Petitioner's Appendices
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January 1, 1985

223 pages
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Case Files, McCleskey Legal Records. Petitioner's Appendices, 1985. 8bb2dbfd-62a7-ef11-8a69-6045bdd667da. LDF Archives, Thurgood Marshall Institute. https://ldfrecollection.org/archives/archives-search/archives-item/822b6320-fbcb-4331-b27e-1ac9dfa6b543/petitioners-appendices. Accessed May 15, 2025.
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N N — = NN \ ov 2 ) r N LE N) OD \ / N V ~ ) ~ = zy a ~ N = v \ IN THE SUPREME COURT OF THE UNITED STATES October Term, 1984 WARREN McCLESKEY, Petitioner, ~against- RALPH M. KEMP, Superintendent, Georgia Diagnostic & Classification Center, Respondent, PETITION FOR WRIT OF CERTIORARI TO THE UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS FOR THE ELEVENTH CIRCUIT PETITIONER'S APPENDICES JULIUS L. CHAMBERS JAMES M. NABRIT, III * JOHN CHARLES BOGER DEVAL L. PATRICK 99 Hudson Street New York, New York 10013 (212) 219-1900 ROBERT H. STROUP 1515 Healey Building Atlanta, Georgia 30303 TIMOTHY K. FORD 600 Pioneer Building Seattle, Washington 98104 ANTHONY G. AMSTERDAM New York University School of Law 40 Washington Square South New York, New York 10012 * COUNSEL OF RECORD ATTORNEYS FOR PETITIONER { { | Appendix Appendix . Appendix Appendix Appendix ® . J TABLE OF CONTENTS Opinion of the United States Court of Appeal for the Eleventh Circuit in McCleskey v. Kemp, 753 F.2d 877 (11th Cir. 1983) (en banc) Opinion of the United States Dis- trict Court for the Northern Dis- trict of Georgia, Atlanta Division, in McCleskey v. Zant, 580 F.Supp. 338 (N.D. Ga. 1984) Order of the Court of Appeals, dated March 26, 1985 denying rehearing Statutory Provisions Involved Statements of Facts from Petitioner's Post-Hearing Memorandum of Law in Support of His Claims of Arbitrari- ness and Racial Discrimination, . sub- mitted to the District Court in McCleskey v. Zant, No. C81-2434A; and Statement of Facts from En Banc Brief for Petitioner McCleskey, sub- mitted to the Court of Appeals in McCleskey v. Kemp, No. 84-8176 Appendix A - | Opinion of the United States Court of Appeals for the Eleventh Circuit in McCleskey v. Kemp, 753 F.2d 877 (11th Cir. 1985) (en banc) McCLESKEY v. KEMP 877 Cite as 753 F2d 877 (1989) constituted ineffective assistance of counsel. Id. at 1240. The Court accordingly finds that Petition- er's claim of restriction of non-statutory mitigating factors has been previously raised and adjudicated on the merits. Re- consideration of this claim may be barred pursuant to Rule %(b) and the first branch of the Sanders doctrine unless the ends of justice would thereby be defeated. The Court finds that Petitioner had a full and fair opportunity to present this argu- ment at the time of litigating the second habeas petition. The facts upon which this claim is based were known to Petitioner at the time the second petition was filed be- cause Petitioner relied upon the transcript of the first sentencing hearing in setting forth the ineffective assistance of counsel claim. No justification exists for failing to make this argument in the prior habeas petitions. In addition, the Court finds that the law of the case doctrine precludes relitigation of this claim because, as previously noted, the Eleventh Circuit held in Raulerson v. Wainwright, 732 F.2d 803, 810 (11th Cir. 1984) that challenges to the first sentenc- ing proceeding are irrelevant in a petition for relief from a sentence imposed at the second sentencing proceeding. Again, this decision was not clearly erroneous and would not work a manifest injustice in this case. In conclusion, the Court notes that, with the exception of one witness’ testimony, the gist of the evidence introduced at the hearing on abuse of the writ sought to establish excusable neglect or the absence of deliberate bypass in failing to raise the present claims in the prior petition. How- ever, this Court has concluded that all of Petitioner's claims were indeed raised in the previous habeas petition. Thus, the first branch, rather than the second branch, of the Sanders doctrine applies. Accordingly, it is ORDERED and ADJUDGED: 1. That the Petition for Writ of Habeas Corpus, filed herein on January 23, 1985, is hereby DENIED; 2. That the Motion for a Stay of Execu- tion, filed herein on January 23, 1985, is hereby DENIED; 3. In light of the Court's rulings, the Petitioner's Emergency Motion for Immedi- ate Hearing filed on January 26, 1985; Mo- tion and Authorities for Evidentiary Hear- ing filed on January 23, 1985; Motion for Leave to Take Depositions of Out of State Witnesses filed on January 23, 1985; and ‘Supplemental Motion filed on January 27, 1985, are hereby rendered MOOT. w © f XEY NUMBER SYSTEM T Warren McCLESKEY, Petitioner-Appellee, Cross-Appellant, vy. Ralph KEMP, Warden, Respondent-Appellant, Cross-Appellee. No. 84-3176. United States Court of Appeals, Eleventh Circuit. — ee - Jan. 29, 19185, After defendant's convictions and sen- tences for murder on two counts of armed robbery were affirmed by the Georgia Su- preme Court, 245 Ga. 108, 263 S.E.2d 146, he petitioned for habeas corpus relief. The United States District Court for the North- ern District of Georgia, J. Owen Forrester, J., 330 F.Supp. 338, granted habeas corpus relief, but concluded that defendant failed to support his claim that Georgia death-sen- tencing process was unconstitutional. Both defendant and state appealed. The Court of Appeals, Roney, Circuit Judge, (1) state's nondisclosure of de- hel 1 thn + eld Liisab. 878 tective’'s statement to prisoner who testi- fied that defendant made a jailhouse con- fession did not violate defendant’s due pro- cess rights; (2) proof of a disparate impact alone is insufficient to invalidate a capital sentencing system; (3) fact that on average a white victim crime is six percent more likely to result in death sentence than a comparable black victim crime was not suf- ficient to overcome presumption that Geor- gia death-sentencing process is operating in a constitutional manner; (4) statistical study was insufficient to show that defend- ant’s sentence was determined by race of his victim; (5) defendant failed to establish ineffective assistance of counsel; and (6) in course of asserting his alibi defense, de- fendant effectively conceded issue of in- tent, thus rendering erroneous burden- shifting instruction on inteat harmless be- yond a reasonable doubt. Reversed and rendered. Tjoflat and Vance, Circuit Judges, con- curred with opinions. Kraviteh, Circuit Judge, issued concur- ring statement. R. Lanier Anderson, 111, Circuit Judge, concurred with opinion in which Kraviteh, Circuit Judge, joined as to the constitution- al application of the Georgia Death Statute. Godbold, Chief Judge, dissented in part and concurred in part with opinion in which Johnson, Hatchett and Clark, Circuit Judges, joined as to the dissent in the Gig- [10 issue. Johnson, Circuit Judge, dissented in part and concurred in part with opinion in which Hatchett and Clark, Circuit Judges, joined. Hatchett and Clark, Circuit Judges, dissented in part and concurred in part with opinions. 1. Constitutional Law &268(9, 10) State violates due process when it ob- tains a conviction through use of false evi- dence or on basis of a witness testimony when that witness has failed to disclose a promise of favorable treatment from the 753 FEDERAL REPORTER, 2d SERIES prosecution. U.S.C.A. Const.Amends. 5, 14. 2. Criminal Law &700(4) Purpose of rule requiring disclosure of a promise of favorable treatment as a re- ward for his testimony is to ensure that a jury knows the facts that motivate witness in giving testimony. 3. Constitutional Law &=268(10) State's nondisclosure of statement of detective to witness that detective would. “speak a word” for him did not infringe defendant's due process rights, since state ment offered such a marginal benefit that it was doubtful it would motivate a reluc- tant witness, or that disclosure of state- ment would have had any effect on his credibility. U.S.C.A. Const.Amends. 5, 14. 4. Criminal Law ¢1171.1(1) Even if state's failure to disclose detec- tive’s cryptic statement to witness that he would “speak a word” for him or to dis- close witness’ inconsistent version of es- cape constituted a violation of defendant's due process rights, error was harmless, since it was unlikely that undisclosed infor- mation would have affected jury's assess- ment of witness’ credibility. U.S.C.A. Const. Amends. 5, 14. 5. Criminal Law ¢=510 Under Georgia law, an accomplice’s testimony alone in felony cases is insuffi- cient to establish a fact. O.C.G.A. § 24-4- 8. 6. Criminal Law &=511.1(4) Corroboration of accomplice’s testimo- ny need not extend to every material detail. 7. Criminal Law &332(1) In evidentiary terms, statistical studies based on correlation are circumstantial evi- dence; they are not direct evidence. 8. Criminal Law <=1208.1(4) Limited circumstance under which sta- tistical evidence alone can establish inten tional racial discrimination in the imposition of capital sentence is where the statistical evidence of racially disproportionate impact is so strong as to permit no inference other McCLESKEY v. KEMP 879 Clte as 753 F.2d 877 (198%) . than that the results are the product of a racially discriminatory intent or purpose. 9, Criminal Law &388 Statistical evidence may be presented in the trial court through direct testimony and cross-examination of statistical infor- mation that bears on an issue. 10. Criminal Law &1213.8(8) A successful Eighth Amendment chal- lenge, based on race, to a capital sentenc- ing system would require proof that the race factor is operating in the system in such a pervasive manner that it could fairly be said that system is irrational, arbitrary and capricious. U.S.C.A. Const.Amend. 3. 11. Constitutional Law €27((1) Where a capital sentencing statute is facially neutral, a due process claim based on race must be supported by proof that a state, through its prosecutors, jurors, and judges, has implicitly attached an aggravat- ing label to race. U.S.C.A. Const. Amends. 5, i4. 12. Constitutional Law 251 Application of the due process clause is an uncertain enterprise which must dis- cover what ‘fundamental fairness” con- sists of in a particular situation by first considering any relevant precedents and then by assessing the several interests that are at stake; due process also requires the assessment of the risk that the procedures being used will lead to erroneous decisions. U.S.C.A. Const.Amends. 5, 14. 13. Constitutional Law &270(2) With regard to a claim that a capital- sentencing process violates due process be- cause of a race factor, claimant must present evidence which establishes that in the process race is a motivating factor in the decision. U.S.C.A. Const.Amends. 3, 14. 14. Criminal Law ¢986.2(1) : Where racial discrimination is claimed with regard to sentencing process, not on basis of procedural faults or flaws in the structure of the law, but on the basis of the decisions made within that process, then purpose, intent and motive are a natural component of the proof that discrimination actually occurred. 15. Constitutional Law 215 With regard to a constitutional claim of racial discrimination, a showing of dis- proportionate impact alone is not sufficient to prove requisite discriminatory intent un- less no other reasonable inference can be drawn. 16. Criminal Law &=1208.1(4) Proof of a disparate impact alone is insufficient to invalidate a capital sentenc- ing system, unless that disparate impact is so great that it compels conclusion that the system is unprincipled, irrational, arbitrary and capricious such that purposeful dis- crimination, i.e., race is intentionally being used as a factor in sentencing, can be pre- sumed to permeate the system. 17. Criminal Law &1208.1(4) With regard to claim of racial disparity in application of a state's death penalty, statistical studies may reflect a disparity so . great as to inevitably lead to a conclusion that the disparity results from discrimina- tory intent or motivation. 18. Criminal Law &113&(1) Findings of fact are reviewed under the clearly-erroneous standard. 19. Criminal Law &=1158(1) Whether a disparate impact reflects an intent to discriminate is an ultimate fact which must be reviewed under the clearty- erroneous standard. 20. Criminal Law &1208.1(4) Fact that on average a white victim erime is six percent more likely to result in a death sentence than a comparable black victim crime was not sufficient to overcome presumption that Georgia capital sentenc- ing system is operating in a constitutional manner. 21. Criminal Law &=1208.1(4) Assuming that statistical study was accurate in its conclusion that a white vic- tim increased likelihood of death penalty by approximately 20 percent in midrange 880 cases, such a disparity did not provide basis for systemwide challenge to Georgia capi- tal-sentencing process, since system as a whole is operating in a rational manner, and not in a manner that can fairly be labeled arbitrary or capricious. 22. Criminal Law &986.2(1) Statistical study showing that, on aver- age, race-of-the-victim factor was more likely to affect outcome in midrange cases than in those cases at high and low ends of the spectrum of aggravation was insuffi- cient to show that defendant's sentence was determined by race of his victim or even that race of victim contributed to im- position of the penalty. 23. Criminal Law €1166.11(3) Ineffective assistance of counsel war- rants reversal of a conviction only when there is a reasonable probability that the attorney's errors altered the outcome of the proceeding. 24. Criminal Law €=641.13(1) A court may decide an ineffectiveness of counsel claim on ground of lack of preju- dice without considering reasonableness of attorney’s performance. 25. Criminal Law €1166.11(5) Defendant failed to demonstrate preju- dice caused by counsel's failure to inter- view prisoner who testified that defendant gave a jailhouse confession, with regard to detective’s statement to prisoner, since there was no reasonable probability that counsel’s failure to discover such evidence affected the verdict. 26. Criminal Law &1166.11(5) Defendant failed to establish that he was prejudiced by counsel's failure to inter- view victims of robbery, in absence of con- tention that an in-person interview would have revealed something their statements did not; moreover, defendant had an oppor- tunity to cross-examine several of the rob- bery victims at his preliminary hearing. 27. Criminal Law &641.13(6), 1166.11(5) Counsel's failure to subpoena victims of robbery as defense witnesses did not 753 FEDERAL REPORTER, 2d SERIES constitute ineffective assistance of counsel; where counsel relied primarily on alibi de- fense at trial, and it would have under- mined his defense if he had called the vic- tims to testify as to which robber did the shooting; moreover, no prejudice could be shown by failing to subpoena the witness- es. 28. Criminal Law &641.13(6) Attorney’s failure to interview state's ballistics expert did not constitute ineffec- tive assistance of counsel, since attorney could have reasonably prepared to cross-ex- amine state’s expert by reading expert's report in prosecutor's file; no in-person interview was necessary. 29. Criminal Law &641.13(6) Where attorney talked with both de- fendant and his sister about potential char- acter witnesses who would testify at sen- tencing phase, they suggested no possibili- ties, and sister refused to testify and ad- vised attorney that their mother was too sick to travel to site of trial, attorney con- ducted reasonable investigation for charac- ter witnesses. 30. Criminal Law ¢=641.13(6) With regard to ineffective assistance of counsel claim based on failure of counsel to object to state's introduction of three convictions resulting in life sentences, all of which were set aside on Fourth Amend- ment grounds, evidence did not result in any undue prejudice, because although con- victions were overturned, charges were not dropped and defendant pleaded guilty and received sentences of 18 years, a reduction in sentence which was disclosed at trial U.S.C.A. Const.Amend. 4. 31. Jury &33(2.1), 108 Jurors who indicated that they would not, under any circumstances, consider im- posing the death penalty were properly ex- cluded, and such exclusion did not violate defendant's Sixth Amendment rights to an impartial, community-representative jury. US CA. Const.Amend. 6. McCLESKEY v. KEMP 881 Cite as 753 F2d 877 (1985) 32. Criminal Law 1172.2 An erroneous burden-shifting instruc- tion may have been harmless if evidence of guilt was so overwhelming that error could not have contributed to jury's decision to convict. 33. Criminal Law 1172.6 An erroneous burden-shifting instruc- tion may be harmless where instruction shifts burden on an element that is not an issue at trial. 34. Criminal Law &308 A defendant in a criminal trial may rely entirely on presumption of innocence and state’s burden of proving every ele- ment of the crime beyond a reasonable doubt. Pa 35. Criminal Law 1172.2 Erroneous burden-shifting instruction concerning intent was harmless beyond a reasonable doubt, considering that defend- ant in course of asserting his alibi defense effectively conceded issue of intent. 36. Criminal Law 1172.2 Where the state has presented over- whelming evidence of an intentional killing and where defendant raises a defense of nonparticipation in the crime rather than lack of mens rea, a Sandstrom violation on an intent instruction is harmless beyond a reasonable doubt. Mary Beth Westmoreland, Asst. Atty. Gen., Atlanta, Ga., for respondent-appel- lant, cross-appellee. Robert H. Stroup, Atlanta, Ga., John Charles Boger, Anthony G. Amsterdam, New York University-School of Law, New * All of the Judges of the Court concur in the judgment as to the death-oriented jury claim and the ineffective assistance of counsel claim. Judges Tjoflat, Vance and Anderson join in the opinion but each has written separately on the constitutional application of the Georgia death sentence. Judge Kravitch has written separately to concur only in the harmless error portion of the opin- ion on the Giglio issue but joins in the opinion on all other issues. York City, for petitioner-appellee, cross-ap- pellant. Appeals from the United States District Court for the Northern District of Georgia. Before GODBOLD, Chief Judge, RO- NEY, TJOFLAT, JAMES C. HILL, FAY, VANCE, KRAVITCH, JOHNSON, AL- BERT J. HENDERSON, HATCHETT, R. LANIER ANDERSON, III, and CLARK, Circuit Judges. RONEY, Circuit Judge, with whom Judges TJOFLAT, JAMES C. HILL, FAY, VANCE, ALBERT J. HENDERSON and R. LANIER ANDERSON, III, join *: This case was taken en banc principally to consider the argument arising in numer- ous capital cases that statistical proof shows the Georgia capital sentencing law is being administered in an unconstitutionally discriminatory and arbitrary and capricious matter. After a lengthy evidentiary hear- ing which focused on a study by Professor David C. Baldus, the district court conclud- ed for a variety of reasons that the statisti cal evidence was insufficient to support the claim of unconstitutionality in the death sentencing process in Georgia. We affirm the district court's judgment on this point. The en banc court has considered all the other claims involved on this appeal. On the State's appeal, we reverse the district court's grant of habeas corpus relief on the claim that the prosecutor failed to disclose a promise of favorable treatment to a state witness in violation of Giglio v. United States, 405 U.S. 150, 92 S.Ct. 763, 31 L.Ed.2d 104 (1972). We. affirm the judg- ment denying relief on all other points raised by the defendant, that is: (1) that defendant received ineffective assistance of Chief Judge Godbold dissents from the judg- ment of the Court on the Gégiio issue but joins in the opinion on all other issues. Judges Johnson, Hatchett and Clark dissent from the judgment of the Court on the constitu- tional application of the Georgia death sentence and the Sandstrom and Giglio issues and each has written a separate dissenting opinion. 882 counsel; (2) that jury instructions contra- vened the due process clause in violation of Sandstrom v. Montana, 442 U.S. 510, 99 S.Ct. 2450, 61 L.Ed.2d 39 (1979); and (3) that the exclusion of death-scrupled jurors violated the right to an impartial and unbi- ased jury drawn from a representative cross-section of the community. Thus, concluding that the district court should have denied the petition for writ of habeas corpus, we affirm on all claims de- nied by the court, but reverse the grant of habeas corpus relief on the Giglio claims. FACTS Warren McCleskey was arrested and charged with the murder of a police officer during an armed robbery of the Dixie Fur- niture Store. The store was robbed by a band of four men. Three entered through the back door and one through the front. While the men in the rear of the store searched for cash, the man who entered through the front door secured the show- room by forcing everyone there to lie face down on the floor. Responding to a silent alarm, a police officer entered the store by the front door. Two shots were fired. One shot struck the police officer in the head causing his death. The other glanced off a cigarette lighter in his chest pocket. McCleskey was identified by two of the store personnel as the robber who came in the front door. Shortly after his arrest, McCleskey confessed to participating in the robbery but maintained that he was not the triggerman. McCleskey confirmed the eye- witness’ accounts that it was he who en- tered through the front door. One of his accomplices, Ben Wright, testified that McCleskey admitted to shooting the officer. A jail inmate housed near McCleskey testi- fied that McCleskey made a “jail house confession” in which he claimed he was the triggerman. The police officer was killed by a bullet fired from a .38 caliber Rossi handgun. McCleskey had stolen a .38 cali ber Rossi in a previous holdup. PRIOR PROCEEDINGS The jury convicted McCleskey of murder and two counts of armed robbery. At the 753 FEDERAL REPORTER, 2d SERIES penalty hearing, neither side called any wit- nesses. The State introduced documentary evidence of McCleskey’s three prior convic- tions for armed robbery. The jury sentenced McCleskey to death for the murder of the police officer and to consecutive life sentences for the two counts of armed robbery. These convic- tions and sentences were affirmed by the Georgia Supreme Court. McClesky nv. State, 245 Ga. 108, 263 S.E.2d 146, cert. denied, 449 U.S. 891, 101 S.Ct. 253, 66 L.Ed.2d 119 (1980). McCleskey then peti- tioned for habeas corpus relief in state court. This petition was denied after an evidentiary hearing. The Georgia Supreme Court denied McCleskey’s application for a certificate of probable cause to appeal The United States Supreme Court denied a petition for a writ of certiorari. McCleskey v. Zant, 454 U.S. 1093, 102 S.Ct. 839, 70 L.Ed.2d 631 (1981). McCleskey then filed his petition for ha- beas corpus relief in federal district court asserting, among other things, the five con- stitutional challenges at issue on this ap peal. After an evidentiary hearing and consideration of extensive memoranda filed by the parties, the district court entered the lengthy and detailed judgment from which these appeals are taken. McCleskey v. Zant, 380 F.Supp~ 338 (N.D.Ga.1984). This opinion addresses each issue assert ed on appeal in the following order: (1) the Giglio claim, (2) constitutionality of the application of Georgia's death penalty, (3) effective assistance of counsel, (4) death- qualification of jurors, and (5) the Sand- strom issue. GIGLIO CLAIM {1] The district court granted habeas corpus relief to McCleskey because it deter- mined that the state prosecutor failed to reveal that one of its witnesses had been promised favorable treatment as a reward for his testimony. The State violates due process when it obtains a conviction through the use of false evidence or on the McCLESKEY v. KEMP 883 Clte as 753 F.2d 877 (1985) basis of a witness's testimony when that witness has failed to disclose a promise of favorable treatment from the prosecution. Giglio v. United States, 405 U.S. 150, 92 S.Ct. 763, 31 L.Ed.2d 104 (1972). We hold that (1) there was no promise in this case, as contemplated by Giglio; and (2) in any event, had there been a Giglio violation, it would be harmless. Thus, we reverse the grant of habeas corpus relief on this ground. Offie Gene Evans, a prisoner incarcerat- ed with McCleskey, was called by the State on rebuttal to strengthen its proof that McCleskey was the triggerman at the hold- up. Evans testified that McCleskey admit- ted to him in jail that he shot the policeman and that McCleskey said he had worn makeup to disguise his appearance during the robbery. The “Promise” At McCleskey’s state habeas corpus hearing, Evans gave the following account of certain conversations with state offi- ials. THE COURT: Mr. Evans, let me ask you a question. At the time that you testi fied in Mr. McCleskey’s trial, had you been promised anything in exchange for your testimony’ THE WITNESS: No, | wasn’t. I wasn’t promised nothing about—I wasn't promised nothing by the D.A. but the Detective told me that he would—he said he was going to do it himself, speak a word for me. That was what the Detective toid me. Q: (by McCleskey’s attorney): The De- tective said he would speak a word for you? A: Yeah. A deposition of McCleskey’'s prosecutor that was taken for the state habeas corpus proceeding reveals that the prosecutor con- tacted federal authorities after McCles- key’s trial to advise them of Evans’ cooper- ation and that the escape charges were dropped. The Trial Testimony At the trial the State brought out on direct examination that Evans was incar- cerated on the charge of escape from a federal halfway house. Evans denied re- ceiving any promises from the prosecutor and downplayed the seriousness of the es- cape charge. Q: [by prosecutor]: Mr. Evans, have I promised you anything for testifying today? A: No, sir, you ain’t. Q: You do have an escape charge still pending, is that correct? A: Yes, sir. [I've got one, but really it ain’t no escape, what the peoples out there tell me, because something went wrong out there so I just went home. [ stayed at home and when [ called the man and told him that I would be a little late coming in, he placed me on escape charge and told me there wasn’t no use of me coming back, and [ just stayed on at home and he come and picked me up. Q: Are you hoping that perhaps you won't be prosecuted for that escape? A: Yeah, I hope I don’t, but I don’t— what they tell me, they ain’t going to charge me with escape no way. -Q: Have you asked me to try to fix it so you wouldn't get charged with escape? A: No, sir. Q: Have I told you [ would try to fix it for you? A: No, sir. The State Habeas Corpus Decision The state court rejected McCleskey's Giglio claim on the following reasoning: Mr. Evans at the habeas hearing denied that he was promised anything for his testimony. He did state that he was told by Detective Dorsey that Dorsey would ‘speak a word’ for him. The detective’s er parte communication recommendation alone is not sufficient to trigger the ap- plicability of Giglio v. United States, 405 U.S. 150 [92 S.Ct. 763, 31 L.Ed.2d 104) (1972). 884 The prosecutor at petitioner’s trial, Rus- sel J. Parker, stated that he was un- aware of any. understandings between Evans and any Atlanta Police Depart- ment detectives regarding a favorable recommendation to be made on Evans’ federal escape charge. Mr. Parker ad- mitted that there was opportunity for Atlanta detectives to put in a good word for Evans with federal any police officer has been killed and someone ends up testifying for the State, putting his life in danger, it is not sur- prising that charges, like those against Evans, will be dropped. In the absence of any other evidence, the Court cannot conclude an agreement ex- isted merely because of the subsequent disposition of criminal charges against a witness for the State. Although it is reasonable to conclude that the state court found that there was no agreement between Evans and the pros- ecutor, no specific finding was made as to Evans’ claim that a detective promised to “speak a word for him.” The court merely held as a matter of law that assuming Evans was telling the truth, no Giglio vio- lation had occurred. Was It a Promise? The Supreme Court's rationale for impos- ing this rule is that “{t]he jury’s estimate of the truthfulness and reliability of a giv- en witness may well be determinative of guilt or innocence.” Napue v. Illinois, 360 U.S. 264, 269, 79 S.Ct. 1173, 1177, 3 L.Ed.2d 1217 (1959). The Court has never provided definitive guidance on when the Govern- ment’s dealings with a prospective witness so affect the witness’ credibility that they must be disclosed at trial. In Giglio, a prosecutor promised the defendant's al- leged co-conspirator that no charges would be brought against him if he testified against the defendant. cutor promised a witness that in exchange for his testimony the prosecutor would rec ommend that the sentence the witness was presently serving be reduced. authorities. However, he further stated that when. In Napue, a prose’ 753 FEDERAL REPORTER, 2d SERIES [2,3] In this case, the detective’s prom- ise to speak a word falls far short of the understandings reached in Giglio and Ng- pue. As stated by this Court, “[t]he thrust of Giglio and its progeny has been to en. sure that the jury know the facts that might motivate a witness in giving testimo- ny.” Smith v. Kemp, 715 F.2d 1459, 1467 (11th Cir.), cert. denied, — U.S. —, 104 S.Ct.-510, 78 L.Ed.2d 699 (1983). The de tective's statement offered such a marginal benefit, as indicated by Evans, that it is doubtful it would motivate a reluctant wit- ness, or that disclosure of the statement would have had any effect on his credibili- ty. The State's nondisclosure therefore failed to infringe McCleskey’s due process rights. Was Any Violation Harmless? [4] In any event, there is no “reason able likelihood” that the State’s failure to disclose the detective’s cryptic statement or Evans’ different escape scenario affected the judgment of the jury. See Giglio, 405 U.S. at 154, 92 S.Ct. at 766. Evans’ credi- bility was exposed to substantial impeach- ment even without the detective’s state ment and the inconsistent description of his escape. The prosecutor began his direct examination by having Evans recite a lita- ny of past convictions. Evans admitted to convictions for forgery, two burglaries, lar- ceny, carrying a concealed weapon, and theft from the United States mail. On cross examination, McCleskey's attorney attempted to portray Evans as a “profes- sional criminal”. Evans also admitted that he was testifying to protect himself and one of McCleskey's codefendants. In light of this substantial impeachment evidence, we find it unlikely that the undisclosed information would have affected the jury’s assessment of Evans’ credibility. See United States v. Anderson, 574 F.2d 1347, 1356 (5th Cir.1978). [5,6] McCleskey claims Evans’ testimo- ny was crucial because the only other test- mony which indicated he pulled the trigger came from his codefendant, Ben Wright. Ben Wright's testimony, McCleskey urges, McCLESKEY v. KEMP 885 Cite as 753 F.2d 877 (1985) would have been insufficient under Georgia law to convict him without the corrobora- tion provided by Evans. In Georgia, an accomplice’s testimony alone in felony cases is insufficient to establish a fact. 0.C.G.A. § 24-4-8. Wright's testimony, however, was corroborated by McCleskey’s own confession in which McCleskey admit- ted participation in the robbery. See Ar- nold v. State, 236 Ga. 534, 224 S.E.2d 386, 388 (1976). Corroboration need not extend to every material detail. Blalock v. State, 250 Ga. 441, 298 S.E.2d 477, 479-80 (1983); Cofer v. State, 166 Ga.App. 436, 304 S.E.2d 537, 539 (1983). The district court thought Evans’ testi- mony critical because of the information he supplied about makeup and McCleskey’s intent in shooting the police officer. Al though we agree that his testimony added weight to the prosecution's case, we do not find that it could “in any reasonable likeli- hood have affected the judgment of the jury.” Giglio, 405 U.S. at 154, 92 S.Ct. at 766 (quoting Napue v. lllinots, 360 U.S. at 271, 79 S.Ct. at 1178). Evans, who was called only in rebuttal, testified that McCleskey had told him that he knew he had to shoot his way out, and that even if there had been twelve policemen he would have done the same thing. This statement, the prosecutor argued, showed malice. In his closing argument, however, the prose cutor presented tg the jury three reasons supporting a conviction for malice murder. First, he argued that the physical evidence showed malicious intent because it indi- cated that McCleskey shot the police offi- cer once in the head and a second time in the chest as he lay dying on the floor. Second, the prosecutor asserted that McCleskey had a choice, either to surren- der or to kill the officer. That he chose 0 kill indicated malice. Third, the prosecutor contended that McCleskey's statement to Evans that he still would have shot his way out if there had been twelve police officers showed malice. This statement by McCles- key was not developed at length during Evans’ testimony and was mentioned only in passing by the prosecutor in closing ar- gument. Evans’ testimony that McCleskey had made up his face corroborated the identifi- cation testimony of one of the eyewitness- es. Nevertheless, this evidence was not crucial to the State's case. That McCles- key was wearing makeup helps to establish he was the robber who entered the furni- ture store through the front door. This fact had already been directly testified to by McCleskey’s accomplice and two eyewit- nesses as well as corroborated by McCles- key’s own confession. That Evans’ test- mony buttresses one of the eyewitnesses’ identifications is relatively unimportant. 7 Thus, although Evans’ testimony might well be regarded as important in certain respects, the corroboration of that testimo- ny was such that the revelation of the Giglio promise would not reasonably affect the jury’s assessment of his credibility and therefore would have had no effect on the jury's decision. The district court's grant of habeas corpus relief on this issue must be reversed. CONSTITUTIONAL APPLICATION OF GEORGIA’S DEATH PENALTY In challenging the constitutionality of the application of Georgia's capital statute, McCleskey alleged two related grounds for relief: (1) that the “death penalty is admin- istered arbitrarily, capriciously, and whim- sically in the State of Georgia,” and (2) i “is imposed ... pursuant to a pattern and practice ... to discriminate on the grounds of race,” both in violation of the Eighth and Fourteenth Amendments of the Constitu- tion. The district court granted petitioner's motion for an evidentiary hearing on his claim of system-wide racial discrimination under the Equal Protection Clause of the Fourteenth Amendment. The court noted that “it appears that petitioner's Eighth Amendment argument has been re- jected by this Circuit in Spinkellink v. Wainwright, 578 F.2d 582, 612-14 (5th Cir. 1978) [but] petitioner's Fourteenth Amendment claim may be appropriate for consideration in the context of statistical 886 evidence which the petitioner proposes to present.” Order of October 8, 1982, at 4. An evidentiary hearing was held in Au- gust, 1983. Petitioner's case in chief was presented through the testimony of two expert witnesses, Professor David C. Bal- dus and Dr. George Woodworth, as well as two principal lay witnesses, Edward Gates and L.G. Warr, an official employed by Georgia Board of Pardons and Paroles. The state offered the testimony of two expert witnesses, Dr. Joseph Katz and Dr. Roger Burford. In rebuttal, petitioner re- ‘called Professor Baldus and Dr. Wood- worth, and presented further expert testi- mony from Dr. Richard Berk. In a comprehensive opinion, reported at 580 F.Supp. 338, the district court conclud- ed that petitioner failed to make out a prima facie case of discrimination in sen- tencing based on either the race of victims or the race of defendants. The Court dis- counted the disparities shown by the Bal- dus study on the ground that the research (1) showed substantial flaws in the data base, as shown in tests revealing coding errors and mismatches between items on the Procedural Reform Study (PRS) and Comprehensive Sentencing Study (CSS) questionnaires; (2) lacked accuracy and showed flaws in the models, primarily be- cause the models do not measure decisions based on knowledge available to decision- maker and only predicts outcomes in 58 percent of the cases; and (3) demonstrated multi-collinearity among model variables, showing interrelationship among the varia- bles and consequently distorting relation- ships, making interpretation difficuit. The district court further held that even if a prima facie case had been established, the state had successfully rebutted the showing because: (1) the results were not the product of good statistical methodolo- gy, (2) other explanations for the study results could be demonstrated, such as, white victims were acting as proxies for aggravated cases and that black-vietim cases, and (3) black-victim cases, being left cases, and (3) black-victim cases being left behind at the life sentence and voluntary 753 FEDERAL REPORTER, 2d SERIES manslaughter stages, are less aggravated - and more mitigated than the white-victim cases disposed of in similar fashion. The district court concluded that petition- er failed to carry his ultimate burden of persuasion, because there is no consistent statistically significant evidence that the death penalty is being imposed on the basis of the race of defendant. In particular there was no statistically significant evi- dence produced to show that prosecutors are seeking the death penalty or juries are imposing the death penalty because the defendant is black or the victim is white. Petitioner conceded that the study is incap- able of demonstrating that he was singled out for the death penalty because of the race of either himself or his victim, and, therefore, petitioner failed to demonstrate that racial considerations caused him to receive the death penalty. We adopt the following approach in ad- dressing the argument that the district court erred in refusing to hold that the Georgia statute is unconstitutionally ap- plied in light of the statistical evidence. First, we briefly describe the statistical Baldus study that was done in this case. Second, we discuss the evidentiary value such studies have in establishing the ulti mate facts that control a constitutional de- cision. Third, we discuss the constitutional law in terms of what must be proved in order for petitioner to prevail on an argu- ment that a state capital punishment law is unconstitutionally applied because of race discrimination. Fourth, we discuss wheth- er a generalized statistical study such as this could ever be sufficient to prove the allegations of ultimate fact necessary to sustain a successful constitutional attack on a defendant's sentence. Fifth, we dis- cuss whether this study is valid to prove what it purports to prove. Sirth, we de- cide that this particular study, assuming its validity and that it proves what it claims to prove, is insufficient to either require or support a decision for petitioner. In summary, we affirm the district court on the ground that, assuming the validity of the research, it would not support a McCLESKEY v. KEMP 887 Cite as 753 F.2d 877 (1985) decision that the Georgia law was being unconstitutionally applied, much less would it compel such a finding, the level which petitioner would have to reach in order to prevail on this appeal. The Baldus Study The Baldus study analyzed the imposi- tion of sentence in homicide cases to deter- mine the level of disparities attributable to race in the rate of the imposition of the death sentence. In the first study, Proce- dural Reform Study (PRS), the results re- vealed no race-of-defendant effects whatso- ever, and the results were unclear at that stage as to race-of-victim effects. The second study, the Charging and Sen- tencing Study (CSS), consisted of a random stratified sample of all persons indicted for murder from 1973 through 1979. The study examined the cases from indictment through sentencing. The purpose of the study was to estimate racial effects that were the product of the combined effects of all decisions from the point of indictment to the point of the final death-sentencing decision, and to include strength of the evidence in the cases. The study attempted to control for all of the factors which play into a capital crime system, such as aggravating circumstanc- es, mitigating circumstances, strength of evidence, time period of imposition of sen- tence, geographical areas (urban/rural), and race of defendant and victim. The data collection for these studies was ex- ceedingly complex, involving cumbersome data collection instruments, extensive field work by multiple data collectors and so- phisticated computer coding, entry and data cleaning processes. Baldus and Woodworth completed a mul- titude of statistical tests on the data con- sisting of regression analysis, indexing fac- tor analysis, cross tabulation, and triangu- lation. The results showed a 67% racial effect systemwide for white victim, black defendant cases with an increase to 20% in the mid-range of cases. There was no sug- gestion that a uniform, institutional bias existed that adversely affected defendants in white victim cases in all circumstances, _or a black defendant in all cases. The object of the Baldus study in Fulton County, where McCleskey was convicted, was to determine whether the sentencing pattern disparities that were observed statewide with respect to race of the victim and race of defendant were pertinent to Fulton County, and whether the evidence concerning Fulton County shed any light on Warren McCleskey’s death sentence as an aberrant death sentence, or whether racial considerations may have played a role in the disposition of his case. Because there were only ten cases in- volving police officer victims in Fulton County, statistical analysis could not be utilized effectively. Baldus conceded that it was difficult to draw any inference con- cerning the overall race effect in these cases because there had only been one death sentence. He concluded that based on the data there was only a possiblity that a racial factor existed in McCleskey’s case. Social Science Research Evidence To some extent a broad issue before this Court concerns the role that social science is to have in judicial decisionmaking. So-- cial science is a broad-based field consist- ing ‘of many specialized discipline areas, such as psychology, anthropology, econom- ics, political science, history and sociology. Cf. Sperlich, Social Science Evidence and the Courts: Reaching Beyond the Adviso- ry Process, 63 Judicature 280, 283 n. 14 (1980). Research consisting of parametric . and nonparametric measures is conducted under both laboratory controlled situations and uncontrolled conditions, such as real life observational situations, throughout the disciplines. The broad objectives for social science research are to better under- stand mankind and its institutions in order to more effectively plan, predict, modify and enhance society's and the individual's circumstances. Social science as a nonezx- act science is always mindful that its re search is dealing with highly complex beha- vioral patterns and institutions that exist in a highly technical society. At best, this 888 research “models” and ‘‘reflects” society and provides society with trends and infor- mation for broad-based generalizations. The researcher’s intent is to use the conclu- sions from research to predict, plan, de scribe, explain, understand or modify. To utilize conclusions from such research to explain the specific intent of a specific be- havioral situation goes beyond the legit: mate uses for such research. Even when this research is at a high level of exactness, in design and results, social scientists read- ily admit their steadfast hesitancies to con- clude such results can explain specific be- “havioral actions in a certain situation. ~The judiciary is aware of the potential limitations inherent in such research: (1) the imprecise nature of the discipline; (2) the potential inaccuracies in presented data; (3) the potential bias of the research- er; (4) the inherent problems with the methodology; (5) the specialized training needed to assess and utilize the data com- petently, and (6) the debatability of the appropriateness for courts to use empirical evidence in decisionmaking. Cf Henry, /n- troduction: A Journey into the Future— The Role of Empirical Evidence in Devel- oping Labor Law, 1981 U.IlLL.Rev. 1, 4; Sperlich, 63 Judicature at 283 n. 14. Historically, beginning with “Louis Bran- deis’ use of empirical evidence before the Supreme Court ... persuasive social sci- ence evidence has been presented to the courts.” Forst, Rhodes & Wellford, Sen- tencing and Social Science: Research for the Formulation of Federal Guidelines, 7 Hofstra L.Rev. 353 (1979). See Muller v. Oregon, 208 US. 412, 28 S.Ct 324, 32 L.Ed. 531 (1908); Brown v. Board of £du- cation, 347 U.S. 483, 74 S.Ct. 686, 98 L.Ed. 873 (1954). The Brandeis brief presented social facts as corroborative in the judicial decisionmaking process. O'Brien, Of Jud:- cial Myths, Motivations and Justifica- tions: A Postscript on Social Science and the Law, 64 Judicature 285, 238 (1981). The Brandeis brief “is a well-known tech- nique for asking the court to take judicial notice of social facts.” Sperlich, 63 Judica- ture at 280, 285 n. 31. ‘It does not solve the problem of how to bring valid scientific 753 FEDERAL REPORTER, 2d SERIES materials to the attention of the court.... Brandeis did not argue that the data were valid, only that they existed.... The main contribution ... was to make extra-legal data readily available to the court.” /d. This Court has taken a position that so- cial science research does play a role in judicial decisionmaking in certain situa- tions, even in light of the limitations of such research. Statistics have been used primarily in cases addressing discrimina- . tion. [7] Statistical analysis is useful only to show facts. In evidentiary terms, statisti- cal studies based on correlation are circum- stantial evidence. They are not direct evi- dence. Teamsters v. United States, 431 U.S. 324, 340, 97 S.Ct. 1843, 1856, 52 L.Ed.2d 396 (1977). Statistical studies do not purport to state what the law is in a given situation. The law is applied to the facts as revealed by the research. In this case the realities examined, based on a certain set of facts reduced to data, were the descriptive characteristics and numbers of persons being sentenced to death in Georgia. Such studies reveal, as circumstantial evidence through their study analyses and results, possible, or probable, relationships that may exist in the realities studied. [8] The usefulness of statistics obvious- ly depends upon what is attempted to be proved by them. If disparate impact is sought to be proved, statistics are more useful than if the causes of that impact must be proved. Where intent and motiva- tion must be proved, the statistics have even less utility. This Court has said in discrimination cases, however, “that while statistics alone usually cannot establish in- tentional discrimination, under certain lim- ited circumstances they might.” Spencer v. Zant 715 F.2d 1582 1581 {11th Cir. 1983), on pet. for reh’g and for reh’g en bane, 729 F.2d 1293 (11th Cir.1984). See also Eastland vr. Tennessee Valley Au- thority, 704 F.2d 613, 618 (11th Cir.1983); Johnson v. Uncle Ben's, Inc., 628 F.2d 419, 421 (5th Cir.1980), cert. dented, 459 US. McCLESKEY v. KEMP 889 Cite as 733 F2d 877 (1985) 967, 103 S.Ct. 293, 74 L.Ed.2d 277 (1982). These limited circumstances are where the statistical evidence of racially dispropor- tionate impact is so strong as to permit no inference other than that the results are the product of a racially discriminatory in- tent or purpose. See Smith v. Balkcom, 671 F.2d 858 (5th Cir. Unit B), cert. denied, 459 U.S. 882, 103 S.Ct. 181, 74 L.Ed.2d 148 (1982). [9] Statistical evidence has been re- ceived in two ways. The United States Supreme Court has simply recognized the existence of statistical studies and social science research in making certain deci sions, without such studies being subject to the rigors of an evidentiary hearing. Mul- ler v. Oregon, 208 U.S. 412, 28 S.Ct. 324, 52 L.Ed. 551 (1908); Fowler v. North Caroli na, 428 U.S. 904, 96 S.Ct. 3212, 49 L.Ed.2d 1212 (1976); Woodson v. North Carolina, 428 U.S. 280, 96 S.Ct. 2978, 49 L.Ed.2d 944 (1976); Jurek v. Texas, 428 U.S. 262, 96 S.Ct. 2950, 49 L.Ed.2d 929 (1976); Proffitt v. Florida, 428 U.S. 242, 96 S.Ct. 2960, 43 L.Ed.2d 913 (1976); Gregg v. Georgia, 428 US. 153, 96 S.Ct. 2909, 49 L.Ed.2d 839 (1976). The “Supreme Court, for example, encountered severe criticism and opposition to its rulings on desegregation of public schools, the exclusionary rule, and the retroactivity of its decisions, precisely be- cause the court relied on empirical general ization.” O'Brien, The Seduction of the Judiciary: Social Science and the Courts, 64 Judicature 8, 19 (1980). In each of these situations the Court “focused” beyond the specifics of the case before it to the “Insti tutions” represented and through a specific ruling effected changes in the institutions. On the other hand, statistical evidence may be presented in the trial court through di- rect testimony and cross-examination on statistical information that bears on an is- sue. Such evidence is examined carefully and subjected to the tests of relevancy, authenticity, probativeness and credibility. Cf Henry, 1981 U.IlLL.Rev. at & One difficulty with statistical evidence is that it may raise more questions than it answers. This Court reached that conclu- sion in Wilkins v. University of Houston, 654 F.2d 388 (5th Cir. Unit A 1981). In Wilkins this Court held that ‘“[m]ultiple regression analysis is a relatively sophisti- cated means of determining the effects that any number of different factors have on a particular variable.” Jd. at 402-03. This Court noted that the methodology “is subject to misuse and thus must be em- ployed with great care.” Jd. at 403. Pro- cedurally, when multiple regression is used “it will be the subject of expert testimony and knowledgeable cross-examination from both sides. In this manner, the validity of the model and the significance of its results will be fully developed at trial, allowing the trial judge to make an informed decision as to the probative value of the analysis.” 7d. Having done this, the Wilkins Court, in an employment discrimination case, held “the statistical evidence associated with the mul- tiple regression analysis is inconclusive, raising more questions than it answers.” ld. Even if the statistical evidence is strong - there is generally a need for additional evidence. In Wade v. Mississippt Cooper- ative Extension Serv., 5328 F.2d 508 (5th Cir.1978), the results drawn from the multi- variate regression analysis were supported by additional evidence. [d. at 517. In Wade the statistics did not “stand alone” as the sole proof of discrimination. Much has been written about the rela- tionship of law and social science. “If social science cannot produce the required answers, and it probably cannot, its use is likely to continue to lead to a disjointed incrementalism.” Daniels, Social Science And Death Penalty Cases, 1 Law & Poly Q. 338, 367 (1979). “Social science can probably make its greatest contnbution to legal theory by investigating the causal forces behind judicial, legislative and ad- ministrative decisionmaking and by probing the general effects of such decisions.” Na- el, Lau And The Social Sciences: What Can Social Science Contribute? 336 A.B. A.J. 356, 357-38 (1963). With these observations, this Court ac- cepts social science research for what the 890 social scientist should claim for it. As in all circumstantial evidence cases, the infer- ences to be drawn from the statistics are for the factfinder, but the statistics are accepted to show the circumstances. Racial Discrimination, the Death Penal- ty, and the Constitution McCleskey contends his death sentence is unconstitutional because Georgia's death penalty is discriminatorily applied on the basis of the race of the defendant and the victim. Several different constitutional bases for this claim have been asserted. McCleskey relies on the arbitrary, capri cious and irrational components of the pro- hibition of cruel and unusual punishment in . the Eighth Amendment and the equal pro- tection clause of the Fourteenth Amend- ment. The district court thought that with respect to race-of-the-victim discrimination the petitioner more properly stated a claim under the due process clause of the Four- teenth Amendment. laims of this kind are seldom asserted with a degree of particularity, and they generally assert several constitutional pre- cepts. On analysis, however, there seems to be little difference in the proof that . might be required to prevail under any of the three theories. In Furman v. Georgia, 408 U.S. 238, 92 S.Ct. 2726, 33 L.Ed.2d 346 (1972), the Su- preme Court struck down the Georgia death penalty system on Eighth Amend- ment grounds, with several of the concur- ring justices holding that the system oper- ated in an arbitrary and capricious manner because there was no rational way to dis- tinguish the few cases in which death was imposed from the many in which it was not. Id at 313, 92 S.C. at 2784 {White, J, concurring); id. at 309-10, 92 S.Ct. at 2762-63 (Stewart, J. concurring). Al though race discrimination in the imposi- tion of the death penalty was not the basis of the decision, it was one of several con- cerns addressed in both the concurring and dissenting opinions. See 1d. at 249-32, 92 S.Ct. at 2731-33 (Douglas, J. concurring); id. at 309-10, 92 S.Ct. at 2762-63 (Stewart, J. concurring); id. at 364-65, 92 S.Ct. at 753 FEDERAL REPORTER, 2d SERIES 2790-91 (Marshall, J., concurring); id. at 389-90 n. 12, 92 S.Ct. at 2803-04 n. 12 (Burger, CJ., dissenting); td. at 449, 92 ‘S.Ct. at 2833 (Powell, J., dissenting). Four years later, the Supreme Court ap- proved the redrawn Georgia statute pursu- ant to which McCleskey was tried and sen- tenced. Gregg v. Georgia, 428 U.S. 153, 96 S.Ct. 2909, 49 L.Ed.2d 839 (1976). At the same time the Court approved statutes from Florida and Texas which, like Geor- gia, followed a guided discretion approach, but invalidated the mandatory sentencing procedure of North Carolina and Louisiana. Proffitt v. Florida, 428 U.S. 242, 96 S.Ct. 2960, 49 L.Ed.2d 913 (1976); Jurek v. Tex- as, 428 U.S. 262, 96 S.Ct. 2950, 49 L.Ed.2d 929 (1976); Woodson v. North Carolina, 428 U.S. 280, 96 S.Ct. 2978, 49 L.Ed.2d 944 (1976); Roberts v. Louisiana, 428 U.S. 325, 96 3.Ct. 3001, 49 L.Ed.2d 974 (1976). Since Gregg, we have consistently held that to state a claim of racial discrimination in the application of a constitutional capital statute, intent and motive must be alleged. Sullivan v. Wainwright, 721 F.2d 318, 317 (11th Cir.1983) (statistical impact studies insufficient to show state system “inten- tionally discriminated against petitioner”), petition for stay of execution denied, — US. , 104 S.Ct. 450, 78 L.Ed.2d 210 (1983); Adams v. Wainwright, 709 F.2d 1443, 1449 (11th Cir.1983) (requiring “a showing of an intent to discriminate” or “evidence of disparate impact ... so strong that the only permissible inference is one of intentional discrimination”), cert. de- nied, — U.S. 304 S.Ct.- 745. 79 L.Ed.2d 203 (1984); Smith v. Balkcom, 671 F.2d 858, 839 (5th Cir.Unit B) (requiring “circumstantial or statistical evidence of racially disproportionate impact ... so strong that the results permit no other inference but that they are the product of a racially discriminatory intent or purpose’), cert. denied, 459 U.S. 882, 103 S.Ct. 181, 74 L.Ed.2d 148 (1982). Initially in Spinkellink v. Wainwright, 578 F.2d 332 (5th Cir.1978), cert. denied, 440 U.S. 976, 99 S.Ct. 1548, 539 L.Ed.2d 795 (1979), the Court rejected Eighth and Four- 3 6 C McCLESKEY v. KEMP 891 Clte as 733 F.2d 877 (1939) teenth Amendment claims that the Florida death penalty was being applied in a dis- criminatory fashion on the basis of the victim's race. The Spinkellink Court read Gregg and its companion cases ‘‘as holding that if a state follows a properly drawn statute in imposing the death penalty, then the arbitrariness and capriciousness—and therefore the racial discrimination con- demned in Furman—have been conclusive- ly removed.” Id. at 613-14. Spinkellink can not be read to foreclose automatically all Eighth Amendment challenges to capital sentencing conducted under a facially con- stitutional statute. In Godfrey v. Georgia, 446 U.S. 420, 100 S.Ct. 1759, 64 L.Ed.2d 398 (1980), the Supreme Court sustained an Eighth Amendment challenge to a Georgia death sentence because the Georgia court's construction of a portion of that facially valid statute left no principled way to dis- tinguish the cases where the death penalty was imposed from those in which it was not. See Proffitt v. Wainwright, 685 F.2d 1227, 1261 n. 52 (11th Cir.1982). Neverthe- less, neither Godfrey nor Proffitt under- mines this Court's prior and subsequent pronouncements in Spinkxellink, Smith, Adams, and Sullivan regarding the amount of disparate impact that must be shown under either an Eighth Amendment or equal protection analysis. As the district court here pointed out, such a standard indicates an analytical nex- us between Eighth Amendment claims and a Fourteenth Amendment equal protection claim. McCleskey v. Zant, 380 F.Supp. 338, 347 (N.D.Ga.1984). Where an Eighth Amendment claim centers around general ized showings of disparate racial impact in capital sentencing, such a connection is in- escapable. Although conceivably the level or amount of disparate racial impact that would render a state's capital sentencing system arbitrary and capricious under the Eighth Amendment might differ slightly from the level or amount of disparate racial impact that would compel an inference of discriminatory intent under the equal pro tection clause of the Fourteenth Amend- ment, we do not need to decide whether there could be a difference in magnitude that would lead to opposite conclusions on a system's” constitutionality depending on which theory a claimant asserts. [10] A successful Eighth Amendment challenge would require proof that the race factor was operating in the system in such a pervasive manner that it could fairly be said that the system was irrational, arbi- trary and capricious. For the same rea- sons that the Baldus study would be insuf- ficient to demonstrate discriminatory intent or unconstitutional discrimination in the Fourteenth Amendment context, it would be insufficient to show irrationality, arbi trariness and capriciousness under any kind of Eighth Amendment analysis. The district court stated that were it writing on a clean slate, it would character- ize McCleskey’s claim as a due process claim. The court took the position that McCleskey's argument, while couched in terms of “arbitrary and capricious,” funda- mentally contended that the Georgia death penalty was applied on the basis of a mor- ally impermissible criterion: the race of the victim. {11] The district court's theory derives some support from the Supreme Court's decision in Zant v. Stephens, 462 U.S. 862, 103 S.Ct. 2733, 77 L.Ed.2d 235 (1983). The Court there recognized that a state may not attach the “aggravating” label as an element in capital sentencing to factors that are constitutionally impermissible or totally irrelevant to the sentencing process, such as race. If that were done, the Court said, “due process would require that the jury's decision to impose death be set aside.” Jd. 462 U.S. at ——, 103 S.Ct. at 2747, 77 L.Ed.2d at 255. From this lan- guage it is clear that due process would prevent a state from explicitly making the murder of a white victim an aggravating circumstance in capital sentencing. But where the statute is facially neutral, a due process claim must be supported by proof that a state, through its prosecutors, jur- ors, and judges, has implicitly attached the aggravating label! to race. 892 12,13] Even if petitioner had charae- terized his claim as one under the due process clause, it would not have altered the legal standard governing the showing he must make to prevail. The application of the due process clause is “an uncertain enterprise which must discover what ‘fun- damental fairness’ consists of in a particu- lar situation by first considering any rele- vant precedents and then by assessing the several interests that are at stake.” Lassi- ter v. Department of Social Services, 452 U.S. 18, 24-25, 101 S.Ct. 2153, 2158-2159, 68 L.Ed.2d 640 (1981). Due process also requires the assessment of the risk that the procedures being used will lead to errone- ous decisions. Mathews v. Eldridge, 424 U.S. 319, 335, 96 S.Ct. 893, 903, 47 L.Ed.2d 18 (1976). Where a due process claim re- quires a court to determine whether the race of the victim impermissibly affected the capital sentencing process, decisions under the equal protection clause, charac terized as “central to the Fourteenth Amendment's prohibition of discriminatory action by the State,” Rose v. Mitchell, 443 U.S. 545, 554-55, 99 S.Ct. 2993, 2999-3000, 61 L.Ed.2d 739 (1979), are certainly “rele- vant precedents” in the assessment of the risk of erroneous decisions. Thus, as in the equal protection context, the claimant under a due process theory must present evidence which establishes that in the capi- tal sentencing process race ‘is a motivating factor in the decision.” Village of Ariing- ton Heights v. Metropolitan Housing De- velopment Corp., 429 US. 252, 266, 97 S.Ct. 535, 563, 50 L.Ed.2d 450 (1977). (14] Due process and cruel and unusual punishment cases do not normally focus on the intent of the governmental actor. But where racial discrimination is claimed, not on the basis of procedural faults or flaws in the structure of the law, but on the basis of the decisions made within that process, then purpose, intent and motive are a natu- ral component of the proof that discrimina- tion actually occurred. (15] The Supreme Court has clearly held that to prove a constitutional claim of racial discrimination in the equal protection 753 FEDERAL REPORTER, 2d SERIES context, intent, purpose, and motive are necessary components. Washington ov. Davis, 426 U.S. 229, 238-42, 96 S.Ct. 2040, 2046-49, 48 L.Ed.2d 597 (1976). A showing of a disproportionate impact alone is not sufficient to prove discriminatory intent un- less no other reasonable inference can be drawn. Arlington Heights, 429 US. at 264-66, 97 S.Ct. at 562-64. This Circuit has consistently applied these principles of law. Adams v. Wainwright, 709 F.2d 1443, 1449 (11th Cir.1983), cert. denied, — US. — 104 S.Ct. 745, 79 L.Ed.2d 203. (1984); Sullivan v. Wainwright, 721° F.2d 316, 317 (11th Cir.1983). : [16] We, therefore, hold that proof of a disparate impact alone is insufficient to invalidate a capital sentencing system, un- less that disparate impact is so great that it compels a conclusion that the system is unprincipled, irrational, arbitrary and capri- cious such that purposeful discrimination— i.e., race is intentionally being used as a factor in sentencing—can be presumed to permeate the system. Generalized Statistical Studies and the Constitutional Standard [17] The question initially arises as to whether any statewide study suggesting a racial disparity in the application of a state's death penalty could ever support a constitutional attack on a defendant's sen- tence. The answer lies in whether the sta- tistical study is sufficient evidence of the ultimate fact which must be shown. ed In Smith v. Balkcom, €71 F.2d 838, 359 (5th Cir.Unit B), cert. denied. 459 U.S. 88: 103 S.Ct. 181, 74 L.Ed.2d 1423 (1982). ¢ Court said: In some instances, circumstantial or sta- tistical evidence of racially disproportion- ate impact may be so strong that the results permit no other inference but that they are the product of a racially discriminatory intent or purpose. This statement has apparently caused some confusion because it is often cited as a proposition for which it does not stand. Petitioner argues that his statistical study McCLESKEY v. KEMP 893 Cite as 753 F.2d $77 (1985) shows a strong inference that there is a disparity based on race. That is only the first step, however. The second step focus- es on how great the disparity is. Once the disparity is proven, the question is whether that disparity is sufficient to compel a con- clusion that it results from discriminatory intent and purpose.. The key to the prob- lem lies in the principle that the proof, no matter how strong, of some disparity is alone insufficient. In Spinkellink v. Wainwright, 578 F.2d 582, 612 (5th Cir.1978), cert. denied, 440 US. 976, 99 S.Ct. 1548, 59 L.Ed.2d 796 " (1979), the petitioner claimed the Florida statute was being appliéd in a discriminato- ry fashion against defendants murdering whites, as opposed to blacks, in violation of the cruel and unusual punishment and equal protection components of the Consti- tution. Evidence of this disparity was in- troduced through expert witnesses. court assumed for sake of argument the accuracy of petitioner's statistics but re- jected the Eighth Amendment argument. ~The court rejected the equal protection ar- gument because the disparity shown by petitioner's statistics could not prove racial- ly discriminatory intent or purpose as re quired by Washington v. Davis, 426 US. 229 96 S.Ct. 2040, 48 L.Ed.2d 597 (1976), and Village of Arlington Heights v. Metro- politan Housing Development Corp., 429 US. 252, 97 S.Ct. 555, 50 L.Ed.2d 430 (1977). 578 F.2d at 614-16. In Adams v. Wainwright, 709 F.2d 1443 (11th Cir.1983), cert. denied, — US. —, 104 S.Ct. 745, 79 L.Ed.2d 203 (1984), the court, in denying an evidentiary hearing, accepted statistics which arguably tended to support the claim that the Florida death penalty was imposed disproportionately in cases involving white victims. The court then said: Disparate impact alone is insufficient to establish a violation of the fourteenth amendment. There must be a showing of an intent to discriminate.... Only if the evidence of disparate impact is so strong that the only permissible infer- ence is one of intentional discrimination will it alone suffice. The . 709 F.2d at 1449 (citations omitted). Here again, in commenting on the strength of the evidence, the court was referring not to the amount or quality of evidence which showed a disparate impact, but the amount of disparate impact that would be so strong as to lead inevitably to a finding of motiva- tion and intent, absent some other explana- “tion for the disparity. In commenting on the proffer of the Bal- dus study in another case, Justice Powell wrote in dissent from a stay of execution pending en banc consideration of this case: If the Baldus study is similar to the several studies filed with us in Sullivan v. Wainwright, — U.S. —, 104 S.Ct. 90, 78 L.Ed.2d 266 (1983), the statistics in studies of this kind, many of which date as far back as 1948, are merely general statistical surveys that are hardly partic- ularized with respect to any alleged “in- tentional” racial discrimination. Surely, no contention can be made that the entire Georgia judicial system, at all levels, op- erates to discriminate in all cases. Argu- ments to this effect may have been di- rected to the type of statutes addressed in Furman v. Georgia, 408 U.S. 238 [92 S.Ct. 2726, 33 L.Ed.2d 346] (1972). As our subsequent cases make clear, such arguments cannot be taken seriously un- der statutes approved in Gregg. Stephens v. Kemp, — U.S. ——, — 1. 2 104 S.Ct. 562, 564 n. 2, 78 L.Ed.2d 370, 374 n. 2 (1984) (Powell, J., dissenting). The lesson from these and other cases must be that generalized statistical studies are of little use in deciding whether a par- ticular defendant has been unconstitution- ally sentenced to death. As to whether the system can survive constitutional attack, statistical studies at most are probative of how much disparity is present, but it is a legal question as to how much disparity is required before a federal court will accept it as evidence of the constitutional flaws in the system. This point becomes especially critical to a court faced with a request for an evidentia- ry hearing to produce future studies which 894 will undoubtedly be made. Needless to say, an evidentiary hearing would be neces- sary to hear any evidence that a particular defendant was discriminated against be- cause of his race. But general statistical studies of the kind offered here do not even purport to prove that fact. Aside from that kind of evidence, however, it would not seem necessary to conduct a full evi- dentiary hearing as to studies which do nothing more than show an unexplainable disparity. Generalized studies would ap- pear to have little hope of excluding every possible factor that might make a differ- ence between crimes and defendants, exclu- sive of race. To the extent there is a subjective or judgmental component to the discretion with which a sentence is invest- “ed, not only will no two defendants be seen identical by the sentencers, but no two sentencers will see a single case precisely the same. As the court has recognized, there are “countless racially neutral varia- bles” in the sentencing of capital cases. Smith v. Balkcom, 671 F.2d at 859. This is not to recede from the general proposition that statistical studies may re- flect a disparity so great as to inevitably lead to a conclusion that the disparity re- sults from intent or motivation. As decid- - ed by this opinion, the Baldus studies dem- onstrate that the Georgia system does not contain the level of disparity required to meet that constitutional standard. Validity of the Baldus Study The social science research of Professor Baldus purports to reveal, through statisti- cal analysis, disparities in the sentencing of black defendants in white victim cases in Georgia. A study is valid if it measures what it purports to measure. Different studies have different levels of validity. The level of the validity of the study is directly related to the degree to which the social scientist can rely on the findings of the study as measuring what it claims to measure. The district court held the study to be invalid because of perceived errors in the data base, the deficiencies in the models, and the multi-collinearity existing between 753 FEDERAL REPORTER, 2d SERIES the independent variables. We hold in this case that even if the statistical results are accepted as valid, the evidence fails to chal- lenge successfully the constitutionality of the Georgia system. Because of this deci- sion, it is not necessary for us to determine whether the district court was right or wrong in its faulting of the Baldus study. The district court undertook an extensive review of the research presented. It re- ceived, analyzed and dealt with the complex statistics. The district court is to be com- mended for its outstanding endeavor in the handling of the detailed aspects of this case, particularly in light of the consistent arguments being made in several cases based on the Baldus study. Any decision that the results of the Baldus study justify habeas corpus relief would have to deal with the district court's findings as to the study itself. Inasmuch as social science research has been used by appellate courts in decisionmaking, Muller v. Oregon, 208 U.S. 412, 419-21, 28 S.Ct. 324, 325-26, 52 L.Ed. 551 (1908), and has been tested like other kinds of evidence at trial, see Spink- ellink v. Wainwright, 578 F.2d 582, 612-13 (5th Cir.197R), there is a question as to the standard of review of a trial court’s finding based on 2 highly complex statistical study. [18] Findings of fact are reviewed un- der the clearly erroneous standard which the Supreme Court has defined as: “[a] finding is ‘clearly erroneous’ when al- though there is evidence to support it, the reviewing court on the entire evidence is left with the definite and firm conviction that a mistake has been committed.” United States v. United States Gypsum Co., 333 U.S. 364, 395, 58 S.Ct. 5325, 342, 92 L.Ed. 746 (1948). [19] Whether a disparate impact re- flects an intent to discriminate is an ulti mate fact which must be reviewed under the clearly erroneous standard. Pul/lman- Standard v. Swint, 456 U.S. 273, 102 S.Ct. 1781, 72 L.Ed.2d 66 (1982). In Pullman, the Supreme Court said that Fed.R.Civ.P. 52(a) McCLESKEY v. KEMP 895 Cite as 753 F.2d 877 (1985) does not make exceptions or purport to exclude certain categories of factual find- "ings from the obligation of a court of appeals to accept a district court's find- ings unless clearly erroneous. It does not divide facts into categories; in partic- ular, it does not divide findings of fact into those that deal with ‘ultimate’ and those that deal with ‘subsidiary’ facts. 