Dillard v. Crenshaw County Plaintiffs' Post-Trial Brief
Public Court Documents
April 22, 1988
This item is featured in:
Cite this item
-
Brief Collection, LDF Court Filings. Dillard v. Crenshaw County Plaintiffs' Post-Trial Brief, 1988. cd07f9dc-af9a-ee11-be36-6045bdeb8873. LDF Archives, Thurgood Marshall Institute. https://ldfrecollection.org/archives/archives-search/archives-item/3b9b30e3-e783-47bb-90c6-2e964e2c2a96/dillard-v-crenshaw-county-plaintiffs-post-trial-brief. Accessed October 25, 2025.
Copied!
IN THE UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT
FOR THE MIDDLE DISTRICT OF ALABAMA
NORTHERN DIVISION-----------------------------------x
JOHN DILLARD, et al.. :
v.
Plaintiffs,
C.A. No. 85-T-1332-N
(Subclass A Jurisdictions)
CRENSHAW COUNTY, ALABAMA, et al..
Defendants.
PLAINTIFFS’ POST-TRIAL BRIEF
On February 4 and 5, 1988, this Court held an evidentiary
hearing concerning the use of alternative remedies, that is,
remedies other than the adoption of single-member districts or
the abandonment of numbered-post and majority-vote requirements.
Although the sole question now before the Court is the
appropriateness of imposing one such remedy— limited voting— on
two subclass B jurisdictions, the Covington and Lamar County
Boards of Education, counsel for a number of subclass A
jurisdictions appeared and participated in the hearing. The
appendix to this brief consists of the brief filed in No. 87-T-
1192-N, Dillard v. Covington County Board of Education, and No.
87-T-1239-N, Dillard v. Lamar County Board of Education.
LARRY T. MENEFEE
5th Floor, Title Building
300 21st Street, North
Birmingham, Alabama 35203
Respectfully submitted,
/CULU7 L
JAMES U. BLACKSHER
465 Dauphin Street
Mobile, Alabama 36602
W. EDWARD STILL
714 South 29th Street
Birmingham, Alabama 35233
JULIUS L. CHAMBERS
LANI GUINIER
PAMELA S. KARLAN
99 Hudson Street, 16th Floor
New York, New York 10013
Attorneys for Plaintiffs
Dated: April 22, 1988
2
CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE
I hereby certify that on this 22d day of April 1988, a copy
of the foregoing Post-Trial Brief was served upon the following
counsel, by depositing the same in the United States mail,
postage prepaid:
John Bolton, III
Robison and Belser
210 Commerce Street
P.O. Drawer 1480
Montgomery, AL 36102
(for City of Valley and
Montgomery County Board of Education)
David R. Boyd
Balch & Bingam
P.O. Box 78
Montgomery, AL 36101
(for Shelby County Board of Education,
Shelby County Commission,
Town of Helena, and
Covington County Board of Education,
Lamar County Board of Education
and as Subclass B Liaison Counsel)
Charles A. Dauphin
Baxley, Dillard & Dauphin
2100 16th Avenue South
Birmingham, AL 35205
(for Geneva County Board of Education and
Geneva County Commission)
James M. Dyer
112 Suite A South Side Square
Huntsville, AL 35801
(for City of Madison)
William H. Fillmore
P.O. Box 280
Ozark, AL 36361
(for City of Daleville)
Carl E. Johnson, Jr.
Bishop, Colvin & Johnson
3
601-613 Frank Nelson Building
Birmingham, AL 35203
(for Jefferson County Board of Education,
as as Subclass A Liaison Counsel)
Byrd R. Lathan
Patton, Lathan, Leggs & Cole
315 West Market
P.O. Box 470
Athens, AL 35611
(for Limestone County School Board)
Eugenia McGill
Jefferson County Courthouse, #A-400
Birmingham, AL 35263
(for Jefferson County Board of Education)
Susan Russ
Assistant Attorney General
Attorney General's Office
11 South Union Street
Montgomery, AL 36130
(for State of Alabama)
William E. Shinn, Jr., Esq.
214 S.E. Johnston Street
P.O. Box 1563
Decatur, AL 35602
(for Morgan County Commission)
Jerry E. Stokes
P.O. Box 1636
Andalusia, AL 36420
(for Covington County Commission)
Ronald H. Strawbridge
P.O. Box 522
Vernon, AL 35592
(for Lamar County Board of Education)
William J. Trussell
Church, Trussell & Robinson
1904 Cogswell Ave.
Pell City, AL 35125
(for St. Clair County Board of Educ ‘ '
St. Clair County Commission)
Attorney for Plaintiffs
4
IN THE UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT
FOR THE MIDDLE DISTRICT OF ALABAMA
NORTHERN DIVISION
JOHN DILLARD, et al. .
Plaintiffs,v.
x
C.A. No. 87-T-1192-N
COVINGTON COUNTY BOARD OF EDUCATION,
Defendant. :
------------------------------------------x
-----------------------------------x
JOHN DILLARD, et al.. :
Plaintiffs, :v. : C.A. No. 87-T-1239-N
LAMAR COUNTY BOARD OF EDUCATION,
Defendant.
x
PLAINTIFFS/ POST-TRIAL BRIEF
On February 4 and 5, 1988, this Court held an evidentiary
hearing concerning the use of alternative remedies, that is,
remedies other than the adoption of single-member districts or
the abandonment of numbered-post and majority-vote requirements.
This memorandum addresses the appropriateness of imposing one
such remedy— limited voting— on the Covington and Lamar County
Boards of Education.1
Both the Covington County Board and the Lamar County Board
have conceded that their current use of at-large elections with
numbered posts and a majority-vote requirement for nomination 1
1 A brief incorporating this brief in full has been
served on the subclass A jurisdictions represented at the
February 4 and 5 hearing.
violates section 2 of the Voting Rights Act of 1965 because it
deprives black citizens of an equal opportunity to elect the
candidates of their choice. Thus, the sole questions before this
Court are whether the defendants' proposed plans completely
remedy the current violation of section 2 and, if they do not,
whether the plaintiffs' plans do.
Introduction
At the February hearing, two political scientists, Dr.
Richard L. Engstrom and Dr. John Alford, testified on the
relative merits of different electoral structures. Drs. Engstrom
and Alford occasionally used different terminology to describe
the same concepts. Accordingly, we set out here a definition of
several critical terms to aid the Court in analyzing the issues
before it.
1. The threshold of exclusion "is the percentage of the
vote that will guarantee the winning of a seat even under the
most unfavorable circumstances." Lijphart, Trying to Have the
Best of Both Worlds: Semi-Proportional and Mixed Systems in
Choosing an Electoral System: Issues and Alternatives 207, 209
(A. Lijphart & B. Grofman eds. 1984); see Tr. at 45 (Engstrom)2;
Tr. at 206 (Alford); Lijphart, Pintor & Sone, The Limited Vote
and the Single Nontransferable Vote: Lessons for the Japanese and
2 The transcript of the February 4 and 5 proceedings is
paginated consecutively and will be cited as "Tr. at [Page]
([witness])." The transcript of the evidentiary deposition of
Dr. Gordon Henderson, which is paginated separately, will be
cited as "Henderson Dep. at [Page]."
2
Spanish Examples in Electoral Laws and Their Political
Consequences 154, 157 (B. Grofman & A. Lijphart eds. 1986); .
