precincts by subtracting the number of Hispanics and Blacks from the total number of persons within the precinct. - Plaintiffs' experts only reviewed elections where a minority candidate-opposed an Anglo.£ They preferred to analyze general elections, however primary elections were analyzed when no minority candidate made it past that stage of the electoral process. The Supreme Court in Thornburg v. Ginoles. supra, requires This process requires comparing new precinct maps with their new lines and census block maps that show racial composition of the blocks. This process is frequently used to update precinct data. 10 the analysis of several elections to determine if there is a pattern of voting related to race/ethnicity. In the present case, when there were District Court elections in a county in question in which a minority opposed an Anglo, Plaintiffs relied solely on- analysis of District Court elections. In some Counties this included both general and primary elections. Where there were not enough such District Court elections other elections were analyzed. First, County Court elections in which minorities opposed Anglos were selected. Next, Plaintiffs turned to Justice of the Peace elections where the election district was at least as large as a city within the county at -issue. Finally, if no relevant local judicial races occurred, Plaintiffs analyzed statewide judicial elections. See Testimony of Dr. Robert Brischetto. All jurisdictional:;_ prerequisites necessary to the maintenance of the claims'of the parties have been fulfilled. After reviewing the testimony'and exhibits introduced at rtrial, as- well as the arguments and authorities of counsel, the Court hereby enters the following Findings of Fact and Conclusions of Law pursuant to Federal Rule of Civil Procedure 52. .... 11 FINDINGS OF FACT INDIVIDUAL PLAINTIFFS 1. The names and counties of residence-of the ten (10) named individual Plaintiffs are as follows: (a) Christina Moreno - Midland; (b) Aquilla Watson - Midland; (cj Joan Ervin - Lubbock; (d) Matthew W. Plummer, Sr. - Harris; (e) Jim Conley - Bexar; (f) Volma Overton - Travis; (g) Gene Collins - Ector; (h) Al Price - Jefferson; - (.i) Mary -Ellen Hicks - Tarrant; and (j) Rev. James Thomas - Galveston. Each named Plaintiff is a citizen of the United States registered end -qualified to vote in District Court elections in Texas.-Except for Christina Moreno, who is Hispanic, each named Plaintiff Black. j • . 't,.: '' ORGANIZATIONAL PLAINTIFFS 2. Plaintiffs LULAC #4434 and LULAC #4451 are local chapters of the larger Statewide LULAC organization. J Members of the LULAC Statewide organization reside in all of the counties challenged in this suit. Depo. of John Garcia. The organization is composed of both Mexican-American and Black residents of the State of Texas. The members of LULAC #4434 reside in Midland County. The members of LULAC #4451 reside in Ector County. 3. - i - Plaintif f-Intervenor the Houston Lawyers Association 12 ("HLA"), is an association of Black lawyers in Harris County. The participation of Plaintiff-Intervenor the Texas Black Legislative Caucus ("TBLC") is limited to the remedy stage of this litigation. DEFENDANTS & DEFENDANT-INTERVENQRS 4. Defendants are sued in their official capacities only* Defendant' Jim Mattox is the Attorney General of the State of Texas and charged with the responsibility of enforcing the laws of the State. / Defendant George Bayoud is.-Secretary of-State of Texas. As such he functions- as chief elections officer charged with administering the election Jaws of the State. Secretary Bayoud'is substituted as a party in this litigation for former Secretary of State Jack Rains. oC 2 . ' . . ) ^ l ... : Defendants Thomas R. Phillips, Michael J. McCormick, Ron Chapman, Thomas J. Stovall, James Fr Clawson, Jr., Joe E. Kelly,: Robert M. Blackmon, Sam M. Paxson, Weldon Kirk, Jeff Walker, Ray D. Anderson, Leonard Davis and Joe Spurlock, II are members of the Judicial Districts Board9 created by Art. V Section 7a of the Texas Several members of the Judicial Districts Board- were replaced by new members during the interim of this litigation. Michael J. McCormick replaced John F. Onion, Robert M. Blackman^ replaced Joe B. Evans and Jeff Walker replaced Charles Murray. 13 Constitution and Art. 24.911 et seq. of the Texas Government Code. The Judicial Districts Board is charged with reapportioning districts from which District Court Judges are elected. . .. . ----- Sitting- District Court Judge Sharolyn Wood, 127th District Court, Harris County and Judge Harold Entz, Jr., 194th = District Court, Dallas County Intervened in their individual capacities as Defendants.10 ' ; GINGLES THRESHOLD ANALYSIS Size and Geographic Compactness • "5* Harris County. - Harris County has the largest population among the nine target Counties in this case. Plaintiffs 1 are proceeding only on behalf of Black voters in Harris - County. ror With a total population of 2,409,544,11 its Black population i s 1 01. 473,698 (19.7%). There are 1,685,024 people of voting age,12 with .--'In 305,986 (18.2%) voting age Black residents of Harris County. 10 Thirteen District Court Judges from Travis County initially - ■ y intervened as Defendants. The Court struck their intervention at their request. • •.••• 11 In each County, Plaintiffs rely upon the 1980 Census for total population of Blacks and Hispanics within the County. For all Counties in this case, Plaintiffs relied on a - -.1- computer print out of voting age populations prepared by the Data ^-ir: Center at Texas A&M University _ directly from 1980 U.S. Census~ m e tapes ~ : : • ; T ; 1 h • • • 14 -- There are fifty nine (59) State District Courts in Harris County. Black residents are concentrated in the North Central, Central and South Central .sections of Harris County. H- 04, p.> 2, Map, of Proposed Districts.13 Evidence was introduced that nine (9) Black single member districts of greater than fifty percent (50%) Black voting age population were possible. Id. at 1; Plaintiff-Intervenor Harris. County ( "P-I.-f H") Exhibits 2, :2a. 6. Dallas County. Dallas County is the second largest County involved in this case. -Plaintiffs are proceeding only on behalf of Black voters in Dallas County. Dallas County has a total population of 1,556,549. Its Black population is 287,613 (18.5%).. There are 1,106,757 people of voting age, with 180,294 (16%) voting age Black-residents . Plaintif f s ' DDallSs Ccfiinty ("D",). Exhibit 017- There were thirty six /(36) State District Courtsmin Plaintiffs' Harris County ("H") Exhibit 01. 13 Plaintiffs drew districts in each County of approximately equal size based on the number of District Courts in the County. Plaintiffs calculated the size and number of precincts in each proposed district on the basis of both total population and voting age population. This Court recognizes that the concept of "one man one vote" does not apply to the judicial elections. Chisom I . supra, at 1061. Accordingly, this Court's analysis rests upon Plaintiffs' calculation based upon voting age population. Plaintiffs drew each district on this basis under the assumption that each district should contain l/m of the voting age population in the County,-with n being the number of District Courts in the County. ‘ -Plaintiffs' Post Trial Brief at 11. 15 Dallas County at the time this case was filed. On September 1, 1989, the Texas Legislature created a thirty-seventh State Judicial District-Court in Dallas County. Black residents are concentrated in the Central and South Central sections of Dallas County. D-04, p. 2, Map of Proposed Districts based on 3̂6 District Courts_ Evidence was introduced that seven (7) Black single member districts 'of greater than fifty percent (50%) Black" voting age population were possible. Id. at 1, 3-9;14 Plaintiff-Intervenor Dallas ("P-I D") Exhibits 34. Plaintiff-Intervenors' Exhibit 7 reflects that there are approximately 36 homogeneous precincts of 90% Black population. __ ___ . _ . _ ___i-.-t ___ . 7 Tarrant County. Plaintiffs are proceeding-only on behalfr of Black voters in Tarrant County. Tarrant County has a total ^population of 860,880> ̂The rBlack population-of "Tarrant County is 101,183 (11.8%). There are 613,698 people of voting age, with 63,851 -(10.4%) voting age'Black residents of Tarrant County. Plaintiffs' Tarrant County ("Ta") Exhibit 01. .* There are twenty three (23) State District Courts in Tarrant County. Black residents are concentrated in the Center of Proposed single member districts 1 & 3 barely meet the Overton majority - minority voting age population requirement. These proposed districts contain 51.33% and 52.05% black voting age population respectively. 16 Evidencethe County. Ta-04, p. 2, Map of Proposed Districts, was introduced that two (2) Black single member districts of greater than fifty percent (50%) Black voting age population were possible. Id. at 1_., , :=;• i.'V' ' :: 1-h= -,-.vr 8. Jexar County. Plaintiffs are proceeding only on behalf of Hispanic voters in Bexar County. _ ;.Bexar County - has a .total population of 988,800. Its Hispanic population is 460,911 (46.61%). There are 672,220 people iof vating1-age with 278,577 (41.1%) voting age Hispanic residents of Bexar County.e- Plaintiffs' Bexar County~("B") Exhibit 01. -- There are nineteen (19) State District Courts in Bexar County. Hispanic residents are concentrated in the Central and South Central sections of the County comprising most of the population! of the City of San Antonio. B-04, p.-2, Map of Proposed Districts. Evidence, was introduced ithat eight (8}r Hispanic single member districtsvof greater than .fifty percent (50%) Black voting age population were possible. Id. at 1. 9. Travis County. Plaintiffs are proceeding only on behalf of Hispanic voters in Travis County. With a total population of 419,335, its Hispanic population is 72,271 (17.2%). There are 312,392 people of voting age with 44,847 (14.4%) voting age Hispanic residents of Travis County. Plaintiffs' Travis 17 There are thirteen (13) State District Courts in Travis. County. The largest concentration of Hispanic residents in one area, if at all, appears to be located in the Eastern portion of the County. Tr-04, p. .2; Tr-05, p.l, Map of Proposed Districts. Mr. David Richards testified that in his opinion the Hispanic community was pretty ~ - well ~ dispersed in “'Travis County. Nevertheless, evidence! was _ introduced that one (1) !combined minority single member district of greater than fifty’percent (50%) Hispanic voting age population was possible. Id. at 1. Plaintiffs! Exhibit Tr-04 depicts the single member -. Hispanic district proposed for Travis County, v The Court finds that"it is without moment that the proposed district appears to be minimally contiguous. ■ ' .• Courts i r . i 10. Jefferson County. Plaintiffs are proceeding only on behalf of Black voters in Jefferson County. cJefferson County has a total population of 250,938. Its Black population is 70,810 (28.2%). There are 179,708 people of voting age of. which there are 44,283 (24.6%) voting age Black residents of Jefferson County. Plaintiffs' Jefferson County ("J") Exhibit 01. There are eight (8) State District Courts in Jefferson County-r Black residents are concentrated in the Central and South County ("Tr") Exhibit 01. 18 Eastern portions of Jefferson County. J-04, p. 2, Map of Proposed Districts. ''Evidence was'^introduced that two (2) Black single member districts of greater than fifty percent (50%) Black voting age population were possible. Id. at 1 ’ - J ’- « — 11. Lubbock County. Plaintiffs are proceeding on behalf • n>. of the combined Black and Hispanic voters in LLubbock County. .There ... is a total population of 211,651 in Lubbock County. The Black ^ _. population of Lubbock County is;15,780 (7-5%), while the Hispanic population is 41,428 (19.6%). There are-150,714 people of voting ; age, with 9,590 (6.4%) voting age Black residents and 22,934 ; (15.2%) voting age Hispanic residents. The combined minority votings age : population is 32,524 (21.6%). Plaintiffs' Lubbock'■ ;:al r County ("L") Exhibit 01. : * ; ( , There are six (6) State District Courts in the Lubbock----.. - Crosby County area. The combined minority population is non - concentrated in thes.North Eastern, Eastern and South Eastern Lons sections of those Counties. L-04, p. 2, Map of Proposed Districts. Evidence was introduced that one (1) combined minority single member district of greater than fifty percent (50%) Black voting age population was possible. Id. at 1. This remains true when Plaintiffs controlled for voting age population of non-United Vs States citizens of Spanish origin. Plaintiffs' Exhibit L-ll. •• -V 19 12. Ector County. Plaintiffs are proceeding on behalf of combined Black and Hispanic voters in Ector County.... The total population of Ector County is 115,374. Its Black population is 5,154 (4.5%) and the Hispanic population is 24,831 (21.5%). There. are 79,516 people of voting age. The voting age population by minorities consists of 3,255 (4.1%) Black voters and 14,147 (17.8%) Hispanic voters for a combined minority voting age population of 17,402 (21.9%). Plaintiffs' Ector County ("E") Exhibit 01. ■"7There are four (4) State District Courts in Ector County.' Minority residents are "concentrated in the Southwest section of the County. E-04, p. 2, Map of Proposed Districts. Evidence -was introduced that-one (1) combined minority single member district of greater than fifty percent (50%) minority voting age population was possible. Id. at 1. It is possible to draw a district of combined minority population of voting age even if non citizen voting age HiSpanics are eliminated -from .the calculations. Plaintiffs' Exhibit E-13. •_ - , 13.: Midland County. Plaintiffs proceed on behalf of Black and Hispanic voters combined in Midland County. Midland County has a total population of 82,636. Its Black population is 7,119 (8.6%) and its Hispanic population is 12,323.(14.9%). There are 57,789 r hr >— v* r f people of.voting age,.-4,484 (7.8%) voting age Black voters and 20 6,893 (11.9%) voting age Hispanic voters. The combined voting age population is 11,377 (19.7%). ̂Plaintiffs' Midland County ("M")' Exhibit 01. ------ — - There are three (3) State District Courts "in Midland County. Black residents ~are concentrated largely in the Northeastern, East Central and Southeastern sections of Midland County. M-04, p. 2, Map of Proposed Districts. Evidence was introduced^that one (1) combined minority single member district of greater than fifty percent (50%) combined voting age population was possible. Id. at 1. It'is possible to draw a district in which the combined minority population is in the majority even if non-citizen Hrspanics of 'voting age are excluded. Plaintiffs' Exhibit M-15. Political Cohesion and White Bloc Voting 14. Racially polar-ized voting indicates that the group prefers candidates of a particular race.15 ‘Monroe v. City of' Woodyille, No.' 88-4433, slip op. at 5573, (5th Cir. Aug. 30, 1989). The Supreme Court in Ginqles adopted the definition of racial polarization offered by Dr. Bernard Grofman, appellees' expert.-Dr. Grofman explained that racial polarization "'exists where there is a consistent relationship between [the] race of the voter and the way in which the voter votes' ... or to put it differently, where 'black voters and white voters vote differently.'" Ginqles. 478 U.S. at 53 n. 21. 21 Political cohesion, on the other hand, implies that the group generally .unites behind a single political "platform" of common goals and common means by which to achieve them. Id.at 5573. The inquiry into political cohesiveness is not. to be made prior to and apart from a study of polarized voting. The Supreme Court made clear that "[t]he purpose of inquiring into the existence of racially polarized voting is twofold: to ascertain whether minority group members constitute a politically cohesive unit and to determine whether whites vote sufficiently as a bloc usually to defeat the minority's preferred candidates." Gingles,:. 478 U.S. at 56. 15. Plaintiffs presented testimony of two experts. - Dr. Richard Engstrom ("Dr. Engstrom") testified only about Harris and Dallas j.Counties. Dr. Robert r.Brischetto ("Dr. Brischetto") t. '* r.-. T O - ’ T i m o r . V O t D r . F T 1- s >« r’ .V OU! j i; . i r testified concerning all other counties at issue in this case.: 16. Harris County. a. Dr. Richard Engstrom testified on behalf of Plaintiffs and Plaintiff-Intervenors in Harris C o u n t y D r . Engstrom used 1980 U.S. Census counts of total Black population by precinct to analyze 1980 election results. For .1982, 1984, 1986 and 1988, Dr. Engstrom used precinct voter registration estimates supplied by Dr. Richard Murray, a non-testifying expert. K.Plaintiffs' Exhibit P-I H-08ri- 22 Dr. Engstrom verified or "matched" the reliability of Dr. Murray's estimates and the 1980 Census counts by comparing Dr. Murray's estimates to an Hispanic precinct voter registration list compiled by the Secretary of State; Testimony of Dr. Richard Engstrom. Dr. Engstrom testified that there was "a very good: match.", b..̂ . Dr-Engstrom analyzed,17 _ general elections in Harris County. He calculated "r". values16 between 0.798 and 0.880 for the 17 elections analyzed.17 tPlaintiffs' Exhibit P-I H-01 pp. 1-2. Dr. Engstrom's regression analysis shows a strong relationship between race and voting patterns in Harris County. See Appendix. A to this opinion ("Appendix"), Plaintiffs' Exhibit P-I H-01 pp. 1-2. All of his correlation coefficients18 exceed .79 (79%) except; 16 The "r" value describes the relationship between the racial composition of a precinct and ..the number of votes a particular candidate receives. Testimony of Dr. Engstrom. To put it another way, "how consistently a vote for Black candidate changes as the racial composition of the precinct changes." Id. "Crucial to the validity of regression analysis are .the values for 'r' and 'r[squared]' , which measure the strength of the correlation and linear relationship of the variables being examined, in this case the race of the voter and the candidate he supports." Overton, 871 F.2d at 539. The "r" value is also referred to as the "correlation coefficient" or "Pearson r." A positive Pearson r shows that as the percentage of minorities in a precinct increases, so does the support that a minority candidate receives. A Pearson r of -1 shows the opposite, as the percentage of minorities in a precinct increases, cthere is decrease in the support that a minority candidate receives. A Pearson r of 0 shows that there is no 23 one. Id.., see section on Bivariate Regression under the column heading of Correlation Coefficient. Dr. Robert Brischetto generally testified with regard to the counties in issue other than Dallas and Harris County, that a ..Pearson r of 1 (100%) would show perfect correlation. He further testified that social scientists - consider anything over 0.50 (50%) as showing a strong correlation. c. Further, each Pearson r is accompanied by an estimate of the likelihood that the estimate would occur by chance. This figure is known as the significance level. In the regression analyses for Harris County, as well as all the counties in issue, the significance level was much smaller than the generally accepted level of extremely high significance of . 