456 U.S. at 287, 102 S.Ct. at 1739. There would seem to be two levels of findings based on statistical evidence that must be reviewed: first, the finding con- cerning the validity of the study itself, and second, the finding of ultimate fact based upon the circumstantial evidence revealed by the study, if valid. The district court here found the study invalid. The court found the statistics of the study to be particularly troublesome in the areas of the data base, the models and the relationship between the independent variables. McCleskey v. Zant, 580 F.Supp. 338, 379 (N.D.Ga.1984). We pretermit a review of this finding concerning the validi- ty of the study itself. The district court went on to hold that even if the statistics did validly reflect the Georgia system, the ultimate fact of intent to discriminate was not proven. We review this finding of fact by assuming the validity of the study and rest our holding on the decision that the study, even if valid, not only supports the district judge's decision under the clearly erroneous standard of review, but compels it. Sufficiency of Baldus Study McCleskey argues that, although the post-Furman statute in Georgia now yields more predictable results, the race of the victim is a significant, but of course imper- missible. factor which accounts for the im- position of the death penalty in many cases. He supports this argument with the sophis- ticated Baldus statistical study that, after controlling for the legitimate factors that might rationally explain the imposition of the penalty, purportedly reveals significant race-of-the-victim influence in the system; i.e, all other things being equal, white victim crimes are more likely to result in the penalty. Because the Constitution pro- hibits the consideration of racial factors as justification for the penalty, McCleskey as- serts that the discernible racial influence on sentencing renders the operation of the Georgia system infirm. In addition, McCleskey asserts that the race-of-the-victim influence on the system is. particularly significant in the range of cases involving intermediate levels of ag- gravation (mid-range aggravation cases). He argues that because his case fell within that range, he has established that imper- missible racial considerations operated in his case. We assume without deciding that the Baldus study is sufficient to show what it purports to reveal as to the application of the Georgia death penalty. Baldus con- cluded that his study showed that system- atic and substantial disparities existed in the penalties imposed upon homicide de- fendants in Georgia based on race of the homicide victim, that the disparities existed at a less substantial rate in death sentenc- ing based on race of defendants, and that the factors of race of the victim and de fendant were at work in Fulton County. A general comment about the limitations on what the Baldus study purports t0 show, although covered in the subsequent discussion, may be helpful. The Baldus study statistical evidence does not purport to show that McCleskey was sentenced to death because of either his race or the race of his victim. It only shows that in a group involving blacks and whites, all of whose cases are virtually the same, there would be more blacks receiving the death penalty than whites and more murderers of whites receiving the death penalty than murderers of blacks. The statisticians’ “best guess” is that race was a factor in those cases and has a role in sentencing structure in Geor- gia. These general statements about the results are insufficient to make a legal determination. An analysis must be made as to how much disparity is actually shown by the research. ; Accepting the Baldus figures, but not the general conclusion, as accurately reflecting 896 the Georgia experience, the statistics are inadequate to entitle McCleskey to relief on his constitutional claim. : The Georgia-based retrospective study consisted of a stratified random sample of 1,066 cases of individuals indicted for mur- der-death, murder-life and voluntary man- slaughter who were arrested between March 28, 1973 and December 31, 1978. The data were compiled from a 4l-page questionnaire and consisted of more than 500,000 entries. Through complex statisti- cal analysis, Baldus examined relationships between the dependent variable, death-sen- tencing rate, and independent variables, nine aggravating and 75 mitigating factors, while controlling for background factors. In 10% of the cases a penalty trial was held, and in 5% of the cases defendants were sentenced to death. The study subjects the Georgia data to a multitude of statistical analyses, and under each method there is a statistically signifi- cant race-of-thevictim effect operating statewide. It is more difficult, however, to ascertain the magnitude of the effect dem- onstrated by the Baldus study. The sim- ple, unadjusted figures show that death sentences were imposed in 11% of the white victim cases potentially eligible for the death penalty, and in 1% of the eligible black victim cases. After controlling for various legitimate factors that could ex- plain the differential, Baldus still concluded that there was a significant race-of-the-vic- tim effect. The result of Baldus' most conclusive model, on which McCleskey pri- marily relies, showed an effect of .06, signi- fying that on average a white victim crime is 6% more likely to result in the sentence than a comparable black victim crime. Bal- dus also provided tables that showed the race-of-the-victim effect to be most signifi cant in cases involving intermediate levels of aggravation. In these cases, on aver- age, white victim crimes were shown to be 20% more likely to result in the death pen- alty than equally aggravated black victim crimes. None of the figures mentioned above is a definitive quantification of the influence of - 753 FEDERAL REPORTER, 2d SERIES the victim's race on the overall likelihood of the death penalty in a given case. Never theless, the figures all serve to enlighten us somewhat on how the system operates. The 6% average figure is a composite of all cases and contains both low aggravation cases, where the penalty is almost never imposed regardless of the victim's race, and high aggravation cases, where both white and black victim crimes are likely to result in the penalty. When this figure is related to tables that classify cases accord- ing to.the level of aggravation, the 6% average figure is properly seen as an aggregate containing both cases in which race of the victim is a discernible factor and those in which it is not. McCleskey's evidence, and the evidence presented by the state, also showed that the race-of-the-victim factor diminishes as more variables are added to the model. For example, the bottom line figure was 17% in the very simple models, dropped to 6% in the 230-variable model, and finally fell to 4% when the final 20 variables were added and the effect of Georgia Supreme Court review was considered. The statistics are also enlightening on the overall operation of the legitimate fac- tors supporting the death sentence. The Baldus study revealed an essentially ration- al system, in which high aggravation cases were more likely to result in the death sentence than low aggravation cases. As one would expect in a rational system, fac- tors such as torture and multiple victims greatly increased the likelihood of receiving the penalty. There are important dimensions that the statistics cannot reveal. Baldus testified that the Georgia death penalty system is an extremely complicated process in which no single factor or group of factors deter- mines the outcome of a given case. No single petitioner could, on the basis of these statistics alone, establish that he re- ceived the death sentence because, and only because, his victim was white. Even in the mid-range of cases, where the race- of-the-victim influence is said to be strong, legitimate factors justifying the penalty McCLESKEY v. KEMP 897 Cite as 753 F2d 877 (1985) are, by the very definition of the mid- range, present in each case. The statistics show there is a race-of-the- victim relationship with the imposition of the death sentence discernible in enough cases to be statistically significant in the system as a whole. The magnitude cannot be called determinative in any given case. The evidence in the Baldus study seems to support the Georgia death penalty sys- tem as one operating in a rational manner. Although no single factor, or combination of factors, will irrefutably lead to the death sentence in every case, the system in opera- tion follows the pattern the legislature in- tended, which the Supreme Court found constitutional in Gregg, and sorts out cases according to levels of aggravation, as gauged by legitimate factors. The funda- mental Eighth Amendment concern of Fur- man, as discussed in Gregg, which states that “there is no meaningful basis for dis- tinguishing the few cases in which [the death sentence] is imposed from the many in which it is not” does not accurately describe the operation of the Georgia stat- ute. 428 US. at 188, 9% S.Ct. at 2932. [20] Taking the 6% bottom line revealed in the Raldus figures as true, this figure is not sufficient to overcome the presumption that the statute is operating in a constitu- tional manner. If any discretionary sys- tem, some imprecision must be tolerated, and the Baldus study is simply insufficient to support a ruling, in the context of a statute that is operating much as intended, that racial factors are playing a role in the outcome sufficient to render the system as a whole arbitrary and capricious. This conclusion is supported, and possi- bly even compelled, by recent Supreme Court opinions in Sullivan v. Wainwright, — U.S. —, 104 S.Ct. 450, 78 L.Ed.2d 210 (1983) (denying stay of execution to allow evidentiary hearing on Eighth Amendment claim supported by statistics); Wainwright v. Adams, — U.S. , 104 S.Ct. 2133, 20 L.Ed.2d 809 (1984) (vacating stay); and Wainwright v. Ford, — U.S. , 104 S.Ct. 3495, 82 L.Ed.2d 911 (1984) (denying state's application to vacate stay on other grounds). A plurality of the Court in Ford definitively stated that it had held “in two prior cases that the statistical evidence re- lied upon by Ford to support his claim of discrimination was not sufficient to raise a substantial ground upon which relief might be granted.” Id. at — 104 S.Ct. at 3499, 82 L.Ed.2d at 912 (citing Sullivan and Ad- ams). The petitioners in Sullivan, Adams, and Ford all relied on the study by Gross and Mauro of the Florida death penalty sys- tem. The bottom line figure in the Gross and Mauro study indicated a race-of-the-vic- tim effect, quantified by a “death odds mul- tiplier,” of about 4.8 to 1. Using a similar methodology, Baldus obtained a death odds multiplier of 4.3 to 1 in Georgia. It is of course possible that the Supreme Court was rejecting the methodology of the Florida study, rather than its bottom line. It is true that the methodology of the Bal- dus study is superior. The posture of the Florida cases, however, persuades this Court that the Supreme Court was not relying on inadequacies in the methodology of the Florida study. The issue in Sulli- ran, Adams, and Ford was whether the petitioner's proffer had raised a substantial ground sufficient to warrant an evidentiary hearing. In that context, it is reasonable to suppose that the Supreme Court looked at the bottom line indication of racial effect and held that it simply was insufficient to state a claim. A contrary assumption, that the Supreme Court analyzed the extremely complicated Gross and Mauro study and rejected it on methodological grounds, is much less reasonable. Thus, assuming that the Supreme Court in Sullivan, Adams and Ford found the bottom line in the Gross and Mauro study insufficient to raise a constitutional claim, we would be compelled to reach the same result in analyzing the sufficiency of the comparable bottom line in the Baldus study on which McCleskey relies. McCleskey's argument about the height- ened influence of the race-of-the-victim fac- tor in the mid-range of cases requires a somewhat different analysis. McCleskey's case falls within the range of cases involv- 898 ing intermediate levels of aggravation. The Baldus statistical study tended to show that the race-of-the-victim relationship to sentencing outcome was greater in these cases than in cases involving very low or very high levels of aggravation. The race-of-the-victim effect increases the likelihood of the death penalty by ap- proximately 20% in the mid-range of cases. Some analysis of this 20% figure is appro- priate. The 20% figure in this case is not analo-. gous to a figure reflecting the percentage disparity in a jury composition case. Such a figure represents the actual disparity between the number of minority persons on the jury venire and the number of such persons in the population. In contrast, the 20% disparity in this case does not purport to be an actual disparity. Rather, the fig- ure reflects that the variables included in the study do not adequately explain the 20% disparity and that the statisticians can explain it only by assuming the racial ef- fect. More importantly, Baldus did not tes- tify that he found statistical significance in the 20% disparity figure for mid-range cases, and he did not adequately explain the rationale of his definition of the mid- range of cases. His testimony leaves this Court unpersuaded that there is a rational ly classified, well-defined class of cases In which it can be demonstrated that a race- of-the-victim effect is operating with a magnitude approximating 20%. [21] Assuming arguendo, however, that the 20% disparity is an accurate fig- ure, it is apparent that such a dispanty only in the mid-range cases, and not in the system as a whole, cannot provide the basis for a systemwide challenge. As previously discussed, the system as a whole is operat- ing in a rational manner, and not in a manner that can fairly be labeled arbitrary or capricious. A valid system challenge cannot be made only against the mid-range of cases. Baldus did not purport to define the mid-range of cases; nor is such a defi nition possible. It is simply not satisfac- tory to say that the racial effect operates in 753 FEDERAL REPORTER, 2d SERIES “close cases” and therefore that the death penalty will be set aside in “close cases.” [22] As discussed previously, the statis- tics cannot show that the race-of-the-victim factor operated in a given case, even in the mid-range. Rather, the statistics show that, on average, the race-of-the-victim fac. tor was more likely to affect the outcome in mid-range cases than in those cases at the high and low ends of the spectrum of aggravation. The statistics alone are in- sufficient to show that McCleskey’s sen- tence was determined by the race of his victim, or even that the race of his victim contributed to the imposition of the penalty in his case. MecCleskey’s. petition does not surmount the threshold burden of stating a claim on this issue. Aside from the statistics, he presents literally no evidence that might tend to support a conclusion that the race of McCleskey’s victim in any way motivat- ed the jury to impose the death sentence in his case. Conclusion The Supreme Court has held that to be constitutional the sentencer in death sen- tence cases must have some measure of discretion. Gregg v. Georgia, 428 U.S. 153, 96 S.Ct. 2909, 49 L.Ed.2d 839 (1976);. Prof fitt v. Florida, 428 U.S. 242, 96 S.Ct. 2960, 49 L.Ed.2d 913 (1976). The mandatory death sentence statutes were declared un- constitutional. Woodson v. North Caroli- na, 428 U.S. 280, 96 S.Ct. 2978, 49 L.Ed.2d 944 (1976); Roberts v. Louisiana, 428 US. 25, 96 S.Ct. 3001, 49 L.Ed.2d 974 (1976). The very exercise of discretion means that persons exercising discretion may reach different results from exact dupl- cates. Assuming each result is within the range of discretion, all are correct in the eyes of the law. It would not make sense for the system to require the exercise of discretion in order to be facially constitu- tional, and at the same time hold 2 system unconstitutional in application where that discretion achieved different results for what appear to be exact duplicates, absent the state showing the reasons for the dif- ference. The discretion is narrow, focused McCLESKEY v. KEMP 899 Cite as 753 F2d 877 (1985) and directed, but still there is a measure of discretion. The Baldus approach, however, would take the cases with different results on what are contended to be duplicate facts, where the differences could not be other- wise explained, and conclude that the dif- ferent result was based on race alone. From a legal perspective, petitioner woul argue that since the difference is not ex- plained by facts which the social scientist thinks satisfactory to explain the differ ences, there is a prima facie case that the . difference was based on unconstitutional factors, and the burden would shift to the state to prove the difference in results from constitutional considerations. This approach ignores the realities. It not only ignores quantitative differences in cases: looks, age, personality, education, profes- sion, job, clothes, demeanor, and remorse, just to name a few, but it is incapable of measuring qualitative differences of such things as aggravating and mitigating fac- tors. There are, in fact, no exact dupli- cates in capital crimes and capital defend- ants. Thé type of research submitted here tends to show which of the directed factors were effective, but is of restricted use in showing what undirected factors control the exercise of ‘constitutionally required discretion. It was recognized when Gregg was decid- ed that the capital justice system would not be perfect, but that it need not be perfect in order to be constitutional. Justice White said: : Petitioner has argued, in effect, that no matter how effective the death penalty may be as a punishment, government, created and run as it must be by humans, is inevitably incompetent to administer it. This cannot be accepted as a proposition of constitutional law. Imposition of the death penalty is surely an awesome re- sponsibility for any system of justice and those who participate in it. Mistakes will be made and discriminations will occur which will be difficult to explain. How- ever, one of society's most basic tasks is that of protecting the lives of its citizens and one of the most basic ways in which it achieves the task is through criminal laws against murder. Gregg v. Georgia, 428 U.S. 153, 226, 96 S.Ct. 2909, 2949, 49 L.Ed.2d 859 (1976) (White, J., concurring). The plurality opinion of the Gregg Court. noted: The petitioner's argument is nothing more than a veiled contention that Fur- man indirectly outlawed capital punish- ment by placing totally unrealistic condi- tions on its use. In order to repair the alleged defects pointed to by the petition- er, it would be necessary to require that prosecuting authorities charge a capital offense whenever arguably there had been a capital murder and that they re- fuse to plea bargain with the defendant. If a jury refused to convict even though the evidence supported the charge, its verdict would have to be reversed and a verdict of guilty entered or a new trial ordered, since the discretionary act of jury nullification would not be permitted. Finally, acts of executive clemency would have to be prohibited. Such a system, of course, would be totally alien to our no- tions of criminal justice. Id at 1992 n. 50, 96 S.Ct. at 2937 n. 30 (opinion of Stewart, Powell, and Stevens, 33.) Viewed broadly, it would seem that the statistical evidence presented here, assum- ing its validity, confirms rather than con- demns the system. In a state where past discrimination is well documented, the study showed no discrimination as to the race of the defendant. The marginal dis- parity based on the race of the victim tends to support the state’s contention that the system is working far differently from the one which Furman condemned. In pre- Furman days, there was no rhyme or rea- son as to who got the death penalty and who did not. But now, in the vast majority of cases, the reasons for a difference are well documented. That they are not so clear in a small percentage of the cases is no reason to declare the entire system un- constitutional. 900 The district court properly rejected this aspect of McCleskey’s claim. INEFFECTIVE ASSISTANCE OF COUNSEL McCleskey contends his trial counsel ren- dered ineffective assistance at both guilt/innocence and penalty phases of his trial in violation of the Sixth Amendment. [23,24] Although a defendant is consti- tutionally entitled to reasonably effective assistance from his attorney, we hold that McCleskey has not shown he was preju- diced by the claimed defaults in his coun- sel’s performance. Ineffective assistance warrants reversal of a conviction only when there is a reasonable probability that the attorney's errors altered the outcome of the proceeding. A court may decide an ineffectiveness claim on the ground of lack of prejudice without considering the rea- sonableness of the attorney’s performance. Strickland v. Washington, — US. —, 104 S.Ct. 2052, 80 L.Ed.2d 674 (1934). As to the guilt phase of his trial. McCles- key claims that his attorney failed to: (1) interview the prisoner who testified that McCleskey gave a jail house confession; (2) interview and subpoena as defense witness- es the victims of the Dixie Furniture Store robbery; and (3) interview the State's bal- listics expert. 25] McCleskey demonstrates no preju- dice caused by his counsel's failure to inter- view Offie Evans. We have held there was no reasonable likelihood that the disclosure of the detective’s statement to Offie Evans would have affected the verdict. There is then no “reasonable probability” that the attorney’s failure to discover this evidence affected the verdict. [26] As to the robbery victims, McCles- key does not contend that an in-person interview would have revealed something their statements did not. He had an oppor- tunity to cross-examine several of the rob- bery victims and investigating officers at McCleskey's preliminary hearing. The rea- sonableness of the attorney's investigation 753 FEDERAL REPORTER, 2d SERIES need not be examined because there wag obviously no prejudice. [27] The question is whether it was un- reasonable not to subpoena the robbery victims as defense witnesses. McCleskey’s attorney relied primarily on an alibi de- fense at trial. To establish this defense, the attorney put McCleskey on the stand. He also called several witnesses in an at tempt to discredit a Dixie Furniture Store employee's identification of McCleskey and to show that McCleskey’s confession was involuntary. It would have undermined his defense if the attorney had called witness- es to testify as to which robber did the shooting. No prejudice can be shown by failing to subpoena witnesses as a reason- able strategy decision. [28] McCleskey’s attorney could have reasonably prepared to cross-examine the State's ballistics expert by reading the ex- pert’s report. No in-person interview was necessary. See Washington v. Watkins, 655 F.2d 1346, 1358 (5th Cir.1981), cert. denied, 456 U.S. 949, 102 S.Ct. 2021, 72 L.Ed.2d 474 (1982). The report was in the prosecutor's file which the attorney re viewed and no contention has been made that he did not read it. As to the sentencing phase of his trial, McCleskey asserts his attorney failed to investigate and find character witnesses and did not object to the State's introduc- tion of prior convictions which had been set aside. [29] No character witnesses testified for McCleskey at his trial. At the State habeas corpus hearing McCleskey's attor- ney testified he talked with both McCles- key and his sister about potential character witnesses. They suggested no possibilities. The sister refused to testify and advised the attorney that their mother was too sick to travel to the site of the trial. McCleskey and his sister took the stand at the State habeas corpus hearing and told conflicting stories. It is clear from the state court's opinion that it believed the attorney: Despite the conflicting evidence on his point, ... the Court is authorized in its -McCLESKEY v. KEMP 901 Clte as 753 F2d 877 (1985) role as fact finder to conclude that Coun- sel made all inquiries necessary to _ present an adequate defense during the sentencing phase. Indeed, Counsel could not present evidence that did not exist. Although this “finding of fact” is stated in terms of the ultimate legal conclusion, im- plicit in that conclusion is the historical finding that the attorney's testimony was credible. See Paxton v. Jarvis, 735 F.2d 1306, 1308 (11th Cir.1984); Coz v. Mont- gomery, T18 F.2d 1036 (11th Cir.1983). This finding of fact is entitled to a pre- sumption of correctness. Based on the facts as testified to by the attorney, he conducted a reasonable investigation for character witnesses. (30] As evidence of an aggravating cir- cumstance the prosecutor introduced three convictions resulting in life sentences, all of which had been set aside on Fourth Amendment grounds. This evidence could not result in any undue prejudice, because although the convictions were overturned, the charges were not dropped and McCles- key pleaded guilty and received sentences of 18 years. The reduction in sentence was disclosed at trial. The district court properly denied relief on the ineffectiveness of counsel claim. DEATH-ORIENTED JURY [31] Petitioner claims the district court improperly upheld the exclusion of jurors who were adamantly opposed to capital punishment. According to petitioner, this exclusion violated his right to be tried by an impartial and unbiased jury drawn from a representative cross-section of his com- munity. In support of this proposition, pe- titioner cites two district court opinions from outside circuits. Grigsby v. Mabry, 369 F.Supp. 1273 (E.D.Ark.1983), hearing en banc ordered, No. 83-2113 EA. (8th Cir. Nov. 8, 1983), argued (March 15, 1984) and Keeten v. Garrison, 578 F.Supp. 1164 (W.D.N.C.1984), rev'd, 742 F.2d 129 (4th Cir.1984). Whatever the merits of those opinions, they are not controlling authority for this Court. partial, Because both jurors indicated they would not under any circumstances consider im- posing the death penalty, they were proper- ly excluded under Witherspoon 1. Illinots, 391 U.S. 510, 88 S.Ct. 1770, 20 L.Ed.2d 776 (1968). See also Boulden v. Holman, 394 US. 478, 89 S.Ct. 1138, 22 L.Ed.2d 433 (1969). Their exclusion did not violate peti- tioner's Sixth Amendment rights to an im- community-representative jury. Smith v. Balkcom, 660 F.2d 373, 582-83 (5th Cir. Unit B 1981), cert. denied, 459 U.S. 882, 103 S.Ct. 181, 74 L.Ed.2d 148 (1982); Spinkellink v. Wainwright, 578 F.2d 582, 393-94 (5th Cir.1978), cert. de- nied, 440 U.S. 976, 99 S.Ct. 1543, 59 L.Ed.2d 796 (1979). THE SANDSTROM ISSUE The district court rejected McCleskey's claim that the trial court’s instructions to the jury on the issue of intent deprived him of due process by shifting from the prose- cution to the defense the burden of proving beyond a reasonable doubt each essential element of the crimes for which he was tried. Such burden-shifting is unconstitu- tional under Sandstrom v. Montana, 442 US. 510, 99 S.Ct. 2450, 61 L.Ed.2d 39 (1979). McCleskey objects to the following por- tion of the trial court's instruction to the jury: One section of our law says that the acts of a person of sound mind and discretion are presumed to be the product of the person's will, and a person of sound mind and discretion is presumed to intend the natural and probable consequences of his acts. but both of these presumptions may be rebutted. In its analysis of whether this instruction was unconstitutional under Sandstrom, the district court examined two recent pan- el opinions of this Circuit, Franklin wv Francis. 720 F.2d 1206 (11th Cir.1983), £104 §.Ct, 2677, cert. granted, — U.S. 81 L.Ed.2d 873 (1984), and Tucker v. Fran- cis, 723 F.2d 1504 (11th Cir), on pel. for reh’y and reh'g en banc, 723 F.2d 1518 Even though the {11th Cir.1984). jury in- - 902 structions in the two cases were identical, Franklin held that the language created a mandatory rebuttable persumption viola- tive of Sandstrom while Tucker held that it created no more than a permissive infer- ence and did not violate Sandstrom. Not- ing that the challenged portion of the in- struction used at McCleskey’'s trial was “virtually identical” to the corresponding portions of the charges in Franklin and Tucker, the district court elected to follow Tucker as this Court’s most recent pro nouncement on the issue, and it held that Sandstrom was not violated by the charge on intent. Since the district court's decision, the en banc court has heard argument in several cases in an effort to resolve the constitu- tionality of potentially burden-shifting in- structions identical to the one at issue here. Daris v. Zant, 721 F.2d 1478 (11th Cir. 1983), on pet. for rer’g and reh’g en banc, 728 F.2d 492 (11th Cir.1984); Drake wv. Francis, 727 F.2d 990 (11th Cir.), on pet. for reh’g and for reh’g en banc, 727 F.2d 1003 (11th Cir.1984); Tucker v. Francis, 723 F.2d 1504 (11th Cir.), on pet. for reh’y and ren'y em banc, 723 F.2d 1518 (11th Cir.1984). The United States Supreme Court has heard oral argument in Frank- lin v. Francis, 53 US.L.W. 3373 (U.S. Nov. 20, 1984) [No. 83-1530]. However these cases are decided, for the purpose of this decision, we assume here that the intent instruction in this case violated Sandstrom and proceed to the issue of whether that error was harmless. The Supreme Court requires that “before a federal constitutional error can be harm- less, the court must be able to declare a belief that it was harmless beyond a rea- sonable doubt.” Chapman v. California, 386 US. 18, 24, 87 S.Ct. 224 828 17 L.Ed.2d 705 (1967). More recently, the Su- preme Court has divided over the issue of whether the doctrine of harmless error is ever applicable to burden-shifting presump- tions violative of Sandstrom. Reasoning that “[a]n erroneous presumption on a dis- puted element of the crime renders irrele- vant the evidence on the issue because the jury may have relied upon the presumption 753 FEDERAL REPORTER, 2d SERIES rather than upon that evidence,” a four-jus. tice plurality held that one of the two tests for harmless error employed by this Cir- cuit—whether the evidence of guilt is so overwhelming that the erroneous instrue- tion could not have contributed to the jury’s verdict—is inappropriate. Connecti- cut v. Johnson, 460 U.S. 73, 85-87, 103 S.Ct. 969, 976-978, 74 L.Ed.2d 823 (1983). The fifth vote to affirm was added by Justice Stevens, who concurred on jurisdic- tional grounds. Jd. at 88, 103 S.Ct. at 978 (Stevens, J., concurring in the judgment). Four other justices, however, criticized the plurality for adopting an “automatic rever- sal” rule for Sandstrom error. [d. at 98, 103 S.Ct. at 983 (Powell, J., dissenting). The Supreme Court has subsequently re viewed another case in which harmless er- ror doctrine was applied to a Sandstrom violation. The Court split evenly once again in affirming without opinion a Sixth Circuit decision holding that “the prejudi- cial effect of a Sandstrom instruction is largely a function of the defense asserted at trial.” Engle v. Koehler, 707 F.2d 24], 246 (6th Cir.1983), aff'd by an equally di- vided court, U.S. —, 104 S.Ct. 1673, 20 L.Ed.2d 1 (1984) (per curiam). In En- gle, the Sixth Circuit distinguished between Sandstrom violations where the defendant has claimed nonparticipation in the crime and those where the defendant has claimed lack of mens rea, holding that only the latter was so prejudicial as never to const- tute harmless error. Jd. Until the Su- preme Court makes a controlling decision on the harmless error question, we contin- ue to apply the standards propounded in our earlier cases. [32] Since Sandstrom was decided in 1979, this Circuit has analyzed unconstitu- tional burden-shifting instructions to deter- mine whether they constituted harmless er- ror. See, e.g., Mason v. Balkcom, 669 F.2d 222, 227 (5th Cir. Unit B 1982). In Lamb ». Jernigan, 683 F.2d 1332 (11th Cir.1932), cert. denied, 460 U.S. 1024, 103 S.Ct. 1276, 75 L.Ed.2d 496 (1983), the Court identified two situations in which an unconstitutional burden-shifting instruction might be harm- McCLESKEY v. KEMP 903 Cite as 753 F.2d 877 (1985) less. First, an erroneous instruction may have been harmless if the evidence of guilt was so overwhelming that the error could not have contributed to the jury's decision to convict. Lamb, 683 F.2d at 1342; Ma- son, 669 F.2d at 227. In the case before us, the district court based its finding that the Sandstrom violation was harmless on this ground. This Circuit has decided on several occasions that overwhelming evi dence of guilt renders a Sandstrom viola- tion harmless. See Jarrell v. Balkcom, 735 F.2d 1242, 1257 (11th Cir.1984); Brooks v. Francis, 716 F.2d 780, 793-94 (11th Cir. 1983), on pet. for reh'g and for reh’g en bane, 728 F.2d 1358 (11th Cir.1984); Spenc- er v. Zant, 715 F.2d 1562, 1578 (11th Cir. 1983), on pet. for reh’y and for reh’g en banc, 729 F.2d 1293 (11th Cir.1984). [33] Second, the erroneous instruction may be harmless where the instruction shifts the burden on an element that is not at issue at trial. Lamb, 683 F.2d at 1342. This Circuit has adopted this rationale to find a Sandstrom violation harmless. See Drake v. Francis, 727 F.2d 990, 999 (11th Cir.), on pet. for reh’q and for rehg en banc, 127 F.2d 1003 (11th Cir.1984); Col- lins v. Francis, 728 F.2d 1322, 1330-31 (11th Cir.1984), pet. for reh’g en banc de- nied, 734 F.2d 1481 (11th Cir.1984). There is some indication that even the plurality in Connecticut v. Johnson would endorse this type of harmless error in limited cir- cumstances: [A] Sandstrom error may be harmless if the defendant conceded the issue of intent.... In presenting a defense such as alibi, insanity, or self-defense, a de- fendant may in some cases admit that the act alleged by the prosecution was intentional, thereby sufficiently reducing the likelihood that the jury applied the erroneous instruction as to permit the appellate court to consider the error harmless. 460 U.S. at 87, 103 S.Ct. at 978 (citations omitted). Our review of the record reveals that the Sandstrom violation in this case is ren- dered harmless error under this second test. Before discussing whether intent was at issue in McCleskey's trial, however, we note that intent is an essential element of the crime with which he was charged. Georgia law provides three essential ele ments to the offense of malice murder: (1) a homicide; (2) malice aforethought; and (3) unlawfulness. Lamb v. Jernigan, 683 F.2d at 1336. The “malice” element means the intent to kill in the absence of provoca- tion. Jd. The erroneous instruction on intent, therefore, involved an essential ele- ment of the criminal offense charged, and the state was required to prove the exist ence of that element beyond a reasonable, doubt. In re Winship, 397 U.S. 358, 364, 90 S.Ct. 1068, 1072, 25 L.Ed.2d 368 (1270). The question therefore b&comes whether McCleskey conceded the element of intent by presenting a defense that admits that the act alleged was intentional. [34] Of course, a defendant in a crimi- nal trial may rely entirely on the presump- tion of innocence and the State’s burden of proving every element of the crime beyond a reasonable doubt. Connecticut v. Joan- son, 460 U.S. at 87 n. 16, 103 S.Ct. at 978 n. 16. In such a case, determining whether a defendant had conceded the issue of intent might well be impossible. The record re- veals, however, that McCleskey chose not to take that course. Rather, he took the stand at trial and testified that he was not a participant in the Dixie Furniture Store robbery which resulted in the killing of Officer Schlatt. The end of McCleskey’s testimony on direct examination summa- rizes his alibi defense: Q. Were you at the Dixie Furniture Store that day? A. No. Q. Did you shoot anyone? A. No, ! didn’t. Q. Is everything you have said the truth? A. Positive. In closing argument, McCleskey's attorney again stressed his client's alibi defense. He concentrated on undermining the credi- bility of the evewitness identifications that . 904 pinpointed McCleskey as the triggerman and on questioning the motives of the other robbery participants who had testified that McCleskey had fired the fatal shots. McCleskey’s attorney emphasized that if Mr. McCleskey was in the front of the store and Mr. McCleskey had the silver gun and if the silver gun killed the police officer, then he would be guilty. But that is not the circumstances that have been proven. Although McCleskey’s attorney’s argu- ments were consistent with the alibi testi- mony offered by McCleskey himself, the jury chose to disbelieve that testimony and rely instead on the testimony of eyewit- nesses and the other participants in the robbery. [35,36] We therefore hold that in the course of asserting his alibi defense McCleskey effectively conceded the issue of intent, thereby rendering the Sand- strom violation harmless beyond a reason- able doubt. In so holding, we do not imply that whenever a defendant raises a defense of alibi a Sandstrom violation on an intent or malice instruction is automatically ren- dered harmless error. Nor do we suggest that defendant must specifically argue that intent did not exist in order for the issue of intent to remain before the jury. But where the State has presented overwhelm- ing evidence of an intentional killing and where the defendant raises a defense of nonparticipation in the crime rather than lack of mens rea, a Sandstrom violation on an intent instruction such as the one at issue here is harmless beyond a reasonable doubt.: See Collins v. Francis, 728 F.2d at 1331; Engle v. Koehler, 707 F.2d at 246. In this case the officer entered and made it almost to the middle of the store before he was shot twice with a .38 caliber Rossi revolver. The circumstances of this shoot- ing, coupled with McCleskey’s decision to rely on an alibi defense, elevate to mere speculation any scenario that would create a reasonable doubt on the issue of intent. The district court properly denied habeas corpus relief on this issue. 753 FEDERAL REPORTER, 2d SERIES CONCLUSION The judgment of the district court ip granting the petition for writ of habeas corpus is reversed and the petition is here by denied. REVERSED and RENDERED. TJOFLAT, Circuit Judge, concurring: I concur in the court's opinion, though | would approach the question of the consti tutional application of the death penalty in .. Georgia somewhat differently. I would be gin with the established proposition that Georgia's capital sentencing.model is facial- ly constitutional. It contains the safe guards necessary to prevent arbitrary and - capricious decision making, including deci sions motivated by the race of the defend: ant or the victim. These safeguards are present in every stage of a capital murder prosecution in Georgia, from the grand jury indictment through the execution of the death sentence. Some of these safe- guards are worth repeating. At the indictment stage, the accused can insist that the State impanel a grand jury that represents a fair cross section of the community, as required by the sixth and fourteenth amendments, and that the State not deny. a racial group, in violation of the equal protection clause of the fourteenth amendment, the right to participate as jur- ors. In Georgia this means that a repre sentative portion of blacks will be on the grand jury. ; The same safeguards come into piay in the selection of the accused's petit jury. In addition, the accused can challenge for cause any venireman found to harbor a racial bias against the accused or his vie tim. The accused can peremptorily excuse jurors suspected of such bias and, at the same time, prevent the prosecutor from exercising his peremptory challenges in a way that systematically excludes a particu- lar class of persons, such as blacks, from jury service. See, e.g, Willis v. Zant, 720 2d 1212 (11th Cir.1983), cert. denied, — , 104 S.Ct. 3548, 82 L.Ed.2d 831 McCLESKEY v. KEMP 905 Cite as 753 F2d 877 (1989) If the sentencer is the jury, as it is in Georgia (the trial judge being bound by the jury’s recommendation), it can be instruct ed to put aside racial considerations in reaching its sentencing recommendation. If the jury recommends the death sentence, the accused, on direct appeal to the Georgia Supreme Court, can challenge his sentence on racial grounds as an independent assign- ment of error or in the context of propor- tionality review. And, if the court affirms his death sentence, he can renew his chal lenge in a petition for rehearing or by way of collateral attack. g In assessing the constitutional validity of Georgia's capital sentencing scheme, one could argue that the role of the federal courts—the Supreme Court on certiorari from the Georgia Supreme Court and the entire federal judicial system in habeas cor- pus review—should be considered. For they provide still another layer of safe guards against the arbitrary and capricious imposition of the death penalty. Petitioner, in attacking his conviction and death sentence, makes no claim that either was motivated by a racial bias in any stage of his criminal prosecution. His claim stems solely from what has transpired in other homicide prosecutions. To the extent that his data consists of cases in which the defendant's conviction and sentence— whether a sentence to life imprisonment or death—is constitutionally unassailable, the data, | would hold, indicates no invidious racial discrimination as a matter of law. To the extent that the data consists of convictions and/or sentences that are con- stitutionally infirm, the data is irrelevant. In summary, petitioner's data, which shows nothing more than disproportionate sen- tencing results, is not probative of a racially discriminatory motive on the part of any of the participants in Georgia's death penalty sentencing model—either in petitioner's or any other case. 1. 1 have not addressed the due process analysis employed by the district court because the peti- VANCE, Circuit Judge, concurring: Although I concur in Judge Roney’s opin- ion, I am troubled by its assertion that there is “little difference in the proof that might be required to prevail” under either eighth amendment or fourteenth amend- ment equal protection claims of the kind presented here!. According to Furman, an eighth amendment inquiry centers on. the general results of capital sentencing systems, and condemns those governed by such unpredictable factors as chance, ca- price or whim. An equal protection inquiry is very different. It centers-not on system- ic irrationality, but rather the independent evil of intentional, invidious discrimination against given individuals. I am conscious of the dicta in the various Furman opinions which note with disap- proval the possibility that racial discrimina- tion was a factor in the application of the death penalty under the Georgia and Texas statutes then in effect. To my mind, how- ever, such dicta merely indicate the possi- bility that a system that permits the exer- cise of standardless discretion not only may be capricious, but may give play to discrim- inatory motives which violate equal protec: tion standards as well. Whether a given set of facts make out an eighth amendment claim of systemic irrationality under Fur- man is, therefore, a question entirely inde- pendent of whether those facts establish deliberate discrimination violative of the equal protection clause. [ am able to concur because in neither the case before us nor in any of the others presently pending would the difference in- fluence the outcome. As Judge Roney points out, petitioner's statistics are insuffi- cient to establish intentional! discrimination in the capital sentence imposed in his case. As to the eighth amendment, I doubt that a claim of arbitrariness or caprice is even presented, since petitioner's case is entirely devoted to proving that the death penalty is being applied in an altogether explicadble— albeit impermissible—{ashion. tioner did not rely on it in his brief. 906 Claims such as that of petitioner are now presented with such regularity that we may reasonably hope for guidance from the Supreme Court by the time my expressed concerns are outcome determinative in a given case. KRAVITCH, Circuit Judge, concurring: I concur in the majority opinion except as to the Giglio issue. In my view, for rea- sons stated in Chief Judge Godbold’s dis- sent, the facts surrounding Evans’ testimo- ny did constitute a Giglio violation. I agree with the majority, however, that any error was harmless beyond a reasonable doubt. 1 also join Judge Anderson's special con- currence on the “Constitutional Application of the Georgia Death Penalty.” R. LANIER ANDERSON, III, Circuit Judge, concurring with whom KRAVITCH, Circuit Judge, joins as to the constitutional application of the Georgia Death Statute: I join Judge Roney’s opinion for the ma- jority, and write separately only to empha- size, with respect to the Part entitled “Con- stitutional Application of Georgia's Death Penalty,” that death is different in kind from all other criminal sanctions, Woodson v. North Carolina, 428 U.S. 280, 305, 96 S.Ct. 2978, 2991, 49 L.Ed.2d 944 (1976). Thus, the proof of racial motivation re- quired in a death case, whether pursuant to an Eighth Amendment theory or an equal protection theory, presumably would be less strict than that required in civil cases or in the criminal justice system generally. Constitutional adjudication would tolerate less risk that a death sentence was influ- enced by race. The Supreme Court's Eighth Amendment jurisprudence has es- tablished a constitutional supervision over the conduct of state death penalty systems which is more exacting than that with re- spect to the criminal justice system gener- ally. Woodson vr. North Carolina, 1d. at 305, 96 S.Ct. at 2991 (“Because of that qualitative difference, there is a corre [ concur in * | dissent on only the Giglio issue. 753 FEDERAL REPORTER, 2d SERIES sponding difference in the need for reliabil- ity in the determination that death is the appropriate punishment”). There is no need in this case, however, to reach out and try to define more precisely what evidentia- ry showing would be required. Judge Ro- ney’s opinion demonstrates with clarity why the evidentiary showing in this case is insufficient. GODBOLD, Chief Judge, dissenting in part, and concurring in part, with whom JOHNSON, HATCHETT and CLARK, Cir- cuit Judges, join as to the dissent on the Giglio issue *: pL "At the merits trial Evans, who had been incarcerated with McCleskey, testified that McCleskey admitted to him that he shot the policeman and acknowledged that he wore makeup to disguise himself during the rob- bery. Evans also testified that he had pending against him a [federal] escape charge, that he had not asked the prosecu- tor to “fix” this charge, and that the prose cutor had not promised him anything to testify. At the state habeas hearing the follow- ing transpired: The Court: Mr. Evans, let me ask you a question. At the time that you testified in Mr. McCleskey’s trial, had you been promised anything in exchange for your testimony? . The witness: No, I wasn’t. [ wasn't promised nothing about—I wasn’t prom- ised nothing by the D.A. But the Detec- tive told me that he would—he said he was going to do it himself, speak a word for me. That was what the Detective told me. By Mr. Stroup: Q: The Detective told you that he would speak a word for you? A: Yeah. Q: That was Detective Dorsey? A: Yeah. State Habeas Transcript at 122. The district court granted habeas relief to McCleskey under Giglio v. U.S, 405 Judge Roney's opinion on all other issues.’ McCLESKEY v. KEMP 907 Clte as 733 F.2d 877 (1985) U.S. 150, 92 S.Ct 1783, 31 L.Ed.24 104 (1972). At the threshold the district court pointed out that Giglio applies not only to “traditional deals” made by the prosecutor in exchange for testimony but also to “any promises or understandings made by any member of the prosecutorial team, which includes police investigators.” 580 F.Supp. at 380. The court then made these subsidi- ary findings: (1) that Evans's testimony was highly damaging; (2) that “the jury was clearly left with the impression that Evans was unconcerned about any charges which were pending against him and that no promises had been made which would af- fect his credibility,” id. at 381; (3) that at petitioner's state habeas hearings Evans testified “that one of the detectives investi gating the case had promised to speak to federal authorities on his behalf,” id.; (4) that the escape charges pending against Evans were dropped subsequent to McCles- key’s trial. The en banc court seems to me to err on several grounds. It blurs the proper appli- cation of Giglio by focusing sharply on the word “promise.” The proper inquiry is not limited to formal contracts, unilateral or bilateral, or words of contract law, but “to ensure that the jury knew the facts that might motivate a witness in giving testimo- ny.” Smith v. Kemp, 715 F.2d 1459, 1467 (11th Cir.1983). Giglio reaches the infor- mal understanding as well as the formal. The point is, even if the dealings are infor- mal, can the witness reasonably view the government's undertaking as offering him a benefit and can a juror knowing of it reasonably view it as motivating the wit ness in giving testimony? The verbal un- dertaking made in this instance by an in- vestigating state officer, who is a member of the prosecution team, that he will “put in a word for him” on his pending federal charge was an undertaking that a jury was entitled to know about. Second, the en banc court finds the bene- fit too marginal. Of course, the possible benefit to a potential witness can be so minimal that a court could find as a matter 1. This was the description given at trial by Dr. of law no Giglio violation occurred. A trivial offer is not enough. The subject matter of the offer to Evans was substan- tial, or at least a jury was entitled to con- sider it so. After McCleskey was tried and convicted, the federal charge was dropped. Third, the court concludes there was no reasonable likelihood that Evans’s testimony affected the judgment of the jury. Co-de- fendant Wright was the only eyewitness. He was an accomplice, thus his testimony, unless corroborated, was insufficient to es- tablish that McCleskey was the trigger- man. The en banc court recognizes this problem but avoids it by holding that Wright's testimony was corroborated by “McCleskey’s own confession.” This could refer to either of two admissions of guilt by McCleskey. He “confessed” to Wnght, but Wright's testimony on this subject could not be used to corroborate Wright's otherwise insufficient accomplice testimo- ny. Testimony of an accomplice cannot be corroborated by the accomplice’s own testi- mony. The other “confession” was made to Evans and testified to by Evans. Thus Evans is not a minor or incidental witness. Evans’ testimony, describing what McCles- key “confessed” to him, is the corrobora- tion for the testimony of the only eyewit- ness, Wright. And that eyewitness gave the only direct evidence that McCleskey killed the officer. The district court properly granted the writ on Giglio grounds. Its judgment should be affirmed. JOHNSON, Circuit Judge, dissenting in part and concurring in part, with whom HATCHETT and CLARK, Circuit Judges join: Warren McCleskey has presented con- vincing evidence to substantiate his claim that Georgia has administered its death penalty in a way that discriminates on the basis of race. The Baldus Study, charac- terized as “far and away the most complete and thorough analysis of sentencing’ ever carried out,! demonstrates that in Georgia Richard Berk, member of a panel of the Nation- 908 a person who kills a white victim has a higher risk of receiving the death penalty than a person who kills a black victim. Race alone can explain part of this higher risk. The majority concludes that the evi- dence “confirms rather than condemns the system” and that it fails to support a con- stitutional challenge. [ disagree. opinion, this disturbing evidence can and does support a constitutional claim under the Eighth Amendment. In holding other- wise, the majority commits two critical er- rors: it requires McCleskey to prove that the State intended to discriminate against him personally and it underestimates what his evidence actually did prove. I will ad- dress each of these concerns before com- menting briefly on the validity of the Bal- dus Study and addressing the other issues in this case. I. THE EIGHTH AMENDMENT AND RACIAL DISCRIMINATION IN THE ADMINISTRATION OF THE DEATH PENALTY McCleskey claims that Georgia adminis- ters the death penalty in a way that dis- criminates on the basis of race. The dis- trict court opinion treated this argument as one arising under the Fourteenth Amend- ment ? and explicitly rejected the petition- er's claim that he could raise the argument under the Eighth Amendment, as well. The majority reviews each of these possibil- ities and concludes that there is little dif- ference in the proof necessary to prevail under any of the theories: whatever the constitutional source of the challenge, a petitioner must show a disparate impact great enough to compe! the conclusion that purposeful discrimination permeates the system. These positions reflect a misun- derstanding of the nature of an Eighth Amendment ciaim in the death penalty con- text: the Eighth Amendment prohibits the racially discriminatory application of the al Academy of Sciences charged with reviewing ail previous research on criminal sentencing issues in order to set standards for the conduct of such rescarch. 2. The district court felt bound by precedent to analvze the claim under the equal protection In my 753 FEDERAL REPORTER, 2d SERIES death penalty and McCleskey does not have to prove intent to discriminate in order to show that the death penalty is being ap plied arbitrarily and capriciously. A. The Viability of an Eighth Amend. ment Challenge As the majority recognizes, the fact that a death penalty statute is facially valid does not foreclose an Eighth Amendment challenge based on the systemwide applica- tion of that statute. The district court most certainly erred on this issue. Apply- ing the death penalty in a racially discrimi- natory manner violates the Eighth Amend ment. Several members of the majority in Furman v. Georgia, 408 U.S. 238, 245-57, 310, 364-65, 92 S.Ct. 2726, 2729-36, 2762, 2790-91, 33 L.Ed.2d 346 (1972) (concurring opinions of Douglas, Stewart, Marshall, JJ.), relied in part on the disproportionate impact of the death penalty on racial minor- ities in concluding that the death penalty as then administered constituted arbitrary and capricious punishment. When decisionmakers look to the race of a victim, a factor completely unrelated to the proper concerns of the sentencing pro- cess enters into determining the sentence. Reliance on the race of the victim means that the sentence is founded in part on a morally and constitutionally repugnant judgment regarding the relative low value of the lives of black victims. Cf Zant v. Stephens, 462 U.S. 862, 103 S.Ct. 2733, 77 L.Ed.2d 235 (1983) (listing race of defend- ant as a factor “constitutionally impermis- sible or totally irrelevant to the sentencing process”). There is no legitimate basis in reason for relving on race in the sentencing process. Because the use of race is both irrelevant to sentencing and impermissible, sentencing determined in part by race is arbitrary and capricious and therefore a clause, but expressed the opinion that it might best be understood as a due process claim. It does not appear that a different constitutional basis for the claim would have affected the district court's conclusions. McCLESKEY v. KEMP 909 Cite as 753 F.2d 877 (198%) violation of the Eighth Amendment. See Furman v. Georgia, 408 U.S. 238, 256, 92 S.Ct. 2726, 2735, 33 L.Ed.2d 346 (1972) (Douglas, J., concurring) (“the high service rendered by the ‘cruel and unusual’ punish- ment clause of the Eighth Amendment is to require judges to see to it that general laws are not applied sparsely, selectively, and spottily to unpopular groups”). B. The Eighth Amendment and Proof of Discriminatory Intent The central concerns of the Eighth Amendment deal more with decisionmaking processes and groups of cases than with individual! decisions or cases. In a phrase repeated throughout its later cases, the Supreme Court in Gregg v. Georgia, 428 U.S. 133, 195 n. 46, 96 S.Ct. 2909, 2935 n. 46, 49 L.Ed.2d 859°(1976) (plurality opinion), stated that a “pattern of arbitrary and . capricious sentencing” would violate the Eighth Amendment. In fact, the Court has consistently adopted a systemic perspective on the death penalty, looking to the opera- tion of a state's entire sentencing structure in determining whether it inflicted sen- tences in violation of the Eighth Amend- ment. See, e.g., Eddings v. Oklahoma, 455 U.S. 104,112, 102 S.Ct. 869, 875, 71 L.Ed.2d 1 (1982) (capital punishment must be im- posed “fairty, and with reasonable consist ency, or not at all”); Godfrey v. Georgia, 446 U.S. 420, 100 S.Ct. 1759, 64 L.Ed.2d 39% (1980) (“[I}f a State wishes to authorize capital punishment it has a constitutional responsibility to tailor and apply its law in a manner that avoids the arbitrary and capricious infliction of the death penalty.”). Without this systemic perspective, re view of sentencing would be extremely lim- ited, for the very idea of arbitrary and capricious sentencing takes on its fullest meaning in a comparative context. A non- arbitrary sentencing structure must pro 3. The Supreme Court in Pulley v. Harris, — US. —, 104 S.Ct. 871, 79 L.Ed.2d 2S (1583), emphasized the importance of factors other than appeilate proportionality review that would control jury discretion and assure that sentences would not fall into an arbitrary pat- The decision in Pulley decmphasizes the tern. vide some meaningful way of distinguish- ing between those who receive the death sentence and those who do not. Godfrey v. Georgia, 446 U.S. 420, 433, 100 S.Ct. 1739, 1767, 64 L.Ed.2d 398 (1980); Furman v. Georgia, 408 U.S. 238, 313, 92 S.Ct. 2726, 2764, 33 L.Ed.2d 346 (1972) (White, J., con- curring). Appellate proportionality review is not needed in every case but consistency is still indispensable to a constitutional sen- tencing system.® The import of any single sentencing decision depends less on the in- tent of the decisionmaker than on the out- come in comparable cases. Effects evi- denice is well suited to this type of review. This emphasis on the outcomes produced by “the entire system springs from the State's special duty to insure fairness with regard to something as serious as a death sentence. See Zant v. Stephens, 462 U.S. 862, 103 S.Ct. 2733, 2741, 77 L.Ed.2d 235 (1983); Lockett v. Ohio, 438 U.S. 386, 605, 98 S.Ct. 2954, 2965, 57 L.Ed.2d 973 (1978); Woodson v. North Carolina, 428 U.S. 280, 305, 96 S.Ct. 2978, 2991, 49 L.Ed.2d 944 (1976) (plurality opinion). Monitoring pat- terns of sentences offers an especially ef- fective way to detect breaches of that duty. Indeed, because the death penalty retains the need for discretion to make individual ized judgments while at the same time heightening the need for fairness and con- sistency, Eddings v. Oklahoma, supra, 455 U.S. at 110-12, 102 S.Ct. at 874-795, pat- terns of decisions may often be the only acceptable basis of review. Discretion hin- ders inquiry into intent: if unfairness and inconsistency are to be detected even when they are not overwhelming or obvious, ef- fects evidence must be relied upon. Insistence on systemwide objective stan- dards to guide sentencing reliably prevents aberrant decisions without having to probe the intentions of juries or other decision- makers. Gregg v. Georgia, supra, 428 importance of evidence of arbitrariness in indi- vidual cases and looks exclusively to “systemic” arbitrariness. The case further underscores this court's responsibility to be alert to claims, such as the one McCleskey makes, that allege more than disproportionality in a single sentence. 910 US. at 198, 96 S.Ct. at 2936; Woodson v. North Carolina, supra, 428 U.S. at 303, 96 S.Ct. at 2990 (objective standards necessary to “make rationally reviewable the process for imposing the death penalty”). The need for the State to constrain the discre- tion of juries in the death penalty area is unusual by comparison to other areas of the law. It demonstrates the need to rely on systemic controls as a way to reconcile discretion and consistency; the same com- bined objectives argue for the use of ef- fects evidence rather than waiting for evi- .dence of improper motives in specific cases. Objective control and review of sentenc- ing structures is carried so far that a jury or other decisionmaker may be presumed to have intended a non-arbitrary result when the outcome is non-arbitrary by an objective standard; the law, in short, looks to the result rather than the actual mo- tives.! In Westbrook v. Zant, 704 F.2d 1487, 1504 (11th Cir.1983), this Court held that, even though a judge might not prop- erly instruct a sentencing jury regarding the proper definition of aggravating cir- cumstances, the “uncontrolled discretion of an uninstructed jury” can be cured by re- view in the Georgia Supreme Court. The state court must find that the record shows 4. Lockett v. Ohio, 438 U.S. 386, 98 S.CL. 2954, 57 L.Ed.2d 572 (1978), and other cases demonstrate that the actual deliberations of the sentencer are relevant under the Eighth Amendment, for miti- gating factors must have their proper place in all deliberations. But the sufficiency of intent in proving an Eighth Amendment violation does not imply the necessity of intent for all such claims. 5. The only Fifth or Eleventh Circuit cases touch- ing on the issue of discriminatory intent under the Eighth Amendment appear to be inconsist- ent with the Supreme Court's approach and therefore wrongly decided. The court in Smuth v. Balkcom, 660 F.2d 373, 384 (Sth Cir. Unit B 1981), modified, 671 F.2d 858 (Sth Cir.1982), stated that Eighth Amendment challenges based on race require a showing of intent, but the court reached this conclusion because it wrong: ly believed that Spinkellink v. Wainwright, 578 F.2d 582 (5th Cir.1978), compelled such a result. The Spinkeilink court never reached the ques- tion of intent, holding that Supreme Court precedent foreclosed all Eighth Amendment challenges except for extreme cases where the sentence is shockingly disproportionate to the crime. 578 F.2d at 606 & n. 28. See supra note 753 FEDERAL REPORTER, 2d SERIES the presence of statutory aggravating fac. tors that a jury could have relied upon. If the factors are present in the record it does not matter that the jury may have misun- derstood the role of aggravating circum- stances. If the State can unintentionally succeed in preventing arbitrary and capri cious sentencing, it would seem that the State can also fail in its duty even though none of the relevant decisionmakers intend such a failure. In sum, the Supreme Court's systemic and objective perspective in the review and control of death sentencing indicates that a pattern of death sentences skewed by race alone will support a claim of arbitrary and capricious sentencing in violation of the Eighth Amendment. See Furman v. Geor- gia, 408 U.S. 238, 253, 92 S.Ct. 2726, 2733, 33 L.Ed.2d 346 (1972) (Douglas, J., concur- ring) (“We cannot say that these defend- ants were sentenced to death because they were black. Yet our task is not restricted to an effort to divine what motives impeiled these death penalties.”). The majority's holding on this issue conflicts with every other constitutional limit on the death pen- alty. After today, in this Circuit arbitrar- ness based on race will be more difficult to 3. The Smith court cites to a portion of the Spinkeilink opinion dealing with equal protec- tion arguments. 578 F.2d at 614 n. 40. Neither of the cases took note of the most pertinent Eighth Amendment precedents decided by the Supreme Court. Other Eleventh Circuit cases mention that ha- beas corpus petitioners must prove intent to discriminate racially against them personally in the application of the death sentence. But these cases all either treat the claim as though it arose under the Fourteenth Amendment alone or rely on Smith or one of its successors. See Sullivan v. Wainwright, 721 F.2d 316 (11th Cir.1983); Adams v. Wainwright, 709 F.2d 1443 (11th Cir. 1983). Of course, to the extent these cases at- tempt to foreclose Eighth Amendment chal- lenges of this sort or require proof of particular- ized intent to discriminate, they are inconsistent with the Supreme Court's interpretation of the Eighth Amendment. Cf Gates Collier, 3501 F.2d 1291, 1300-0! (5th Cir.1973) {prohibition against cruel and unusual punishment “is not limited to specific acts directed at selected indi- viduals”). McCLESKEY v. KEMP 911 Cite as 753 F.2d 877 (198%) eradicate than any other sort of arbitrari- ness in the sentencing system. II. PROVING DISCRIMINATORY EF- FECT AND INTENT WITH THE BALDUS STUDY The statistical study conducted by Dr. Baldus provides the best possible evidence of racially disparate impact. It began with a single unexplained fact: killers of white victims in Georgia over the last decade have received the death penalty eleven times more often than killers of black vie- tims.® It then employed several statistical techniques, including regression analysis, to isolate the amount of that disparity at- tributable to both racial and non-racial fac- tors. Each of the techniques yielded a statistically significant racial influence of at least six percent; in other words, they all showed that the pattern of sentencing could only be explained by assuming that the race of the victim made all defendants convicted of killing white victims at least six percent more likely to receive the death penalty. Other factors’ such as the num- ber of aggravating circumstances or the occupation of the victim could account for some of the eleven-to-one differential, but the race of the victim remained one. of the strongest influences. ; : Assuming that the study actually proves what it claims to prove, an assumption the majority claims to make, the evidence un- doubtedly shows a disparate impact. Re- gression analysis has the great advantage of showing that a perceived racial effect is an actual racial effect because it controls for the influence of non-racial factors. By screening’ out non-racial explanations for certain outcomes, regression analysis of- 6. Among those who were eligible for the death penalty, eleven percent of the killers of white victims received the death penalty, while one percent of the killers of black victims received it. 7. In one of the largest of these models, the one focused on by the district court and the majori- tv, the statisticians used 230 different indepen- dent variables (possible influences on the pat- tern of sentencing). including several different aggravating and many possible mitigating fac- tors. fers a type of effects evidence that ap- proaches evidence of intent, no matter what level of disparity is shown. For ex ample, the statistics in this case show that a certain number of death penalties were probably imposed because of race, without ever inquiring directly into the motives of jurors or prosecutors. : Regression analysis is becoming a com- mon method of proving discriminatory ef- fect in employment discrimination suits. In fact, the Baldus Study shows effects at least as dramatic and convincing as those in statistical studies offered in the past. Cf. Segar v. Smith, 738 F.2d 1249 (D.C.Cir. 1984); Wade v. Mississippi Cooperative Extension Service, 328 F.2d 308 (5th Cir. 1976). Nothing more should be necessary to prove that Georgia is applying its death penalty statute in a way that arbitrarily and capriciously relies on an illegitimate factor—race.® Even if proof of discriminatory intent were necessary to make out a constitution- al challenge, under any reasonable defini- tion of intent the Baldus Study provides sufficient proof. The majority ignores the fact that McCleskey has shown discrimina- tory intent at work in the sentencing sys- tem even though he has not pointed to any specific act or actor responsible for discrim- inating against him in particular? The law recognizes that even though in- tentional discrimination will be difficult to detect in some situations, its workings are still pernicious and real. Rose v. Mitchell, 443 U.S. 345, 539, 99 S.Ct. 2993, 3001, 61 L.Ed.2d 739 (1979). Under some circum- stances, therefore, proof of discriminatory effect will be an important first step in 8. See part I, supra. Of course, proof of any significant racial effects is enough under the Eighth Amendment, for a requirement of prov- ing large or pervasive effects is tantamount to proof of intent. 9. The same factors leading 'o the conclusion that an Eighth Amendment claim does not re- quire proof of intent militate even more strong: ly against using too restrictive an understanding of intent. 912 proving intent, Crawford v. Board of Edu- cation, 458 U.S. 527, 102 S.Ct. 3211, 73 L.Ed.2d 948 (1982), and may be the best available proof of intent. Washington v. Davis, 426 U.S. 229, 241-42, 96 S.Ct. 2040, 2048—49, 48 L.Ed.2d 597 (1976); United States v. Texas Educational Agency, 579 F.2d 910, 913-14 & nn. 5-7 (5th Cir.1978), cert. denied, 443 U.S. 915, 99 S.Ct. 3106, 61 L.Ed.2d 879 (1979). For instance, proof of intentional discrim- ination in the selection of jurors has tradi- tionally depended on showing racial ef- fects. See Castaneda v. Partida, 430 U.S. 482, 97 S.Ct. 1272, 51 L.Ed.2d 498 (1977); Turner v. Fouche, 396 U.S. 346, 90 S.Ct. 532, 24 L.Ed.2d 532 (1970); Gibson v. Zant, 705 F.2d 1543 (11th Cir.1983). This is be- cause the discretion allowed to jury com- missioners, although legitimate, could easi- ly be used to mask comscious or uncon- scious racial discrimination. The Supreme Court has recognized that the presence of this sort of discretion calls for indirect methods of proof. Washington v. Dawns, 426 U.S. 229, 241-42, 96 S.Ct. 2040, 2043 49, 48 L.Ed.2d 397 (1976); Arlington Heights v. Metropolitan Housing Corp. 429 U.S. 252, 266 n. 13, 97 S.Ct. 555, 564 n. 13, 50 L.Ed.2d 450 (1977). A This Court has confronted the same prob- lem in an analogous setting. In Searcy ». Williams, 636 F.2d 1003, 1008-09 (5th Cir. 1981), aff'd sub nom. Hightower v. Searcy, 453 U.S. 984, 102 S.Ct. 1605, 71 L.Ed.2d 844 (1982), the court overturned a facially valid procedure for selecting school board mem- bers because the selections fell into an overwhelming pattern of racial imbalance. The decision rested in part on the discretion 10. The majority distinguishes the jury discrimi- nation cases on tenuous grounds, stating that the disparity between the number of minority persons on the jury venire and the number of such persons in the population is an “actual disparity,” while the racial influence in this case is not. If actual disparities are to be con- sidered, then the court should employ the actual (and overwhelming) eleven-ic-one differential between white victim cases and black victim cases. The percentage figures presented by the Baldus Study are reaily more reliable than “ac- tual” disparities because they control for possi- ble non-racial lactors. 753 FEDERAL REPORTER, 2d SERIES inherent in the selection process: “The. challenged application of the statute often involves discretion or subjective criteria ut;. lized at a crucial point in the decision-mak. ing process.” The same concerns at work in the jury discrimination context operate with equal force in the death penalty context. The prosecutor has considerable discretion and the jury has bounded but irreducible discre- tion. Defendants cannot realistically hope to find direct evidence of discriminatory intent. This is precisely the situation envi- sioned in Arlington Heights, where the Court pointed out that “[sJometimes a clear pattern, unexplainable on grounds other than race, emerges from the effect of the state action even when the governing legis- lation appears neutral on its face.... The evidentiary inquiry is then relatively easy.” 429 U.S. at 266, 97 S.Ct. at 564. As a result, evidence of discriminatory effects presented in the Baldus Study, like evidence of racial disparities in the compo- sition of jury pools!'® and in other con- texts,’ excludes every reasonable infer- ence other than discriminatory intent at work in the system. This Circuit has ac- knowledged on several occasions that evi- dence of this sort could support a constitu- tional challenge. Adams v. Wainwrigal, 709 F.2d 1443, 1449 (11th Cir.1983); Smith v. Balkcom, 660 F.2d 573 (5th Cir. Unit B 1981), modified in part, 671 F.2d 8538, cert. denied, 459 U.S. 882, 103 S.Ct. 181, 74 L.Ed.2d 148 (1982); Spinkellink, supra, at 614. A petitioner need not exclude all infer- ences other than discriminatory intent in his or her particular case.’? Yet the major- 11. United States v. Texas Educational Agency, $79 F.2d 910 (Sth Cir.1978), cert denied, 443 U.S. 915, 99 S.Ct. 3106, 61 L.Ed.2d 879 (1979), involving a segregated school system, provides another example of effects evidence as applied to an entire decisionmaking system. 12. The particularity requirement has appeared sporadicaily in this Court's decisions prior to this time, although it was not a part of the original observation about this sort of statistical evidence in Smuth v. Balkcom, supra. iv McCLESKEY v. KEMP 913 Clte as 753 F.2d 877 (1985) ity improperly stresses this particularity requirement and interprets it so as to close a door left open by the Supreme Court.? It would be nearly impossible to prove through evidence of a system's usual ef- fects that intent must have been a factor in any one case; effects evidence, in this con- text, necessarily deals with many cases at once. Every jury discrimination charge would be stillborn if the defendant had to prove by direct evidence that the jury com- missioners intended to deprive him or her of the right to a jury composed of a fair cross-section of the community. Requiring proof of discrimination in a particular case is especially inappropriate with regard to an Eighth Amendment claim, for even un- der the majority's description of the proof necessary to sustain an Eighth Amendment challenge, race operating in a pervasive manner “in the system” will suffice. The majority, after sowing doubts of this sort, nevertheless concedes that despite the particularity requirement, evidence of the system's effects could be strong enough to demecnstrate intent and purpose. Its sub- sequent efforts to weaken the implications to be drawn from the Baldus Study are uniformly unsuccessful. For example, the majority takes comfort in the fact that the level of aggravation powerfully influences the sentencing deci sion in Georgia. Yet this fact alone does not reveal a “rational” system at work. The statistics not only show that the num- ber of aggravating factors is a significant influence; they also point to the race of the 13. The dissenting opinion of Justice Powell in Stephens v. Kemp, — U.S. ——, 104 S.Ct. 362, 78 L.E4.2d 370, 372 (1984), does not undermine the clear impont of cases such as the jury dis crimination cases. For one thing, a dissent from a summary order does not have the prece- dential weight of a fully considered opinion of the Court. For another, the Stephens dissent considered the Baldus Study as an equal protec- tion argument only and did not address what might be necessary to prove an Eighth Amend- ment violation. 14. While | agree with Judge Anderson's observa- tion that “the proof of racial motivation re- quired in a death case ... would be less strict than that required in civil cases or in the crimi- nal justice system generally,” I find it incoasist- victim as a factor of considerable influence. Where racial discrimination contributes to an official decision, the decision is unconsti- tutional even though discrimination was not the primary motive. Personnel Ad- ministrator v. Feeney, 442 U.S. 256, 279, 99 S.Ct 2282, 2296, 60 L.Ed.2d 870 (1979). Neither can the racial impact be ex- plained away by the need for discretion in the administration of the death penalty or by any “presumption that the statute is operating in a constitutional manner.” The discretion necessary to the administration of the death penalty does not include the ~ discretion to consider race: the jury may consider any proper aggravating factors, but it may not consider the race of the victim as an aggravating factor. Zant v. Stephens, 462 U.S. 862, 103 S.Ct. 2733, 2741, 77 L.Ed.2d 235 (1983). And a statute deserves a presumption of constitutionality only where there is real uncertainty as to whether race influences its application. Evidence such as the Baldus Study, show- ing that the pattern of sentences can only be explained by assuming a significant ra- cial influence,'® overcomes whatever pre- sumption exists. The majority's effort to discount the im- portance of the “liberation hypothesis” also fails. In support of his contention that juries were more inclined to rely on race when other factors did not militate toward one outcome or another, Dr. Baldus noted that a more pronounced racial influence appeared in cases of medium aggravation ent with his acceptance of the majority out- come. The “exacting” constitutional supervi- sion over the death penalty established by the Supreme Court compels the conclusion that dis- criminatory effects can support an Eighth Amendment chailenge. Furthermore, the ma- jority's evaluation of the evidence in this case is, if anything, more strict than in other contexts. See note 10, supra. 15. The racial influence operates in the average case and is therefore probably at work in any single case. The majority misconstrues the na- ture of regression analysis when it says that the coefficient of the race-of-the-victim factor repre- sents the percentage of cases in which race could have been a factor. That coefficient rep- resents the influence of race across all the cases. -914 (20 percent) than in all cases combined (6 percent). The majority states that racial impact in a subset of cases cannot provide the basis for a systemwide challenge. However, there is absolutely no justifica- tion for such a claim. The fact that a system mishandles a sizeable subset of cases is persuasive evidence that the entire system operates improperly. Cf Connecti- cut v. Teal, 457 U.S. 440, 102 S.Ct. 2525, 73 L.Ed.2d 130 (1984) (written test diserimi- nates against some employees); Lewis v. City of New Orleans, 415 U.S. 130, 94 S.Ct. 70, 39 L.Ed.2d 214 (1974) (statute infring- ing on First Amendment interests in some cases). A system can be applied arbitrarily and capriciously even if it resolves the obvi- ous cases in a rational manner. Admitted- ly, the lack of a precise definition of medi- um aggravation cases could lead to either an overstatement or understatement of the racial influence. Accepting, however, that the racial factor is accentuated to some degree in the middle range of cases,’ the evidence of racial impact must be taken all the more seriously. Finally, the majority places undue re- liance on several recent Supreme Court cases. It argues that Ford v. Strickland, — U.S. —, 104 S.Ct. 3498, 82 L.Ed.2d 911 (1984), Adams v. Wainwright, — U.S. ——, 104 S.Ct. 2183, 80 L.Ed.2d 809 (1984), and Sullivan v. Wainwright, — US. ——, 104 S.Ct. 450, 78 L.Ed.2d 210 (1983), support its conclusion that the Baldus Study does not make a strong enough showing of effects to justify an inference of intent. But to the extent that these cases offer any guidanee at all regarding the legal standards applicable to these studies,!? it is clear that the Court con- sidered the validity of the studies rather 16. The majority apparently ignores its commit- ment to accept the validity of the Baldus Study when it questions the definition of “medium aggravation cases” used by Dr. Baldus. 