The worst case assumptions that define the threshold of
exclusion require both that the majority sponsor only as many
candidates as there are seats to be filled (for example, in a
seven-seat jurisdiction, only seven majority-preferred candidates
run) and that the majority spread its votes evenly among its
candidates. (This latter assumption reflects no "crossover
voting" for the minority-preferred candidate and maximizes the
number of votes received by the least-preferred majority
candidate.) See Tr. at 45 (Engstrom).
If either of these assumptions is relaxed, or if the
minority-sponsored candidate is also the choice of any majority
voters, then it is entirely possible for the minority candidate
to win even if minorities do not constitute more than the
threshold of exclusion in turnout.3 See Tr. at 51 (Engstrom);
257 (Alford); Lijphart, Pintor & Sone, supra. at 158.
There is a calculable threshold of exclusion for any
election scheme. See Tr. at 46 (Engstrom); 258-60 (Alford);
Lijphart, Pintor & Sone, supra, at 157. For example, in a
single-member district, the threshold of exclusion is 50 percent.
Any group that constitutes more than 50 percent of the electorate
in that district (that is, a group of 50%+l or more) is
guaranteed that its preferred candidate will win. Of course, in
The Appendix to this brief provides some numerical
examples of the results when the assumptions underlying the
worst-case scenario are relaxed.
3
a plurality-win single-member district (as opposed to a single
member district with a majority-vote requirement), a group with
less than 50%+l of the electorate can elect its preferred
candidate in certain cases. For example, a group constituting 40
percent of the electorate might elect its candidate in a three-
way contest where the other 60 percent of the electorate spreads
its votes between the other two candidates, each of whom
receives 30 percent.
Although a group that constitutes less than 50%+l of the
population in an at-large jurisdiction may, in some cases, elect
its preferred candidate,4 the threshold of exclusion remains
50%+l. That is, a group of 50%+l, by voting strategically—
sponsoring only as many candidates as there are seats and voting
for the entire majority-sponsored slate— can totally shut out the
minority.
2. Limited vote systems are electoral arrangements in
which each voter casts fewer votes than there are seats to be
filled. See Tr. at 39 (Engstrom). In this case, plaintiffs have
proposed the use of a limited vote system in which each voter
4 For illustrative purposes consider a seven-member
council elected at-large without numbered posts, staggered terms,
or a majority-vote requirement— a "pure" at-large system. A
minority-preferred candidate might win if: (1) only six majority
candidates might run, necessarily leading to the victory of one
non-majority candidate, see Thornburg v. Ginales. 478 U.S. ___,
92 L.Ed.2d 25, 53 n. 29 (1986) (noting case in which only two
white candidates sought nomination in a three-seat district
meaning that "one black candidate had to succeed"); or (2) the
majority might sponsor so many candidates and spread its votes so
widely that a minority candidate might be one of the top-seven vote getters.
4
would cast only one vote, even though there would be seven seats
to be filled. Limited vote systems that accord each voter one
vote have also been termed single nontransferable vote (SNTV).
systems, see Tr. at 39 (Engstrom), and strictly limited vote
systems, see Tr. at 202 (Alford). In the discussion that
follows, we shall refer to the system proposed by plaintiffs
interchangeably as "limited voting" and "SNTV."
In a limited vote system, the threshold of exclusion is
dependent on the number of seats to be filled in a given
election. It can be expressed as 1 +1" — | 0f1seats • See Tr. at
53 (Engstrom). Thus, in a jurisdiction with seven seats, the
threshold of exclusion would be 1 + 12.5%.
3. Proportional representation (PR) systems are electoral
arrangements designed to convert votes mathematically into seats.
See Tr. at 29 (Engstrom). Most proportional representation
systems use party lists: voters vote for parties and the
representatives are selected from party lists according to the
percentages of the votes received by each party. All
proportional representation systems use multi-member districts.
As the Court noted, outcomes in which the proportion of
representatives elected approximates the group's proportion of
the population can be achieved in a variety of electoral
arrangements. See Tr. at 273-74. For example, for a seven-
member county board in a county where the black community is
geographically compact, it would be possible to draw district
lines to create a majority-black district if blacks are more than
5
7.14 percent of the population.5 See Tr. at 63 (Engstrom). In
many instances, single-member district plans will result in the
ratio of black residents to white residents approximating the
ratio of majority-black districts to majority-white districts or
of black elected officials to white elected officials.
That outcome does not, however, render single-member
district plans a form of proportional representation. Such plans
are more properly characterized as plurality election systems.
See Tr. at 31 (Engstrom). But, whatever the political science
nomenclature that attaches to particular systems— "plurality,"
"semi-plurality," "proportional," "semi-proportional," "non-
exclusionary," and the like, see Tr. at 32, 35, 37 (Engstrom),
244-46 (Alford); A. Lijphart, Democracies 151-54 (1984)— the
question of law before the Court remains whether the system will,
"with certitude completely remedy the Section 2 violation."
Dillard v. Crenshaw County. 831 F.2d 246, 252 (11th Cir. 1987)
(emphasis in original). Moreover, the so-called Dole compromise
in section 2(b), which provides that "nothing in this section
establishes a right to have members of a protected class elected
in numbers equal to their proportion in the population," 42
U.S.C. § 1973(b), does not bar the use of a necessary remedial
tool on the basis of social science taxonomy. Rather, as the
Supreme Court has made clear, section 2 demands "a searching
5 Dividing the total population of the jurisdiction by 7
to produce equipopulous single-member districts would place
14.28% of the population in each district. To form a majority in
a single district, a group would have to be larger than 14.28%/2, or 7.14%.
6
practical evaluation" and "an intensely local appraisal of the
design and impact of the contested electoral mechanisms."
Thornburg v. Ginoles. 478 U.S. ___, 92 L.Ed.2d 25, 65 (1986)
(internal quotation marks omitted; quoting S. Rep. No. 97-417, p.
30 (1982) and Rogers v. Lodge. 458 U.S. 613, 622 (1982)).
I. The Senate Factors and Characteristics of
Lamar and Covington Counties That Are
Relevant to the Nature of the Section 2
Violations in This Case
The Covington and Lamar County Boards have conceded that
their current use of at-large elections violates section 2.
Nonetheless, this Court should consider the precise way in which
the Covington and Lamar County Board elections dilute the voting
power of black citizens, because the scope of the complete
remedy required by section 2 is determined by the nature and
extent of the violation. See, e.g.. Louisiana v. United States.
380 U.S. 145, 154 (1965); S. Rep. No. 97-417, p. 31 (1982).
The Senate Report accompanying the 1982 amendments to
section 2 sets out a list of relevant factors to aid district
courts in making the requisite "intensely local appraisal."
These factors include:
"1. the extent of any history of official
discrimination in the state or political subdivision
that touched the right of the members of the minority
group to register, to vote, or otherwise to participate in the democratic process;
2. the extent to which voting in the elections of
the state or political subdivision is racially
polarized;
3. the extent to which the state or political
subdivision has used unusually large election
districts, majority vote requirements, anti-single shot
7
provisions, or other voting practices or procedures
that may enhance the opportunity for discrimination against the minority;
• • • • •
5. the extent to which members of the minority
group in the state or political subdivision bear the
effects of discrimination in such areas as education,
employment and health, which hinder their ability to
participate effectively in the political process;
• • • • •
7. the extent to which members of the minority
group have been elected to public office in the jurisdiction.