05.19 Testimony of Dr. Robert Brischetto; Testimony of Dr. Richard Engstrom. Dr. Engstrom testified that the probability that the Harris County estimates-- would have occurred by chance were less than 1 out of 10,000. H d. The lowest squared for these analyses is “ approximately .62 (62%). This describes the percentage of the variance in voting behavior explained by race/ethnicity. Testimony relationship between the racial/ethnic composition of precincts and voting behavior. 1 , • . • 19 A -significance level of -.01, for example, ;means that the Pearson r in question would have occurred by chance only one time out of .one hundred. Cvcx ■ : - -j. " G r 24 of Dr. Robert Brischetto.20 Squaring these "r" values21 to calculate coefficients of determination demonstrates in the present case that race explains at least 62% of the variance in voting in all 17-elections relied on by Plaintiffs and Plaintif f-Intervenors.._ m e . t= The one judicial race that did not exceed the 79% figure actually had a negative correlation. This race involved Mamie Proctor, a Black candidate running on a Republican ticket against Henry Schuble, an Anglo, for State Family Court 245. In the 1986 Proctor race, the correlation coefficient was -0.836 (approx. -84%). Id. at 1; Plaintiffs' Exhibit P-I H-10 p. 2. ..This reflects that, as the percentage of Blacks in voting precincts increases, 'Proctor*s support decreased. In other words, even though Ms. Proctor is Black, she did not receive the support of the Black community. Hence, she was not the preferred, .candidate of ; Black voters in Harris County. Dr. Engstrom testified on cross examination tJhat the "candidate of choice" .was the-candidate who For example, if a Pearson r is .5, then 25% (5 x 5 or r squared) of the variance in voting behavior is explained by race/ethnicity. This figure is also known as the coefficient of determination. It is the coefficient of correlation or Pearson r multiplied by itself. It shows how much or little "noise" there is around the line ofT correlation or, in other words, "the percentage of variance in the vote that is explained by the race of the voters." Overton, 871 F.2d at 539 n. 11. 25 received the majority of the black vote, not necessarily the Black candidate. - - : • - - f. When Dr. Engstrom controlled for Hispanic votes, Dr. Engstrom's regression analysis shows that Blacks consistently gave — more than 97% of their vote to their preferred candidate. Id., see r last two columns. - , .J g. Dr. Engstrom's homogenous precinct analysis corroborates the results of his regression analysis .t> See Appendix ; A, Plaintiffs' Exhibit P-I H-01 pp. 1-2. It shows that Black voters in Harris County gave more than 96% of their votes to the preferred candidate of Black voters in every election except Proctor's . : Ms . Proctor received 5% of the Black vote. ~ ' - h . ~ Finally, in all counties including Harris County, Plaintiffs "weighted"1 precinct data in f order 'to account for variations in the population size of the various precincts. Testimony of Dr. Richard Engstrom; O v e r t o n rsupra, at 537. Dr. 1- Engstrom testified that on the basis of his analysis the Blackc community in Harris County votes cohesively in-general elections for State District Court Judges. i. Harris County Defendant-Intervenor Judge Sharolyn Wood-("Judge Wood"), attacks:-^- Plaintiffs and Plaintiff-Intervenor's proof on the following’: grounds: (1) Dr. Engstrom failed to establish the reliability of 26 his data set; (2) absentee votes were not allocated to election returns; (3) the analysis does not reflect the effect of the influx of the Vietnamese population into Harris County and traditionally Black -precincts; and {4) the .analysis fails to reflect black candidate successes in primary elections or uncontested races.-- -■ j. In reference to the reliability of the data set, Judge Wood points to numbers on Dr. Murray's printouts that have been written over.,: struck out or crossed through, pencil notations and other marks. This Court finds the data set to be reliable. k. - ..In response to the other concerns, Dr. Engstrom testified that: (1) primary elections were not examined in Harris County because those elections were not filtering out the candidate of choice of Black voters; (2) uncontested races do not assist researchers in their analysis; (3) the appropriate comparison in Voting Rights cases is Black and non-Black; (4) while :he did not specifically control for Asian Americans, they would be included in the percentage of non-Black votes; and (5) the range of absentee votes between 1980 and 1986 never exceeded 2.2% to 7.6%, while in 1988 that range rose to approximately 13.6% per precinct. This Court finds that Dr. Engstrom's testimony adequately addresses these concerns. The Court further finds that the lack of control for absentee votes and Asian Americans does not significantly 27 affect Dr. Engstronr's analysis. -1. The State Defendants and Defendant-Intervenors argue that it is a candidate's political party and the strength of straight ticket party voting that determines ~the result of any election contest and not the difference between the preferred candidates of whites and minorities. In support.of -this argument, Defendants and Defendant-Intervenors point to the.1982 and 1986 Democratic sweep for judicial candidates in- Harris County and a similar Republican sweep in the years 1984 and 1988. n All Defendants attribute this phenomenon to top of the ticket straight party voting.22 m. Correlation and regression can also prove the third Ginqles prong by showing that a white bloc vote exis-ts. This is shown when the percentage of ■ votes received by .'the minority candidate decreases as the percentage of minority persons of voting age decreases . In other twords, the minority candidate^receives fewer votes as the percentage of non-minority persons in a precinct increases.; Regression results estimate the percentage of non minority support for minority candidates, otherwise known as the In 1982, Senator Lloyd Bentsen was the lead Democratic candidate on the ballot. In 1986, Governor Mark White represented the top of the ticket Democratic candidate. In Presidential election years 1984 and 1988, President Ronald Reagan and President George Bush, respectively, were the top Republican candidates. 28 Anglo cross over vote. Plaintiffs' Exhibit P-I H-01 pp. 1-2, column 4. This is also referred to as the Y intercept. . .. .. n. Dr. Engstrom calculated Y intercepts for the Black preferred candidate between 29 and 39 percent for the 17 elections analyzed. The highest Y intercept was 33.6%, but this percentage of the non-Black vote was for the non-preferred candidate Mamie Proctor. The highest percentage of Anglo cross over votes received by the preferred candidate of Black voters was 39 percent. See 1986 race Carl Walker, Jr., Black Democrat against George Godwin; Id. This is corroborated by a 40% Anglo cross over vote figure calculated for the same race in homogenous precincts of 90% or more non-Black population. Td. at column 1. Mr. Walker was the Black preferred candidate and won. > Plaintiffs' Exhibit P-I H 10. Two other Black preferred-candidates-drawing opposition .inJthe 1986 elections lost their elections even though they had identical Black community support; These two candidates had slightly?.less; Anglo cross over vote. Plaintiffs' Exhibit P-I H-01 pp* J.-2, column 1. Five other Black preferred candidates drawing opposition in what appears to be county-wide elections lost in t h e -1986 elections. -= Plaintiffs' Exhibit P-I H-10.23 This ianalysis j These candidates are: Bonnie Fitch, Raymond Fisher, Francis Williams, Sheila Jackson Lee, and Cheryl Irvin-ar. 29 demonstrates that an Anglo bloc vote exists. Dr. Engstrom testified that the Anglo or white bloc vote in Harris County is sufficiently strong to generally defeat the choice of the Black community-.-*- This Court a g r e e s -? •- r :•1 r- ,-. o. Plaintiff-Intervenor Sheila Jackson Lee also testified about political cohesiveness among Black voters in .Harris County. Ms. Lee has lived in Harris County approximately 11 years and has been a candidate in several- judicial^ e l e c t i o n s P l a i n t i f f s ' Exhibit P-I H-01 pp. 1-2; Exhibit P-I H-10 pp. 1-3. She had many different endorsements and campaign strategies but still lost. She testified that her loss was attributable to not getting enough white votes. f •. v 1^3 ^Urv.. ]•••••'••• : • • • - r. i.V J . \ p. This testimony was supported by the deposition summaries of Thomas Routt,! Weldon Berry, Francis -Williams and Bonnie Fitch. _,ul' v r.- q. Defendant-Intervenor Wood presented the testimony^of Judge Mark Davidson. As a hobby, Judge Davidson analyzes the results of judicial elections in Harris County. His testimony concerned his views on what he has termed "discretionary judicial voters" ("DJV").24 Judge Davidson testified that 15% of the vote He defines DJV's as voters who vote for at least one judicial candidate of one party and at least one of the other party. DJV's are also referred to as "swing" voters. 30 in judicial elections in Harris County were DJV's. The remaining 85% split roughly evenly between straight . Democrat party and: straight Republican party voting. Based upon his analysis, Judge Davidson believes that race and ethnicity are irrelevant_to voting., behavior as it relates to. ;the .judiciary in Harris County. : Hew opines that DJV's determine the outcome of judicial contests in Harris County and the DJV vote can somewhat be garnered by various campaign factors. While this Court finds Judge Davidson to be a credible witness, under controlling law, the Court finds that his testimony is irrelevant. _ r. The Court further finds Defendant-Intervenor Wood's contention that -the Black preferred candidate lost their respective judicial races due to their failure to win the Harris County bar or preference poll orito" obtain the Gay Political Caucus ("GPC"), endorsement to be legally incompetent. s. The complete data set used by Dr. Engstrom was used by Defendant's expert, Dr. Delbert Taebel for his analysis of Harris County. Dr. Taebel did not weight his precinct data to.account for variations in population size of various precincts in Harris County or any other county at issue. t. Dr. Taebel analyzed 23 District Court general elections where minorities opposed white candidates -in Harris C o u n t y S t a t e ' 31 Defendants' Exhibit D-05 pp. 9, 13, 29, 33, 37, 41, 45, 53, 61, 81, 85, 89, 93, 97, 101, 105, 137, 141, 145, 161, 165, 173 & 177.- Black and white voters voted differently in all 23 District Court elections. Id. The Blackr preferred candidate won"only six'(6)" times." The Black preferred candidate won seven (7) of 11 County Court general elections. Id. D-05-pp. -lr 5, 17^-21, 25, 109, 113,- 117, 121, 175 & 129. Blacks and whites voted differently in each of those elections . Id.a mDr. * -Taebel i also analyzed >nine r ( 9 ) h judicial primary elections; seven (7) for District Court posts and two (2)-County Court posts. Id. D-05 pp. 49, 57, 65, 73, 77, 145 157, 169 & 181. The Black preferred candidate won six (6) of the nine (9) primaries. Interestingly enough, each preferred candidate winning the primary lost the general election. Id. D-05 pp. 61, 69, 81, 153,: 161, & 17 3 . ~ v;-.v • v — -i-i 17. Dallas County.: - ~ >' ̂qu ~ • m - - a. Dr. Engstrora used the same data set for his analysis of Dallas County. However, the 1980 Census counts were updated in 1982 and 1988 by the Dallas County Elections Office by reconfiguring precincts according to the changes made in precinct lines. Testimony of Dr. Richard Engstrom. Dr. Engstrom accepted the updated census counts for 1982 and 1988 as reliable. Id. In 32 the intervening years of 1984 and 1986, Dr. Engstrom looked for precincts that combined or split and aggravated precinct counts for those precincts. Id. ' ••• ■ . . b. Dr. Engstrom analyzed seven (7) general elections_for State District Court where Blacks opposed Anglos between 1980 and. 1988 in Dallas County. The correlation coefficient or "rM values exceed 0.864 (86%) for six ̂ 6) of the seven (7) elections analyzed. See Appendix A, Plaintiffs' Exhibit D-02. Dr. Engstrom's homogenous precinct analysis and regression analysis shows a strong relationship between race and voting patterns in Dallas County. Id., see columns 2 & 3. Dr. -Engstrom -testified that the- significance -level was much smaller than the generally-accepted level of extremely khigh significance of .05 and that the probability bhat the Dallas County estimates would have occurred by chance were less than 1 out of 10,000. c; I- The lowest’K r L squared cbor - these analyses is approximately .75 (75%). This figure is found from multiplying the r value by itself for Jesse Oliver's judicial race in 1988. This coefficient of determination demonstrates that race explains at least 75% of the variance in voting in at least six (6) of the seven (7) elections relied on by Plaintiffs and Plaintiff- Intervenors. - — - 33 d. Plaintiffs' Exhibit D-02 further shows that in five (5) of the seven (7) elections as the percentage of Blacks increased in precincts, so did Black support for the preferred candidate of Black voters;■>> See Homogeneous precinct analysis, column 2;-~ rrr~- e . r■ Bivariate regression analysis reflects a negative correlation for Carolyn Wright's.-, .judicial .race in .1986.. Judge Wright is a Black who ran on the Republican ticket. She received -1.5% of .r the Black vote <i.and 71-.7% gof ̂ the non-Black vote. Plaintiffs' Exhibit D-02, columns 4< & 5. The correlation coefficient was -0.872 (-87%). -Id^ column 3. This reflects that, as the percentage of Blacks in voting precincts increases, Judge Wright's support decreased::: in other words, even though Ms. Wright is Black, she did„not receive the support of the Black communityg Hence, she was not .the preferred candidate of JBlack voters in Dallas County. Black voters also failed to support Judge Baraka, a Black Republican candidate in 1984. f. When Dr. Engstrom controlled for Hispanic votes, Dr. Engstrom's regression analysis shows that Blacks consistently gave more than.97% of their vote to their preferred candidate. Id., see last two columns. Dr. Engstrom's analyses shows that Blacks are politically cohesive in general elections for State District Court in Dallas County. - • • ; : - 34 g. His analysis is confirmed'by the testimony of Plaintiff-Intervenors' Joan Winn White, Fred Tinsely, H. Ron White and Jesse Oliver. The Exhibits ^reflect that each Plaintiff- Intervenor received 97% or better of the Black, homogenous precincts and at least 83% of the votes in precincts with Black population of 50% to 90%. "Plaintiffs Exhibit P-I D-16 - D-22a. h. Plaintiffs calculated the percentage of votes for-the Black preferred candidate, Jesse Oliver, and his white opponent'. Brown, in each of the proposed hypothetical single member districts. Plaintiffs' Exhibit D-12a. They .repeated this procedure.-for^ the judicial races involving the Black preferred candidates in Plaintiffs' Exhibit D-t)2 and Nathan Brin (an Anglo preferred by Black voters in Dallas County). Plaintiffs' Exhibits D-12b,i 12c & 12d. ■ In each , instance,an the Black t. community's preferredl* candidate received a r majorityr of votes a in each predominately Black hypothetical districts i, > :■ i. Defendant-Intervenor Judge Harold Entz ("Judge Entz"), attacks Plaintiffs and Plaintiff-Intervenors evidence on the ground that: (1) the data is based on total population and not voting age registered voters; (2) the analysis does not reflect changes in the distribution of population over time as a result of growth of Dallas suburbs and geographic dispersal of minorities; (3) Dr. 35 Engstrom did not control for absentee or Oriental votes; (4) there is a stronger association between partisan affiliation and success then there is between race and success; and (5) the analysis shows what happened, but not why it happened.“ In support of fiis fourth attack, Judge Entz argues that five of the seven elections analyzed _ involved Black candidates who are the candidate of choice, while all seven involved Democratic candidates who were the Black preferred candidate of choice. Thus, Judge Entz concludes that political party is a; better predictor of the Black preferred candidate and that candidate is a victim of partisan politics not discriminatory vote dilution. '^ j . Dr. Engstrom testified-that: (1) he was never given- precinct data by race and voting age registered voters; and (2) the range of support for the Democrat.candidates between 1980 and 1986 varied 10 to 17 percentage points. Thus, Dr Engstrom concluded that something other than just straight party voting is going on in judicial elections. i'-. 1 k. Dr. Dan Wiser's testimony confirms Dr. Engstrom's results. Dr. Wiser's data set was based on 1980 Census data, Dallas County election returns and Dallas County precinct data adjusted for changes in precincts. Precincts that split were reconstructed by estimating the part of the precinct that shifted 36 to another and apportioning the registered vote based on the shift and past history. Testimony of Dr. Dan Wiser. The adjusted data was checked against the 1986 Justice Department submissions, id. Plaintiffs' Exhibit P-I D-H. Ninety eight percent (98%) of the vote in homogeneous precincts of 90% Black voters went to the Black preferred candidate. Plaintiffs' Exhibit P-I D-ll, D-16 through D-23a. At least 83% of the Black community vote supported the Black preferred candidate in homogenous precincts of between 50% and 90% Black. Id. ‘ ' t c "1. Dr. Wiser calculates that the Asian community only comprised approximately 2^6% of the total Dallas County population as of 1985. Plaintiffs',Exhibit P-I D-03. He testified that the best estimate of the growth of the Asian community between 1985 and the present is supplied by the Bureau of Census. Plaintiffs' Exhibit P-I D-02. He believes there has only been a growth of approximately 3% between 1985 and 1988 and does not agree with estimates of Asian leaders in Dallas County. m.