17. The opinion in Ford mentioned this issue in a single sentence; the order in Adams was not accompanied by any written opinion at ail. None of the three treated this argument as a possible Eighth Amendment claim. Finally, the “death odds multiplier” is not the most pro- 753 FEDERAL REPORTER, 2d SERIES than their sufficiency. In Sullivan, the "Supreme Court refused to stay the execy. tion simply because it agreed with the dec; sion of this Court, a decision based on the validity of the study alone.’ Sullivan Wainwright, 721 F.2d 316 (11th Cir.1983) (citing prior cases rejecting statistical evi dence because it did not account for non-rg- cial explanations of the effects). As the majority mentions, the methodology of the Baldus Study easily surpasses that of the earlier studies irivolved in those cases. Thus, the Baldus Study offers a convine- ing explanation of the disproportionate ef. fects of Georgia's death penalty system. It shows a clear pattern of sentencing that can only be explained in terms of race, and it does so in a context where direct evi dence of intent is practically impossible to obtain. [It strains the imagination to be- lieve that the significant influence on sen- tencing left unexplained by 230 alternative factors is random rather than racial, espe cially in a state with an established history of racial discrimination. Turner ov. Fouche, supra; Chapman v. King, 154 F.2d 460 (5th Cir.), cert. denied, 327 U.S. 800, 66 S.Ct. 905, 90 L.Ed. 1025 (1946). The petitioner has certainly presented evi- dence of intentional racial discrimination at work in the Georgia system. Georgia has within the meaning of the Eighth Amend- ment applied its statute arbitrarily and ca- priciously. 11. THE VALIDITY OF THE BALDUS STUDY The majority does not purport to reach the issue of whether the Baldus Study reli ably proves what it claims to prove. How- ever, the majority does state that the dis- trict court's findings regarding the validity nounced statistic in the Baldus Study: a ruling of insufficiency based on that one indicator would not be controlling here. 18. Indeed, the Court indicated that it would have reached a different conclusion if the dis- trict court and this court had not been given the opportunity to analyze the statistics adequately. wr U.S, mew; 104 S.Ct. 31 431.0. 3, 78 LEA at: 213m 3 McCLESKEY v. KEMP 915 Cite as 753 F2d 877 (1985) of the study might foreclose habeas relief on this issue. Moreover, the majority opin- ion in several instances questions the validi- ty of the study while claiming to be inter- ested in its sufficiency alone. I therefore will summarize some of the reasons that the district court was clearly erroneous in finding the Baldus Study invalid. The district court fell victim to a miscon- ception that distorted its factual findings. The Court pointed out a goodly number of imperfections in the study but rarely went ahead to determine the significance of those imperfections. A court may not sim- ply point to flaws in a statistical analysis and conclude that it is completely unrelia- ble or fails to prove what it was intended to prove. Rather, the Court must explain why the imperfection makes the study less capable of proving the proposition that it was meant to support. Eastland v. Ten- nessee Valley Authority, 704 F.2d 613 (11th Cir.1983), cert. denied, — U.S. —, 104 S.Ct. 1415, 79 L.Ed.2d 741 (1984). Several of the imperfections noted by the district court were not legally significant because of their minimal effect. Many of the errors in the data base match this de- scription. For instance, the “mismatches” in data entered once for cases in the Proce- dural Reform Study and again for the same cases in the Charging and Sentencing Study were scientifically negligible. The district court relied on the data that changed from one study to the next in concluding that the coders were allowed 19. The remaining errors affected little more than one percent of the data in any of the models. Data errors of less than 10 or 12% generally do not threaten the validity of a mod- el. 30. Dr. Baldus used an “imputation method,” whereby the race of the victim was assumed to be the same as the race of the defendant. Given the predominance of murders where the victim and defendant were of the same race, this meth- od was a reasonable way of estimating the num- ber of victims of each race. It further reduced the significance of this missing data. 21. The district court, in assessing the weight 10 be accorded this omission, assumed that Dr. Baldus was completely unsuccessful in predict too much discretion. But most of the al leged “mismatches” resulted from inten- _ tional improvements in the coding tech- niques and the remaining errors 1? were not large enough to affect the results. The data missing in some cases was also a matter of concern for the district court. The small effects of the missing data leave much of that concern unfounded. The race of the victim was uncertain in 6% of the cases at most ®;, penalty trial information was unavailable in the same percentage of cases?! . The relatively small amount of missing data, combined with the large num- ber of variables used in several of the models, should have led the court to rely on the study. Statistical analyses have never been held to a standard of perfection or near perfection in order for courts to treat them as competent evidence. Trout v. Lehman, 702 F.2d 1094, 1101-02 (D.C.Cir. 1983). Minor problems are inevitable in a study of this scope and complexity: the stringent standards used by the district court would spell the loss of most statisti- cal evidence. : Other imperfections in the study were not significant because there was no reason to believe that the problem would work systematically to expand the size of the race-of-the-victim factor rather than to con- tract it or leave it unchanged. The multi- collinearity problem is a problem of notable proportions that nonetheless did not in- crease the size of the race-of-the-victim fac- tor. Ideally the independent variables in ing how many of the cases led to penalty trials. Since the prediction was based on discernible rends in the rest of the cases, the district court was clearly erroneous to give no weight to the prediction. 22. The treatment of the coding conventions pro- vides another example. The district court criti- cized Dr. Baldus for treating “U” codes (indicat- ing uncertainty as to whether a factor was present in a case) as being beyond the knowl- edge of the jury and prosecutor (“absent”) rath- er than assuming that the decisionmakers knew about the factor (“present”). Baldus contended that, if the extensive records available on each case did not disclose the presence of a factor, chances were good that the decisionmakers did not know of its presence, cither. Dr. Berk testi- 916 a regression analysis should not be related to one another. If one independent varia- ble merely serves as a proxy for another, the model suffers from “multicollinearity.” That condition could either reduce the sta- tistical significance of the variables or dis- tort their relationships to one another. Of course, to the extent that multicollinearity reduces statistical significance it suggests that the racial influence would be even more certain if the multicollinearity had not artificially depressed the variable’s statisti cal significance. As for the distortions in the relationships between the variables, ex- perts for the petitioner explained that mul ticollinearity tends to dampen the racial effect rather than enhance it.” The district court did not fail in every instance to analyze the significance of the problems. Yet when it did reach this issue, the court at times appeared to misunder- stand the nature of this study or of regres- sion analysis generally. In several related criticisms, it found that any of the models accounting for less than 230 independent variables were completely worthless (580 F.Supp. at 361), that the most complete models were unable to capture every nuance of every case (580 F.Supp. at 356, 71), and that the models were not suffi- ciently predictive to be relied upon in light of their low R 2 value (580 F.Supp. at 361).% The majority implicitly questions the validi- ty of the Baldus Study on several occasions when it adopts the first two of these criti- fied that the National Academy of Sciences had considered this same issue and had recom- mended the course taken by Dr. Baldus. Dr. Katz, the expert witness for the state, suggested removing the cases with the U codes from the study altogether. The district court's sugges- tion, then, that the U codes be treated as present, appears to be groundless and clearly erroneous. Baldus later demonstrated that the U codes did not affect the race-of-the-victim factor by recoding all the items coded with a U and treat- ing them as present. Each of the tests showed no significant reduction in the racial variable. The district court rejected this demonstration because il was not carried out using the largest available model. 23. The district count rejected this expert testimo- ay, not because of any rebuttal testimony, but because it allegedly conflicted with the petition- 753 FEDERAL REPORTER, 2d SERIES cisms.? A proper understanding of statis. tical methods shows, however, that these are not serious shortcomings in the Baldus- Study. The district court mistrusted smaller models because it placed too much weight on one of the several complementary goals of statistical analysis. Dr. Baldus testified that in his opinion the 39-variable model was the best among the many models he produced. The district court assumed somewhat mechanistically that the more independent variables encompassed by a model, the better able it was to estimate the proper influence of non-racial factors. But in statistical models, bigger is not al- ways better. After a certain point, addi- tional independent variables become correl- ated with variables already being con- sidered and distort or suppress their influ- ence. The most accurate models strike an appropriate balance between the risk of omitting a significant factor and the risk of multicollinearity. Hence, the district court erred in rejecting all but the largest mod- els. The other two criticisms mentioned earli- er spring from a single source—the misin- terpretation of the R? measurement.’ The failure of the models to capture every nuance of every case was an inevitable but harmless failure. Regression analysis ac- counts for this limitation with an R ? meas urement. As a result, it does not matter er's other theory that muiticollinearity affects statistical significance. 580 FSupp. at 364. The two theories are not inconsistent, for nei ther Dr. Baldus nor Dr. Woodworth denied that multicollinearity might have multiple effects. The two theories each anaiyze one possible ef- fect. Therefore, the district court rejected this testimony on improper grounds. 24. The RZ measurement represents the influ- ence of random factors unique to each case that could not be captured by addition of another independent variable. As RZ approaches a val- ue of 1.0, one can be more sure that the inde pendent variables already identified are accu- rate and that no significant influences are mas guerading as random influences. 28. See e.g., pp. 896, 899. 26. See footnote 24. McCLESKEY v. KEMP 917 Cite as 753 F.2d 877 (1985) that a study fails to consider every nuance of every case because random factors (fac- tors that influence the outcome in a sporad- ic and unsystematic way) do not impugn the reliability of the systemwide factors already identified, including race of the vic- tim. Failure to consider extra factors be- comes a problem only where they operate throughout the system, that is, where R 2is inappropriately low. The district court did find that the R ? of the 230-variable study, which was near- ly .48, was too low.” But an R? of that size is not inappropriately. low in every ~ context.® The R? measures random fac- tors unique to each case: in areas where such factors are especially likely to occur, one would expect a low RZ. As the ex- perts, the district court and the majority have pointed out, no two death penaity cases can be said to be exactly alike, and it is especially unlikely for a statistical study to capture every influence on a sentence. In light of the random factors at work in the death penalty context, the district court erred in finding the R? of all the Baldus Study models too low.? Errors of this sort appear elsewhere in the district court opinion and leave me with the definite and firm conviction that the basis for the district court's ruling on the invalidity of the study was clearly errone- ous. United States v. Gypsum Co., 333 U.S. 364, 395, 68 S.Ct. 525, 541, 92 L.Ed. 746 (1948). This statistical analysis, while imperfect, is sufficiently complete and reli- able to serve as competent evidence to guide the court. Accordingly, 1 would re- verse the judgment of the district court 27. It based that finding on the fact that a model with an R2 less than .5 “does not predict the outcome in half of the cases.” This is an inac- curate statement, for an R 2 actually represents the percentage of the original 11-to-1 differen- tial explained by all the independent variables combined. A model with an R 2 of less than .5 would not necessarily fail to predict the out come in half the cases because the mode! im. proves upon pure chance as a way of correctly predicting an outcome. For dichotomous out- comes (i.e. the death penalty is imposed or it is not), random predictions could succeed half the time. with regard to the validity of the Baldus Study. I would also reverse that court's determination that an Eighth Amendment claim is not available to the petitioner. He is entitled to relief on this claim. IV. OTHER ISSUES I ‘concur in the opinion of the court with regard to the death-oriented jury claim and in the result reached by the court on the ineffective assistance of counsel claim. I must dissent, however, on the two remain- ing issues in the case. I disagree with the holding on the Giglio issue, on the basis of the findings and conclusions of the district court and the dissenting opinion of Chief Judge Godbold. As for the Sandstrom claim, I would hold that the instruction was erroneous and that the error was not harm- less. It is by no means certain that an error of this sort can be harmless. See Comnect:- cut v. Johnson, 460 U.S. 73, 103 S.Ct. 969, 74 L.Ed.2d 823 (1983). Even if an error could be harmless, the fact that McCleskey relied on an alibi defense does not mean that intent was “not at issue” in the case. Any element of a crime can be at issue whether or not the defendant presents evi- dence that disputes the prosecution’s case on that point. The jury could find that the prosecution had failed to dispel all reason- able doubts with regard to intent even though the defendant did not specifically make such an argument. Intent is at issue wherever there is evidence to support a reasonable doubt in the mind of a reason- able juror as to the existence of criminal intent. See Lamb v. Jernigan, 683 F.2d 28. Wilkins v. University of Houston, 634 F.2d 388, 405 (5th Cir.1981), is not lo the contrary. That court stated only that it could not know whether an R 2 of .32 or .53 percent would be inappropriately low in that context since the parties had not made any argument on the is- sue. 29. Furthermore, an expert for the petitioner of- fered the unchallenged opinion that the R? measurements in studies of dichotomous out- comes are understated by as much as 30%, placing the R 2 values of the Baldus Study mod- els somewhere between .7 and 9. 918 1332, 1342-43 (11th Cir.1982) (“no reason- able juror could have determined ... that appellant acted out of provocation or self- defense,” therefore error was harmless). The majority states that the raising of an alibi defense does not automatically render a Sandstrom violation harmless. It con- cludes, however, that the raising of a non- participation defense coupled with “over whelming evidence of an intentional kill- ing” will lead to a finding of harmless error. The majority's position is indistin- guishable from a finding of harmless error based solely on overwhelming evidence.® Since a defendant normally may not relieve the jury of its responsibility to make factu- al findings regarding every element of an offense, the only way for intent to be “not at issue” in a murder trial is if the evidence presented by either side provides no possi- ble issue of fact with regard to intent. Thus, McCleskey’s chosen defense in this case should not obscure the sole basis for the disagreement between the majority and myself: the reasonable inferences that could be drawn from the circumstances of "the killing. I cannot agree with the majort ty that no juror, based on any reasonable interpretation of the facts, could have had a reasonable doubt regarding intent. Several factors in this case bear on the issue of intent. The shooting did not occur at point-blank range. Furthermore, the of- ficer was moving at the time of the shoot ing. On the basis of these facts and other circumstances of the shooting, a juror could have had a reasonable doubt as to whether the person firing the weapon in- tended to kill. While the majority dismiss- es this possibility as “mere speculation,” the law requires an appellate court {0 spec- ulate about what a reasonable juror could 30. Indeed, the entire harmless error analysis employed by the court may be based on a false dichotomy between “overwhelming evidence” and elements “not at issue.” Wherever intent is an element of a crime, it can only be removed as an issue by overwhelming evidence. The observation by the plurality in Connecticut v. Johnson, supra, that a defendant may in some cases “admit” an issue, should only apply where the evidence allows only one conclusion. To allow an admission to take place in the face of [] 753 FEDERAL REPORTER, 2d SERIES have concluded. Sandstrom v. Montana, 442 U.S. 510, 99 S.Ct. 2450, 61 L.Ed.2d 39 (1979); United States v. Bell, 678 F.2d 547, 549 (5th Cir. Unit B 1982) (en banc), aff'd on other grounds, 462 U.S. 356, 103 S.Ct. 2398, 76 L.Ed.2d 638 (1983). Therefore, the judgment of the district court should be reversed on this ground, as well. HATCHETT, Circuit Judge, dissenting in part, and concurring in part: In this case, the Georgia system of im- posing the death penalty is shown to be unconstitutional. Although the Georgia death penalty statutory scheme was held constitutional “on +its face” in Gregg ov. Georgia, 428 U.S. 153, 96 S.Ct. 2909, 49 L.Ed.2d 859 (1976), application of the scheme produces death sentences explaina- ble only on the basis of the race of the defendant and the race of the victim. I write to state clearly and simply, with- out the jargon of the statisticians, the re- sults produced by the application of the Georgia statutory death penalty scheme, as shown by the Baldus Study. The Baldus Study is valid. The study was designed to answer the questions when, if ever, and how much, if at all, race is a factor in the decision to impose the death penalty in Georgia. The study gives the answers: In Georgia, when the defend- ant is black and the victim of murder is white, a 6 percent greater chance exists that the defendant will receive the death penalty solely because the victim is white. This 6 percent disparity is present through- out the total range of death-sentenced black defendants in Georgia. While the 6 percent is troublesome, it is the disparity in the mid-range on which I focus. When evidence to the contrary improperly infringes on the jury's duty to consider all relevant evi- dence. 1. Although | concur with the majority opinion on the ineffective assistance of counsel and death-oriented jury issues, | write separately to express my thoughts on the Baldus Study. | also join Chief Judge Godbold's dissent, as to the Giglio issue, and Judge Johnson's dissent. McCLESKEY v. KEMP 919 Cite as 753 F2d 877 (1985) cases are considered which fall in the mid- range, between less serious and very seri ous aggravating circumstances, where the victim is white, the black defendant has a 20 percent greater chance of receiving the death penalty because the victim is white, rather than black. This is intolerable; it is in this middle range of cases that the deci- sion on the proper sentence is most diffi- cult and imposition of the death penalty most questionable. The disparity shown by the study arises from a variety of statistical analyses made by Dr. Baldus and his colleagues. First, Baldus tried to determine the effect of race of the victim in 594 cases (PRS study) comprising all persons convicted of murder during a particular period. To obtain bet- ter results, consistent with techniques ap- proved by the National Academy of Sci- ences, Baldus identified 2,500 cases in which persons were indicted for murder during a particular period and studied closely 1,066 of those cases. He identified 500 factors, bits of information, about the defendant, the crime, and other circum- stances surrounding each case which he thought had some impact on a death sen- tence determination. Additionally, he fo- cused on 230 of these factors which he thought most reflected the relevant consid- erations in a death penalty decision. Through this 230-factor model, the study proved that black defendants indicted and convicted for murder of a white victim be- gin the penalty stage of trial with a signifi- cantly greater probability of receiving the death penalty, solely because the victim is white. Baldus also observed thirty-nine factors, including information on aggravating cir cumstances, which match the circumstanc- es in this case. This focused study of the aggravating circumstances in the mid- range of severity indicated that “white vic- tim crimes were shown to be 20 percent more likely to result in a death penalty sentence than equally aggravated black vic- tim crimes.” Majority at 396. 2. Nothing in the majority opinion regarding the validity, impact, or constitutional significance We must not lose sight of the fact that the 39-factor model considers information relevant to the impact of the decisions be- ing made by law enforcement officers, prosecutors, judges, and juries in the deci- sion to impose the death penalty. The ma- jority suggests that if such a disparity re- sulted from an identifiable actor or agency in the prosecution and sentencing process, the present 20 percent racial disparity could be great enough to declare the Geor- gia system unconstitutional under the eighth amendment. Because this disparity is not considered great enough to satisfy the majority, or because no identification of an actor or agency can be made with preci- sion, the majority holds that the statutory scheme is approved by the Constitution. Identified or unidentified, the result of the unconstitutional ingredient of race, at a significant level in the system, is the same on the black defendant. The inability to identify the actor or agency has little to do with the constitutionality of the system. The 20 percent greater chance in the mid-range cases (because the defendant is black and the victim is white), produces a disparity that is too high. The study dem- onstrates that the 20 percent disparity, in the real world, means that one-third of the black defendants (with white victims) in the mid-range cases will be affected by the race factor in receiving the death penalty. Race should not be allowed to take a signif- icant role in the decision to impose the death penalty. The Supreme Court has reminded us on more than one occasion that “if a state wishes to authorize capital punishment it has a constitutional responsibility to tailor and apply its law in a manner that avoids the arbitrary and capricious infliction of the death penalty.” Godfrey v. Georgqa, 446 U.S. 420, 428, 100 S.Ct. 1759, 1764, 64 L.Ed.2d 398 (1980). A statute that inten- tionally or unintentionally allows for such racial effects is unconstitutional under the eighth amendment. Because the majority holds otherwise, 1 dissent.? of studies on discrimination in application of the Florida death penalty scheme should be 920 CLARK, Circuit Judge, dissenting in part and concurring in part *: We are challenged to determine how much racial discrimination, if any, is tolera- ble in the imposition of the death penalty. Although I also join in Judge Johnson's dissent, this dissent is directed to the ma- jority’s erroneous conclusion that the ev: dence in this case does not establish a prima facie Fourteenth Amendment viola- tion. The Study The Baldus study, which covers the pen- od 1974 to 1979, is a detailed study of over 2,400 homicide cases. From these homi- cides, 128 persons received the death penal ty. Two types of racial disparity are estab- lished—one based on the race of the victim and one based on the race of the defendant. If the victim is white, a defendant is more likely to receive the death penalty. If the defendant is black, he is more likely to receive the death penalty. One can only conclude that in the operation of this sys- 753 FEDERAL REPORTER, 2d SERIES tem the life of a white is dearer, the life of a black cheaper. Before looking at a few of the figures, a perspective is necessary. Race is a factor in the system only where there is room for discretion, that is, where the decision mak. er has a viable choice. In the large number of cases, race has no effect. These are cases where the facts are so mitigated the death penalty is not even considered as 3 possible punishment. At the other end of the spectrum are the tremendously aggra- vated murder cases where the defendant will very probably receive the death penal ty, regardless of his race or the race of the victim. In between is the mid-range of cases where there is an approximately 20% racial disparity. The Baldus study was designed to deter- mine whether like situated cases are treat- ed similarly. As a starting point, an unan- alyzed arithmetic comparison of all of the cases reflected the following: Death Sentencing Rates by Defendant/ Victim Racial Combination A B C D. Black Defendant/ White Defendant/ Black Defendant/ White Defendant/ White Vietim White Vietim Black Vietim Black Vietim 22 08 .01 .03 (50/228) (58/745) (18/1438) (2/64) y 5) 013 (108/973) (20/1502) These figures show a gross disparate racial impact—that where the victim was white there were 11% death sentences, compared to only 1.3 percent death sentences when construed to imply that the United States Su- preme Court has squarely passed on the Florida studies. Neither the Supreme Court nor the Eleventh Circuit has passed on the Florida stud- ies, on a fully developed record (as in this case), under fourteenth and eighth amendment chal- lenges. * Although I concur with the majority opinion on the ineffective assistance of counsel! and death the victim was black. Similarly, only 8% of white defendants compared to 22% of black defendants received the death penalty when the victim was white. The Supreme oriented jury issues, | write separately to ex- press my thoughts on the Baidus Study. | also join Chief Judge Godbold's dissent and Judge Johnson's dissent. 1. DB Exhibit 63. McCLESKEY v. KEMP 921 Cite as 753 F.2d 877 (1985) Court has found similar gross disparities to be sufficient proof of discrimination to sup- port a Fourteenth Amendment violation.? The Baldus study undertook to deter- mine if this racial sentencing disparity was caused by considerations of race or because of other factors or both. In order to find out, it was necessary to analyze and com- pare each of the potential death penalty cases and ascertain what relevant factors were available for consideration by the de- cision makers.? There were many factors such as prior capital record, contemporane- ous offense, motive, killing to avoid arrest or for hire, as well as race. The study showed that race had as much or more impact than any other single factor. See Exhibits DB 76-78, T-776-87. Stated an- other way, race influences the verdict just 2. See discussion below at Page 9. ’ 3. An individualized method of sentencing makes it possible to differentiate each particular case “in an objective, evenhanded, and substantially rational way from the many Georgia murder as much as any one of the aggravating circumstances listed in Georgia's death penalty statute.! Therefore, in the applica- tion of the statute in Georgia, race of the defendant and of the victim, when it is black/white, functions as if it were an ag- gravating circumstance in a discernible number of cases. See Zant v. Stephens, 462 US. 862, 103 S.Ct. 2733, 2147, M7 L.Ed.2d 235 (1983) (race as an aggravating circumstance would be constitutionally im- permissible). Another part of the study compared the disparities in death penalty sentencing ac- cording to race of the defendant and race of the victim and reflected the differences in the sentencing depending upon the pre- dicted chance of death, ie, whether the type of case was or was not one where the death penalty would be given. cases in which the death penalty may not be imposed.” Zant v. Stephens, 462 U.S. 862, 103 S.Ct. 2733, 77 L.Ed.2d 238, 251. 4. 0.C.G.A. § 17-10-30. id w o n o w — © bois AL HH] n x w g E w PB E B L hol x] £ =~ & Oo Tae = 5 8/9) m g ERS 5 a i . 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BU ® qQ $ % c p l E Z i : : P U N U I G | A u p u a j u a g Jo P u m ) 5 2 5 9 0 5 g =e Yyrea( x . - poe] = 13 H 3) 3 gs d m a y pMAPaLy o u s h r 2 9 ont WLIOIA ? d 5 p i d : E 8 o % y i Ew O O H - JOIA H L 40 © J i a t. > » HIENIT A3L01934d FHL 40d A ANY JONILNIS HLYAA V 40 J y T p i 25 5 S A L V Y O N I D O N I L N I S wahdeids ‘ re 3 — het ONZLNIS HLYAA NI S31L1 S L SILLY VASIC ax bo W h i g sins 1 LINVANAAIA 40 FOVH m t s B r E p e s avg, wm J o 2 S s E ’ o o . c % 2 B g o o 5 2 = 3 & por SRL : Toi, 8 J r 8 z 3 ® « ¥ G A E S S = Me aa S f g = S Bl 5 © 2 E a 9°98 2 2 5 . 2 g o u t T wn Le 3 9 s Q | 3 ei wii TE HL [¢3) be ta feet 4 9 o o E w 922 S. -McCLESKEY v. KEMP 923 Cite as 733 F2d 877 (1985) of black defendants to white defendants when the victim is white and reflect that in Steps 1 and 2 no death penalty was given in those 41 cases. In Step 8, 45 death penal ties were given in 50 cases, only two blacks and three whites escaping the death penal- ty—this group obviously representing the most aggravated cases. By comparing Steps 3 through 7, one can see that in each group black defendants received death pen- alties disproportionately to white defend- ants by differences of .27, .19, .15, .22, and .25. This indicates that unless the murder is so vile as to almost certainly evoke the death penalty (Step 8), blacks are approximately 20% more likely to get the death penaity. The right side of the chart reflects how unlikely it is that any defendant, but more particularly white defendants, will receive the death penalty when the victim is black. Statistics as Proof The jury selection cases have utilized dif- ferent methods of statistical analysis in determining whether a disparity is suffi cient to establish a prima facie case of purposeful diserimination.! Early jury se lection cases, such as Swain v. Alabama, used very simple equations which primarily analyzed the difference of minorities eligi ble for jury duty from the actual number 6. In Villafane v. Manson, 504 F.Supp. 78 (D.Conn.1980Q), the court noted that four forms of analysis have been used: (1) the absolute difference test used in Swain v. Alabama, 380 U.S. 202, 85 S.CL. 824, 13 L.Ed.2d 759 (1965); (2) the ratio approach; (3) a test that moves away from the examination of percentages and focus- es on the differences caused by underrepresen- tation in each jury; and (4) the statistical deci- sion theory which was fully embraced in Cas- taneda v. Partida, 430 U.S. at 496 un. 17, 97 S.CL. at 1281 n. 17. See also Finkelstein, The Applica- tion of Statistical Decision Theory to the Jury Discrimination Cases, 80 Harv.L.Rev. 338 (1966). 7. See Swain v. Alabama, 380 U.S. 202, 85 S.CL. 824, 13 L.Ed.2d 739 (1963); Villafane v. Man- son, 504 F.Supp. at 83. 8. See Finkelstein, The Application of Statistical Decision Theory to the Jury Discrimination Cases, 30 Harv.L.Rev. 338, 363 (1966) (“The Court did not reach thesc problems in Swain of minorities who served on the jury to determine if a disparity amounted to a sub- stantial underrepresentation of minority jurors.” Because this simple method did not consider many variables in its equation, it was not as accurate as the complex sta- tistical equations widely used today.’ The mathematical disparities that have been accepted by the Court as adequate to establish a prima facie case of purposeful discrimination range approximately from 14% to 40%.) “Whether or not greater disparities constitute prima facie evidence of discrimination depends upon the facts of each case.” 1 Statistical disparities in jury selection cases are not sufficiently comparable to provide a complete analogy. There are no guidelines in decided cases so in this case we have to rely on reason. We start with a sentencing procedure that has been ap proved by the Supreme Court.!' The object of this system, as well as any constitution- ally permissible capital sentencing system, is to provide individualized treatment of those eligible for the death penalty to in- sure that non-relevant factors, i.e. factors that do not relate to this particular individ- ual or the crime committed, play no part in deciding who does and who does not re ceive the death penalty.'? The facts dis- because of its inability to assess the significance of statistical data without mathematical tools.”). 9. Castaneda v. Partida, 430 U.S. at 495-96, 97 S.Ct. at 1280-82 (disparity of 40%); Turmer v. Fouche, 396 U.S. 346, 90 S.Ct. 532, 24 L.Ed.2d 367 (1970) (disparity of 23%); Whitus v. Geor- gia. 385 U.S. 345, 87 S.Ct. 643, 17 L.Ed.2d 599 (1967) (disparity of 18%); Sims v. Georgia, 389 U.S. 404, 88 S.Ct. 523, 19 L.Ed.2d 634 (1967) (disparity of 19.7%); Jones v. Georgia, 389 U.S. 24, 88 S.Cl. 4, 19 L.Ed.2d 25 (1967) (disparity of 14.7%). These figures result from the computa- tion used in Swain. 10. United States ex rel Barksdale v. Blackburn, 63% F.2d 1115, 1122 (5th Cir.1981) (en banc). 11. Gregg v. Georgia, 428 US. 153, 96 S.CL. 2909, 49 L.Ed.2d 859 (1976). 12. The sentencing body's decision must be fo cused on the “particularized nature of the crime and the panicularized characteristics of the in- 924 closed by the Baldus study, some of which have been previously discussed, demon strate that there is sufficient disparate treatment of blacks to establish a prima facie case of discrimination. This discrimination, when coupled with the historical facts, demonstrate a prima facie Fourteenth Amendment violation of the Equal Protection Clause. It is that discrimination against which the Equal Pro- tection Clause stands to protect. The ma- jority, however, fails to give full reach to our Constitution. . While one has to ac- knowledge the existence of prejudice in our society, one cannot and does not accept its application in certain contexts. This is no- where more true than in the administration of criminal justice in capital cases. The Fourteenth Amendment and Equal Protection “A showing of intent has long been re- quired in all types of equal protection cases charging racial discrimination.” 3 The Court has required proof of intent before it will strictly scrutinize the actions of a legislature or any official entity." In this respect, the intent rule is a tool of self-restraint that serves the purpose of limiting judicial review and policymaking.'® The intent test is not a monolithic struc- ture. As with all legal tests, its focus will dividual defendant.” 428 U.S. at 206, 96 S.Ct. at 2940. See also Lockett v. Ohio, 438 U.S. 586, 98 S.Ct. 2954, 57 L.Ed.2d 973 (1978) (“the need for treating each defendant in a capital case with degree of respect due the uniqueness of the individual is far more important than in non- capital cases.” 438 U.S. at 605, 98 S.Ct. at 2965); Eddings v. Oklahoma, 455 U.S. 104, 102 S.Ct. 869, 71 L.Ed.2d 1 does focus on a characteristic of the particular defendant, albeit an impermis- sible one. See infra. p. 3. 13. Rogers v. Lodge, 438 U.S. 613, 102 S.Ct. 3272, 3276, 73 L.Ed.2d 1012 (1982). 14. /d at n. 5 (“Purposeful racial discrimination invokes the strictest scrutiny of adverse differ- ential treatment. Absent such purpose, differ- ential impact is subject only to the test of ration- ality.™); see also Sellers, The Impact of Intent on Equal Protection Jurisprudence, 84 Dick.L.Rev. 363, 377 (1979) (“the rule of intent profoundly affects the Supreme Court's posture toward equal protection claims.”). 753 FEDERAL REPORTER, 2d SERIES vary with the legal context in which it is applied. Because of the variety of situa- tions in which discrimination can occur, the method of proving intent is the critical fo- cus. The majority, by failing to recognize this, misconceives the meaning of intent in the context of equal protection jurispru- dence. Intent may be proven circumstantially by utilizing a variety of objective factors and can be inferred from the totality of the relevant facts.'® The factors most appro- priate in this case are: (1) the presence of historical discrimination; and (2) the im- pact, as shown by the Baldus study, that the capital sentencing law has on a suspect class.!” The Supreme Court has indicated that: Evidence of historical discrimination is relevant to drawing an inference of pur- poseful discrimination, particularly where the evidence shows that diserimi- natory practices were commonly utilized, that they were abandoned when enjoined by courts or made illegal by civil rights legislation, and that they were replaced by laws and practices which, though neu- tral on their face, serve to maintain the status quo.'® " Evidence of disparate impact may dem- onstrate that an unconstitutional purpose 15. The intent rule “serves a countervailing con- cern of limiting judicial policy making. Wash- ington v. Davis can be understood ... as a reflection of the Court's own sense of institu- tional self-restraint—a limitation on the power of judicial review that avoids having the Court sit as a super legislature....” Note, Section 1981: Discriminatory Purpose or Disproportion- ate Impact, 30 Colum.L.R. 137, 160-61 (1980); see also Washington v. Davis, 426 U.S. 229, 247- 48, 84 S.Ct. 2040, 2051, 48 L.Ed.2d 597 (1976). 16. See Village of Arlington Heights v. Metropoli- tan Housing Developmen: Corp. 429 U.S. 252, 266, 97 S.Ct. S55, 564, 50 L.Ed.2d 450 (1977). 17. Id See also Rogers v. Lodge, 102 S.CL at 3280. 18. Rogers v. Lodge, 102 S.Ct. at 3280. McCLESKEY v. KEMP 925 Cite as 753 F2d 877 (19853) may continue to be at work, especially where the discrimination is not explainable on non-racial grounds.’ Table 43, supra p. 4, the table and the accompanying evi dence leave unexplained the 20% racial dis- parity where the defendant is black and the victim is white and the murders occurred under very similar circumstances. Although the Court has rarely found the existence of intent where disproportionate impact is the only proof, it has, for exam- ple, relaxed the standard of proof in jury selection cases because of the “nature” of the task involved in the selection of jur- ors.?® Thus, to show an equal protection violation in the jury selection cases, a de fendant must prove that “the procedure employed resulted in a substantial under- representation of his race or of the identifi- able group to which he belongs.” # The idea behind this method is simple. As the Court pointed out, “[i}f a disparity is suffi ciently large, then it is unlikely that it is due solely to chance or accident, and, in the absence of evidence to the contrary, one must conclude that racial or other class-re- lated factors entered into the selection pro- cess.” 2 Once there is a showing of a substantial underrepresentation of the de- 19. In Washington v. Davis, 426 U.S. at 242, 96 S.Ct. at 2049, the Court stated: “It is also not infrequently true that the discriminatory impact . may for all practical purposes demoastrate unconstitutionality because in various circum- stances the discrimination is very difficult to explain on nonracial grounds.” See also Person- nel Administrator of Mass. v. Feeny, 442 US. 256, 99 S.Ct. 2282, 2296 n. 24, 60 L.Ed.2d 870 (1979) ( Washington and Arlington recognize that when a neutral law has a disparate impact upon a group that has historically been a victim of discrimination, an unconstitutional purpose may still be at work). 20. Village of Arlington Heights v. Metropolitan Housing Development Corp., 429 US. at 267 n. 13, 97 S.Ct. at 564 n. 13 (“Because of the nature of the jury-selection task, however, we have permitted a finding of constitutional violation even when the statistical pattern does not ap- proach the extremes of Yick Wo [118 U.S. 356, 6 S.CL. 1064, 30 L.Ed. 220] or Gormullion [364 US. 339, 81 S.Ct. 125, 5 L.Ed.2d 110]"); see also International Bro. of Teamsters v. United States, 431 US. 324, 339, 97 S.Ct. 1843, 1836, 32 L.Ed.2d 396 (1977) (“We have repeatedly ap proved the use of statistical proof ... to estab fendant’s group, a prima facie case of dis- criminatory intent or purpose is established and the state acquires the burden of rebut- ting the case.? ; In many respects the imposition of the death penalty is similar to the selection of jurors in that both processes are discretion- ary in nature, vulnerable to the bias of the decision maker, and susceptible to a rigor- ous statistical analysis. The Court has refrained from relaxing the standard of proof where the case does not involve the selection of jurors because of its policy of: (1) deferring to the reason- able acts of administrators and executives; and (2) preventing the questioning of tax, welfare, public service, regulatory, and li tensing statutes where disparate impact is the only proof. However, utilizing the standards of proof in the jury selection cases to establish intent in this case will not contravene this policy because: (1) def- erence is not warranted where the penalty is grave and less severe alternatives are available; and (2) the court did not contem- plate capital sentencing statutes when it established this policy. Thus, statistics alone could be utilized to prove intent in this case. But historical "background is lish a prima facie case of racial discrimination in jury selection cases.”). 21. Castaneda v. Partida, 430 U.S. 482, 494, 97 S.Ct. 1272, 1280, 51 L.Ed.2d 498 (1977). 3. idan 13 23. Id. at 495, 97 S.Ct. at 1280. 24. Joyner, Legal Theories for Attacking Racial Disparity in Sentencing 18 Crim.L.Rep. 101, 110-11 (1982) (“In many respects sentencing is similar to the selections of jury panels as in Castaneda”). The majority opinion notes that the Baldus study ignores quantitative difference in cases: “looks, age, personality, education, profession, job, clothes, demeanor, and re- morse. ...” Majority opinion at 62. However, it is these differences that often are used to mask, either intentionally or unintentionally, racial prejudice. 28. See Washington v. Davis, 426 U.S. at 248, 96 S.Ct. at 2051; Note, Section 1981: Discnminato- ry Purpose or Disproportionate Impact, 80 Co lum.L.R. 137, 14647 (1980). 926 also relevant and supports the statistical conclusions. : “Discrimination on the basis of race, odi- ous in all aspects, is especially pernicious in the administration of Justice.”?® It is the duty of the courts to see to it that through- out the procedure for bringing a person to justice, he shall enjoy “the protection which the Constitution guarantees.”? In an im- perfect society, one has to admit that it is impossible to guarantee that the adminis- trators of justice, both judges and jurors, will successfully wear racial blinders in ev- ery case.®® However, the risk of prejudice must be minimized and where clearly present eradicated. Discrimination against minorities in the criminal justice system is well document- ed? This is not to say that progress has 26. Rose v. Mitchell, 443 US. 545, 536, 99 S.C. 2993, 61 L.Ed.2d 739 (1979). 27. Rose, supra, 443 U.S. at 557, 99 S.Ct. at 3000. 28. As Robespierre contended almost 200 years ago: Even if you imagine the most perfect judicial system, even if you find the most upright and the most enlightened judges, you will still have to allow place for error or prejudice. Robespierre (G. Rude ed. 1967). 29. See, e.g, Johnson v. Virginia, 373 us. 61, 83 S.Ct. 1053, 10 L.Ed.2d 195 (1963) (invalidating segregated seating in courtrooms); Hamilton v. Alabama, 376 U.S. 630, 84 S.Ct. 982, 11 L.Ed.2d 979 (1964) (conviction reversed when black de- fendant was racially demeaned on cross-exami- nation); Davis v. Mississippi, 394 US. 721, 89 S.Ct. 1394, 22 L.Ed.2d 676 (1969) (mass finger- printing of young blacks in search of rape sus- pect overturned). See also Rose v. Mitchell, supra {racial discrimination in grand jury selec- tion); Rogers v. Britton, 476 F.Supp. 1036 (E.D. Ark.1979). A very recent and poignant example of racial discrimination in the criminal justice system can be found in the case of Bailey v. Vining, unpublished order, civ. act. no. 76-199 (M.D.Ga.1978). In Bailey, the court declared the jury selection system in Putnam County, Georgia to be unconstitutional. The Office of the Solicitor sent the jury commissioners a memo demonstrating how they could underrep- resent blacks and women in traverse and grand juries but avoid a prima facie case of discrimi- nation becausc the percentage disparity would still be within the parameters of Supreme Court and Fifth Circuit case law. See notes 7-3 supra and relevant text. The result was that a limited 753 FEDERAL REPORTER, 2d SERIES not been made, but as the Supreme Court, in 1979 acknowledged, we also cannot deny that, 114 years after the close of the War between the States and nearly 100 years after Strauder (100 U.S. 303, 25 L.Ed. 664] racial and other forms of discrimination still remain a fact of life, in the administration of jus- tice as in our society as a whole. Per- haps today that discrimination takes a form more subtle than before. But it is no less real or pernicious. If discrimination is especially pernicious in the administration of justice, it is no- where more sinister and abhorrent than when it plays a part in the decision to impose society’s ultimate sanction, the pen- alty of death.” It is also a tragic fact that this discrimination is very much a part of the country’s experience with the death penalty? Again and as the majority number of blacks were handpicked by the jury commissioners for service. "30. Rose, supra, 443 U.S. at 358-59, 99 SC. = 3001. 31. See, e.g, Furman v. Georgia, 408 U.S. 238, 92 S.Ct. 2726, 33 L.Ed.2d 346 (1972) (see especially the opinions of Douglas, J., concurring, id. at 249-252, 92 S.Ct. at 2731-2733; Stewart, J., con- curring, id. at 309-310, 92 S.Ct. at 2762; Mar- shall, J., concurring, id. at 364-365, 92 S.Ct at 2790; Burger, C.J., dissenting, id. at 389-390 n., 12, 92 S.Ct. at 2803-2804 n. 12; Powell, J, dissenting, id. at 449, 92 S.CL. at 2833). 32. This historical discrimination in the death penalty was pointed out by Justice Marshall in his concurring opinion in Furman, supra. 408 U.S. at 364-65, 92 S.Ct. at 2790, “{ilndeed a look at the bare statistics regarding executions is enough to betray much of the discrimination.” Jd. See also footnote 32 for other opinions in Furman discussing racial discrimination and the death penalty. For example, between 1930 and 1980, 3,863 persons were executed in the United States, 54% of those were blacks or members of minority groups. Of the 455 men executed for rape, 89.3% were black or minori- ties. Sarah T. Dike. Capital Punishment in the United States, p. 43 (1982). Of the 2,307 people executed in the South during that time period, 1659 were black. During the same fifty-year period in Georgia, of the 366 people executed, 298 were black. Fifty-eight blacks were exe- cuted for rape as opposed to only three whites. Six blacks were executed for armed robbery while no whites were. Hugh A. Bedau, ed., The Death Penalty in America (3rd ed. 1982). UNITED STATES v. CRUZ-VALDEZ 927 Cite as 753 F.2d 927 (1988) points out, the new post-Furman statutes have improved the situation but the Baldus study shows that race is still a very real factor in capital cases in Georgia. Some of this is conscious discrimination, some of it unconscious, but it is nonetheless real and it is important that we at least admit that discrimination is present. Finally, the state of Georgia also has no compelling interest to justify a death penal ty system that discriminates on the basis of race. Hypothetically, if a racial bias re- flected itself randomly in 20% of the convie- tions, one would not abolish the criminal justice system. Ways of ridding the sys- tem of bias would be sought but absent a showing of bias in a given case, little else could be done. The societal imperative of maintaining a criminal justice system to apprehend, punish, and confine perpetra- tors of serious violations of the law would outweigh the mandate that race or other prejudice not infiltrate the legal process. In other words, we would have to accept that we are doing the best that can be done in a system that must be administered by people, with all their conscious and uncon- scious biases. However, such reasoning cannot sensibly be invoked and bias cannot be tolerated when considering the death penalty, a pun- ishment that is unique in its finality. The evidence in this case makes a prima facie ‘case that the death penalty in Georgia is being applied disproportionately because of race. The percentage differentials are not de minimis. To allow the death penalty under such circumstances is to approve a racial preference in the most serious deci- sion our criminal justice system must make. This is a result our Constitution cannot tolerate. The majority in this case does not squarely face up to this choice and its consequences. Racial prejudice/preference both conscious and unconscious is still a part of the capital decision making process in Georgia. To allow this system to stand is to concede that in a certain number of cases, the consideration of race will be a 33. See, e.g, Woodson v. North Carolina, 428 U.S. factor in the decision whether to impose the death penalty. The Equal Protection Clause of the Fourteenth Amendment does not allow this result. The decision of the district court on the Baldus issue should be reversed and the state required to submit evidence, if any is available, to disprove the prima facie case made by the plaintiff. | Appendix B - i Opinion of the United States District Court for the Northern District of Georgia, Atlanta Division, in McCleskey v. Zant, 580 F.Supp. 338 (N.D. Ga. 1984) i { | | 338 care, is more than evident. (For an unsuc- cessful challenge to similar special laws dealing with provisional health needs, see: Benson v. Arizona State Bd. of Dental Examiners, 673 F.2d 272, 277-78 (9th Cir. 1982). [5] ~ Plaintiffs have chosen to rest on a roughly sketched constitutional claim based on repetitive incantations of the words “equal protection” and “due process’ with- out making any references to any instanc- es, aside from those justified by the special laws which were not even in effect when many of them started. their dental educa- tion. They have not even made a raw challenge to the Board's application of the statutory criteria for recognizing a dental school, a relatively simple task given the accessibility of the information needed to make a comparative analysis of the courses of study and professional recognition of the institutions that they attended with compa- rable items in the School of Odontology of the Medical Sciences Campus of the Uni versity of Puerto Rico. The party opposing a motion for summary judgment cannot rest on the hope that the factual basis of broadly phrased pleadings will somehow emerge at trial without pointing to specific facts in the record which may still be in controversy and which are relevant to the outcome of the litigation. See: Emery rv. Merrimack Valley Woods Products, Inc. 701 F.2d 985, 990-93 (1st Cir.1983);, Mane- go v. Cape Cod Five Cents Sav. Bank, 692 F.2d 174, 176-77 (1st Cir.1982); Over The Road Drivers, Inc. v. Transport Insur- ance Co., 637 F.2d 816, 818 (Ist Cir.1980). [6] Plaintiffs’ reference to Justice Mathew's memorable phrase in Yick Wo v. Hopkins, 118 U.S. 356, 373, 6 S.Ct. 1064, 1072. 30 L.Ed. 220* (1886) is a typical at- tempt to fuel a meritless cause of action with a general principle of constitutional law. That case and this one depend upon an entirely different state of facts. There, the appellant, Yick Wo, was deprived of a means of making a living at the mere will of the board of supervisors of the city of 2. Though the law itself be fair on its face and impartial in appearance, yet, if it is applied and administered by public authority with an evil eve and an unequal hand, so as practicaily to 580 FEDERAL SUPPLEMENT San Francisco which refused him and 200 other Chinese subjects permission to carry on a laundry business while permitting 80 others, not Chinese subjects, to. carry. the same business under similar tortALONS. The Court concluded that no reason existed for the discrimination ‘‘except hostility to the race and nationality to which the pet- tioners belong, and which, in the eye of the law, is not justified.” Yick Wo at 373, 6 S.Ct. at 1072. Here the Board's rejection of plaintiffs’ petition to take the exams is based not on an application of law with an “evil eye and an unequal hand” but on their valid authority and in the exercise of their duty- to tomply with the legitimate interest of the Commonwealth of Puerto Rico in requiring that those that choose this jurisdiction to practice dentistry be ad- equately qualified. Plaintiffs having failed to establish even the semblance of a genuine controversy on material facts, see e.g... Mas Marques . Digital Equipment Co., 637 F.2d 24 (1st Cir.1980), the undisputed facts before the Court compel, as a matter of law, that the complaint be dismissed. Judgment shall be entered accordingly. SO ORDERED. l=} XEY NUMBER SYSTEM “ m E Warren McCLESKEY, Petitioner, Vv. Walter D. ZANT, Respondent. "Civ. A. No. C81-2434A. United States District Court, N.D. Georgia, Atlanta Division. Feb. 1, 1984. Habeas corpus petition was filed. The District Court, Forrester, J., held that: (1) make unjust and itlegal discriminations between persons in similar circumstances, material to their rights, the denial of equal justice is still within the prohibition of the constitution. McCLESKEY v. ZANT 339 Cite as $80 F.Supp. 338 (1984) statistics on Georgia death penalty statute did not demonstrate prima facie case in support of contention that death penalty was imposed upon petitioner because of his race or because of race of victim; (2) jury instructions did not deprive defendant of due process; (3) claim that prosecutor failed to reveal existence of promise of assistance made to key witness entitled petitioner to relief; (4) defendant was not denied effective assistance of counsel; and (5) admission of evidence concerning prior crimes and convictions did not violate due process rights of petitioner. Ordered accordingly: 1. Constitutional Law &211(3) Application of a statute, neutral on its face, unevenly applied against minorities, is a violation of equal protection clause of the Fourteenth Amendment. U.S.C.A. Const. Amend. 14. 2. Constitutional Law &42.2(2) Defendant sentenced to death had standing under equal protection clause to attack death penalty sentence by contend- ing that it was imposed on him because of race of his vietim. U.S.C.A. Const.Amend. 14. - 3. Constitutional Law &223 With reference to defendant's argu- ment that he was being discriminated against on the basis of the race of his vietim when death penalty was imposed, equal protection interests were not impli- cated in light of evidence that defendant was treated as any member of the major: ty. U.S.C.A. Const.Amend. 14. 4. Criminal Law ¢1213.8(8) Death penalty is not per se cruel and unusual in violation of Eighth Amendment. U.S.C.A. Const.Amend. &. 5. Criminal Law &1213.8(8) Defendant sentenced to death failed to state claim that imposition of death penalty violated Eighth Amendment. US.C.A. Const.Amend. 8. 6. Constitutional Law &253.2(1) Due process of law within meaning of Fourteenth Amendment mandates that laws operate on all alike such that an indi- "vidual is not subject to arbitrary exercise of governmental power. U.S.C.A. Const. Amend. 14. 7. Evidence 150 Intentional discrimination which the law requires to prove a violation of the Fourteenth Amendment cannot be shown by statistics alone. U.S.C.A. Const.Amend. 14. 8. Constitutional Law &253.2(1) Disparate impact alone is insufficient to establish violation of Fourteenth Amend- ment unless evidence of disparate impact is so strong that only permissible inference is one of intentional discrimination. U.S.C.A. Const.Amend. 14. 9. Evidence ¢=150 In death penalty case, any statistical analysis used in challenging the imposition of death penalty under equal protection clause must reasonably account for racially neutral variables which could have produc- ed effect observed. U.S.C.A. Const. Amend. 14. 10. Evidence 150 Challenges to death penalty brought under equal protection clause requires that statistical evidence show likelihood of dis- criminatory treatment by decision makers who made judgments in question. U.S. C.A. Const.Amend. 14. 11. Constitutional Law 223 In challenging imposition of death pen- alty on basis of racial diserimination, un- derlving data Sh must be shown to be accurate. U.S.CA. Const.Amend. 14. 12. Evidence 150 In criminal prosecution in which de- fendant challenges imposition of deat alty on basis of sults of significant. h pen- racial diserimination, re- statistics should be statistically U.S.C.A. Const.Amend. 14. 340 13. Evidence 150 Generally, when accused challenges imposition of death penalty on basis of racial discrimination, statistical showing is considered significant if its “P” value is .05 or less, indicating that probability that re- sult would have occurred by chance is one in 20 or less. U.S.C.A. Const.Amend. 14. 14. Evidence &=150 Before trial court will find that some- thing is established based on multiple re- - gression analysis, it must first be shown that model includes all of major variables likely to have an effect on dependent varia- ble and it must be shown that unaccounted for effects are randomly distributed throughout the universe and are not correl- ated with independent variables included. U.S.C.A. Const.Amend. 14. 15. Evidence 150 Three kinds of evidence may be intro- duced to validate regression model; direct evidence as to what factors are considered, what kinds of factors generally operate in decision-making process like that under challenge, and expert testimony concerning what factors can be expected to influence process under challenge. U.S.C.A. Const. Amend. 14. 16. Evidence ¢=150 In habeas corpus proceeding in which defendant challenges imposition of death penalty on basis of racial discrimination, multiple regression analysis will be reject- ed as a tool if it does not show effect on people similarly situated; across-the-board disparities prove nothing. U.S.C.A. Const. Amend. 14. 17. Evidence 150 : When imposition of death penalty is challenged on basis of racial discrimination, a regression model that ignores informa- tion central to understanding causal rela- tionships at issue is insufficient to raise inference of discrimination. U.S.C.A. Const.Amend. 14. 18. Evidence 150 When defendant challenges imposition of death penalty on basis of racial discrimi- 580 FEDERAL SUPPLEMENT nation, validity of regression model de- pends upon showing that it predicts varia- tions in dependent variable to some sub- stantial degree. U.S.C.A. Const.Amend. 14. 19. Constitutional Law &250.3(1) Where gross statistical disparity can be shown, that alone may constitute prima facie case of discrimination in imposition of death penalty. U.S.C.A. Const.Amend. 14. 20. Civil Rights ¢13.13(1) Generally, once discrimination plaintiff has put on prima facie statistical case, bur- den shifts to defendant to go forward with evidence showing either existence of legiti- mate nondiscriminatory explanation for its actions or that plaintiff's statistical proof is unacceptable. U.S.C.A. Const.Amend. 14. 21. Evidence 150 Statistics relied upon by plaintiff in discrimination case to establish prima facie case can form basis of defendant's rebuttal case, when, for example, defendant shows that numerical analysis is not the product of good statistical methodology. U.S.C.A. Const.Amend. 14. 22. Evidence 150 Prima facie case of discrimination is not established until plaintiff has demon- strated both that data base is sufficiently accurate and that regression mode! has been properly constructed. USCA Const.Amend. 14. 23. Evidence ¢=1350 Statistics produced on weak theoretical foundation are insufficient to establish pri- ma facie discrimination case. U.S.C.A. Const.Amend. 14. 24. Evidence 150 Once prima facie discrimination case is established, burden of production is shifted to defendant and if it has not already be- come apparent from plaintiff's presentu- tion, it then becomes defendant's burden to demonstrate plaintiff's statistics are mis- leading and such rebuttal may not be made bv speculative theories. U.S.C.A. Const. Amend. 14. McCLESKEY v. ZANT - 341 Cite as 580 F.Supp. 338 (1984) 25. Evidence &=150 Statistics on Georgia death penalty statute did not demonstrate prima facie case in support of contention that death penalty was imposed upon defendant be- cause of his race or because of race of his "victim since there was no consistent statis- tically significant evidence that death pen- alty was being imposed because defendant was black and victim was white, and even if prima facie case was made, the state rebutted statistical evidence by showing ex- istence of another explanation for the ob- served result, i.e.,, that white victim cases were acting as proxies for aggravated cases and black victim cases were acting as proxies for mitigated cases. U.S.C.A. Const.Amend. 14. 26. Witnesses €367(1) The rule announced by the Supreme Court in Giglio v. United States holding that the jury must be apprised of any promise which induces key government wit- ness to testify on government's behalf ap- plies not only to traditional deals made by prosecutor in exchange for testimony but also to any promises or understandings made by any member of prosecutorial team, which includes police investigators. 27. Witnesses ¢367(1) A promise, made prior to witness’ testi mony, that investigating detective will speak favorably to federal authorities con- cerning pending federal charges is within scope of Giglio v. United States because it is sort of promise of favorable treatment which could induce witness to testify false- ly on behalf of government. 28. Constitutional Law &268(3) Failure of the state to disclose under- standing with one of its key witnesses re- garding pending Georgia criminal charges violated defendant's due process rights; disclosure of the promise of favorable treatment and correction of other hoods in the witness’ testimony could rea- sonably have affected jury verdict on charge of malice murder. U.S.C.A. Const. Amend. 14. false- 29. Constitutional Law &266(7) Due process clause protects accused against conviction except upon proof be- yond a reasonable doubt of every fact nec- essary to constitute crime with which he is charged. U.S.C.A. Const.Amend. 14. 30. Criminal Law &778(2, 3) Jury instructions which relieve prose- cution of burden of proving beyond a rea- sonable doubt every fact necessary to con- stitute crime with which defendant is charged or which shift to accused burden of persuasion on one or more elements of crime are unconstitutional. U.S.C.A. Const.Amend. 14. 31. Criminal Law &=778(5) In analyzing a Sandstrom claim, court must first examine crime for which defend- ant has been convicted and then examine complained-of charge to determine whether charge unconstitutionally shifted burden of proof on any essential element of crime. U.S.C.A. Const.Amend. 14. 32. Robbery 11 Offense of armed robbery under Geor- “gia law contains elements of taking of property from person or immediate pres- ence of person. by use of offensive weapon with intent to commit theft. Ga.Code, § 26-1902. 33. Homicide <7 Under Georgia law, offense of murder contains essential elements of homicide, malice aforethought, and unlawfulness. 0.C.G.A. § 16-3-1. 34. Homicide &=11 Under Georgia law, “malice” element, which distinguishes murder from lesser of- fense of voluntary manslaughter, means simply intent to kill in the absence of prov- ocation. O.C.G.A. § 16-5-1. See publication Words and Phrases for other judicial constructions and definitions. 35. Criminal Law T7786) In Georgia murder prosecution, jury instruction stating that acts of person of sound mind and discretion are presumed to be part of person's will and person of 342 sound mind and discretion is presumed to intend natural and probable consequences of his act, both of which presumptions may be rebutted, taken in context of entire charge to jury, created only permissive in- ference that jury could find intent based upon all facts and circumstances of case, and thus, did not violate Sandstrom. 36. Criminal Law &1172.2 Even if challenged jury instructions re- garding burden of proof in murder prosecu- tion violated Sandstrom, error was harm- less beyond a reasonable doubt since it could not be concluded that there was any reasonable likelihood that intent instruc- tion, even if erroneous, contributed to jury's decision to convict defendant of mal ice murder and armed robbery under Geor- gia law. Ga.Code, § 26-1902; 0.C.G.A. § 16-31. 37. Criminal Law &633(1) References in criminal prosecution to appellate process are not per se unconstitu- tional unless on record as a whole it can be said that it rendered entire trial fundamen- tally unfair. 38. Criminal Law €713, 722'% In Georgia murder prosecution, prose- cutor's arguments did not intimate to jury that death sentence could be reviewed or set aside on appeal; rather, prosecutor's argument referred to defendant's prior criminal record and sentences he had re- ceived and such arguments were not imper- missible. 39. Costs &302.2(2) Under Georgia law, appointment of ex- pert in criminal prosecution ordinarily lies within discretion of trial court. 10. Costs ©302.2(2) In Georgia murder prosecution, trial " court did not abuse its discretion in denying defendant funds for additional ballistics ex- pert since defendant had ample opportunity to examine evidence prior to trial and to subject state's expert to thorough cross-ex- amination. 580 FEDERAL SUPPLEMENT 41. Criminal Law €2369.2(4) In murder prosecution, evidence tend- ing to establish that defendant had partici- pated in earlier armed robberies employing same modus operandi and that in one of those robberies he had stolen what was alleged to have been weapon that killed police officer in instant robbery was admis- sible under Georgia law. 42. Criminal Law &783(1) In murder prosecution, trial court's jury instructions regarding use of evidence of prior crimes, which evidence was admis- sible, were not overbroad and did not deny defendant a fair trial under Georgia law. 43. Criminal Law ©1208.1(6) In prosecution for armed robbery and malice murder, trial judge specifically in- structed jury that it could not impose death penalty unless it found at least one statuto- ry aggravating circumstance and that if it found one or more statutory aggravating circumstances it could also consider any other mitigating or aggravating circum- stances in determining whether or not death penalty should be imposed, and thus, trial court did not err by giving jury com- plete and limited discretion to use any of evidence presented at trial during its delib- erations regarding imposition of death pen: alty under Georgia law. 44. Habeas Corpus &25.1(8) In prosecution for armed robbery and malice murder, admission of evidence con- cerning two prior armed robberies for which defendant had not been indicted and admission of details of other prior armed robberies for which he had been convicted, was not so seriously prejudicial that it un- dermined reliability of guilt determination under Georgia law, although such evidence probably would not have been admissible in federal prosecution. 45. Habeas Corpus e=85.5(1) In habeas corpus proceeding, there was no basis in record or In arguments presented by defendant for concluding that the Georgia Supreme Court was in error in finding that lineup was not impermissibly McCLESKEY v. ZANT 343 Cite as 580 F.Supp. 338 (1984) suggestive and that in-court identifications were reliable. 46. Criminal Law ¢=412.1(1) In Georgia prosecution for armed rob- bery and malice murder, trial judge did not err in finding that statement given to police officers was freely and voluntarily given; therefore, there was no error in admitting statement into evidence. 47. Jury 108 In Georgia prosecution for armed rob-- bery and malice murder, since two prospec tive jurors indicated they would not under any circumstances vote for death penalty, trial court committed no error in excluding them. 48. Jury <=33(2.1) In Georgia prosecution for armed rob-. bery and malice murder, exclusion of death-scrupled jurors did not violate de- fendant’s right to be tried by jury drawn from representative cross section of com- munity. 49. Criminal Law €627.5(1) Brady does not establish any right to pretrial discovery in a criminal case, but instead seeks only to insure fairness of defendant's trial and reliability of jury’s determinations. 50. Criminal Law 914 Defendant who seeks new trial under Brady must, to establish a successful claim, show prosecutor’s suppression of ev- idence, favorable character of suppressed evidence for the defense, and materiality of suppressed evidence. 51. Constitutional Law &268(5) Since certain evidence was before jury in Georgia prosecution for armed robbery and malice murder, habeas court could not find that failure to disclose it prior to trial deprived defendant of due process. U.S. C.A. Const. Amend. 14. 52. Habeas Corpus &85.1(1), 92(1) In reviewing sufficiency of evidence on habeas corpus petition, district court must view evidence in a light most favorable to “the state and should sustain jury verdict unless it finds that no rational trier of fact could find defendant guilty beyond a rea- sonable doubt. 53. Homicide &253(1) Testimonial and circumstantial evi dence was sufficient to sustain conyiction for malice murder under Georgia law. 54. Criminal Law ©641.13(4) Criminal defendant is entitled to effec- tive assistance of counsel, that is, counsel reasonably likely to render reasonably ef- fective assistance. U.S.C.A. Const.Amend. * 55. Criminal Law &641.13(1) The constitution does not guarantee errorless counsel in criminal prosecution. U.S.C.A. Const.Amend. 6. 56. Habeas Corpus &=85.5(9) In order to be entitled to habeas cor- pus relief on claim of ineffective assistance of counsel, petitioner must establish by a preponderance of the evidence that based upon totality of circumstances in entire record his counsel was not reasonably like- ly to render and in fact did not render reasonably effective assistance and-that in- effectiveness of counsel resulted in actual and substantial disadvantage to course of his defense. U.S.C.A. Const.Amend. 6. 57. Habeas Corpus &25.1(6) Even if habeas corpus petitioner meets burden of establishing ineffective assist- ance of counsel, relief may be denied if state can prove that in context of all evi- dence it remains certain beyond a reasona- ble doubt that outcome of proceedings would not have been altered but for inef- fectiveness of counsel. U.S.C.A. Const. Amend. 6. 58. Criminal Law &641.13(2) In Georgia prosecution for armed rob- bery and malice murder, given contradicto- ry descriptions given by witnesses at store, inability of witness to identify defendant, defendant's repeated statement that he was not present at scene, and possible out- come of pursuing the only other defense available, trial counsel's decision to pursue T . 344 alibi defense was not unreasonable and did not constitute ineffective assistance of counsel. U.S.C.A. Const.Amend. 6. 59. Criminal Law ©641.13(6) Failure of trial counsel in Georgia prosecution for armed robbery and malice murder to interview store employees was not unreasonable, trial counsel having made reasonable strategic choice to pursue alibi defense, and thus, was not ineffective assistance of counsel. U.S.C.A. Const. Amends. 6, 14. : 60. Habeas Corpus &25.1(6) Habeas corpus petitioner was not enti- tled to relief on grounds that his counsel was ineffective because he did not disbe- lieve petitioner and had undertaken inde- ‘pendent investigation. 61. Criminal Law €641.13(6) In Georgia prosecution for armed rob- bery and malice murder, trial counsel was not ineffective because he failed to inter view state’s ballistics expert where counsel had read expert's report and was prepared adequately to cross-examine expert at trial. U.S.C.A. Const.Amend. 6. 62. Criminal Law &641.13(2) Since there was nothing unconstitu- tional about chance viewing of defendant prior to trial, failure of trial counsel to move for continuance or mistrial on basis of suggestive lineup procedure did not con- stitute ineffective assistance of counsel. U.S.C.A. Const.Amend. 6. 63. Habeas Corpus &85.5(11) Assuming that failure of trial counsel to investigate prior convictions of defend- ant constituted ineffective assistance of _counsel, petitioner could not show actual “and substantial prejudice resulting from ineffectiveness warranting habeas relief. =... %E.S.C.A. Const. Amend. 6. 64. Criminal Law &641.13(2) In Georgia prosecution for armed rob- berv and malice murder, trial court's in- structions on presumptions of intent, other acts evidence and aggravating circumstanc- es were not erroneous or overbroad: thus, 580 FEDERAL SUPPLEMENT failure of trial counsel to object to instruc- tions did not constitute ineffective assist- ance of counsel. U.S.C.A. Const.Amend. 6. 65. Habeas Corpus &85.5(9) In habeas corpus proceeding record did not support finding of actual and substan- tial prejudice to defendant due to ineffec- tive assistance of trial counsel at sentenc- ing phase. U.S.C.A. Const.Amend. 6. 66. Habeas Corpus €25.1(6) There was no actual and substantial | prejudice caused to habeas petitioner by trial counsel’s failure to review and correct mistake in trial judge’s posttrial sentencing report, even if such failure constituted inef- fective assistance of counsel. U.S.C.A. Const.Amend. 6. Robert H. Stroup, Atlanta, Ga. Jack Greenberg, John Charles Boger, New York City, Timothy K. Ford, Seattle, Wash., An- thony G. Amsterdam, N.Y. University Law School, New York City, for petitioner. Michael J. Bowers, Atty. Gen. Mary Beth Westmoreland, Asst. Atty. Gen. At- lanta, Ga., for respondent. ORDER OF THE COURT FORRESTER, District Judge. Petitioner Warren McCleskey was con- victed of two counts of armed robbery and one count of malice murder in the Superior Court of Fulton County on October IZ, 1978. The court sentenced McCleskey to death on the murder charge and to consec- utive life sentences, to run after the death sentence, on the two armed robbery charges. On automatic appeal to the Su- preme Court of Georgia the convictions and the sentences were affirmed. McClesky v. State. 