• • • • •
whether the policy underlying the state or political
subdivision's use of such voting qualification,
prerequisite to voting, or standard, practice or procedure is tenuous.
S. Rep. No. 97-417, pp. 28-29 (1982).
This Court's findings in Dillard v. Crenshaw Countv. 640 F.
Supp. 1347 (M.D. Ala. 1986) ("Dillard I”), and Dillard v. Baldwin
County Board of Education. No. 87-T-1158-N (Apr. 8, 1988), with
regard to the first and third Senate factors are equally
applicable to the Covington and Lamar County Boards. On the
question of historic discrimination, this Court has found that
Alabama engaged in an "unrelenting" attempt to minimize the
political power of its black citizens. Dillard I. 640 F. Supp.
at 1361; see Baldwin County Board, slip op. at 17. Similarly, on
the question whether the jurisdiction uses practices that enhance
the opportunity for discrimination, this Court held in Baldwin
County Board that the use of a majority-vote requirement for
primary elections and a numbered-post requirement "have served as
a substantial— indeed, the court is convinced insurmountable—
political barrier to the ability of the county's black voting
minority to elect candidates to the school board." Slip op. at
8
18.
The second and fifth factors— racial bloc voting and
differences in socioeconomic status— were analyzed by Dr. Gordon
G. Henderson, a political scientist with extensive experience in
examining voting patterns and the influence of socioeconomic
factors on political participation. See Henderson Dep. PI. Exh.
1. Dr. Henderson examined census data and voting returns for
Covington and Lamar Counties.
The most significant socioeconomic factors for predicting
political participation are education and income. In both
counties, the data compiled by the Bureau of the Census reveal a
sharp disparity between the status of white and black residents:
Covington Lamar
Indicator White Black White Black
Persons age 25 and over
percent with < 5 years
of elementary school
9.3 17.9 5.4 17.8
Persons age 25 and over
percent high school
graduates
45.5 33.6 44.5 29.7
Percent of families 1979
income below $10,000
34.07 48.35 28.75 46.47
Median family income
1979 $14,124 $10,409 $15,504 $10,824
Percentage of families
with 1979 income below
below oovertv level
13.3 34.7 12.4 31.2
See Henderson Dep. PI. Exh. 4 (Lamar County) and PI. Exh. 5
(Covington County).
In Covington County, roughly twice as many black residents
9
as white residents over the age of 25 lack the rudimentary level
of education that gives individuals an awareness of the structure
and nature of the political system and the level of confidence to
participate in the system. See Henderson Dep. at 25-26. In
Lamar County, over three times as many black adults as white
adults lack this level of education. Moreover, the older black
residents of both counties attended inferior, racially segregated
schools, which further impaired their ability to participate
equally in the political process. Id. at 20. Similarly, the
fact that nearly three times as many black families as white
families in Covington and Lamar Counties have incomes below the
poverty level also impairs the ability of blacks to participate
effectively in the political system by making it more difficult
for the black community to provide financial and logistical
support to its preferred candidates. The connection between
depressed levels of education, income, employment, and living
conditions and depressed political participation has long been
recognized. See, e.g.. S. Rep. No. 97-417, p. 29 n. 114 (1982).
Indeed, in both Lamar and Covington Counties, the percentage of
the voting age population that is black exceeds the percentage of
registered voters who are black.
Dr. Henderson also found that voting in Covington and Lamar
Counties is racially polarized in that, when black candidates
compete for office, the preferences of black and white voters
differ. Dr. Henderson employed the technique for analyzing
election returns— bivariate ecological regression— used by the
10
plaintiffs' expert, and approved by the Supreme Court, in
Thornburg v. Ginales. 478 U.S. ___, 92 L.Ed.2d 25, 48 (1986).
See Henderson Dep. at 8; see also Baldwin Countv Board, slip op.
at 12 (relying on Dr. Henderson's regression analysis of
elections in Baldwin County to find racially polarized voting).
Dr. Henderson analyzed the results in Lamar County for two
races in which black candidates competed: the 1984 and 1988
presidential primaries. In each case, Jesse Jackson was the
choice of black voters. See Henderson Dep. PI. Exh. 2. In 1988,
the most recent election in Lamar County involving a black
*candidate, Jackson is estimated to have received all the black
vote, and only 4.66 percent of the white vote. Id.6 Moreover,
the presence on the ballot of a black candidate with a reasonable
chance to win galvanized the black community, which turned out at
a higher rate than the white community. Td.
Dr. Henderson also analyzed the results in Covington County
for three races in which black candidates competed: the 1982
primary and general elections for the Alabama Supreme Court and
the 1988 presidential primary. See Henderson Dep. PI. Exh. 3.
In the 1982 primary election, nearly 85 percent of the black
voters supported Oscar Adams III, a black incumbent (who
previously had been appointed to his seat), while less than 30
percent of white voters supported Adams. Only in the general
b The regression figure estimates that Jackson received
104.89% of the black vote. This estimate exceeds the 100%
maximum because of different turnout in the black and white
communities. See Henderson Dep. at 13.
11
election, when Adams was the nominee of the Democratic Party, did
he receive a majority of the votes cast by white voters. And in
the 1988 presidential primary, Jesse Jackson is estimated to have
received all the black vote, and only 4.03 percent of the white
vote. Id. Moreover, as it did in Lamar County, the presence on
the ballot of a black candidate with a reasonable chance to win
galvanized the black community, which turned out at a higher rate
than the white community. Id.
In neither Covington nor Lamar County could Dr. Henderson
analyze any countywide races in which black candidates competed.
The reason for the absence of such results is simple, and relates
to the seventh of the Senate factors identified above: no black
candidates have run in modern times for countywide positions in
either county. The absence of such candidacies, however, cannot
preclude a finding of racial polarization:
The number of elections that must be studied in order
to determine whether voting is polarized will vary
according to pertinent circumstances. One important
circumstance is the number of elections in which the
minority group has sponsored candidates. Where a
minority group has never been able to sponsor a
candidate, courts must rely on other factors that tend
to prove unequal access to the electoral process.
Similarly, where a minority group has begun to sponsor
candidates just recently, the fact that statistics from
only one or a few elections are available for
examination does not foreclose a vote dilution claim.
Thornburg v. Ginales. 92 L.Ed.2d at 51 n. 25 (emphasis added).
Even prior to Ginales. this Court had recognized that
electoral structures may have so clear a discriminatory potential
that the system will simply deter the black community from
sponsoring serious candidates. Hendrix v. McKinney. 460 F. Supp.
12
626, 631-32 (M.D. Ala. 1978), struck down the use of at-large
elections for the Montgomery County Commission. There, the Court
noted that:
Today, formal prohibitions no longer prevent blacks
from seeking county office. There are no screening
organizations or petition requirements. Blacks now
register and vote. But barriers remain even after the
obvious legal roadblocks have been removed. Not only
have no blacks been elected to the County Commission,
none have run . . . . [V]oting in Montgomery County
follows racial lines. This fact undoubtedly
discourages black candidates because they face the
certain prospect of defeat.
Cf. Bolden v. City of Mobile. 423 F. Supp. 384, 388-89 (S.D. Ala.
1976) (relying on non-commission elections and discussing
deterrent effect of at-large system), affld, 571 F.2d 238 (5th
Cir. 1978), rev'd on other grounds. 446 U.S. 55 (1980).