-.; Plaintiffs and Plaintiff-Intervenors established the third Ginqles prong by showing that a white bloc vote exists. The Y intercepts-calculated by Dr. Engstrom for the Black preferred candidate ranged between 29 and 39 percent for the seven elections analyzed. Plaintiffs' Exhibit D-02. The highest Y intercepts were 37 61.8% and 71.7% for Judges Baraka and Wright respectively, the non preferred candidates. Id. The highest percentage of Anglo Cross over votes received by the preferred candidate of Black voters was approximately 39 percent. -1 Id.-,- 1980 race -involving Joan Winn White. There are 197 precincts in Dallas County that are 90% or greater white population. Plaintiffs' Exhibit P-I D-06 & 07. n. This is corroborated by Dr. Engstrom's homogenous precinct analysis and Dr. Wiser's analysis. r,.-Id. at-column 1. - This analysis demonstrates that an Anglo bloc vote exists. The Court finds on the basis of the exhibits and testimony of Dr. Engstrom and Dr. Wiser that the Anglo or white bioc vote in Dallas County is sufficiently strong to generally defeat the choice of the Black community. .. o. Dr. Anthony Champagne testified that judicial elections in Dallas County were characterized by strong partisan affiliation rather than racially polarized voting. Dr. Champagne analyzed contested District Court general elections between 1976 and 1988. Plaintiffs' Exhibit P—I D-06-A. Dr. Champagne bases his opinion on the steady increase of Republican victories in Dallas County over time. Plaintiffs' Exhibit P-I D-07-A pp.1-2. Only seven (7) of the contested general elections analyzed involved Blacks opposing white candidates. Plaintiffs' Exhibit P-I D-09-A p. 1. 38 No Black candidate running on the Democratic ticket won a general election. Two Black candidates running as Republicans■won. Id. at 1. - The Court" noted, supra. that it was the non-Black vote that gave rise to the success of these two candidates . ■~ See Finding of Fact 17. e. - • v ' • .rl., r. ..U p. Dr. Taebel analyzed nine judicial elections -in which Blacks opposed Anglos. In eight of the nine, Blacks and Anglos voted differently. State Defendants Exhibit D-06 pp. 1, 13, 17; 21, 37, 69, 73, 81 & 89; See Appendix B, Plaintiffs' Re-Evaluation of Dr. Taebel's Reports ("Re-Evaluation") for Dallas County p.l. The Black... preferred candidate won only once. Id. This sole victory arose in the 1988 Republican primary. Id. The Black choice won only five (5) of the other twelve primary and general District Court and Appellate ! 'Court races analyzed. : Id.'; Plaintiffs' Re-Evaluation p. 2. k* •:' ' r. 18. Tarrant County. r- rr ' • c'̂ -- -• a. • Dr. Robert Brischetto ("Dr. Brischetto”) testified concerning on behalf of Plaintiffs and Plaintiff-Intervenors in Tarrant County and the remaining counties at issue. He weighted his analysis in all remaining counties. Dr. Brischetto used Black population data by precinct from the 1980 Census for thirty four 39 (34) precincts in Tarrant County where precinct lines had not changed. He analyzed four (4) elections in which Blacks opposed Anglos in Tarrant County (three judicial elections and the 1988 Democratic Primary). See Appendix A, Plaintiffs' Exhibit Ta-02. b. In Tarrant County and other Contested counties where there was a large representation of three ethnic/racial groups, DrV Brischetto used multiple regression analysis. Dr. "Brischetto testified that this approach shows the effect of the percentage_of Hispanics in precincts, for example, upon the votes received by a minority candidate, when accounting for the effect of the percentage of Hispanics. The statistical calculation that shows the effect is called the "Partial r." :r- • c. Dr. Brischetto calculated "Partial r" values of -87%, -80% and ~90%~ respectively for the three judicial elections analyzed. Plaintiffs' Exhibit Ta-02. "There was "a negative correlation in the 1986 Salvant - Drago race and the 1986 Sturns - Goldsmith race. Salvant and Sturns were Black candidates running as Republicans. They did not receive the support of the Black community. Id. Approximately 93% of the Black voters in precincts analyzed voted for Drago, while approximately 85% of Black voters voted for Goldsmith. Id. The likelihood that the estimates would occur by chance (significance level) was much smaller than .05. 40 Testimony of Dr. Robert Brischetto. Dr. Brischetto's regression analysis shows a strong relationship between race and voting patterns in Tarrant County. The strength of the correlation is dependent on the size of the number not on the positive or negative value assigned to it. The negative correlation in the Salvant and Sturns races merely reflects that as the percentage of Blacks in voting precincts increases, the support for Salvant and Sturns decreased. d. The lowest r squared for these analyses is approximately 64% for the 1986 race for Criminal District Court Place 1. Race explains at least 64% of the variance in voting in all elections relied on by Plaintiffs and Plaintiff-Intervenors in Tarrant County. e. Plaintiffs' Exhibit Ta-02 further analyzes the Jesse Jackson Democratic Presidential Primary in 1988. The Partial r for Jesse Jackson was 98%. Although the Jackson race was not a judicial election, its analysis corroborates the judicial elections analyzed. However, Dr. Brischetto testified that he would reach the same conclusions without considering the Jackson contest. f. Dr. Brischetto's homogenous precinct analysis corroborates the results of his regression analysis. Plaintiffs' Exhibit Ta-02. It shows that Black voters in Tarrant County gave 41 more than 89% of their votes to the preferred candidate of Black voters in every election analyzed. ; c---- = • .-• 9* - -Dr* Brischetto also recompiled and reanalyzed Dr. Taebel's work concerning Tarrant County. Plaintiffs' Exhibit Ta- iO. Plaintiffs' Exhibit Ta-10 compiles all of Dr. Taebel's analysis of countywide elections for judicial positions when Blacks opposed Anglos. Dr. Taebel also found negative correlation of -63% and -60% in the Salvant and Sturns elections respectively. Id. While these correlation figures are not as high as those found by Dr. Brischetto, they still reflect a strong correlation. See Finding ;of Fact-16.b; last sentence-— 1 — - - ’ - h * --D r * Taebel used bivariate regression in his analysis. Dr. Brischetto is of the opinion that had Dr. Taebel used multivariate: analysisv'. his correlation estimates would1 have' been more precise,,. Further Dr. Brischetto believes that the r values wouid bave been higher, because the analysis -would have eliminated ' the effect of Hispanics. while Dr. Brischetto did not agree with Dr. Taebel's statistical methodology, he reviewed Dr. Taebel's work because Dr. Taebel's data set was more complete. r-,. i._ This Court finds, on the basis of all' of Dr. Brischetto's analysis, the Black community in Tarrant County votes cohesively in general elections for State District Court Judges. 42 j. The Court further finds that the Anglo bloc vote in Tarrant County is sufficiently strong to defeat the minority community's preferred candidate. In the three general elections analyzed, the preferred candidate of Black voters lost every time. This is true even though each of the Black preferred candidates had a sizeable percent of Anglo cross over votes. Plaintiffs' Exhibits' Ta-02; Ta-10. The Y intercept~ reflects that Anglo support for-the Black preferred candidates was between 42% and 49%. Id. Ta-02.^ec. ,, .. . ; U; ; .... • . ... •>. _k. The testimony of Plaintiff and sitting District Judge Maryellen Jiicks corroborates: this analysis. ' Judge Hicks is Black. She testified that the only time she ran against an Anglo in a countywide judicial election she lost. Plaintiffs' Exhibit Ta-10,- County Criminal Court Place 1.- She feels that she lost because she - could not convince Anglos to vote for her. She also believes that she could«not win if she had Anglo opposition because of the Anglo vote. - rv ; ■ : . ,,r,. . .;m,, ... . 1. -.Judge Hicks testified that implementation ; of single member districts in Tarrant County Jiad .immediate effects. .Before the districts went into effect, only two Blacks had been elected to School Trustee positions. Since single member districts were implemented, two Blacks and one Hispanic have consistently been 't j f r on 43 Trustees. Two Blacks and one Hispanic also took office on the Fort Worth City Council as a result of single member districts being implemented for that body. Further, after single member districts were established for State Representative offices, two minorities were elected to the Texas House of Representatives.25. - r. . m.' In the five primary and general judicial elections- involving Black candidates analyzed by Dr.~Taebel, the Black choice won only once. State Defendants Exhibit D-39 pp. 1, 29, 33, 37 & 57; See Appendix B, Re-Evaluation for Tarrant County p.l* It is clear that Blacks and Anglos voted differently in these races, id. In District Court general- elections that did notr have a Black candidate, the oandidate preferred by Black voters won three (3) of five (5) times. Id. D-39 pp. 13, 17, 21, 25 & 61; Re-Evaluation at 1-2': ~-In-.three other ̂ judicial -general elections the-candidate of choice of the Black community won all three times. Id. D-39 pp. 9, 49 &-65? -Re-Evaluation at 2. Two of the three were Appellate Court elections, while the third involved the County Court at Law. Id. The candidate of choice also won all three primary judicial elections analyzed by Dr. Taebel. Id. D-39 pp. 5, 41 & 49.' --: After the lines were redrawn in 1982, one minority has been elected; rr "- 44 19. Bexar County. -a. Dr. Brischetto based his analysis of Bexar County on Spanish surnamed registered voter data by precinct from the office of the Secretary of State of Texas. Dr. Brischetto testified that this data was the closest measure of actual registration data by precinct. Dr. Brischetto used bivariate regression analysis in Bexar County because of the very small Black population in^the County r .-i--- ------ - • - •_ - b. He analyzed six (6) general elections from 1980 to 1988 in which Hispanics opposed Anglos. See Appendix A, Plaintiffs' Exhibit- B-02. He calculated "rJ1 values for Hispanic preferred candidates between 86% and 88%.v Id. f His regression analysis shows a strong relationship between race and voting patterns in Bexar County. In all but one race, ras the percentage :of'Hispanics increased?'support for the Hispanic preferred candidate increased. Dr. Brischetto testified that the probability that 'correlation of this size would happen by .chance was much smaller '-than the generally accepted level of .05.26 • c ' • h : . - j: c. In the 1982 Barrera - Stohlhandski race, the Hispanic The significance level for each election is .0000. Plaintiffs' Exhibit B-02. Dr. Brischetto testified that there was practically no [or zero] probability that these correlations would happen by chance. 45 candidate, Roy Barrera, Jr. running as a Republican, received very little Hispanic support. The correlation coefficient for Mr. Barrera was -80%. Id. As the percentage of Hispanics in voting precincts increased, Barrera's support decreased. Barrera received approximately 17% of. the Hispanic vote. Id. He was not the preferred candidate of Hispanic voters in Bexar. County. o :l .. •::i■ d.;..... The lowest r : squared for - these r analyses is approximately 64% for Mr. Stohlhandski, an Anglo running as a Democrat in the 1982 Barrera - Stohlhandski race. The highest r squared was 77% for the 1986 Cisneros - Peeples race. This demonstrates inBexar County that race explains at least 64% to 77% of the variance in voting in all six elections. e. Dr. Brischetto's background and homogeneous precinct analysis confirm the fact that iHispanics are politically cohesive in Bexar County. Dr. Brischetto lives in Bexar County and analyzed election behavior there in a Section 2 case involving the San Antonio River Authority.-., Plaintiffs' Exhibit B-16v- There he found polarized voting along racial and ethnic lines in a nonpartisan election involving low profile campaigns. Dr. Brischetto's homogeneous precinct analysis shows that Hispanic voters in Bexar County gave 73% to 93% of their votes to the preferred candidate of Hispanic voters in every election. 46 f. Dr. Brischetto controlled for absentee votes in 1988 elections based on allocated data from the Bexar County Elections Administrator. He testified that the additional data did not • • change his conclusions. ..... • g. Plaintiffs presented evidence from four hypothetical districts carved out of existing precincts for each of the six elections analyzed.- Plaintiffs' Exhibits B-12a - 12e. Almost ~' always, the Hispanic candidate who actually lost at-large would have won if he had run from a hypothetical majority Hispanic y ̂ a ., district. _.__In one case, the 1988 Republican primary between^ Arellano and White, the Hispanic^-candidate won in cnly three of the.-.wr, = , four hypothetical districts.~ Id. B-12e. . ■ • v--- — , — *na h. In the 1988 Arellano — White Republican primary for the I 150th District Courts Arellano * ran...as jianii appointed Incumbent. <- ross White,.an Anglo, decided late in the campaign that he did not want to run for office. .. It was too -late to withdraw, but he endorsedro get. his opponent Arellano. White nevertheless -won. Adam Serrata Judae testified in his deposition that this was a classic example of r.-iw.: polarized voting. Deposition Summary of Adam Serrata ("Serrata Depo. ") . . hss i. Other testimony suggests the same conclusion. J u d g e .. Anthony Ferro testified in his deposition that he -ran for County ’.‘.n-rr. 47 Court at Law four times in Bexar County. He won two races were he did not have Anglo opposition. Deposition Summary of Anthony Ferro ("Ferro Depot") at 1. Both Messrs. Serrata and Ferro testified that it is not possible to get elected in Bexar ^County to the position of District-Judge without Anglo support. Id.; Serrata v Depo. — . - • -u: --. - j .- Dr/ Brischetto further concluded that the-Anglo bloc , vote in Bexar County is sufficiently strong to defeat^the Hispanic - community's preferred candidate. In the six elections analyzed, th the preferred candidate of Hispanic voters won only once. See 1988 Mireles - Bowles race. The Y intercept reflects that non-Hispanic support for the Hispanic preferred candidates was between 18% and 35%. It is' not surprising that the one Hispanic candidate of choice who won also received_the highest percent of Anglo cross over votes. -r‘ >.1-, k. Judge Ferro testified that he has only been able to get w elected when he did not have an Anglo opponent. Ferro Depo. Judge Paul Canales testified that voters in Bexar County pay attention to the race/ethnicity of candidates in-judicial elections. - l. The effect of fairly drawn single member districts has had a positive effect on minority election results in Bexar County. Immediately after the creation of single member districts in White - - 48 v. Reoester. Hispanics were elected to the Texas House of Representatives. further, immediately after the City Council implemented single member districts, the number of minorities on the San Antonio City Council increased. Serrata Depo.; Ferro Depo. • m. Whites and Hispanics voted differently in 28 of the 29 njn e t judicial elections involving Hispanic candidates in Bexar County. -,_j State Defendants Exhibit D-07 pp.. 2-5U.-18; See Appendix B , Re- - Evaluation for Bexar County p.1-2. In the twelve general elections analyzed by Dr. Taebel, the Hispanic preferred candidate won three .sLr-r (3) times. Id. D-07 pp. 4, ’5, 7, 15-16, 18-21 & 25-28; Re- Evaluation at 1. Only one of those was a District Court election. Id. D-07 at 5. The Hispanic choice won six (6) out of 18 primary cv ~ . elections. Id. Re-Evaluation a.t 1-2. ̂ -- ■ r ' J ' v— — '■ ^ • • ■ • j . « . j • - - i v 4 ‘•■20 .anTravis County. ' r ? • -nv/ed. Sc.a.r.ppDr. Brischetto analyzed othree (3) 1988 countywide rved judicial elections in Travis County: one primary election for the one 345th District Court and two County Court, at Law general elections. t.;- Dr. Brischetto testified that there has only been one Hispanic - Anglo District Court election between 1978 and 1988. . In that race, the Anglo won. Plaintiffs' Exhibit Tr-11; Testimony of Jim Coronado. Mr. David Richards testified that the Republican party nonov ! ■ i ; ; : n t | - v i'i i i i • 49 is insignificant in Travis County. Hence, Mr. Richards concluded that the Democratic Primary is the true testing ground for opposed candidates in judicial elections. b. Dr. Brischetto used Hispanic population data by precinct from the 1980 Census reconfigured +to 1988 'precinct boundaries. He based his polarization and homogenous precinct analysis ton total population figures for Blacks, Hispanics and Anglos in approximately 178 precincts ̂ (virtually ali^of t-them) in the County. Amalia Rodriguez Mendoza^ the Travis County Registrar of Voters, provided the data. — c » Dr. Brischetto 's~multivariate or multiple regression analysis shows that the Hispanic community in Travis County is politically cohesive, when the effect of the Black vote is considered. Dr. Brischetto calculated "Partial r" valges~of -84%, 85% and 90% respectively for the three judicial elections analyzed. See Appendix A, Plaintiffs' Exhibit Tr-02. The Hispanic preferred candidate received at least 77% of the Hispanic vote ‘ in one election27 , 93% in the Democratic Primary election and 95% in the Garcia - Phillips race. Id. The likelihood that the estimates would occur by chance (significance level) was much smaller than rThe 1988 County Court at Law race between Castro Kennedy and Hughes. Castro is the Hispanic preferred candidate. Plaintiffs' Exhibit Tr-02. 50 .05. Testimony of Dr. Robert Brischetto. Dr, Brischetto's regression analysis shows a strong relationship between race and voting patterns in Travis County. : ~- • y d. The homogenous precinct analysis for Travis County establishes 4a similar pattern. Plaintiffs' Exhibit Ta-02. It? shows ■that Hispanic voters gave more than 63% arid as high as 90% of their votes to the Hispanic preferred candidate. e. Dr. Brischetto also reanalyzed the same three elections using bivariate regression analysis based upon voter registration data. See Appendix J A, -Plaintiffs' Exhibit ~'Tr-19. These correlation figures are very close to those -calculated using multivariate analysis, and clearly reflect strong correlation;- See Finding of Fact 16.b. last sentence. With either data set," Dr. Brischetto's analysis shows that as the percentage of Hispanics in precincts increase, so does support for the Hispanic, preferred candidate. The r squared figures all exceed approximately 64%.