245 Ga. 108, 263 S.E.2d 146 (1920). The Supreme Court of the United States denied McCleskey's petition for a writ of certiorari. McClesky vr. Georgia, 449 US. 291. 101 S.Ct. 253, 66 L.Ed.2d 119 (1920). On December 19, 1980 petitioner filed an extraordinary motion for a new trial in the Superior Court of Fulton County. No hear- ing has ever been held on this motion. McCLESKEY v. ZANT 345 Cite as 580 F.Supp. 338 (1984) Petitioner then filed a petition for writ of habeas corpus in the Superior Court of Butts County. After an evidentiary hear- ing the Superior Court denied all relief sought. McCleskey v. Zant, No. 4909 (Sup.Ct. of Butts County, April 8, 1981). On June 17, 1981 the Supreme Court of Georgia denied petitioner's application for a certificate of probable cause to appeal the decision of the Superior Court of Butts County. The Supreme Court of the United States denied certiorari on November 30, 1981. McCleskey v. Zant, 454 U.S. 1093, . 102 S.Ct. 659, 70 L.Ed.2d 631 (1981). Petitioner then filed this petition for writ of habeas corpus on December 30, 1981. He asserts 18 separate grounds for grant- ing the writ. Some of these grounds as- sert alleged violations of his constitutional rights during his trial and sentencing. Others attack the constitutionality of Geor- gia’s death penalty. Because petitioner claimed to have sophisticated statistical evi- dence to demonstrate that racial discrimina- tion is a factor in Georgia's capital sentenc- ing process, this court held an extensive evidentiary hearing to examine the merits of these claims. The court's discussion of the statistical studies and their legal signif- icance is in Part II of this opinion. Peti- tioner's remaining contentions are dis- ‘cussed in Parts III through XVI. The court has concluded that petitioner is enti- tled to relief on only one of his grounds, his claim that the prosecution failed to reveal the existence of a promise of assistance made to a key witness. Petitioner's re- maining contentions are without merit. 1. DETAILS OF THE OFFENSE. On the morning of May 13, 1978 petition- er and Ben Wright, Bernard Dupree, and David Burney decided to rob a jewelry store in Marietta, Georgia. However, after Ben Wright went into the store to check it out, they decided not to rob it. The four then rode around Marietta looking for an- other suitable target. They eventually de- cided to rob the Dixie Furniture Store in Atlanta. Each of the four was armed. The evidence showed that McCleskey 580 F Supp.—10 carried a shiny nickel-plated revolver matching the description of- a .38 caliber Rossi revolver stolen in an armed robbery of a grocery store a month previously. Ben Wright carried a sawed-off shotgun, and the other two carried pistols. McCles- key went into the store to see how many people were present. He walked around the store looking at furniture and talking with one of the sales clerks who quickly concluded that he was not really interested in buying anything. After counting the people in the store, petitioner returned to the car and the four men planned the rob- bery. Executing the plan, petitioner en- tered the front of the store while the other three entered the rear by the loading dock. Petitioner secured the front of the store by rounding up the people and forcing them to lie face down on the floor. The others rounded up the employees in the rear and began to tie them up with tape. The man- ager was forced at gunpoint to turn over the store receipts, his watch, and $6.00. Before the robbery could be completed, Of- ficer Frank Schlatt, answering a silent alarm, pulled his patrol car up in front of the building. He entered the front door and proceeded down the center aisle until he was almost in the middle of the store. Two shots then rang out, and Officer Schlatt collapsed, shot once in the face and once in the chest. The bullet that struck Officer Schlatt in the chest ricocheted off a pocket lighter and lodged in a nearby sofa. That bullet was recovered and subsequent- ly determined to have been fired from a 38 caliber Rossi revolver. The head wound was fatal. The robbers all fled. Several weeks later petitioner was arrested in Cobb County in connection with another armed robbery. He was turned over to the Atlan- ta police and gave them a statement con- fessing participation in the Dixie Furniture Store robbery but denying the shooting. Although the murder weapon was never recovered, evidence was introduced at trial that petitioner had stolen a .38 caliber Ros- si in an earlier armed robbery. The State also produced evidence at trial that tended to show that the shots were fired from the front of the store and that petitioner was 346 the only one of the four robbers in the front of the store. The State also intro- duced over petitioner's objections the state- ments petitioner had made to Atlanta po- lice. Finally, the State produced testimony by one of the co-defendants and by an inmate at the Fulton County Jail that peti- tioner had admitted shooting Officer Schlatt and had even boasted of it. In his defense petitioner offered only an unsub- stantiated alibi defense. The jury convicted petitioner of malice murder and two counts of armed robbery. Under Georgia's bifurcated capital sentenc- ing procedure, the jury then heard argu- ments as to the appropriate sentence. Peti- tioner offered no mitigating evidence. Af- ter deliberating the jury found two statuto- ry aggravating circumstances—that the murder had been committed during the course of another capital felony, an armed robbery; and that the murder had been committed upon a peace officer engaged in the performance of his duties. The jury sentenced the petitioner to death on the murder charge and consecutive life sen- tences on the armed robbery charges. II. THE CONSTITUTIONALITY OF THE GEORGIA DEATH PENAL TY. A. An Analytical Framework of the Law. Petitioner contends that the Georgia death penalty statute is being applied arbi- trarily and capriciously in violation of the Eighth and Fourteenth Amendments to the United States Constitution. He concedes at this level that the Eighth Amendment issue has been resolved adversely to him in this circuit. As a result, the petitioner wishes this court to hold that the applica- tion of a state death statute that permits the imposition of capital punishment to be based on factors of race of the defendant or race of the victim violates the equal protection clause of the Fourteenth Amend- ment. [1] It is clear beyond peradventure that the application of a statute, neutral on its 580 FEDERAL SUPPLEMENT face, unevenly applied against minorities, is a violation of the equal protection clause of the Fourteenth Amendment. Yick Wo wv. Hopkins, 118 U.S. 356, 6 S.Ct. 1064, 30 L.Ed. 220 (1886). The more difficult ques- tion presented is why under the facts of this case the petitioner would be denied equal protection of the law if he is sen- tenced to death because of the race of his victim. This quandry has led the Eighth Circuit to find that a petitioner has no standing to raise this claim as a basis for invalidating his sentence. Britton v. Rog- ers, 631 F.2d 572, 577 n. 3 (8th Cir.1980), cert. denied, 451 U.S. 939, 101 S.Ct. 2021, 68 L.Ed.2d 327 (1981). While this circuit in Spinkellink v. Wainwright, 578 F.2d 582 (5th Cir.1978), reh’y denied, 441 U.S. 937, 99 S.Ct. 2064, 60 L.Ed.2d 667, application for stay de- nied, 442 US. 1301, 99 S.Ct. 2091, 60 ; L.Ed.2d 649 (1979), seemed to give lip ser- vice to this same point of view by approv- ing the proposition that a district court “must conclude that the focus of any in- quiry into the application of the death pen- alty must necessarily be limited to the per- sons who receive it rather than their vic tims.” id. at 614 n. 39, the court in Spinkel- link also adopted the position that a peti- tioner such as McCleskey would have standing to sue in an equal protection con- text: Spinkellink [petitioner] has standing to raise the equal protection issue, even though he is not a member of the class allegedly discriminated against, because such discrimination, if proven, impinges on his constitutional right under the Eighth and Fourteenth Amendments not to be subjected to cruel and unusual pun- ishment. See Taylor v. Louisiana. su- pra. 419 U.S. [522] at 526 (95 S.Ct. 692 at 695, 42 L.Ed.2d 690]. Id. at 612 n. 36. This footnote in Spinkel- link warrants close examination. In Tay- lor v. Louisiana, 419 U.S. 522, 95 S.Ct. 692, 42 L.Ed.2d 690 (1975), the Supreme Court held that a male had standing to challenge a state statute providing that a woman should not be selected for jury ser- McCLESKEY v. ZANT Cite as $80 F.Supp. 338 (1984) vice unless she had previously filed a writ- ten declaration of her desire to be subject to jury service. The Court in Taylor cited "to Peters v. Kiff, 407 U.S. 493, 92 S.Ct. 2163, 33 L.Ed.2d 83 (1972), to conclude: “Taylor, in the case before us, was similar- ly entitled to tender and have adjudicated the claim that the exclusion of women from jury service deprived him of the kind of factfinder to which he was constitutionally entitled.” Id. at 526, 95 S.Ct. at 696. In Peters the Supreme Court rejected the con- tention that because a petitioner is not black, he has not suffered any unconstitu- tional discrimination. The rejection of the argument, however, was based not on equal protection grounds, but upon due process grounds. See 407 U.S. at 496-97, 497 n. 5, 501, 504, 92 S.Ct. at 2165-66 n. 5 2168, 2169: id. at 509, 92 S.Ct. at 217] (Burger, C.J., dissenting). "Thus, for Spinkellink to articulate an equal protection standing predicate based upon Sixth Amendment and due process cases can be characterized, at best, as curi- ous. Furthermore, not only does it appear that case law in this circuit subsequent to Spinkellink assumes that a contention similar to that advanced by petitioner here is cognizable under equal protection, see, e.g., Adams v. Wainwright, 709 F.2d 1443, 1449-50 (11th Cir.), reh’g en banc. denied, 716 F.2d 914 (11th Cir.1983); Smith v. Balkcom, 671 F.2d 858 (5th Cir.1982) (Unit B); but it appears that this circuit is apply- ing equal protection standards to Eighth Amendment challenges of the death penal- ty. See, eg. Adams v. Wainwright, su- pra. Accord, Harris v. Pulley, 692 F.2d 1189, 1197-98 (9th Cir.1982), reversed and remanded on other grounds, — U.S. — 104 S.Ct. 871,79 L.Ed.2d 29 (1984). Indeed, in Spinkellink itself, the court adopted an analytical nexus between a cru- el and unusual punishment contention and a Fourteenth Amendment equal protection evidentiary showing: [This is not to say that federal courts should never concern themselves on fed- eral habeas corpus review with whether Section 921.141 [Florida's death penalty statute] is being applied in a racially 347 discriminatory fashion. If a petitioner can show some specific act or acts evi- dencing intentional or purposeful racial discrimination against him, see Village of Arlington Heights v. Metropolitan Housing Development Corp., 429 U.S. 252 [97 S.Ct. 555, 50 L.Ed.2d 450] (1977), either because of his own race or the race of his victim, the federal district court should intervene and review sub- stantively the sentencing decision. Spinkellink, 578 F.2d at 614 n. 40. [2] Principles of stare decisis, of course, mandate the conclusion that peti- tioner has standing to bring forth his claim. Furthermore, under stare decisis, this court must strictly follow the strictures of Spinkellink and its progeny as to stan- dards of an evidentiary showing required by this petitioner to advance successfully his claim. [3] Were this court writing on a clean slate, it would hold that McCleskey would have standing under the due process clause of the Fourteenth Amendment, but not un- der the equal protection clause or the Eighth Amendment, to challenge his con- viction and sentenced if he could show that they were imposed on him on account of the race of his victim. From a study of equal protection jurisprudence, it becomes apparent that the norms that underlie equal protection involve two values: (i) the right to equal treatment is inherently good; and (ii) the right to treatment as an equal is inherently good. See L. Tribe, American Constitutional Law. § 16-1, at 992-93 (1978). In this case, however, the evidence shows that the petitioner is being treated as any member of the majority would, or that petitioner's immutable characteristics have no bearing on his being treated differ ently from any member of the majority. Thus, with reference to his argument that he is being discriminated against on the basis of the race of his victim, equal protec- tion interests are not being implicated. [4,5] Petitioner also fails to state a claim under the Eighth Amendment. It is clear from the decisions of the Supreme 348 Court that the death penalty is not per se cruel and unusual in violation of the Eighth Amendment. Prior to Furman v. Georgia, 408 U.S. 238, 92 S.Ct. 2726, 33 L.Ed.2d 346 (1972), the cruel and unusual punishments clause was interpreted as applicable to con- tentions that a punishment involved unnec- essary pain and suffering, that it was so unique as not to serve a humane purpose, or so excessive as not to serve a valid legislative purpose. See Furman, 408 U.S. at 330-33, 92 S.Ct. at 2772-74 (Marshall, J,, concurring). In other words, Eighth Amendment jurisprudence prior to Fur- man entailed an inquiry into the nexus between the offense and punishment; that punishment which was found to be exces- sive was deemed to violate Eighth Amend- ment concerns. The Supreme Court has determined as a matter of law that where certain aggravating features are present the infliction of the death penalty is not violative of the Eighth Amendment. Gregg v. Georgia, 428 U.S. 133, 96 S.Ct. 2909, 49 L.Ed.2d 859 (1976). In the instant case, petitioner's race of the victim argument does not address traditional Eighth Amend- ment concerns. , His argument does not entail—nor could he seriously advance— any contention that his penalty is dispro- portionate to his offense, that his penalty constitutes cruel and unusual punishment, or that his penalty fails to serve any valid legislative interest. [6] What petitioner does contend is that the Georgia system allows for an impermis- sible value judgment by the actors within the system—that white*life is more valua- ble than black life—and, as a practical mat- ter, that the Georgia system allows for a double standard for sentencing. Certainly, such allegations raise life and Ifberty inter- ests of the petitioner. Furthermore, such allegations speak not to the rationality of the process but to the values inherent in the process. In other words, it is the integ- rity, propriety, or “fairness” of the process that is being questioned by petitioner's con- tention, and not the mechanics or structure of the process. Thus, petitioner's allega- tion of an impermissible process speaks most fundamentally to Fourteenth Amend- 580 FEDERAL SUPPLEMENT ment due process interests, rather than Eighth Amendment interests that tradition- ally dealt with “cruel and unusual”. con- texts. For all its consequences, “due process” has never been, and perhaps can never be, precisely defined. “[Ulnlike some le- gal rules,” this Court has said, due pro- cess “is not a technical conception with a fixed content unrelated to time, place and circumstances.” Cafeteria Workers v. - McElroy, 367 U.S. 886, 895 [81 S.Ct. 1743, 1748, 6 L.Ed.2d 1230]. Rather, the phrase expresses the requirement of “fundamentals fairness,” a requirement whose meaning can be as opaque as its importance is lofty. Applying the Due Process Clause is therefore an uncertain enterprise which must discover what “fundamental fairness” consists of in a particular situation by first considering any relevant precedents and then by as- sessing the several interests that are at stake. Lassiter v. Department of Social Services, 452 U.S. 18, 24-25, 101 S.Ct. 2133, 2158- 2159, 68 L.Ed.2d 640 (1981). It is clear that due process of law within the meaning of the Fourteenth Amendment mandates that the laws operate on all alike such that an individual is not subject to an arbitrary exercise of governmental power. See, c.g. Leeper v. Texas, 139 U.S. 462, 467-68, 11 S.Ct. 577. 579-80, 35 L.Ed. 225 (1391); Hurtado v. California, 110 U.S. 516, 535- 36, 4 S.Ct. 111,.120-21, 28 L.Ed. 232 (1384). As Justice Frankfurter observed in Rockin p. California. 342 U.S. 163, 72 S.Ct. 205, 96 L.Ed. 183 (1952) (footnote omitted): Regard for the requirements of the Due Process Clause ‘“inescapably imposes upon this Court an exercise of judgment upon the whole course of the proceedings [resulting in a conviction] in order “to ascertain whether they offend those can- ons of decency and fairness which ex- press the notions of justice of English- speaking peoples even toward those charged with the most heinous of- fenses.” Malinski v. New York, supra, [324 U.S. 401] at 416-17 [65 S.Ct. 781 at McCLESKEY v. ZANT 349 Clte as 580 F.Supp. 338 (1984) 789, 89 L.Ed. 1029). The standards of justice are not authoritatively formulated anywhere as though they were specifics. Due process of law is a summarized con- stitutional guarantee of respect for those personal immunities which, as Mr. Jus- tice Cardozo twice wrote for the Court, are “so rooted in the traditions and con- science of our people as to be ranked as fundamental,” Snyder v. Massachusetts, 291 U.S. 97, 105 [54 S.Ct. 330, 332, 78 L.Ed. 674], or are “implicit in the concept of ordered liberty.” Palko wv. Connecti cut, 302 U.S. 319, 325758 S.Ct. 149, 152, 82 L.Ed. 288]. See also Peters v. Kiff, 407 U.S. 493, 501, 92 S.Ct. 2163, 2168, 33 L.Ed.2d 83 (1972) (“A fair trial in a fair tribunal is a basic requirement of due process.” (citing In Re Murchison, 349 U.S. 133, 136, 75 S.Ct. 623, 625, 99 L.Ed. 942 (1955). See gener- ally, L. Tribe, supra, § 10-7, at 501-06. In summary, the court concludes that the petitioner's allegation with respect to race of the victim more properly states a claim under the due process clause of the Four- teenth Amendment. The allegation is that the death penalty was imposed for a reason beyond that consented to by the governed and because of a value judgment which, though rational, is morally impermissibie in - As such, McCleskey could our society. fairly claim that he was being denied his life without due process of law. Although he couches his claims in terms of “arbi trarv and capricious,” he is, to the con- trary, contending not that the death penal- ty was imposed in his case arbitrarily or capriciously but on account of an intention- al application of an impermissible criterion. As the Supreme Court predicted In Gregg and as petitioner's evidence shows, the Georgia death penalty system is far from arbitrary or capricious. This court is not, however, writing on a clean slate. Instead, it is obliged to follow the interpretations of its circuit on such claims. As noted earlier Yick Wo gives McCleskey standing to attack his sentence on the basis that it was imposed on him because of his race and Spinkellink gives him standing under the equal protection clause to attack his sentence because it was imposed because of the race of his victim. McCleskey is entitled to the grant of a writ of habeas corpus if he establishes that he was singled out for the imposition of the death penalty by some specific act or acts evidencing an intent to discriminate against him on account of his race or the race of his victim. Smith v. Balkcom, 660 F.2d 573 (5th Cir. Unit B 1981), modified in part, 671 F.2d 853 (1982); Spinkellink, supra. In Stephens v. Kemp, — Us. —, 104 S.Ct. 362, 78 L.Ed.2d 370 (1983), Justice Powell, in a dissent joined in by the Chief Justice and Justices Rehnquist and O'Connor, made the following statement with reference to the Baldus study: Although characterized by the judges of the court of appeals who dissented from the denial of the hearing en banc as a “particularized statistical study” claimed to show “intentional race discrimination,” no one has suggested that the study fo- cused on this case. A ‘‘particularized”’ showing would require—as I understand it—that there was intentional race dis- crimination in indicting, trying and con- victing Stephens and presumably in the state appellate and state collateral re- T'%yieW that several times follows the trial. Id. 104 S.Ct. at 564 n. 2 (Powell, J. dissent- ing). (7.8] The intentional discrimination which the law requires cannot generally be shown by statistics alone. Spencer v Zant, 715 F.2d 1562, 1531 (11th Cir.1983), reh'g en bane granted. 715 F.2d 1583 (11th Cir.1982). Disparate impact alone is insuf- ficient to establish a violation of the Four- teenth Amendment unless the evidence of disparate impact 1s so strony that the only permissible inference is one of intentional discrimination. Sullivan v. Wainwright, 721 F.2d 316 (11th Cir.1983); Adams v. Wainwright, 709 F.2d 1443 (11th Cir.1983); Smith v. Balkcom, 671 F.2d 858, 839 (5th Cir. Unit B). cert. denied, 459 US. 882, 103 S.CL. 181, 74 L.Ed.2d 148 (1982). 350 B. An Analytical Framework of Peti- tioner’s Statistical Evidence. ~The petitioner does rely upon statistical evidence to support his contentions respect- ng the operation of racial discrimination on a statewide basis. He relies on statistical and anecdotal evidence to support his con- tentions that racial factors play a part in the application of the death penalty in Ful- ton County where he was sentenced. Statistical evidence, of course, is nothing but a form of" circumstantial evidence. Furthermore, it is said “that statistics are not irrefutable; they come in infinite varie- ty and, like any other kind of evidence, they may be rebutted. In short, their use- fulness depends on all of the surrounding facts and circumstances.” Teamsters v. United States, 431 U.S. 324, 340, 97 S.Ct. 1843, 1857, 52 L.Ed.2d 396 (1977). [9] As courts have dealt with statistics in greater frequency, a body of common law has developed a set of statistical con- ventions which must be honored before sta- tistics will be admitted into evidence at all or before they are given much weight. These common law statistical conventions prevail even over the conventions generally accepted in the growing community of eco- nomotricians. The first convention which has universally been honored in death pen- alty cases is that any statistical analysis must reasonably account for racially neu- tral variables which could have produced the effect observed. See Smith v. Balk- com, supra; Spinkellink v. Wainwright, 578 F.2d 582, 612-16 (5th Cir.1978), cert. denied. 440 U.S. 976, 99 S.Ct. 1548, 59 L.Ed.2d 796 (1979); McCorquodale v. Balk- com, 705 F.2d 15353, 1556 (11th Cir.1983). [10] The second convention which ap- plies in challenges brought under the equal protection clause is that the statistical evi- dence must show the likelihood of diserimi- natory treatment by the decision-makers who made the judgments in question. Ad- ams v. Wainwright, supra; Maxwell v. Bishop, 398 F.2d 138 (8th Cir.1968) (Black- mun, J.), vacated on other grounds, 308 580 FEDERAL SUPPLEMENT Sh Ce U.S. 262,.90 S.Ct. 1578, 26 L.Ed.2d 221 (1970). - [11-13] The third general statistical convention is that the underlying data must be shown to be accurate. The fourth is that the results should be statistically sig- nificant. Generally, a statistical showing is considered significant if its “P” value is .05 or less, indicating that the probability that the result could have occurred by chance is 1 inh 20 or less. Said another way, the observed outcome should exceed the stan- dard error estimate by a factor of 2. East land v. TVA, 704 F.2d 613, 622 n. 12 (11th Cir.1983). [14] McCleskey relies primarily on a statistical technique known as multiple re- gression analysis to produce the statistical evidence offered in support of his conten- tions. This technique is relatively new to the law. This court has been able to locate only six appellate decisions where a party to the litigation relied upon multiple regres- sion analysis. In two of them, the party relying on the analysis prevailed, but in both cases their showings were supported by substantial anecdotal evidence. £E.g., Wade r. Mississippi Cooperative Exten- sion Service, 528 F.2d 508 (5th Cir.1976). In four of them, the party relying upon the technique was found to have failed in his attempt to prove something through a re- liance on it. Generally, the failure came when the party relying upon multiple re- gression analysis failed to honor conven- . tions which the courts insisted upon. Be- fore a court will find that something is established based on multiple regression analysis, it must first be shown that the model includes all of the major variables likely to have an effect on the dependent variable. Second, it must be shown that the unaccounted-for effects are randomly distributed throughout the universe and are not correlated with the independent variables included. Fastland, supra, at 704. (15] In multiple regression analysis one builds a theoretical statistical model of re- ality and then attempts 10 control for all McCLESKEY v. ZANT 351 Cite as 580 F.Supp. 338 (1984) possible independent variables while mea- suring the effect of the variable of interest upon the dependent variable. Thus, a prop- erly done study begins with a decent theo- retical idea of what variables are likely to be important. Said another way, the model must be built by someone who has some idea of how the decision-making process under challenge functions. Three kinds of evidence may be introducéd- to validate a regression model: (1) Direct testimony as to’ what factors are considered, (2) what kinds of factors generally operate in a deci- sion-making process like that under chal- lenge, and (3) expert testimony concerning what factors can be expected to influence the process under challenge. Eastland, supra, at 623 (quoting Baldus and Cole, Statistical Proof of Discrimination ). [16-18] Other cases have established other conventions for the use of multiple regression analysis. It will be rejected as a tool if it does not show the effect on people similarly situated; across-the-board disparities prove nothing. EEOC v. Feder- al Reserve Bank of Richmond, 698 F.2d 633, 656-58 (4th Cir.1983), appeal pending; Valentino v. U.S. Postal Seryice, 674 F.2d 56, 70 (D.C.Cir.1982). A regression model that ignores information central to under- standing the causal relationships at issue is insufficient to raise an inference of discrim- ination. Valentino, supra, at 71. Finally, the validity of the model depends upon a showing that it predicts the variations in the dependent variable to some substantial "degree. A model which expiains only 52 or 53% of the variation is not very reliable. Wilkins v. University of Houston, 634 F.2d 388, 405 (5th Cir.1981), cert. denied, 459 U.S. 822, 103 S.Ct. 51, 74 L.Ed.2d 57 (1982). (19] “To sum up, statistical evidence is circumstantial in character and its accepta- bility depends upon the magnitude of the disparity it reflects, the relevance of its supporting data, and other circumstances in the case supportive of or in rebuttal of a hypothesis of discrimination.” EEOC v. Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, su- pra. at 646-47. Where a gross statistical disparity can be shown, that alone may constitute a prima facie case of discrimina- tion. This has become the analytical framework in cases brought under Title VII of the Civil Rights Act of 1964. Be- cause Fourteenth Amendment cases have a similar framework and because there are. relatively few such cases relying on statis tics, when appropriate the court may draw upon Title VII cases. Jean v. Nelson, 711 F.2d 1455, 1486 n. 30 (11th Cir.), reh’g en banc granted, 714 F.2d 96 (1983). [20-23] Generally it is said that once the plaintiff has put on a prima facie statis- tical case, the burden shifts to the defend- ant to go forward with evidence showing either the existence of a legitimate non-dis- criminatory explanation for its actions or that the plaintiff's statistical proof is unac- ceptable. Joansen -v. Uncle Ben's, Inc, 628 F.2d 419 (5th Cir.1980), cert. denied, 459 U.S. 967, 103 S.Ct. 293, 74 L.Ed.2d 277 (1982). The statistics relied upon by the plaintiff to establish a prima facie case can form the basis of the defendant's rebuttal case when, for example, the defendant shows that the numerical analysis is not the product of good statistical methodolo- gy. EEOC v. Datapoint Corp., 570 F.2d 1264 (5th Cir.1978). Said another way, a prima facie case is not established until the plaintiff has demonstrated both that the data base is sufficiently accurate and that the regression model has been properly constructed. Otherwise, the evidence would be insufficient to survive a motion for directed verdict, and this is the sine qua non of a prima facie case. Jean, supra, at 1487. Statistics produced on a weak theoretical foundation are insuffi cient to establish a prima facie case. FEuast- land, supra, at 625. [24] Once a prima facie case is estab- lished the burden of production is shifted to the respondent. If it has not already be- come apparent from the plaintiff's presen- tation, it then becomes the defendant's bur- den to demonstrate that the plaintiff's sta- tistics are misleading, and such rebuttal may not be made by speculative theories. See Eastland, supra, at 618; Coble v. Hot 352 Springs School District, 682 F.2d 721, 730-31 (8th Cir.1982); Jean v. Nelson, su- pra. C. Findings of Fact. The court held an evidentiary hearing for the purpose of enabling the petitioner to put on the evidence he had in support of his contention that racial factors are a consid- eration in the imposition of the death penal- ty.! Hereafter are the court’s findings as - to what was established within the context of the legal framework set out above. 1. The Witnesses The principal witness called by the peti- tioner was Professor David C. Baldus. Professor Baldus is a 48-year-old Professor of Law at the University of lowa. Present- ly he is on leave from that post and is serving on the faculty of the University of Syracuse. Baldus's principal expertise is in the use of statistical evidence in law. He and a statistician, James Cole, authored a book entitled Statistical Proof of Discrim- ination that was published by McGraw- Hill in 1980. R 54-56. He has done sever- al pieces of social science research involv- ing legal issues and statistical proof. R 45-46, 53. Before he became involved in projects: akin to that under analysis here, Baldus apparently had had little contact with the criminal justice system. In law school he took one course which focused heavily on the rationale of the law of homicide. R 39. During his short stint in private practice he handled some habeas corpus matters and had discussions with a friend who was an Assistant District Attorney concerning the kinds of factors which his friend utilized in deciding how to dispose of cases. R 43-44. As a part of the preparation of statistical proof of discrimination, Baldus and his co- author, Cole, re-evaluated the data set re- lied upon in Maxwell v. Bishop, 398 F.2d 138 (8th Cir.1968), vacated on other 1. A separate one-day hearing was had several months after the original hearing. The tran- script of those proceedings appears in Volume 580 FEDERAL SUPPLEMENT ‘grounds, 398 U.S. 262, 90 S.Ct. 1578, 26 L.Ed.2d 221 (1970), BR 72. Baldus became interested in methods of proportionality review and, together with four other scholars, published findings in the Stanford Law Review and the Journal of Criminal Law and Criminology. R 89. This was done on the basis of an analysis of some capital punishment data from Cali- fornia. R 81, et seq. Thereafter Baldus became a consultant to the National Center for State Courts and to the Supreme Court of South Dakota and the Supreme Court of Delaware. It is understood that his con- sulting work involved proportionality re- view. R 95. Baldus and Cole have aiso prepared an article for the Yale Law Jour- nal evaluating statistical studies of the death penalty to determine if it had a deter- rent effect. R 78. At the University of Jowa Baldus taught courses on scientific evidence, discrimination law, and capital punishment. a rape case. Baldus was qualified by the court as an expert on the legal and social interpretation of data, not on the issue of whether or not ~~" the statistical procedures were valid under the circumstances. While Baldus has some familiarity with statistical methodology, he was quick to defer to statistical experts where sophisticated questions of methodol ogy were posed. See generally R 109-20. Dr. George Woodworth was called by the petitioner and qualified as an expert in the theory and application of statistics and sta- tistical computation, especially with refer- ence to analysis of discreet outcome data. Dr. Woodworth is an Associate Professor of Statistics at the University of lowa and collaborated with Baldus on the prepara- tion of the study before the court. R 1193. The petitioner also called Dr. Richard A. Berk, a Professor of Sociology at the Uni- versity of California at Santa Barbara, and he was qualified as an expert in social science research with particular emphasis on the criminal justice system. R 1749-33. X of the transcript, and that testimony will hereafter be referred to with the prefix "X.” McCLESKEY v. ZANT 353 Cite as 580 F.Supp. 338 (1984) : The respondents called two experts. .One was Dr. Joseph Katz, an Assistant Professor at Georgia State University in the Department of Quantitative Methods. He was qualified as an expert in analyzing data, in research design, in statistics, sta- tistical analysis and quantitative methods. R 1346. Dr. Katz is a rather recent gradu- ate of Louisiana State University. The re- spondent also called Roger L. Burford, a Professor of Quantitative Business Analy- sis at LSU. He was Katz's mentor at the graduate level. Burford was qualified as a statistical expert. R 1627-32. The court was impressed with the learning of all of the experts. Each pre- ferred .the findings and assumptions which supported his thesis, but it seemed to the court that mo ome of them was willing to disregard academic honesty to the extent of advancing a proposition for which there was absolutely mo support. 2. Scope of the Studies Baldus and Woodworth conducted two studies on the criminal justice system In Georgia as it deals with homicide and mur- der cases. The first is referred to as the Procedural Reform Study. The second is referred to as the Charging and Sentencing Study. R 121-122. The universe for the Procedural Reform Study included all persons convicted of murder at a guilt trial. Also included were several offenders who pled guilty to mur- der and received the death penalty. The time period for the study included offend- ers who were convicted under the new Georgia death penalty statute which went into effect on March 28, 1973, and included all such offenders who had been arrested as of June 30, 1978. In the Procedural Reform Study no sample of the cases was taken and instead the entire universe was studied. R 170-71. The data sources used by the researchers in the Procedural Re- form Study were the files of the Georgia Supreme Court, certain information from the Department of Offender Rehabilitation, and information from the Georgia Depart- ment of Vital Statistics. R 173, et seq. Except for the few pleas, the Procedural Reform Study focused only on offenders who had been convicted of murder at a trial. R 122. There were approximately 550 cases in the universe for the Procedur- al Reform Study. The Procedural Reform Study began when Baldus developed a questionnaire and dispatched two students to Georgia in the fall of 1979. In 1980 the coders returned to Georgia and coded 264 cases on site. R 241-43, DB 28, DB 28A. As two different questionnaires were used, the researchers wrote a computer program which translat- ed the data gathered from both question- naires into one format. R 246. Baldus made some preliminary studies on the data that he gathered in the Proce- dural Reform Study. He found in these preliminary analyses no “race of the de- fendant” effect and a very unclear “race of the victim” effect. R 258. The Legal De- fense Fund learned of Baldus's research and retained him to conduct the second study. R 256. Baldus was of the opinion that it was critical to the validity of the study that the strength of the evidence be measured. R 262. Also, he felt it impor- tant to examine the combined effects of all the decisions made at the different levels of the criminal justice system. R 147. Ac: cordingly, the design of the Charging and Sentencing Study was different in that it produced measurements in these two re- spects in addition to measuring factors akin to those which were already being taken into account in the Procedural Reform Stu- dy. The universe for the Charging and Sen- tencing Study was all offenders who were convicted of murder or voluntary man- slaughter whose crimes occurred after March 28, 1973 and whose arrests occurred before December 21, 1978. This produced a universe of about 2500 defendants. R 123, 263-64. Any defendant who was ac- quitted or convicted of a lesser-included offense is not included in the study. R 264. From the universe of the Charging and Sentencing Study a random stratified sam- ple was drawn. The first stratification was 354 by outcome. - Thei researchers drew a 25% random sample of murder cases with life sentences and a 25% random sample of voluntary manslaughter cases. R 1216. To this sample, all death penalty cases were added. R 267-69. The second strati- fication was geographic. The researchers drew a sample of 18 cases from each judi- cial circuit in Georgia. Where the circuit did not produce 18 cases in the first draw, additional cases were drawn from the popu- lation to supplement the original random sample. The results from each judicial cir- cuit were then weighted so that each circuit contributed to the total effect in proportion to the total number of cases it contributed to the universe. R 270. Because of the many factors involved in such an analysis, a simple binomial comparison would show nothing. To de- termine whether or not race was being considered, it 1s necessary to compare very similar cases. This suggests the use of a statistical technique known as cross tabulation. Because of the data availa- ble, it was impossible to get any statisti cally significant results in comparing ex- act cases using a cross tabulation meth- od. R 705. Accordingly, the study prin- cipally relies upon multivariate analysis. 3. The Accuracy of the Data Base As will be noted hereafter, no statistical analysis, much less a multivariate analysis, is any better than the accuracy of the data base. That accuracy was the subject of much testimony during the hearing. To understand the issue it is necessary Lo ex- amine the nature of the questionnaires uti lized and the procedures employed to enter the data upon the questionnaires. The original questionnaire for the Proce- dural Reform Study was approximately 120 pages long and had foils (blanks) for the entry of data on about 300 variables. DB 27. The first 14 pages of the questionnaire were filled out by the Georgia Department of Offender Rehabilitation for Professor Baldus. The remainder of the pages were coded by students in Iowa based on ex- 580 FEDERAL SUPPLEMENT tracts prepared by data gatherers in Geor- gia. The data on the first 15 pages of the Procedural Reform Study questionnaire in- cludes information on sentencing, basic de- mographic data concerning the defendant, his physical and psychiatric condition, his 1Q, his prior record, as well as information concerning his behavior as an inmate. The next six pages of the questionnaire con- tained inquiries concerning the method of killing. Data is also gathered on the num- ber of victims killed, information about co- perpetrators, and the disposition of their cases, and pleadings by the defendant. Another eight pages of questions search out characteristics of the offense. Three pages are reserved for data on’ contempora-- neous offenses, and another three pages for the victim's role in the crime and the defendant's behavior after the homicide. There are additional pages on the role of co-perpetrators. There are more questions relating to the defense at trial and on the kinds of evidence submitted by the defend ant. Then, there are 26 pages of questions concerning the deliberations of the jury and information concerning the penalty trial. The questionnaire concludes on matters re- lating to the disposition of the case with respect to other counts charged and, final ly, the last page is reserved for the coder to provide a narrative summary of what occurred in the case. R 197-200, DB 27. This questionnaire also contained foils so that the coder could indicate whether or not the prosecutor or the jury was aware of the information being coded. It is important to reiterate that this ques- tionnaire was not coded by students having access to the raw data in Georgia. In- stead, as noted above, two law students prepared detailed abstracts of each case. Their notes were dictated and transcribed. These notes, together with an abstract filled out by an administrative aide to the Georgia Supreme Court and the opinion of the Georgia Supreme Court, were assem- bled as a file and were available in Towa to the coders. R 209, 212, 24]. McCLESKEY v. ZANT 355 Cite as 580 F.Supp. 338 (1984) During the 1979-80 academic year, an- other questionnaire, simpler in form, was designed for use in obtaining data for the Procedural Reform Study. This question “naire dropped the inquiries concerning whether the sentencing jury was aware of the aggravating and mitigating factors ap- pearing in the files. R 230-31. Some of the questionnaires were coded in Georgia and some were coded in Iowa. Baldus developed a coding protocol in an effort to guide those who were entering data on the questionnaires. R 220-21, 227. The pro- fessional staff at the University of Iowa Computer Center entered the data obtained from the various Procedural Reform Study questionnaires into the computer. Yet another questionnaire was designed for the Charging and Sentencing Study. The last questionnaire was modified in three respects. First, Baldus included ad- ditional queries concerning legitimate ag- gravating and mitigating factors because he had determined on the basis of his expe- rience with earlier data that it was neces- sary to do so. Second, the questionnaire expanded the coverage of materials relat- ing to prior record. Third, it contained a significant section on “strength of the evi- dence.” R 274-77. After the new draft was produced and reviewed by several oth- er academicians, it was reviewed by attor- neys with the Legal Defense Fund. They suggested the addition of at least one other variable. R 275. The Charging and Sentencing Study questionnaire is 42 pages long and has 595 foils for the recordation of factors which might, in Baldus’s opinion, affect the out- come of the case. Generally, the kind of information sought included the location of the offense, the details of all of the charges brought against the offender, the outcome of the case, whether or not there was a plea bargain, characteristics of the defend- ant, prior record of the defendant, informa- tion regarding contemporaneous offenses, details concerning every victim in the case, characteristics of the offense, statutory ag- gravating factors, a delineation of the de- fendant's role vis-a-vis co-perpetrators’, in- formation on outcome of co-perpetrators’ cases, other aggravating circumstances such as the number of shots fired, miscella- neous mitigating circumstances relating to the defendant or the victim, the defend- ant’s defenses at the guilt trial, and the strength of the evidence. R 280-36. Again, all of these were categories of infor- mation which Baldus believed could affect the outcome of a given case. A student who headed a portion of the data-gathering effort for the first study was placed in charge of five law students who were hired and trained to code the new questionnaires. R 308. This supervisor's name was Ed Gates. The principal data source for the Charg- ing and Sentencing study was records of the Georgia Department of Pardons and Paroles. This was supplemented with in- formation from the Bureau of Vital Statis- tics and questionnaires returned from law- vers and prosecutors. Also, some informa- tion was taken from the Department of Offender Rehabilitation. R 293-94, DB 39. The records from the Department of Par- dons and Paroles included a. summary of the police investigative report prepared by a parole officer, an FBI rap sheet, a per- sonal history evaluation, an admissions data summary sheet, and, on occasion, the file might contain a witness statement or the actual police report. R 347. The police report actually appeared in about 25° of the cases. R 348. The Pardons and Pa- roles Board investigative summaries were always done after conviction. Baldus and Gates again developed a writ- ten protocol in an attempt to assist coders in resolving ambiguities. This protocol was developed in part on past experience and in part on a case-by-case basis. R 239, 311. In the Charging and Sentencing Stu- dy the coders were given two general rules to resolve ambiguities of fact. The first rule was that the ambiguity ought to be resolved in a direction that supports the determination of the factfinder. The sec- ond rule is that when the record concerning a fact is ambiguous the interpretation 356 should support the legitimacy of the sen- tence. R 423, EG 4. As to each foil the coder had four choices. The response could be coded as 1, showing that the factor was definitely present, or 2, which means that the file indicated the presence of the factor. If the factor was definitely not present, the foil was left blank. In cases where it was considered equally possible for the factor to be absent or present, the coder entered the letter “U.” R 517. For the purpose of making these coding decisions, it was as- sumed that if the file indicated that a wit- ness who ‘would likely have seen the infor- mation was present or if, in the case of physical evidence, it was of the type that the police would likely have been able to view, and if such information did not ap- pear in the Parole Board summaries, then the coder treated. that factor as not being present. R 521. ° In addition to coding questionnaires the coders were asked to prepare brief summa- ries that were intended to highlight parts of the crime that were difficult to code. R 366. By the end of the summer of 1981 the questionnaires had been coded in Georgia and they were returned to Iowa. R 585. All of the data collected had to be entered onto a magnetic tape, and this process was completed by the Laboratory for Political Research at the University of Iowa. R 595. That laboratory ‘‘cleaned” the data as it was keypunched; that is, where an im- permissible code showed up in a question naire it was reviewed by a student coder who re-coded the questionnaire based upon a reading of Baldus's file. R 600-08. After the data gathered for the Charging and Sentencing Study was entered on com- puter tapes, it was re-coded so that the data would be in a useful format for the planned analysis. The first step of the re-coding of the data was to change all 1 and 2 codes to 1, indicating that the factor was positively present. The procedure then re-coded all other responses as 0, meaning that the characteristic was not present. R 617-20. 580 FEDERAL SUPPLEMENT It appears to the court that the research- ers attempted to be careful in that data- gathering, but, as will be pointed out here- after, the final data base was far from perfect. An important limitation placed on the data base was the fact that the ques- tionnaire could not capture every nuance of every case. R 239. Because of design of earlier question- naires, the coders were limited to only three special precipitating events. There were other questions where there were limitations upon responses, and so the full degree of the aggravating or mitigating nature of the circumstances were not cap- tured. In these situations where there was only a limited number of foils, the respons- es were coded in the order in which the student discovered them, and, as a conse- quence, those entered were not necessarily the most important items found with re- spect to the variable. R 545. The pres- ence or absence of enumerated factors were noted without making any judgment as to whether the factor was indeed miti- gating or aggravating in the context of the case. R 384. In the Charging and Sentencing Study as well, there were instances where there was a limit on the number of applicable respons- es which could be entered. For example, on the variable “Method of Killing,” only three foils were provided. R 461, EG 6A, p. 14. The effect of this would be to re- duce the aggravation of a case that had multiple methods of inflicting death. In coding this variable the students generally would list the method that actually caused the death and would not list any other contributing assaultive behavior. R 463. The information available to the coders from the Parole Board files was very sum- mary in many respects. For example, on one of the completed questionnaires the coder had information that the defendant had told four other people about the mur- der. The coder could not, however, deter- mine from the information in the file whether the defendant was bragging about the murder or expressing remorse. R 467- 63. As the witnesses to his statements ‘however, cap McCLESKEY v. ZANT 357 Clte as 580 F.Supp. 338 (1984) were available to the prosecution and, pre- sumably, to the jury, that information was knowable 207. DEhay'¥ known. It was not, ) the study. The Pa- role Board summaries themselves were brief and the police reports from which the parole officers prepared their reports were typically only two or three pages long. R 1343. Because of the incompleteness of the Pa- role Board studies, the Charging and Sen- tencing Study. contains no information about what a prosecutor felt about the credibility of any witnesses. R 1117. It was occasionally difficult to determine whether or not a co-perpetrator testified in the case. One of the important strength of the evidence variables coded was whether or not the police report indicated clear guilt. As the police reports were missing in 75% of the cases, the coders treated the Parole Board summary as a police report. R 493-94. Then, the coders were able to obtain information based only upon their impressions of the information contained in the file. R 349. Some of the questionnaires were clearly mis-coded. Because of the degree of lati- tude allowed the coders in drawing infer- ences based on the data of the file, a re- coding of the same case by the same coder at a time subsequent might produce a dif- ferent coding. R 370, 386-387. Also, there would be differences in judgment among the coders. R 387. Several questionnaires, including the one for McCleskey and for one of his co-perpe- trators, was reviewed at length during the hearing. There were inconsistencies in the way several variables were coded for McCleskey and his co-perpetrator. R 1113; Res. 1, Res. 2. The same difficulties with accuracy and consistency of coding appeared in the Charging and Sentencing questionnaires. For example, the Charging and Sentencing Study had a question as to whether or not the defendant actively resisted or avoided arrest. MecCleskey’'s questionnaire for the Charging and Sentencing Study indicated that he did not actively resist or avoid -tencing outcome. arrest. His questionnaire for the Proce- dural Reform Study indicated that he did. R 1129-30; Res. 2, Res. 4. Further, as noted above in one situation where it was undoubtedly knowable as to whether or not the defendant expressed remorse or bragged about the homicide, the factor was coded as “U.” Under the protocol referred to earlier, if there was a witness present who could have known the answer and the answer did not appear in the file, then the foil is to be left blank. This indicates that the questionnaire, EG 6B, was not coded according to the protocol at foils 183 and 184. To test the consistency of coding judg- ments made by the students, Katz tested the consistency of coding of the same fac- tor in the same case as between the two studies as to 30 or so variables. were 361 cases which appeared in both studies. Of the variables that Katz select- ed there were mis-matches in coding in all but two of the variables. Some of the mis-matches were significant and occurred within factors which are generally thought to be important in a determination of sen- For example, there were mis-matches in 50% of the cases tested as to the number of death eligible factors occurring in the case. Other important factors and the percent of mis-matches are as follows: Number of prior felonies 337 Immediate Rage Motive 15% Execution Style Murder 18 Unnecessary Killing 8 Defendant Additional Crimes 16: Bloody 2% Defendant Drug History 25" Victim Aroused Fear in the Defendant 16’ Two or More Victims in All 20’ Vietim is a Stranger 12 Respondent's Exhibit 20A, R 1440, ef seq. A problem alluded to above is the way the researchers chose to deal with those variables coded “U.” It will be recalled that for a variable to be coded “U” in a given questionnaire, there must be suffi cient circumstances in the file to suggest the possibility that it is present and to preclude the possibility that it is not There . 358 ” 580 FEDERAL SUPPLEMENT present. In the Charging and Sentencing Sper ack Alochei of'D = Study there are an average of 33 variables elonlen evan Bf Luss : in each questionnaire which are coded as Effect of Alcohol on the Defendant 290 “J.” The researchers treated that infor- Defendant Showed Remorse 213 mation as not known to the decision-maker. Defendant Surrendered within 24 Hours 125 -o ; Victim Used Drugs or Alcohol Before 244 R 1155. Under the protocol employed, the Homicide decision to treat the “U” factors as not Effect of Drugs on Victim 168 being present in a given case seems highly Victim Aroused Defendant's Fear for 220 : a Life questionable. The threshold criteria for as- Vietim Armed with Deadly Weapon 155 suming that a factor was not present were History of Bad Blood Between 173 extremely low. A matter would not have Defendant and Vietim been coded “U” unless there was some- Vis Segue Defendant of . Mg . « . v Misconduct thing in the file which made the coder Victim Physically Assaulted Defendant 159 believe that the factor could be present. at Homicide Accordingly, if the researchers wished to Victim Verbally Threatened Defendant 185 at Homicide preserve the data and not drop the cases Victim Verbally Abused Defendant at 300 containing this unknown information, then Homicide it would seem that the more rational deci- Victim Verbally Threatened Defendant 100 . “Tr Earlier Sion would be to treat the U” factors as Victim Verbally Abused Defendant 156 being present. Earlier This coding decision pervades the data Victim Had Bad Criminal Reputation 855 base. Well more than 100 variables had Viekish ad Criming) Resort #6 = some significant number of entries coded “UJ.” Those variables coded “U” in more than ten percent of the questionnaires are _as follows (the sample size in the Charging and Sentencing Study is 1,084): Plea Bargaining 445 Employment Status of the Defendant 107 Victim's Age 189 Occupational Status of the Victim 721 Employment Status of the Vietim 744 Defendant's Motive was Long-Term 284 Hate Defendant's Motive was Revenge 2022 Defendant's Motive was Jealousy 130 Defendant's Motive was Immediate 181 Rage ; Defendant's Motive was Raciul 447 Animosity Dispute While under the Influence of 15% Aleohol or Drugs Victim Mental Defective 625 Victim Pregnant 214 Victim Defenseless due to Disparity in 8 Size or Numbers Victim Support Children 71 Vietim Offered No Provocation 192 Homicide Planned for More than Five 496 Minutes Execution-Style Homicide 109 Victim Pleaded for Life TU Defendant Showed No Remorse for 902 Homicide Defendant Expressed Pleasure With 8R5 Homicide Defendant Created Risk of Death to 12% A large number of other variables were coded “U” in more than five percent of the questionnaires. Race of the victim was unknown in 62 cases. Other variables which are often thought to explain sentenc- ing outcomes and which were coded “U” in more than five percent of the question naires included: Defendant's Motive was Sex 68 Defendant's Motive Silence Witness for 72 Current Crime Dispute with Vietim/ Defendant over 76 Money/ Property Lovers’ Triangle 74 Vietim Defenseless due to Old Age 63 Defendant Actively Resisted Arrest 1 Number of Victims Killed by the 66 Defendant Defendant Cooperated with Authorities 72 Defendant had History of Druy and 79 Alcohol Abuse Victim Physically Injured Defendant at 63 Homicide Vietim Physically Assaulted Defendant 71 Earlier Many of the variables showing high rates of “U” codings were used in Baldus’s mod- els. For example, in Exhibit DB 83, models controlling for 13, 14 and 44 variables, re- spectively, are used in an effort to measure racial disparities. In the 13-variable model, five of the variables have substantial num- bers of “U’" codes. In the 14-variable mod- McCLESKEY v. ZANT 359 Cite as 580 F.Supp. 338 (1984) el, seven variables are likewise affected, and in the 44-variable model, six were af- fected. Similar problems plagued the Pro- cedural Reform Study Respondent's Ex- hibits 17A, 18A; DB 96A, DB 83, R 1429. Because of the substantial number of “U” codes in the data base and the decision to treat that factor as not present in the case, Woodworth re-coded the “U” data so that the coding would support the outcome of the case and ran a worst case analysis on five small models. This had the effect generally of depressing the coefficients of racial disparity by as much as 25%. In the three models which controlled for a rela- tively small number of background varia- bles, he also re-computed the standard devi- ation based on his worst case analysis. In the two larger models on which he ran these studies, he did not compute the stan- dard deviation, and in the largest model he did not even compute the racial coefficients after conducting the worst case analysis. Accordingly, it is impossible for the court to determine if the coefficient for race of the victim remains present or is statistical- ly significant in these larger order regres- sions. Both because of this and because the models used in the validating procedure were not themselves validated, it cannot be said that the coding decision on the “U” data made no effect on the results ob- tained. See generally GW 4, Table 1. In DB 122 and 123 Baldus conducts a worst case analysis which shows the re- sults upon re-coding “U” data so as to legitimize the sentence. Baldus testified that the coding of unknowns would not affect the outcome of his analysis based on the experiments and these exhibits. The experiments do not, however, support his conclusion, and it would appear to the court that the experiments were not designed to support his conclusions. In DB 122 Baldus controls for only three variables; thence, it is impossible to measure the effect of any other variables or the effects that the re- coding would have on the outcome. In DB 123 he utilizes a 39-variable model and con- cludes that on the basis of the re-coding it has no effect on the racial coefficients. Only five of the variables in the 39-variable model have any substantial coding prob- lems associated with them. (For these pur- poses the court is defining a “substantial problem” as a variable with more than 100 entries coded “U.”) These five variables are the presence of a statutory aggravat- ing factor B3 and B7D, hate, jealousy, and a composite of family, lover, liquor, or bar- room quarrel. Baldus did not test any of his larger regressions to see what the ef- fect would be. R 1701, et seq, DB 964A, Schedule 4, DB 122, DB 123, Res. Exh. 47A. In addition to the questionable handling of the “U” codes, there were other factors which might affect the outcome of the stu- dy where information was simply unknown or unused. In the Charging and Sentenc- ing Study data related with the response “Other” was not used in subsequent analy- ses. In one factor, “special aggravating feature of the offense,” there were 139 “Other” responses. R 1392, 1437. Cases where the race of the victim was unknown were coded on the principle of imputation, as though the race of the vic- tim was the same as the race of the defend- ant. .R 1096. There were 23 or 24 cases in the Proce- dural Reform Study and 62 or 63 cases in the Charging and Sentencing Study where the researchers did not know whether or not a penalty trial had been held. R 1522. Baldus, on the basis of the rate at which penalty trials were occurring in his other cases, predicted what proportion of these that probably proceeded to a penalty trial. The criteria for deciding precisely which of these cases proceeded to a penalty trial and which did not is unknown to the court. R 1101. It is not beyond possibility that the treatment of these 62 cases could have skewed the results. The data becomes im- portant in modeling the prosecutorial deci sions to seek a death sentence after there had been a conviction. Based on his sam- ple Baldus projects that something over 760 murder convictions occurred. If the 62 cases were proportionally weighted by a factor of 2.3 (2484 cases In the universe 360 divided by 1084 cases in the sample equals 2.3), the effect would be the same as if he were missing data on 143 cases. Said an- other way, he would be missing data on about 18 to 20% of all of the decisions he was seeking to study. See generally R 1119. The study was also missing any informa- tion on race of the victim where there were multiple victims. R 1146-47. Further, Baldus was without information on wheth- er or not the prosecutor offered a plea bargain in" 40% of the cases. R 1152. One of the strength of the evidence questions related to whether or not there was a credi- bility problem with a witness. Such infor- mation was available only in a handful of files. R 532-33. Further, the data would not include anything on anyone who was convicted of murder and received proba- tion. R 186. Multiple regression requires complete correct data to be utilized. If the data is not correct the results can be faulty and not reliable. R 1505-06. Katz urged that the most accepted convention in dealing with unknowns is to drop the observations from the analysis. R 1501-04. Berk opined that missing data seldom makes any difference unless it is missing at the order of magnitude of 30 to 45%. R 1766. This opinion by Berk rests in part upon his understanding that the missing data, whether coded “U” or truly missing, was unknowable to the decision-maker. In the vast majority of cases this is simply not the case. After a consideration of the foregoing, the court is of the opinion that the data base has substantial flaws and that the petitioner has failed to establish by a preponderance of the evidence that it is essentially trustworthy. As demonstrated above, there are errors in coding the ques- tionnaire for the case sub judice. This fact alone will invalidate several important premises of petitioner's experts. Further, there are large numbers of aggravating and mitigating circumstances data about which is unknown. Also, the researchers are without knowledge concerning the deci- 580 FEDERAL SUPPLEMENT sion made by prosecutors to advance cases to a penalty trial in a significant number of instances. The court’s purpose here is not to reiterate the deficiencies but to mention several of its concerns. It is a major prem- ise of a statistical case that the data base . numerically mirrors reality. If it does not in substantial degree mirror reality, any inferences empirically arrived at are un- trustworthy. 4. Accuracy of the Models In a system where there are many fac tors which affect outcomes, an unadjusted binomial analysis cannot explain relation- ships. According to Baldus, no expert opinion of racial effects can rest upon unadjusted figures. R 731. In attempting to measure the effect of a variable of inter- est, Baldus testified that if a particularly important background variable is not con- trolled for, the coefficient for the variable of interest does not present a whole pic- ture. Instead, one must control for the background effects of a variety of factors at once. One must, Baldus testified, identi- fy the important factors in the system and control for them. R 694-95. Baldus also testified that a study which does not focus on individual stages in the process and does not control for very many background fac- tors is limited in its power to support an inference of discrimination. R 146-47. Be- cause he realized the necessity of control ling for all important background varia- bles, he read extensively, consulted with peers, and from these efforts and from his prior analysis of data sets from California and Arkansas, he sought in his question- naires to obtain information on every varia- ble he believed would bear on the matter of death-worthiness of an individual defend- ant’s case. His goal was to create a data set that would allow him to control for all of those background factors. R 194-95, 739. At this point it is important to empha- size a difference between the Procedural Reform Study and the Charging and Sen- tencing Study. The Procedural Reform Study contains no measures for strength of the evidence. Because Baldus was of the opinion that this could be a factor in wheth- McCLESKEY v. ZANT 361 Clte as 580 F.Supp. 338 (1984) . er or not capital punishment was imposed, information regarding the strength of the evidence was collected in the Charging and Sentencing Study. R 124, 286. Baldus collected data on over 500 factors in each case. From the 500 variables he decided to select 230 for inclusion in fur- ther statistical analysis. R 659. He testi- fied without further explanation that these 230 variables were the ones that he would expect to explain who received death sen- tences and who did not. R 661. X 631. " - Based on this testimony it follows that any model which does not include the 230 varia- bles may very possibly not present a whole picture. : The 230 variable-model has several defi- ciencies. It assumes that all of the infor- mation available to the data-gatherers was available to each decision-maker in the sys- tem at the time that decisions were made. R 1122. This is a questionable assumption. To the extent that the records of the Parole Board accurately reflect the circumstances of each case, they present a retrospective view of the facts and circumstances. That is to say, they reflect a view of the case after all investigation is completed, after .all pretrial preparation is made, after all “evidentiary rulings have been handed down, after each witness has testified, and after the defendant's defense or mitigation is aired. Anyone who has ever tried a lawsuit would testify that it is seldom and rare when at progressive stages of the case he knows as much as he knows by hind- sight. Further, the file does not reflect what was known to the jury but only what was known to the police. Legal literature is rife with illustrations of information known reliably to the parties which they never manage to get to the factfinders. Consequently, the court feels that any mod- el produced from the data base available is substantially flawed because it does not measure decisions based on the knowledge available to the decision-maker. Beyond that defect, there are other rea- sons to distrust the 230-variable model or any of the others proposed by Baldus. Statisticians have a method for measuring what portion of the variance in the depend- ent variable (here death sentencing rate) is accounted for by the independent variables included in the model. This measure is known as an adjusted r>. The r?® values for a model which is perfectly predictive of changes in the dependent variable would have a value of 1.0. The r? values for the models utilized by Woodworth to check the validity of his statistical techniques range from .15 to .39. The r* for the 230-variable model is between .46 and .48. The differ- ence between the r? value and 1 may be explained by one of two hypotheses. The - first is that the other unaccounted-for fac- tors at work in the system are totally ran- dom or unique features of individual cases that cannot be accounted for in any system- - atic way. The other ‘theory is that the model does not model the system. R 1266- 69, GW 4, Table 1. As will appear hereaf- ter, neither Baldus nor Woodworth believes that the system is random. In summary, the r® measure is an indicia of how successful one has been with one’s mode! in predicting the actual outcome of cases. R 1489. As the 230-variable model does, not predict the outcome in half of the “cases and none of the other models produc- ed by the petitioner has an r* even ap- proaching .5, the court is of the opinion that none of the models are sufficiently predictive to support an inference of dis- crimination. The regression equation, discussed in greater detail hereafter, postulates that the value of the dependent variable in a"given case is the sum of the coefficients of all of the independent variables plus “U.” In the equation the term “U” refers to all unique characteristics of an individual case that have not been controiled for on a system- wide basis. X 51-52. If the model is not appropriately inclusive of all of the system- atic factors, then the “U” value will contain random influences as well as systematic influences. X 90. The r* value is a sum- mary statistic which describes collectively all of the “U” terms. Sometimes it is said that “U” measures random effects. Woodworth testified that 362 randomness does not necessarily reflect ar- bitrariness. He continued, “The world re- ally isn’t random. When we say something is random, we simply mean it’s unaccounta- ble, and that whatever does account for it is unique to each case.... This random- ness that we use is a tag that phenomena which are unpredictable on the basis of variables we have observed [sic].” R 1272- 73. By implication this means that even in the 230-variable model it is unique circum: stances or uncontrolled-for variables which preponderate over the controlled-for vana- bles in explaining death sentencing rates. : This is but another way of saying that the models presented are insufficiently pre- dictive to support an inference of diserimi- nation. None of the models presented have ac- counted for the alternative hypethesis that the race effects Observed cannot be ex- plained by unaccounted-for factors. This is further: illustrated -by an experiment that ; Katz conducted. He observed that when he controlled only for whether or not there had been a murder indictment and tried to predict the outcome based solely on the race of the victim, he obtained a regression coefficient of .07 which was statistically significant at the .00000000000000000005 level. He further observed that by the time Baldus had controlled for 230 varia- bles, the “P” value or test of statistical significance was only approximately 02. He stated as his opinion that the positive value of the race of the victim coefficient would not disappear because it was a con- venient variable for the equation to use in explaining actual outcome where so many cases in the sample were white victim cases. It was his opinion, however, that 2. The teaching of this chart has a universal lesson for courts. That lesson is that where: there is a multitude of factors influencing the decision-maker, a court cannot rely upon tests of statistical significance to validate the data unless it is first shown that the statistical model is sufficiently predictive. -_ 3. Woodworth commented on this opinion of Katz's. He testified that it was his observation that after about ten variables were added to the model, the precipitous drop in levels of statisti- cal significance leveled out, and, therefore, he 580 FEDERAL SUPPLEMENT the race of the victim coefficient would become statistically insignificant with a model with a higher r> which better ac- counted for all of the non-racial variables including interaction variables and compos- ite variables which could be utilized. R 1563-70. This methodical decline in statis- tical significance of the race of the victim and race of the defendant effects as more variables are controlled for is demonstrated graphically in Table 1 which is attached to the opinion as Appendix A.2 There, it will be observed. that if an additional 20 back- ground variables are added beyond the 230- variable model and the data is adjusted to show the effect on death sentencing rates of appellate review, both the size of the coefficient for race of the victim and race of the defendant decreases by one-third, and the statistical significance decreases to .04 and .05, respectively.5™" 2 Based on the evidence the court is unable to find either way with respect to Katz's hypothesis. From the evidence offered in support and in contradiction of the hypoth- esis, the court does learn one thing: It was said that one indication of the completeness of a model is when one can find no addi tional variables to add which would affect the results obtained. The work by Katz and Woodworth shows instability in the findings of the small order models utilized in the study, and, therefore, it is further evidence that they are not sufficiently de- * signed so as to be reliable. See generally R 1729, Table 1, GW 6, Res. Exh. 24. Based on all the foregoing, the court finds that none of the models utilized by the petitioner's experts are sufficiently predictive to support an inference of dis- crimination. was of the opinion that it would require the addition of an enormous number of variables to make the coefficient insignificant. He had no opinion as to whether the addition of a number of variables would inevitably remove the effect. In fact, however, the trend line on GW 6 for statistical significance does not remain flat, even in Woodworth's studies. From the 10 to 20-variable modeis to the 230-variable models, the “P” value declines from something just un- der .00003 to something just over .005. McCLESKEY v. ZANT 363 Cite as 580 F.Supp. 338 (1984) - 5. Multi-Colinearity. As illustrated in Table 1, the petitioner introduced a number of exhibits which re- flected a positive coefficient for the race of the victim and race of the defendant. The respondent has raised the question of whether or not those coefficients are in fact measuring racial disparities or wheth- er the racial variables are serving as prox- ies for other permissible factors. Stated another way, the respondent contends that the Baldus ‘research cannot support an in- ference of discrimination because of multi colinearity. ‘ If the variables in an analysis are correl- ated with one another, this is called multi- colinearity. Where this exists the coeffi- cients are difficult to interpret. R 1166. A regression coefficient should measure the impact of a particular independent variable, and it may do so if the other variables are totally uncorrelated and are independent of each other. If, however, there is any de- gree of interrelationship among the varia- bles, the regression coefficients are some- what distorted by that relationship and do not measure exactly the net impact of the independent variable of interest upon the dependent variable. Where multi- colineari- ty obtains, the results should be viewed with great caution. - “wt In the Charging and Sn en very substantial proportion of the variables are correlated to the race of the victim and to the death sentencing result. R 1141-42. All or a big proportion of the major non- statutory aggravating factors and statuto- “ry aggravating factors show positive cor- relation with both the death sentencing re- salt and the race of the victim. R 114Z. More than 100 variables show statistically significant relationships with both death sentencing results and the race of the vie: tim. R 1142. Because of this it is not possible to say with precision what, if any, effect the racial variables have on the de- pendent variable. R 1148, 1649. Accord- ing to Baldus, tests of statistical signifi- 4. Katz utilized Baldus's characterization of fac- tors as to whether they were aggravating or cance will not always detect errors in coef- ficients produced by multi-colinearity. R 1138, DB 92. Katz conducted experiments which fur- ther demonstrated the truth of an observa- tion which Baldus made: white-victim cases tend to be more aggravated while black-vic- tim cases tend to be more mitigated. Us- ing the data base of the Procedural Reform Study, Katz conducted an analysis on 196 white-vietim cases and 70 black-victim cases which had in common the presence of the statutory aggravating factor B2.! Fac- tor by factor, he determined whether white- victim cases or black-victim cases had the higher incidence of each aggravating and mitigating factor. The experiment showed that there were 25 aggravating circum- stances which appeared at a statistically significant higher proportion in cases in- volving one racial group than they did in the other. Of these 25 aggravating cir- cumstances, 23 of these occurred in white vietim cases and only 2 occurred in black- victim cases. Likewise with mitigating fac- tors it was determined that 12 mitigating factors appeared in a higher proportion of black-victim cases whereas only one miti- gating feature appeared in a higher propor tion of white-victim cases. The results of this latter analysis were also statistically significant. R 1472, et seq. Res.Exh. 28. Similar or more dramatic results were ob- tained when the experiment was repeated with statutory factors Bl, 3, 4, 7, 9 and 10. Res Exh. 29-34; R 1477-80. As he had done with the data from the Procedural Reform Study, Katz conducted an analysis to discover the relative pres- ence or absence of aggravating or mitigat- ing circumstances in white- and black-vic- tim cases, using the Charging and Sentenc- ing Study data. Only aggravating or miti- gating circumstances shown to be signifi- cant at the .05 level wore utilized. Un- known responses were not considered. With but slight exception, each aggravat- ing factor was present in a markedly high- EEN mitigating. 