A number of post-Gingles decisions have also recognized that
proof of the existence of racial bloc voting need not depend on
the defeat of black candidates in elections to the office at
issue. Relying on Thornburg v. Ginales/ directive, the Fifth
Circuit recently held, in Citizens for a Better Gretna v. City of
Gretna, 834 F.2d 496, 502-03 (5th Cir. 1987), that a racial
polarization analysis in a case challenging at-large aldermanic
elections could rely largely on voting behavior in other contests
involving the city's voters "in the face of sparse data"
regarding aldermanic elections. Similarly, in Martin v. Allain.
658 F. Supp. 1183 (S.D. Miss. 1987), the district court found
racially polarized voting and a violation of section 2 with
respect to at-large elections in several judicial districts as to
which there was no evidence of black candidacy on the basis of
13
the pervasiveness of racial bloc voting in elections for other
judicial and legislative positions in which those districts'
voters participated.
Particularly in jurisdictions such as Covington and Lamar
Counties, where the minority community is relatively small, the
requirement that candidates obtain a majority of the votes
throughout the jurisdiction drastically alters the calculus faced
by prospective black candidates. In such cases, "the lack of
black candidates is a likely result of a racially discriminatory
system." McMillan v. Escambia Countv. 748 F.2d 1037, 1045 (11th
Cir. 1984). As the district court noted in Citizens for a Better
Gretna v. City of Gretna. 636 F. Supp. 1113 (E.D. La. 1986),
aff'd. 834 F.2d 496 (5th Cir. 1987), it is "axiomatic" that when
minorities are faced with dilutive electoral structures "'their
voter turnout and candidacy rates tend to drop.'" Id. at 1119
(quoting Minority Vote Dilution 15 (C. Davidson ed. 1984))
(emphasis added); see also id. at 1135; Ginales v. Edmisten. 590
F. Supp. 345, 363 (E.D.N.C. 1984) (three-judge court) (discussing
similar effect of majority-vote requirement), aff'd. 478 U.S. ___
(1986). When black voters are faced with an electoral structure
that makes it impossible for them to participate equally in the
political process, they are not required to wait for redress
until they are able to persuade a candidate to undertake a
certainly futile campaign. See, e.g.. Major v. Treen. 574 F.
Supp. 325 (E.D. La. 1983) (three-judge court) (striking down
congressional reapportionment scheme although no black candidate
14
had yet run and lost, because plan clearly diluted collective
black voting strength of Orleans Parish).
Finally, with regard to the last Senate factor identified
above— the tenuousness of the policy underlying use of the
challenged electoral mechanism— plaintiffs note that both
jurisdictions have advanced two remedial plans, one using single
member districts, the other employing "pure" at-large elections
(that is, at-large elections with no majority-vote or numbered-
post requirements). Thus, neither jurisdiction has asserted that
either at-large or district elections are inherently required for
the achievement of any governmental purpose. Their positions are
important, in the context of plaintiffs' remedial suggestion.
First, by proposing district-based elections in one remedial
formulation, the Covington and Lamar County Boards have chosen
not to advance the claim that that any election scheme in which
each elector cannot influence directly the election of each board
member impermissibly "disenfranchises" voters. Cf. Tr. at 252
(Alford). Second, by proposing a modified at-large system, which
permits single-shot ( or "bullet") voting— and indeed, which
depends on single-shot voting to give black citizens any chance
to elect their preferred candidate— the two jurisdictions
manifest their willingness to have candidates elected by
jurisdiction-wide coalitions that are independent of geographic
constraints.
15
II. Defendants' Plans Do Not Completely Remedy
the Current Violations of Section 2
Although this Court is required to give deference to
defendants' proposals for remedying the current violations of
section 2, see Tallahassee Branch of NAACP v. Leon Countv. 827
F.2d 1436, 1438-40 (11th Cir. 1987), it "cannot authorize [a
remedy] . . . that will not with certitude completely remedy the
Section 2 violation," Dillard v. Crenshaw Countv. 831 F.2d 246,
252 (11th Cir. 1987) (emphasis in original). Defendants have
presented absolutely no evidence to show that their proposed
plans will provide the full remedy required by section 2.7
Moreover, examination of both "pure" at-large systems and the
proposed single-member district plans shows that neither
jurisdiction has met its responsibility to "come forward with a
plan that promises realistically to work, and promises
realistically to work now." Green v. School Board of New Kent
County. 391 U.S. 430, 439 (1968); see S. Rep. No. 97-417, p. 31,
n. 121 (1982) (relying on Green to illustrate the scope of the
remedial obligation in § 2 cases).
' Indeed, defendants' own expert witness, Dr. Alford,
offered the opinion that the best system for providing a minority
with an opportunity to elect the candidate of its choice,
assuming geographic dispersion and racial bloc voting, is single
transferable voting. Tr. at 263, and placed a number of other
alternative remedies, including limited voting, ahead of single
member district plans.
16
A. The Proposed "Pure" At-Large Systems Do Not
Provide an Adequate Remedy
"Pure" at-large elections would fail to provide black
citizens of Covington and Lamar Counties with an equal
opportunity to participate in the political process and elect the
candidates of their choice. First, it would not provide black
voters with an equal chance to elect their preferred candidate.
Second, it would deprive black citizens of an equal role in the
political process: for them to elect their preferred candidate,
they would be forced to engage in bullet voting (thereby giving
up their ability to influence the election of the remainder of
the board), while white voters would not face the same dilemma.
As we have already noted, the threshold of exclusion in an
at-large system is 50 percent. Blacks constitute 10.7 percent of
the registered voters in Covington County, and 9.41 percent of
the registered voters in Lamar County. Thus, in both cases, if
the threshold of exclusion were figured on the basis of the
current electorate— that is, on the basis of the percentage of
registered voters— blacks form only a small fraction of the
threshold (21.4 percent of the threshold of exclusion in
Covington County and 18.82 percent of the threshold of exclusion
in Lamar County). Of course, the relevant figure is the share of
the actual turnout on election day for the office at issue. See
Tr. at 209 (Alford). In the five elections Dr. Henderson studied
in Covington County, the lowest turnout by the white community
was in the 1988 presidential primary, when an estimated 12.4
17
percent of white registered voters cast ballots. See Henderson
Dep. PI. Exh. 3. (The average white turnout for all five
elections studied was far higher— 36.93 percent.) In the four
elections studied in Lamar County, the lowest white turnout was
also in the 1988 presidential primary, when an estimated 12.1
percent of white registered voters cast ballots. See Henderson
Dep. PI. Exh. 2. Even if white voters turned out at their lowest
rate of observed turnout (roughly 12 percent), it would be
mathematically impossible for black voters in either county to
reach the threshold of exclusion, even if black turnout was 100
percent of black registration.
Needless to say, in neither county does the highest observed
rate of black turnout even approach 100 percent: in Covington
County, it was 29.93 percent, while in Lamar County it was 20.25
percent.
Blacks in Covington County would have to turn out at a rate
over 8 times greater than white turnout for black votes to equal
50 percent of the votes cast. In four of the five elections
analyzed, blacks turned out at a lower rate. See Henderson Dep.
PI. Exh. 2. Even in an election in which the black candidate was
a front runner, and in which the black community was therefore
most motivated to turn out, the black turnout rate was only
slightly more than double the white turnout rate, and for all
elections analyzed the average black turnout was only 59 percent
of white turnout.