- - 1 f. The Hispanic preferred candidates took the majority of the votes from Plaintiffs' hypothetical districts even though they lost countywide. Plaintiffs' Exhibit-Tr-12. g. The State Defendants were concerned that Plaintiff's did not analyze Statewide judicial or legislative elections. See Cross examination of Jim Coronado; Cross examination of Dr. 51 Brischetto. Dr. Brischetto testified that Plaintiffs focused on local elections when that data was available and these elections were not reached in Plaintiffs' hierarchy of priority. He further testified that the elections analyzed were the closest in nature to District Court elections. Dr. Brischetto felt that once he had three elections he could determine-a sufficient pattern.,- - This Court agrees;28 - ; ... h.- The State Defendants attack Dr. Brischetto-'s analysis ■ w * on the ground that he did not take “into account: (1) absentee buoPi voting;-and ( 2 ) the number of non-United States citizens, Blacks • ■ or Anglos with Spanish surnames “in Travis County. urivr Dr. Brischetto;controlled for absentee-votes in 1988 t-i elections in Bexar County. He testified that Bexar County had the highest absentee voting than anywhere in the State.r JHe_;concluded:~c -ir. in his Bexar County analysis that absentee voting did not change >.\i lv his conclusions. See Findings of Fact 19.f. This Court: .finds ui that the results would not be significantly different in Travis5 panic County. .,. . .. . . . a j♦ Spanish surname counts were based on persons who - identified themselves in Census counts as being of Spanish origin. 28 •Ginqles itself relied on only analysis of three elections in Senate District 22 (1978, 1980 & 1982) and House District 21 (1978, 1980 & 1982). Ginqles. 478 U.S. at Appendix A. 52 While the Court recognizes that the Census definition of Spanish origin includes many parallel ethnic backgrounds, this Court finds that the probability of overlap of Black and/or White voters is very slight. _ ... . k. Finally, the State Defendants claim that the analyses of the ‘ Democratic' Primary between Judge Gallardo (the Hispanic preferred candidate) and McCown is misleading. Witnesses for the State Defendants testified that Judge Gallardo lost because he was a bad judge. Depositions of Becky Beaver & Fernando Rodriguez; Testimony ! of David Richards. "While this may be true, under controlling law, it is the correlation between- the race of the voter and the selection of certain candidates that is .crucial to this Court's inquiry. Gingles, 478 U.S. at 63. l. The Court further finds that the Anglo bloc vote in Travis County is ̂ sufficiently ̂ strong to defeat the minority community's preferred candidate. The preferred candidate of; Hispanic voters lost each election analyzed. Two of the Hispanic preferred candidates received approximately one third Anglo cross over votes. Plaintiffs' Exhibits' Tr-02; Tr-19. The other candidate received only approximately 14% Anglo cross over votes. Id., Tr-02. m. In each of the hypothetical districts, the candidate 53 of choice of the Hispanic community received the most "votes; in two districts the candidate of choice received a majority. n. Dr. Taebel analyzed the same three elections analyzed by Plaintiffs' expert.■ State Defendants Exhibit D-08; See Appendix B, Re-Evaluation for Travis County p. 1. .His analysis confirms that in these three races whites and Hispanics voted differently and the Hispanic preferred candidate lost each time. Id. D-08 pp. 33, 37, 41... TheoHdspanic preferred-candidate -fared - better in Appellate elections winning one primary ,runoff and two general elections. .Id. D-08 pp. 25, 29 & 45. Hispanic and white voters did not vot-edifferentiyrinr these three election contests but did so in ■ the '1984 and:: 1986 Democratic _ primary for County Court numbers 1 and 7. Id. D-08 pp. 33 & 41* . , . 21- Jefferson Countv l co s , a •' Brischetto used Black population data by precinct' from the 1980 Census for all of his analysis in Jefferson County.. He testified that population had changed -very little in Jefferson County. Plaintiffs'_Post Trial Brief at 95. Only those precincts that retained unchanged boundary lines were used in his analysis. b. He analyzed five (5) Democratic primary elections, two (2) Democratic primary runoffs and the 1988 Presidential Democratic 54 primary. See Appendix A, Plaintiffs' Exhibit J-02 pp. 1-2. Four of the five primaries analyzed involved Justice of the Peace contests. The fifth was :for a' County Court at Law post. ; Dr. Taebel did not analyze any of these elections. State Defendants' Exhibit D—09» Each of the Justice of the Peace election precincts covered at least an entire city which are the-largest urban areas of the County. Precinct 1 covers the City of Beaumont, Texas." Precinct 2 covers the City of Port Arthur, Texas. Tom Hanna testified in his Deposition that running for1 office from these precincts is equivalent to running at large from the two cities. Brischetto testified that'there-were no primary or general- elections for District Court seats that pitted Black against Anglo. c. Dr. Brischetto^used multivariate regression analysis in his examination of Jefferson County separating out the effect- of the Hispanic votei He calculated "Partial r" values between 66% and 97% for the judicial primaries and runoff elections analyzed. Id. The partial r for the Black preferred candidate in the Democratic Presidential Primary, Jesse Jackson, was 97%. Id. The livelihood that the estimates would occur by chance (significance level) was much smaller than .05* Id. Dr. Brischetto's regression analysis shows a strong relationship between race and voting patterns in Jefferson County. The Black preferred candidate 55 received a clear majority of Black community support in at least five of the seven judicial contests analyzed. Id., multivariate and homogeneous analysis for 1972 to 1978. In the 1982 primary for Justice of the Peace, Precinct * 1, Blace- 2 , the Black preferred candidate Cannon received approximately 51% of the Black community vote, while two opponents split the remaining 49%. ' ~d. In one instance, the Black preferred candidate did not receive . a. .majority,; of the Black community vote. In the 1986- Democratic Primary for Justice of the Peace, Precinct 1, Place 2, the Black preferred candidate, Wilmer Roberts, only received 47% of the Black"vote ^40% in homogeneous precincts). The other 53% (60% in-homogeneous precincts^ was split between four candidates. John Paul Davis, a Black attorney from Jefferson Country, testified in his ̂ Deposition that he supported the:white candidate because she was the most liberal at the time he made his choice and Mr. Roberts announced late-in the race. ' e * The r squared figures range from 44% for one race (1972- runoff) to 94% for three races (1978 & 1982 judicial primaries and 1988 Presidential primary). It is clear from Dr. Brischetto's analysis of voting patterns in Jefferson County that as the percentage of Blacks increase in a precinct, the percentage of support for the Black preferred candidate increases. 56 . f. Dr. Brischetto examined the votes cast in a hypothetical district for the 1978 Democratic Primary between Mr. Davis and an Anglo opponent. The analysis shows that Davis received more votes in each precinct and a majority of the vote in the district.. Plaintiffs' Exhibit J-09. g. State Defendants argue fhat the three races analyzed in 1982-, -1986 and 1988 either show no racial polarization or a victory for the Black preferred candidate. This Court disagrees. As the Court discussed, supra. the Black preferred candidate was supported -by a majority of the Black community in the 1982 Democratic Primary. See Finding of Fact 21.c. With-reference to the 1986 Democratic Primary, the Court finds that the State Defendants' evidence is -not conclusive that the Black community either would not have cohesively supported Wilmer Roberts had he announced earlier or that the Black community cohesively, supported some other candidate. Plaintiffs' Exhibit J-02; Finding of Fact 21.d. rThe Court further finds that while Jesse Jackson.may have carried Jefferson County in the 1988 Presidential Primary, that fact alone is a far cry from whether the Black preferred candidate is successful;in Jefferson County. n. 1 h. State Defendants further point to the 1984 Democratic Primary between John Paul Davis and Donald Floyd, both of whom are 57 Black, to demonstrate that the Black community is not politically cohesive in Jefferson County. While Mr. Floyd won the primary and the election, Defendants did not demonstrate that the Black community split their vote or failed to support one candidate-over another. - -- rne . i. This Court finds on the basis of. the foregoing discussion'^that the Black community in Jefferson County votes cohesively in judicial elections. ___ ____ _______________ j. In at least f ive iof \the seven elections analyzed it is clear that blacks and whites voted differently and the preferred candidate of Black voters lost every time. The Black communities candidate of choice received 25% to 41% of the Anglo cross over': vote in election years 1972 and 1974. The percentage dropped thereafter to a low of 2% for Wilmer Roberts in 1986 and arrange of 7% to 10% for the other two judicial races. Plaintiffs' Exhibit' J-02. Although the Black preferred candidate received 70% to 93% of the Black community vote in five of the seven elections analyzed they still lost countywide. k. The Court finds that the Anglo bloc vote in Jefferson County is sufficiently strong to defeat the minority community's preferred candidate. l. “No Black attorney has run for the position of District 58 Judge in Jefferson County. Deposition Summary of John Paul Davis. Mr. Davis feels that Black lawyers do not run for the-‘office because of the high probability of defeat. Id. m. Implementation of single member legislative and Commissioner's Court districts resulted in the election of Black preferred candidates to those positions. Deposition Summary of Thomas Hanna. • • •• ■ r " .. • = • - ’ 22 s Lubbock Countv. - - : ; l. . n. : a.' Dr. Brischetto used population data from the 1980 Census.precinct boundaries-for his analysis in-Lubbock County. He initially based his review on 30 ofi 76 precincts which had not changed between 1980 and the relevant elections analyzed He analyzed additional precincts that he was able to reconfigure, by use of Census block maps'.29 * b. Dr. Brischetto relied on appellate judicial contests. He testified that no relevant local judicial contests involved a minority opposed by an Anglo candidate. He further testified that he did not analyze local Justice of the Peace races because the He analyzed 48 of the 76 total precincts in the 1986 primary, 44 of 7 6 in -the 1986 runoff, 48 in bhe 1986 general election and 47 in the 1988 general election. See Plaintiffs' Post Trial Brief at 109 n. 55. 59 Justice of the Peace precincts were not at least as.:large as a major city. He analyzed two (2) Supreme Court general elections, two (2) Democratic primary elections and two (2) Democratic primary runoffs. . See Appendix.A, Plaintiffs' Exhibit L-02, pp. 1-3.^ - lC. . Dr. Brischetto used bivariate, multivariate regression and homogeneous precinct analysis in his examination of Lubbock County. The bivariate analysis produced correlation coefficients in excess of 87% with a corresponding r square figure of 76%. id. He used multiple regression analysis to show that Blacks and Hispanics vote together. This analysis revealed that the two groups favored the same candidates in each elect ion^r^JTd..T.TTThe lowest-partial r calculated for Hispanic voters was 78% in the 1986 Democratic Runoff for Supreme Court place 4. The lowest partial r for Black-voters was>56% in the 1986 Democratic Primary for the same Court prior to the runoffrelection. The likelihood that the estimatesMwould occur by chance (significance level)-, was- much smaller than .05. Id. Dr. Brischetto's regression and homogeneous precinct analysis ..shows a strong relationship between race/ethnicity and voting patterns in Lubbock County. The combined minority preferred candidate received a clear majority of combined minority community support in each election analyzed. Id. " d. It is clear from Dr. Brischetto's analysis of voting 60 patterns in Lubbock County that as the percentage of minorities increase in a precinct, the percentage of support for the minority preferred candidate increases. This Court finds that Blacks and Hispanics are cohesive as -a group in Lubbock" County judicial elections i - ' - i . ... : r ' . . ...: ; - f ;' e. * ' Maria Luisa Mercado, a Hispanic attorney from Lubbock- County, testified that Blacks and Hispanics work together in the County on many significant issues. Deposition Summary of Maria Luisa Mercado ("Mercado Depoi1"). f. The State Defendants point to the 1984 race for Justice of the -Peace -between Sedeno, a Hispanic candidate running as a Democrat, - against a Black‘Republican candidate/McKinley Shephard to illustrate that Blacks and Hispanics do not vote cohesively as a group. The Black boxes voted for Mr. Shephard. Mercado Depo. at 2. ; Dr.'-'Brischetto testified that this race was not analyzed because the Justiceeof /the Peace precinct in question split the City in half . ’• "It did not include a large majority of the County or a large metropolitan area." Testimony of Dr. Robert Brischetto. This Court finds that the Sedeno - Shephard race does not illustrate that Blacks and Hispanics do not vote cohesively in at- large judicial elections. The Court further finds that Blacks and Hispanics opposing each “other says less about the collective 61 cohesiveness of the two groups when either opposes an Anglo.3® -------- g. ' Minorities and whites voted differently in each election analyzed. However,-the preferred minority candidate won on two .of six occasions. Plaintiffs' Exhibit L-02, p. 2, 1986 Primary for Court of Criminal Appeals, Place 1 and 1586 Runoff;ty-?Vsr- In one of those two races^i the minority preferred" candidate received 46% of the Anglo cross over votes from homogeneous white precincts of 9 0 % to_100% white population.. Id., 1986 Runoff. The minority communities candidate of choice received 39%, 40% and 41% ;p .. . of the Anglo cross oveir vote, respectively, in three other elections:andLstill lost.. Id.,-1986 General Flection, 1988 General- - Election and ; 1986 Democratic Primary, ^Supreme Court, Place 4 , v ’ respectively. The Court finds that the Anglo bloc vote in Lubbock County is sufficiently strong to defeat the minority community*smemnei.' preferred candidate. h. Defendants argue that Justice Gonzalez may possibly have received more Anglo votes in the 1986 Democratic Runoff with 36% than either of his three opponents, assuming the remaining 64% of the Anglo votes were evenly split. Defendants conclude on that basis that Anglos did not vote overwhelmingly against Justice ■ : State Defendants further point to Hispanic - Black state representative races in Lubbock County in 1984 and 1986. 62 Gonzalez. This Court disagrees. Assuming arguendo that Defendants assumption is correct, the Court finds that Anglo's did - overwhelmingly vote against Justice Gonzalez even if they did not vote overwhelmingly for a different candidate. " - ' / v y ” Cci~-u‘ Dr. Brischetto testified concerning some countywide > ^ elections in Jones v. City of Lubbock. 727 F.2d 364, 383 (5th C i r . - - - 1984). His conclusions in Jones corroborate his testimony in this • ~ • C A S S • j - •— «w : c i l ia X y Z 6 u LWO ( A j iSupTHUit- {.’0*1 T »’■ ci J. Ms. Mercado testified that - Black and Hispanic. " ;; candidates have not been successful in at large elections. Mercado ---- Depo. -She'testified that:she-carried all minority boxes and zero Anglo boxes in her 1978 bid for City Council. Id. Blacks and Hispanics have been successful running for School Board and County Commissionerfs positions after the implementation of single member---the districts Id. ■. cm.j--̂ c.iiworiv gi i— ■. ■ ■ k :_ i: -i~v-. t — . l-n k;j - Dr/ Taebel only analyzed two uof the same Appellate ̂ panic Court contests analyzed by DrBrischetto.ys. State Defendants' ntior Exhibit D-10 pp. 17 •& 25. In both/ minorities and whites voted "in differently and the minority choice lost. - Similar results were - - j. -'1 obtained in two County Court at Law General Elections analyzed by Dr. Taebel; Jd. D-10 pp. 5 & 9. However, in those two races there if was no ' minority candidate. See Appendix B, Re-Evaluation of for 63 Lubbock County. 23. Ector County. - ; — .< “ ■ i?- a. Dr. Brischetto used population data from the 1980 Census precinct boundaries to analyze 24 of the 31 total precinctsr- in Ector County which had not changed between 1980 and the relevant elections analyzed. As in Lubbock County, he relied on appellate ; judicial contests. He analyzed two (2) Supreme Court General Elections and two (2) Democratic Primary Elections. See Appendix A, Plaintiffs’ Exhibit EP-02, pp. 1-2.TT He testified that "no County or District Court contests involved a minority opposed by an Anglo-: _ candidate. - -- ----- .— --- -- b. iDr. Brischetto used the same statistical analysis used in Lubbock County. Bivariate analysis was used to separate the white and aninority votes. 'Testimony of ‘Dr. Robert Brischetto. Multivariate analysis was used to separate the/Black and Hispanic . vote. Id.— The bivariate analysis produced correlation . coefficients in excess of 78% with a corresponding r square figure of 61%. Plaintiffs' Exhibit E-02, pp. 1-2. Multiple regression analysis shows that Blacks and Hispanics vote together. This - - analysis revealed that the two groups favored the same candidates in each election. Id. The lowest partial r calculated for 64 Hispanic voters was 46% in the 1986 Democratic Primary for Supreme Court Place 4. The lowest partial r for Black voters was 60% in the 1988 General Election for Supreme Court, Place 3. The likelihood.that the estimates would occur by chance (significance level)- was 1 much smaller than .05. Testimony of Dr. Robert Brischetto. <«<.••! _ .j- _ , w . ;'-a ai - ̂ c ^ ~ rA clear majority of the combined minority community supported-_the . .preferred minority • candidate in each- election analyzed. Even in the race for Supreme Court, Place 4, ; Justice Gonzalezreceived 42% of the Hispanic vote and 65% of the Black community-vote. Id. Dr. Brischetto's regression and homogeneous precinct analysis shows" '• a •/n strong relationship between race/ethnicity and voting patterns in Ector County. The lowest level of combined support is reflected as .50% in the Democratic Primary for }Supreme Court, Place 4. Id., Homogeneous precinct analysis, p. 2. Dr. 