364 er percentage of white-victim cases than in black-victim cases, and conversely, the vast majority of the mitigating circumstances appeared in higher proportions in black-vic- tim cases. Res.Exh. 49, 50, R 1534-35. Similar observations were made with refer- ence to cases disposed of by conviction of voluntary manslaughter. Res.Exh. 51, 52, R 1336. Yet another experiment was conducted by Katz. He compared the death sentenc- ing rates for killers of white and black victims at Steps progressing upwards from the presence of no statutory aggravating circumstances to the presence of six such circumstances. At the level where there were three or four statutory aggravating circumstances present, a statistically sig- nificant race of the victim effect appeared. He then compared the aggravating and mi- tigating circumstances within each group and in each instance found on a factor-by- factor basis that there was a higher num- ber of aggravating circumstances which oc- curred in higher proportions in white-vietim cases and a number of mitigating factors occurred in higher proportions in biack-vic- tim cases. The results were statistically significant. Res.Exh. 36, 37, R 1482. All of the experts except Berk seemed to agree that there was substantial multi-coli- * nearity in the data. Berk found rather little multi-colinearity. R 1736. Wood- worth observed that multi-colinearity has the effect of increasing the standard devia- tion of the regression coefficients, and he observed that this would reduce the statis- tical significance. According to Wood- worth the net effect of multi-colinearity would be to dampen the effect of observed racial variables. R 1279-82, He also testi- fied that he had assured himself of no effect from multi-colinearity because they were able to measure the disparities be- tween white-victim and black-victim cases at similar levels of aggravation. For these two reasons Woodworth had the opinion that higher levels of aggravation in white- victim cases were not relevant to any issue. R 1297. 580 FEDERAL SUPPLEMENT The court cannot agree with Wood- worth's assessment. He and Baldus seem to be at odds about whether tests of statis- tical significance will reveal and protect against results produced by multi-colineari- ty. His second point is also unconvincing. He contends that because he can measure a difference between the death sentencing rate in white-victim cases and black-victim cases at the same level of aggravation (and presumably mitigation), then the positive regression coefficients for this variable are not being produced by multi-colinearity. If Woodworth’s major premise were correct; his conclusion might be tenable. The ma- jor premise is that he is comparing cases with similar levels of aggravation and miti- gation. He is not. As will be discussed hereafter, he is merely comparing cases which have similar aggravation indices based on the variables included in the mod- el. None of Woodworth's models on which he performed his diagnostics are large or- der regression analyses. Accordingly, they do not account for a majority either of aggravating or mitigating circumstances in the cases. Therefore, in the white-victim cases there are unaccounted-for systematic aggravating features, and in the black-vie- tim cases there are unaccounted-for sys- tematic mitigating features. As will be seen hereafter, aggravating factors do in- crease the death penalty rate and mitigat- ing factors do decreasg the death penalty rate. Therefore~at Toust se the extent that there are unaccounted-for aggravating or - mitigating circumstances, white-vietim cases become a proxy for aggravated cases, and black-victim cases become a proxy, or composite variable, for mitigating factors. The presence of multi-colinearity sub- stantially diminishes the weight to be ac~ corded to the circumstantial statistical evidence of racial disparity. 6. Petitioner's Best Case and Other Observations. Based on what has been said to this point, the court would find that the peti- tioner has failed to make out a prima McCLESKEY v. ZANT 365 Cite as 580 F.Supp. 338 (1984) facie case of discrimination based either on race of the victim or race of the de- fendant disparity. There are many rea- sons, the three most important of which are that the data base is substantially flawed, that even the largest models are not sufficiently predictive, and that the analyses do not compare like cases. The case should be at an end here, but for the sake of completeness, further findings are in order. In this section the statistical showings based on the petitioner's most complete model will be set out, together with other observations about the death penalty system as it operates in the State of Georgia. ‘Woodworth testified, “No, the system is definitely not purely random. This system very definitely sorts people out into catego- . ries on rational grounds. And those differ- ent categories receive death at different rates.” R 1277. An analysis of factors identified by Baldus as aggravating and mitigating, when adjusted to delete un- system when measured against case out come. Virtually without exception, the presence of aggravating factors increases as the outcome moves from voluntary man- slaughter to life sentence to death sen- tence. Conversely, factors identified By Baldus as being mitigating decrease in presence in cases as the outcome moves from voluntary manslaughter to life sen- tence to death sentence. R 1532. Res. Exh. 48. These observations. other testimony by all of the erperts, and the court Ss oun analysis of the data put to rest in this court's mind any notion that the imposi- tion of the death penalty in Georgia is a random event unguided by rational thought. The central question is whether any of the rationales for the imposing or not imposing of the death penalty are based on impermissible factors such as race of the defendant or race of the victim. In Baldus’s opinion, based on his entire study, there are systematic and substantial disparities existing in the penalties imposed upon homicide defendants in the State of Georgia based on race of the homicide vic- tim. Further, he was of the opinion that disparities in death sentencing rates do ex- ist based on the race of the defendant, but they are not as substantial and not as systematic as is the case with the race of - the victim effect. He was also of the opin- ion that both of these factors were at work in Fulton County. R 726-29. The court does not share Dr. Baldus’s opinion to the extent that it expresses a belief that either of these racial considerations de- termines who receives the death penalty and who does not. : Petitioner's experts repeatedly testified that they had added confidence in their opinions because of “triangulation.” That is; they <onducted a number of different statistical studies and they all produced the same results. R 1081-82. This basis for the opinion is insubstantial for two reasons. First, many tests showed an absence of a race of the defendant effect or an absence of a statistically significant race of the : : =~. ., defendant effect or a statistically insignifi- known values, gives a picture of a-rational - cant modest race of the defendant effect running against white defendants. As will be seen below, the race of the victim effect observed, while more persistent, did not always appear at a statistically significant level in every analysis. Second, Baldus’s confidence is predicated upon a navigation- al concept, triangulation, which presumes that the several bearings being taken are - accurate. The lore of the Caribbean basin is rich with tales of island communities supporting themselves from the booty of ships which have foundered after taking: bearings on navigational aids which have been mischievously rearranged by the is- landers. If one is going to navigate by triangulation, one needs to have confidence in the bearings that are being shot. As discussed earlier, Baldus is taking his bear- ings off of many models, none of which are adequately inclusive to predict outcomes with any regularity. Baldus has testified that his 230-vanable model contains those factors which might best explain how the death penalty is im- posed. The court, therefore, views results produced by that model as the most reliable 366 evidence presented by the petitioner. Addi- tionally, in some tables Baldus employed a 250-variable model which adjusted for death sentencing rates after appellate re- view by Georgia courts. The race of the victim and race of the defendant effects, together with the “P” values, are shown in the table below. TABLE 2 RACIAL EFFECTS TAKING INTO ACCOUNT ALL DECISIONS IN THE SYSTEM - LARGE SCALE REGRESSIONS Weighted Least Squares Regression Results Coefficients and Level of Statistical Significance 230 Variable Model Race of the Victim Race of Defendant 06 .06 (.02) (.02) ~ 250 Variable Model After Adjustment for Georgia Appellate Review Race of the Vietim Race of Defendant 04 04 (.04) (.05) In viewing Table 2, it is important to keep in mind that it purports to measure the net effect of the racial variables on all decisions made in the system from indict- ment forward. It shows nothing about the effect of the racial variables on the prose- cutor’s decision to advance a case to a penalty trial and nothing about the effect of the racial variables on the jury and its decision to impose the death penalty. At this point it is instructive to know how Dr. Baldus interpreted his own find- ings on the racial variables. He says that the impact of the racial variable is small. R 831. The chances that anybody is going to receive a death sentence is going to depend on what the other aggravating and mitigating circumstances are in the case. R 828. At another point Baldus testified that: (t]he race of the victim in this system is clearly not the determinant of what hap- pened, but rather that it is a factor like a number of other factors, that it plays a role and influences decision making. The one thing that’s, that struck me from working with these data for some time, there is no one factor that deter- 580 FEDERAL SUPPLEMENT mines what happens in the system. If there were, you cotld make highly accu- rate predictions of what's going to hap- pen. This is a system that is highly discretionary, highly complex, many fac- tors are at work in influencing choice, and no one factor dominates the system. It’s the result of a combination of many different factors that produce the results that we see, each factor contributing more or less influence. R 813. And at another point Dr. Baldus interpreted his data as follows: The central message that comes through is the race effects are concentrated in categories of cases where theres an ele- vated risk of a death sentence. There's no suggestion in this research that there is a uniform, institutional bias that ad- versely affects defendants in white vie- tim cases in all circumstances, or a black defendant in all cases. There's nothing to support that conclusion. It's a very complicated system. R 842. Because of these observations, the testi- mony of other witnesses, and the court's own analysis of the data, it agrees that any racial variable is not determinant of _. who is going to receive the death penalty,” and, further, the court agrees that there 1s mo support for a proposition that race has any effect in any single case. An exhibit, DB 95, is produced in part in Table 3 below. It is perhaps the most significant table in the Baldus study. This table measures the race of the victim and the race of the defendant effect in the prosecutorial decision to seek the death sentence and in the jury sentencing dect- sion to impose the death sentence. This is one of the few exhibits prepared by Baldus which utilizes data both from the Procedur- al Reform Study and the Charging and Sentencing Study. The first column shows the racial effects after controlling for 23 variables in the Charging and Sentencing Study and 200 variables in the Procedural Reform Study. McCLESKEY v. ZANT 367 Cite as 580 F.Supp. 338 (1984) TABLE 3 REGRESSION COEFFICIENTS (WITH THE LEVEL OF STATISTICAL SIGNIFICANCE IN PARENTHESES) FOR RACIAL VARIABLES IN ANALYSES OR PROSECUTORIAL DECISIONS TO SEEK AND JURY DECISIONS TO IMPOSE CAPITAL PUNISHMENT L Prosecutor Decision to Seek a Death Sen- tence A. Race of Victim 1. Charging and Sentencing Study 2. Procedural Reform Study B. Race of Defendant 1. Charging and Sentencing Study 2. Procedural Reform Study 11. Jury Sentencing Decisions ! A. Race of Victim 1. Charging and Sentencing Study 2. Procedural Reform Study B. Race of Defendant 1. Charging and Sentencing Study 2. Procedural Reform Study ! Unweighted data used. Controlling for All Factors in File (230 variables in Charging & Sen- tencing Study; 200 variables in Procedural Reform Study) Regardless of If Statistically Statistical Significant at Significant 10 Level be + 18 (.06) (.0001) 12 13 (.01) (.0001) .09 14 (.42) (.002) 01 .03 (.96) (.41) 2 05 (.37) 06 (.42) -.04 (.42) -.02 (.75) 2 Simuitaneous adjustment for all factors in the files was not possible because of the limited number of penalty trial decisions. (From DB 95). 2 ve ® lt rm PEN The coefficients produced by the 230- variable model on the Charging and Sen- tencing Study data base produce no statisti cally significant race of the victim effect either in the prosecutor's decision to seek the death penalty or in the jury sentencing decision. A 200-variable model based on the Procedural Reform data base shows a statistically significant race of the victim effect at work on the prosecutor's decision- making, but that model is totally invalid for it contains no variable for strength of the evidence, a factor which has universally been accepted as one which plays a large part in influencing decisions by prosecu- tors. Neither model produces a statistical- ly significant race of the defendant effect at the level where the prosecutor i§ trying to decide if the case should be advanced to a penalty trial. Neither model produces any evidence that race of the vietim or race of the defendant has any statistically sig- 368 nificant effect on the jury’s decision to impose the death penalty. The significance of this table cannot be overlooked. The death penalty cannot be imposed unless the prosecutor asks for a penalty trial and the jury imposes it. The best models which Baldus was able to devise which account to any significant degree for the major non-racial variables, including strength of the evidence, produce no statistically significant - evidence _thgt pace plays a part in either of those dtisions in the State of Georgia.’ The same computations were repeated using only factors which were statistically significant at the .10 level® The court knows of no statistical convention which would permit a researcher arbitrarily to exclude factors on the basis of artificial criteria which experience and other re- search have indicated have some influence on the decisions at issue. The fact that a variable may not be statistically significant is more likely a reflection of the fact that it does not occur often, and not any sort of determination that when it does occur it lacks effect. Accordingly, the second mod- el, set out in Table 3, does not meet the criterion of having been validated by some- one knowledgeable about the inner work- ings of the decision-making process. The results in the second column are reproduced here because they demonstrate some other properties of the research. It is noted first that the race of the victim effect is lower in the Procedural Reform Study than in the Charging and Sentencing Study. As the Procedural Reform Study represents a universe of all cases and the Charging and Sentencing Study is a ran- dom sample, one possible explanation for the disparity in magnitude might be that the sampling techniques utilized in the Charging and Sentencing Study somehow overestimated the coefficients. Another in- 5. As an aside, the court should think that this table should put to rest the sort of stereotypical prejudice against Southern jurisdictions typified in the petitioner's brief by reliance on evidence in the Congressional Record in the 1870's con- cerning the existence of a disregard by Southern officials for the value of black life. 580 FEDERAL SUPPLEMENT teresting observation from this study is that even when the data is artificially mani- pulated, no statistically significant race of the victim or race of the defendant effect appears at the jury decision level. Last, this table demonstrates a property of the analyses throughout regarding race of the defendant. To the extent that race of the defendant appears as a factor, it sometimes appears as a bias against white defendants and sometimes appears as a bias against black defendants; very often, whatever bias appears is not statistically significant. Finally, this table is an illustration of a point which the court made earlier. At the beginning, in assessing the credibility of the witnesses, the court noticed that all seemed to have something of a partisan bias. Thereafter, it noted that the results of certain diagnostics respecting the worst : case analysis in Woodworth’s work were not reported in the exhibits given the court. Here, in this table, we are given no out comes based on the larger scaled regres- sions for the racial variables at the jury sentencing level. It is said that the data was not provided because it was not possi- ble to conduct simultaneous adjustment for all factors in the file because of the limited number of penalty trial decisions. From all that the court has learned about the meth- ods employed, it does not understand that the analysis was impossible, but instead understands that because of the small num- bers the results produced may not have been statistically significant. The figures on racial disparities in prose- cutorial and jury decision-making do not reflect the effects of racial disparities that might have resulted in earlier phases of the system. R 933. A stepwise regression anal- ysis of the statewide data in the Charging and Sentencing Study was done in an effort to measure the race of the victim and race of the defendant effects at different stages 6. The regression coefficient of an'independent variable would be the same regardless of wheth- er it was a rare event or a frequent event. X 33. McCLESKEY v. ZANT Cite as 580 F.Supp. 338 (1984) of the procedure from indictment through the imposition of the death penalty.” This regression analysis suggested that there is an increased willingness by prosecutors to accept pleas to voluntary manslaughter if the race of the victim is black. R 1062-68, DB 117. This suggests a possibility that the racial effects observed in Table 2 may be the result of bias at a plea bargaining stage. This is not established by the evi- dence, and it is immaterial to this case, for Baldus did not believe that McCleskey’s case would have had any likelihood of -be- ing disposed of on a voluntary manslaugh- ter plea. R 1064-65. Baldus noted that ":. there were strong effects with respect to both race of the defendant and race of the victim at the plea bargaining level. R 1040. It is to be remembered that on this point his data base was far from complete. Finally, it is noted that this study did not attempt to discern if any of the racial dis- parities noted at the plea bargaining stages could be explained by any of the current theories on the factors governing plea bar- gaining. R 1139-63. 7. What a Multivariate Regression Can Prove Before one can begin to utilize the re- sults of the Baldus study, whether from the larger order regressions or from the small models, an understanding of the tech- niques employed is necessary. Such an understanding produced in the court's mind other qualifiers which at least in this case substantially diminish the weight of the evidence produced. Regression analysis is a computational procedure that describes how the average outcome in a process, here the death sen- tencing rate, is related to particular charac- 7. Stepwise regression is a process carried out by a computer which selects the background varia- bles sequentially based on which provides the best fit. It makes no judgment as to whether or not the variables it selects might in reality have anything to do with the decision. Any model produced by stepwise regression would not mect the legal statistical conventions discussed earlier in that the model is not validated by a person who is by experience or learning ac- quainted with how the process actually works. teristics of the cases in the system. A least squares regression coefficient dis- plays the average difference in the death penalty rate across all cases caused by the independent variable of interest. In a re- gression procedure one may theoretically measure the impact of one variable of in- terest while “controlling” for other inde- pendent variables. Conceptually, the coef- ficient of the variable of interest is the numerical difference in death sentencing rates between all cases which have the variablé of interest and all cases which do not. R 689, et seq., 1222-23. The chief assumption of a weighted least square re- gression is that the effect of the variable of interest is consistent across all cases. Woodworth testified that that assumption was not altogether warranted in this case.’ That the variable of interest, here race of the victim, is not the same against all cases is graphically seen in a preliminary cross tabulation done by Baldus. In this experi- ment, cases which were similar in that they had a few aggravating and mitigating fac- tors in common were grouped into four subgroups. The race of the victim dispari- ty ranged from a low of .01 through .04 to .15 and finally to .25. The weighted least squares regression coefficient for these same cases was .09. R 781, DB 76, DB 77. Statistical significance is another term which the court and the parties used regu- larly. This term connotes a test for rival hypotheses. There is a possibility that an effect could be present purely by chance, or by the chance combination of bad luck in drawing a sample, or by chance combina- tion of events in the charging and sentenc- ing process that may produce an accidental disparity which is not systematic. Statisti- 8. McCleskey was offered a life sentence in re- turn for a guilty plea. (Sce State Habeas Tran- script, Testimony of Turner). 9. He testified, however, that the data was inter- pretable because he convinced himself that the violations of the assumption were not in them- selves responsibie for the findings of significant racial effects. R 1223-24, 1228. 370 cal significance computes the probability that such a disparity could have arisen by chance, and, therefore, it tests the rival hypothesis that chance accounts for the results that were obtained. R 1244-45. Tests of statistical significance are a meas- ure of the amount by which the coefficient exceeds the known standard deviation in the variable, taking into account the size of the sample. Considering the values used in this study, a statistical significance at the .05 level translates into a two-standard deviation disparity, and a statistical signifi- cance at the .01 level approaches a three- standard deviation level. R 1246-47. R 712-17. As noted earlier a low “P” value, a measure of statistical significance, does not, at least in the case of multi-variate analysis, assure that the effect observed by any one model is in fact real. The use of regression analysis is subject to abuse. Close correlations do not always say anything about causation. Further, 2a regression analysis is no better than the data that went into the analysis. It is possible to obtain a regression equation which shows a good statistical fit in the sense of both low “P” values and high r? values where one has a large number of variables, even when it is known in advance that the data are totally unrelated to each other. R 1636-37. What the regression procedure does by algebraic adjustment is somewhat compa- rable to a cross tabulation analysis. It breaks down the cases into different sub- categories which are regarded as having characteristics in common. The variable of interest is calculated for each sub-category and averaged across all sub-categories. R 791-92. The model tries to explain the dependent variable by the independent variables that it is given. It does this by trying to make the predicted outcome the same as the ac tual outcome in terms of the factors that it is given. R 1487-88. For example, if a regression equation were given ten inde- pendent variables in a stagewise process, it would guess at the regression coefficient for the first variable by measuring the 580 FEDERAL SUPPLEMENT incremental change in the dependent varia- ble caused by the addition of cases contain- ing a subsequent independent variable. X 29. After the initial mathematical compu- tation, the equation then goes back and re-computes the coefficients it arrived at earlier, using all of the subsequent regres- sion coefficients that it has calculated. It continues to go through that process until coefficients which best predict actual out- come are arrived at for each variable. X 43-46. By its nature, then, the regression equa- tion can produce endless series of self-ful- filling * prophecies because it always at- tempts to explain actual outcomes based on whatever variables it is given. If, for ex- ample, the data base included information that of the 128 defendants who received. the death penalty, 122 of them were right- handed, the regression equation would show that the system discriminated against right-handed people. This is so because that factor occurs so often that it is the most “obvious” or “easy” explanation for the outcomes observed. In the case at bar, there are 108 white-victim cases where death was imposed and 20 black-victim cases where death was imposed. DB 63. Accordingly, the regression coefficients for the racial variables could have been artifi- cially produced because of the high incr dence of cases in.whach the victim was whitel™ Torys Another feature of Baldus’s analyses is that he is trying to explain dichotomous outcomes (life or death) with largely dicho- tomous independent variables (multiple stabbing present or not present) and a re- gression equation requires continuous de- pendent and independent variables. Ac- cordingly, Baldus developed indices for the dependent variable (whether or not the death penalty was imposed). He utilized an average rate for a group of cases. For the independent variables he developed an artificial measure of similarity called an aggravation index to control simuitaneous- ly for aggravating and mitigating circum- stances so that cases could be ranked on a continuous scale. R 1484. It is important McCLESKEY v. ZANT 371 Cite as 580 F.Supp. 338 (1984) to understand that the cases being com- pared in the regression analyses used here are not at all factually similar. Their prin- cipal identity is that their aggravation in- dex, the total of all positive regression co- efficients minus all negative regression coefficients, is similar. X 14-15. The whole study rests on the presumption that cases with similar aggravation indexes are similarly situated. R 1311. This presump- tion is not only rebuttable, it is rebutted, if by nothing else, then by common sense. As Justice Holmes observed in Towne v. Eisner, 245 U.S. 418, 38 S.Ct. 158, 62 L.Ed. 372 (1918): A word is not a crystal, transparent and unchanged, it is the skin of a living thought and may vary greatly in color and content according to the circum- stances and the time in which it is used. Id. at 425, 38 S.Ct. at 159, quoting Lamar v. United States, 240 U.S. 60, 63, 36 S.Ct. 255, 256, 60 L.Ed. 526 (1916). The same thought, it seems to the court, is apropos for the aggravation index. It allows a case with compelling aggravating circumstanc- . .es, offset only by a series of insignificant mitigating circumstances, to be counted as equal to a case with the same level of aggravation and one substantial mitigating factor having the same numerical value as the series of trifling ones in the first case. The court understands that strength of the evidence measures generally are positive coefficients. To the extent that this is true, a strong evidentiary case with weak aggravating circumstances would be con- sidered the same as a brutal murder with very weak evidence. Other examples abound, but the point is that there is no logical basis for the assumption that cases with similar aggravation indices are at all alike. Further, the aggravation index for any given case is a function of the varia- bles that are included in the model. Any change in the variables included in the model will also change the aggravation in- dex of most, if not all, cases. The variability of the aggravation index as factors are added or deleted is well demonstrated by Respondent's Exhibit 40. One case comparison will serve as an exam- ple. In a life sentence case, C 54, an ag- gravation index (or predicted outcome in- dex, R 1485) was computed using a six-vari- able model. Calculation produced an index of .50. Katz conducted four additional re- gressions, each adding additional factors. By the time the more inclusive regression number five was performed, the aggrava- tion index or predicted outcome was .08 (0 equals no death penalty, 1 equals death penalty). In a death case, C 66, the first regression analysis produced an index of .50. However, the aggravation coeffi- cient or predicted outcome rose to .89 when the facts of the case were subjected to the fifth regression analysis. Thence, two cases which under one regression analysis appeared to be similar, when subjected to another analysis may have a totally differ- ent aggravation index. Res.Exh. 40, R 1483-1501. In interpreting the Baldus data it is im- portant to understand what he means when he says that he has controlled for other independent variables or held other individ- ual variables constant. What these terms usually mean is that a researcher has com- pared cases where the controlled-for varia- bles are present in each case and where the cases are divided into groups where the variable of interest is present and where the variable of interest is not present. That is not what occurs in regression anal- ysis. To be sure, the cases are divided into groups where the variable of interest is present and groups where it is not present. There is, however, absolutely no assurance that the background variables being con- trolled for are present in all of the cases, in any of the cases, or present in the same combination in any of the cases. Conse- quently, other factors are not being held constant as that term is usually used. See generally R 152, X 7, 19-25. Courts are accustomed to looking at fig- ures on racial disparity and understanding that the figure indicates the extent or de- gree of the disparity. It is often said that statistical evidence cannot demonstrate dis- crimination unless it shows gross dispari- ties. Contrary to the usual case, the court 372 has learned that at least in this case the size of a regression coefficient, even one statistically significant at the .05 level, says nothing about the specific degree of dispar- ity or discrimination in the system. All the regression coefficient indicates is that the difference in average outcome where the racial variable is present from cases where it is not present is large enough to enable one to say that the true mean of both groups are not exactly equal. R 1635, 1670-71. Baldus made an effort to demon- strate the relative importance of the racial variables by showing them in an array of coefficients for other variables. The court later learned, however, that where some of the variables are binary or dichotomous and some are continuous (for example, number of mitigating features present), one cannot use the size of the regression coefficient as an indication of the relative strength of one variable to another. R 783. Consistent with the difficulty in quantify- ing the effect of any variable found to be at work in the system, Baldus testified that a regression analysis really has no way of knowing what particular factors carry the most weight with the decision-maker in any one case. R 1141. Based on his entire analysis Baldus was unable to quantify the effect that race of the victim may have had in McCleskey’s case. R 1083-85. After a review of the Baldus study, Berk was un- able to say whether McCleskey was singled out to receive the death penalty because his victim was white, nor was he able to say that McCleskey would have escaped the death penalty if his victim had been black. Berk went on to testify: Models that are developed talk about the effects on the average. They do not depict the experience of a single individu- al. What they say, for example, that on the average, the race of the vietim, if it is white, increases on the average the prob- ability (that) the death sentence would be given. Whether in a given case that is the an- swer, it cannot be determined from sta- tistics. R 1785. 580 FEDERAL SUPPLEMENT In summary, then, Baldus's findings from the larger scale regressions or from any of the others must be understood in light of what his methods are capable of showing. They do not compare identical cases, and the method is incapable of saying whether or not any factor had a role in the decision to impose the death penalty in any particular case. A prin- cipal assumption which must be present for a regression analysis to be entirely reliable is that the effects must be ran- domly distributed—that is not present in the data we have. The regression equa- ‘tion 1s incapable of making qualitative judgments and, therefore, it will assign importance to any feature which appears frequently in the data without respect to whether that factor actually influences the decision-maker. Regression analysis generally does not control for back- ground variables as that term is usually understood, nor does it compare identical cases. Because Baldus used an index method, comparable cases will change from model to model. The regression coefficients do not quantitatively meas- ure the effect of the variables of interest. With these difficulties, it would appear that multivariate analysis is ill suited to provide the court with circumstantial evi- dence of the presence of discrimination, and it is incapable of providing the court with measures of qualitative difference in treatment which are necessary to a find- ing that a prima facie case has been es- tablished with statistical evidence. Fi- nally, the method is incapable of produc- ing evidence on whether or not racial factors played a part in the Dnposition of the death penalty in any particular case. To the extent that McCleskey contends that he was denied either due process or equal protection of the law, his methods fail to contribute anything of value to his cause. oC 4 Rebuttal to the Hypothesis A part of Baldus's hypothesis is that the system places a lower value on black life than on white life. If this is true, it would McCLESKEY v. ZANT 373 Cite as 580 F.Supp. 338 (1984) mean that the system would tolerate high- er levels of aggravation in black victim cases before the system imposes the death penalty. The respondent postulates a test of this thesis. It is said that if Baldus’s theory is correct, then one would necessarily find aggravation levels in black-victim cases where a life sentence was imposed to be higher than in white-victim cases. This seems to the court to be a plausible corol- lary to Baldus’s proposition. To test this corollary, Katz, analyzing aggravating and mitigating factors one by one, demonstrat- ed that in life sentence cases, to the extent that any aggravating circumstance is more prevalent in one group than the other, there are more aggravating features in the group of white-victim cases than in the group of black-victim cases. Conversely, there were more mitigating circumstances in which black-victim cases had a higher proportion of that circumstance than in white-victim cases. R 1510-15, 1540, Res. Exh. 43, 53, 34. Because Katz used one method to demon- strate relative levels of aggravation and Baldus used another, his index method, the court cannot say that this experiment alone conclusively demonstrates that Baldus’s theory is wrong. -It is, however, direct rebuttal evidence of the theory, and as such, stands to contradict any prima facile case of system-wide discrimination based on race of the victim even if it can be said that the petitioner has indeed established a prima facie case. This court does not be- lieve that he has. 9. Miscellaneous Observations on the Statewide Data. So that a reader may have a better feel ing of subsidiary findings in the_studies and a better understanding of collateral 10. One thing of interest came out in DB 60 concerning the evaluation of the coders. In their judgment 92% of all the police reports that they studied indicated clear guilt. This is inter- esting in view of the fact that only 69% of all defendants tried for murder were convicted. This suggests either that the coders did not have issues in the case, some additional observa- tions are presented on Baldus’s study. Some general characteristics of the sam- ple contained in the Charging and Sentenec- ing Study which the court finds of interest are as follows. The largest group of de- fendants was in the 18 to 25-year-old age group. Only ten percent had any history of mental illness. Only three percent were high status defendants. Only eight per- cent of the defendants were from out of state. Females comprised 13% of the de- fendants. Of all the defendants in the study 35% had no prior criminal record, while 65% had some previous conviction. Co-perpetrators were not invoived in 79% of the cases, and 65% of the homicides were committed by lovers in a rage. High emotion in the form of hate, revenge, jeal- ousy or rage was present in 66% of the cases. Only one percent of the defendants had racial hatred as a motive. Victims provoked the defendant in 48% of the cases. At trial 26% confessed and offered no defense. Self defense was claimed in 33% of the cases, while only two percent of the defendants relied upon insanity or delu- sional compulsion as a defense. Defend- ants had used alcohol or drugs immediately prior to the crime in 38% of the cases. In only 24% of the cases was a killing planned -.for more than five minutes. Intimate asso- ciates, friends, or family members account- ed for 44% of the victims. Black defend- . ants accounted for 67% of the total, and only 12% of the homicides were committed across racial lines. The largest proportion (58%) of the homicides were committed by black defendants against black victims. R 659, et seq., DB 60.1 From the data in the Charging and Sen- tencing Study it is learned that 94% of all homicide indictments were for murder. Of those indicted for murder or manslaughter 55% did not plead guilty to voluntary man- enough experience to make this evaluation, or the more likely explanation is that the Parole Board summaries were obtained from official channels and only had the police version and had little if any gloss on the weaknesses of the case from the defendant's perspective. NE aa 374 slaughter. There were trials for murder in 45% of the cases and 31% of the universe was convicted of murder. In only ten per- cent of the cases in the sample was a penalty trial held, and in only five percent of the sample were defendants sentenced to death. DB 58, R 64-65. See also DB 59, R 655. : In his analysis of the charging and sen- tencing data, Baldus considered the effect of Georgia statutory- aggravating factors orn death sentencing rates, and several things of interest developed. The statuto- ry aggravating circumstances are highly related or correlated to one another. That is to say that singularly the factors have less impact than they do in combination. Even when the impact of the statutory aggravating circumstances is adjusted for the impact of the presence of others, killing to avoid arrest increased the probability of a death sentence by 21 points, and commit- ting a homicide during the course of a contemporaneous felony increased the probability of getting the death penalty by 12 points. R 709-11, DB 68. Where the B8 and B10 factors are present together, the death penalty rate is 39%. DB 64. Based on these preliminary studies one might conclude that a defendant commit- ting a crime like McCleskey’s had a greatly enhanced probability of getting the death penalty. Of the 128 death sentences in the Charg- ing and Sentencing Study population, 105 of those were imposed where the homicide was committed during the course of an enumerated contemporary offense. Fur- ther, it is noted that the probability of obtaining the death penalty is one in five if the B2 factor is present, a little better than one in five if the victim is a policeman or fireman, and the probability of receiving the death penalty is about one in three if the homicide was committed to avoid ar- 11. Part of the moral force behind petitioner's contentions is that a civilized society should not tolerate a penalty system which does not avenge the murder of black people and white people alike. In this connection it is interesting to note that in the highest two categories of aggravation there were only ten cases where the murderer 580 FEDERAL SUPPLEMENT rest. These, it is said, are the three statu- tory aggravating factors which are most likely to produce the death penalty, and all three were present de facto in McCleskey’s case. DB 61. When the 500 most aggravated cases in the system were divided into eight catego- ries according to the level of the aggrava- tion index, the death penalty rate rose dra- matically from 0 in the first two categories, to about 7% in the next two, to an average of about 22% in the next two, to a 41% rate at level seven, and an 88% rate at level eight. Level eight was composed of 58 cases. The death sentencing rate in the 40 most aggravated cases was 100%. DB 90, R 882. Baldus felt that data such as this supported a hypothesis arrived at earlier by other social science researchers. . This theory is known as the liberation. hypothe, sis. The postulation is that the exercise of discretion is limited in cases where there is little room for choice. If the imposition of the death penalty or the convicting of a defendant is unthinkable because the evi- dence is just not there, or the aggravation is low, or the mitigation is very high, no reasonable person would vote for convic- tion or the death penalty, and, therefore, impermissible factors such as race effects will not be noted at those points. But, according to the theory, when one looks at. the cases in the mid-range where the facts do not clearly call for one choice or the other, the decision-maker has broader free- dom to exercise discretion, and in. that area you see the effect of arbitrary or impermis- sible factors at work. R 884, R 1133." Baldus did a similar rank order study for all cases in the second data base. He divid- ed the cases into eight categories with the level of aggravation increasing as the cate- gory number increased. In this analysis he controlled for 14 factors, but the record does not show what those factors were. of a black victim did not receive the death penalty while in eleven cases the death penalty under similar circumstances was imposed. This is not by any means a sophisticated statisti- cal analysis, but even in its simplicity it paints no picture of a systematic deprecation of the value of black life. RY N 3 H Y McCLESKEY v. ZANT 375 Sere 338 (1984) The experiment showed that in the first five categories the death sentencing rate was less than one percent, and there was no race of the victim or race of the defend- ant disparity observed. At level six and nine statistically significant race of the vic- tim disparities appeared at the 9 point and 27 point order of magnitude. Race of the defendant disparities appeared at the last” three levels, but none were statistically sig- nificant. A minor race of the victim dispar- ity was noted at level 7 but the figure was not significant. The observed death sen- tencing rates at the highest three levels were two percent, three percent, and 39%. DB 89. Exhibit DB 90 arguably supports Baldus’s theory that the liberation hypothe- | sis may be at work in the death penalty system in that it does show higher death sentencing rates in the mid-range cases than in those cases with the lowest and highest aggravation indices. On the other hand, Exhibit DB 89, which, unlike DB 90, is predicated on a multiple regression anal- ysis, shows higher racial disparities in the most aggravated level of cases and lower or no racial disparities in the mid-range of aggravation. Accordingly, the court is un- able to find any convincing evidence that the liberation hypothesis is applicable in this study. Baldus created a 39-variable model which was used for various diagnostics. It was also used in an attempt to demonstrate that given the facts of McCleskey's case, the probability of his receiving the death penal- ty because of the operation of impermissi- ble factors was greatly elevated. Al though the model is by no means accepta- ble,'? it is necessary to understand what is 12. This model has only one strength of the evi- dence factor (DCONFESS) and that occurs only in 26 percent of the cases. Many other aggra- vating and mitigating circumstances which the court has come to understand are significant in explaining the operation of the sysiem in Geor- gia are omitted. Among these are that the homicide arose from a fight or that it was com- mitted by lovers in a rage. A variable for fami- lv, lover, liquor, barroom quarrel is included, and it might be argued that this is a proxy. However, the court notes from DB 60 that the included variable occurs in only 1,246 cases whereas the excluded variable (MADLOVER) “while in jail. . McCleskey's questionnaire. and is not shown by the model, as it is a centerpiece for many conclusions by peti- tioner's experts. On the basis of the 39- variable model McCleskey had an aggrava- tion score of .52. Woodworth estimated that at McCleskey’s level of aggravation the incremental probability of receiving the death penalty in a white-victim case is be- tween, nd 23 percentage points. R 129%; 1°40, GW 5, Fig. 2. If a particu- lar aggravating chreumstance were left out in coding McCleskey's case, it would affect the point where his case fell on the aggra- vation index. R 1747. Judging from the testimony of Office Evans, McCleskey showed no remorse about the killing and, ta. the contrary, bragged about the killing While both of these are varia- bles available in the data base, neither is utilized in the model. If either were includ- ed it should have increased MecCleskey's index if either were coded correctly. on Both variables on McCleskey’s questionnaire were coded s “U,” and so even if the variables had been included, McCleskey’'s aggravation in- dex would not have increased because of the erroneous coding. If the questionnaire had been properly encoded and if either of the variables were included, McCleskey’s aggravation index would have increased, although the court is unable to say to what degree. Judging from GW 8, if that partic ular factor had a coefficient as great as .13, the 39-variable or “mid-range” model would not have demonstrated any disparity in sen- tencing rates as a function of the race of the victim. Katz conducted an experiment aimed at determining whether the uncertainty in occurs in 1,601 cases. Therefore, the universe of cases is not coextensive. Others which are excluded arc variables showing that the victim was forced to disrobe; that the victim was found without clothing; that the victim was mutilated; that the defendant killed in a rage; that the killing was unnecessary to carry out the contemporaneous felony: that the defendant was provoked; that the defendant lacked the intent to kill; that the defendant left the scene of the crime; that the defendant resisted arrest; and that the victim verbally provoked the de- fendant. 376 sentencing outcome in mid-range could be the result of imperfections of the model. He arbitrarily took the first 100 cases in the Procedural Reform Study. He then created five different models with progres- sively increasing numbers of variables. His six-variable model had an r? of .26. His 31-variable model had an r® of .95." Using these regression equations he com- puted the predictive outcome for each case using the aggravation index arrived at through his regression equations. As more variables were added, aggravation coeffi cients in virtually every case moved sharp- ly toward 0 in life sentence cases and . sharply toward 1 in death sentence cases. Respondent’s Exhibit 40. In the five re- gression models designed by Katz, McCles- key’s aggravation score, depending on the number of independent variables included, was .70, .75, 1.03, .87, and .85. R 1734, Res.Exh. 40. Based on the foregoing the court is not convinced that the liberation hypothesis is at work in the system under study. Further, the court is not convinced that even if the hypothesis was at work in thé system generally that it would suggest’ that impermissible factors entered into the decision to impose the death penalty upon McCleskey. On another subject, Baldus testified that in a highly decentralized decision-making system it is necessary to the validation of a study to determine if the effects noted system-wide obtain when one examines the decisions made by the compartmentalized decision-makers. R 964-69. An analysis was done to determine if the racial dispari- ties would persist if decisions made by ur- ban decision-makers were compared with decisions made by rural decision-makers." No statistically significant race of the vic tim or race of the defendant effect was observed in urban decision-making units. A 08 effect, significant at the .05 level, 13. Katz testified that in most cases he randomly selected variables and in the case of the 31-vari- able mode! selected those variables arbitrarily which would most likely predict the outcome in McCleskey’s case. “sense conceptually. 580 FEDERAL SUPPLEMENT was observed for race of the victim in rural decision-making units, but when logistic re- gression analysis was used, the effect be- came statistically insignificant. The race of the defendant effect in the rural area was not statistically significant. The deci sions in McCleskey’s case were made by urban decision-makers. Finally, the court makes the following findings with reference to some of the oth- er models utilized by petitioner's experts. As noted earlier some were developed through a procedure called stepwise re- gression. What stepwise regressfon does is to screen the variables that are included in the analysis and include those variables which make the greatest net contribution to the r2. The computer program knows nothing about the nature of those variables and is not in a position to evaluate whether or not the variable logically would make a difference. If the variables are highly cor- related, the effect quite frequently is to drop variables which should not be dropped from a subject matter or substantive point of view and keep variables in that make no So, stepwise regres- sion can present a very misleading picture through the presentation of models which have relatively high r* and have significant coefficients but which models do not really mean anything. R 1652. Because of this the court cannot accord any weight to any evidence produced by the model cre- ated by stepwise regression. Woodworth conducted a number of tests on five models to determine if his measures of statistical significance were valid. As there were no validations of the models he selected and none can fairly be said on the basis of the evidence before the court to model the criminal justice system in Geor- gia, Woodworth's diagnostics provide little if any corroboration to the findings produc- ed by such models. R 1252, ef seq, GW ¢, Table 1. 14. Based on the court's knowledge of the State of Georgia, it appears that Baldus included many distinctly rural jurisdictions in the catego- ry of urban jurisdictions. McCLESKEY v. ZANT 377 Cite as 380 F.Supp. 338 (1984) In Exhibits DB 36 and DB 97, outcomes - which indicate racial disparities at the level of prosecutorial decision-making and jury decision-making are displayed. At the hearing the court had thought that the column under the Charging and Sentencing Study might be the product of a model which controlled for sufficient background variables to make it partially reliable. Since the hearing the court has consulted Schedule 8 of the Technical Appendix (DB 96A) and has determined that only eleven background variables have been controlled ‘for, and many significant background vari ables are omitted from the model. The other models tested in DB 96 and 97 are similarly under-inclusive. (In this respect compare the variables listed on Schedule 8 through 13, inclusive, of the Technical Ap- pendix with the variables listed in DB 59.) For this reason the court is of the opinion that DB 96 and DB 97 are probative of nothing. 10. The Fulton County Data. McCleskey was charged and sentenced in Fulton County, Georgia.’ Recognizing that the impact of factors, both permissible and impermissible, do vary with the deci sion-maker, and recognizing that some cases in this circuit have required that the statistical evidence focus on the decisions where the sentence was imposed, petition" er's experts conducted a study of the effect of racial factors on charging and sentenc- ing in Fulton County. The statistical evidence on the impact of racial variables is inconclusive. If one con- trols .for 40 or 50 background variables, multiple regression analysis does not pro- duce any statistically significant evidence of either a race of the defendant or race of the victim disparity in Fulton County. R 1000. Baldus used a stepwise regression analysis in an effort to determine racial disparities at different stages of the crimi- nal justice system in the county. The step- wise regression procedure selected 23 vari- 15. As part of its findings on the Fuiton County data, the court finds that there are no guidelines in the Office of the District Attorney of the Atlanta Judicial Circuit to guide the exercise of ables. Baldus made no judgment at all concerning the appropriateness of the vari ables selected by the computer. The study indicated a statistically significant race of the victim and race of the defendant effect at the plea bargaining stage and at the stage where the prosecutor made the deci- sion to advance the case to a penalty trial. Overall, there was no statistically signifi- cant evidence that the race of the victim or race of the defendant played any part in who received the death penalty and who did not. As a matter of fact, the coefficients for these two variables were very modestly negative which would indicate a higher death sentencing rate in black-victim cases and in white-defendant cases. Neither of the coefficients, however, approach statisti cal significance. R 1037-49. The same patterns observed earlier with. reference to the relative aggravation and mitigation of white and black-victim cases, respectively, continue when the Fulton County data is reviewed. In Fulton Coun- ty, as was the case statewide, cases in which black defendants killed white victims . seemed to be more aggravated than cases in which white defendants killed white vic- tims. R 1554, 1561, Res.Exh. 68. Based on DB 114 and a near neighbor analysis, Baldus offered the opinion that in cases where there was a real risk of a death penalty one could see racial effeets. R 1049-30. DB 114 is statistically incon- clusive so far ds the court can determine. The cohort study or near neighbor analysis also does not offer any support for Bal- dus's opinion. Out of the universe of cases in Fulton County Baldus selected 32 cases that he felt were near neighbors to McCles- key. These ran the gambit from locally notorious cases against Timothy Wes McCorquodale, Jack Carlton House, and Marcus Wayne Chennault, to cases that were clearly not as aggravated as MeCles- key's case. Baldus then divided these 32 discretion in determining whether or not to seck a penalty trial. Further, it was established that there was only one black juror on McCles- key's jury. R 1316. 378 cases into three groups: More aggravated, equal to McCleskey, and less aggravated. The court has studied the cases of the cohorts put in the same category as McCleskey and cannot identify either a race of the victim or race of the defendant disparity. All of the cases involve a fact pattern something like McCleskey’s case in that the homicides were committed during the course of a robbery and in that the cases involve some gratuitous violence, such as multiple gunshots, ete. Except in one case, the similarities end there, and there are. distinctive differences that can explain why either no .penalty trial was held or no death sentence was imposed. As noted above, Dr. Baldus established that the presence of the B10 factor, that is that the homicide was committed to stop or avoid an arrest, had an important pre- dictive effect on the imposition of the death penalty. Also, the fact that the vietim was a police officer had some predictive effect. Keeping these thoughts in mind, we turn to a review of the cases. Defendant Thorn- ton's case (black defendant/black victim) did not involve a police officer. Further, Thornton was very much under the influ- ence of drugs at the time of the homicide and had a history of a ‘distinct alcohol problem.” In Dillard's case (black de- fendant/black victim) the homicide was not necessary to prevent an arrest and the victim was not a police officer. Further, Dillard's prior record was less serious than McCleskey’s. In Leach’s case (black de- fendant/black victim) the homicide was not committed to prevent an arrest and the victim was not a police officer. Further, Leach had only one prior felony and that was for motor vehicle theft. Leach went to trial and went through a penalty trial. No- where in the coder’'s summary is there any information available on Leach’s defense or on any evidence of mitigation offered. In the case of Gantt (black de- fendant/white victim) the homicide was not committed to avoid an arrest and the vicum was not a police officer. Further, Gantt relied on an insanity defense at trial and had only one prior conviction. Crouch's 580 FEDERAL SUPPLEMENT case (white defendant/white victim) did not involve a homicide committed to prevent an arrest and the victim was not a police offi- cer. Crouch’s prior record was not as se vere as McCleskey’'s and, unlike McCles- key, Crouch had a prior history of treat- ment by a mental health professional and had a prior history of habitual drug use. Further, and importantly, the evidence con- tained in the summary does not show that Crouch caused the death of the victim. Arnold is a case involving a black defend- ant and a white victim. The facts are much the same as McCleskey’s except that the victim was not a police officer but was a storekeeper. Arnold's case is aggravated by the fact that in addition to killing the victim, he shot at three bystander witness- es as he left the scene of the robbery, and he and his co-perpetrators committed an- other armed robbery on that day. Arnold was tried and sentenced to death. Henry's case (black defendant/white victim) did not involve a homicide to escape an arrest or a police vietim. Henry's prior record was not as serious as MecCleskey's, and, from the summary, it would appear that there was no direct evidence that the defendant was the triggerman, nor that the State con- sidered him to be the triggerman. In sum, it would seem to the court that Arnold and McCleskey's treatments were proportional and that their cases were more aggravated and less mitigated than the other cases classified by Baldus as co- horts. This analysis does not show any effect based either upon race of the defend- ant or race of the victim. See generally R 985-99, DB 110. Another type of cohort analysis is pOSSi- ble using Fulton County data. There were 17 defendants charged in connection with the killing of a police officer since Fur man. Six of those in Baldus’s opinion were equally aggravated to McCleskey's case. Four of the cases involved a black defendant killing a white officer; two in- volved a black defendant killing a black officer: and one involved a white defendant killing a white officer. There were two penalty trials. McCleskey's involved a McCLESKEY v. ZANT 379 Clte as 580 F.Supp. 338 (1984) black defendant killing a white officer; the other penalty trial involved a black defend- ant killing a black officer. Only McCleskey received a death sentence. Three of the offenders pled guilty to murder, and two went to trial and were convicted and there was no penalty trial. On the basis of this data and taking the liberation hypothesis into account, Baldus expressed the opin- ion that a racial factor could have been considered, and that factor might have tipped the scales against McCleskey. R 1051-56, DB 116. The court considers this opinion unsupported conjecture by Baldus. Sar or D. Conclusions of Law Based upon the legal premises and au- thorities set out above the court makes these conclusions of law. [25] The petitioner's statistics do not demonstrate a prima facie case in support of the contention that the death penalty was imposed upon him because of his race, because of the race of the victim, or be- cause of any Eighth Amendment concern. Except for analyses conducted with the 230-variable model and the 250-variable model, none of the other models relied upon by the petitioner account to any substantial degree for racially neutral variables which could have produced the effect observed. The state-wide data does not indicate the likelihood of discriminatory treatment by the decision-makers who sought or imposed ‘the death penalty and the Fulton County data does not produce any statistically sig- nificant evidence on a validated model nor any anecdotal evidence that race of the victim or race of the defendant played any part in the decision to seek or impose the death penalty on McCleskey. The data base for the studies is substan- tially flawed, and the methodology utilized is incapable of showing the result of racial variables on cases similarly situated. Fur- ther, the methods employed are incapable of disclosing and do not disclose quantita- tively the effect, if any, that the two sus- pect racial variables have either state-wide, county-wide or in McCleskey's case. Ac- cordingly, a court would be incapable of discerning the degree of disparate treat- ment if there were any. Finally, the larg- est models utilized are insufficiently pre- dictive to give adequate assurances that the presence of an effect by the two racial variables is real. Even if it were assumed that McCleskey had made out a prima facie case, the re- spondent has shown that the results are not the product of good statistical method- ology and, further, the respondent has re- butted any prima facie case by showing the existence of another explanation for the observed results, i.e. that white victim cases are acting as proxies for aggravated cases and that black victim cases are acting as proxies for mitigated cases. Further rebuttal is offered by the respondent in its showing that the black-victim cases being left behind at the life sentence and volun- tary manslaughter stages, are less aggra- vated and more mitigated than the white- victim cases disposed of in similar fashion. Further, the petitioner has failed to carry his ultimate burden of persuasion. Even in the state-wide data, there is no consistent statistically significant evidence that the death penalty is being imposed because of the race of the defendant. A persisent race of the victim effect is reported in the state-wide data on the basis of experiments performed utilizing models which do not adequately account for other neutral varia- bles. These tables demonstrate nothing. When the 230-variable model is utilized, a race of the victim and race of the defend- ant effect is demonstrated. When all of the decisions made throughout the process are taken into account it is theorized but not demonstrated that the point in the sys- tem at which these impermissible consider- ations come into play is at plea bargaining. The study, however, is not geared to, nor does it attempt to control for other neutral variables to demonstrate that there is un- fairness in plea bargaining with black de- fendants or killers of white victims. In any event, the petitioner's study demonstrates that at the two levels of the system that matter to him, the decision to seek the 380 death penalty and the decision to impose the death penalty, there is no statistically significant evidence produced by a reason- ably comprehensive model that prosecutors are seeking the death penalty or juries are imposing the death penalty because the defendant is black or the victim is white. Further, the petitioner concedes that his study is incapable of demonstrating that he, specifically, was singled out for the death penalty because of the race of either himself or his victim. Further, his experts have testified that neither racial variable preponderates in thé decision-making and, in the final analysis, that the seeking or the imposition of the death penalty depends on .the presence of neutral aggravating and mitigating circumstances. For this addi tional reason, the court finds that even accepting petitioner’s data at face value, he has failed to demonstrate that racial con- siderations caused him to receive the death penalty. ‘For these, “#nong other, reasons the court denies the petition for a writ of habe- as corpus on this issue. GIGLIO [1I. CLAIM “A"—THE CLAIM. Petitioner asserts that the failure of the State to disclose an “understanding” with one of its key witnesses regarding pending criminal charges violated petitioner's due process rights. In Giglio v. United States, 405 U.S. 150, 92 S.Ct. 763, 31 L.Ed.2d 104 (1971) the Supreme Court stated: As long ago as Mooney v. Holohan, 294 U.S. 103, 112 [55 S.Ct. 340, 341, 79 L.Ed. 791] (1935), this Court made clear that deliberate deception of a court and jurors by the presentation of known false evidence is incompatible with “rudimen- tary demands of justice.” This was reaf- firmed in Pyle v. Kansas, 317 US. 213 [63 S.Ct. 177, 87 L.Ed. 214] (1942). In Napue v. lllinois, 360 U.S. 264 [79 S.Ct. 1173, 3 L.Ed.2d 1217] (1959), we said, “ltlhe same result obtains when the State, although not soliciting false evi dence, allows it to go uncorrected when it appears.” Id, at 269 [79 S.Ct. at 580 FEDERAL SUPPLEMENT 1177). Thereafter Brady v. Maryland, 373 U.S. [83], at 87 [83 S.Ct. at 1194, 10 L.Ed.2d 215], held that suppression of material evidence justifies a new trial “irrespective of the good faith or bad faith of the prosecution.” See American Bar Association, Project on Standards for Criminal Justice, Prosecution Func- tion and the Defense Function § 3.11(a). When the “reliability of a given witness may well be determinative of guilt or " innocence,” nondisclosure of evidence af- fecting credibility falls within this gener- al rule. 405 U.S. 150, 153-54, 92 S.Ct. 763, 765-66, 31 L.Ed.2d 104. In Giglio an Assistant United States Attor- ney had promised leniency to a co-conspira- tor in exchange for his testimony against defendant. However, the Assistant U.S. Attorney who handled the case at trial was unaware of this promise of leniency and argued to the jury that the witness had “received no promises that he would not be indicted.” The Supreme Court held that neither the Assistant's lack of authority nor his failure to inform his superiors and associates was controlling. The prosecu- tion's duty to present all material evidence to the jury was not fulfilled and thus con- stituted a violation of due process requiring a new trial. Jd. at 150, 92 S.Ct. at 763. [26] It is clear from Giglio and subse- quent cases that the rule announced in Giglio applies not only to traditional deals made by the prosecutor in exchange for testimony but also to any promises or understandings made by any member of the prosecutorial team. which includes po- lice investigators. See United States v. Antone, 603 F.2d 566, 369 (5th Cir.1979) (Giglio analysis held to apply to under standing between investigators of the Flor- ida Department of Criminal Law Enforce- ment and the witness in a federal prosecu- tion). The reason for giving Giglio such a broad reach is that the Giglio rule is de- signed to do more than simply prevent prosecutorial misconduct. It is also a rule designed to insure the integrity of the truth-seeking process. As the Fifth Circuit stated in United States v. Cawley, 431 F.2d 702 (5th Cir.1973), “{w)e read Giglio RR McCLESKEY v. ZANT . 381 Cite as 580 F.Supp. 338 (1984) ) ; and [United States v.] Tashman and Gold- berg (sic) [478 F.2d 129 (5th Cir., 1973)} to mean simply that the jury must be ap- prised of any promise which induces a key government witness to testify on the government's behalf.” Jd. at 707. More recently, the Eleventh Circuit has stated: The thrust of Giglio and its progeny has been to ensure that the jury know the facts that might motivate a witness in giving testimony, and that the prosecutor not fraudulently conceal such facts from the jury. We must focus on “the impact on the jury.” Smith v. Kemp, T15 F.2d 1459, 1467 (11th Cir.1983) (quoting Unit- ed States v. Anderson, 574 F.2d 1347, 1356 (5th Cir.1978)). In the present case the State introduced at petitioner's trial highly damaging testi- mony by Offie Gene Evans, an inmate of Fulton County Jail, who had been placed in solitary confinement in a cell adjoining peti- tioner's. Although it was revealed at trial that the witness “had been charged with escaping from a federal halfway house, the 16. On direct examination the prosecutor asked: Q: Mr. Evans have I promised you anything for testifying today? A: No, sir, you ain't. Q: You do have an escape charge still pend- ing, is that correct? A: Yes, sir. I've got one, but really it ain't no escape, what the peoples out there tell me, because something went wrong out there so | just went home. I stayed at home and when | called the man and told him that I would be a little late coming in, he placed me on escape charge and told me there wasn't no use of me coming back, and I just stayed on at home and he come and picked me up. Q: Are you hoping that perhaps you won't be prosecuted for that escape? A: Yeah, | hope I don't, but | don't—what they tell me, they ain't going (0 charge me with escape no way. Q: Have you asked me to try to fix it so you wouldn't get charged with escape? A: No, sir. Q: Have | told you I would try to fix it for you? A: No, sir. Trial Transcript at 868. On cross-cxamination by petitioner's trial counse} Mr. Evans testified: .Q: Okay. Now, were you attempting to get your escape charges altered or al least worked out, were you expecting your testimony to be helpful in that? witness denied that any deals or promises had been made concerning those charges in exchange for his testimony.'® The jury was clearly left with the impression that Evans was unconcerned about any charges which were pending against him and that no promises had been made which would affect his credibility. However, at petition- er’s state habeas corpus hearing Evans tes- tified that one of the detectives investigal- ing the case had promised to speak to fed- eral authorities on his behalf.” It was further revealed that the escape charges pending against Evans were dropped sub- sequent to McCleskey’s trial. [27] After hearing the testimony, the habeas court concluded that the mere ex parte recommendation by the detective did not trigger the applicability of Giglio. This, however, is error under United States v. Antone, 603 F.2d 566, 569 (5th Cir.1979) and cases cited therein. A prom- ‘ise, made prior to a witness's testimony, that the investigating detective will speak A: 1 wasn't worrving about the escape charge. 1 wouldn't have needed this for that charge, there wasn't no escape charge. Q: Those charges arc still pending against you, aren't they? A: Yeah, the charge is pending against me, but | ain't been before no Grand Jury or nothing like that, not yet. Trial Transcript at 882. 