Similarly, in Lamar County, blacks would have to turn out at
18
more than 9 times the rate of whites for black votes to equal
fifty percent of the votes cast. Blacks in Lamar County have
never turned out at a rate greater than 1.67 times the white
turnout rate, and their average turnout rate is only 62 percent
of the average white turnout. See Henderson Dep. PI. Exh. 2.
Thus, blacks stand no conceivable chance of exceeding, or even
approaching, the threshold of exclusion in an at-large system in
either Covington or Lamar Counties.
Nor would single-shot voting provide plaintiffs with an
equal opportunity to elect the candidate of their choice. It is
no accident that the City of Rome footnote which discusses how
single-shot voting can permit minorities to elect their preferred
candidates, see City of Rome v. United States. 446 U.S. 156, 184
n. 19 (1980), postulates a community whose electorate is 40
percent black, and in which twice as many white candidates run as
there are seats available, for it takes both a large black
percentage of the electorate and a significantly higher number of
white candidates than seats available for single-shot voting to
work.
In Covington and Lamar Counties, if precisely the same
assumptions about white behavior are made, single-shot voting
would not result in the election of a candidate supported by the
black community. In Covington County, if twice as many white
candidates were to run as there were seats to be filled, and if
the white community were to spread its votes evenly among these
candidates— the assumptions made in City of Rome. 446 U.S. at 184
19
n. 119— each white candidate would receive more than four times
the number of votes received by the black candidate. Only if the
white community were to split its votes evenly among fiftv-nine
candidates would each white candidate each receive fewer votes
than the black candidate.8 In short, in a community with a small
proportion of black voters such as Covington County, single-shot
voting cannot offer black citizens a realistic opportunity to
elect their preferred candidate.9
Moreover, even if blacks were able to elect their preferred
candidates through single-shot voting, forcing them to rely on
single-shot voting while white voters can vote for a full slate
This tremendous disparity in voting power in a single
shot regime was discussed by Dr. Engstrom, using the example of a
200-voter jurisdiction with a seven-member board, in which there
are 26 black voters (that is, a jurisdiction where black voters
satisfy the threshold of exclusion by constituting 12.5%+1 of the
electorate). In such a jurisdiction, the black voters who engage
in single-shot voting— the strategy that maximizes their chance
of electing their preferred candidate, Tr. at 74— would have 26
votes to cast, while the white voters— who could "afford" to vote
for a full slate— would have 1,218, Tr. at 76.
An analogous calculation can be performed for Covington
County. For the sake of simplicity, assume the County has 1000
registered voters, 107 of whom are black and 893 of whom are
white. (These numbers reflect the actual proportions of
registered voters, although the actual number of voters is
obviously much higher.) In a "pure" at-large system, the black
community has available 749 votes (107 voters with 7 votes each)
while the white community has available 6251 (893 voters with 7
votes each). If the black community engages in single-shot
voting, it will have 107 votes to cast while the white community
still has 6251. Thus, the disparity of voting power in even more
extreme in Covington County than it was in Dr. Engstrom's hypothetical.
9 The same analysis holds true, a fortiori, for Lamar
County. The black proportion of its electorate is lower than
that for Covington County, and its black and white turnout
percentages are roughly comparable. See Henderson Dep. PI. Exh.
2 .
20
deprives black citizens of the full voting rights enjoyed by
white citizens. See Ginales v. Edmisten. 590 F. Supp. 345, 369
(E.D.N.C. 1984), (three-judge court), aff/d . 478 U.S. ___, 92
L.Ed.2d 25 (1986). Only by sacrificing a significant share of
their franchise can black voters even hope to elect their
preferred candidate. Each white voter can cast ballots for a
full slate of commissioners, secure in the knowledge that at
worst one of his preferred candidates may be defeated by the
candidate supported by the black community. A system that
depends on single-shot voting to provide black voters with a
chance to elect the candidate of their choice is, at bottom, the
functional equivalent of a system where each black voter may cast
one vote while each white voter is entitled to seven.10 A black
voter must sacrifice any possibility of influencing the election
of his second-choice candidate to ensure the election of his
first-choice candidate, while a white voter faces no such
-LU Affording each black voter one vote— the vote which he
or she casts by bullet voting— while affording each white voter
seven votes— with which he or she votes for a full slate of board
members— is not the functional equivalent of using a "mixed
system," that is, a system where some representatives are elected
from multimember districts while others are elected from single
member districts. Because white voters can vote for all seven
seats (rather than only six as they might in a mixed system, or
in a "simply" limited voting system, see Tr. at 202 (Alford)),
forcing blacks to bullet vote in a pure at-large system is more
like giving them a hypothetical single-member district and then
allowing whites in a hypothetical six-member district to vote for
candidates in both districts. Cf. Banzhaf, Multi-Member
Electoral Districts— Do They Violate the "One Man. One Vote"
Principle. 75 Yale L.J. 1309 (1966) (showing that voters in
larger, multimember districts will have more influence over
elected body's decisionmaking even though both the single-member
and the multimember districts have the same ratios of voters to representatives).
21
difficulty. Thus, although single-shot voting may result in
roughly proportional representation on a multimember body, it
does not result in equal political influence for each voter.
Finally, the retention of at-large elections would
perpetuate the dilution of plaintiffs' collective political
strength condemned in Dillard I. In Dillard v. Crenshaw County.
649 F. Supp. 289, 295 (M.D. Ala. 1986) f"Dillard 11”1. aff'd in
part and remanded in part on other grounds. 831 F.2d 246 (11th
Cir. 1987), reaff'd on remand. ___ F. Supp. ___ (M.D. Ala. 1988),
this Court held that jurisdictions cannot retain systems that
depend even in part on at-large elections in the face of its
findings regarding the Legislature's purpose in implementing and
maintaining at-large elections. Id. at 294-97. A fortiori, a
defendant cannot satisfy its remedial obligations by retaining in
full such a system.
B. Defendants' Single-Member District Plans Do Not Provide
Plaintiffs With an Equal Opportunity To Elect the Candidates of Their Choice
Defendants have also proposed single-member district plans.
The Covington County Board has proposed a seven-member board.
One member would be elected from a district that is 51.13 percent
black in total population. The Lamar County Board has also
proposed a seven-member board. One member would be elected from
a district that is 31.3 percent black in total population.
Defendants have presented no evidence to show that their
single-member district plans will provide black citizens with an
22
equal opportunity to elect the candidate of their choice.
Neither district in fact contains a level of minority population
likely to result in a competitive district, that is, a district
in which black citizens have an equal opportunity to elect the
candidates of their choice.
In Covington County, although 74.79 percent of the white
population is of voting age, only 59.98 percent of the black
population is of voting age. See Henderson Dep. PI. Exh. 5.
Thus, applying the countywide figure to the Board's proposed
district, a district that is 51.13 percent black in total
population is likely to be only 45.63 percent black in voting age
population. Since both black registration and turnout among
black registered voters tends to lag behind white registration
and turnout in Covington County, the proposed district does not
provide black voters with a reasonable opportunity to elect the
candidates of their choice. There is no evidence in the record
to support finding that a 51.13 percent black district in
Covington County is an acceptable remedy. Cf. Baldwin Countv
Board, slip op. at 24 (finding that hypothetical district with
50.64 percent black total population would not provide blacks
with equal electoral opportunity).