'Brischetto attributes the lack, of stronger minority group cohesiveness in that race to the iact that one of the candidates in the ^Primary was > from Ector County. Id.. Candidate Gibson. However, in the General Elections for 1986 and 1988, homogeneous precincts of 80% or more combined minority gave more than 80% of their vote to the minority preferred candidate. d. :it is clear from Dr. Brischetto's analysis of voting 65 patterns in Ector County that as the percentage of minorities increase in a precinct, the percentage of support for the minority preferred candidate increases. This Court finds that Blacks and Hispanics are cohesive as a group in Ector County judicial elections. : • • ... . c OU L̂ VLiU-’ . e. Minorities and whites voted differently in each election analyzed. Minorities supported the minority preferred candidates'in much, greater percentages than Anglo voters. The preferred minority candidate won only one race analyzed. See Plaintiffs^ Exhibit"^-02; ;p:? 2, 1986 Primary for Court of Criminal Appeals, Place 1. — -- — ■■ ..... ■ . f M i n o r i t i e s have been elected to Justice of the Peace and County Commissioner's positions from predominately minority precincts. Deposition Summary of Lawrence Leo Barber ("Barber Depo. ") . : ’• ’ -l-iini: i £ ’ * • .;i . . r. - . r r.ir- ■ :-! g. -T 'Dr. Taebel*s analysis of‘the same two Appellate Court contests confirmed Dr.?BriSchetto's analysis. State Defendants' Exhibit D - U pp. 21 & 37. In both, minorities and whites voted differently and the minority choice lost. Dr. Taebel further analyzed five (5) General Election judicial contests that did not involve positing an Anglo against a minority. Id. pp. 5, 9 , 13, 29 & 33. Minorities and whites voted differently and the minority 66 preferred candidate lost in three of the five. See Appendix B, Re- Evaluation of Ector County. . 24. Midland County. a. Dr. Brischetto based his analysis on population data from the 1980 Census.= He analyzed 11 of the .36 total precincts for 1986 and : 10 of 36 for 1988 that had boundaries that had not changed.. =... He was also able, • to reconfigure boundaries for 22 precincts in 1986 and 23 in 1988. Testimony of Dr. Robert Brischetto. He relied on appellate races and one Justice of the Peace race since there have been no local - countywide-election contests: in which minorities opposed Anglos. The Justice of the Peace race encompassed the entire City of Midland. Testimony of Aquilla Watson. He analyzed three elections in.-“total. See Appendix A,zPlaintiffs' Exhibit M-02. Dr. Taebel did not analyze the Justice-of the. Peace contest. b. Dr. Brischetto used bivariate regression analysis in Midland County. The bivariate analysis produced correlation coefficients in excess of 89% with a corresponding r square figure of 79%. Id. Better than 85% of the combined minority voted for the minority preferred candidate in each race... Id. The likelihood that the estimates would occur by chance (significance level) was 67 much smaller than .05. Testimony of Dr. Robert Brischetto. Dr. Brischetto's regression and homogeneous precinct analysis shows a ~ strong relationship between race/ethnicity and voting patterns in Midland County. ... c. It is clear from Dr. Brischetto's analysis of voting patterns in Midland County that as the percentage of minorities -. increase in aprecinct, the percentage of support for the minority H n c preferred candidate increases. This Court finds that Blacks and-- uwo Hispanics are cohesive as a group in Midland County judicial - ••• elections^ ---v - K- . L io n s : 1 : * - ' • ■_ d. It is further clear that minorities and whites voted differently in each election analyzed. - Minorities supported the minority preferred candidates in much greater percentages than Anglo voters. The preferred minority candidate lost each race analyzed despite the large percentages--of combined minority support. Id. L - : e. This analysis is supported by Dr. Brischetto' s analysis and and testimony in Lulac v. Midland ISP. 648 F.Supp. 596, 600 (W.D. Tex. 1986), aff'd. 812 F.2d 1491 (5th Cir. 1987), vacated 829 F.2d 546. Plaintiffs' Exhibit M-05. : f* Aquilla Watson testified that she received very few Anglo votes. She only carried four (4) of the thirty-six (36) 68 precincts. Only one of the four included some Anglo cross over votes. Testimony of Aquilla Watson. 15 Minorities have been elected- to the School Board and County Commissioner's Court from predominately single member districts. Id. : . . , ' gi: Dr. Taebel analyzed four (4) judicial contests iniwhich a minority candidate ran against one or more white candidates. State Defendants' Exhibit D-12 pp. 9y 21, 25 & 29. Minorities and whites^voted differently and the minority choice lost in the two General Elections analyzed, ,Id. pp. 25 & 29. The minority choice also lost in both primary elections, but there is some indication that minorities and some white voters “voted the same. Id;- pp;- 9 & 21. ■ See Appendix BVrRe-Evaluation of Midland County. z .7 \ Q i. r.V ff i (•."! f * • :n . 2.' ACCESS TO THE POLITICAL PROCESS c r ! hr H - er vi i.c ■ History of Discrimination -ding their doe 25. The effect of past discrimination against Blacks and Hispanics in areas such as education,.: employment and health in most of the Counties in question is either well chronicled or undisputed. See, e.q. , Lulac v. Midland ISP. 648 F.Supp.^ 596, 600 (W.D. Tex. 1986), aff'd,-812 F.2d 1491 {5th Cir. 1987), vacated 829 F • 2d 546; Campos v, City of Baytown.'840 F.2d 1240, 1243 (5th Cir.- 69 1988), reh'q denied. 849 F.2d 1240, cert, denied. _ _ U.S. ___ ( 1989); Lipscomb v. Jonsson. 459 F.2d 335 (5th Cir. 19.72); Graves v. Barnes. 343 F.Supp. 704, 725 n. 15, 730-34 (W.D. Tex. 1972), rev'd in part and remanded sub nom. White v. Regester. 412 U.S. 755 (1973), on remand, 378 F.Supp. 640, 644 (1974); Terrazas v. Clements. 581 F.Supp. 1329, 1334 (N.D. Tex. 1984); United States v. Texas Ed. Aqcv.. Etc., 564 J . 2d 1£2. 163 (5th Cir. 1977), reh'q denied. 579 F.2d 910 (1978), cert, denied. 443 U.S. -915 (1979); ; Blackshear Residents Organization v. Housing ^uth. of City of Austin, i 347 F.Supp. 1138 (W.D. Tex. 1971); Jones v. City of Lubbock, 727 F.2d 364, J83 . . ( 5fth . Cir. 1984); United -States v. CRUCIAL, 722 f.2D 1183, 1185 (5th Cir. 1983). See also Plaintiffs 1 •• : • a ' r i iand Plaintif f-Intervenors Exhibits reflecting ̂ s o c i a l stratification. • . s. • v r̂ -v \~r,-y ;;y - 26.i This history touched upon many-aspects of the Jives :gf minorities' in the Counties in question including their access to and participation in the.democratic system governing this State and their socio-economic status. "The administration of -justice in Texas was overwhelmingly dominated by Anglo males in 1968, and the overall pattern [had] changed very little" by 1978. Plaintiffs * General Exhibit ("Gen") 02, Texas: The State of Civil Rights (Ten Years Later, 1968-1978^, A Report of the Texas Advisory 70 Committee “to the United States Commission on Civil Rights at 22 (1980); City of Port Arthur. Texas v. United States, et al.. 517 F.Supp 987, 1020 (D.D.C. 1981) (three judge court), aff'd. 459 U.S. 159 (1982). ....... --.. — - -- Enhancement 27. Candidates for District Court must run for a specific Judicial District Court seat. This is equivalent to a numbered post system . 31 District Judges must be nominated in the primary by a majority of the votes. ’ ’ '“This provision insures that essentially white-voting-- • ~ ----- majorities have a 'second shot' at [minority] candidates who have failed to muster a majority of •" the votes in the first election. Time and again, in election after election, minority candidates win a plurality in the first election, only to lose the runoff in highly racially polarized voting. " y J 7 u U; Testimony of Dr. Charles ’Cbtrelif-atT-491, HearingsntBefore the Subcommittee on Constitutional Rights; of the Committee on~ the Judiciary, United States Senate (94th Cong. 1st Sess.) S. 407, S. 903, S. 1409, S. 1443 (1975); Plaintiffs' Exhibit Gen-03 at 491. "A numbered-post system requires a candidate to declare for a particular seat on a [Governmental body. The candidate then runs only against other candidates who have declared for that position. The voters then have one vote for that seat. The system prevents the use of bullet, or single shot, voting. Campos. 840 F •2d at 1242 n. 1 [citing Gingles, 478 U.S. 38-9 nn. 5 & 6 ]. 71 Finally, the size of at least five of the nine target counties further enhance the problems that minority candidates face when they seek office. Plaintiffs' Exhibit Tr-15 shows that Harris, Dallas, Tarrant, Bexar and Travis ;Counties have very large populations. See also Plaintiffs' Exhibit P-T D-4. ... r Slating •. t ?, • - - . 28. Slating has been defined as the creation of a package or slate of candidates, before filing for office, by an organization"with-sufficient strength to make the election merely a stamp of approval::of the,pre-ordained candidate group. Overton. 871 F.2d at 534. Dr. Wiser depicted the Republican Party in Dallas County as a white-dominant slating group. This.Court finds that such characterization is at odds; with the governing law and-; facts of this case. Plaintiffs and Plaintiff-Intervenprs did not present- evidence of slating in Harris, Tarrant, Bexar, Travis, Jefferson, Lubbock, Ector and Midland Counties. 7 7 Racial Appeals , _ r.. r 29. Plaintiff-Intervenor for Dallas County, Joan Winn White," argued that racial appeals were injected into her 1980 judicial race against Charles Ben Howell when an advertisement he 72 ran made reference to his opponent (Ms; White) as the "affirmative action appointee." Plaintiffs Exhibit P-I D-30. The Court notes and Ms. White testified that the term "affirmative action" is used in reference to sex as well as race. The Court finds that there is nothing inherently racist about referring to '-an affirmative 1 action judicial appointment. 30. - Plaintiff-Intervenors from Dallas County also argue that racial appeals were inserted into the 1986 election between Royce West and John Vance and the 1988 Republican Primary between -... Larry Baraka and Brook Busby. This Court agrees."' In the West - Vance race, Mr. Vance- 7 made a racial appeal • by inserting his ---- opponent's picture in a campaign advertisement financed by Hr. Vance's campaign. In the Baraka — Busby race, Ms. Busby campaigned with literature pointing out that her opponent was a Black Muslim, ■'•'toys Plaintiffs and Plaintiff-Intervenors did not present evidence of racial appeals in the" remaining Counties at - issue * - Electoral Success 31. Since 1980, seventeen Blacks have run for State District Court Judge in Harris County. Only 2 (approx: 12%) won. ' o: Plaintiffs' Exhibit H 07. Seven Blacks have opposed Anglos in District Court General Elections In Dallas County and won only two -~ 73 elections (29%) . Plaintiffs'-Exhibit D-09. However, neither of these .candidates was the candidate of choice of the Black community. Only one Hispanic candidate of choice won in Bexar County in six Hispanic -Anglo elections. Plaintiffs' ExhibitB- 11. The Black community's preferred choice achieved the District Court bench only once ...out ̂ of three elections.. when ^Blacks ran against Anglos in Tarrant County. Plaintiffs' Exhibit Ta-07. Only one Hispanic candidate ever ran against an Anglo .for a District Judge seat in Travis County. The Hispanic candidate lost. Plaintiffs' Exhibit Tr-11. No minority candidate has run for the office, of District Court Judge in Jefferson County. John Paul Davis testified at his deposition that the at-large ̂ system discourages eligible Black attorneys from running because the chance of success is^ so slim. At least! three, Black attorneys sought appointment to dthe District Court bench. ( Deposition Summary of John Paul Davis ("Davis Depo."). Similar testimony was elicited on behalf of Plaintiffs in Lubbock County. Mercado Depo. No minority candidate has run for District Court Judge in Lubbock, Ector or Midland County. 32. State Defendants argue that the eligible pool of minority lawyers, rather-than eligible minority voters, is the appropriate reference point for evaluating the extent of electoral 74 success. State Defendants' Exhibit D-04. The Court notes that the two cases relied upon by the State involve Title VII issues and do not address the relevant statistical pool in a S 2 case." See Richmond v, J. A. Croson Co.. 109 S.Ct. 706, 725-26 (1989); Wards Cove Packing Co. v. Atonio, 109 S.Ct. 2115^ 2121-22 (1989). State Defendants recognize that the pool of eligible lawyers is small, due in part, to historical discrimination. -The Court finds that even if there is some relationship between the low number of minority judges and the number of eligible minority lawyers, that fact does not explain why well qualified eligible minority lawyers lose judicial elections* .* -_: ___ _ __ ... ... 1 ** • ' O'- Responsiveness ■33 4 ! This Court cannot find anything in the record, ; to suggest,a lack of responsiveness on the part of?Judges in any of the Counties jin question to the particularized..needs of members of the minority community. '• v Tenuousness 34. Several reasons were offered for the maintenance of the at-large system. State Defendants and Defendant—Intervenor Wood argued that (1 ) judges elected from smaller districts would be more 75 susceptible to undue influence by organized crime; (2 ) changes in the current system would result in costly administrative-changes for District Clerk's offices; and (3) the system of specialized courts in some counties would disenfranchise all voters rights to elect judges, with jurisdiction over some matters. Plaintiff- Intervenors, HLA, allege that the at large scheme .was . adopted with the intention to discrimiante against Black voters in violation of the Fourteenth Amendment to -the-United States Constitution.- .35v Chief Justice of the Texas Supreme -Court, Thomas Phillips, testified that the purpose of Article 5, Section 7a(i) of the Texas Constitution was to create the Judicial Districts Board whicht could equalize the dockets ofi District Judges.-, - To further that goal, Article 5, Section 7a(i) requires that judges be elected from districts no smaller than a county. -Apparently, the rationale for such provision is that District Judges should not be responsible to voters over an area smaller than an area where they have primary jurisdiction. • .r- . j-r : . r 136. Plaintiff-Intervenors offered the Deposition summary of Senator Craig Washington in support of their claim that discriminatory intent was .. the focus of the legislative deliberations surrounding the passage of Section 7a(i). j The Court notes that Senator Washington sat on the Conference Committee and 76 signed the Conference Committee Report recommending the adoption of the Senate Joint-Resolution containing the exact language of Section 7a(i)Tex. S. J.'Res.; 14, 69th Leg. (1985). See Defendant Intervenor Wood's Exhibit 59. Subsequently, Senator Washington on the Senator floor voted for-the adoption of S.J. Res 14. ̂Id. The Court further notes that three Hispanic Senators votedin favor of S.J. 14: Senator Barrientos* Senator Truan and Senator Uribe. 37. Plaintiffs and Plaintiff-Intervenors have the burden to establish t.hat the at-large system is maintained on a tenuous basis as a pretext for discrimination. Overton. 871 F.2d at 535. While the Court does not JLLncLthat_ the present system is maintained on a tenuous basis as a pretext for discrimination, the Court"is not persuaded that the reasons offered for its continuation are compelling.!- v- i.<-. -j A ? . - i -1 ■ n-yo-rt o • 38 ; ^ Under a-single-member scheme or some Mother scheme Judges may be made responsible :to jvoters over an area no smaller or larger than the area where they have primary jurisdiction. This Court finds no reason why all Judges cannot exercise general jurisdiction over their geographic area of responsibility. The Court further finds that administrative - functions and ■ jury- selection could continue to be done on a countywide basis.—';" 39. Our legislative body has seen fit in the past to create 77 in some counties specialty courts. In the mind of this Court this is wrong. Judges of civil dockets or judges of criminal dockets have equal access to legislation and published opinions. They are not intellectually inferior to judges who hear civil, criminal and domestic cases. The body of law is large, but is handled capably and well by most judges _ia, this State who hear all. types i.of litigation. Lawyers specialize. Judges are capable of rendering fair, honest and just decisions without concentrating in one narrow field of law.’ i . ;07i-' ijc j.’; ; t- j no o? r r - STATE DEFENDANTS ' ANALYSIS " , : v r v • • ; ^ TT:->. ’ \ • -7 G e n e r a l r; .: f-'f-.i . l:.-’.. 7-r i ,• 40. State Defendants argue that the Supreme Courts incorporation in G i n q l e s of the Senate Report accompanying the 1982 Amendment to § 2, signals a .return to the Supreme Court's pre- Ginqles analysis in Whitcomb v. Chavis. 403 U.S 124 (1971). In Whitcomb, the Supreme Court rejected a racial vote dilution challenge to an at-large system for electing state legislators, essentially on the ground that partisan preference best accounted for electoral outcomes in Marion County, Indiana. The Court in Whitcomb concluded that there was no indication in the record of that case that Blacks were being denied access to the political 78 system.. - -----... • 41.. This Court is not convinced that the State Defendants are making the correct call. r!’ln any event, the Court ^inds that this Court's analysis of the Senate factors applicable to the present case point to the continual effects of— historical discrimination hindering the ability of minorities to participate in the political process V - ' 42. Next, State Defendants are of the opinion that there ;■ are really two questions before this Court, depending on what ̂ electoral stage 'is being analyzed. At the primary stage the question is whether the minority candidate of choice in the Democratic Primary is prevented more often than not by a" Democratic white bloc vote from being the party's nominee in the General Election. State Defendants' Post Trial Brief at 9. At the General 1 Election stage the question becomes whether there ''is a pattern of substantial' desertion from the Democratic party by white voters to vote for a Republican candidate, thereby denying victory to the minority candidate of choice. Id. at 10. This Court-finds such a distinction unimportant. Assuming the first two elements of the Ginqles test are met and the Senate factors point to vote dilution," it is unimportant whether a white bloc vote, which is sufficient - absent special circumstances - usually to defeat the minority's 79 preferred candidate, takes place at one election stage, both stages or by Democrats or Republicans. 