17. At the habeas hearing the following tran- “ spired: The Court: Mr. Evans, let me ask vou a ques tion. At the time that vou testified in Mr. McCleskey's trial, had you been promised any: thing in exchange for your testimony? The Witness: No, I wasn't. [ wasa't promised... Tan, cw nothing about—1 wasn't promised nothing be the D.A. But the Detective told me that he would—he said he was going to do it himself, speak a word for me. That was w hat the Detective told me. By Mr. Stroup: Q: The Detective told vou that he would speak a word for vou? A: Yeah, Q: That was Detective Dorsey? A: Yeah. Habeas Transcript at 122. » 382 favorably to federal authorities concerning pending federal charges is within the scope of Giglio because it is the sort of promise of favorable treatment which could induce a witness to testify falsely on behalf of the government. Such a promise of favorable treatment could affect the credibility of the witness in the eyes of the jury. As the court observed in United States v. Bar- ham, 595 F.2d 231 (5th Cir.1979), cert. de- nied, 450 U.S. 1002, 101 S.Ct. 1711, 68 L.Ed.2d 205, the defendant is “entitled to a jury that, before deciding which story to credit, was truthfully apprised of any possi- ble interest of any Government witness in . testifying falsely.” Id. at 243 (emphasis in original). A finding that the prosecution has given the witness an undisclosed promise of fa- vorable treatment does not necessarily warrant a new trial, however. Court observed J an. . Giglio: We do not, however, automatically re- quire a new trial whenever “a combing of the prosecutors’ files after the trial has disclosed evidence possibly useful to the defense but not likely to have changed the verdict....” United States v. Keogh, 391 F.2d 138, 148 (C.A. 2 1968). A finding of materiality of the evidence is required under Brady, supra, at 87. A new trial is required if “the false testi mony could ... in any reasonable likeli hood have affected the judgment of the jury ...."7 405 US at 154,92 3.Ct. af 766. In United States v. Anderson, 574 F.2d 1347 (5th Cir.1978), the court elaborated upon the standard of review to be applied in cases involving suppression of ev gence impeaching a prosecution witness: : 18. In his closing argument to the jury the prose- cutor developed the malice argument: He (McCleskey) could have gotten out of that back door just like the other three did, but he chose not to do that, he chose to go the other way, and just like Offie Evans says, it doesn’t make any difference if there had been a dozen policemen come in there, he was going to shoot his way out. He didn't have to do that, he could have run out the side entrance, he could have given up, he could have concealed As the 580 FEDERAL SUPPLEMENT The reviewing court must focus on the impact on the jury. A new trial is neces- sary when there is any reasonable likeli- hood that disclosure of the truth would have affected the judgment of the jury, that is, when there is a reasonable likeli- hood its verdict might have been differ- ent, We must assess both the weight of the independent evidence of guilt and the importance of the witness’ testimony, which credibility affects. /d. at 1356. In other cases the court has examined the extent to which other impeaching evidence was presented to the jury to determine whether or not the suppressed information would have made a difference. £.g., Unit- ed States v. Antone, 603 F.2d 566 (5th Cir.1979). In the present case the testimony of Ev- ans was damaging to petitioner in several respects. First, he alone of all the witness- es for the prosecution testified that McCleskey had been wearing makeup on the day of the robbery. Such testimony obviously helped the jury resolve the con- tradictions between the descriptions given by witnesses after the crime and their in- court identifications of petitioner. Second, Evans was the only witness, other than the codefendant, Ben Wright, to testify that McCleskey had admitted to shooting Offi- cer Schlatt. No murder weapon was ever recovered. No one saw the shooting. Aside from the damaging testimony of Wright and Evans that McCleskey had ad- mitted the shooting, the evidence that McCleskey was the iriggerman was entire- ly circumstantial. Finally, Evans’ testimo- ny was by far the most Jemaging testimo- ny on the issue of malice." - [28] In reviewing all of the evidence presented at trial, this court cannot con- himself like he said he tried to do under one of the couches and just hid there. He could have done that and let them find him, here | am, peekaboo. He deliberately killed that officer on purpose. I can guess what his purpose was, | am sure you can guess what it was, too. He is going to be a big man and kill a police officer and get away with it. That is malice. Trial Transcript at 974-73. McCLESKEY v. ZANT 383 Cite as 580 F.Supp. 338 (1984) clude that had the jury known of the prom- ise made by Detective Dorsey to Offie Ev- ans, that there is any reasonable likelihood that the jury would have reached a differ- ent verdict on the charges of armed rob- bery. Evans's testimony was merely cumulative of substantial other testimony that McCleskey was present at the Dixie Furniture Store robbery. However, given the circumstantial nature of the evidence that McCleskey was the triggerman who killed Officer Sechlatt .and the damaging nature of Evans's testimony as to this is- sue and the issue of malice, the court does find that the jury may reasonably have reached a different verdict on the charge of malice murder had the promise of favor- able treatment been disclosed. The court's conclusion in this respect is bolstered by the fact that the trial judge, in charging the jury as to murder, instructed the jury that they could find the defendant guilty of either malice murder or felony murder. After approximately two hours of deliberu- tion, the jury asked the court for further instructions on the definition of malice. Given the highly damaging nature of Ev- ans’s testimony on the issue of malice, there is a reasonable likelihood that disclo- sure of the promise of favorable treatment to Evans would have affected the judgment of the jury on this issue." As the Fifth Circuit observed in United States v. Barham, 395 F.2d 231 (5th Cir), cert. denied, 450 U.S. 1002, 101 S.Ct. 1711, 62 L.Ed.2d 205 (1981), another case involv- ing circumstantial evidence bolstered by the testimony of a witness to whom an undisclosed promise of favorable treatment had been given: There is no doubt that the evidence in this case was sufficient to support a ver- 19. Although petitioner has not made this argu ment, the court notes in passing that Evans’ testimony at trial regarding the circumstances of his escape varies markedly from the facts appearing in the records of federal prison au thorities. For example, the records show that Evans had been using cocaine and opium imine: diately prior to and during his absence from the halfway house. Petitioner's Exhibit D, filed June 25, 1982. Also, prison records show that upon being captured Evans told authorities he had been in Florida working undercover in a drug investigation. Petitioner's Exhibit E, filed dict of guilty. But the fact that we would sustain a conviction untainted by the false evidence is not the question. After all, we are not the body which, under the Constitution, is given the re- sponsibility of deciding guilt or inno- cence. The jury is that body, and, again under the Constitution, the defendant is entitled to a jury that is not laboring under a Government-sanctioned false im- pression of material evidence when it de- cides the question of guilt or innocence with all its ramifications. We reiterate that credibility was especial- ly important in this case in which two sets of witnesses—all alleged partici- pants in one or more stages of a criminal enterprise—presented irreconcilable sto- ries. Barham was entitled to a jury that, before deciding which story to credit, was truthfully apprised of any possible interest of any Government witness in testifving falsely. Knowledge of the Government's promises to Joey Shaver and Diane and Jerry Beech would have given the jury a concrete reason to be- lieve that those three witnesses might have fubricated testimony in order to avoid prosecution themselves or minimize the adverse consequences .of prosecu- tion.... And the subsequent failure of the Government to correct the false im- pression given by Shaver and the Beech es shielded from jury consideration yet another, more persuasive reason to doubt their testimony—the very fact that they had attempted to give the jury a false impression concerning promises {rom the Government. In this case, in which cred- ibility weighed so heavily in the balance, we cannot conclude that the jury, had it been given a specific reason to diseredit June 23, 1982. These facts, availabe to the prosecutorial team but unknown to the defense, contradict Evans’ belittling of his escape. Sev Note 1, supra. The prosecution allowed Evans’ false testimony to go uncorrected, and the jury obtained a materially false impression of his crodibility. Under circumstances the good faith or bad faith of the prosecution is irrelevant. Brady v. Marviand, 373 US. 83, 87, RISC 1194 1196 101. Fd.2d 215.(1963), . Na- pue v. Hlinois, 360 U.S. 264, 79 S.Ct. 1173, 3 Y.. Ed 2d 3217119589) these 384 the testimony of these key Government witnesses, would still have found that. the Government's case and Barham'’s guilt had been established beyond a rea- sonable doubt. Jd. at 242-43 (emphasis in original). Because disclosure of the promise of fa- vorable treatment and correction of the other falsehoods in Evans’ testimony could reasonably have affected the jury's verdict on the charge of malice murder, petition- er’s conviction and sentence on that charge are unconstitutional.?? The writ of habeas corpus must therefore issue. IV. CLAIM “C’—THE SANDSTROM CLAIM. Petitioner claims that the trial court's instructions to the jury deprived him of due 20. Nothing the court says in this part of the opinion is meant to imply that petitioner's con- finement for consecutive lifc sentences on his armed robbery convictions is unconstitutional. The court holds only that the conviction and sentence for murder are unconstitutional. 21. The relevant portions of the trial court's jury instructions are set forth below. The portions to which petitioner objects are underlined. Now, the defendant enters upon the trial of this case, of all three charges set forth in the indictment, with the presumption of inno- cence in his behalf, and that presumption remains with him throughout the trial of the case unless and until the State introduces evi- dence proving the defendant's guilt of one or more or all of the charges beyond a reasona’ ble doubt. The burden rests upon the state to prove the case by proving the material allegations of each count to your satisfaction and beyond 2 reasonable doubt. In determining whether or not the state has carried that burden you would consider all the evidence that has been introduced here before you during the trial of this case. Now, in every criminal prosecution, ladies and gentlemen, criminal intent is a necessary and material ingredient thercofl. To put it differently, a criminal intent is a material and necessary ingredient in any criminal prosccu- tion. I will now try to explain what the law means by criminal intent by reading you two sections of the criminal code dealing with intent, and 1 will tell you how the last section applies to you, the jury. One section of our law savs that the acts of a person of sound mind and discretion are 580 FEDERAL SUPPLEMENT process because they unconstitutionally re- lieved the prosecution of its burden of prov- ing beyond a reasonable doubt each and every essential element of the crimes for which defendant was convicted. Specifical- ly, petitioner objects to that portion of the trial court's charge which stated: One section of our law says that the acts of a person of sound mind and discretion are presumed to be the product of the person's will, and a person of sound mind and discretion is presumed to intend the natural and probable consequences of his acts, but both of these presumptions may be rebutted?! Trial Transcript at 996. [29,30] It is now well established that the due process clause ‘protects the ac cused against conviction except upon proof presumed to be the product of the person's will. and a person of sound mind and discre- lion is presumed to intend the natural and arobable consequences of his acts, but both of these presumptions may be rebutted. I charge you, however, that a person will not be presumed to act with criminal inten- tion, but the second code section says that the trier of facts may find such intention upon consideration of the words, conduct, demean- or, motive and all other circumstances con- nected with the act for which the accused is prosecuted. : Now, that second code section I have read you as the term the trier of facts. In this case, ladies and gentlemen, you are the trier of facts, and therefore it is for vou, the jury, to determine the question of facts solely from vour determination as 10 whether there was a criminal intention on the part of the defend- ant, considering the facts and circumstances as disclosed. by the evidence and deductions which might reasonably be drawn from those facts and circumstances. Now, the offense charged in Count One of the indictment is murder, and I will charge you what the law says about murder. | charge you that a person commits murder when he unlawfully and with malice afore: thought, either express or implied, causes the death of another human being. Express mal- ice is that deliberate intention to take away the life of a fellow creature which is manifest ed by external circumstances capable of proof. Malice shall be implied when no con- siderable provocation appears and where all the circumstances of the killing show an abandoned and malignant heart. That is the language of the law, ladies and gentlemen. McCLESKEY v. ZANT 385 Cite as 580 F.Supp. 338 (1984) beyond a reasonable doubt of every fact necessary to constitute the crime with which he is charged.” In Re Winship, 397 U.S. 358, 364, 90 S.Ct. 1068, 1073, 25 L.Ed2d 368 (1970). Jury instructions which relieve the prosecution of this bur den or which shift to the accused the bur- den of persuasion on one or more elements of the crime are unconstitutional. Sand- strom v. Montana, 442 U.S. 510, 99 S.Ct. 2450, 61 L.Ed.2d 39 (1979); Mullaney v. Wilbur, 421 U.S. 684, 95 S.Ct. 18831, 44 L.Ed.2d 508 (1975). £31] In analyzing a Sandstrom claim the court must first examine the crime for which the petitioner has been convicted and then examine the complained-of charge to determine whether the charge unconstitu- tionally shifted the burden of proof on any essential element of the crime. See Lamb v. Jernigan, 683 F.2d 1332, 1335-36 (11th Cir.1982), cert. denied, — U.S. ——, 103 S.Ct. 1276, 75 L.Ed.2d 496 (1983). If the reviewing court determines that a reasona- I charge you that legal malice is not neces- sarily ill-will or hatred. It is the intention to unlawfully kill a human being without justifi- cation or mitigation, which intention, how- ever, must exist at the time of the killing as alleged, but it is not necessary for that inten- tion to have existed for any length of time before the killing. In legal contemplation a man may form the intention to kill a human being, do the killing instantly thereafter, and regret the deed as soon as it is done. In other words, murder is the intentional killing of a human being with- out justification or mitigation. Trial Transcript, 988, 996-97, 998-99. 22. Whether a Sandstrom error can be held to be harmless remains an open question at this time. The Supreme Court expressly left open in Sand- strom the question of whether a burden-shifting jury instruction could ever be considered harm- less. 442 U.S. at 526-27, 99 S.CL. at 2460-61. The courts of this circuit have held that where the Sandstrom error is harmless beyond a rea- sonable doubt a reversal of the conviction is not warranted. See, e.g., Lamb v. Jernigan, 683 F.2d -..1332, 1342-43 (11th Cir.1982). In Connecticut "v. Johnson, — U.S. 103 S.Ct. 969, 74 L.Ed.2d 823 (1983), the Supreme Court granted certiorari to resolve the question of whether a Sandstrom error could ever be considered harmless. Four Justices specifically held that the test of harmlessness employed by this cir- cuit—whether the evidence of guilt was so over- whelming that the erroneous instruction could not have contributed to the jury's verdict—was ble juror would have understood the in- struction either to relieve the prosecution of its burden of proof on an essential ele- ment of the crime or shift to the defendant the burden of persuasion on that element the conviction must be set aside unless the reviewing court can state that the error was harmless beyond a reasonable doubt. Lamb v. Jernigan, supra, Mason v. Balk- com, 669 F.2d 222 (5th Cir. Unit B 1982), cert. denied, — U.S. —, 103 S.Ct. 1260, 75 L.Ed.2d 487 (1983). [32-34] Petitioner was convicted of armed robbery and malice murder: The offense of armed robbery under Georgia law contains three elements: (1) A taking of property from the person or the immedi- ate presence of a person, (2) by use of an offensive weapon, {3) with intent to commit theft.?? The offense of murder also con- tains three essential elements: (1) A homi- cide: (2) malice aforethought; and (3) un- lawfulness.’* See Lamb v. Jernigan, su- inappropriate. /d. 103 S.Ct. at 977. However, an equal number of justices dissented from this holding. /d. at 979 (Powell, J., joined by Burg- er. C.J., Rehnquist and O'Connor, J.J., dissent ing). The tic-breaking vote was cast by Justice Stevens who concurred in the judgment on jur- isdictional grounds. /d. at 978 (Stevens, J., con- curring in the judgment). . Because a majority of the Supreme Court had not declared the harmless error standard em- ployed in this circuit to be erroneous, the Elev- enth Circuit has continued to hold that Sand- strom errors may be analyzed for harmiessness. See Spencer v. Zant, 715 F.2d 1362 (11th Cir. 1983). 23. Georgia Code Ann. § 26-1902 (now codified at O.C.G.A. § 16-8—1) provides in pertinent part: (a) A person commits armed robbery when, with intent to commit theft, he takes property of another from the person or the immediate presence of another by use of an offensive weapon. 24. Georgia Code Ann. § 26-1101 (now codified at O.C.G.A. § 16-5-1) defines the offense of murder as follows: (a) A person commits the offense of murder when he unlawfully and with malice afore: thought, either express or implied, causes the death of another human being. (b) Express malice is that deliberate intention unlawfully to take away the life of a fellow 386 pra; Holloway v. McElroy, 632 F.2d 605, 628 (5th Cir.1980), cert. denied, 451 U.S. 1028, 101 S.Ct. 3019, 69 L.Ed.2d 398 (1981). The malice element, which distinguishes murder from_the lesser offense of volun- tary manslaughter, means simply the in- tent to kill in the absence of provocation. In Lamb v. Jernigan the court concluded that “malice, including both the intent com- ponent and the lack of provocation or justi fication, is an essential element of murder under Ga.Code Ann. § 26-1101(a) that Mul- laney and its progeny require the State to prove beyond a reasonable doubt.” 683 F.2d at 1337. Since the intent to commit theft is an essential element of the offense of armed robbery, the State must also prove this element beyond a reasonable doubt. : In analyzing the jury instructions chal lenged in the present case to determine whether they unconstitutionally shift the burden of proof on the element of intent, the court has searched for prior decisions in this circuit analyzing similar language. These decisions, however, provide little guidance for they reach apparently oppo- site results on virtually identical language. In Sandstrom the Supreme Court invalida- ted a charge which stated that “[t]he law presumes that a person intends the ordi- nary consequences of his acts,” 442 U.S. at 513, 99 S.Ct. at 2453. The Court held that the jury could have construed this instruc- tion as either creating a conclusive pre- sumption of intent once certain subsidiary facts had been found or shifting to the defendant the burden of persuasion on the element of intent. The Court held both such effects unconstitutional. Like the in- struction in Sandstrom, the instruction at issue in the present case stated that “the acts of a person of sound mind and discre- tion are presumed to be the product of the creature which is manifested by external cir- cumstances capable of proof. Malice shall be implied where no considerable provocation appears and where all the circumstances of the killing show an abandoned and malignant heart. 25. In Frankiin the trial court charged the jury that: 580 FEDERAL SUPPLEMENT person’s will, and a person of sound mind and discretion is presumed to intend the natural and probable consequences of his acts, but both of these presumptions may be rebutted.” This presumption would ap- pear on its face to shift the burden of persuasion to the defendant. It does not contain the permissive language (intent “may be presumed when it would be the natural and necessary consequence of the particular acts.”) which the Lamb court ruled created only a permissive inference rather than a mandatory presumption. Rather, the instruction at issue here states that a person is presumed to intend the natural and probable consequences of his acts. On its face this instruction directs the jury to presume intent unless the de- ~ fendant rebuts it. This would appear to be the sort of burden-shifting instruction con- demned by Sandstrom. This conclusion is supported by Franklin v. Francis, 720 F.2d 1206 (11th Cir.1983) which held that language virtually identical to that involved in the present case ** violated Sandstrom. In that case the court declared: This is a mandatory rebuttable presump- tion, as described in Sandstrom, since a reasonable juror could conclude that on finding the basic facts (sound mind and discretion) he must find the ultimate fact (intent for the natural consequences of an act to occur) unless the defendant has proven the contrary by an undefined quantum of proof which may be more than “some” evidence. 720 F.2d at 1210. However, in Tucker v. Francis, 723 F.2d 1504 (11th Cir.1984) another panel of the Eleventh Circuit, including the author of the Franklin opinion, reviewed language identical to that in Franklin and concluded that it created no more than a permissive inference and did not violate Sandstrom. The court in Tucker relied upon the fact [t]he acts of a person of sound mind and discretion arc presumed to be the product of the person’s will, but the presumption may be rebutted. A person of sound mind and discre- tion is presumed to intend the natural and probable consequences of his acts, but the presumption may be rebutted. Franklin v. Francis, 720 F.2d at 1210. McCLESKEY v. ZANT 387 Clte as 580 F.Supp. 338 (1984) that the trial judge instructed the jury in other parts of his charge that criminal in- tent was an essential element of the crime and was a fact to be determined by the jury. The court also focused on the fact that the charge also stated that “a person will not be presumed to act with criminal intention, but the trier of fact, that is you the jury, may find such intention upon con- sideration of the words, conduct, demeanor, motive and all other circumstances connect- -ed with the act for which the accused is prosecuted.”, Tucker, supra, at 1517. Ex- amining the objectionable language in the context of the entire instruction under Cupp v.- Naughten, 414 U.S. 141, 94 S.Ct. 396, 38 L.Ed.2d 368 (1973), the court con- cluded that the instruction would not un- constitutionally mislead the jury as to the prosecution's burden of proof. Tucker, su- pra, at 1517. The problem with this rea- soning is that the exact same instructions were contained in the charge given to the jury in Franklin v. Francis. See Frank- lin v. Francis, 720 F.2d at 1208 n. 2. This court can find no principled way of distin- guishing between the charges at issue in Franklin and in Tucker and can discern no reason why the charge in Franklin would create a mandatory rebuttable presumption while the charge in Tucker would create only a permissive inference. The Tucker court did not explain this inconsistency and in fact did not even mention Franklin. [35] The charge at issue in the present case is virtually identical to those involved in Franklin and in Tucker. This court is bound to follow Tucker ». Francis, which is the latest expression of opinion on this subject by this circuit. The court holds that the instruction complained of in this case, taken in the context of the entire 26. The relevant portion of the prosecutor's argu- ment to the jury in favor of the death penalty is set forth below: Now, what should vou consider as you are deliberating the second time here, and | dont know what vou are going to consider. I would ask you, however, to consider several things. Have you observed any remorse be- ing exhibited during this trial by Mr. McCles- key? Have you obscrved any remorse exhibit- ed while he was testifying? charge to the jury, created only a permis- sive inference that the jury could find. in- tent based upon all the facts and circum- stances of the case and thus did not violate Sandstrom. Tucker v. Francis, supra. [36] Having held that the instruction was not unconstitutional under Sand- strom, there is no need to examine the issue of harmlessness. However, the court expressly finds that even if the challenged instructions violated Sandstrom, the error was harmless beyond a reasonable doubt. The jury had overwhelming evidence that petitioner was present at the robbery and that he was the only one of the robbers in the part of the store from which the shots were fired. The jury also had evidence that he aione of the robbers was carrying the type of weapon that killed Officer Schlatt. Finally, the jury had the testimo- ny of Ben Wright and Offie Evans that McCleskey had not only admitted killing Officer Schlatt but had even boasted of his act. Looking at the totality of the evidence presented and laying aside questions of credibility which are the proper province of the jury, this court cannot conclude that there is any reasonable likelihood that the intent instruction, even if erroneous, con- tributed to the jury's decision to convict petitioner of malice murder and armed rob- bery. Petitioner's Sandstrom claim is, therefore, without merit. V. CLAIM “L"—PROSECUTORIAL MISCONDUCT AT THE SENTENC- ING PHASE. [37] In this claim petitioner argues that the Assistant District Attorney improperly referred to the appellate process during his arguments to the jury at the sentencing phase of petitioner's trial.*® References to Have you observed any repentance by Mr. McCleskey, either visually as you look at him now or during the trial or during the time that he testified? Has he exhibited to you any sorrow, both visually or during the time that he was testifying? Have you seen any tears in his eyes for this act that he has done? | would also ask vou to consider the prior convictions that vou have had with you in the jury room, and particularly the one where he 388 the appellate process are not per se uncon- stitutional unless on the record as a whole it can be said that it rendered the entire trial fundamentally unfair. McCorquodale v. Balkcom, 705 F.2d 1553, 1556 (11th Cir. 1983); Corn v. Zant, T08 F.2d 549, 557 (11th Cir.1983). [38] The prosecutor's arguments in this case did not intimate to the jury that a death sentence could be reviewed or set aside on appeal. Rather, the prosecutor’s _argament referred to petitioner's prior crimifial record and the sentences he had received. The court cannot find that such arguments had the effect of diminishing the jury's sense of responsibility for its deliberations on petitioner's sentence. In- sofar as petitioner claims that the prosecu- tor's arguments were impermissible be- got three convictions. [ believe if you look at those papers carefully you are going to find, | think, on one of those he got three life sen- tences to begin with, and then there is a cover sheet where apparently that was reduced to . what, eighteen years or fifteen years or some- thing, which means of course, he went through the appellate process and somehow got it re- duced. Now, I ask you to consider that in conjunc- tion with the life that he has set for himself. You know, I haven't set his goals, you haven't set his goals, he set his own goals, and here is a man that served considerable periods of time in prison for armed robbery, just like Ben Wright said, you know, that is his profes- sion and he gets in safely, takes care of the victims, although he may threaten, them, and gets out safely, that is what he considers do- ing a good job, but of course you may not agree with him, but that is job safety. I don’t know what the Health, Education and Welfare or whatever organization it is that checks on job safety would say, but that is what Mr. Ben Wright considers his responsi- bility. Now, apparently Mr. McCleskey does not con- sider that his responsibility, so consider that. The life that he has set for himself, the di- rection he has set his sails, and thinking down the road, are we going to have to have anoth- er trial sometime for another peace officer, another corrections officer, or some innocent bystander who happens to walk into a store, or some innocent person who happens to be working in the store who makes the wrong move, who makes the wrong turn, that makes the wrong gesture, that moves suddenly and ends up with a bullet in their head? This has not been a pleasant task for me, and I am sure it hasn't been a pleasant task for you. I would have preferred that some of the 580 FEDERAL SUPPLEMENT cause they had such an effect, the claim is without merit.” VI. CLAIM “B”"—TRIAL COURTS REFUSAL TO PROVIDE PETI- TIONER WITH FUNDS TO RE- TAIN HIS OWN EXPERT WIT- NESS. Petitioner contends that the trial court’s refusal to grant funds for the employment of a ballistics expert to impeach the testi mony of Kelley Fite, the State’s ballistics expert, denied him due process. This claim is clearly without merit for the reasons provided in Moore v. Zant, 722 F.2d 640 (11th Cir.1983). [39,40] Under Georgia law the appoint- ment of an expert in a case such as this other Assistants downstairs be trying this case, | would prefer some of the others be right here now instead of me, and I figure a lot of you are figuring why did I get on this jury, why not some of the other jurors, let them make the decision. I don't know why you are here, but you are here and | have to be here. It has been unpleasant for me, but that is my duty. I have tried to do it honorably and I have tried to do it with justice. I have no personal animosity toward Mr. McCleskey, I have no words with him, | don't intend to have any words with him, but I intend to follow what 1 consider to be my duty, my honor and justice in this case, and I ask you to do the same thing, that you sentence him to die, and that you find aggravating circumstances, both of them, in this case. Transcript at 1019-21. 27. Although the point has not been argued by either side and is thus not properly before the court, the prosecutor's arguments may have been impermissible on the grounds that they encouraged the jury to take into account the possibility that petitioner would kill again if given a life sentence. Such “future victims” arguments have recently been condemned by the Eleventh Circuit on the grounds that they encourage the jury to impose a sentence of death for improper or irrelevant reasons. See Tucker v. Francis, 723 F.2d 1504 (11th Cir.1984); Brooks 1. Francis, 716 F.2d 780 (11th Cir.1983); Hance v. Zant, 696 F.2d 940 (11th Cir.1983). The court makes no intimation about the merits of such an argument and makes mention of it only for the purpose of pointing out that it has not been raised by fully competent counsel. McCLESKEY vw. ZANT 389 Cite as 580 F.Supp. 338 (1984) ordinarily lies within the discretion of the trial court. See Whitaker v. State, 246 Ga. 163, 269 S.E.2d 436 (1980). In this case the State presented an expert witness to present ballistics evidence .that the bullet which killed Officer Schlatt was probably fired from a gun matching the description of the gun petitioner had stolen in an earli- er robbery and which matched the descrip- tion of the gun several witnesses testified the petitioner was ‘¢arrying on the day of the robbery at the Dixie Furniture Compa- ny. Petitioner had ample opportunity to examine the evidence prior to trial and to subject the expert t0'a thorough cross-ex- amination. Nothing in the record indicates that the expert was biased or incompetent. This court cannot conclude therefore that the trial court abused its discretion in deny- ing petitioner funds for an additional ballis- tics expert. CLAIM “D"—TRIAL COURTS INSTRUCTIONS REGARDING USE OF EVIDENCE OF OTHER CRIMES AT GUILT STAGE OF PETITIONER'S TRIAL. Petitioner claims that the trial court's instructions regarding the purposes for which the jury could examine evidence that petitioner had participated in other robber- ies for which he had not been indicted was overly broad and diminished the reliability of the jury's guilt determination. VIL [41,42] During the trial the prosecution introduced evidence that petitioner had par- ticipated in armed robberies of the Red Dot Grocery Store and the Red Dot Fruit Stand. At that time the trial judge cau- tioned the jury that the evidence was ad- mitted for the limited purpose of “aiding in the identification and illustrating the state of mind, plan, motive, intent and scheme of the accused, if in fact it does to the jury so do that.” The evidence tended to establish 28. The relevant portion of the trial judge's in- structions to the jury were as follows: Now, ladies and gentlemen, there was cer: tain evidence that was introduced here, and | told you it was introduced for a limited pur- pose, and | will repeat the cautionary charge | gave you at that time. that petitioner had participated in earlier armed robberies employing the same mo- dus operandi and that in one of these rob- beries he had stolen what was alleged to have been the weapon that killed Officer Schlatt. Such evidence is admissible under Georgia law. Sec Hamilton v. State, 239 Ga. 72, 235 S.E.2d 515 (1977). Petitioner objects that the trial court's instructions regarding the use of this evidence were overbroad because “(a) the prosecution it- self had offered the evidence of other transactions for the purpose of showing the identity of the accused rather than to show intent or state of mind, and (b) it is irrational to instruct that evidence of an accused's participation in another transac- tion where a murder did not occur is proba- tive of the accused’s intent to commit mal- ice murder.” Petitioner's Memorandum of Law in Support of Issuance of the Writ at 10-11. Both of these contentions are with- out merit. First, the court sees nothing in the court's instructions to support petition- er’'s contention that the jury was allowed to find intent to commit malice murder from the evidence of the prior crimes. Petition- er was charged with armed robbery and murder. The evidence of the Red Dot Gro- _cery Store robbery was admissible for the purpose of showing that petitioner had sto- len the murder weapon. The evidence of the other armed robberies was ‘admissible for the purpose of showing a common scheme or plan on the armed robbery count. Also, the evidence of the Red Dot Fruit Stand robbery was admitted for im- peachment purposes only after the petition- er took the stand in his own defense. The court has read the trial court's instructions and cannot conclude that the instructions were overbroad or denied petitioner 2a fair trial. See Spencer vr. Texas, 385 U.S. 554, z00-61. 87 S.Ct. 648, 651-32, 17 L.Ed.2d 606 (1967). [ told vou that in the prosecution of a particu- lar crime, evidence which in any manner tends to show that the accused has committed another transaction, wholly distinct, indepen- dent and separate from that for which he is on trial, even though it may show a transac. tion of the same nature, with similar methods CLAIM “E"—EVIDENCE OF NON-STATUTORY AGGRA- VATING CIRCUMSTANCES PRESENTED AT PENALTY STAGE OF PETITIONER'S TRI- AL. [43] Petitioner contends that the trial court erred by giving the jury complete, unlimited discretion to use any of the evi dence presented at the trial during its delib- erations regarding imposition of the death penalty. Petitioner's claim is without mer- 580 FEDERAL SUPPLEMENT ing . whether or not the death penalty should be imposed. ._.s- Georgia's capital sentencing procedure has been declared constitutional by the Su- preme Court in Gregg v. Georgia, 428 us. 153, 96 S.Ct. 2909, 49 L.Ed.2d 859 (1976). Just recently the Supreme Court examined an argument similar to the one petitioner makes here in Zant v. Stephens, — U.S. —, 103 S.Ct. 2733, 77 L.Ed.2d 235 (1983). In that case the Court dealt with the argu- ment that allowing the jury to consider any it. The trial judge specifically instruced ~Aaggravating circumstances once a statuto- the jury that it could not impose the death ~ Ty aggravating circumstance had been penalty unless it found at least one statuto- ry aggravating circumstance.” He also instructed the jury that if it found one or more statutory aggravating circumstances it could also consider any other mitigating or aggravating circumstances in determin- and in the same localities, it is admitted into evidence for the limited purpose of aiding in identification and illustrating the state of mind, plan, motive, intent and scheme of the accused, if, in fact, it does to the jury so do that. Now, whether or not this defendant was in- volved in such similar transaction or transac- tions is a matter for you to determine. Fur: thermore, if you conclude that the defendant was involved in this transaction or these transactions, vou should consider it solely with reference to the mental state of the de- fendant insofar as it is applicable to the charges set forth in the indictment, and the court in charging you this principle of law in no way intimates whether such transaction or transactions, if any, tend to illustrate the state of mind or intent of the defendant or aids in identification, that is a matter for vou to de- termine. Transcript at 992-93. 29. The relevant portion of the judge's sentencing charge is printed below. The challenged por- tion is underlined. I charge you that in arriving at your deter- mination you must first determine whether at the time the crime was committed either of the following aggravating circumstances was present and existed beyond a reasonable doubt; one, that the offense of murder was committed while the offender was engaged in the commission of another capital felony, to rele rp wit, armed robbery; and two, the offense of ~ murder was committed against any peace offi- cer, corrections employee or fireman while engaged in the performance of his official duties. - » found allowed the jury unbridled discretion in determining whether or not to impose the death penalty on a certain class of. defendants. The Court stated: Our cases indicate, then, that statutory ae . . ~ akgravating circumstances play a consti Now, if you find one or both of these aggra- vating circumstances existed beyond a rea- soanble doubt, upon consideration of the of- fense of murder, then you would be authoriz- ed to consider imposing a sentence of death relative to that offense. If you do not find beyond a reasonable doubt that one of the two of these aggravating circumstances existed with reference to the offense of murder, then you would not be authorized to consider the penalty of death, and in that event the penalty imposed would be imprisonment for life as provided by law. In arriving at vour determination of which penalty shall be imposed, vou are authorized to consider all of the evidence received here #30 cQurt, prescated bv the State and the defen: -" dape throughout the trial before vou. You should consider the facts and circum- stances in mitigation. Mitigating circum- stances are those which do not constitute a justification or excuse for the offense in ques tion, but which in fairness and mercy may be considered as extenuating or reducing the de- gree of moral culpability or blame. Now, it is not mandatory that vou impose the death penalty even if you should find one of the aggravating circumstances does exist or did exist. You couid only impose the death penalty if you do find one of the two statutory aggravating circumstances | have submitted to you, but if you find one to exist or both of them to exist, it is not mandatory upon you to impose the death penalty. Transcript, 1027-29. McCLESKEY v. ZANT 391 Cife as 580 F.Supp. 338 (1984) tutionally necessary function at the stage of legislative definition: They cir- cumscribe the class of persons eligible for the death penalty. But the Constitu- tion does not require the jury to ignore other possible aggravating factors in the process of selecting, from among that class, those defendants who will actually be sentenced to death. What is impor- tant at the selection stage is an individ- walized determination on the basis of the character of the individual and the cir- cumstances of the crime. Zant v. Ste- phens, — U.S. —, 103 S.Ct. at 2743- 44 [77 L.Ed.2d 235] (emphasis in origi- nal). The court specifically approved in Zant v. Stephens consideration by the jury of non- statutory aggravating circumstances, pro- vided that such evidence is not “constitu- tionally impermissible or totally irrelevant to the sentencing process, such as for ex- ample the race, religion or political affilia- tion of ‘the defendant.” Id. 103 S.Ct. at 2747. = The sentencing jury in this case found two statutory aggravating circumstances: (1) That the offense of murder had been committed while McCleskey was engaged in the commission of another capital felony; and (2) that the offense of murder was committed against a peace officer while engaged in the performance of his official duties. “The trial judge could therefore properly admit any ‘additional evidence in extenuation, mitigation, and aggravation of punishment, including the record of any prior conviction,’ ... provided that the evi- dence bore on ‘defendant’s prior record, or circumstances of his offense,’” Moore v. Zant, 722 F.2d 640 at 644 (11th Cir.1983) 30. A portion of the cross-examination was as follows: Q: Are you saving you were guilty or you were not guilty? A: Well, I was guilty on this. Q: Three counts of armed robbery? A: Pardon me? Q: You were guilty for the three counts of armed robbery? A: Yes sir. Q: How about the other two that you pied guilty to, were you guilty of those? (quoting Lockett v. Ohio, 438 U.S. 586, 604 n. 12, 98 S.Ct. 2954, 2965 n. 12, 57 L.Ed.2d 973 (1978)). For the reasons stated in Zant v. Stephens, supra, and Moore v. Zant, supra, petitioner's claim is without merit. IX. CLAIM “F’—WHETHER THE ADMISSION AT PETITIONER'S TRIAL OF EVIDENCE CON- CERNING PRIOR CRIMES AND CONVICTIONS VIOLATED PETI- TIONER'S DUE PROCESS RIGHTS. Petitioner contends that the admission of evidence concerning two prior armed rob- beries for which he had not been indicted and the admission of details of other prior armed robberies for which he had been convicted violated his due process rights. This court has already concluded in Part VII, supra, that the evidence that petition- er participated in prior armed robberies was properly admitted to show petitioner's scheme, motive, intent or design and that the trial judge’s instructions properly limtif- ed the use of this evidence. See also” McClesky v. State, 245 Ga. 108, 114, 263 S.E.2d 146 (1980). The evidence to which petitioner objects most strongly in Claim “F" eoncerns details of prior armed rob- beries for which petitioner had been con- victed. When petitioner took the stand in his own defense, he admitted on direct ex- amination that he had previously been con- viected of armed robbery. He admitted to being guilty of those crimes, gave the dates of the convictions and the sentences he had received. On cross-examination the Assistant District Attorney asked petition- er a number of questions concerning the details of those robberies.?® Petitioner con- tends that this questioning concerning the A: I was guilty on the Cobb County, but the others | was not guilty of, but I pleaded guilty to them anyway, because like I say, I didn't see no reason to go through a long process of fighting them, and I already had a large sen- tence. Q: So you are guilty for the Douglas County armed robberies and the Cobb County rob- bery, but not the Fulton County robbery? A: I pleaded guilty to it. Q: To the Fulton County? A: Sure, 392 580 FEDERAL SUPPLEMENT details of crimes to which petitioner had In Beck v. Alabama, 447 U.S. 625, 100 admitted guilt exceeded the bounds of what S.Ct. 2382, 65 L.Ed.2d 392 (1980), the Su- was permissible for impeachment purposes, preme Court stated: was irrelevant to the crimes for which he was being tried, and served to prejudice the jury against him. The Supreme Court of Georgia has already declared that this evi- dence was properly admitted under the Georgia Rules of Evidence. Petitioner To insure that the death penalty is indeed imposed on the basis of “reason rather than caprice of emotion,” we have invali- dated procedural rules that tended to di- minish the reliability of the sentencing asks this court now to declare the Georgia determination. The same reasoning rule allowing the admissibility of this evi- ~ must apply to rules that diminish the dence to be violative of the due process reliability of the guilt determination. /d. clause of the Fourteenth Amendment. at 638, 100 S.Ct. at 2390. Q: But are you guilty of that robbery? A: Yes, sir. A: 1 wasn't guilty of it, but I pleaded guiity to Q: Were vou found inside the store on the it. ; floor with a .32 caliber revolver? Q: But you were guilty in all of the robberies A: Yes, sir, they caught me red-handed, 1 in Cobb County and Douglas County, is that couldn't deny it. correct? Q: And did you arrive there with an automo- A: 1 have stated I am guilty for them, but for bile parked around the corner? the ones in Fulton County, no, I wasn't guiity A: 1 didn’t have an automobile. of it. 1 pleaded guilty to it because I didn't Q: Did that belong to Harold McHenry? see no harm it could do to me. ag A: McHenry had the automobile. Q: Now, one of those armed robberies in Q: And was he with you in the robbery? Douglas County, do you recall where that A: Yes. sir. 4 : ; > i Yeu win ; Q: And was that automobile parked around Ed piace: the corner with the motor running? Qr- Yes, sir. : ros ; ; ‘ A: At that time I don’t know exactly where it A: | know it was a loan company. heh % . ’ was parked because I didn't get out right there Q: Kennesaw Finance Company on Broad around the corner, I got out of the street from Street, is that about correct? *h un : = Ding d 10 tick A: That sounds familiar. oe Be vg e was os h of Jo as up Q: And did you go into that place of business TY # there, but unfortunately ne cidn1 make : : . 11. at approximately closing time? ; : : Q: You also have been convicted out in De- A: 1 would say yes. ' 5 Q: Did you tie the manager and the—the Kalb County, haven't you: A: Yes, sir, | entered a plea out there. All of managers up? A: No, I didnt do thal. those charges stem from 1970. Q: What did you plead guilty to out in De- Did somebody tie them up? Kalb County? Yes, sir. Q: A: Q: Did they curse those people? A: Robbery charge. A: Did they curse them? Q: Armed robbery? Q: Yes, sir. J A: Yes, sir. A: Not to my recollection. po a . Q: And where was that at, sir? Q: Did they threaten to kill those people? = A: 1 don't know—I don't remember exactly A: Not to my recollection. where the robbery was supposed to have took Q: Did somebody else threaten to kill them? place, but I remember entering a guilty plea A: 1 don't remember anybody making any to it. threats. vaguely remember the incident, but Q: Were you guilty of that? I don't remember any threats being issued A: No, sir, I wasn't guilty of it. Like I said, | out. had spent money on top of money trying to Q: Now, the robbery in Cobb County, do you fight these cases and I didn't see any need to remember where that might have been. continue to fight cases and try to win them. A: Yes, sir, that was at Kennesaw Finance, | and | have already got a large sentence any- believe. way. Q: And do you remember what time of day Q: 1 believe the DeKalb County case was out that robbery took place? at the Dixie Finance Company out in Litho- A: 1f I am not mistaken, [ think it was on the nia, is that correct? 23rd day of July. A: I don't really recollect. 1 do remember Q: 1970? the charge coming out, but [ don't recall ex- A: Right. actly what place it was. Q: About 4:30 p.m.? Transcript 845-849. McCLESKEY v. ZANT 393 Cite as 580 F.Supp. 338 (1984) In Beck the Supreme Court struck down an Alabama statute which prohibited a trial judge from instructing the jury in a murder case that it could find the defendant guilty of a lesser-included offense. The Court ruled that this statute distorted the fact- finding function of the jury. “In the final analysis the difficulty with the Alabama statute is that it interjects irrelevant con- siderations into the factfinding process, di- verting the jury’s attention from the cen- tral issue of whether the State has satisfied its burden of proving beyond a reasonable - doubt that the defendant is guilty of 2 capital crime.” Jd. at 642, 100 S.Ct. at 2392. In Green v. Georgia, 442 US. 95, 99 S.Ct. 2150, 60 L.Ed.2d 738 (1979) the Su- preme Court set aside a death sentence on the grounds that the state trial court had excluded certain hearsay testimony at the sentencing portion of petitioner's trial. In that case the Court stated: Regardless of whether the proffered tes- timony comes within Georgia's hearsay rule, under the facts of this case its exclusion constituted a violation of the Due Process Clause of the Fourteenth Amendment. /d. at 96, 99 S.Ct. at 2131. [44] It seems clear from these cases that a state procedural or evidentiary rule which might substantially diminish the reli- ability of the factfinding function of the jury in a capital case would violate the due process clause of the Fourteenth Amend- ment. The question, then, is whether or not the admissibility of the details of other crimes can be said to have had the effect of diminishing “the reliability of the guilt de- termination.” Petitioner has cited several cases from this and other circuits which have held that the admission in a federal prosecution of details of prior crimes to which the defendant had admitted guiit was unfairly prejudicial and constituted re- versible error. See, e.g., United States v. Tumblin, 551 F.2d 1001 (5th Cir.1977); United States v. Harding, 525 F.2d 84 (Tth Cir.1975) (“The rule that it is error to in- quire about the details of prior criminal conduct is so well established that such 580 F.Supp. — 11 error is cognizable despite the absence of any objection by defense counsel.”). The point petitioner has overlooked is that pros- ecutions in federal court are governed by the Federal Rules of Evidence. Each of the cases petitioner has cited rely to a greater or lesser extent upon an interpreta- tion of those rules. While the Federal Rules of Evidence embody a modern con- cept of fairness and due process, it is not for this court to say that they are the only embodiment of due process or the standard against which state rules of evidence must be judged. While the evidence presented at petitioner's trial would probably not have been admitted in a federal prosecu- tion, this court cannot conclude that it was so seriously prejudicial that it undermined the reliability of the jury’s guilt determina- tion. Petitioner's Claim “F” is therefore without merit. X. CLAIM “M”"—THE SUGGESTIVE LINEUP. [45] In this claim petitioner contends that he was shown to at least three wit nesses for the State in an illegal and highly suggestive display immediately prior to his trial without the knowledge, consent, or presence of defense counsel. The Supreme Court of Georgia thoroughly addressed this concern and found against petitioner. McClesky v. State, 245 Ga. 108, 110-12, 263 S.E.2d 146 (1980). In its discussion the Supreme Court of Georgia stated: The record shows that four witnesses immediately prior to the call of the case saw the appellant and four other persons sitting in the jury box guarded by deputy sheriffs. - Each of these witnesses testi- fied that they recognized the appellant as one of the robbers at the time they saw him seated in the jury box. There is no indication that the witnesses were asked to view the man seated in the jury box and see if they recognized anyone. No one pointed out the appellant as the de- fendant in the case, rather it is apparent from the witnesses’ testimony that each recognized the appellant from having viewed him at the scene of the respective »- — Eva 394 robberies. Therefore, no illegal post-in- dictment lineup occurred. ... Appellant argues further that the four witnesses viewing him in the jury box as he awaited trial along with police identifi- cation procedures impermissibly tainted the witnesses’ in-court identification of the appellant. The threshold inquiry is whether the identification procedure was impermissi- bly suggestive. Only if it was, need the court consider the second question: Whether there was a substantial likeli- hood of irreparable misidentification. ... The chance viewing of the appellant prior to trial as he sat with others was no - more suggestive than seeing him in the hall as he and other defendants are being brought in for trial, or seeing him seated at the defense table as each witness comes in to testify. We conclude that the chance viewing of the appellant im- mediately prior to trial by four of the State’s witnesses was not impermissibly suggestive. Also we find the identifica- tions were not tainted by police identifi- cation procedures. 245 Ga. at 110, 263 S.E.2d 146. Although the eourt found that the display was not impermissibly suggestive, the court went on to examine whether the in- court identifications were reliable and found that they were. This court finds no basis in the record or in the arguments presented by petitioner for concluding that the Supreme Court of Georgia was in error. The court therefore finds that petitioner's Claim “M” is without merit. XI. CLAIM “N"—WHETHER PETI- TIONER’S STATEMENT INTRO- DUCED AT TRIAL WAS FREELY AND VOLUNTARILY GIVEN AF- TER A KNOWING WAIVER OF PETITIONER'S RIGHTS. [46] In this claim petitioner contends that the admission at trial of his state- ments given to the police was error be- cause the statements were not freely and voluntarily given after a knowing waiver of rights. Before the statement was revealed to the jury the trial court held, outside of 580 FEDERAL SUPPLEMENT the presence of the jury, a Jackson v. Den- no hearing. The testimony at this hearing revealed that at the time he was arrested petitioner denied any knowledge of the Dix- ie Furniture Store robbery. He was de- tained overnight in the Marietta Jail. The next morning when two Atlanta police offi- cers arrived to transfer him to Atlanta they advised him of his full Miranda rights. He again denied any knowledge of the Dix- ie Furniture Store robbery. There was some dispute about what was said during the half-hour trip back to Atlanta. Peti- tioner claimed that the officers told him that his co-defendants had implicated him and that if he did not start talking they would throw him out of the car. The offi- cers, of course, denied making any such threat but did admit that they told petition- er that the other defendants were “trying to stick it on” him. The officers testified that during the trip back, after being fully advised of his Miranda rights and not be- ing subjected to any coercion or threats, petitioner admitted his full participation in the robbery but denied that he shot Officer Schlatt. Immediately upon arrival at the Atlanta Police Department petitioner was taken to Detective Jowers. At that time petitioner told Jowers that he was ready to talk. Detective Jowers had petitioner execute a written waiver of counsel. This waiver included full Miranda warnings and a statement that no threats or promises had been made to induce petitioner's signature. Petitioner's statement was then taken over the next several hours. During the first part of this session petitioner simply nar- rated a statement to a secretary who typed it. The secretary testified that petitioner was dissatisfied with the first draft of the statement and started another one. The first draft was thrown away. After petitioner finished his narration Detective Jowers proceeded to ask him a number of questions about the crime. This questioning went on for some time off the record. Finally, a formal question and an- swer session was held on the record. These questions and answers were typed up by the secretary and signed by petition- er. McCLESKEY v. ZANT 395 Clte as 580 F.Supp. 338 (1984) It is undisputed that the atmosphere in the room where the statement was being taken was unusually relaxed and congenial, considering the gravity of the crime of which petitioner was accused. The secre- tary who typed it testified that she had never seen the police officers treat a mur- der suspect with such warmth.™ After hearing all of the testimony and considering petitioner's argument that the police had engaged in a “Mutt and Jeff” routine,” the trial court ruled that the statement had been freely and voluntarily given after a knowing waiver of petition- er's Miranda rights. The jury was then returned and the statement and testimony were introduced. After having read the transcript of the proceedings this court cannot conclude that the trial judge erred in his finding that the statement was freely and voluntarily given. There was no error, therefore, in admitting the statement into evidence. Petitioner's Claim “N” is therefore without merit. 31. The officers gave petitioner cigarettes, potato chips, and soft drinks during the interrogation. "They also at one point discussed with him the attractiveness of a particular female officer. 32. Such routines involve one group of officers acting hostile and threatening toward the de- fendant while another officer or group of offi cers seemingly befriends him and showers him with kindness. The rationale for such routines is that defendants often believe they have found a friend on the police force to whom they can tell their story. 33. The examination of Miss Barbara J. Weston .. was as follows: Fer . cas J: Now, Miss Weston, are you conscientious- ly opposed to capital punishment? A: Yes Q: Your opposition towards capital punish- ment, would that cause you to vote against it regardless of what the facts of the case might be? A: Yes, I would say so, because of the doc- trine of our church. We have a manual that we go by. Q: Does your church doctrine oppose capital punishment? A: Yes, Q: So you would oppose the imposition of capital punishment regardless of what the facts would be? CLAIM “O"—EXCLUSION OF DEATH-SCRUPLED JURORS. Petitioner claims that the exclusion of two prospective jurors because of their op- position to the death penalty violated his Sixth Amendment rights under Wither- spoon v. Illinois, 391 U.S. 510, 83 S.Ct. 1770, 20 L.Ed.2d 776 (1968). Both jurors indicated that they would not under any circumstances consider the death penalty. XIIL [47] In Witherspoon v. Illinois, supra, the Supreme Court held that a person could not be sentenced to death by a jury from which persons who had moral reservations about the death penalty had been excluded, unless those persons had indicated that their opposition to the death penalty would prevent them from fulfilling their oaths as jurors to apply the law: a AE [Nothing we say today bears upon the power of a State to execute a defendant sentenced to death by a jury from which the only veniremen who were in fact excluded for cause were those who made unmistakably clear (1) that they would A: Yes. Q: You would not even consider that as one of the alternatives? A: No, I wouldn't. The Court: Mr. Turner, any questions you want to ask? Mr. Turner: No questions from me. The Court: Miss Weston, [I will excuse you from this case. Transcript 98-99. The testimony of Emma T. Cason was as follows: Q: Mrs. Cason, are you conscientiously op- posed to capital punishment? A: Yes. Q: You are? A: Yes. Q: If you had two aiternatives in a case as far as penalties go, that is, impose the death sentence or life penalty, could you at least consider the imposition of the death penaity? A: 1 don’t think so, no. I would have to say no. Q: Under any circumstances you would not consider it? A: No. Mr. Parker: Thank you. The Court: Any questions? Mr. Turner: No questions. The Court: Mrs. Cason, | will excuse you and let you return to the jury assembly room on the fourth floor. Transcript 129-30. 396 automatically vote against the imposi- tion of capital punishment without re- gard to any evidence that might be devel- oped at the trial of the case before them, or (2) that their attitude toward the death penalty would prevent them from mak- ing an impartial decision .as to the de- fendant’s guilt. 391 US. at 522-23 n. 21, 88 S.Ct. at 1776-77 n. 21 (emphasis in original). Since the two prospective jurors in this case indicated that they would not under any circumstances vote for the death penal- ty, the trial court committed no error in excluding them. See Boulden v. Holman, 394 U.S. 478, 89 S.Ct. 1138, 22 L.Ed.2d 433 (1969). : [48] Petitiogey’s argument that the ex- clusion of death-scrupled jurors violated his right to be tried by a jury drawn from a representative cross section of his commu- nity has already been considered and re- jected in this circuit. Smith v. Balkcom, 660 F.2d 573, 582-83 (5th Cir. Unit B 1981), cert. denied, 459 U.S. 882, 103 S.Ct. 181, 74 L.Ed.2d 148 -(1982); Spinkellink wv. Wainwright, 578 F.2d 582, 593-99 (5th Cir. 1978), cert. denied, 440 U.S. 976, 99 S.Ct. 1548, 539 L.Ed.2d 796, rek'g denied, 441 U.S. 937, 99 S.Ct. 2064, 60 L.Ed.2d 667 (1979). The Court in Spinkellink also re- jected petitioner's claims that the exclusion of death-scrupled jurors resulted in a prose- cution-prone jury or a jury that was incapa- ble of maintaining “a link between contem- porary community values and the penal system.” 578 F.2d at 593-99. See gener- ally, Woodson v. North Carolina, 428 Us. 280, 295, 96 S.Ct. 2978, 2987, 49 L.Ed.2d 944 (1976). Because the two prospective jurors indi- cated they would not consider the death penalty under any circumstances, they were properly excluded, and petitioner's Claim “OQ” is without merit. XIII. CLAIM “I"—PETITIONER’S CLAIM THAT THE DEATH PENALTY FAILS TO SERVE RATIONAL INTERESTS. In his petition for the writ petitioner raised a claim that the death penalty fails 580 FEDERAL SUPPLEMENT to serve rational interests. Neither peti- tioner nor the State has briefed this issue, but the premise appears to be that the supposed deterrent value of the death pen- alty cannot be demonstrated; that execu- tions set socially-sanctioned examples of violence; that public sentiment for retribu- tion is not so strong as to justify use of the death penalty; and that no penal purpose is served by execution which cannot be more effectively served by- lifé imprisonment. Such arguments are more properly ad- dressed to the political bodies. See Fur- man v. Georgia, 408 U.S. 238, 410, 92 S.Ct. 2726, 2814, 33 L.Ed.2d 346 (1972) (Black- mun, J., dissenting). Georgia's death pen- alty was declared constitutional in Gregg v. Georgia, 428 U.S. 153, 183, 96 S.Ct. 2909, 2029 49 L.Ed.2d 859 (1976). Petitioner’s Claim “I” is therefore without merit. XIV. CLAIM “Q’'—PETITIONER'S BRADY CLAIM. : Petitioner contends that prior to trial de- fense counsel filed a Brady motion seek- ing, inter alia, statements he was alleged to have been made and that the State failed to produce the statement that was alleged to have been made to Offie Evans while in the Fulton County Jail. Petitioner con- tends that this failure to produce the state- ment prior to trial entitles him to a new trial. [49,30] Brady v. Maryland, 373 U.S. 83 83 S.Ct. 1194, 10 L.Ed.2d 215 (1963) requires the prosecution to produce any evidence in its possession which would tend to be favorable or exculpatory to the de- fendant. However, Brady does not estab- lish any right to pretrial discovery in a criminal case, but instead seeks only to insure the fairness of a defendant's trial and the reliability of the jury's determina- tions. United States v. Beasley, 576 F.2d 626 (5th Cir.1978), cert. denied, 440 U.S. 947, 99 S.Ct. 1426, 59 L.Ed.2d 636 (1979). Thus, a defendant who seeks a new trial under Brady must meet three require- McCLESKEY v. ZANT 397 Cite as 580 F.Supp. 338 (1984) ments to establish a successful claim: “(1) The prosecutor's suppression of the evi- dence, (2) the favorable character of the suppressed evidence for the defense, and (3) the materiality of the suppressed evi- dence.” Martinez v. Wainwright, 621 F.2d 184 (5th Cir.1980); United States v. Preston, 608 F.2d 626, 637 (5th Cir.1979), cert. denied, 446 U.S. 940, 100 S.Ct. 2162, 64 L.Ed.2d 794 (1980); United States v. Delk, 586 F.2d 513, 518 (5th Cir.1978). [51] As a preliminary tnatter the court notes that the’ testimony of Offie Evans was hardly favorable to petitioner. Most of the testimony was highly damaging to petitioner. The only part of the testimony. which could even remotely be regarded as favorable was Evans’ testimony that McCleskey had told him that his face had been made up on the morning of the rob- bery by Mary Jenkins. This testimony con- tradicted Mary Jenkins’ earlier testimony and thus had impeachment value against one of the State's witnesses. However, the very testimony that would have been im- peached was testimony favorable to peti- tioner. Jenkins’ testimony that petitioner had clear skin and no scar on the day of the crime contradicted the testimony of the store employees that the person in the front of the store had a rough, pimply complexion and a scar. Thus, Jenkins’ tes- timony regarding petitioner's complexion on the morning of the crime helped create doubt in his favor. Impeachment of that testimony would have hurt rather than helped petitioner. As a secondary matter, the court cannot see that the evidence in question was sup- pressed by the prosecution. While it was not produced prior to trial, it was produced during the trial. Thus, the jury was able to consider it in its deliberations. Petition- er has produced no cases to support the propositon that the failure of the prosecu- tion to produce evidence prior to trial en- titles him to a new trial where that evi- dence was produced during the trial. Since the evidence was before the jury, the court cannot find that the failure to disclose: it-- prior to trial deprived petitioner of due process. Petitioner's Claim “Q” is clearly without merit. XV. CLAIM “R”"—SUFFICIENCY OF THE EVIDENCE. By this claim petitioner contends that the evidence introduced at trial was insuffi- cient to prove beyond a reasonable doubt that he was the triggerman who shot Offi- cer Schiatt and that the shooting constitut- ed malice murder. . Petitioner does not ar- gue that the evidence was insufficient to support his conviction for armed robbery. [52] As part of its review in this case, the Supreme Court found that “the evi dence factually substantiates and supports the finding of the aggravating circumstanc- es, the finding of guilt, and the sentence of death by a rational trier of fact beyond a reasonable doubt.” McClesky v. State, 245 Ga. 108, 115, 263 S.E.2d 146 (1980). In reviewing the. sufficiency of the evidence, this court must view the evidence in a light most favorable to the State and should sustain the jury's verdict unless it finds that no rational trier of fact could find the defendant guilty beyond a reasonable doubt. Jackson v. Virginia, 443 U.S. 307, 99 S.Ct. 2781, 61 L.Ed.2d 560 (1979). Much of the evidence against petitioner was circumstantial. Witnesses placed him in the front of the store carrying a nickel- plated revolver matching the description of a .38 caliber Rossi which petitioner had stolen in an earlier armed robbery. The State’s ballistics expert testified that the bullet which killed Officer Schlatt was probably fired from a .38 caliber Rossi. At least one witness testified that the shots were fired from a point closer to the front of the store than she was lying. [53] While the circumstantial evidence alone may not have been sufficient to sup- port a verdict of malice murder, the State also introduced highly damaging testimony by one of the co-defendants, Ben Wright, and a fellow inmate at the Fulton County Jail, Offie Evans. Both of these witnesses testified that petitioner had admitted shoot- ing Officer Schiatt. Evans testified that 398 McCleskey told him that he would have shot his way out of the store even if there had been a dozen police officers. It is not this court's function to weigh the credibili- ty of this testimony. That was for the jury to do. Viewing all the evidence in a light most favorable to the State, this court can- not find that no rational trier of fact could find petitioner guilty beyond a reasonable doubt of malice murder. Jackson v. Vir- ginia, supra. Petitioner's Claim “R” is therefore without merit. XVI. CLAIM “P’—INEFFECTIVE AS- SISTANCE OF COUNSEL. ‘By this claim petitioner contends that he was denied effective assistance of counsel in contravention of the Sixth and Four- teenth Amendments. He alleges that his counsel was ineffective for the following reasons: (1) That his attorney failed to investigate adequately the State's evidence and possible defenses prior to trial; (2) that during the trial counsel failed to raise cer- tain objections or make certain motions; (3) that prior to the sentencing phase of peti- tioner's trial counsel failed to undertake an independent investigation into possible miti- gating evidence and thus was unable to offer any mitigating evidence to the jury; and (4) that after the trial, counsel failed to review and correct the judge's sentence report. [54-537] - It is well established in this cir- cuit that a criminal defendant is entitled to effective assistance of counsel—that Is, “counsel reasonably likely to render and rendering reasonably effective assistance.” See, e.g., Washington v. Strickland, 693 F.2d 1243, 1250 (5th Cir. Unit B, 1982) (en bane), cert. granted, — U.S. ——, 103 S.Ct. 2451, 77 L.Ed.2d 1332 (1983); Gaines v. Hopper, 575 F.2d 1147, 1149 (5th Cir. 1978); Herring v. Estelle, 491 F.2d 125, 127 (5th Cir.1974); MacKenna v. Ellis, 280 F.2d 592, 599 (5th Cir.1960), cert. denied, 368 US. 877, 82 S.Ct. 121, 7 L.Ed.2d 78 (1961). However, the Constitution does not guarantee errorless counsel or counsel judged ineffective only by hindsight. Her- ring v. Estelle, supra. In order to be 580 FEDERAL SUPPLEMENT entitled to habeas corpus relief on a claim of ineffective assistance of counsel, peti tioner must establish by a preponderance of the evidence: (1) That based upon the totality of circumstances in the entire record his counsel was not “reasonably likely to render” and in fact did not render ‘‘reasona- bly effective assistance,” and (2) that “inef- fectiveness of counsel resulted in actual and substantial disadvantage to the course of his defense.” Washington v. Strickland, 693 F.2d 1243, 1262 (5th Cir. Unit B 1982) (en banc). Even if petitioner meets this burden, habeas corpus relief may still be denied if the State can prove that “in the context of all the evidence ... it remains certain beyond a reasonable doubt that the outcome of the proceedings would not have been altered but for the ineffectiveness of counsel.” Id. With these standards in mind the court now addresses petitioner's particular contentions. A. Pretrial Investigation. It is bevond dispute that effective assist- ance of counsel requires some degree of pretrial investigation. “Informed evalua- tion of potential defenses to criminal charges and meaningful discussion with one's client of the realities of his case are cornerstones of effective assistance of counsel.” Gaines v. Hopper, 515 F.2d 1147, 1149-50 (5th Cir.1978). In Wash- ington v. Strickland, 693 F.2d 1243 (5th Cir. Unit B 1982) (en bane), the court dis- cussed the extent of pretrial investigation required to constitute effective assistance of counsel. In that case the court stated: The amount of pretrial investigation that is reasonable defies precise measure- ment. It will necessarily depend upon a variety of factors including the number of issues in the case, relative complexity of those issues, the strength of the government's case, and the overall strat- egy of trial counsel.... In making that determination, courts should not judge the reasonableness of counsel's efforts from the omniscient perspective of hind- sight, but rather “from the perspective of counsel, taking into account all of the circumstances of the case, but only as McCLESKEY v. ZANT 399 Cite as 580 F.Supp. 338 (1984) those circumstances were known to him at the time in question.” Id. at 1251 (quoting Washington v. Watkins, 655 F.2d 1346 at 1356 [5th Cir. Unit A 1981]). The court went on to analyze a variety of cases falling into five general categories. The category of cases identified by the Washington court which most closely re- sembles the present case was the one in which “counsel fails to conduct a substan- tial investigation into one plausible line of defense because of his reasonable strategic choice to rely upon another plausible line of defense at trial.” In analyzing these cases the court stated: those lines of defense upon which he has chosen to rely. The choice by counsel to rely upon cer- tain lines of defense to the exclusion of others before investigating all such lines is a strategic choice. A strategy chosen without the benefit of a reasonably substantial investigation into all plausible lines of defense is gen- erally based upon counsel's professional assumptions regarding the prospects for success offered by the various lines. The cases generally eonform to a worka- ble and sensible rule: When counsels assumptions are reasonable, given the As observed above, when effective coun- sel would discern several plausible lines of defense he should ideally perform a substantial investigation into each line before making a strategic decision as to which -lines he will employ at trial. In this ideal, as expressed in the American Bar Association's Standards, is an aspira- tion to which all defense counsel should strive. It does not, however, represent the constitutional minimum for reason- ably effective assistance of counsel. ... Realistically, given the finite resources of time and money that are available to defense counsel, fewer than all plausible lines of defense will be the subject of substantial investigation. Often, counsel will make a choice of trial strategy rela tively early in the representation process after conferring with his client, review- ing the State's evidence, and bringing to bear his experience and professional judgment. Thereafter, he will constitute his finite resources on investigating 34. The five categories of cases dealing with claims of ineffective assistance of counsel in the pretrial investigation were: (1) counsel fails to conduct substantial investigation into the onc plausible line of defense in the case: (2) counsel conducts a reasonably substantial investigation into the one line of defense that is presented at trial: (3) counsel conducts a reasonably sub- stantial investigation into all plausible lines of defense and chooses to rely upon fewer than all of them at trial; (4) counsel fails to conduct a substantial investigation into one plausible linc of defense because of his reasonable strategic choice to rely upon another plausible line of defense at trial; and (35) counsel fails to conduct totality of the circumstances and when counsel's strategy represents a reasona- ble choice based upon those assumptions, counsel need not investigate lines of de- fense that he has chosen not to employ at trial. 693 F.2d at 1254-55. [58] In the present case petitioner's tri- al counsel was faced with two plausible lines of defense—an alibi defense or a de- fense that petitioner participated in the rob- bery but was not the triggerman who killed Officer Schlatt. Pursuing the second de- fense would almost have guaranteed a con- viction for armed robbery and felony mur- der, for which petitioner could still have received the death penalty or at least life imprisonment.’ On the other hand, a suc- cessful alibi defense offered the prospect of no punishment at all. Trial counsel tes- tified at the state habeas corpus hearing that McCleskey had repeatedly insisted that he was not present at the crime. Trial counsel also testified that after the prelimi- nary hearing he and McCleskey reasonably a substantial investigation into plausible lines of defense for reasons other than strategic choice. 35. Under Georgia law applicable at the time of petitioner's trial, petitioner, as a party to the crime of armed robbery, would have been sub- ject to the same penalty for the death of Officer Schiatt irrespective of whether he actually pulled the trigger. See Ga.Code Ann. § 26-801 (now codified at 0.C.G.A. § 16-2-21). Under Georgia law at the time both murder and felony murder were punishable by death or life impris- onment. Ga.Code Ann. § 26-1101 (now codi- fied at O.C.G.A. § 16-5-1). 