The district proposed by the Lamar County Board is even more
inadequate. The district is only 31.3 percent black in total
population. Thus, given the disparity between white percentage
of population age 18 and over and black percentage of population
age 18 and over, see Henderson Dep. PI. Exh. 4, the district is
23
likely to be only a little over 28 percent black in voting age
population, and the percentage of registered voters and actual
turnout will be even lower.
Single-member districts fail to provide adequate remedies
for black citizens of Covington and Lamar Counties not because
there are too few blacks in either jurisdiction, but because the
black community is geographically dispersed. If the counties7
black populations were concentrated in a single geographic area,
it would be possible to create single-member districts with a
sufficiently high percentage of blacks to provide equal electoral
opportunity. In Covington County, blacks constitute 13.4 percent
of the total population; in Lamar County, they are 12.2 percent
of the population. The threshold of exclusion for a single
member district in a seven-seat jurisdiction is approximately
7.14%+1. See Tr. at 63 (Engstrom). Thus, if all Covington
County's black residents could be included in one single-member
district, they would form 93.8 percent of its population. See
Tr. at 67 (Engstrom). Similarly, if all of Lamar County's black
residents could be included in one single-member district, they
would form 85.4 percent of its population. See Tr. at 72
(Engstrom). Such districts would obviously give blacks an
excellent chance to elect their preferred candidates. But nearly
half of Covington County's black citizens live outside the
proposed 51.13 percent black district, and nearly two-thirds of
24
Lamar's black residents live outside the 31.3% black district.11
Indeed, this Court has entered numerous final orders in the
consolidated Dillard cases creating single-member district plans
for jurisdictions with black population percentages comparable to
those of Covington and Lamar County. See Dillard v. City of
Piedmont. No. 87-T-1276-N (Feb. 22, 1988) (9.5 percent black/7
districts); Dillard v. City of Russellville. No. 87-T-1288-N
(Mar.22, 1988) (12.1 percent black population/5 districts);
Baldwin County Board, supra. (13.86 percent black/7 districts);
Dillard v. Crenshaw County fCitv of Decatur^. No. 85-T-1332-N
i(Nov. 13, 1987) (15.7 percent black/5 districts); Dillard v. City
of Jemison. No. 87-T-1237-N (Dec. 18, 1987) (16.9 percent black/5
districts); Dillard v. City of Riverside. No. 87-T-1286-N (Jan. *
xx The following calculations are illustrative of this dispersion: (They are not exact because they do not take into
account the minimal population deviations among the proposed districts).
The Covington Board has proposed a 51.13% black district.
Multiplying that percentage by .1428 (the percentage of the
county's total population in each district) gives a figure of
.0730. This means that 7.3% of Covington County residents are
blacks who live in the proposed district. But 13.4% of the total
population of Covington County is black. Subtracting 7.3% from
13.4% leaves 6.1%, which reflects the fact that 6.1% of Covington
County residents are black persons who live outside the proposed
district. Dividing 6.1 (blacks living outside the proposed
district) by 13.4 (blacks living in Covington County) gives
.4552. In other words, 45.52% of blacks who live in Covington
County live outside the proposed district.
Performing the same calculations for Lamar County:
multiply .313 (percentage of blacks in proposed district) by
.1428 (percentage of residents in each district). Take the
product— .0447 (percentage who are black and live in proposed
district)— and subtract it from 12.2 (percentage of blacks in
county). The difference is 7.73 (percentage of persons in Lamar
County who are black and live outside the proposed district).
Dividing 7.73 by 12.2 equals .6336. In other words, 63.36% of
blacks live outside the proposed district.
25
28, 1988) (17.2 percent black/5 districts).12
Given the nature of the violation found by this Court in
Dillard I. the absence of sufficient geographic compactness to
create a single-member district remedy cannot relieve
jurisdictions of the obligation to come forward with plans that
promise their black citizens a reasonable opportunity to elect
the candidates of their choice. As the Court noted in Baldwin
County Board. "compactness” is "a 'practical' or 'functional'
concept" meant to give effect to "§ 2's laudatory national
mission of opening up the political process to those minorities
that have been historically denied such." Slip op. at 15.
This Court has already noted that Ginales' dependence on
compactness to establish section 2 liability is inapposite to the
Dillard cases. See, e.q.. Dillard v. Crenshaw County (Cities of
Muscle Shoals. Tallassee, Madison, and Sheffield. Geneva Countv
Commission. St. Clair County Commission, and St. Clair Countv
Board of Education). No. 85-T-1332-N (Sept. 14, 1987), slip op.
at 6-7. The core of plaintiffs' claims against the Covington and
Lamar County Boards is not that at-large elections, in comparison
to elections from single-member districts, have resulted in
Because the Decatur, Jemison, and Riverside plans each
use only five districts, the relationship between the size of the
black population and the size of an ideal district in those three
jurisdictions is comparable to the relationship between the size
of the black populations and the sizes of ideal districts in
Covington and Lamar Counties. For example, blacks in Riverside
(with its 17.2% black population) constitute 86% of an ideal
district (each district would contain 20% of total population and
dividing 17.2 by 20 equals .86). Blacks in Lamar Counry
constitute roughly 85% of an ideal district.
26
blacks' being less able than white to elect the candidates of
their choice, but that the State of Alabama intentionally
manipulated the local election schemes used by the Boards to
deprive black citizens of any say in who was elected. The
Legislature was not content merely to ensure that even large,
geographically compact, concentrations of black citizens would be
unable to elect their preferred candidates. Rather, it sought to
ensure that no black citizen had any effective political power.
The prohibitions on single-shot voting and the use of numbered
places discussed in Dillard I were designed, and operated, to
diminish black political power even in jurisdictions such as
Covington and Lamar Counties, where black communities were not
sufficiently contiguous to form single-member districts.
Because the difference between the results of at-large
elections and the expected results under district-based elections
are not a full measure of the injury suffered by the Covington
and Lamar County plaintiffs, single-member districts will not
provide a full remedy. As we explained in our pretrial
memorandum, only a remedy that realistically promises to allow
black citizens to elect the candidates of their choice can remove
the taint that infects each of the local electoral schemes
challenged in this case. Because single-member districts do not
fulfill that promise, this Court should reject defendants'
proposed remedies.
27
III. Plaintiffs' Limited Vote Proposal Provides
Black Citizens in Covington and Lamar
Counties With an Equal Opportunity To Elect
the Candidates of Their Choice
Plaintiffs' proposed remedy provides the black citizens
of Covington and Lamar Counties with an excellent opportunity to
elect the candidate of their choice to their respective school
boards. Limited voting avoids the critical flaw in the use of
single-member districts in the two counties: the failure of such
districts, due to geographic dispersion, to include in a single
district a sufficient number of blacks to provide the black
community with a realistic opportunity to elect the candidate of
its choice.
As Dr. Engstrom testified, limited voting enables voters who
form a community of interest to elect their preferred candidate
regardless of geographic constraints. See Tr. at 66 (Engstrom).
Under limited voting, all the black voters in Covington or Lamar
County can act as if they lived in one single-member district.
As we have already noted, in both counties, blacks would form
well over 80 percent of this "floating" district, see Tr. at 67,
72 (Engstrom), in contrast to the far lower proportions they
constitute of the defendants' proposed districts.