43. The issue of partisan voting was before the Supreme Court in Gincles. The Court had no difficulty concluding that voting polarized along racial, not partisan, lines. Singles, 478 U.S. at 61-62. Party affiliation, is^s.imply;. irrelevant under the controlling law. Further, "the addition of irrelevant variables [to regression or statistical analysis] distorts the equation and yields results that are indisputably incorrect under § 2 and the Senate Report." Id. at 64. " " ' ~ ' Statistical ~ ~ * ... . 1 4 4 . : The complete data set used by Dr. Engstrora in Harris and Dallas Counties was used by Defendant's expert, Dr. Taebel for his analysis Of those Counties.. Dr♦ Taebel' s data,set for analysis, in the other_seven counties appears to be very similar. He did drop homogeneous precincts from his analysis if; there was more than a ten percent (1 0 %) change :in precinct boundary census data since the 1980 Census counts. Dr. Taebel analyzed both primary and General Elections in not only minority -Anglo contests, but also minority Republican candidates opposed to white candidates and white - white contests. He also analyzed elections in which the minority preferred Candidate ran unopposed.: This Court finds that 80 unopposed election contests and white versus white contests are not germane in this Circuit to this Court's analysis. Westweqo Citizens For Better Government v. Westweao. 872 F.2d 1201, 1208 n. 7 (5th Cir. 1989); Campos v. City of Baytown. .840 F.2d 1240, 1245 (5th Cir. 1988), reh'q denied, 849 F.2d 1240. cert, denied. ___ U.S. _____ (1989); Citizens For a Better Gretna v. City of Gretna. 834 F.2d 496, 503 (5th Cir. 1987) . - - • ---•- . ; . - - CONCLUSIONS OF LAW .... “1. This Court has jurisdiction pursuant to 28 U.S.C. § 1331, 18 U.S.C. § 1432_.and 42 .U.S.C. S-1973C. Venue is proper in this District pursuant to 28 U.S.C. § 1400(b). 1 ----- 2. It is settled in this Circuit that § 2 of the Voting Rights Act applies t o t h e judiciary. Chisom :V. Roemer. 839 F.2d 1056 (5th Cir.. 1988), cert. denied, sub nom. Chisom v. Edwards. 109 S.Ct. 310 (1989) (Chisom I). However, it isclear that at-large judicial elections may not be considered per se violative of § 2 . Furthermore, the Court holds that § 2 applies.equally as well to State District Judicial elections ns it does to appellate elections . 32 “State Defendants argue that State District Judgeships cannot_be analogized to legislative or appellate posts, which by nature are characterized by collegial decision making. While the Court recognizes that State District Judges- function as sole, 81 Standard Under The Voting Rights Act 3. In Thornburg v. Ginqles. 478 U.S. 30, 106 S.Ct. 2752, 92 L.Ed.2d 25 -(1986), the Supreme Court construed Section 2 of the-4- Voting Rights Act, as amended, to require a three-part threshold • test to demonstrate a violation of Section 2. The minority group must be able to demonstrate that: (1 ) it is sufficiently large and geographically compact to constitute a majority in a single-member - r- cz i . ! t ; r t'.r... • i\ ri i .'.-.zt . ' Tiiz n v 2 c. n ~ l h district { "Ginqles 1") ; (2) it is politically cohesive (-"Ginqles - - 2"); and (3) the white majority votes sufficiently as a bloc to enable it -in the absence of special circumstances - usually to defeat the minority's preferred candidate ("Ginqles 3"). Ginqles. i - i g i • ' T • - tt: • ' : • • • > - . 1 u r r 478 U.S. at " 50-52. Failure to establish any one of the three- - ■ ' * '• ' '■* ’ * * ’ 1 ’ ' - • • . I }•'*- v.V _T threshold criteria is fatal to Plaintiffs' case, r Overton; 871 F.2d i (- cem . co w h i r r r.hrr s • ;> . <>r pu i ;_Li at 538. us n s U . y large : I ‘ n-a-jor '■ o r - i rt.-qu r ■■r.v-.nr.s a .r. i •••> m g :c shot, provis ior.- . j l ner vot F4. However, Plaintiffs do hot achieve victory by satisfying!-' the three Ginqles factors alone. Monroe v. City of Woodville. No. r 88-4433, slip op. at 5571, (5th Cir. Aug. 30, 1989). Instead, Plaintiffs must prove under the totality of the circumstances that independent decision makers, the Court concludes that there is no indication that Chisom's extension of § 2 to judicial elections was meant to be limited to collegial judicial bodies. 82 as a result33 of the challenged at large system Plaintiffs do not have an equal opportunity to participate in the political processes and to elect candidates of their choice. Id. at 5571; Ginqles. 478 U.S. at 44. The Senate Report which accompanied,the 1982 amendment to § 2 specifies certain objective factors which typically may be relevant to a S 2 claim . 34 S.Rep. No. 97-417 (1982) (hereinafter 33 In White v. Reqester. 412 U.S. 755, 93 S.Ct. 2332, 37 L.Ed.2d (1973), the Supreme Court applied what has come to be„known as the "results test" indicating that a violation of § 2 could be proved by showing discriminatory effect alone. (Emphasis added.) Congress made clear by the 1982 amendment to § 2 that the "results test" is the relevant legal standard to be applied by this Court.- 34 Typical factors jLnclu.de-:— .... - .....- r . r - "1 . the extent of any history of official discrimination in-the state ox political subdivision that touched the right of the members of the minority group to register, to vote, or otherwise to participate in the democratic process; "2 . the extent to which voting in the elections of the state or cpoli-tical subdivision is racially polarized; ; ficc:. "3. the extent to which the state or political subdivision has used unusually large election districts^ majority vote requirements, anti-single shot provisions, or other voting practices or procedures that may enhance the opportunity for discrimination against the minority group; "4. if there is a .candidate slating process, whether, the members of the minority-group have been denied access- to that process; "5. the extent to which members of the minority group in the state or political subdivision bear the v effects - of discrimination in such areas as education, employment and health, which hinder their ability: to participate effectively in the political process; .. i : u "f> • whether political campaigns have been characterized by overt or-subtle racial appeals; "7. the extent to which members of the minority group have been elected to public office in the jurisdiction. 83 S. Rep.). This list of factors is neither comprehensive nor exclusive . 35 "There is no requirement that any particular number of factors be proved, or that a majority of them point one way or the other'. """Singles, supra. at 45 Tempting S.Rep. at 29]. . 5.-’ Singles 1 requires proof that the minority population is sufficiently large and geographically compact to constitute a majority in a single member district. Gingles. supra, at 50. To satisfy-the Gingles 1 requirement, Plaintiffs must be able to draw a single member district in which a majority of the voting age population is minority. Overton. 871 F.2d at 535. Plaintiffs have satisf ied-“this ' requirement with regard to all of the nine_ target"counties at issue in this Case. The minority population is sufficiently large and geographically compact t o ,constitute a majority in at least- one single-member district; Black, Hispanic or combined, in each, of the nine counties at issue in this case. t.‘ ! - * ri * : ' .l I '• »Ti ' 1 ; /- r i- "Additional factors that in some cases have had probative value as part of fP]laintiffs ' evidence to establish a violation are: -.ar-.r. - . : r.n. si:-::is v .. i ;; ----- _ "whether there is a significant lack of responsiveness on the part of elected officials to the particularized needs of the members of the minority group. "whether the policy underlying the state or political subdivision's use of such ... voting practice or procedure is tenuous." S.Rep. 417, 97th Cong., 2dSess. 28-29 (1982), reprinted in 1982 U.S.Code Cong. & Admin.News 177, 206-207. S. Rep. No. 97-417 (1982). 84 6 . Evidence of racially polarized voting "is the linchpin of a ection 2 vote dilution claim," Citizens For a Better Gretna v. City of Gretna, 834 F.2d 496, 499 (5th Cir. 1987) and is relevant to establishing two of the three elements set forth in the Ginales decision - the minority groups political cohesiveness (Gingles 2 ) and the ability of the white majority usually to defeat the minority's preferred candidate (Gingles 3). Westwego Citizens For Better Government v. Westwego. 872 F.2d 1201, 1207 (5th Cir. 1989) fciting:Gingles,-supra, at 56]. These factors are usually established by statistical evidence of racially polarized voting by the voters in the relevant political unit.~ X!ampos v. City of Baytown, 840 F.2d 1240, 1243 (5th Cir. 1988), reh'g d̂enied. 849 F.2d 1240, cert. denied. ____ U.S. ____ (1989). ' 7. In analyzing statistical data, the best-available data for estimating the voting behavior of ;various groupsJ in the electorate would come from exit polls conducted upon a random sample of voters surveyed as -they leave the polling place on election day, but such evidence was not introduced at trial. See Chisom v. Roemer. No. 86-4057, slip op. at 11 (E .D . La. Sep. 13, 1989) (Chisom II ̂; Defendant-Intervenor Wood's Ex. 40. The best available data for estimating the participation of various groups in the electorate is sign-in data contained in the official records 85 of registered voters. ~ Chisom II, slip op. at 12. The best indicator of participation is obtained by dividing the number of persons who signed-in to vote by the number of persons in the voting age population. Id. at 12. ....... ... ... ... 8 . Absent an exit poll, sign-in data and voting age population data, . analysts employ the bivariate - ecological regression technique to estimate the voting behavior of various groups in. the electorate . 36 Id. at 12. . . ....... 9. -riFor purposes of political cohesiveness and racially polarized voting, examining only those elections that had a minority-member as a candidate, is the proper method of analysis. Campos. 840 F.2d at 1245. In order to.^show cohesion,::t.he "proper standard is the same as Ginqles; whether the minority group together-votes in a cohesive manner for the r.minority; candidate. Id . 37 ,:In counties where-Plaintiffs proceed on behalf of a combined 36 Like the Court in Chisom II, this Court is not convinced that precise correlation between the race of voters and their voting preferences can be made on the basis of the statistical analysis presented. However, no better data is provided, and the Court has given the statistical data considerable weight. See Chisom~II7 -slip op. at~13. 37f The Court in Campos rejected the City of Baytown's argument that in order to show cohesion when there are .two minorities that make up the minority group, Plaintiffs must show first that Blacks are cohesive, next, that Hispanics are cohesive .and finally, that Blacks and Hispanics together are cohesive. Campos, 840 F.2d at 1245. prefer:“. 86 minority, if the statistical evidence is that Blacks and Hispanics together vote for the Black or Hispanic candidate, then cohesion is shown. Of course, if one part of the group cannot be expected to vote with or does not vote -with the other part, the combination is not cohesive.- id. - . ; : l h-- 10. --In evaluating the -statistics necessary for Plaintiffs to prove racial bloc voting, this Court is bound by recent Fifth Circuit^authority to consider statistical' .evidence from judicial elections and from exogenous elections. ? 8 o.'. lh».- C • ■.> ■ ce ll.. This Court is satisfied that the statistics relating to exogenous elections in the present case qualify as a sufficiently "local appraisal" to establish some degree of racial bide voting. 12. This Court concludes under the controlling law that the statistical' evidence >: furnished by the -expert witnesses j.for Plaintiffs3and Plaintiff-Intervenors to be legally competent and highly.probative. Ginqles, 478 U.S. at 52-54; Overton. 871 F.2d * See Chisom II. slip op. at 40; Citizens for a Better Gretna, 834 “F.2d at 499. "Exogenous" elections are those which overlap the boundaries of the relevant unit. -"Exogenous" elections are contrasted"with "indigenous" elections which involve only^the geographic unit at issue. Westweqo. -872 F.2d at 1206 n. 10. County-wide elections represent the relevant geographic unit in the present-case. 87 at 537-540. 39 13. The final determination, h o w e v e r m u s t be made by an evaluation of the "totality of the circumstancesincluding the factors listed in the Senate Report. Westweqo. 872 F.2d at 1206. The Court must determine, on the basis of a "searching, practical evaluation," of past and present reality whether the political process is _ open to minority voters. Gingles. 478 U.S. at 45 fquoting S^Rep. at 30, U.S.Code Cong. & Admin.News 1982, p. 208]. Such a determination is dependent on the facts of each case and requires "an intensely local appraisal of the design and impact of the contested electoral: mechanisms.,"— Gingles . 478 U.S.^-at 79 . fquoting Rodgers v. Lodge. 458 U.S. 613, 621, 102 S.Ctv 3272, 73 L.Ed.2d 1012 (1982)]. The appraisal in this case must be conducted on a district^-by-district basis. Gingles, supra, at >59 n. 28 (the inquiry into the existence of vote dilution is district specific).- . ■ .- i .•• •. 5 • ..... t - • 1 4 . This Court recognizes that judicial elections are characterized by less voter interest than high profile candidates receive at the top of the ticket. However, under the controlling 39 39 . Unlike the statistical analysis in Overton. Plaintiff and Plaintiff-Intervenors' experts in the present case established confidence levels of statistical significance and used consistent measures of minority voting strength. Overton. 871 F.2d at 537- 540. 88 law, party affiliation, straight party ticket voting and campaign factors do not constitute legally competent evidence in the present case. This Court rejects the State Defendants' argument that there can be no "functional view of the political process" without taking into account political party as the principal factor affecting such races.; ™The Supreme-Court .in Ginqles made clear that it is the jn difference between choices made by blacks and whites alone and,note I id the reasons why they vote dif ferently that eis the central inquiry:: a} of § 2. Ginqles. 478 U.S. 61-62. 15. Congress and the Courts have recognized that "political participation by minorities tends to be depressed where minority group members suffer effects of ■ prior discrimination such as • ê r. inferior education, poor employment opportunities, and 1 o«l „ -K7d incomes. ud Ginqles. .478 U.S. at 69-dCongress clearly concluded 17 *r- \ that provisions such as majority vote requirements, designated posts, and prohibitions against bullet i: voting could serve uto*r ion* further dilute the voting strength of minorities. Id. at 56; Jones v. City of Lubbock. 727 F.2d at 383 (finding that majority vote requirement further submerges political minorities) . .'.y p . - i s c c 16 . : nThis Court concludes that under^ the relevant law the at-large system for election State District Judges- in the nine Li- target counties interacts with social and historical conditions to b-v-f 89 cause an inequality in the-opportunity enjoyed by black and white voters to elect their preferred candidates. Ginqles.478 U.S. at 47. 17. Defendants' lead expert, Dr. Taebel reviewed many election contests which the. - Fifth--Circuit determined -are not germane to Voter Dilution.C a s e s D r . dPaebel analyzed races in which Anglos opposed Anglos. Campos v. City of Baytown. 840 F.2d 1240, 1245 (5th Cir. 1988). Dr. Taebel also reviewed non-judicial-, elections. v . ' •••; . ■••0 " IB. Costly reorganization of the State at-large system of general and specialized Courts and disruption of County administrative duties such as jury selection are not— sufficient grounds for maintaining an otherwise flawed system. Westweqo, 872 F.2d at 1211 Tin reliance on Dillard.v. Crenshaw County. 831 F..2d 246, 250-51 (11th Cir. 1986)]. , :.vl b o d y a!.: a - . 19. Congress did not contemplate that such considerations.' would play a role in determining whether there has been a violation of section 2r Id. at 1210-11. ... 20. On the strength of the evidence of racially polarized voting in the context of. the.-i "totality of-the circumstances” test and considering the substantial evidence presented by Defendants to the contrary, this Court concludes that Plaintiffs -have 90 demonstrated a violation of § 2 of the Voting Rights Act in each of the nine counties in question. W e s t w e g o 872 F.2d at 1203 & 1209. - ------ ' "fourteenth and Fifteenth Amendment Claims . 21. — Proof of racially discriminatory-intent :©r purpose is required to show a violation under either the Fourteenth or Fifteenth ̂ Amendment to the United States Constitution i Ghisom II, r supra, at 41 [citing: Kirksey v. City of Jackson, Miss. . 663 F. 2d 659 (5th Cir. 1981); Washington v. Davis. 426 U.S. 229, 239-41 1976) ] . 22. Proving racial'discrimination as the motivating factor in a state legislative body "is often a problematic undertaking." Hunter- v. Underwood; r.471cU.S..-. 222^ 227-2& (1985).. aProof must be presented that the legislative body as a whole possessed the intent to discriminate. Id. at 229-32. I t cis impossible to conceive that four leading minority members of the State-Senate would vote to send an individiously discriminatory measure affecting the entire state to the voters with their own seal of approval on it. 23. Plaintiffs and Plaintiff-Intervenors failed to prove, as a matter of law,that the present at large system for electing State District -Judges in the State of Texas was instituted with the - 91 specific intent to dilute, minimize or cancel the voting strength ~ of Black and/or Hispanic voters.- Accordingly, the Courtds of~the opinion that the following Orders are appropriate: - ■ - - -..- IT IS ORDERED that the present at-large system of electing State District Judges in the counties of Harris, Dallas, Tarrant, Bexar, Travis, Jefferson, Lubbock, Ector and -Midland ^violates L Plaintiffs' civil rights by unconstitionally diluting the voting strength of Hispanic and Black electors in violation of Section 2 of the Voting Rights Act of 1965, as amended, 42 U.S.C. S 1973 (West Supp. 1989).' • . IT ISn FURTHER ORDERED that Plaintiffs 'and Plaintiff- Intervenors request to Permanently _Enjoin the State of Texasdrom ~ -.gnest L = .• - '— -■-** thee: l o g y , calling, holding, supervising or-certifying anyifuture -elections -ir ti^rr c*± ( tno dictinguishsd e.