400 believed that an alibi defense could be suc- cessful. A primary reason for this belief was that Mamie Thomas, one of the Dixie Furniture Mart employees who was up front when the robber came in and had an opportunity to observe him, was unable to identify McCleskey at the preliminary hear- ing, despite the fact that she was standing only a few feet from him. Given the con- tradictory descriptions given by the wit- nesses at the store, the inability of Mamie Thomas to identify petitioner, and petition- er's repeated statements that he was not present at the scene, and the possible out- come of pursuing the only othex -defgnse available, the court cannot say that trial counsel's decision to pursue the alibi de- fense was unreasonable or constituted inef- fective assistance of counsel. [59] Having made a reasonable strate- gic choice to pursue an alibi defense, trial counsel could reasonably have decided not to interview all of the store employees. None of the statements produced by peti- tioner indicates that these employees would have contradicted the State's theory of the case. At best, they might have cumulative- ly created a reasonable doubt as to whether petitioner was the triggerman. This, how- ever, was a defense counsel and petitioner had chosen not to pursue. Counsel had read their statements and concluded that none. of . these employees could. identify McCleskey=as the gunman who entered the front of the store. He also had the sworn’ testimony of at least one witness that McCleskey was definitely not the person who entered the front of the store. Under such circumstances the failure to interview the store employees was reasonable. See Washington v. Watkins, 655 F.2d 1346 (5th Cir. Unit A 1981), cert. denied, 456 U.S. 949, 102 S.Ct. 2021, 72 L.Ed.2d 474 (1982) (failure to interview in person the only eye 36. Although Mamie Thomas recanted her testi- mony immediately after the preliminary hear- ing, telling one of the detectives that she had lied because she was scared, and a later inter- view with her may have disclosed the change of testimony, this court cannot hold as a matter of law that counsel has a duty to disbelieve sworn testimony of a witness favorable to his client. 530 FEDERAL SUPPLEMENT witness to an armed robbery and murder not ineffective assistance of counsel where client was asserting an alibi defense and telephone interview had established that witness could not identify or describe the gunman). [60] Slightly more troubling than the failure to interview the witnesses at the store was counsel's failure to interview the sheriff’s deputies and Offie Evans prior to trial. Evans’ testimony was certainly very damaging to petitioner, and a pretrial in- vestigation as to what his testimony would be may have uncovered the ‘details of his escape from a halfway house and the pend- ing federal charges against him, his “understanding” with an Atlanta police de- tective, his history of drug use, and his ° imaginative story that he had gone to Flori- da and participated in an undercover drug. investigation during his escape. Discovery of such evidence would have had substan- tial impeachment value. However, this court cannot find on the facts before it that counsel acted unreasonably in failing to interview Evans prior to trial. Although he recognized that at least one of the names in the prosecution's witness list was a Fulton County Sheriff's Deputy and sus- pected that a jailhouse confession might be forthcoming, counsel testified that McCles- key told him that he had made absolutely no incriminating statements to anyone in the Fulton County Jail. There has been no allegation that petitioner was incompetent or insane at any time during this proceed- ing. It would be anomalous, then, for this court to grant petitioner habeas corpus re- lief on the grounds that petitioner's counsel was ineffective because he did not disbe- lieve petitioner and undertake an indepen- dent investigation. [61] his counsel petitioner contends that ineffective because he Finally, was In other words, counsel could reasonably be- lieve that the witness's testimony at trial would be substantially the same as it was at the prelim: inary hearing. When it turned out to be differ- ent, counsel took the proper step of impeaching her later testimony with her testimony at the preliminary hearing. McCLESKEY v. ZANT 401 Clte as 580 F.Supp. 338 (1984) failed to interview the State’s ballistics ex- pert, Kelly Fite. However, a similar claim was rejected on similar facts in Wash- ington v. Watkins, 655 F.2d at 1358. Peti- tioner’s counsel had read the expert's re- port and was prepared adequately to cross- examine the expert at trial. The court does not believe, therefore, that the failure to interview the witness in person prior to trial constituted ineffective assistance of counsel. B. Performance During the Trial: Guilt/Innocence Phase. [62] Petitioner also contends that coun- sel’s conduct of the trial was deficient in - several respects. First, petitioner contends that the failure to move for a continuance or a mistrial when he learned of the sug- gestive line-up procedure on the morning of the trial constituted ineffective assistance. However, the court has already concluded in Part X, supra, that there was nothing unconstitutional about the chance viewing of the defendants prior to trial. The view- ing therefore would not have been grounds for a mistrial or a continuance. Failure to make a motion unwarranted in law is not ineffective assistance of counsel. [63] Petitioner also contends that his counsel! failed to object to admission of evidence regarding prior convictions and sentences for armed robbery. Petitioner makes the somewhat technical argument that because these convictions had been set aside by the granting of a motion for a new trial that they were inadmissible. Petition- er further contends that counsel did not object to this evidence because he had failed to investigate the circumstances of these convictions prior to trial.¥ Assum- ing for the moment that the failure to investigate these convictions constituted in- effective assistance of counsel, the court is unconvinced that petitioner can show actu- al and substantial prejudice resulted from the ineffectiveness. See Washington wv. 37. Pursuant to Ga.Code Ann. § 27-2503(a) the State informed trial counsel on October 2, 1978 that it intended to offer in aggravation certain prior convictions and sentences of pctitioner. Strickland, 693 F.2d 1243, 1262 (5th Cir. Unit B 1982) (en banc) cert. granted, — U.S. —, 103 S.Ct. 2451, 77 L.Ed.2d 1332 (1983). First, petitioner does not contend that he was not guilty of those crimes. In fact, after being granted a new trial he pleaded guilty to them and received an 18-year sentence. The court has already held that under Georgia law those crimes were admissible to show that petitioner en- gaged in a pattern or practice of armed robberies. The court cannot say that coun- sel’s failure to object to the introduction of this evidence at the guilt stage caused peti- tioner actual and substantial prejudice. Also, while the jury did learn that petition- er had received life sentences which had subsequently been set aside and this fact may have prejudiced them at the penalty stage of petitioner's trial,® the court is unprepared to say that in the context of all of the evidence, the failure of counsel to object to the introduction of this evidence warrants petitioner a new trial. However, given the court’s holding in Part III, su- pra, this point is essentially moot. [64] Finally, petitioner contends that trial counsel was ineffective because he failed to object to the tral court's “overly broad instructions to the jury (1) with re- gard to presumptions of intent and (2) as to the use of ‘other acts’ evidence for proof of intent, and (3) as aggravating circumstance: es at the sentencing phase.” Petitioner's September 20, 1983 Memorandum of Law in Support of Issuance of the Writ at 64. This court has already found that the trial court's instructions were not erroneous or overbroad. See Parts IV, VII and VIII, supra. Failure to object to the instruc- tions was not, therefore, ineffective assist- ance of counsel. C. Ineffective Assistance at Trial— Sentencing Phase. [65] Petitioner has contended that trial counsel was ineffective because he failed to The convictions and sentences which petitioner contends were invalid were among those listed. 38. Sec note 26, supra. 402 undertake an independent investigation to discover and produce mitigating evidence and witnesses to testify on behalf of peti- tioner at the sentencing phase of his trial. Trial counsel testified that he asked peti- tioner for names of persons who would be willing to testify for him and that petition- er was unable to produce a single name. Counsel also testified that he contacted pe- titioner’s sister and that she also was un- able to produce any names.”® A review of trial counsel's testimony at the state habe- as hearing convinces this court that counsel ' made a reasonable effort to uncover miti- gating evidence but could find none. Peti- tioner's sister declined to testify on her brother's behalf and told counsel that peti- tioner's mother was unable to testify be- cause of illness. McCleskey v. Zant, H.C. No. 4909, Slip Op. at 19 (Sup.Ct. of Butts County, April 8, 1981). The record simply does not support a finding of actual and substantial prejudice to petitioner due to any ineffective assistance by petitioner's counsel at the sentencing phase of the trial. D. Ineffective Assistance—Post-Trial. [66] Petitioner contends that trial coun- sel was also ineffective in failing to correct inaccuracies and omissions in the trial judge's post-trial sentencing report.’ This report is used by the Georgia Supreme Court as part of its review of whether the sentence imposed was arbitrary, excessive, or disproportionate.’ While it was in part because the Georgia capital sentencing pro- cedure provided such a review that the 39. The sister testified at the state habeas hearing that counsel never asked her for any names and that if he had done so she would have been ready, willing and able to produce a number of names. The habeas court specifically chose to credit the testimony of the trial counsel rather than the sister. See McCleskey v. Zant, H.C. No. 4909, Slip Op. at 19 (Sup.Ct. of Butts County, April 8, 1981). This finding of fact is presumed to be correct. 28 U.S.C. § 2254(d). 580 FEDERAL SUPPLEMENT Supreme Court upheld the Georgia death penalty in Gregg v. Georgia, 428 U.S. 153, 96 S.Ct. 2909, 49 L.Ed.2d 859 (1976), the Supreme Court has recently declared that such proportionality reviews are not re quired by the Constitution. Pulley v. Har- ris, — U.S. at - . 304 S.Ct. 871 at 876-381, 79 L.Ed.2d 29 (1984). Since proportionality reviews are not re- quired by the Constitution, it is difficult for this court to see actual and substantial prejudice caused to petitioner by counsels failure to review and correct mistakes in the trial judge's report, even if such failure would constitute ineffective assistance of counsel. Since the court has concluded that peti- tioner has been unable to show actual and substantial prejudice caused by any ineffec- tive assistance of counsel, petitioner's: Claim “P” is without merit. XVII. CONCLUSION For the reasons set forth in Part III, supra, it is ORDERED, ADJUDGED, and DECREED that petitioner's conviction for malice murder be set aside and that peti tioner within one hundred twenty (120) days after this judgment becomes final as a result of the failure of respondent to lodge an appeal or as the result of the issuance of a mandate affirming this decision, whichever is later, be reindicted and tried, failing which this writ of habeas corpus without further order shall be made abso- lute. 40. Georgia's capital sentencing procedure pro- vides for the filing of a trial judge's report to be part of the record reviewed by the Georgia Su- preme Court on appeal. 0.C.G.A. § 17-10-35. 41. For a discussion of proportionality analysis in Eighth Amendment jurisprudence see Com- ment “Down the Road Toward Human Decen- cy”: Eighth Amendment Proportionality Analysis and Solem vs. Heim, 18 Ga.L.Rev. 109 (1983). PADILLA v. d’AVIS 403 Cite as 580 F.Supp. 403 (1984) oN EE 2 El ze x 8 a Gloria PADILLA, Plaintiff, a Vv. DD — 3 2% 28 2 =e Luis M. d’AVIS and City of Chicago, Defendants. 2/8 - % 2: : Si 28 23 2 23 Anita JONES, Plaintiff, i Vv. : 2 £m Z| om Luis M. d’AVIS and City of 2} == = S i = Chicago, Defendants. < iL < Nos. 83 C 6390, 82 C 2943. Ele = H.zz : w Bie 7 R gl ° 9 United States District Court, N.D. Illinois, E.D. 2: 5 E 2 8 Feb. 1, 1984. 3| = 2 2 2 2.3 Patients brought action against city : and physician arising out of sexual assaults 3 - “os by physician during course of his gyneco- 3|= 8 8 w = 2 3 logical examinations of patients at city e health facility. On a motion to reconsider E HE L= 2 2 previous dismissal of one complaint, and Earn 8s = 5] ZT 8 defendants’ motions to dismiss, the District i = Bl oR= ’ al 8) - 8 Court, Shadur, J., held that: 1) patients zl = Z| wo 5% = Z| z= stated section 1983 cause of action against ge < & S city; (2) physician was not engaged in S| gi oe o “state action” and therefore patients failed = 2| g 3 = | 2 2 to state a cause of action under section 3 1983 against him; and (3) patients failed to 5 - = 3 Z| ws state a cause of action under state law = 8/1 = 3 against city. g 2 2! a Ordered accordingly. R= 5% 2| 88 2| : SD ~ a 1. Federal Civil Procedure &1829, 1835 al- = 3 =| 2 ZF On motion to dismiss, all factual alle- - "J. gations in complaint are taken as true and 3 all reasonable and factual inferences ‘are = = E ~ drawn in favor of plaintiff. =| = . © Ee) 2 = = B21 = 2. Civil Rights 13.17(7) A city has no punitive damages liabili- i ; sg ty under section 1983. 42 U.S.C.A. § 1983. gy 23 tr i 3. Civil Rights &13.7 Zs = 2 Absent some formally promulgated £3 £ £3 3 standard of conduct, such as an ordinance g > £ po = or administrative regulation, a section 1983 £2 = a 2 & cause of action against a municipality must Ww ~~ 7 be grounded on some direct municipal act le] § AEYNUMBER SYSTEM or omission or some municipal policy, cus- tom or practice that in either event proxi Appendix C - Order of the Court of Appeals, dated March 26, | 1985 denying rehearing | IN THE UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEADS. COURT OF APPEALS FOR THE ELEVENTH CIRCUIT ELEVENTH CIRCUIT LED No. 84-8176 MAR 2 5 1385 SPENCER D. MERCER WARREN MCCLESKEY, CLERK Petitioner-Appellee, Cross-Appellant, versus RALPH KEMP, Warden, Respondent-Appellant, Cross-Appellee. On Appeal from the United States District Court for the Northern District of Georgia (March 26, 1985 ) Before GODBOLD, Chief Judge, RONEY, TJOFLAT, HILL, FAY, VANCE, KRAVITCH, JOHNSON, HENDERSON, HATCHETT, ANDERSON and CLARK, Circuit Judges. PER CURIAM: IT IS ORDERED that the petition for rehearing filed in the above entitled and numbered cause be and the same is hereby Qorusd . ENTERED FOR THE COURT: sd u. sy UNITED STATES CIRCUIT JWUDGE Involved ilsions Appendix D - Statutory Prov STATUTORY PROVISIONS INVOLVED Ga. Code Ann. § 26-603: The acts of a person of sound mind and discretion are presumed to be the product of the person's will, but the presump- tion may be rebutted. Ga. Code Ann. § 26-604: A person of sound mind and discretion is presumed to intend the natural and probable consequences of his acts, but the presumption may be rebutted. Ga. Code Ann. § 26-1101: (a) A person commits ATL when he unlawfully and with malice aforethought, either express or implied, causes the death of another human being. Express malice is that deliberate intention unlawfully to take away the life of a fellow creature, which is manifested by external circumstances capable of proof. Malice shall be implied where no considerable provocation appears, and where all the circumstances of the killing show an abandoned and malignant heart. (b) A person also commits the crime of murder when in the commission of a felony he causes the death of another human being, irrespective of malice. Ga. Code Ann. § 59-806(4): "Are you concientiously opposed to capital punishment?" If he shall answer the question in the negative, he shall be held a competent juror. Provided, nevertheless, that either the State i or the defendant shall have the right to introduce evidence before the judge to show that the answers, or any of them, are untrue; and it shall be the duty of the judge to determine upon ' the truth of such answers as may be thus questioned before the Qourt, - Ga. Code Ann. § 59-807: If a juror shall answer any of the questions set out in the | preceding section so as to render him incompetent, or he shall be | so found by the judge, he shall be set aside for cause. : | Appendix E - Statements of Facts from Petitioner's Post- Hearing Memorandum of Law in Support of His Claims of Arbitrariness and Racial Discrimina- tion, submitted to the District Court in McCleskey v. Zant, No. C81-2434A; and State- ment of Facts from En Banc Brief for Peti- tioner McCleskey, submitted to the Court of Appeals in McCleskey v. Kemp, No. 84-8176. IN THE UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT FOR THE NORTHERN DISTRICT OF GEORGIA ATLANTA DIVISION nn ct ae ee en tn So p 4 WARREN McCLESKEY, ) Petitioner, ) -against- : ) CIVIL ACTION NO. C81-2434A WALTER D. ZANT, Superintendent, ) Georgia Diagnostic & Classification Center, ) Respondent. ) en ce mmm am 2 2 wn nm X PETITIONER'S POST-EEARING MEMORANDUM OF LAW IN SUPPORT OF HIS CLAIMS OF ARBITRARINESS AND RACIAL DISCRIMINATION ROBERT H. STROUP 1515 Healy Building Atlanta, Georgia 30303 JOBN CHARLES BOGER 10 Columbus Circle New York, New York 10018 TIMOTHY K. FORD 600 Pioneer Building Seattle, Washington 94305 ANTHONY G. AMSTERDAM New York University Law School 40 Washington Square South New York, New York 10012 ATTORNEYS FOR PETITIONER TABLE OF CONTENTS Page INTRODUCTION vovsvsctnsstsnesssssrssetasssonasnsssnsvnsenes 1 STATEMENT OF FACTS tv cceececsosassossoscssnsssvsascssstsas 3 I. Petitioner's Case-In-Chief ......cccvvccncccenn. 3 A. Professor David BaldusS ....c.ccceccecncnannn 3 1. Areas of Expertise .....ccccicceencans . 3 - 2. Development of Research Objectives Crenn 5 3. Procedural Reform Study ("PRS") ...... “s 7 2. Design of PRS .coevevessees Saves en ee 8 b. Data Collection for DRS FET TE 11 ec. Data Entry and Cleaning for PRS .... 12 4. Charging and Sentencing Study ("CSS") .. 13 a. Design of CSS ....civececccnns .iinnies 14 b. Data Collection for CSS ices vesnrens 37 B. Edward Gates ..... SN LARC Ne RR SE ara 18 1. Data Collection for PRS ves. RAINE nae 18 3. Data Collection for CSS .cseesse Cree enisen 20 C. Professor David Baldus (resumed) «..coeee- ‘e 21 1. Data Entry and Cleaning for CSS ........ 21 2. Methods of AnalysSisS ..eeeesvccccccsnnans 23 3. ‘Analysis of Racial Disparities ......... 24 a. Unadjusted Measures of Disparities . 24 b. Adjusted Measures of Disparities ... 25 4. Racial Disparities at Different Procedural Stages ..eeeerercsne viniwin inne 34 5. Analysis of Rival Hypotheses ........... 35 6. Fulton County Data ceceececcsvsne ceavene viv 38 a. Analysis of Statistical Dispari- ties stoevvceee sarees EO BC 37 bh. : "Near Neighbors" Analysis viiviede sess 39 Ca Police HOMicideS ceceesssssrssssnnse 40 7. Professor Baldus' Conclusions .....eces. 41 D. Dr. George WOOAWOLrth ...scesaceas APR PRE 1. Area Of Expertise c.eeececccecnss cowmasnen 42 2. Responsibilities in the PRS ........0.. 43 3. CSS Sampling Plan ...cc0e0 Canyon “ilies 44 4. Selection of Statistical Techniques .... 44 S. Diagnostic TeStS s.ciceecssccccansnacsnn 45 6 Models of the Observed Racial Dispari- Bi88 seas Die ve dg A va Cae A Ee Ee 47 Page E. Lewis Slayton Deposition 8 © © 9 © 5 8 9 8 8 °° 0 DP OS 8 48 Fe. Other Evidence © © 9 © 8 © 9 9 9 5 9 8 08 00 0 OP eS SPSS SNE 48 3x. Respondent's Case © © 9 9 9 © 9 8 9 0 0 5 9 OS 0 0 0 0 0 SSP SONS OD 49 A. PY. Joseph Ratz © 8 9 © 9 9 90 8 2 0 9 5 O° 0 90 OP SO SOS SID 49 1. Areas Of EXpertiSe ..ccsceeeccsccescccees 49 2. Critiques of Petitioner's Studies ...... 51 a.- Use of Foil Method .ccceecssecoccene bh. Inconsistencies in the Data ....cee. 31 c. Treatment Of UNKNOWNS scccecoscacsoe 3. Dr. Ratz's Conclusions ..ececeeoccccccncs B. Dr. Robert BUrfor@ ..ccesesssssrvnscesnsenss 52 1. Area of EXpertisSe .c.cesvescccccccocncns 52 2. Pitfalls in the Use of Statistical Analysis teeseescescccrrcnscsscnacnnn von. 253 3. Dr. Burford's Conclusions .ccececseeass view 94 ii1. Petitioner's Rebuttal Case SS 9 © 9 9 © 9 9 @ 9 8 8S 0 OO 0 Ie PO 54 A. Professor Baldus @ 9 9 9 8 9 9 9 8 SS 5 8 OF SO PT OS Se SON 54 B. Pr. Woodworth © 5 8 © 9 9 9 5 9 069 5 89 9 90 SPOS SSS NL 0D 57 }. Statistical Issues ® © 5 5 8 9 9 2 9 8 © 9 0 O° SH OS 0 57 2. Warren McClesky's Level of Aggravation . 358 Co Pr. Richard Berk e 0 9 6 9 8 5 6 9 8 0 8 9 9 8 6 SOB PSO Ls 0 59 1 1. Areas of Expertise ....... caine siesenne 59 2. Quality of Petitioner's Studies ........ 60 3. The Objections of Dr. Katz and Dr. BUTEOLT ov osvennssnsresstonssnonionnsnsy 8] De The Lawyer's Model ® 8 9 % 0 @ 9 9 9% 8 9% 9 0S SH SSS IB ND 62 ARGUMENT Introduction: The Applicable LaW ccceeeecssscsssasonses 83 I. The Basic Equal Protection Principles .......... 69 A. The Nature of the Egual Protection Violations ® 2 © 3 8 5 9% 9° 9 4 % PD WS 8 9 © 8 ® 9 9 ° 9 ® 8 v8 0° 0 0 72 - ii = invitation. In it, petitioner will first outline the evidence presented to the Court, and then state the legal founda- tions of his constitutional claims. | STATEMENT OF FACTS Y. Petitioner's Case-in-Chief A. Professor David Baldus 1. Areas of Expertise Petitioner's first expert witness was Professor David C. Baldus, currently Distinguished Professor of Law at the University of Iowa. Professor Baldus testified that a principal focus of his academic¢ research and writing during the past decade has been upon the use of empirical social scientific research in legal contexts. During that time, Professor Baldus has co-authored a 4/ widely cited (see DB6) work on the law of discrimination, see D. BALDUS & J. COLE, STATISTICAL PROOF OF DISCRIMINATION (1980), as well as a number of significant articles analyzing the use of statistical techniques in the assessment of claims of 3/ Due to the length and complexity of the evidentiary hearing, and the fact that no transcript of the testimony has yet been completed, petitioner does not purport to set forth a comprehen- sive statement of the evidence in this memorandum. Instead, the statement of facts will necessarily be confined to a review of the principal features of the evidence. 4/ Each reference to petitioner's exhibits will be indicated by a reference to the initials of the witness during whose testimony the exhibit was offered (e.g... David Baldus becomes "DB"), followed by the exhibit number. has served as a consultant to an eminent Special Committee on Empirical Data in Legal Decision-Making of the Association of the Bar of the City of New York. After hearing his qualifications, the Court accepted Professor Baldus as an expert in "the empirical study of the legal system, with particular expertise in methods of analysis and proof of discrimination in a legal context.” 2. Development of Research Objectives Professor Baldus testified that he first became interested in empirical research on a state's application of its capital puhishment statutes shortly after Gregg v. Georgia, 428 U.S. 153 (1976) and related cases had been announced by the Supreme Court in mid-1976. Those cases, Baldus explained, explicitly rested upon certain assumptions about how the post-Furman capital statutes would operate: (i) that sentencing decisions would be guided and limited by the criteria set forth in capital statutes; (ii) that under such statutes, cases would receive evenhanded treatment; (iii) that appellate sentence review would guarantee statewide uniformity of treatment, by corrcting any significant disparities in local disposition of capital cases; and (iv) that the influenced of illegitimate factors such as race or sex, would be eliminated by these sentencing constraints on prosecutorial and jury discretion. Professor Baldus testified that his own research and training led him to conclude that the Supreme Court's assump- tions in Gregg were susceptible to rigorous empirical evalution employing accepted statistical and social scientific methods. Toward that end -- in collaboration with two colleagues, Dr. George Wcodworth, an Associate Professor of Statistics at the University of Iowa, and Professor Charles Pulaski, a Professor of Criminal Law now at Arizona State University Law School == Baldus undertook in 1977 the preparation and planning of a major research effort to evaluate the applization of post-Furman capital statutes. 1In the spring semester of 1977, Professor Baldus began a review of previous professional literature on capital sentencing research and related areas, which eventually comprised examination of over one hundred books and articles. (See mais. iY Baldus and his colleagues also obtained access to the most well-known prior data sets on the imposition of capital sentences in the United States, including the Wolfgang rape study which formed the empirical basis for the challenge brought in Maxwell v. Bishop, 398 F.2d 138 (8th Cir. 1968), nnn rev'd on other grounds, 398 U.S. 262 (1970), and the Stanford 9/ Te Law School study. They examined the questionnaires em- 8/ Baldus testified that his research was particularly aided by other pioneering works on racial discrimination in the appli- cation of capital statutes, see, e.g., Johnson, "The Negro and Crime," 217 ANNALS 93 (1941); Garfinkel, "Research Note on Inter- and Intra- Racial Homicide," 27 SOCIAL FORCES 369 (1949); Wolfgang & Riedel, "Race, Judicial Discretion, and the Death Penalty," 407 ANNALS 119 (1973): Wolfgang & Riedel, "Rape, Race, and the Death Penalty in Georgia," 45 AM. J. ORTHO PSYCHIAT. 658 (1975); Bowers & Pierce, "Arbitrariness and Discrimination under Post-Furman Capital Statutes," 26 CRIME & DELINQ. 563 (1980). S/ See "A Study of the California Penalty Jury in First Degree Murder Cases," 21 STAN. L. REV. 1297 (1969). ployed in those studies, reran the analyses conducted by prior researchers, and ran additional analyses to learn about factors which might be important to the conduct of their own studies. After these preliminary investigations, Baldus and his colleagues began to formulate the general design of their own research. They settled upon a retrospective non-experimental study as the best available general method of vestigation. They then chose the State of Georgia as the jurisdiction for etudy; based upon a consideration of such factors as the widespread use in other jurisdictions of a Georgla-type capital statute, the favorable accessibility of records in Georgia, and numbers of capital cases in that state sufficiently large to meet statistical requirements for analysis of data. 3. Procedural Reform Study ("PRS") The first of the two Baldus studies, the Procedural Reform Study, was a multi-purpose effort designed not only to address the question of possible discrimination in the admin- 10/ Under such a design, researchers gather data from available records and other sources on plausible factors that might have affected an outcome of interest (here the imposition of sentence in a homicide case) in cases over a period of time. They then used statistical methods to analyze the relative incidence of those outcomes dependent upon the presence Or absence of the other factors observed. Professor Baldus testified that this method was successfully employed in, among others, the National Halothane Study, which Baldus and his colleagues reviewed carefully for methodological assistance. 11/ Baldus testified that he made inquiry of the Georgia De- partment of Offender Rehabilitation, the Georgia Department of Pardons and Paroles, and the Georgia Supreme Court, all of which eventually agreed to make their records on homicide cases available to him for research purposes. _(See DB 24.) istration of Georgia's capital statutes, but to examine appellate sentencing review, pre- and post-Furman sentencing, and other questions not directly relevant to the issues before this Court. Professor Baldus limited his testimony to those aspects and findings of the PRS germane to petitioner's claims. The PRS, initially supported by a small grant from the Uni- versity of Iowa Law Foundation, subsequently received major funding for data collection from the National Institute of Justice, as well as additional funds from Syracuse University Law School. Work in the final stages of data analysis was assisted by a grant from the Edna McConnell Clark Foundation distributed through the NAACP Legal Defense and Educational Fund, Inc. Research data collection and analysis for the PRS took place from 1977 through 1983. a. Design of PRS In formulating their research design for the PRS, Baldus and his colleagues first identified the legal decision-points within the Georgia charging and sentencing system which they would study and then settled upon the "universe” of cases on which they would seek information. After reviewing the various stages which characterize Georgia's procedure for the disposition of homicide cases (see DB21), Baldus decided to focus the PRS on two decision-points: the prosecutor's decision whether to seek a death sentence once a murder conviction had been obtained at trial; and the jury's sentencing verdict following a penalty trial. Baldus defined the universe of cases to include all persons arrested between the effective date of Georgia's post-Furman capital statute, March 28, 1973, and June 10, 1978 (i) who were convicted of murder after trial and received either life or death sentences, Or (ii) who received death sentences after a plea of guilty, and who either (1) appealed their cases to the Supreme Court of Georgia (ii) or whose cases appeared in the files of both the Department of Offender Rehabilitation ("DOR") and the Department of Pardons and Parcles froeen ys Y rate universe comprised 594 defendants. (See DB 26.) Penalty trials had occurred in 193 of these cases, including 12 in which two or more penalty trials had taken place, for a total of 206 penalty trials. In all, 113 death sentences had been imposed in these 206 trials. Por each case within this universe, Baldus and his col- leagues proposed to collect comprehensive data on the crime, the defendant, and the victim. Factors were selected for inclu~- sion in the study based upon the prior research of Baldus, a review of questionnaires employed by other researchers such as Wolfgang as well as upon the judgment of Baldus, Pulaski and others about what factors might possibly influence prosecutors 12/ The decision to limit the universe to cases in which a murder conviction or plea had been cbtained minimized concern about difference in the strength of evidence of guilt. The decision to limit the universe to cases in which an appeal had been taken or in which DOR and DPP files appeared was a necessary restriction based upon availability of data. and juries in their sentencing decisions. The initial PRS questionnaire, titled the "Supreme Court Questionnaire," was drafted by Baldus working in collaboration with a law school graduate with an advanced degree in political science, Frederick Ryle (see DB 27), and went through many revisions incorporating the suggestions of Pulaski, Woodworth, and others with whom it was shared. In final form, the Supreme Court Questionnaire was 120 pages in length and addressed over 480 factors or *vari= ables." After preliminary field use suggested the unwieldiness of the Supreme Court Questionnaire, and after analysis revealed a number of variables which provided little useful information, a second, somewhat nore abbreviated instrument, titled the Georgia Parole Board (or Procedural Reform Study) Questionnaire, was developed (see DB 35). Much of the reduction in size of this second questionnaire came from changes in its physical design to re-format the same items more compactly. Other varia- bles meant to permit a coder to indicate whether actors in the sentencing process had been "aware" of a particular variable were dropped as almost impossible to determine from available records in most instances. A few items were added to the second question- naire. Eventually, information on 330 cases was coded onto the Supreme Court Questionnaire, while information on 351 cases was coded onto the Georgia Parole Board Questionnaire. Eighty-seven cases were coded onto both questionnaires. (See DB 28, at 2.) b. Data Collection for PRS Data collection efforts for the PRS began in Georgia during the summer of 1979. Baldus recruited Frederick Kyle, who had assisted in drafting the Supreme Court Questionnaire, and two other students carefully selected by Baldus for their intelligence and willingness to undertake meticulous detail work. Initially, the Supreme Court Questionnaires were filled out on site in Georgia; quickly, however, it became evident that because of the unwield- iness of that questionnaire, a better procedure would be to gather information in Georgia which would later be coded onto the questionnaires at the University of Iowa. Several items were collected for this purpose, including: (i) a Georgia Supreme Court opinion, if one had been rendered (see DB 29); (ii) a trial judge's report prepared pursuant to Ga. Code Ann. § 27-2537(a), if one was available in the Georgia Supreme Court (see DB 30); (iii) a "card summary" prepared by the Assistant to the Supreme Court of Georgia, if available (see DB 31); a procedural record of the case (see DB 32); (iv) an abstract of the facts, dic- tated or prepared by the coders in Georgia from the appellate briefs in the case, supplemented by transcript information (see DB 33); and a narrative summary of the case (see DB 3, at 3). In addition to those data sources, Baldus and his colleagues relied upon basic information on the crime, the defendant and the victim obtained from the Department of Pardons and Paroles, information on the defendant obtained from the Department of Qf fender Rehabilitation, information on the sex, race and age lh of the victim =-- if otherwise unavailable -- obtained from Georgia's Bureau of Vital Statistics, as well as information on whether or not a penalty trial had occurred, obtained from counsel in the cases if necessary (see DB 28; DB 36). The 1979 data collection effort continued in the fall of 1980 under the direction of Edward Gates, a Yale graduate highly recommended for his care and precision by former employers at a Yale medical research facility. Baldus trained Gates and his co-workers during a four-day training session in August, 1980, in the office of Georgia's Board of Pardons and Paroles, familiarizing them with the documents, conducting dry run tests in questionnaire completion, and discussing at length any problems that arose. To maintain consistency in coding, Baldus developed a set of rules or Protocols governing coding of the instruments, which were followed by all the coders. These protocols were reduced to written form, and a copy was provided to Gates and other coders in August of 1980. Baldus, who returned to Lowa, remained in contact with Gates daily by telephone, answering any questions that may 13/ have arisen during the day's coding. C. Data Entry and Cleaning for PRS To code the abstracts and other material forwarded 13/ While information on most of the cases in the PRS was gathered in 1979 and 1980, Edward Gates completed the collection effort in the final 80 cases during the summer of 1981. (See DB 28, at 2.) “12 - from Georgia onto the Supreme Court and PRS questionnaires, University of Iowa law students with criminal law course exper- ience, again chosen for intelligence, diligence, and care in detailed work. The students received thorough training from Professors Baldus and Pulaski, and they worked under the supervision of Ralph Allen, a supervisor who checked each questionnaire. The students held regular weekly meetings to discuss with Professor Baldus and their supervisor any problems they had encountered, and consistent protocols were developed to guide coding in all areas. | Following the manual coding of the questionnaires, Professor Baldus hired the Laboratory for Political Research at the University of Iowa to enter the data onto magnetic computer tape. Rigorous procedures were developed to ensure accurate transposal of the data, including a special program to signal the entry of any unauthorized codes by programmers. A printout of the data entered was carefully read by profes- sionals against the original questionnaires to spot any errors, and a worksheet recorded any such errors for correction on the magnetic tapes (see DB 50). 3. Charging and Sentencing Study ("CSS") In 1980, Professor Baldus was contacted for advice by the NAACP Legal Defense Fund in connection with a grant application being submitted to the Edna McConnell Clark Foundation seeking funds to conduct social scientific research into the death “13 = Sa me LL S E S penalty. Several months later, the Legal Defense Fund informed Baldus that the grant had been approved and invited him to con- duct the research. Under that arrangement, the Legal Defense Fund would provide the funds for the out-of-pocket expenses of a study, ceding complete control over all details of the research and analysis to Professor Baldus (apart from the jurisdiction to be studied, which would be a joint decision). Once the analysis had been completed, Baldus would be available to testify concerning his conclusions if the Legal Defense Fund requested, but Baldus would be free to publish without restriction whatever findings the study might Sowa After some further discussions, the parties agreed in the fall of 1980 to focus this Charging and Sentencing Study ("CSS") on the State of Georgia. a. Design of CSS The CSS, by focusing once again on the State of Georgia, permitted Professor Baldus and his colleagues to enlarge their PRS inquiry in several important respects: first, they were able, by identification of a different universe, to examine decision-points in Georgia's procedural process stretching back to the point of indictment, thereby including information on prosecutorial plea-bargaining decisions as well as jury guilt determinations; secondly, they broadened their inquiry to include 14/ Baldus indeed expressly informed LDF at the outset that his prior analysis of the Stanford Study data left him skep- tical that any racial discrimination would be uncovered by such research. os cases resulting in voluntary manslaughter convictions as well as murder convictions; and thirdly by development of a new ques- tionnaire, they were able to take into account strength-of- evidence variables not directly considered in the PRS. Beyond these advances, the deliberate overlapping of the two related studies provided Professor Baldus with a number of important means to confirm the accuracy and reliability of each study. To obtain these benefits, Baldus defined a universe including all offenders who were arrested before January 1, 1980 for a homicide committed under Georgia's post-Furman capital statutes, who were subsequently convicted of murder or of voluntary man- slaughter. From this universe of 2484 cases, Professors Baldus and Woodworth drew two sunglass me first, devised accord- ing to statistically valid and acceptable sampling procedures (see the testimony of Dr. Woodworth, infra), comprised a sample of 1066 cases, stratified to include 100% of all death-sentenced casas, 100% of all life-sentenced cases afer a penalty trial, and a random sample of 41% of all life-sentenced cases without a penalty trial, and 35% of all voluntary manslaughter cases. The stratification had a second dimension; Professors Baldus and Woodworth designed the sample to include a minimum 25% representation of cases from each of Georgia's 42 judicial. circuits to ensure full statewide coverage. 15/ As indicated above, the PRS did not involve any sampling procedures. All cases within the universe as defined were subject to study.. 16/ Because of the unavailability of records on one capitally- sentenced inmate, the final sample includes only 99% (127 of 128) of the death-sentenced cases. Yh The second sample employed by Baldus and Woodworth in the CSS included all penalty trial decisions known to have occurred during the relevant time period, on which records were available, a total of 253 of 254. Among those 253, 237 also appeared in the larger CSS Stratified Sample of 1066; the remaining 16 cases com- prised 13 successive penalty trials for defendants whose initial sentences had been vacated, as well as 3 cases included in Georgia Supreme Court files, but not in the file of the Department of Offender Rehabilitation. (This latter sample, of course, permitted Baldus to analyze all penalty decisions during the period. In his analyses involving prosecutorial decisions, Baldus explained that, since a prosecutor's treatment on the first gocasion inevitably would affect his disposition of the second, it could be misleading to count two dispositions of a defendant by a single decisionmaker on successive prosecutions. When two separate sentencing juries avaluated a capital defendant, however, no such problems arose. The two samples permitted both analyses to be employed throughout the CSS, as appropriate.) After a universe had been defined and a sample drawn, Baldus began development of a new questionnaire. Since the CSS sought to examine or "model" decisions made much earlier in the charging and sentencing process than those examined in the PRS, additional questions had to be devised to gather information on such matters as the plea bargaining process and jury conviction trials. A second major area of expansion was the effort to obtain information on the strength of the evidence, an especially important factor since this study included cases originally charged as murders which resulted in pleas or convictions for manslaughter. Professor Baldus devised these strength-of-evi- dence questions after a thorough review of the professional literature and consultation with other experts who had also worked in this area. The final CSS questionnaires (see DB 38) also included additional variables on a defendant's prior record and other aggravating and mitigating factors suggested by profes- sional colleagues, by attorneys and by preliminary evaluation of the PRS questionnaires. b. Data Collection for CSS Data for the CSS were collected from essentially the same souzaes used for the PRS: the Department of Pardons and Paroles, the Deparment of Offender Rehabilitation (see DB 40), the Supreme Court of Ceorals, the Bureau of Vital Statistics (see DB 47), supplemented by limited inquiries to individual attorneys to obtain information on whether plea bargains occurred, whether penalty trials occurred, and the status (retained or appointed) of defense counsel (see DB 45, at 3-6; DB 46) (see generally DB 39). Physical coding of the CSS questionnaires was completed directly from the official records in Georgia by five law students working under the supervision of Edward Gates, who had been one of Baldus' two coders for the PRS in Georgia in 1980. The five students were selected by Baldus after a nationwide recruitment effort at 30 law schools; once again, Baldus “iT - or Gates contacted references of the strongest candidates before hiring decisions were made (see DB 42). As in the PRS, an elaborate written protocol to govern data entries was written, explained to the coders, and updated as questions arose. (See DB 43.) After a week-long training session in Atlanta under the supervision of Professor Baldus, Gates and the law students remained in contact with Baldus throughout the summer to resolve issues and questions that arose. B. Edward Gates At this point during the evidentiary hearing, petitioner presented the testimony of Edward Gates who, as indicated above, was integrally involved in data collection efforts both in the PRS and in the CSS. Gates testified that he was a 1977 grad- uate of Yale University, with a Bachelor of Science degree in biology. Following his undergraduate training, Gates worked as a research assistant in the Cancer Research Laboratory of Tufts Medical School, developing data sets on cellular manipulation experiments, recording his observations and making measurements to be used in this medical research. (See EG 1.) 1. Data Collection for PRS Gates testified that he was hired by Professor Baldus in August of 1980 to collect data for the PRS. Prior to travelling to Georgia, he was sent coding instructions and practice ques- tionnaires to permit him to begin his training. During mid- “18 = September, 1980, he met with Baldus in Atlanta, reviewed the practice questionnaires, and met with records officials in the Georgia Archives (where Supreme Court records were stored) and in the Department of Pardons and Paroles. After several additional days of training and coding practice, he worked at the Archives each workday from mid-September until late October, 1980, reviewing trial transcripts, appellate briefs, trial judges's reports, and Supreme Court opinions before preparing abstracts and a narrative summary. Gates testified that he followed the written coding procedures throughout, and that problems or inconsistencies were discussed with Professor Baldus each day at 4:00 p.m. When changes in coding procedures were made, Gates testified that he checked previously coded questionnaires to ensure consistent application of the new protocols. In late October, coding work moved from the Archives to the Pardons and Paroles offices. There, Gates had access to police report summaries completed by Pardons and Paroles investigators, Federal Bureau of Investigation "rap sheets," field investigator reports on each defendant, and sometimes actual police or witness statements. Gates pcinted out an illustrative example of a case he had coded (see DB 34) and reviewed at length the coding decisions he made in that case, one of over 200 he coded employing the Procedural Reform Study questionnaire. In response to questioning from the court, Gates explained that his instructions in coding the PRS questionnaire were to draw - 19 - reasonable inferences from the file in completing the foils. (These instructions later were altered, Gates noted, for purposes of the coding of the CSS questionnaire.) Gates left Georgia in mid-January of 1981; he completed the final PRS questionnaires during the summer of 1981, during his tenure as supervisor of the CSS data collection effort in Atlanta. > 2. Data Collection for CSS During early 1981, Gates was invited by Professor Baldus to serve as project supervisor of the CSS data collection effort, In the spring of 1981, he worked extensively with Baldus on a draft of the CSS questionnaire, assisted in hiring the coders for the 1981 project, and drafted a set of written instructions for the coders (see DB 4). Gates came to Georgia in late May of 1981, participated with Professor Baldus in a week-long training session with the five law student coders, and then supervised their performance throughout the summer. He reviewed personally the files and questionnaries in each of the first cone hundred cases coded by the students, to ensure consistency, and thereafter he regularly reviewed at least one case each day for each coder. At least twice during the summer, Gates gave all coders the same file and asked them to code and cross-check the results with those completed by the other coders. Gates spoke frequently by telephone with Baldus and discussed problems that arose in interpretation on a daily basis. As in earlier collection --20) - efforts, the protocols resolving questions of interpretation were reduced to written form, the final end-of-summer draft of which is incorporated in DB 43 (EG 5). Gates testified that he made great efforts to ensure that all questionnaires were coded consistently, revising all previous coded questionnaires when a disputed issue was subsequently resolved. Gates noted that for the CSS questionnaire, coders were given far less leeway than in the PRS to -draw inferences from the record. Moreover, in the event of unresolved conflicting statements, they were instructed to code in a manner that would support the legitimacy of the conviction and sentence imposed in the case. In sum, Gates testified that while the data for the PRS was very carefully coded, the data effort for the CSS was even more thoroughly entered, checked and reviewed. Both data collection efforts followed high standards of data collection, with rigorous efforts made to insure accuracy and consistency. C. Professor David Baldus (resumed) 1. Data Entry and Cleaning for CSS Upon receipt of six boxes of completed CSS questionnaires at the end of August,” 1981, Professor Baldus testified that he faced five principal tasks before data analysis could begin. The first was to complete collection of any missing data, especially concerning the race of the victim, the occurrence of a plea bargain, and the occurrence of a penalty trial in life- sentenced cases. As in the PRS study, he accomplished this -il2) = task through inquiries directed to the Bureau of Vital Statistics (see DB 47) and to counsel in the cases (see DB 45-46). His second task was the entry of the data onto magnetic computer tapes, a responsibility performed under contract Dy the Laboratory for Political Science. The program director subsequently reported to Professor Baldus that, as as result of the careful data entry procedures employed, including a special program that immediately identified the entry of any unauthorized code, the error remaining in the data base as a result of the data entry process is estimated to be less than 1/6 of 1 percent, and that the procedures he had followed conform to accepted social science data entry practices. Baldus' third task was to merge magnetic tapes created by the Political Science Laboratory, which contained the data collected by his coders in Georgia, with the magnetic tapes provided by the Department of Offender Rehabilitation, which contained personal data on each offender. This was accomplished through development of a computer program under the supervision of Professor Woodworth. Next, Professors Baldus and Woodworth engaged in an extensive data "cleaning" process, attempting through various techniques -- crosschecking between the PRS and CSS files, manually comparing entries with the case sum- maries, completing crosstabular computer runs for consistency between two logically related variables -- tO identify any coding errors in the data. Of course, upon identification, - 33. 1Z/- Baldus entered a program to correct the errors. (See DB 51). The final step preceding analysis was the "recoding" of variables from the format in which they appeared on the CSS questionnaire into a binary form appropriate for machine analysis. Professor Baldus performed this recoding (see DB 54, DB 55), limiting the gtudy to 230+ recoded variables considered relevant for an assessment of the question at issue: whether Georgia's charging and sentencing system might be affected by racial factors. 2. Methods of Analysis As the data was being collected and entered, Professor Baldus testified that he developed a general strategy of analysis. First, he would determine the patterns of homicides in Georgia and any disparities in the rate of imposition of death sentence by race. Then he would examine a series of alternative hypotheses that might explain any apparent racial disparities. Among these hypotheses were that any apparent disparities could be accounted for: (i) by the presence Or absence of one or more statutory aggravating circumstances; (ii) by the presence or absence of mitigating circumstances; (iii) by the strength of the evidence in the different cases; (iv) by the particular time period during which the sentences were imposed; (v) by the geographical area (urban or rural) in which the sentences were imposed; (vi) by whether judges or juries imposed sentence; 1/ Among the approximately 500,000 total entries in the CSS study, Professor Baldus testified that he found and corrected a total of perhaps 200 errors. . “33 - (vii) by the stage of the charging and sentencing system at which different cases were disposed; (viii) by other, less clearly anticipated, but nevertheless influential factors or combinations of factors; or (ix) by chance. Professor Baldus also reasoned that if any racial dispari- ties survived analysis by a variety of statistical techniques, employing a variety of measurements, directed at a number of different decision-points, principles of "triangulation" would leave him with great confidence that such disparities were real, persistent features of the Georgia system, rather than statis- tical artifacts conditioned by a narrow set of assumptions or conditions. For these related reasons, Professor Baldus and his colleagues proposed to subject their data to a wide variety of analyses, attentive throughout to whether any racial disparities remained stable. 3. Analysis of Racial Disparities a. Unadjusted Measures of Disparities Before subjecting his data to rigorous statistical analyses, Professor Baldus spent time developing a sense for the basic, unadjusted parameters of his data which could thereby inform his later analysis. He first examined the overall homicide and death sentencing rates during the 1974-1979 period 18/ (see DB S57), the disposition of homicide cases at 18/ Unless otherwise indicated, the Baldus exhibits reflect data from the CSS. : “iD successive stages of the charging and sentencing process (see DB 58; DB 59) and the fraguency distraction of each of the CSS variables among his universe of cases (see DB 60). Next, Baldus did unadjusted analyses to determine whether the race-of-victim and race-of-defendant disparities reported by earlier researchers in Georgia would be reflected in his data as well. In fact, marked disparities did appear: while death sentences were imposed in 11 percent of white victim cases, death sentences were imposed in only 1 percent of black victim cases, a 10 point unadjusted disparity (see DB 62). While a slightly higher percentage of white defendants received death sentences than black defendants (.07 vs. .04) (id.), when the victim/offender racial combinations were separated out, the pattern consistently reported by earlier researchers appeared: Black Def./ white Def./ Black Def./ White Def./ White Vic. | white Vic. Black Vic. Black Vic. ae .08 .01 03 (50/228) (58/745) (18/1438) (2/64) b. Adjusted Measures of Disparities Baldus testified, of course, that he was well aware that these unadjusted racial disparities alone could not decisively answer the question whether racial factors in fact play a real and persistent part in the Georgia capital sentencing system. To answer that question, a variety of additional explanatory factors would have to be considered as well. Baldus illustrated this point by observing that although the unadjusted impact of the presence or absence of the "(b)(8)" aggravating - 28 19/ circumstance” on the likelihood of a death sentence appeared to be 23 points (see DB 61), simultaneous consideration or "control" for both (b)(8) and a single additional factor -- the presence or absence of the "{b)(10)" statutory factory -- reduced the disparities reported for the (b) (8) factor from a3 20 .04 in cases with (b)(10) present, and to -.03 in cases without the (b)(10) factor. (See DB 64.) Baldus explained that another way to measure the impact of a factor such as (b)(8) was by its coefficient in a Yeast squares regression. That coefficient would reflect the average of the disparities within each of the separate subcategories, or cells (here two cells, one with the (b) (10) factor present, and one with (b)(10) absent). (See DB 64; DB 65.) Still another measure of the impact of the factor would be by the use of logistic regression procedures, which would produce both a difficult-to~-interpret coefficient and a more simply understood "jeath odds multiplier," derived directly from the logistic coefficient, which would reflect the extent to which the presence of a particular factor, here (b)(8), might multiply the odds that 21/ a case would receive a death sentence. Baldus testified that, 18/ 0.€.6.a. § 17-10-30.(D)(8) denominates the murder of a peace officer in the performance of his duties as an aggravating circumstance. 20/ 0.C.G.A. § 17-10-30.(b)(10) denominates murder committed to avoid arrest as an aggravated murder. 21/ DB 64 reflects that the least squares coefficient for the (D) (8) factor was .02, the logistic coefficient was -.03, and the "death odds" multiplier was .97. - 268 = by means of regular and widely-accepted statistical calculations, these measures could be employed so as to assess the independent impact of a particular variable while controlling simultaneously for a multitude of separate additional variables. Armed with these tools to measure the impact of a variable after controlling simultaneously for the effects of other variables, Professor Baldus began a series of analyses involving the race of the victim and the race of the defendant -- first con- trolling only for the presence or absence of the other racial factor (see DB 69; DB 70), then controlling for the presence or absence of a felony murder circumstance (see DB 71; DB 72; DB 73), then controlling for the presence or absence of a serious prior record (see DB 74), then controlling simultaneously for felony murder and prior record (see DB 77), and finally controlling simultaneously for nine statutory aggravating circumstances as well as prior record (see DB 78). In all these analyses, Baldus found that the race of the victim continued to play a substantial, independent role, and the race of the defendant played a lesser, 22/ somewnat more marginal, but not insignificant role as well. 22/ Professor Baldus testified concerning another important measure which affected the evaluation of his findings =-- the measure of statistical significance. Expressed in parentheses throughout his tables and figures in terms of "p" values, (with a p-value of.10 or less being conventionally accepted as "margin- ally significant," a p-value of .05 accepted as "significant," and a p-value of .01 or less accepted as "highly statisticaly significant™), this measure p computes the likelihood that, if in the universe as a whole no real differences exist, the reported differences could have been derived purely by chance. Baldus explained that a p-value of .05 means that only one time in twenty could a reported disparity have been derived by chance if, in fact, in the universe of cases, no such disparity existed. A p-value of .01 would reflect a one-in-one hundred likelihood, a p-value of .10 a ten-in-one hundred likelihood, that chance alone could explain the reported disparity. «27 - Having testified to these preliminary findings, E Baldus turned then to a series of more rigorous analy: petitioner expressly contended to the court were responsive to the criteria set forth by the Circuit Court in Smith v. Balkcom, 671 F.2d 858 (5th Cir. Unit B 1982) (on rehearing.). In the first of these (DB 79), Baldus found that when he took into account or controlled simultaneously for all of Georgia's statutory aggravating circumstances, as well as for 75 additional mitigating factors, both the race of the victim and the race of the defendant played a significant independent role in the determination of the likelihood of a death sentence. Measured in a weighted least squares regression enityeie > recs of victim displays a .10 point coefficient, a result very highly statist- ically significant at the 1-in-1000 level. The logistic coefficient and the death odds multiplier of 8.2 are also very highly statistically significant. The race of defendant effect measured by least squares regression was .07, highly statist- ically significant at the 1-in-100 level; employing logistic measures, however, the race of defendant coefficient was not statistically significant, and the death odds multiplier was 1.4. 23/ Because the stratified CSS sample required weighting under accepted statistical techniques, a weighted least squares regres- sion result is reflected. As an alternative measurement, Pro- fessor Baldus performed the logistic regression here on the unweighted data. Both measures show significant disparities. -:28 - Professor Baldus next reported the race-of-victim and defendant effects measured after adjustment Or control for a graduated series of other factors, from none at all, to over 230 factors -- related to the crime, the defendant, the victim, co-perpetrators as well as the strength of the evidence -- simultaneously. (See DB s0./ Professor Baldus emphasized that as controls were imposed for additional factors, although the measure of the raca-of-vigtin effect diminished slightly from .10 to .06, it remained persistent and highly statistically significant in each analysis. The race of defendant impact, although more unstable, nevertheless reflected a .06 impact in the analysis which controlled for 230+ factors simultaneously, highly significant at the 1-in-100 level. Professor Baldus attempted to clarify the significance of these numbers by comparing the coefficients of the race-of- victim and race-of-defendant factors with those of other im- portant factors relevant to capital sentencing decisions. Exhibit DB 81 reflects that the race of the victim factor, measured by weighted least squares regression methods, plays a role in capital sentencing decisions in Georgia as signif- icant as the (i) presence or absence of a prior record of murder, armed robbery or rape (a statutory aggravating circum- stance -- (b)(1)); (ii) whether the defendant was the prime mover in planning the homicide, and plays a role virtually as 24/ This latter analysis controls for every recoded variable used by Professor Baldus in the CSS analyses, all of which are identified at DB 60. - 29 - significant as two other statutory aggravating circumstances (the murder was committed to avoid arrest -- (b)(10) == and the defendant was a prisoner Or an escapee == (b)(9)). The race of defendant, though slightly less important, yet appears a more significant factor than whether the victim was a stranger Or an acquaintance, whether the defendant was under 17 years of age, or whether the defendant had a history of alcohol or drug abuse. The comparable logistic regression measures reported in DB 82, while varying in detail, tell the same story: the race of the victim, and to a lesser extent the race of the defendant, play a role in capital sentencing decisions in Georgia more significant than many widely recognized legitimate factors. The race of the victim indeed plays a role as important as many of Georgia's ten statutory aggravating circumstances in determining which defendants will receive a death sentence. With these important results at hand, Professor Baldus began a series of alternative analyses to determine whether the employment of other "models" or groupings of relevant factors might possibly diminish or eliminate the strong racial effects his data had revealed. Exhibit DB 83 reflects the results of these analyses. Whether Baldus employed his full file of recoded variables, a selection of 44 other variables most strongly associated with the likelihood of a death sentence, Or selections of variables made according to other recognized w 30 = 25/ statistical techniques, both the magnitude and the statist- ical significance of the race of the victim factor remained remarkably stable and persistent. (The race of the defendant factor, as in earlier analyses, was more unstable; although strong in the least squares analyses, it virtually disappeared in the logistic analyses.) Baldus next, in a series of analyses (see DB 85- DB 87) examined the race-of-victim and defendant effects within the subcategories of homicide accompanied by one of the two statutory aggravating factors, -- (b)(2), contemporaneous felony, or (b)(7), horrible or inhuman -- which are present in the vast majority of all homicides that received a death sentence (see DB 84). These analyses confirmed that within the subcategories of homicide most represented on Georgia's Death Row, the same racial influences persist, irrespective of the other factors controlled for simultaneously (see DB 85). Among the various subgroups of (b)(2) cases, subdivided further according to the kind of accompanying felony, the racial factors continue to play a role. (See DB 86; DB 87.) 23/ Two of Professor Baldus' analyses involved the use of step-wise regressions, in which a model is constructed by mechanically selecting, in successive "steps," the single factor which has the most significant impact on the death-sentencing outcome, and then the most significant remaining factor with the first, most significant factor removed. Baldus performed this step-wise analysis using both least squares and logistic regressions. Baldus also performed a factor analysis, in which the information coded in his variables is recombined into different "mathematical factors" to reduce the possibility that multicolinearity among closely related variables may be distorting the true effect of the racial factors. - 31 = Professor Baldus then described yet another method of analysis of the racial factors -- this method directly responsive to respondent's unsupported suggestion that the disproportionate death-sentencing rates among white victim cases can be explained by the fact that such cases are systematicaly more aggravated. To examine this suggesstion, Baldus divided all of the CSS cases into eight, roughly equally-sized groups, based upon their overall levels of aggravation as measured by an aggravation-mitigation inden Baldus cbsaried that in the less-aggravated categories, no race-of-victim or defendant disparities were found, since virtually no one received a death sentence. Among the three most aggravated groups of homicides, however, where a death sentence became a possibility, strong race-of-victim disparities, and weaker, but rerginally significant race-of-defendant disparities, emerged. (See DB 89.) Baldus refined this analysis by dividing the 500 most aggravated cases into 8 subgroups according to his aggravation/ mitigation index. Among these 500 cases, the race-~of-victim disparities were most dramatic in the mid-range of cases, those neither highly aggravated nor least aggravated where the latitude for the exercise of sentencing discretion was the greatest. (See DB 90.) While death sentencing rates climbed overall as the cases became more aggravated, especially victims within the groups of the cases involving black defendants, such as petitioner McCleskey, the race-of-victim disparities in the mid-range 26/ Baldus noted that a similar method of analysis was a prominent feature of the National Halothane Study. - 32 reflected substantial race-of-victim disparities: Black Def. Category White Vic. Black Vic. 3 «30 a (3/10) (2/18) 4 Rv .0 {3/13) (0/15) 5 «35 «37 (9/26) (2/12/) 6 .38 .05 (3/8) (1/20) 7 .64 .39 (9/14) (5/13) (DB 90.) Race of defendant disparities, at least in white victim cases, were also substantial, with black defendants involved in homi- cides of white victims substantially more likely than white defendants to receive a death sentence. white Vic. Category Black Def. White Def. 3 «30 .03 (3/10) (1/39) 4 “od .04 (3/13) (1/29) 5 35 Tit (9/26) (4/20) 6 +38 v 15 (3/8) (5/32) 7 .64 .39 (9/14) (5/39) {DB 91.) “33 These results, Professor Baldus suggested, not only support the hypothesis that racial factors play a significant role in Georgia's capital sentencing system, but they conform to the "liberation hypothesis" set forth in Ralven & Zeisel's The 27/ American Jury. That hypothesis proposes that illegitimate sentencing considerations are most likely to come into play where the discretion afforded the decisionmaker is greatest, i.e., where the facts are neither so overwhelmingly strong nor - so weak that the sentencing outcome is foreordained. 4. Racial Disparities at Different Procedural Stages Another central issue of Professor Baldus' analysis, one made possible by the comprehensive data obtained in the CSS, was his effort to follow indicted murder cases through the charging and sentencing system, tO determine at what procedural points the racial disparities manifested themselves. Baldus observed at the outset that, as expected, the proportion of white victim cases rose sharply as the cases advanced through the system, from 39 percent at indictment to 84 percent at death-sentencing, while the black defendant/white victim proportion rose even faster, from 9 percent toc 39 percent. (See DB 93.) The two most significant points affecting these changes were the prosecutor's decision on whether or not to permit a plea to voluntary manslaughter, and the prose- cutor's decision, among convicted cases, of who to take on to a sentencing trial. (See DB 94.) of 4. KALVEN & H. ZEISEL, THE AMERICAN JURY 164-67 (1966). - 34 = The race-of-victim disparities for the prosecutor's decision on whether to seek a penalty trial are particularly striking, consistently substantial and very highly statistically significant in both the PRS and the CSS, irrespective of the number of variables or the model used to analyze the decision (see DB 95). The race-of-defendant disparities at this procedural stage were | substantial in the CSS, though relatively minor and not statist- ically significant in the PRS. (Id.) Logistic regression analysis reflects a similar pattern of disparities in both the CSS and the PRS. (see DB 96. ). 5. Analysis of Other Rival Hypotheses Professor Baldus then reported seriatim on a number of different alternative hypotheses that might have been thought likely to reduce or eliminate Georgia's persistent racial dispar- ities. All were analyzed; none had any significant effects. Baldus first hypothesized that appellate sentence review by the Georgia Supreme Court might eliminate the disparities. Yet while the coefficients were slightly reduced and the statistical significance measures dropped somewhat after appellate review, most models (apart from the stepwise regression models) continued to reflect real and significant race-of-victim disparities and somewhat less consistent, but observable race-of-defendant effects as well. - 35 - Baldus next hypothesized that the disparities do not reflect substantial changes or improvements that may have occurred in the Georgia system between 1974 and 1979. Yet when the cases were subdivided by two-year periods, although some minor fluctuations were observable, the disparities in the 1978-1979 period were almost identical to those in 1974-1975. (See. DB 103.) An urban-rural breakdown, undertaken to see whether different sentencing rates in different regions might produce a false impression of disparities despite evenhanded treatment within each region, produced instead evidence of racial disparities in both areas, (although stronger racial effects appeared to be present in rural areas (See DB 104.)) Finally, no discernable difference developed when sentencing decisions by juries alone were compared with decisions from by sentencing judges and juries. (See DB 105.) 6. Fulton County Data Professor Baldus testified that, at the request of peti- tioner, he conducted a series of further analyses on data drawn from Fulton County, where petitioner was convicted and sentenced. The purpose of the analyses was to determine whether or not the racial factors so clearly a part of the statewide capital sentencing system played a part in sentencing patterns in Fulton County as well. Since the smaller universe of Fulton County cases placed some inherent limits upon the statistical operations that could be conducted, Professor Baldus supplemented these statistical analyses with two "qualitative" studies: (1) a "near “36 = neighbors" analysis of the treatment of other cases at a level of aggravation similar to that of petitioner; and (recognizing that petitioner's victim has been a police officer) an analysis of the treatment of other police victim cases in Fulton County. a. Analysis of Statistical Disparities Professor Baldus began his statistical analysis by observing the unadjusted disparities in treatment by victim/defendant racial combinations at six separate decision points in Fulton County's charging and sentencing system. The results show an overall pattern roughly similar to the statewide pattern: Black Def. White Def. Black Def. white Def. White Vic. White Vic. Black Vic. Black Vic. .06 .05 .005 .0 {3/52) (5/108) (2/412) (0/8) (DB 106.) The unadjusted figures also suggest (i) a greater willingness by prosecutors to permit defendants to plead to voluntary manslaughter in black victim cases, (ii) a greater likelihood of receiving a conviction for murder in white victim cases, and (iii) a sharply higher death sentencing rate for white victim cases among cases advancing to a penalty phase. (DB 106; DB 107.) When Professor Baldus controlled for the presence or absence of each of Georgia's statutory aggravating circumstances separately, he found very clear patterns of race-of-victim disparities among those case categories in which death sentences were most frequently imposed (DB 108). Among (b)(2) and (b)(8) cases -- two aggravating cirstances present in petitioner's own = 37'= case -- the race-of-victim disparities were .09 and .20 respec- tively (although the number of (b)(8) cases was too small to support a broad inference of discrimination). When Professor Baldus controlled simultaneously for a host of variables, including 9 statutory aggravating circumstances, a large number of mitigating circumstances, and factors related to both the crime and the defendant (see DB 114 n.1 and DB 96a, Schedule 3), strong and highly statistically significant race-of-victim disparities were evident in both the decision of prosecutors to accept a plea (-.53, p=.0001) and the decision to advance a case to a penalty trial after conviction (.20, p=.01) (DB 114). Race-of-defendant disparities were also substantial and statistically significant at the plea stage (-.40, p=.01) and at the stage where the prosecutor must decide whether to advance a case to a penalty trial (.19, p=.02) (DB 114). These racial disparities in fact, were even stronger in Fulton County than they were statewide. Although the combined affects of all decision-points in this analysis for Fulton County did not display significant racial effects, Professor Baldus suggested that this was likely explained by the very small number of death-sentenced cases in Fulton County, which made precise statistical judgments on overall impact more difficult. - 38 = b. "Near Neighbors" Analysis Aware of the limits that this small universe of cases would impose on a full statistical analysis of Fulton County data, Professor Baldus undertook a qualitative analysis of those cases in Fulton County with a similar level of aggravation to petitioner -- the "near neighbors.” Baldus identified these neighboring cases by creating an index through a multiple regression analysis of those non-suspect factors most predictive of the likelihood of a death sentence statewide. Baldus then rank-ordered all Fulton County cases by means of this index, and identified the group of cases nearest to petitioner. He then broke thats cases, 32 in all, into three subgroups -- more aggravated, typical, and less aggravated -- based upon a qualitative analysis of the case summaries in these 32 cases. Among these three subgroups, he calculated the death-sentencing rates by race-of-victim. As in the statewide patterns, no disparities existed in the less aggravated subcategory, since no death sentences were imposed there at all. In the "typical" and "more aggravated" sub- categories, however, race-of-victim disparities of .40 and .42 respectively, appeared. (See DB 109; DB 110.) Professor Baldus testified that this near neighbors analysis strongly reinforced the evidence from the unadjusted figures that racial disparities, especially by race-of-victim, are at work not only statewide, but in Fulton County as well. - 30: c. Police Homicides Professor Baldus' final Fulton County analysis looked at the disposition of 10 police-victim homicides, involving 18 defendants, in Fulton County since 1973. (See DB 115.) Among these 18 potential cases, petitioner alone received 28/ a death sentence. Professor Baldus divided 17 of the cases into two subgroups, one subgroup of ten designated as "less aggravated, ™ the other subgroup of seven designated as "aggra- vated." (See DB 116.) The "aggravated" cases were. defined to include triggerpersons who had committed a serious contem- poraneous offense during the homicide. Among the seven aggra- vated cases, three were permitted to plead guilty and two were convicted, but the prosecutor decided not to advance the cases to a penalty trial. Two additional cases involved convictions advanced to a penalty trial. In one of the two, petitioner's case, involving a white officer, a death sentence was imposed; in the other case, involving a black officer, a life sentence was imposed. Although Professor Baldus was reluctant to draw any broad in- ference from this analysis of a handful of cases, he did note that this low death-sentencing rate for police-victim cases in Fulton County paralleled the statewide pattern. Moreover, the results of this analysis were clearly consistent with peti- tioner's overall hypothesis. 