At the evidentiary hearing, defendants' witness, Dr. Alford,
identified three potential problems with the use of limited
voting: first, black voters in Covington and Lamar are unlikely
to exceed the threshold of exclusion and therefore were not
guaranteed to elect a candidate; second, limited voting will
28
impair coalition building; and third, limited voting will lead to
a factionalized electorate. In the context of this case, none of
these objections is apposite.
First, while it is true that the percentages of black
registered voters in Covington and Lamar Counties are below the
12.5 percent threshold of exclusion, black voters will
nonetheless have an excellent opportunity to elect their
preferred candidates. The threshold of exclusion is a worst-case
scenario that depends on the presence of several forms of
strategic behavior by the white electorate. The worst-case
scenario is extremely unlikely. See Tr. at 51 (Engstrom).
Defendants have provided no evidence to suggest that the white
community in either county will support only seven candidates,
let alone that the white community is sufficiently disciplined to
allot its votes absolutely evenly over seven candidates. The
testimony of defendants' own witness, Dr. Alford, suggested that
in Japan, the majority LDP party has found it extremely difficult
to discipline its voters. Tr. at 237; see also Lijphart, Pintor
& Sone, supra. at 158-59 (while "the optimal limited vote system
from the point of minority representation is SNTV," majority
groups may find it difficult to win the expected number of seats
because of uneven support, overnomination, and undernomination).
Moreover, as the examples in the Appendix demonstrate, the
assumptions underlying the worst case scenario need be relaxed
only a slight amount for the black community to achieve the
election of its preferred candidate. From the point of view of a
29
remedy for intentional discrimination against a minority group,
however, the potential difficulties the majority faces in
engaging in the optimal strategy for maximizing its share of
seats is not a weakness, but a benefit of limited voting.
Finally, Dr. Alford's assumption that black turnout will be
far below white turnout in Covington and Lamar Counties, and that
blacks must therefore constitute 16.25 percent of the population
for plaintiffs' plan to provide them with an equal opportunity to
elect their preferred candidates, is not borne out by the
evidence. In fact, in both counties, black turnout exceeded the
ithreshold of exclusion in the 1988 presidential primary, an
election in which the presence on the ballot of a black candidate
with an excellent chance to win encouraged blacks to turn out.13
Thus, it is simply not the case that the black population
13 In Covington County, black turnout represented
approximately 20.19% of the total votes cast in the Democratic
primary. The percentage of votes cast by black voters is the
ratio of black votes cast to total votes cast. Black votes cast
are the product of the percentage of voters who are black times
the percentage of black voters who turn out. The total is the
sum of black votes cast plus white votes cast:
.107 X .2621 = .0280
+ .893 X .1240 = .1107
. 1387
.0280/.1387 = .2019.
Similarly, in Lamar County,
.0941 X .2025 = .0191
+ .9059 X .1210 = .1096
.1287
.0191/.1287 = .1484. In other words, blacks cast 14.84% of the
ballots in Lamar County.
30
percentage would have to be adjusted upward by nearly the
adjustment factor posited by Dr. Alford.
Second, Dr. Alford's argument that limited voting impairs
coalition building ignores several critical realities of politics
in Alabama. For one thing, the presence of racial bloc voting
means, by definition, that whites will not form coalitions with
blacks to support black candidates. Thus, blacks cannot enter
into coalitions as equal partners. For another, as this Court
recognized in its opinion in Dillard II. insuring the
representation of the interests of the black community in the
day-to-day decisionmaking by elected bodies is every bit as
crucial a goal of the Voting Rights Act as opening up the
electoral process itself. See 649 F. Supp. at 295-97; see also
Tr. at 81 (Engstrom) (building coalitions within governing
structures is more likely to serve black interests than building
coalitions in simply electing officials). Indeed, in
jurisdictions whose officials are elected from single-member
districts and in which most black voters are concentrated in one
or a few districts, this is precisely the point at which
effective coalitions are built. Thus, limited voting is no less
likely than election by district to permit or encourage biracial
coalition formation.14
Third, Dr. Alford's observations on the dangers of
14 The same is true of Dr. Alford's claims regarding the
inability of voters in a limited-vote jurisdiction to influence
the election of more than one candidate. In jurisdictions using
single-member district elections, precisely the same criticism can be leveled. See Tr. at 252.
31
factionalization simply are inapposite to the issue in this case.
The sole question before this Court is whether the black
residents of Covington and Lamar Counties will have an equal
opportunity to elect their preferred candidates. It is
irrelevant how the white community splits its votes among its
preferred candidates. Thus, if a group of white voters with
discrete interests are underrepresented relative to other white
voters, their miscalculations are simply the stuff of politics as
usual. Dr. Alford in no way suggested that limited voting would
in any sense impair the political cohesiveness of the black
community. Again, to the extent that limited voting tends to
diminish the hegemony of the majority community, that
characteristic is a benefit, rather than a detriment, in using it
as a remedy for historic white domination.
Conclusion
This Court has the power, and the obligation, to develop an
election system for the Covington and Lamar County Boards of
Education that gives their black residents an equal opportunity
to elect representatives to bodies that have long been chosen by
a process deliberately designed to exclude black representatives
and black influence. The defendants have provided absolutely no
evidence to show that their proposed plans provide the
opportunity required by section 2. Plaintiffs have proposed an
alternative system. We believe defendants' criticisms of limited
voting are meritless in the context of Covington and Lamar County
32
Board elections. But if the Court credits those objections, it
has the duty to develop a system which more nearly provides black
citizens with the rights so long denied them. It cannot simply
consign them to the continued use of election schemes that
exclude them from the fundamental processes of government.
LARRY T. MENEFEE
5th Floor, Title Building
300 21st Street, North
Birmingham, Alabama 35203
JAMES U. BLACKSHER
465 Dauphin Street
Mobile, Alabama 36602
W. EDWARD STILL
714 South 29th Street
Birmingham, Alabama 35233
JULIUS L. CHAMBERS
LANI GUINIER
PAMELA S. KARLAN
99 Hudson Street, 16th Floor
New York, New York 10013
Attorneys for Plaintiffs
Dated: April 22, 1988
33
CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE
I hereby certify that on this 22d day of April 1988, a copy
of the foregoing Post-Trial Brief was served upon the following
counsel, by depositing the same in the United States mail,
postage prepaid:
David R. Boyd
Balch & Bingam
P.0. Box 78
Montgomery, AL 36101
Susan Russ
Assistant Attorney General
Attorney General's Office
11 South Union Street
Montgomery, AL 36130
Ronald H. Strawbridge P.0. Box 522
Vernon, AL 35592
Attorney for Plaintiffs
34
The following two examples are each based on a town with
1000 voters and a seven-member council elected by limited vote,
with each voter having only one vote. The threshold of exclusion
would be 126, that is, a candidate who receives the votes of 126
voters is guaranteed election, since it is impossible for the
other 874 voters to allocate their votes in a way that will
result in seven candidates' getting 126 votes or more.
Example 1: Town 1 has 893 white voters (89.3% of the
electorate) and 107 black voters (10.7% of the electorate).1 Its
black community unanimously supports one candidate.
Under the worst-case scenario, the black community will not
elect its preferred candidate. The worst-case scenario is that:
(1) only seven white candidates run; (2) the white community
supports only those seven candidates (i.e.. no white crossover
voting); and (3) the white community divides its votes evenly
among these seven candidates so that the least-favored white
candidate receives the highest possible number of votes:2
1 In Covington County, 10.7% of registered voters are black. See Tr. at 330 (stipulation).
For ease of reference, all candidates who are numbered
are white candidates and "candidate # 1" will represent the most
popular white candidate, while "candidate # 7" or "candidate # 8" will be the least popular.