*«jwrts -- for State District-judges under dhe presentr-at large scheme inTthe v ~ ip i t a i e u u i u u i a iG a o r s p n ie n ts . target areas is taken under ̂ advisment. QThe Court recognizesithe r . • . -j - ' c ' t ! r-. ̂ ’ . ’ * - ^ ___4- - y ~ — • - — i-'i ' -* ■•■■'•'i'v.-. wli . »Vv_ \_iO possibility that corrective relief may be-available at ar dated date before future elections for State District Judges take place. Chisom v. Roemer. 853 F.2d 1186, 1189 (5th Cir. 1988). The Court is hopeful that Governor Clements will include the issue of an alternative State District Court election scheme as part of his call of the Special Legislative Session on November 13, 92 1989. Depending on the progress that is made in the Legislature, if any, prior to January 3, 1990, the Court will thereafter entertain a Restraining Order or Motion to Enjoin future State District Court elections pending the Remedy Phase of this litigation. IT IS FURTHER ORDERED that the issues of Costs of Court and attorneys fees are expressly reserved until the conclusion of this litigation. Chief Judge Charles Evans Hughes, in 1936, in an address to the American Law Institute, said: How amazing it is that, in the midst of controversies on every conceivable subject, one should expect unanimity of opinion upon difficult legal questions! In -the — highest ranges of thought, in theology, philosophy and science, we find differences of view on the part of the most distinguished experts — theologians, philosophers, and scientists. The history of scholarship is a record of disagreements. And when we deal with questions dealing with principles of law and their application, we do not suddenly rise into a stratosphere of icy certainty. This area of the law is not a sphere of icy certainty. Should the Legislature fail to adopt a satisfactory Remedy in the Special Session (provided Governor Clements includes this matter in his call) this Court will consider the granting of an expedited appeal to the Fifth Circuit to determine whether or not the 93 Declaratory Judgment of this Courtaas properly made. o KSIGNED AND ENTERED this day of November, 1989 jucius D. Bunton Judge 94 APPENDIX "A" Plaintiffs' & Plaintiff-Intervenors' Statistical Analysis ■ J ;; i m t r ,RACIAL DIFFERENCES IN CANDIDATE PREFERENCES IN DISTRICT JUDGE ELECTIONS IN HARRIS COUNTY. TEXAS .a GENERAL ELECTIONS. 1980-1988 Prepared by Richard L. Engstrom, Ph.D HOHOGENEOUS PRECINCTS ------ ---- 3IVARIATE REGRESSION- WITH CONTROL FOR HISPANICS Year Black Candidate (Party) X of Non-Black Votes X of Black Votes Correlation Coefficient X of Non-Black Votes X of Black Votes Partial Correlation X of Black Votes 1BB0 Bonner (Daaocratlc) 38.6 96.9 0.822 37.8 103 0.909 98.4 1982 Janes (Democratic) 35.6 97.5 0.799 34.8 104.2 0.B95 99.3 190 2 Routt (W) (Democratic) 38.5 98.1 0.798 37.7 104.6 0.896 99.9 1982 Ward (Democratic) 34.7 97.7 0.801 )• 33.8 104.2 0.895 99.3 1984 Berry (Democratic) 34 97.3 0.883 32.8 102.7 0.922 100 1984 Jackson (Democratic) 30.6 97.7 0.880 29.3 103.5 0.942 100.5 19B4 (Democratic) 36.4 97.8 0.881 35.2 103.2 0.938 100.5 1986 Berry (Democratic) 35.3 97.7 0.851 0.847 34.2 103 0.916 99.4 1986 Plummer (Democratic) 37 97.9 36 103.1 0.912 99.6 1986 Proctor (Republican) 52.8 4.6 -0.836 53.6 1.1 -0.899 3.9 1986 Walker (W) (Democratic) 40 98.2 0.847 39.1 103.3 0.882 99.9 1988 Berry (Democratic) 32.8 97.3 0.860 31.1 103.1 0.897 99.4 1988 Fitch (Daaocratlc) 36.9 97.7 0.849 35.4 103.4 0.836 99.7 1988 Jackson (Democratic) 33.4 98 0.856 31.8 103.9 0.928 100.1 f PUIMTJFPS^ KWHWDWIHlT X 1 1 1 . I i , i . ' F . l ’ i ! . r ! I L V I 3 i t i j ' a * ! / ' ’■ V.. : I am I9f1! : ! 19B6 L e a ( D t a o c r a t l c ) 39.2 98.2 0.649 37.7 103.8 0.92 100.3 198ft P l u a a t r ( D e m o c r a t i c ) 34.3 1 i 1 97.4 J (1 <4 0.850 r > 1 32.6 ; 1 , t 1 l . l — , : ■) 103.9 ; i ; : j i 0.924 i i 1 -ini* 100.1 12 6ft S p e n c e r ( D a a o c r a t l c ) 3f t.3 9 8 , ■■ 0 . 8,421 , - I . ; > * . « , . 103.7 0.917 100.1 ( 7!» i;.. .«' • n •. !■) •V i1 1 * ' r < l'. ‘ . j 1 r.i 1 ui 1 '..it .11 1 I I V i*-* i i i :i;. .• i.\ ,'1<. ' * ( * ( . :» ,.t . , i . i ; -i ,i ' h ' •«. v i y .. i r — 'm . . «. • . , m r c i v.. l 1 i.. 11 .I 1 !.’ 1 j i »■ !!'. ..1 «) 1 .4 1 t* •;V .'a ifif . U, • .4 .j ..4 v.f* <:i Cl 14 .«• h o \1 ,! 1 1 • i li,1..4» .» . j 11< i r i . \ C i« . r ; i l . i . a; i . i ; V |1 ’’ 1' • k1 > ■ * .»i • ■ i ur* 1. . »i . it t i i ..4 «i .' i i * . r c i J « c ' i r ii. c. 11 i i U .i * t S iv .. ‘ " t - . i i r . : 1 •- r 1 !. j 1.: i ' • . r « u :•. . i i, < . i ’ ; * : | .* r .i;-l. . o - - 'u . ■ •• ,n f • i i i ' i ) >* u ( r r. J f llli In - J » • ’ r.j , * ; l* j* r 1 :r f r j i i l i ;: i ' 4 1 i ;< ., |.:i ' • V 1 j f. !i . . . . . i . a l l :: C* i.j . V. Lr • ’• .1 A \ : -.(• . M r . t » j ' ! i* ' l. ' i :* * •' Vv« f 1 , :» l . 1 * j.*4 i4 irk ; • i [ _i: i ; , , ' «!•. ■) i . •: v>. .. ■ . . i ‘i i iu | niiii ,:j i : !| V - '*« V- I I V . 2 - I I I . I l l BLACK JUDICIAL CANDIDATES IN HARRIS COUNTY, TEXAS YEARS I960 - 19B8 « ] . 'ii < t Li ■ . 5 'll1' v ' 1 I a * i r Y w Election 1980 Primary Judela1 Election 1980 General Judicial Election 1982 Prleery Judicial Election John Ja Name t i: • ,. 1 i Alice Bonner . II Janes Mill drew : l - . i Won .1,: 11 1 Fred Reynolds ill : .■ 1 Lost . ; . IT t Alice Bonner Lost ‘I.i; tJames Muldrow 1 '■ : Lost 1982 General Judicial Elect 1m . 1 1 ' ■ • <iJanes Mu Id row John Peavey Thcanaa Rou t t Clark Gable Viand John James■i. i i; James Mildrow | Outcome Section!; :..i ■ ■ Unopposed Both State District Court (civil) fo'v | i, l i l . i ' j . V f . l I D i l l j l ( i ' H i " , .i . County Criminal Court No. 6 hji i ,1 ; ! - Im l i i i C, a . r I I County Criminal Court No. 10 I . ii , i: , ; i . i l l ' ‘ i . . ' i l l a :, l r . i ' J ■ I Both State District Court ill-. I| I C a. i . I . ’ -. . r > *'• il* 80th County Criminal Court No.6 |! . ' . I *!■Unopposed 262nd State District Court (criminal court) U 4; I a t . i .in "I i . i ' / Cia.-rUnopposed County Criminal Court No. 6 •••. < . i ! I , . i ■ v r : l ..Unopposed 246th State District Court (family I s m ) Unopposed 208th State District Court .1 . I . > .1,. r . ' I:t . l IUnopposed 281st 8tate District Court (civil court) ,, U»t 262nd Rtate pis^rlpt,(Jpurt (criminal court) D ôst County, Criminal Court, No. 6 Note an Incumbent had been appointed; ran >m lranmbent John Pqau/y ; | ] GfJnoppgeed 246th Jtat<t QV*Xfilclt, Q»Wt (family law) 11 Thomas Routt j : Mem 208th Rtate Dlslrlpt, Court (criminal court) I Clark Gable Ward tost 281st State District Court (civil court) 1984 Primary Judicial Election Weldon berry 1 IJWioppasad 80th State District Court (civil) Incumbent i 1 ,, Carolyn D. Hobson ’made runoff i i.r n. • -d , . i ■County Civil Court at Law # 3 . I; ■ Freddie Jackson ' made runoff 178th Stats District Court (criminal) • . 1' Shel la J. 'toe vibn 215th State District Court (civil) Kenneth Levi Lost 333rd Sfcgte piatplgt, Cwpt (plvll) Jim Muldruw Lost 351th Stats District Court (crlalnal) 1984 Runoff Election ■ i ,iCarolyn D. Ilobsop Wirt [, ..... i •, ': • .j u» i. ... -.ii 1 'iCounty Civil Court # 3 ».i,. 1 r tFreddie Jackson Won r: va .178th Stats District Court (criminal) 1984 General Election Walden Berry Lost 60th $tata District Court (civil) 'i Incumbent - 1 - i 1 had been appointed; ran as Incumbent ) ':r I ; b n: ii l. *3 ( 1 in (») Carolyn 0. Hobaon'■> Loat 1 Freddie Jackman ‘ Lout 1 Sballa< J. >Laa •' • (0, Loat 1M6 Primary Election Barry Malden (0) D, Unoppnaad < Freddie Jackaon (D) Loat Cheryl B. Irwin (R) Uhoppoeed Raymond Flatter (D) Men Bomla Fitch (D) 1 1 Uboppoaad Hobaon, Carolyn (D) lluppaad 3 H la l a "L . J a c k a o n t i l l Mon John Paavy (D) Utttppoaad i i 1! Matthew Pliramr, Sr. (D) Uhoppoeed Mamie Proctor (R) Reynold*, Fred (D)' UhqppQ aad Themae H. Routt (D) ■t ' ! |.‘ I . ?' 1 Carl Melkar, Jr. (D) Unoppoaad Franc la Mllllaaa (D) Unoppoead IMS R u n -o ff Frad Raynolda (D) loat Carl Mtllcar, Jr. (D) Moq 1988 Judicial Flection* Carl Mallear, Jr. (D) Mon Carolyn D. Hobaon (D) Mon Hatthaw Plimner Sr. (D) Loat Bomla Fitch (D) Loat Rayaund Flahar (D) Loat Malden Barry (D) Loat ■ v .1! I V i I l Ml . i , ■ 1 . 1 . 1 County Civil 0ourt'>al Law » 3 178th Stata Dlatrlct'Court (criminal) 215th Stata Dlatrlct Court (civil) 281 Civil Dlatrlct; ‘ M bx i J.'....111 ;• : u. . 295 Civil Dlatrlct ‘ " County Criminal Court * 3 '' Loat to Frank 0. H.lte County Crlmllial Court * 14 won ervur lllu(unlc, Angel Fraga County Criminal'Court M 13 1 County Civil Court # 3 ' Probata #-4- '• '■ '• ; Incumbent Stata Family Court ‘246 1,111 Incumbent 133 Stata Civil '* 111 " 1 Incumbent 11 ljl ■ * 1 " ' Stata Family * 245 1 County Crlmliml'court No. 11 1 . ; ■ "1 m| i 1 ; ’ : , i i* . ■ J •. 1 i.. | made It' to runoff, era of five candldatua running for County Crlm. Ct. No. 11. Stata Criminal Court 208 Incumbent Stata Criminal 85 nude It to run-off County Criminal Court # 4 litcumlant County Crlmlnlal Court No. 11 Loat to David Mendoza In run-off; Mendoza eventually won. Stata Crlmlnlal 85 Won agalnut Sallnaa Stata Criminal Court 185 Mm over George Godwin County Civil Court 3 Mon ovef) /U len ltugl.ee 133 Stata Civil Incumbent County Criminal Court 13 loat to Lamar McCorkle Incumbent Loat to Mark Atklnuon County Criminal Court 14 Loat to Jim Barkley , 1 281 Stata Civil Loat to Uiula Moore 1 2-- Francis Williams (D) S « 1 U J. pea (DĴ Mamie Proctor (R) Chtryl K. Irvin Thomas H. Routt, (D) John W. Peevy (D) lSMPrlamry Klmctlon Ban Durant Bonnla Pitch Raj acnd Flahar Hut thaw W. Pli— tur Malden Barry \ Beverly Spencer Freddie Jackaon 1M8 General Klactlan Bonnla Fitch Shall* J. Lm Matthaw W. Iliaaar Malden Barry Beverly Spencer Fraddla Jackaon . : , t < „ | Lost County Criminal Court 4 !;• i.v :,w>r i J .c .-!• :,t ,j Last | i; Probata # 4, isj> '• 1:1 li in • li i!t:». Lost- \ ■ State Family Court 245 Lost County Criminal Court 3 Unopposed State Criminal Court 208!■' '■<! Ur*4JfXM»ad State Family Court 246 Lost 174th Civil District Court Unopposed 132nd Civil District Court lost 177th Criminal District Court Unopposed 133rd Cli/11 District Court Unopposed 80th Civil District Court Won 1 333rd Clyll District Court Won 213 Civil District Court Lost 152ml Civil District Court Lost 295th Civil District Court tost 133rd Civil District Court tost 80th Civil District Court Last 333rd Civil District Court Lost 213 Civil District Court Incumbent Lout to J<fn»̂ a E. Amiarsen lout to Bill McCulloch 1 ; r! iLout to Usury Schubla* , . M t t M ( j Loot to Jimmie Duncan incumbent lncumljHnl run against Greg Glass ran against Miron Lova ran against Jack O'nail ran against Dan Desnay ran against Lamar McCorkle ran gainst William R. Powsll ran against Davie Wilson ran agalp^t Gena Chambers x._; ;.g ;• ", c - Black Candidate Vear (Party) Homogeneous Precincts X of Mon-Black X of Black Votes Votes : d ^I J £ £ O 1980 Winn (Dem) 39.7 i 98.1 1984 Baraka (Rep) 60.6 l 0 3.5 1984 Tinsley (Dem) 30.0 97,4 ‘i 0 1984 White (Dem) 31.9 97.5 i ■■ i) 1986 Tinsley (Dem) 37.5 98.3; 1986 Wright (Rep) 70.6 4.3 1988 ==>, Oliver (Dem) 37.9 98.3 C > 5 I J ; V ' l T . x ; C C ■,'! : i | A V ! jij;! 4iip»:n ?D|JS , 'm ;:i ,c I ; 1 DALLAS COUNTY /oi ‘ * 1 . i‘ J t -liJ V..L _xJ:l:±!:!;!lG.:!.. . AWM.YSIS OF JLOICIAL ELECTIONS Bi-variate Regression With Control for Hisponics Correlation Coefficient X of Kon-Bleck Votes X of Black Votes Partial Correlation X of Black Votes .865 38.6 100.5 : :-i J .912 97.2 -.894 61.8 -0.5 -.932 2.8 .902 J 28.7 (i > 103.2 .943 99.2 .902 30.6 103.1 .944 99.1 i .677 36.6 i 104.6 .923 100.6 -.872 i i . ’ 71.7 1 i..1 i, i -1.5 -.916 2.8 I .664 36.9 104.3 .913 100.2 r i ; i ?in /• . i <. . . . . . . . . . ■ i 1 )0 :>■ \'-i ,!<’ •: u;: 131,1 i?(2 A i : o ' ESTIMATES OF EiHNIC GROUP VQTNG IN BEXAR COUNTY DISTRICT COURT ELECTIONS: 1982-1988 « . M. 1. ft* '■tiM; ii n r | O r: * *1 Bivariate Pearson r Sin. Regression Analysis Estimates for: HispanicslNon-Hisoanics Homogenec 90-1 00% Hispanic us Precinct Est. 9 0 -1 0 0 % Non-Hispanic Are ethnic groups polarized? Does Hispanic choice win?1982 General E lection 7 1:: 4 'J D i s t r i c t C o u r t # 1 4 4 0CO1 . J •’ 1 t'j YES KD Barrera (Hispanic) . 0000 1 7 77 24 74 ; Slohlhandski 83 23 76 26 Total :i 100 100 100 1 00 , D i s t r i c t C o u r t it2 9 0 .87 YES hD Delgado (Hispanic) .0000 103 1 8 92 2 1 Berchelman - 3 82 8 79 Total 100 1 0 0 i 1 00 " 100 1984 General E lection D i s t r i c t C o u r t i t3 7 .87 I c ! YES ND Davila (Hispanic) . 0000 1 04 26 73 35 Cornyn - 4 74 27 65 Total 100 100 1 00 1 00 1986. General E lection I D i s t r i c t C o u r t i t2 8 5 .88 YES ND Cisneros (Hispanic) .0000 95 1 2 88 22 Peeples 5 88 1 2 78 Total 100 100 100 100 1983 General E lection D i s t r i c t C o u r t # 7 3 .87 YES YES Mireles (Hispanic) .0000 106 35 93 37 Bowles - 6 65 7 63 Total 100 100 j 1 00 1 00 D i s t r i c t C o u r t # 2 2 5 .86 I. YES ND Serrata (Hispanic) .0000 1 03 28 9 1 33 Specia - 3 72 9 67 i otal 100 1 00 100 100 i V V- E S TIM A TE S O F E TH N IC (3R O U P Y O T I NG IN TA RRANT C O U N 'fY E L E C T IO N S 1 9 8 6 - 1988 : J Partial r Repress ion Estimates Homogene ous Estimates Are ethnic groups polwized? Does Black i Black Anglo Black Anglo B/A choice win? 1986 G en era l E le c tio n Critn. f irs t. C rt. F f 4 .87 Selvent (Black) 7 46 6 41 NO NO Drago 93 54 94 59 TotaJ 100 100 • 100 100 Crisi. f irs t. C rt. P i f -.80 Stums (Black) 15 49 11 44 NO NO Goldsmith 85 51 89 56 Total 100 100 100 100 1988 Dec* P rim ary ( P res id en t .93 < ~J> 1 1 .) Is "i1 VJ YES YES Jackson (Black) 99 14 93 16 Gore+Simon+LaRouche+Hart+Dukakis 1 86 7 84 TotaJ 100 100 100 100 1988 G en era l E lec tio n < ro \ C rrn. f irs t. C rt. F i 2 i .90 - T*" r r j , \ YES NO Davis (Black) 100 42 98 50 Dsuphinot • 0 58 2 50 ' TotaJ 100 100 100 100 ESTIMATES OF ETHNIC GROUP VOTING IN TARRANT CO. ELECTIONS 1982-1988 Bivariate Regression Analysis Are ethnic Does ‘ Pearson r Estlmai:es for: groups polarized? Black Slq. Blacks Whites B/A choice win? 1982 Democratic Primary Co. C rim in a l Crt. P i i .82 YES NO Hicks (Black) .0000 87 38 Coffee 13 62 Total 100 100 - 1986 Democratic Primary Co. C rim in a l Crt. P I 1 .76 YES NO Ross .0000 57 1 1 - Golflfeather+Ross+Pounds+Clark 43 89 Total 1986 General E lection Crim. D ist. Crt. P I 4 -6 3 100 100 . . . salvant (B lack)- R .0000 3 ! 55 YES YES Drago 97 45 Total — 100 100 ------ • .... ••• - • Crim. O lst. Crt. P ! 1 -.6 0 " r Sturns (Black) - R .0000 9 57 YES NO Goldsmith - D 91 43 Total 1988 General E lection C rim in a l D ist. Crt. P I 2 .62 100 100 YES NO C. Davis (Black) - D .0000 103 40 Dauphlnot - R -3 60 Total 100 100 Source: Numbers ore from 2:12 lyse s Conducted by Delbert Taebel, Deportment o f Urban Studies, Univ. o f Texas at Arlington 1 .1; i I 1. * \ 1 it — • I 'IvV r vL1______ r \ \ : i; ' ; . .i j • i1 ■ ■ p’Mii :j; 'i 'c •• ESTNV.ATES C*E ETriri c g : ;o u ? v o iT s G t r a y i s c o u : ; t / e l e c t i o : :s : ic e s P&j^i-Jf ; fv'tlliple Repress Hispwiics 1 on Est. Anglo Homogeneous His ponies | Precincts Anglo , Are ethnic groups polarized? Does Hispanic choice win? 1SC0 D e n P r .w y ^ P /s tr fc t Court' F J < J .* C ..\l s/po NO G ollerdo (Hispsnicj .0000 03 3-1 00 r-"?•-» i fvfcCown / -1 >. 7i 66 14 03 lOtcd 100 1 100 100 10 0 '• C o u n ty C ourt-s.(-l.o t? , .4.OH I : wee1 LJ NO Gsrci? (Hisps-nio) .0000 05 33 00 J •' f ! ' ! 1 fh.llipS ;■ r*.i 07 10 63 ToteJ 100 10 0 100 100 C o u n ty Cou.’T - o t - t o u ■ .00 Y ES NO C:-stro (Hispc-nicj .0000 { f M 03 10 ' Kennedy (EtkidtJ+Hughes 23 v6 ',-jl HIv* 1 , i ToieJ 100 10 0 10 0 100 fUUO ItTMAî j) “TD ^ £ > n ' 55ij SI “< --2 .’’i 1 "I ■^r- J I ic. ; { *. i E S T I M A T E S O F E T H N I C G R O U P V O T N G I N T R A Y I S C O U N B i v a r i a t e R e g r e s s i o n A n a l y s i s P e a r S o n r S i d . E s t i m a t e s ; f o r : Y D I S T R I C T C O U R T E L E C T IO N S - 108 8 Homogeneous Precinct Est. 9 0 -"100 % 90- I 00S 1988 D e m P r i m a r y D is tr ic t Court * 3 4 5 .36 -------- ------------- 1— >— —n r • ! 1 •: j G a l l a r d o ( H i s p a n i c ) .0000 101 36 r i 86 3 7 M c C o v n i - 1 i 64 14 63T o t a l County C o u r t -o t -L a v ,8 b 100 1 00 1 00 1 00 G a r c i a ( H i s p a n i c ) .0000 100 36 90 ■ j P h i l l i p s 0 64 10 63T o t a l County C o u r t -o t -L e v * 7 100 ! 100 1 00 1 00 C a s t r o ( H i s p a n i c ) .99 76 1 1 4 , :;63 1 6 K e n n e d y ( B l a c k ) + H u g h e s .0000 24 86 J i 37 84T o t a l r • 1 • J 100 i 100 100 ■ i i j i ; 1 00: Are ethnic groups polarizer)? YES YES YES N Does Hispanic choice v i n? N O NO NO 1 t ! i r i •j • Urn j : i E X H I B I T ■ f . PLA IN TIFF'S EX H IB IT JT- osl Jj r. / c: i .orj : • •» -I. : . 4 /. i.. i'i* : ' .n,iu> ,t'j I- »u:i ;JM,cn;..| s| M • . E S llh tA T E S OF ETHNIC G n O U P VO TIN G IK JE F F E R S O N COU.TTY E L E C V lb r:^ 197 2 -19 80I Portiof r f E t r . . _ _ II..------—= ------— S 1972 D em o cra tic Prim ary J. * . F ., Pet. 1r F/. 2 Freeman (Black) MttrelkTra/rier.+Leibold+PaJmus Total 1972 D em o cra tic Runoff J. * . F., Pet. / , FA 2 Freeman (Black) Trwnen Tola! 1974 D em o cra tic Prim ary -A. c. P ., Pet. 2, FI. 2 Freeman (Black) Kwr+Knowles Total , 1974 D em o cra tic Runoff 2. o. P., Pet. 2, FA 2 Freeman (Black) Knowles Total 1978 D em o cra tic Prim ary Ceunly Coart t Cmtr, 2 /2 Davis' (Black) St3es'-+fv1anes Total 1982 D em o c ra tic Prim ary •A *>. P., Pet. /, FA 2 Cannon (Black) McCassell+McCall Total 1986 D em o c ra tic Prim ary •A. v. F., Pet. I, ri. 2 Roberts (Black) Robinson-tMcGinriis+Davis+Mller -ic^v Total .» j P1988 D em o cra tic Prim ary FresiJent jJackson (Black) '-'Sore+Simon+laRc-uche+Hart-tOuki Total ^a/tial r ; ! Regression Estimates i li Black Anglo Homogeneous Estime Black Anolo .70 70 i !i 25 75 26 30 75 25 74 100 100 f 100 100 .66 85 i’. : f' 38 92 40 15 62 8 60 100 100 100 100 .75 83 26 89 25 17 74 11 75 100 100 100 100 .72 93 41 95 42 7 59 5 58 100 100 100 100 .97 10 93 13 16 90 7 87 100 100 100 100 .97 53 7 51 6 47 93 49 94 100 100 100 100 .93 47 2 40 3 53 98 60 97 100 100 100 100 .97 101 6 96 7 is -1 94 4 93 100 100 100 100 Are ethnic groups polanred? B/A Does Black choice v/in? ack I vin? | YES YES YES YES YES YES NO YES NO NO NO NO NO NO NO YES -1- TO -L i.' i ; .0 , i 11! . I.J.. f *;'f,'• ,t: Ur'itJ: J i . -’i*:; ' l l : IWt ; us E >iui<l i’£:.r i j ! i -uu '• ESTIMATES OF; ETHNIC GROUP' VOTING IN JEFFERSON 'COUNTY ^ L ^ E C T ld ^ 'lsVz-lSR n 1,1 •; p.il i 'i960 Democratic Primary P res id en t \ .97 Jackson (Black) ,5 .0000 101 Gore+Simon+LaRouche+Hart+Dukakis1: -1 Total i i 100 Multiple Regression Analysis Homogeneous Precincts Are ethnic Does Partial r Estimates for: 90-100% 90-100% 4 ( groups polarized? Black Sin. Black | Anglo Black Anglo , B/A choice win? 6 94 100 I I II YES YES if96 5 4 100 j 7 : 93 H 00 ; ; .*vt € p. ■»i fin it, v?ir re ■ 111 i i sr }i! II iI 1 H;i 1 :!