Candidate Votes Elected?
White # 1 128 YesWhite # 2 128 Yes
White # 3 128 YesWhite # 4 128 YesWhite # 5 127 YesWhite # 6 127 YesWhite # 7 127 YesBlack 107 No
TOTAL 1000
Relaxing any of the assumptions about white voting behavior
can permit the black community to elect its preferred candidate.
If eight white candidates run, and if candidate # 8 captures
only 16.5% of the votes which would otherwise go to candidate # 7
(only 2.3% of the total white vote), then the black candidate
will be elected:
Candidate Votes Elected?
White # 1 128 YesWhite # 2 128 YesWhite # 3 128 YesWhite # 4 128 YesWhite # 5 127 YesWhite # 6 127 YesWhite # 7 106 NoWhite # 8 21 NoBlack 107 YesTOTAL 1000
Similarly, a minimal level of white cross-over voting for
the candidate preferred by the black community can allow that
candidate to win. Suppose again that only seven white candidates
run. But eleven whites who might otherwise have voted for the
least-favored white candidate instead support the black
candidate. (They would represent 8.7% of the support for the
Appendix-2
least-favored white candidate and only 1.2% of the entire white
electorate.):
Candidate Votes Elected?
White # 1 128 YesWhite # 2 128 YesWhite # 3 128 YesWhite # 4 128 YesWhite # 5 127 Yes
White # 6 127 Yes
White # 7 116 No
Black 118 YesTOTAL 1000
In addition, if the white community does not spread its
votes evenly among the seven white candidates, the black
community's candidate can win. Under the worst-case scenario,
candidate # 1 candidate gets only 128 votes (or 14.3% of the
votes cast by white voters). Suppose instead that the whites'
favorite candidate gets 28.2% of the white votes (or 252 of 893),
and that the white community spreads the rest of its votes evenly
among the remaining six white candidates (to maximize the votes
received by candidate # 7). In that case the black candidate
will win:
Candidate Votes Elected?
White # 1 252 YesWhite # 2 107 YesWhite # 3 107 YesWhite # 4 107 YesWhite # 5 107 YesWhite # 6 107 YesWhite # 7 106 NoBlack 107 YesTOTAL 1000
Appendix-3
The deviation, of course, need not go to one candidate. For
example, if candidates #1, #2, and #3 were to increase their
shares of white votes cast from 14.3% each to between 16.5% and
16.7% each, and were to draw these votes roughly evenly from
candidates #5, #6, and #7, this would allow the black candidate
to win:
Candidate Votes Elected?
White # 1 149 YesWhite # 2 148 YesWhite # 3 148 YesWhite # 4 128 YesWhite # 5 107 YesWhite # 6 107 YesWhite # 7 106 NoBlack 107 YesTOTAL 1000
Of course, if more than one of these "deviations" were to
occur (for example, more than seven white candidates run and
there is some white crossover voting), then the likelihood of the
black-supported candidate being elected increases even more.
Suppose that only 18 (or 2%) of the 894 white voters deviate from
the worst-case scenario: ten white voters vote for an eighth
white candidate; four white voters who "should" have voted for
candidate # 7 vote instead for candidate # 1; and four white
voters vote for the candidate supported by the black community:
Candidate Votes Elected?
White # 1 132 YesWhite # 2 128 YesWhite # 3 128 YesWhite # 4 128 YesWhite # 5 127 Yes
Appendix-4
White # 6 127 YesWhite # 7 109 NoWhite # 8 10 NoBlack 111 Yes
TOTAL 1000
* * *
Example 2: Consider a town with 906 white voters (90.6%
of the electorate) and 94 black voters (9.4% of the
electorate).-* Again, assume that the black community unanimously
supports one candidate.
Here, too, under the worst-case scenario, the black
community will not elect its preferred candidate:
Candidate Votes Elected?
White # 1 130 YesWhite # 2 130 YesWhite # 3 130 YesWhite # 4 129 YesWhite # 5 129 YesWhite # 6 129 YesWhite # 7 129 YesBlack 94 NoTOTAL 1000
But, as Example 1 showed, relaxing any of the assumptions
about white voting behavior can permit the black community to
elect its preferred candidate.
If eight white candidates run, and if candidate # 8 captures
36 white votes (only 28% of the votes which would otherwise go to
candidate # 7 and only 4% of the total white vote), then the
J In Lamar County, 9.41% of the registered voters are black. See Tr. at 330 (stipulation).
Appendix-5
black candidate will be elected:
Candidate Votes Elected?
White # 1 130 YesWhite # 2 130 YesWhite # 3 130 YesWhite # 4 129 YesWhite # 5 129 YesWhite # 6 129 YesWhite # 7 93 NoWhite # 8 36 NoBlack 94 YesTOTAL 1000
Similarly, a minimal level of white crossover voting can
affect the outcome. If 18 whites (14% of the support for the
least-favored white candidate and only 2% of the entire white
electorate) who might otherwise have voted for candidate # 7
instead support the black candidate, the black candidate can win:
Candidate Votes Elected?
White # 1 130 YesWhite # 2 130 YesWhite # 3 130 YesWhite # 4 129 YesWhite # 5 129 YesWhite # 6 129 YesWhite # 7 111 NoBlack 112 YesTOTAL 1000
Similarly, if the white community does not spread its votes
evenly among the seven white candidates, the black community's
candidate can win. Under the worst-case scenario, candidate # 1
gets only 130 votes (or 14.3% of the votes cast by white voters).
Suppose instead that he gets 37.3% of the white votes (or 338 of
906), and that the white community spreads the rest of its votes
Appendix-6
evenly among the remaining six white candidates (to maximize the
votes received by candidate # 7) . In that case the black
candidate will win:
Candidate Votes Elected?
White # 1 338 YesWhite # 2 95 YesWhite # 3 95 YesWhite # 4 95 YesWhite # 5 95 YesWhite # 6 95 YesWhite # 7 93 NoBlack 94 YesTOTAL 1000
Again, the votes need not flow solely to candidate #1. For
example, if candidates #1, #2, and #3 were to increase their
shares of white votes cast from 14.3% each to a little over 18%
each, and were to draw these votes roughly evenly from candidates
#5, #6, and #7, this would allow the black candidate to win:
Candidate Votes Elected?
White # 1 166 YesWhite # 2 165 YesWhite # 3 165 YesWhite # 4 129 YesWhite # 5 94 YesWhite # 6 94 YesWhite # 7 93 NoBlack 94 YesTOTAL 1000
If more than one of these deviations were to occur, this
would also make it possible for the candidate supported by the
black community to win. For example, suppose that 31 (or 3.4%)
of the 906 white voters do not follow the optimal strategy (from
Appendix-7
the point of view of shutting out the black candidate): sixteen
support an eighth white candidate; ten who "should" have
supported candidate # 7 instead support candidate # 1; and five
vote for the black candidate:
Candidate Votes Elected?
White # 1 140 YesWhite # 2 130 YesWhite # 3 130 YesWhite # 4 129 YesWhite # 5 129 YesWhite # 6 129 YesWhite # 7 98 NoWhite # 8 16 NoBlack 99 YesTOTAL 1000
Appendix-8