‘l* • i ■’ '• ; for Comb.Mr^* 99 1 100 90 10 100 >0 ( 35 65 100 Gonzalez (Hispanic) Howell+Scholz (White) ToteJ 94 6 100 90 10 100 37 63 100 Homogeneous Estimates Anglo C om b.M n* E S T IM A T E S OF ETH N IC G R O U P YO TH G IN LU BB O C K COUNTY E L E C T IO N S : 1986 -198S IF ertiiJ rl Regression E^tim*j|fcs |_____ Hispanics Black Anglo 1986 G e n e ra l E lec tio n \ ~ ^ ^*r*^ Supreme Ct. PL 4 .95/79 Gonzalez (Hispanic) Bates (White) Total 1988 G e n e ra l E lec tio n Supreme Ct. PL S .93/ 88 ■I"tin’; !»!;.< I c i 39' 61 100 40 60 100 1 0 91 9 100 1 & u 89 11 100 Are ethnic groups polarized Comb. Mn/Anglo VES YES Numbers in these columns were derived from bivariate analyses, all others from multivariate analyses. Are Hisp. 8. Black Does Comb. Mn. cohesive choice win? YES YES NO NO i i )Ei; i K v.ii-Y eLi.c].i«<i'iu ij: :■V' -t.;isi!i I Hon t ?■:.'j : p. ' ) I ESTIMATES OF ETHNIC GROUP VQTNG IN Bivariate Regression Analysis Estimates for Anglo |Comb Min LUBBOCK COUNTY GENERAL ELECTIONS: ' 1986 -1908 I .1 1; Hi Pearson r Sig. Election1906 General Supreme Cl. PI. 4 Gonzalez (Hispanic) Bates Total 1988 General Election Supreme Cl. PI. 3 Gonzalez (Hispanic) Howell+Scholz total .96 .0000 .94 .0000 Multiple Regression Analysis Partial r- H/8 Estimates for ) ?ig.-H/B Anglo| Hispgnic | Black rJ .9S/.79 | i II T-.) M 35 97 .oopo/.pooo 35 99 90 39 91 65 3 JUIH. 65 ! t 10 61 9 100 100 100 1Q0 100 100 100 ,93/.88 I 1 Ov.V ■ i i OH 37 93 .0000 /0000 37 94 90 40 89 1163 7 . :)0C; 1 : 31 63 § 10 00 100 100 }00 .100 100 1Q0 too x- j- * ‘I 7 I A\i. 0 1 ') , i : ■oc t:. : '.;.j i, -ilj: , t. s' Homogeneous Precincts 90-100% I 80-100% Anglo | Comb. Min Are ethnic groups polarized? Comb. Min/Anglo ,l , Are Hisp. & Black cohesive? Does Comb, Min. choice win? YES YES YES YES NO NO i . ' i i s ! ,l,v I . C ' f . i «N li'l;:. M . I. • I 1 ‘ ‘ I i . \ *i 'J-:? 1 Ov1 ESTIMATES OF ETHNIC GROUP VQTNG IN LUBBOCK COUn W PRIMARY ELECTIONS 1986 Dem Primary Ct. Crim. App. PL 1 Martinez (Hispanic) Dial+Duncan+Reagan Total Supreme CL PI. 4 Gonzalez (Hispanic) Ivy+Gibson-t-Humphreys Total 1986 Dem Runolf Supreme CL PI. 4 Gonzalez (Hispanic) Gibson Total Ct. Crlm . App. PI. 1 Martinez (Hispanic) Duncan Total Bivariate Regression Analysis Pearson r Estimates lor Siq. Anglo |Comb. Min .97 .0000 .93 .0000 .87 .0000 .93 .0000 16 84 100 36 64 100 36 64 100 24 76 100 98 2 100 97 3 100 97 3 100 103 -3 100 Multiple Regression Analysis Partial r-H/B Estimates lor Stg.^H/B^ Anglo| Hispanic | Black .98/.80 .0000/.0000 .95/.56 .0000/.0015 .78/.66 .0000/.0002 .88/.77 .0000/.0000 15 85 100 35 65 100 36 64 100 24 76 100 108 -8 100'.1 106 -6 100 97 3 100 105 -5 100 61 39 100 86 14 100 96 4 100 98 2 100 1986 Homogeneous Precinct! 90-100% I 80-100% Anglo | Comb, Min 22 78 100 41 59 100 46 54 100 32 68 100 1 1 79 21 100 89 11 100 94 6 100 95 5 100 Are ethnic groups polarized? Comb. Min/Anqlo Are Hisp. & Black cohesive? Does Comb. Min. choice win? YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES NO YES NO 3- -t o -■ '1 . ■ «;■! •' : :&L.} f Olvl.i. 1: I.I. a i ■ /:: n •'•. ,;:!y ; \‘ Tfieojl Pfpci id t.:',!: . : ! • i’. . I S ; ! lal :: .....; JJ ' :1 ! 1 ' i.i •. • T.f ■ • ..9i 1 . C i i ' '•0 111) Ivl ; ; ■:( . . Ii i\1,i i : ; '-.mi ESTIMATES OF ETHNIC GROUP VOTNG IN ECTOR COUNTY PRIMARY ELECTIONS: 1986 Bivariate Regression Analysis Pearson r| Estimates lor Sig. | Anglo |Comb. Min Multi Partial r- H/B Sig.-H/B ole Regression Analysis Estimates lor Anglo| Hispanic | Black Homogenec 90-100% Anglo >us Precincts 80-100% Comb. Min. Are ethnic groups polarized? Comb. Min/Anglo Are Hisp. & Black cohesive? Does Comb. Min. choice win? 1986 Dem. Primary Supreme Ct. PI. A .80 .46/.71 YES NO NO Gonzalez (Hispanic) .0000 11 53 .0381/.0002 13 42 65 14 50 Ivy+Gibson+Humphreys 89 47 87 58 35 86 50 Total 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 Ct. Crlm. App. PI. 1 .78 .50/.62 YES YES YES Martinez (Hispanic) .0000 15 74 .0178/.0019 15 68 81 19 68 Dial+Duncan+Reagan 85 26 ' ' 85 32 ° 19 ' 81 32 Total 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 i ■' 9 l "i v :. 1 ( 1 I vO ■ ( i. m O' ] i ' ! ill i;: 11 ESTIMATES OF ETHNIC GROUP VOTNG IN MIDLAND COUNTY ELECTIONS: 1586 Bivariate Pearson r Siq. Regression Analysis •Estimates for; Ahqlo | 1 Comb Min. Homogenec 9 0 - 1 0 0 % Anqlo jus Precinct Est 90-1 00% - Comb Min. ' Are ethnic groups polarized? Does Comb Min. choice win? 1986 General Election J . J M , f *;|i. ! " I; , >; I . n. S u p re m e Ct. PI. A .96 YES ND Gonzalez (Hispanic) .0000 25 90 32 89 I: . Bales 75 1 0 68 1 1 Total 100 1 00 100 1 00 1986 General E lection J P P I 1 .96 YES ND Watson (Black) .0000 1 9 9 1 26 90 Jobe. 81 — ,9 74 . 1 On. ,, Total 100 100 1 00 1 00 1988 General Election S u p re m e Ct. PI. 3 .89 YES ND Gonzalez .0006 34 85 37 9 1 Howell+Scholz 66 1 5 63 9 Total 100 100 1 00 100 1*1 -O'-L ESTIM A TES OF ETHNIC G RO UP YO TKG IK M ID LA N D CO U K TY E L E C T IO N S : 1906 -19 88 Sivarisdte f Pearsonr Sig. tegression Analysis Estimates for Anglo IComb.Mn NMlip Partial r- Hi 6 Sig.-H/B le Regtession Analysis Estimates for Anglo | Hispanic | Black Homogeneo 90-1 cost; Anglo us Precincts 80-100/8 Comb. Ivin. Are ethnic groups polarized? Comb Ivln/Anglo Are Hisp. & Black cohesive? Does Comb. Ivin, choice win? 198b G enera l E lec tion S*rpne*ie C t. P i. -f .96 .86.'.99 YES YES NO Gonzalez (Hispanic) .0000 24 90 .oooo; oooo 24 105 78 28 85 Bales 76 10 76 -5 22 72 15 ToiaJ 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 1986 G en era l E lec tion J F F / f .96 .87/81 YES YES NO Watson (Black) .0000 17 91 .oooo; oooo 17 106 79 21 85 Jobe 83 9 83 -6 21 79 15 ToiaJ 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 1988 G en era l E lection Supreme Ct. Pi. 3 .96 84/.82 YES YES NO Gonzalez .0000 34 91 .0000/.0000 34 99 86 37 86 Howell+Scholz 66 9 66 1 14 63 14 .Total 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 APPENDIX "B" Plaintiffs' Re-Evaluation of Defendants' Statistical Analysis PLAINTIFFS' RE-EVALUATION OF DR. TAEBEL'S REPORTS DALLAS COUNTY Page # of TaebelExhibit - Year Race Did Whites & BlacksVote Differently? Did BlackChoiceWin? Judicial Elections With Black Candidates: General Elections: District Court: 1 1980 191st Dist Ct Yes No 21 1984 Cr. Dist. 2i Yes No 37 - 1984 301st Dist Ct Yes No 69 - 1986 256th Dist Ct Yes No 73 1984 195th Dist ct. Yes No 89 1988 95th Dist Ct Yes No County court at Lawr-.-s- • 17 1982 ;rCo- Cr- 6 Yes No Justice .of the Peace Court r; .None Appellate. Court> None .j.-c Cou Primary Elections: District Court: _ _ ___ _ 81 . 1988 ,Cr. Dist 2 [RP] No — - Yes County Court at Law: __ .... . . 13 1982 Co. Cr. 6 [RP] Yes No Justice of the Peace Court: None Appellate Court: None 1 Judicial Elections Without Black Candidates: General Elections: District Court: 5 1980 95th Dist Ct . Yes No 9 1982 191st Dist Ct Yes No 25 1984 Cr. Dist 3 Yes No 33 1984 162nd Dist Ct Yes No 77 1986 298tg Dist Ct Yes .. - -- No County Court at Law: Justice'of the-.:Peace'Court: None Appellate -■Court •• 65 i-- i ci v.K1986,-_...S-Ct. 4 Yes - - No 85 1988 S Ct 3 Yes Yes Primary Elections: --- District Court: None ■ r '\ 1 Q r-‘ \ * i (; J ”' County -Court .at Law: -None Justice of the Peace Court: None Appellate Court: 29 1984 Ct Cr App [DP] Yes No 41 1986 S. Ct. 4 [DP] Yes Yes 45 1986 Ct Cr App [DP] Yes Yes 49 1986 S Ct. 4 [DP-RO] No Yes 53 1986 Ct Cr Ap[DP-RO] Yes Yes Non-Judicial Elections With Black Candidates: None 2 Non-Judicial Elections Without Black Candidates: 57 1986 Lt Gov Yes Yes 61 1986 Atty Gen Yes No Judicial Elections with Black Candidates JudicialElections without Black Candidates Non-Judicial Elections with Black Candidates SCORECARD Whites/Blacks BlackVote Differently Choice Win 8 of 9 1 of 9 " ll"'of 12 5 Of 12- 0- of OL i 0 of O' -- • Non-Judicial Elections without Black Candidates • • T~ 2 of 2 1 Of 2 - PLAINTIFFS' RE-EVALUATION OF DR. TAEBEL'S REPORTS BEXAR COUNTY Page # of Did Whites Did HispTaebel & Hisps. ChoiceExhibit Year Race _ .Vote Differently? Win? Judicial Elections With Hisp. Candidates: General Elections: District Court: -«■■ ■ ~ ■ -- - . . • u:- : 5 1980 187st Dist Ct Yes Yes 15 1982 144th Dist Ct Yes No 16 1982 290th Dist Ct Yes No 18 1984 „ 37th Dist^Ct Yes No 19 1986 .,285th Dist Ct. Yes n v.. No 25 1988 73rd Dist Ct Yes No 26 1988 225th Dist Ct Yes No County Court at Law: 20 1986 Co. Ct. 4 '' ' Yes No 27 1988 Co. Ct. "2Ap( Li:?y!£ Yes Justice of the Peace Court: None Appellate Court: 4 1980 Ct App Yes Yes 28 1988 Ct App Yes No Primary Elections: District Court: 2 __ 1980 131 Dist-Ct[DP] Yes No 3 1980 187 Dist Ct[DP] Yes No 1 7 1982 285 Dist Ct[DP] Yes No 9 1982 285 Dist Ct[DP] Yes Yes 10 1982 288 Dist Ct[DP] Yes Yes 11 1982 289 Dist Ct[DP] Yes No 12 1982 290 Dist Ct[DP] Yes Yes 17 1984 37 Dist Ct [DP] Yes Yes 22 1986 150 Dist Ct[RP] Yes No 1980 187 Dist Ct[DP] No No 1980 131 Dist Ct[DP] Yes No County Court at LaWJ l , . n, ; nn J. ; hh n, 13 1982 Co. Cr. 3 [DP] Yes NO 14 1982 Co. Ct. 4 [DP] Yes No 23 1988 Co. Ct. 2 [DP] Yes Yes Justice of the Peace Court: None Appellate Court: 1 . 1980 Ct App [DP] Yes‘_- j ,• =r.-f; Yes 6 juaicA?®2 Ct App [DP-RO] Yes No 8 h 1982 .Ct- App [DP] Yes . ... .. No 24 ... 1988 Ct App [DP] Yes No Judicial Elections Without Hisp. Candidates: General Elections: District Court: County Court at Law: Justice of the Peace Court: Appellate Court: 2 District Court: County Court at Law: 21 1986 Co. Ct. 5[DP] Yes Yes Justice of the Peace Court: Appellate Court: Primary Elections; Non-Judicial Elections With Hisp. Candidates: None Non-Judicial Elections Without Hisp. Candidates: None i n.iii «c SCORECARD i • Whites/Hisps. Hisp.Vote Differently Choice Win Judicial Elections with co. ci . --Hisp. Candidates 28 of 29 9 of 29 JudicialElections without - - --Hisp. Candidates 1 of 1 1 of 1 Non-Judicial Elections with Hisp. Candidates . w ;; - 0 of 0 -- 0 of 0 Non-Judicial Elections without Hisp. Candidates 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 PLAINTIFFS' RE-EVALUATION OF DR. TAEBEL'S REPORTS TARRANT COUNTY Page # of TaebelExhibit Year Race Did Whites & BlacksVote Differently? Did BlackChoiceWin? Judicial Elections With Black Candidates: General Elections:- --- w . ------- -—-- . - - District Court: 29 1986 Cr. Dist. 1 Yes No 33 1986 Cr. Dist. 4 l • *. Yes Yes 57 1988 Cr. Dist. 2 Yes No County Court at Law: None Justice of the Peace Court: None Appellate Court: None Primary Elections: District Court: None County Court: at Law:r : 1 1982 -"Co. Cr. 1 [DP] Yes J v No 37 1986 ~ Co. Cr. 6 [DP] Yes ■=- No Justice of the Peace Court: None Appellate Court: None Judicial Elections Without Black Candidates: General Elections:_____ District Court: 13 1982 233rd Dist Ct Yes Yes 1 17 1982 297th Dist Ct Yes Yes 21 1986 233rd Dist Ct Yes No 25 1986 325th Dist Ct Yes Yes 61 1988 17th Dist Ct Yes No County Court at Law: 9 1982 Co. Cr. 4 Yes Yes Justice of the Peace Court: None — - • Appellate Court: 49 1986 S. Ct. 4 Yes Yes 65 1988 S. Ct. 3 Yes Yes Primary Elections: District Court: None County Court at Law: 5 1982 Co. Cr. 4 [DP] Yes Yes Justice of Appellate the Court Peace Court: None • • 41 1986 Ct.Cr.App. [DP] Yes Yes 49 1986 S. Ct. 4 [DP] Yes Yes Non-Judicial Elections With Black Candidates: None Non-Judicial Elections Without Black Candidates: 45 1986 Atty Gen Yes No 2 Judicial Elections with Black Candidates SCORECARD Whites/Blacks Black Vote Differently Choice Win 5 of 5 1 of 5 JudicialElections withoutBlack Candidates ...- • 11 of 11 8 of 11 Non-Judicial Elections with Black Candidates 0 of 0 0 of 0 Non-Judicial : - ! — * - - Elections withoutBlack Candidates 1 of 1 0 of 1 C -V.tl' ''' _1 _ •? ’ f 3 *• > m ij p 3 PLAINTIFFS1 RE-EVALUATION OF DR. TAEBEL'S REPORTS TRAVIS COUNTY Page # of Did Whites Did HispTaebel __ & Hisps. ChoiceExhibit Year Race Vote Differently? Win? Judicial Elections With Hisp. Candidates; General Elections: District Court: County Court at Law: Justice of the Peace Court: Appellate Court: 29 1986 S Ct 4 No Yes 45 1988 S Ct 3 No Yes Primary Elections: District Court: ----- 37 _ 1988 345 Dist Ct[DP] Yes No County ■1. i. y c 7 e nCourt at Law: N' 33 1988 Co. Ct. 1 [DP]" Yes No 41 1988 Co. Ct. 7 [DP] Yes No Justice of the Peace Court: Appellate Court: 1 1984 Ct Cr A [DP] Yes No 9 1986 Ct Cr A [DP] Yes No 21 1986 S Ct 4 [DP] No Yes 25 1986 S Ct 4 [DP-RO] No Yes 1 Judicial Elections Without Hisp. Candidates: General Elections: District Court: County Court at Law: Justice of the Peace Court: Appellate Court: 49 ~ 1988 rS Ct 4 No Yes Primary Elections: District Court: - — County Court at Law: Justice of the Peace Court: Appellate Courts________ Non-Judicial Elections With Hisp. Candidates: 5 1984 St Sen 14 No Yes 13 1986 Atty Gen No Yes 1984 St Sen [DP-RO] Yes Yes 1984 St Sen [DP] Yes Yes Non-Judicial Elections Without Hisp. Candidates: 17 1986 Lt Gov No Yes 2 SCORECARD Hisp.Choice WinWhites/Hisps. Vote Differently Judicial Elections withHisp. Candidates 5 of 9 JudicialElections without Hisp. Candidates Non-Judiciai Elections with Hisp. Candidates Non-Judicial Elections without Hisp. Candidates 0 of 1 0 of 1 2 of 4 4 of 9 1 of 1 4 Of 4 1 Of 1 3 PLAINTIFFS' RE-EVALUATION OF DR. TAEBEL'S REPORTS JEFFERSON COUNTY Page # of TaebelExhibit Year Race Did Whites & BlacksVote Differently? Did BlackChoiceWin? Judicial Elections With Black Candidates: General Elections: - District Court: None County Court at Law: None Justice of the Peace Court: None Appellate Court: None Primary Elections: District Court: None County Court at Law: None ____ ... ___ Justice of the Peace Court: None Appellate Court: None Judicial Elections Without Black Candidates: General Elections: District Court: None County Court at Law: None Justice of the Peace Court: None Appellate Court: 10 1986 S. Ct. 1 No - - Yes 17 , .-.--1986 S. Ct. # 4 No Yes 1 Primary Elections: District Court: None County Court at Law: None Justice of the Peace Court: None Appellate Court: 7 1986 Ct.Cr.App. [DP] Yes No 13 1986 S. Ct. 4 [DP] Yes Yes Non-Judicial Elections With Black Candidates: 1 -1982- St.Rep 22 Yes Yes 4 ■ L j-3.984t -OStfRep 2 2 ' [ ‘ Yes Yes Non-Judicial Elections Without Black Candidates: 19 1986 Gov. 22 1986 Atty Gen Yes No Yes Yes __■ _ __ *; 7 . _ i r- LIT. c*1 . ................nr SCORECARD Whites/Blacks Black • ; ! • -> ' . C ' ’ * 1 i •' !/'. * Vote'differently Choice Win Judicial- ’ ; ! Elections with Black Candidates 0 of 0 0 of 0 Judicial Elections without Black Candidates 2 Of 4 3 of 4 Non-Judicial Elections with Black Candidates 2 Of 2 2 of 2 Non-Judicial Elections without Black Candidates - 1 Of 2 — 2 of 2 2 PLAINTIFFS' RE-EVALUATION OF DR. TAEBEL'S REPORTS LUBBOCK COUNTY Page # of Taebel Exhibit Year Race Did Whites & Minorities Vote Differently? Did Minority Choice Win? Judicial Elections With Minority Candidates: General Elections: District Court: None County Court at Law: None Justice of the Peace Court: None ____ ___ ^___ Appellate Court: 17 1986 S. Ct. # 4 Yes No 25 1988 s. c£. '# '3 Yes " No Primary Elections: -- =— ----- — --- - • -— - - --- District Court: None j s \ ' /"* / DCounty Court at Law: None — Justice of the Peace Court: None Wh.it- 3/Hj JJ ' r> ■> f- f- Appellate Court: None Judicial Elections Without Minority Candidates: General-Elections: District Court:- None ̂ - -- County Court at Law: 1 1982 O o Ct. 1 Yes No 9 “T1986 Co. Ct. 2 Yes No h - ' . •-> r~ \ * - 1 h i ( 1 Justice of the Peace Court: None Appellate Court: 21 1988 Ct. Cr. App. Yes No Primary Elections: ’ District Court: None County Court at Law: 1 1982 Co. Ct. 1 [DP] No Yes Justice of the Peace Court: None Appellate Court: None Non-Judlcial-Elections With Minority Candidates: 13 <• 1986 : :'Atty Gen Yes V;-‘- No Non-Judicial Elections Without Minority Candidates: None SCORECARD < ’'yC-LlULf ii ‘ • Whites/Minorities Vote Differently Minority Choice Win Judicial r— - r.-.- / - - - Elections with Minority Candidates 2 of 2 0 of 2 Judicial Elections without Minority Candidates 3 of 4 1 of 4 Non-Judicial Elections with Minority Candidates 1 of 1 0 of 1 Non-Judicial Elections without Minority Candidates 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 PLAINTIFFS' RE-EVALUATION OF DR. TAEBEL'S REPORTS ECTOR COUNTY Page # of Did Whites Did Minority Taebel & Minorities Choice Exhibit Year Race Vote Differently? Win? Judicial Elections With Minority Candidates: General Elections: District Court: County Court at Law: Justice of the Peace Court: Appellate Court: 21 1986 S Ct n r 4 Yes No 37 1988 s ct 3 Yes No Primary Elections: District Court: County Court at Law: Justice of-the Peace Court:---------- — ~ Appellate Court: Judicial Elections Without Minority Candidates: General Elections: District Court: 5 1980 161 Dist Ct Yes No County Court at Law: 9 1982 Co Jud No Yes 13 1982 Co Ct Law No Yes 1 Justice of the Peace Court: Appellate Court: 29 1988 S Ct 4 Yes No 33 1988 Ct App Yes No Primary Elections: District Court: County Court at Law: Justice of- the ^eace <tourt: Appellate Court: Non-Judicial Elections With Minority Candidates: 17 1986 Atty Gen Yes No Non-Judicial Elections Without Minority Candidates: 1 1980 RR Com Yes No 25 1986 Lt Gov Yes No 2 V SCORECARD Whites/Minorities Vote Differently Minority Choice Win Judicial Elections with Minority Candidates . 2 . of. 2 0 of ,2 Judicial Elections without Minority Candidates 3 of 5 2 of 5 Non-Judicial- Elections with Minority Candidates 1 of 1 0 of 1 Non-Judicial Elections Without — - Minority Candidates 2 of 2 0 of 2 2 5 -.-be 5 Ct * »-r r~. N o "nr • • ------ ; i V- I c- v . : 3 ► 2 MIDLAND COUNTY PLAINTIFFS1 RE-EVALUATION OF DR. TAEBEL'S REPORTS Page # of Did Whites Did MinorityTaebel & Minorities ChoiceExhibit Year Race Vote Differently? Win? Judicial Elections With Minority Candidates: General Elections: District Court: County Court at Law: Justice of the Peace Court: Appellate Court: 25 1986 S Ct 4 Yes NOl 29 1988 S Ct 3 Yes No Primary Elections: District Court: County Court-at Law: Justice of the Peace Court: Appellate Court: 9 1986 Ct Cr App [DP] "No-;; 7 " No 21 1986 S Ct 4 [DP] No "No Judicial Elections Without Minority Candidates: General Elections: District Court: 1 1980 142 Dist Ct No Yes County Court at Law: "■* 1 Justice of the Peace Court: Appellate Court: Primary Elections: District Court: County Court at Law: Justice of the Peace Court: Appellate Court: Non-Judicial Elections With Minority Candidates: 5 1984 Co Atty [RP] Yes No 13 1986 Atty Gen [DP] No No 17 198 6 Atty Gen Yes No Non-Judicial Elections Without Minority Candidates: SCORECARD Whites/Minorities Vote Differently Minority Choice Win Judicial Elections with Minority Candidates 2 of 4 0 of 4 JudicialElections without Minority Candidates 0 of 1 1 of l Non-Judicial Elections with Minority Candidates 2 of 3 0 of 3 Non-Judicial Elections without Minority Candidates 0 of 0 0 of 0 2