28/ One defendant, treated as mentdlly deranged by the system, was not included in the analysis. - 40 - 7. Professor Baldus' Conclusions In response to questions posed by petitioner's counsel (see DB 12), Professor Baldus offered his expert opinion =- in reliance upon his own extensive analyses of the PRS and CSS studies, as well as his extensive review of the data, research and conclusions of other researchers =-- that sentencing dis- parities do exist in the State of Georgia based upon the race of the victim, that these disparities persist even when Georgia statutory aggravating factors, non-statutory aggravating factors, mitigating factors, and measures of the strength of the evidence are simultaneously taken into account. Professor Baldus further testified that these race-of-victim factors are evident at crucial stages in the charging and sentencing process of Fulton County as well, and that he has concluded that these factors have a real and significant impact on the imposition of death sentences in Georgia. Professor Baldus also addressed the significance of the race-of-defendant factor. While he testified that it was not nearly so strong and persistent as the race of the victim, he noted that it did display some marginal effects overall, and that the black defendant/white victim racial combination appeared to have some real impact on sentencing decisions as well. D. Dr. George Woodworth 1. Area of Expertise Petitioner's second expert witness was Dr. George Woodworth, Associate Professor of Statistics and Director of the Statistical Consulting Center at the University of Iowa. Dr. Woodworth testified that he received graduate training as a theoretical statistician under a nationally recognized faculty at the University of Minnesota. (See GW 1.) One principal focus of his academic research during his graduate training and thereafter has been the analysis of "nonparametric" or discrete outcome data, such as that collected and analyzed in petitioner's case. After receiving his Ph.D. degree in statistics, Dr. Woodworth was offered an academic position in the Department of Statistics at Stanford University, where he first became professionally interested in applied statistical research. While at Stanford, Dr. Woodworth taught nonparametric statistical analysis, multi- variate analysis and other related courses. He was also selected to conduct a comprehensive review of the statistical methodology employed in the National Halothane Study, for presentation to the National Research Council. Thereafter, upon accepting an invitation to come to the University of Iowa, Dr. Woodworth agreed to become the director of Iowa's Statistical Consulting Center, in which capacity he has reviewed and consulted as a statistician in ten to twenty empirical studies a year during the past eight years. Dr. Woodworth has published in a number of premier refereed professional journals of statistics on nonparametric scaling tests and other questions related to his expertise in this case. He has also taught courses in "the theory of probability, statistical computation, applied statistics, and experimental design and methodology. In his research and consulting work, Dr. Woodworth has had extensive experience in the use of computers for computer-assisted statistical analysis. After hearing his credentials, the Court qualified Dr. Woodworth as an expert in the theory and application of sta- tistics and in statistical computation, especially of discrete outcome data such as that analyzed in the studies before the Course. 2. Responsibilities in the PRS Dr. Woodworth testified that he worked closely with Professor Baldus in devising statistically valid and acceptable procedures for the selection of a universe of cases for inclusion in the PRS. Dr. Woodworth also reviewed the procedures governing the selection of cases to be included in the three subgroups on which data were collected at different times and with different instruments to ensure that acceptable principles of random case selection were employed. Dr. Woodworth next oversaw the conversion of the data received from the PRS coders into a form suitable for statistical analysis, ‘and he merged the several separate data sets into one “33 comprehensive file, carefully following established statistical and computer procedures. Dr. Woodworth also assisted in the cleaning of the PRS data, using computer techniques to uncover possible errors in the coding of the data. 3. CSS Sampling Plan Dr. Woodworth's next principal responsibility was the design of the sampling plan for the CSS, including the develop- ment of appropriate weighting techniques for the stratified desion: In designing the sample, Dr. Woodworth consulted with Dr. Leon Burmeister, a leading national specialist in sampling procedures. Dr. Burmeister approved the CSS design, which Dr. Woodworth found to have employed valid and statistically accept- able procedures throughout. Dr. Woodworth explained in detail how the sample was drawn, and how the weights for analysis of the CSS data were calculated, referring to the Appendices to GW 2 (see GW 2, pp. S5ff.) 4. Selection of Statistical Technigues Dr. Woodworth testified that he employed accepted statist- ical and computer techniques in merging the various data files collected for the CSS, and in assisting in the data cleaning efforts which followed. Dr. Woodworth also made the final decision on the appro- priate statistical methods to be employed in the analysis of the CSS and PRS data. He testified at length concerning the ld. statistical assumptions involved in the use of weighted and un- weighted least squares regressions, lecgistic regressions and index methods, and gave his professional opinion that each of those methods was properly employed in these analyses according to accepted statistical conventions. In particular, Dr. Woodworth observed that while certain assumptions of least squares analysis appeared inappropriate to the data in these studies -- especially the assumption that any racial effects would exercise a constant influence across the full range of cases -- the use of that method did not distort the effects reported in the analyses, and its use allowed consideration of helpful and unbiased information about the racial effects. Moreover, Dr. Woodworth noted that the alternative analyses which employed logistic regressions -- a form of regression analysis dependent upon assumptions closely conforming to the patterns of data observed in these studies -- also found the persistence of racial effects and showed that the use of least squares analysis could not account for the significant racial disparities observed. 5. Diagnostic Tests Dr. Woodworth conducted a series of diagnostic tests to determine whether the methods that had been selected might have been inappropriate to the data. Table 1 of GW 4 reflects the results of those diagnostic tests, performed on five models that were used throughout the CSS analysis. For both the race of the victim and race of the defendant, Dr. Woodworth compared i 45 coefficients under a weighted least squares regression analysis, an ordinary least squares regression analysis, a "worst case" approach (in which cases with "missing" values were systematically coded to legitimize the system and run counter to the hypotheses being tested), a weighted least squares analysis removing the most influential cases, a weighted least squares analysis accounting for possible "interactions" anong variables, a weighted logistic regression analysis, and an unweighted logistic regression analysis. (GW 4, at Table 1.) Dr. Woodworth also employed a conservative technique to cal- culate the statistical significance of his results (see GW 3, at 6 n.1, and Schedule II, for a calculation of Cressie's safe method) and a "modified Mantel-Haenzel Procedure (see GW 3, Schedules 1 and 3) to test the logistic regressions. These various diagnostic tests did not eliminate, and in most cases ‘did not even substantially diminish, the race-of-victim effects. The levels of statistical significance remained strong, in most instances between two and three standard deviations, even employing Cressie's conservative "safe" method to calculate significance. Dr. Woodworth testified that, after this extensive diagnos- tic evalution, he was confident that the statistical procedures selected and employed in the PRS and CSS analyses were valid, and that the racial disparities found by the two studies were not produced by the use of inappropriate statistical methods or by incorrect specification of the statistical model. - AB iw 6. Models of the Observed Racial Disparities Dr. Hoodworsl then directed the Court's attention to two figures he had developed to summarize the overall racial disparities in death-sentencing rates identified by the CSS study, employing the "mid-range" model in which both Dr. Wood- worth and Professor Baldus had expressed particular confidence. (See GW SA and 5B.) As Dr. Woodworth explained, these figures represented the likelihood of receiving a death sentence at different levels of aggravation. Among black defendants such as petitioner (see GW 5B, Fig. 2), Dr. Woodworth noted that the death-sentencing rate in Georgia rises far more precipitously for white victim cases as aggravation levels increase than does the rate for black victim cases. For example, Dr. Woodworth observed, at the .4 level of aggravation, those black defendants who had killed white victims were exposed to a .15 point higher likelihood of receiving a death sentence. A similar disparity, based upon race of the victim, obtained among white defendants. (See GW 5A, Fig. 1.) From these figures, Dr. Woodworth concluded that although white victim cases as a group are more aggravated than black victim cases, strong racial disparities exist in Georgia even when only those cases at similar levels of aggravation are compared. E. Lewis Slayton Deposition Petitioner offered, and the Court admitted pursuant to Rule 7 of the Rules Governing Section 2254 Cases, a transcript of the deposition of Lewis Slayton, the District Attorney for the Atlanta Judicial Circuit. In his deposition, while District Attorney Slayton stated several times that race did not play a role in sentencing decisions (Dep., at 78), he ac- knowledged that nis office had no express written or unwritten policies or guidelines to govern the disposition of homicide cases at the indictment stage (Dep., 10-12), the plea stage, (Dep., at 26) or the penalty stage (Dep., 31, 41, 58-539). Moreover, murder cases in his office are assigned at different stages to one of a dozen or more assistant district attorneys (Dep., 15, 45-48), and there is no one person who invariably reviews all decisions on homicide dispositions (Dep., 12-14, 20-22, 28, 34-38). Slayton also agreed that his office does not always seek a sentencing trial in a capital case, even when statutory aggravating circumstances are present (Dep., 38-39). Slayton testified further that the decisionmaking process in his office for seeking a death sentence is "probably ... the same" as it was in the pre-Furman period (Dep., 59-61), and that the jury's likely verdict influences whether or not a case will move from conviction to a penalty trial (Dep. 31, 38-39). F. Other Evidence Petitioner offered the testimony of L. G. Warr, a parole officer employed by the Georgia Board of Pardons and Paroles. - 48 = Officer Warr acknowledged that in preparing the Parole Board reports used by Professor Baldus in his study, parole investi- gators were obligated by statute and by the Board Manual of Procedure in all murder cases to speak with the prosecuting attorney and police officers if possible, soliciting records, witness interviews and other sources of information, including comments from the prosecutor not reflected in any written document or file. The Manual instructs investigators that it is imperative in cases involving personal violence to obtain information on all aggravating and mitigating circumstances. The portions of the Manual admitted as LW 1 confirm Officer warr's testimony. Petitioner also introduced testimony from petitioner's sister, Betty Myer, that petitioner's trial jury included eleven whites and one black. Finally, petitioner proffered a written report by Samuel Gross and Robert Mauro on charging and sentencing patterns in Georgia which was refused by the Court in the absence of live testimony from either of the report's authors. II. Respondent's Case Respondent offered the testimony of two expert witnesses, Dr. Joseph Katz and Dr. Roger Burford. A. Dr. Joseph Katz 1. Areas of Expertise Dr. Ratz testified that he had received bachelors degrees - AG - in mathematics and computer science from Louisiana State Univer- sity. Ratz received a Master degree in Mathematics and a Ph.D. degree in Quantitative Methods from L.S.U. A major focus of his professional research has been on input-output multi- plier models used in the projection of economic developments by experts interested in regional growth. Dr Katz has taught various courses in basic statistics, operations research and Linear programming in the Department of Quantitative Methods at L.S.U., in the Department of Nanasenent Information Sciences at the University of Arizona, and in the Department of Quantitative Methods at Georgia State University, where he is currently an Assistant Professor. Dr. Katz has published a number of articles on input-output multipliers in several refereed journals of regional science. Respondent offered Dr. Ratz as an expert on statistics, statistical analysis, quantitative methods, analysis of data, and research design. On voir dire, Dr. Katz acknowledged that he had no expertise at all in criminal justice or in the appli- cation of statistics to criminal justice issues. Dr. Katz was unfamiliar with any literature or research in the area. (Counsel for the State expressly conceded that the State as not offering Dr. Ratz to shed light in the criminal justice area.) Moreover, Dr. Katz has only one prior academic or profes- sional experience in the design of empirical research or the collection of empirical data -- and that one experience involved the gathering of Census data from library sources. He acknowl- edged having taken no academic course in multivariate analysis. - BO Upon completion of voir dire, the Court agreed to accept Dr. Katz as an expert in statistics. The Court declined to qualify him as an expert in criminal justice, research design, or empirical research. 2. Critiques of Petiticner's Studies a. Use of Foil Method Over petitioner's objection predicated on his lack of exper- cise, Dr. Katz was permitted to testify what the use of the foil method of data entry for some of the PRS variables might have resulted in the loss of some information in those instances in which there were insufficient foils. The foil method also prevented a coder from reflecting completely certain data because of the arrangement of several of the foils. Dr. Katz admitted that the CSS questionnaire, which largely avoided any foil entries, was an improvement over the PRS questionnaires, although Dr. Katz faulted the one or two items in the CSS which reverted to a foil approach. b. Inconsistencies in the Data Dr. Katz testified that he had run cross-checks of variables present in cases included in both the PRS and the CSS that appeared to be identical. These checks uncovered what seemed to Dr. Ratz to be a number of "mismatches," suggesting that data may have been entered erroneously in one study, or the other, or both. Cc. Treatment of Unknowns Dr. Katz presented several tables showing what he described BY as "missing values." In his judgment, deletion of all cases with such missing values was necessary, thereby rendering any regression analysis virtually impossible. 3. Dr. Ratz' Conclusion Dr. Ratz hypothesized that the apparent racial disparities reflected in the PRS and CSS research might be explained if it were shown that white victim cases generally were more + aggravated than black victim cases. DE. Katz introduced a number of tables to establish that, as a whole, white victim cases in Georgia are more aggravated than black victim cases. Dr. Ratz admitted, however, that he had performed no analysis of similarly-situated black and white victim cases, controlling for the level of aggravation, nor had he performed any other analyses controlling for any variables that eliminated, or even diminished, the racial effects reported by Baldus and Woodworth. B. Dr. Roger Burford 1. Area of Expertise Dr. Burford testified that he was a Professor of Quanti- tative Methods at Louisiana State University. He was also vice-president of a private research and consulting firm that conducts economic, market and public opinion research requiring extensive use of empirical methods. In his capacity as a consultant, Dr. Burford has testified as an expert witness between 100 and 150 times. Dr. Burford has taught courses in sampling theory, research methods, multivariate analysis, computer simulation BD modelling, and linear programming. He has published three textbooks on statistics sad a wide range of articles on regional economic growth, computer simulation methods, and other topics. Petitioner stipulated to Dr. Burford's expertise in the area of statistical analysis. On voir dire, Dr. Burford admitted that apart from his participation in the statistical analysis of one jury pool, he has had virtually no professional exposure to the criminal justice system and was not qualified as an expert in this area. 2. Pitfalls in the Use of Statistical Analysis Dr. Burford testified that his involvement in the review of the PRS and CSS studies was largely as a consultant to Dr. Ratz. Dr. Burford conducted almost no independent analysis of these studies, but rather reviewed materials generated by Dr. Ratz. Dr. Burford believed that Dr. Katz' approach to the PRS and CSS studies was reasonable, and testified that it "could be useful" in evaluating these studies. The remainder of Dr. Burford's testimony focused upon the general limitations of statistical analysis. He suggested that statistics can provide evidence, but cannot constitute "proof in a strict sense.” Dr. Burford warned that regres- sion analysis can be misused, especially if the underlying data are invalid. Data sets rarely meet all of the assump- tions ideally required for the use of regression analysis. Possible multicolinearity, he warned, could confound regression results, although use of factor analysis admittedly reduces - BY ow the problems of multicolinearity. Dr. Burford also cautioned that step-wise regressions can result in an overfitted model and can thus be misleading. 3. Dr. Burford's Conclusions Dr. Burford did not offer any ultimate conclusions on the validity of the statistical methods used in the PRS and CSS studies. He did acknowledge on cross-examination that the regressions run by Baldus and Woodworth were "pretty conclusive.” III. Petitioner's Rebuttal Case A. Professor Baldus On rebuttal, Professor Baldus disposed of several issues raised by respondent. He first addressed the questions raised by Dr. Katz concerning certain of his coding conventions, especially the failure to distinguish in his machine analysis between items coded 1 ("expressly stated in the file") and items coded 2 ("suggested by the file") on the questionnaires. Baldus restified that to examine the effect of this challenged practice, he had completed additional analyses in which, for 26 aggravating and mitigating variables, he recoded to make distinctions between items coded 1 and 2, rather than collapsing the two categories into one. He found that the distinctions had no effect on the racial coefficients, and only marginally affected the level of statistical significance. Turning to a criticism that, in multiple victim cases, information had not een coded concerning the characteristics of the second and successive victims, Professor Baldus again - Bh w- restified that he had conducted supplemental analyses to consider the problem. For the eight principal victim variables on which the questionnaires or case summaries contained suffice information, he recoded the computer for each of the 50-60 multiple victim cases, and them reran his analyses. The race~-of-victim effects dropped by one-half of one percent, Baldus reported, and the race-of-defendant effects remained unchanged. Baldus next discussed Dr. Katz' table identifying "missin values." He explained that, im his 230+ variable models, the table would reflect approximately 30 missing values per 230- variable case. Baldus noted that much of the data that truly was missing was absent, not from Baldus' own data-gathering effort, but from the magnetic tape provided by the Department of Offender Rehabilitation. Moreover, most of such missing da related to characteristics of the defendants which had not bee used in Professor Baldus' analyses in any event. Other data "missing" from one variable was in fact suppied by data prese somewhere else in the questionnaire in another variable. More centrally, Professor Baldus testifed that his entirs philosphy in the coding of unkmown values, fully consistent with most of the relevant professional literature, was to assume that wherever an item was coded "unknown" or atssing because of an absence of information in the files, the decisid maker, prosecutor or jury, necessarily had been forced to trejg that factor as nonexistent. The basis for that assumption, hg explained, is that rational judgments normally are made upon “ 55 — — — what is known: information not available cannot normally affect a decision. Moreover, Baldus testified that he knew of nothing to suggest any systematic bias created by missing values or unknowns that might possibly affect the racial disparities observed. As a further safeguard on this point, however, Baldus testified about a table reporting regression results, controlling for the racial factors as well as nine statutory aggravating circumstances and prior record, in which he had deleted all cases with missing values, a method recommended by Dr. Katz. (See DB 120). The only effect of the deletions was to increase the race-of-victim coefficient by .02. The race-of-defendant’ coefficient remained the same, although somewhat less statisti- cally significant (compare DB 78 with DB 120). A similar re- sult occurred after reanalysis of the table reported in DB 121. Baldus conducted yet another alternative analysis in which he assumed that every missing value would, if identified, run counter to his hypothesis, diminishing the racial effects. Recalculating his DB 78 under those extreme "worst case” assumptions, Baldus found that the race-of-victim coefficient did drop from .07 to .05, but it remained highly statistically significant at the 1-in-100 level. (See DB 122). The race-of- defendant coefficient dropped from .04 to .03, and remained non-significant. (See also DB 123). To counter Dr. Katz' further suggestion that the lack of information on the race of the victim in a small number of cases might be important, Professor Baldus recoded those cases, - BE - assigning black victim variables in death cases and white victim variables in life cases. Once again, the result of this "worst case" analysis revealed persistent race-of-victim effects, with a very high degree of statistical significance. (See DB 124). Finally, in addressing Dr. Katz' "mismatch" tables for the PRS and CSS files, Professor Baldus observed that some of the "mismatches" simply reflected Dr. Katz' misunderstanding of differences in variable definition between the two files. Other "mismatches" occurred because Dr. Katz identified as errors certain discrepancies between the cases of co-defendants, unmindful that cases of co-defendants often reflect different or inconsistent factual versions of a single crime. In those mismatches where genuine discrepancies existed, Baldus noted, an analysis of the case summaries revealed that the error rate was higher in the PRS and lower in the CSS (on which most of the analyses relied.) Finally, Baldus noted that Dr. Katz had made no assertion that any systematic bias had been introduced by these few random errors. B. Dr. Woodworth 1. Statistical Issues Dr. Woodworth on rebuttal spoke to several additional minor points raised by the State. He first addressed the observation of Dr. Katz that an estimated eleven cases existed in the CSS in which penalty trials had occurred but had not been identified by Baldus' coders. Katz speculated that these eleven omissions might have adversely affected the weighting “Bu scheme for the CSS sample. - Dr. Woodworth acknowledged that eleven missing penalty trial cases would have affected the weighting scheme; however, he calculated the degree of likely impact as affecting the third decimal place of the racial coefficients (e.g., .071 vs. .074.) Dr. Woodworth confirmed Professor Baldus' testimony that, from a statistical standpoint,. the few inevitable, but insignifi- cant- errors that may have been identified by Dr. Ratz' cross- matching procedures could only have affected the racial coeffi- cient if they had been systematic, rather than random, errors. Dr. Woodworth next addressed an implication by Dr. Katz that since the level of statistical significance of the CSS racial disparities had dropped upon the introduction of additional variables to the model, the introduction of still further variables would eliminate statistical significance entirely. Through the use of a simple figure (see GW 6), Dr. Woodworth demonstrated the fallacy in Dr. Katz' reasoning, explaining that there was no statistically valid way to predict the effect of the addition of additional variables to a model. 2. Warren McClesky's Level of Aggragation Finally, in response to a a question posed to him by the Court on petitioner's case-in-chief, Dr. Woodworth reported that, on the aggravation scale reported at GW 5A and 5B, Warren McClesky's case fell at the .52 level (see GW8). At that level, Dr. Woodworth explained, the disparities in black defendant cases dependent upon whether the victim was white or black was approximately 22 points. - 53 Dr. Woodworth testified that, to arrive at the best overall figure measuring the likely impact of Georgia's racial dispari- ties on a case at petitioner's level of aggravation, he had employed a triangulation approach, using three separate measures. Prom GWS8, he drew a measure of 22 points; from DB 90, at level S where petitioner's -case is located, the disparity was 18 points; from Dr. Woodworth's recalculation of logistic proba- bilities, the disparity in the midrange adores 23 points. Dr. Woodworth noted this "almost complete convergence” suggested a measure of the racial impact in a case at petitioner's level of over 20+ percentage points. Ce. Dr. Richard Berk 1. Areas of Expertise Petitioner's final rebuttal witness was Dr. Richard Berk, Professor of Sociology at the University of California at Santa Barbara. Dr. Berk has an undergraduate degree from Yale and a Ph.D from John Hopkins University. (See RB 1.) Dr. Berk has taught courses in econometrics, statistics, and research design, and has published extensively in the areas of criminal justice statistics and sentencing issues. Dr. Berk has served as a consultant to the National Institute of Justice, to the 29/ Both Baldus and Woodworth, as well as Dr. Burford testified that this or a similar model, which did not contain the hundreds of variables that might raise problems of multicolinearity, was probably the best model for measuring possible racial effects. . - 80 w- California Attorney General's Committee on Statistics, and to the counties of Baltimore and Santa Barbara, for which he has designed jury selection systems. Dr. Katz has also served on a select sanel of the National Academy of Science which, during the past two years, has examined virtually every major empirical sentencing study ever conducted and formulated criteria for the conduct of such revanrchiny After hearing his testimony, the Court accepted Dr. Berk as an expert in statistics and in sociology. 2. Quality of Petitioner's Studies Dr. Berk testified that he had received a copy of the magnetic tape containing the PRS and CSS studies some ten months prior to his testimony. During the intervening period, he nad conducted some preliminary analyses on the data and had reviewed the Baldus and Woodworth preliminary report, as well as Dr. Katz' written evaluation of that report. Dr. Berk found both the PRS and CSS to be studies of "high credibility." He testified that among the hundreds of sentencing research efforts he had reviewed for the National Academy of Sciences, the Baldus and Woodworth studies were "far and away the most complete," that they employed "state of the art diagnostics," that the data quality was "very salient" -- in sum that he knew of no better published studies anywhere on any sentencing issue. Dr. Berk also commented favorably on such features of the studies as the 30/ The report of the Special Committee has been published as RESEARCH ON SENTENCING: THE SEARCH FOR REFORM {1983). - BO comprehensive use of alternative statistical analyses, the computer system employed, and Baldus' assumptions about the proper treatment of "unknowns" or "missing values." Moreover, Dr. Berk testified that after reading the Ratz report and hearing the testimony of Dr. Katz and Dr. Burford, he came away even more persuaded by the strength and reliability of petitioner's studies. 3. The Objections of Dr. Katz and Dr. Burford Dr. Berk testified that he concurred with Dr. Burford's testimony listing possible pitfalls in the use of statistical analysis; however, Berk saw no evidence that the Baldus and Woodworth studies had fallen victim to any of these errors, and he did not understand Dr. Burford to have identified any serious weaknesses in either of the studies. Turning to Dr. Katz' testimony, Dr. Berk first addressed the possible effects of multicolinearity on the racial dispari- . ries observed by Baldus. He noted that the diagnostics that had been performed by Dr. Woodworth failed to reveal serious multico- linearity in the studies, but that such effects, even if serious, could have only dampened or diminished the racial effects. Dr. Berk faulted the logic of Dr. Ratz' suggestion that the more aggravated general level of white victim cases was a plausible hypothesis to explain the racial disparities observed. He noted that the important question was how white and black victim cases were treated at similar levels of aggravation; while “ BY Dr. Katz had not even attémpted to address this latter question, petitioner's experts had done so, and he found convincing Dr. Woodworth's proof that at similar levels of aggravation, marked differences were clear in the treatment of cases by race of the victim. Addressing Professor. Baldus' coding .cf "unknowns," Dr. Berk observed that the National Academy of Sciences committee had discussed this very question, concluding as did Professor Baldus that the proper course was to treat unknown data as having no influence on the decigionmaker. Berk further observed, respect- ing the "missing data" problem, that missing data levels no greater than 10 to 15 percent of the total (the PRS and CSS figures were 6 percent or less) "almost never makes a difference” in the outcome of statistical analysis. Moreover, were such missing data having a serious effect on the studies, a predic- table symptom would be a skewing or inverting of other anticipated effects, such as those of powerful determinants of sentence such as the statutory aggravating circumstances. In Baldus' studies, however, no such symptons appeared, leading pr. Berk to discount missing data as a serious problem. D. The Lawver's Model Several weeks after the August, 1983 evidentiary hearing, Professor Baldus submitted an affidavit describing in detail the results of an analysis employing a model developed by the Court; including factors selected as likely to predict whether a homicide case would receive a capital sentence. The race-of- iB) - victim disparities reported by Professor Baldus upon completion of extensive analyses using the Lawyer's Model were fully consistent with the results presented during the evidentiary hearing: "There are persistent race of victim effects and when the analysis focuses on the more aggravated cases, where there is a substan- tial risk of a death sentence, those effects increase substantially. 'Baldus Aff., at 10. See id., at 19. «iB3 Tem) EAT pe I LT bn ca 7% % TEA at CX ve PY: - aw NEE a i I BW : FS IAME Sv Tork 2 $91 : eet. 3s T y are. le; Washington i ea Sea » ANTHONY .G.- AMSTERDAM. - = se: New York Universicy.La 40: Washingtcn Squ “New York, New York 1827 aL. ~ - E A R X e J R A B B he Pe 4 . ATTORNEYS AN Nevertheless, we submit that the statistical case alone is sufficient to warrant relief. This Court has recognized that "(ijn some instances, circumstantial or statistical evidence of racially disproportionate impact may be so strong that the results permit no other inference but that they are the product of a racially discriminatory intent or purpose." Smith v. Ealkcom, 671 F.2d 858, 859 (5th Cir. Unit B 1982) (on rehearing): cf. Adams v. wainwright, 709 F.2d 1443, 1449 (11th Cir. 1983), Petitioner's comprehensive statistical evidence on the cpetabion of Georgia's capital statutes from their inception in 1973 through 1979, demonstrating substantial, pervasive disparities cased upon the race of the nomicide victim and the race of the defendant, constitutes just the sort of "clear pattern, unex- plainable on grounds other than race," Arlington Heights v. Metrooolitan Housing Authority, 439 U.S. 252: :268 (1977), that the Supreme Court has held to establish an Equal Protection violation. It is to petitioner's evidence that we now turn. »> B. The Facts: Petitioner Has Made Out A Compelling o>rima Facie Case Of Racial Discrimination In Capital Sentencing (i) Petitioner's Experts Were Well Qualified The statistical case-in-chief for petitioner was pre- 17/ (continued) washington v. Davis, 426 U.S. 229, 265-66 (1976). Having denied petitioner access to the records from which such discriminatory acts might have been proven, moreover, (R. 596; see Fed. Hab. Tr. 1797-99), the District Court should not have faulted peti- rioner for failure to introduce such non-statistical evidence as part of its case-in-chief. (See R. 1141). If this Court's review of petitioner's substantial statistical evidence leaves the Court with any doubts about petiticner's prima facie claim, it should remand the case to the District Court for tne receipt of this significant nonstatistical evidence. “2 Tu sented through the testimony of two experts eminently qualified to investigate the very matters at issue. Professor David Baldus, petitioner's chief researcher, testified concerning his background and training in law as well as his extensive experi- ence in the development and use of social science methods to examine legal issues. Educated in pelitical science at Pittsburgh and in law at Columbia and Yale Law Schools (Fed. Hab. Tr. 39-42), Baldus has pursued a distinguished research and teaching career, focused upon the applications of social science methods to legal issues. His first major research effort, on the impact of certain social welfare laws, has subsequently "been reprinted in a number of books, and it's used in courses in sociology departments and in law schools to illustrate [time series] ... methodology as a way of trying to determine the impact the enactment of laws ha(s]." (Id. 52-53).18/ As a result of consultations on that first project with Professor James Cole, a statistician, Baldus began an attended research collaboration with Cole on how courts should employ statistical evidence in evaluation of claims of discrimination. (Id. 34-55). The ultimate fruit of that effort is an authorita- sive text in the field, D. BALDUS & J. COLE, STATISTICAL PROOF OF DISCRIMINATION (1980) (id. 68), widely relied upon by the de th ederal courts in evaluating the quality of statistical evidence. (Fed. Hab. Tr. 74-75; see DBS). As part of his research for that work, Baldus happened to 18/ Baldus, "Welfare as a Loan: Aan Empirical Study of the Recovery of Public Assistance Payments in the United States,” 25 STAN. L. REV, 123 (1873). dQ obtain and reanalyze an extensive data set on capital punishment patterns collected in the mid-1960's by Professor Marvin wolfgang.19/ Subsequently, Baldus also obtained and reviewed a second major data set on capital punishment patterns collected at Stanford University during the late 1350's and early 1960's. (1d.).20/ Baldus further pursued his interest in capital punishment in a critical evaluation of the methodologies employed in two key studies on the deterrent value of capital punishment, published in a special 1975 symposium on the death penalty in the Yale Law Journal.21/ | After Gregg v. Georgia in 1976, Professor Baldus' research interest in capital punishment intensified into a principal focus of his work. During the succeed ing seven years, Baldus devoted a major portion of his research (id. 84-100), writing (id. 85-90)22/, and teaching energies (id. 90) to the post-Gregg capital punish- ment statutes and their administration, reviewing every Supreme Court case on capital sentencing and studying the professional 19/ See Wolfgang & Riedel, "Race, Judicial Discretion and the ath Penalty, 407 ANNALS 119 (1973). See Special Edition, "A Study of the California Penalty in First Degree Murder Cases,” 21 STAN. L. REV. 1297 ) 21/ Baldus & Cole, "A Comparison of the Work of Thorsten sellin d Isaac Ehrlich on the Deterrent Effect of Capital Punishment,” Lg L. J. 178 (192%). o H 22/ See DB 1 at 2; e.g., Baldus, Pulaski, Woodworth & Ryle, Identifying Comparatively Excessive Sentences of Deatn," 33 STAN. L. REV. 801 (1977); Baldus, Pulaski & Woodworth, "Prop tionality Review of Death Sentences: An Empirical Study of ZepTgus Experience," J. CRIM. LAW & CRIMINOLOGY (forthcoming 1883). -3G- literature on sentencing patterns in both capital and non-capital cases (id. 130-31; see DB 13) as part of his preparation for the two studies that formea the basis of petitioner's statistical case pelow.23/ Petitioner's other expert on his case-in-chief was Dr. George Woodworth, an Associate Professor of Statistics at the Univeristy of Iowa. Dr. Woodworth testified that he had been trained as a theoretical statistician (id. 11953), specializing in nonparametric analysis of categorical daks (the very sort of data at issue in ‘petitioner's two studies). (Id. 1197, 1200). While teaching at Stanford University, Dr. Woodworth developed an interest in applied statistics (id. 1200), and was invited by the National Research Council and its chief statistician, Frederick Mosteller, to conduct a formal review of the statisti- cal methodology used in a major national research project (id. 1200-01) (which employed many of the methods Baldus and Woodworth ultimately incorporated into their own studies). (Id. 134-38). Dr. Woodworth also served as the Director of Iowa's Statistical Consulting Center, advising researchers on appropriate statistical techniques for over eighty empirical studies. (Ig. 1203-04). He nas published widely in statistical journals (see GW 1+. 8E 2-3], and is a member of the Committee on Law and Justice Statistics of rhe American Statistical Association. (Id. 1194).24/ 23/ Baldus also served as a consultant on capital sentencing review tO two state supreme courts (id. 94-96) and was at the time of the 1983 hearing a principal consultant to a Task Force of the National Center for State Courts, charged with developing appellate capital sentencing methods and standards. (Id. 97-100). In light of his extensive experience, the District Court's finding PO that "[b]efore he became involved in projects akin to that under analyses here, Baldus apparently had had little contact with the criminal justice system," is clearly erroneous. 24/ The District Court qualified Professor Woodworth in the "theory and application of statistics, and in the statistical ... analysis of discrete] outcome data," (id. 1208). -30=- (ii) Petitioner's Data-Gathering Effort Was Carefully Conducted Petitioner's experts testified that they undertock two overlapping studies of the administration of Georgia's capital sentencing system in the post-Furman era. The first of these, entitled the Procedural Reform Study ("PRS"), was designed to examine whether disparities in treatment, based upon race, could be found at two key "decision points" in the Georgia system: the prosecutor's decisien, following a murder conviction, on whether to proceed to a penalty . trial, where a death sentence might be imposed, or to accept the automatic life sentence that follows any murder conviction under Georgia law; and the jury's decision, in those cases advancing to a penalty trial, on life imprisonment or death. (Id. 166-67).25/ The universe for the PRS was defined to include all defendants arrested between the enactment of Georgia's post-Furman capital statute on March 28, 1973 ana June 30, 1978, who were subsequently convicted of murder = some 594 individuals. (Id. 170-71; 1392). The second study, designated the Charging and Sentencing Study ("CSS"), was designed to examine possible racial discrimi- nation at all decision points from indictment forward, including prosecutorial plea bargaining decisions, jury ddbteions on conviction or acquittal, and the sentencing decisions encompassed in the PRS. (Id. 261). The CSS was framed tc include a sample of persons indi a 'a 11 A. m h O rt O 0 tr g = [o 3 0. M fu e) 0. m h fo) ~ voluntary manslaughter 23/ For a description of the statutory options available under Georgia law upen conviction for murder, see Gregg v. Georgia, supra, 428 U.S. at 1e2-566. during the entire period from 1973 through 1378. (1d 263-64) .26/ The data-gathering procedures have Deen summarized elsewhere. (See Spencer lst Br., APD. A 11-13, 17-23). We will here confine our attention to four aspects of that process: (a) the integrity of the data sources; (b) the strengths of the data~-gathering instruments employed; (c) the care and accuracy of the coding process; and the (4) coding conventions employed. (a) The Integrity of the Data Sources Professor Baldus testified that, in choosing a state for study, he and his colleagues "were very much concerned about the availability of data." (Id. 160). Baldus dispatched a colleague "to Georgia for a period of two weeks to find out what data were here that we could get access to, and he returned to Iowa with a glowing report about the many sources of data." (Id. 174-75). These included not only the records of the Supreme Court of Georgia -- which typically contained grial transcripts, trial judges' reports, appellate briefs, and a summary card on each case (id. 175; 202-04; see, e.g., DB 29-33) -- but also back- ground information on each defendant in the files of the De- partment of Qffender Rehabilitation (id. 175; 204-05) and victim information from the Bureau of Vital Statistics (id. 176; 203-06; 26/ The PRS does not involve a sample; instead it includes every individual within the universe. The (SS, by contrast, embraces a universe of 2484 from which a weighted sample of 1066 cases was drawn by scientifically appropriate procedures. {Id4. 265-73). Most importantly, Baldus and his colleagues eventually lo- cated "an. extensive file of information on all offenders” in the 30ard of Pardons and Parcles (id. 176), which became the basic source for the Charging and Sentencing Study. The official Pardons and Parole files, petitioner demon- strated to the District Court, are kept pursuant to a stringent state statute that requires the Board "to obtain and place in its permanent records as complete information as may be practically available on every person who may become subject to any relief which may be within the power of the Beard to grant ... [inclu- ding] A. A complete statement of the crime for which such person is sentenced, [and] the circumstances of such crime ... E. Copy of pre-sentence investigation and previous court record ... [and] H. Any shotat, thysical, mental or criminal records of such person." (Former GA. CODE. ANN. § 77-5312). L.W. Warr, a former field officer for the Board, now a field supervisor (Fed. Hab. Tr. 1327), testified that field officers (all of whom are re- quired to be college graduates) (id. 1329), are trained to "check local criminal records ... go to the clerk of court, get sentence information, indictments, jail time affidavits, we get police reports from the agency that handled the case.” (Id. 1330-31).23/ 27/ The District Court noted that "the police reports were missing in 75% of the cases [and] the coders treated the Parole Board summary as a police report" (R. 1161; see 1157). Officer Warr testified, however, that whenever the actual police reports were not included in Parole Board files, they were always sum- marized, and nothing "contained in the police repcrts ... would [pe] routinely omit{ted]"™ (Fed. Hab. Tr. 1332; accord, id. 1331). Furthermore, Warr stated that, especially in homicide cases, field officers often went beyond the report to "interview the [police] officers that were involved in the ¢ ase” (1d, 1332). Por this reason, the Pardon Board summaries were typically superior sources of information to the actual police reports themselves, “3S In homicide cases, moreover, Parcle Board officers routinely speak, not only with the investigating police officers (id. 1332), but also with the District Attorney tO obtain "his comments con- cerning the case" and "his impression regarding what happened ... involving the particular crime.” (Id. 1333). The officers were guided in their investigation by a Field Operations Manual (LW 1), which contained the following instructions, among others: "3.02 ... The importance of this report cannot be over-emphasized; and where the offender nas been convicted of crimes against the person, it is imperative that the Qfficer extract the exact circumstances surrounding rhe offense. Any aggravating or mitigating circumstances must be included in the report. * * * "3.02 ... Circumstances of the offense - This should be obtained in narrative form, it should be taken from the indictment, the District Attorney's Office, the arresting officers, witnesses, and victim. A word picture, telling what napgened, when, where, how and to whom should be prepared.” x * * The Parole Officer should be as thorough as possible when conducting post-sentences on persons who nave received ... sentences in excess of fifteen years. In cases where arrest reports are incomplete the circum- stances of the offenses shoula be obtained as thoroughly as possible and the Parole Officer should review the transcript of the trial if available for detailed information. A per- sonal interview with the arresting or investi- gating officer is almost always a valuable source of information as the officer may recall important details and facts which were not revealed in the arrest report.” Parole Board record contained any systematic errors Or omissions (id. 648: "we're not in a position at this point to challenge the underlying data source ... from the Pardons and Paroles Board") -- much less any information that these files were sSys-— tematically biased according to the race of the defendant or the victim.28/ Baldus acknowledged that some data were occasionally missing from the Pardons and Paroles files, as well as from the files of other agencies =-- the Georgia Supreme Court, the Department of Of fender Rehabilitation, and the Bureau of Vital Statistics -- to which he also turned. (Id. 205-06). The only important categories of missing data, however, involved information on the race of the victim, on whether a penalty trial had occurred, and on whether a plea bargain had been offered. (Id. 586-88).29/ Baldus took extra- ordinary steps to obtain this information from official files, even writing systematically to defense counsel and prosecutors to secure it where official sources failed. (Id. 587-838; see DB 45, 46). Moreover, petitioner sought without success to secure In light of this uncontradicted testimony, the Districe 's findings that "[tlhe information available to the coders e Parole Board Files was very summary," (R. 1160), and |ne Parole Board summaries themselves were brief" or st{e]" (id.), are at least misleading, if not clearly - 2Y9/ Despite extensive testimony explaining the rationale under which the coders were instructed to code certain information as "J" or "unknown" in Baldus' questionnaires (see id. 444-45, 324- 27, 1684-90), and further testimony on the scientific appropriate- ness of Baldus' use of the "U" code (id. 1761-64), the District Court suggests throughout its opinion that this accepted coding ; convention represents "missing data" (R. 1163-67). We deal with the "U" coding issue and its actual effect on Baldus' analyses at pages 41-44. these data from respondent during the discovery process. (R. 3556; 595-96; 599; 813). In the end, the amount of missing data proved scientifically insignificant. Only 5 of the 3594 cases in the PRS lacked race- of-victim information (id. 1096; 1705-06); for the CSS, the number was 63 of 1066 (id.). Penalty trial information was missing in only 23 of the 594 for the PRS (id. 1104), in an estimated 20 to 30 of 1066 cases in the CSS. (Id. 1119-211, Plea bargaining information -- information not on record facts about whether bargains were accepted and pleas entered, but rather more informal information on whether pleas had been unsuccessfully sought or offered (id. 1152-33) =-- was obtained for sixty percent of the cases. (Id. 1153). As petitioner's expert noted (id. 1765-66; see Fed. Oct. Tr. 82) and as commentators have agreed, missing data at a rate of 10 to 12 percent normally does not produce any systematic bias in ultimate outcomes, see, £.9. vuyanich v. Republic Nat'l Bank of Dallas, 505 F. Supp. 224, 257 (N.D. TeX. 1980), vacated on other grounds, 723 F.2d 1195 (Sth Cir. 1384) .30/ (0) The Quality of the Data-Gathering Instrument During the data collection effort for the PRS and the CSS, Baldus and his colleagues developed and employed three separate questionnairies -- two for the PRS, and 2 third, modified and improved instrument for the CSS. The initial PRS "Supreme Court 20/ To confirm those theoretical judgments Baldus testified at he performed a wide range of alternative analyses, including hose specifically recommended as appropriate by respondent’ Ss perts (id. 1301), precisely in order to see whether these issing data might have affected the persistent racial disparities hat he found. (Id. 1101; 1694-1708). None dia. ( v 3 O r r 1 (§] Md [a T -3f~ Questionnaire" (see DB 27), 120 pages in length, was devised through a lengthy drafting process. "We sought to identify," Baldus testified, "any variable that we believed would bear on [the] matter of the death worthiness of an individual offender's CES@ ... relating to the nature of the crime, the personal charac- teristics of offender, characteristics of the victim." (Id. 194-393). The initial Supreme Court Questionnaire proved of nvieldy length for use in the field. (1d. 208). Therefore, although 330 rages in the PRS study were eventually coded using this instru- ment (id. 200; see DB 28, at 2), Baldus developed a revised version, designated the "Procedural Reform Questionnaire" (see DB 35). The Supreme Court Questionnaire was actually coded in Iowa, by coders who employed copies of original court documents obtained from official Georgia files (see, e.9., DB 29-33), as well from detailed abstracts of the files and a written case summary provided on each case by Baldus' Georgia coders. (See DB 33; Fed. Hab. Tr. 208-15). However, the 351 Procedural Reform Questionnaires were all filled out in Georgia, in the offices of - the public agencies involved, with "the source document literally at [their] fingertips when [they] did the coding." (Id. 368). One major feature of both PRS questionnaires (as well as the CSS questionnaire) was their inclusion of a "narrative summary" section, in which the coders could register important information that was not otherwise covered in the questionnaire. As Professor Baldus explained, "[wle had nc illusion that our questionnaire could capture every nuance of every case. But we wanted to be able to record that somenow. So we enterad that information on these ... summaries.” (Id.).31/ Baldus also created an "other" category for certain questions to permit a coder to include unforeseen but possibly relevant information.32/ Despite the comprehensiveness of the PRS Instronents, the CSS questionnaire (see DB 38) marked a substantial improvement in several respects. First, Baldus included a number of vari- ables to capture the strength of the evidence. (Fed. Hab. Tr. 274-75). Second, he added additional sariables on legitimate aggravating and mitigating factors. (Id. 274). Third, Baldus virtually abandoned the "foil entry" format employed in the PRS questionnaires, under which a coder could occasionally find too few foils on which to enter relevant data in response to partic~ ular questions. (Id.).33/ 31/ The District Court apparently misconceived Baldus' testi- mony concerning these summary documents, stating that "an important limitation placed on the data Ddase was the fact that the questionnaire could not capture every nuance of every case. BR. 239" (R. 1159). In fact, the summaries were included pre- cisely to permit Baldus to capture such nuances. 32/ The District Court also treated this "other" coding feature 3s if it were a deficiency in the questionnaire design, not an agsse-. (R. 1168). In fact, it permitted Baldus tO capture addi- rional information and determine whether some unforeseen factor may have had a systematic impact on his analyses. (I. 1708-09). Baldus re-analyzed the "other" response in some of his alterna- tive statistical analyses, finding that their inclusion "had no effect whatever. It in no way diminished the racial effects. In fact, it intensified them slightly." (Id. 1710). 33/ The District Court faulted the questionnaires for their use of the foil method (R. 1139-80), without making clear that this method was largely a feature of the PRS study -- which played only a minor role in Baldus' analyses. Almost all of the major analyses were conducted on the CSS data. (Id. 1437). Even so, as a check on the impact of the foils, Baldus identified some 30 PRS cases in which there was "overflow information ... that wouldn't £it into the original foils," recoded all of the important variables from the PRS in which the foil method nad been employed, re-ran his analyses and "found that the results were identical, and in fact, the race effects became somewhat intensified when chis additional information was included." (Id. 1099-1100). A recoding of the only two items on the CSS questionnaire that had retained the foil method obtained identical results. (Id. 1101) -33~ The State's principal expert conce that the (SS instru- ed ment was "an improvea questionnaire.” (Id. 1392); indeed, respon- dent never proposed Or identified any variables or set of vari- ‘ables, not included in the analyses, that might have eliminated rhe racial disparities reported by Baldus. (Id. 1609). {c) The Care Emploved in Coding The coding process for both studies employed "state-of-the- art" procedures designed to ensure uniform, accurate collection of data. Initial coding for the PRS study was overseen by a law graduate (id. 207-05) who developed with Baldus a written "srotocol,” a series of careful instructions to coders meant to achieve consistent treatment of issues by regularizing coding practices. (Id. 227-28; see DB 34). To complete the questionnaire for the css study, Baldus employed as his supervisor Edward Gates, one of the two coders who had earlier worked on the PRS study. (Id.). He recruited five coders in a nationwide law school search (id. 301); Baldus flew to Georgia for a week .in June of 1981 to train the students, explain the extensive written protocol 34/(id. 310-11); see DB 43) and code practice questicnnaires with them. (Id. 309). Throughout the summer, Baldus maintained daily telephone contacts with Gates and the coders to resolve any issues presented by the coding. (Id. 400). The State's expert purported to test the coders' accuracy, not by checking qu uestionnaires obtained through discovery 34/ The written protocol, as this Court ¢an observe from even a quick review (see DB 43), involved hundrads of instruct ions on both general coding issues and specific issues for particular questions. The District Court's statsment that "the coders were given two general rules to resolve ambiguities of fact,” {R. 11317), hardly does justice to the care taken u providing guidance to “3Qm against files in the State's possession, but by running Computer comparisons on those cases included in both the PRS and CSS studies. This computer check generated a list of ostensible "mismatches," which the State implied were indicative of multiple . coding errors. The District Court apparently credited this argument. (R. 1162). The State's expert admitted, however, that in compiling "mismatches” he had made no attempt to compare the coding instructions from the PRS and CSS protocols, to see whether in fact coders had been following identical rules. (Id. 1447). In fact, as Batdis and Gates both testified, instructions for cod- ing items in the two studies were often quite different. As a general example, in the PRS, coders were required to draw reason- able inferences from the file (id. 367); in the CSS, they were net, (Id.). By way Of further example, protocols for the coding of the (B)(3), (b)(7) and (2)(10) aggravating circumstances were very different in the PRS and CSS studies. In short, as the | State was forced to concede, "I don't believe Dr. Katz is indi- cating either one is necessarily right or wrong in his judgment. He's just indicating he's done a computer count and found these inconsistencies." (Id. 1444). Professor Baldus testified on rebuttal that he had performed an extensive analysis of the State's alleged mismatches, employ- ing the official file materials and the narrative summaries, to determine whether the inconsistencies represented coding errors, rather than differences in PRS and CSS coding instructions or differences due to data sources relied upon. (Id. 1718-189). (Many Of the PRS cases were coded from Georgia Supreme Court materials, dy whereas all of the CSS cases were coded from the Pardons and paroles Board files). Baldus reported that "the average mismatch rate was 6 percent, of which one percent ... were attributable to either a coding error Or a keypunching error or data entry error Of one sort or another." (Id. at 1719). Baldus added "that translates into an error rate of approximately one-half of one percent in each of the two studies. However, we found on further examination that ... the error rate in the Procedural Reform Study was higher than it was in the Charging and Sentencing Study. (Id. 1719-20). Since the CSS study was the basis for most of Baldus' analyses (id. 1437), it appears that the actual error ~ rate was extremely Low. (d) The Basic Coding Conventions The State vigorously attacked one coding convention relied on oy Baldus and his colleagues throughout the PRS and CSS studies: the use of a "U" or "unknown" code. edward Gates explained that coders were instructed to enter a "1" if a fact were "expressly stated in the file" (id. 444), a non if the fact were "suggested by the file but not sP cifically indicated", (id. 444-43), a blank if the fact were inconsistent with the file, and a "U" if 35/ The District Court noted that there were inconsistencies = between the coding of "several variables" for petitioner McCleskey and his co-defendants (R. 1161). The Court's only reference is to testimony indicating that in the PRS study, petitioner McCleskey was coded as having three special aggravating factors while co-defendant Burney is coded as having only two. Gates testified that coding provisions for co-perpetrators in the CSS study were "far superior ... in terms of precisely defining the differences between the roles that the different actors in the crime played.” (Id. 471). Once again the discrepencies appear to pose NO threat to Baldus' analyses, which were largely based on CSS data. Indeed, although different coders wers allowed to ccde the cases of co-perpetrators in the PRS (id. 1110-13), for the CSS, Baladus developed the practice of naving a single coder complete gues- rionnaires on all co-perpetrators. (Id. 1124-26). “dl che coder could not classify the item based on the file, ~ {1d.). As Professor Baldus explained: What an unknown means basically as it's coded in the Charging and Sentencing Study is that the ... information in the file, was insufficient to support an inference as to the occurrences or the non-occurrence of the event.... The idea was chat if the file would not support an inference of an occur- rence or non-occurrence, then we would further presume that the person who created that file or who had the information that was available in that file would be in a state of ignorance with respect to that fact. Furthermore, upon the basis of my knowledge of decision making and also on the basis of my prac- tical experience, when people are ignorant about a fact, that fact does not Decome a determinant in the decisicn making. (Id. 1684-85). In sum, while the CSS instrument permitted the coders to reflect the distinction between the affirmative non-existence of a fact in the file (coded blank), and uncertainty about its rossible non-existence {coded "U"), once statistical analysis began, the "U" was properly recoded as not present. Baldus offered as an example of this logic the aggravating variable that the "victim pled for his life." If there had been witnesses present during the crime, a coder would code that variable either present or absent, depending on the witnesses’ accounts. But if there were no witnesses or other evidence, Baldus reasoned there was no way to make an inference either way, ané the item would be coded "og." (Id. 1685-86; see also id. 1155-58).356/ 36/ The District Court's counter-example ccmpletely missed the point. Twice the Court adverted to a case in which the defendant told four other people about the murder, but in which the coder was unable to determine from the file whether the defendant had (Continued) This explanation casts in a radically different light the District Court's ominous-looking list of variables coded "U" in more than ten percent of the dats. (R. 1163-65). Many involve either state-of-mind or relational variables that are often unknown to any outside investigator. For example, while "Defendant's Motive was Sex" may be important if known to a prosecutor or jury, if the fact can be neither eliminated nor confirmed from the evidence, Baldus' rule would be to code it "unknown," and ultimately discount its impact either way by treating it as non-existent. The District Court appeared to challenge the basic loglc of - this coding treatment: “the decision to treat the "U" factors as nct being cresent in a given case seems highly guesticnakle ... it would seem that the more rational decision would be to treat the "U" factors as being present.” (R. 1163). Yet no expert in the case -- neither petitioner's (id. 1184-30 (Baldus); 36/ (continued) been bragging or expressing remorse. (R. 1160, 1161-62). The Court reasoned that "[a]s the witnesses to nis statement were available to the prosecution and, presumably, to the jury, that information was knowable and probably known. It was not, however, captured in the study." (R. 11860). The Court's reasoning assumes that the defendant must have either been bragging or expressing remorse, and that the prose-~ cutor, by interviewing the four witnesses, must have ascertained which. It is equally likely, however, that the defendant told others about the murder without either bragging or expressing remorse. In that case, the file would properly reflect the contact with the witnesses, but would not reflect bragging or remorse. Under Baldus' rules the coder would code "unknown" and the bragging and remorse would ultimately be treated as not having occurred. Only if the prosecutor and jury had known of bragging or remorse, but the parole officer had somencw failed to learn of it in his review of the transcript, in his talks with the police and the District Attorney, or in his review Of police files, would "U" be a misleading code. -43= 1761-63 (Berk)), nor respondent's (id. 1503; (Katz); 1656-58 (Burford)) suggested that a "U" should be coded as "1" or "present" for purposes of analysis. Indeed, Dr. Berk, petitioner's rebuttal expert, testified that the National Academy of Science panel on sentencing had expressly considered this issue during .its two-year study of sentencing research and had endorsed the very approach Baldus adopted. (Id. 1761-63). The District Court's conclusion that a contrary code should have been used is without foundation in the record.37/ Ber Ld (iii) The Statistical Methods Were valid and Appropriate Having gathered and compiled their data, Baldus and his colleagues employed a wide variety of statistical procedures £0 analyze it, including cross-tabular ccmparisons (id. 683, 701-05), unweighted least squares regressions (id. 689-700), weighted least squares regressions (id. 1222-23), logistic regressions (id. 917-18), index methods (id. 1234-386), and qualitative case comparisons, or so-called "cohort" studies, (id. 1045-33}, Baldus employed these methods on progressively more elaborate "models," or groups of variables chosen tO determine whether the race-of-victim and race-of-defendant disparities could be reduced 37/ Moreover, Baldus restified that, among a series of al tives analyses he conducted to test the effects of nis "Qo" rules (see generally Fed. Hab. Tr. 1484-1704 and DB 120-12 he recoded unknowns as "1" or "present" just as the Court recommended. The effects on racial disparities "were withi percentage point of one another and all the comaificisnss £ were statistically significant in one analysis were in the other." (Id. 1701). Another alternative YS ie emplovin "list-wise “deletion” of all cases with "U" codes, recommenda the State's principal expert, (id. 1501-02), also nad no adv effect (id. 1695-96); see DB 120); indeed it increased the race-of-victim coefficient by two percentage points. or ~ (e} £ 3 H- fu 3 } Ve ) o w yY 3 h ~ 0 Q 0 Q O ~ r o na [3 D 2 0 -44- or eliminated: Baldus explained that no single method of statistical analysis, and no single model, was invariably infall- ible, but that if statistical results could persist, no matter what methods were emploved, a researcher could have great confidence that the "triangulated" results reflected real differences: It's this widespread consistency that we see in the results ... it's this triangulation approach, if you will, that provides the principal basis for our opinions that there are real racial effects operating in the Charging and Sentencing System. . (Id. 1082-83). : The District Court failed throughout to appreciate the logic of this approach. Instead, it rigidly, and petitioner submits erroneously, refused to admit "except as to show process” a series of cRlevant models, solely because they did not include variables the Court thought should be included. (See id. 742-46; 755: 760; 768; 771-73; 779; 981-82; 984). Indeed, the Court's approach throughout fhe hearing was to fault Baldus' models for failure to account for unspecified "unique" factors. (E.g., id. 825; Ped, OCt. Tr, 92).3%/ The Court reasoned =-- contrary to the expert testimony of Baldus (Fed. Hab. Tr. 808-19); wWocdworth (Fed. Oct. Tr. 55); and the State's expert Dr. Burford (id. 1673) 38/ The Court also pL in its opinion that, at the invitation of petitioner's experts, it was able to test its own "Lawyer's Model," EIR by the District Court during the August 1983 hearing to reflect those factors ic believed to be most likely to predict the sent encing outcome. (Id. 810; 1426; 1475-76; 1800-03; see C-1). Baldus' subsequent analyses employ- ing the Court's own model showed sharp differences in sentencing outcomes by racial category. (R., 735, 738). Strong and scatis- tically significant race-cf-victim effects were reflected upon regression analysis, whether employing the least squares (R. 738) or the logistic approach (R. 739), and Baldus averred that these analyses further reinforced his earlier testimony. (See generally R. 731- reall J V0 -45=- —— that since Balaus testified that he had identified 230 variables that might be expected to predict who would receive death sentences, "it follows that any model which does not include the 230 variables may very possibly not present 2 whole picture.” (R. 1171). If respondent had demonstrated that peti- tioner's racial disparities only appeared in smaller models, but disappeared or were substantially reduced whenever 230-variable analyses were conducted, the District Court's position would rest on logic and precedent. Since, however, 3s we will demon- strate below, the race-of-victim disparities continue to show strong effects in large models as well as small, the District Court's position is without support. As a matter of fact, it is. clearly erroneous; not even rhe State's expert advanced such a contention. As a matter of law, it has no allies. No prior case has ever intimated that only large-scale models can constitute relevant evidence in a statistical case. See, £.9.. Eastland v. Tennessee Valley Authority, 704 F.2d 613, 622-23 n.14 (11th Cir. 1983). (iv) The Results Make Out A Prima Facie Case Of Racial Discrimination To begin his analysis, Baldus first calculated. sentenc- ing outcomes by race, unadjusted for any additional variables or background factors.39/ The pattern Re found (DB 63) revealed marked racial disparities:40/ 1 39/ Each of these analyses was conducted on the CSS data, unless otherwise noted. : : 40/ These results closely parallel earlier Georgia findings. Sowers & Pierce, "Arbitrariness and Discrimination under Post-Furman Capital Statutes," 26 CRIME & DELINC. 563, 599 -46- 3lack Defendant/ white Defendant/ Black Defendant/ White Defendant/ White Victim . White Victim Black Victim Black Victim 22 .08 01 33 (50/228) (58/745) (18/1428) (2/64) (Id. 730-31). However, Baldus made it clear that "[t]his table merely generates an hypothesis ... it has no controls. There are many rival hypotheses that could explain these relationships.” {I&. 731). Baldus thus oegan a series of analyses, steadily adding ‘background variables to his multiple regression analyses, thereby "controlling for" or holding constant the effect of those factors, to see if an independent racial effect would persist. Baldus found strong racial effects when he controlled for all of Georgia's statutory aggravating circumstances (DB 78) and in addition, for 75 mitigating factors (DB 79). In D2 80, Baldus presented an important table which compared the racial effects in several, increasingly complex models. Excerpts from that table reveal the following: After further After Before After Adjust- Simultaneous Simultaneous ‘Adjustment ment for the Controls for Control for for any Back- Other Vari- Nine Background 230 + Non Racial ground Factors able Racial variables 4 Factors Race of victim 10 «37 «07 .06 (.0C01) {.0001) (.001) £.0%) Race of Defendant -.03 +10 .04 .06 {.03) (001) (230) {.01) Baldus noted that while the coefficients41/ for race-of-victim declined somewhat as additional background variables were added 41/ Professor Baldus testifi ed 1s a summary figure that provid - es (Continued) wy Ny i to the analysis, and that while the measures of statistical significance also declined ,42/ both figures remained signifi- cant. Baldus explained that it is "quite unusual to see an event like that,” since so many of the 230 variables were themselves correlated with both the race of the victim and the sentencing outcome, a fact that could be statistically expected to suppress the magnitude of the racial variable. (Id. 804). To examine the relative power of the race-of-victim and race-of-defendant variables in sentencing decisions, Baldus compared them with other important sentencing variables, rank- ordered by their coefficients (DB 81, 82). The impact of the race-of-victim variable proved of the same order of magnitude as major aggravating factors such as whether the defendant had a pricr record of murder, Or whether the defendant was the prime mover in the crime (1d. §12-1%)., Baldus then continued his analyses, looking at other models that might eliminate rhe racial effects. Petiticner's Exhibit DB 83 includes a variety of such models, some employing all 230 of Baldus' recoded variables. All of these models show 41/ continued and without the presence of a variable, across all the cases. (Id. 830~ -34). A coefficient of .06 for a variable means that rhe presence of that variable, after controlling for all other factors in the model, would increase rhe outcome of interest (here, a death sentence) Dy an average of six percentage points. (14. 692-93). 42/ Statistical significance, Baldus explained, is a measures SE the likelihood that if, .in the universe of cases as a whole, there are in fact no disparities, one could have obtained disparate results merely DY chance. (Id. 712-13). Normally expressed in "p" values, 2 figure of .01 means the likelihood rnat the coefficient 1s merely a chance finding is 1-in-100; a figure of .0007 would mean 1-in-10,00C0. “iG strong race-of-victim and race-of-defendant effects.43/ I. W.L.S. REGRESSION RESULTS A B c Coefficients and Level Non-Racial of Statistical Significance Variables in The Analysis Race of Victim Race of Defendant a) 230 + aggravating, mitigating, evidenti- ary and suspect factors b) Statutory aggravating circumstances and 126 factors derived from the entire file by a factor analysis c) 44 non-racial vari- ables with a statisti- cally significant relationship (P<.10) to death sentencing Qu 14 legitimate, non- arbitrary and statis- tically (P<.10) sig- nificant factors screened with W.L.S. regression procedures e) 13 legitimate, non- arbitrary and statis- tically significant (P<.10) factors screened with logistic regression procedures .06 (.02) .07 {.01) .07 (.0002) .06 (.0C1) .086 (.001) .06 (02) .06 (.019) .086 (.0004) .06 (.001) .05 {.02) Baldus adopted yet a different approach td analyze precisely where in the system the racial effects were having their impact. Employing a racognized social science technique, 43/ In light of DB 81 and DB 83, as well as DB 102 and DB 1053, The District Court was clearly erroneous in asserting that "(t]he best models which Baldus was able to devise whic! account tc any significant degree for the major non-racial variables, including strength of the evidence, produce no statistically significant evidence that race plays a part in either of those decisions in the State of Georgia." {R.. 1787). wd Go the "index method," (see id. 877, 1234-36) he sorted the cases into roughly equal groups based upon their predicted likelihood of receiving a death sentence (id. 877-79); he then analyzed racial disparities within those groups, which included increas- ingly more aggravated cases. (See DB 89). Noting that the likeli- hood of a death sentence rises dramatically in the most aggravated groups, Baldus further divided the top groups into eight subgroups for analysis. As the excerpted portion of that table (DB 90) reveals, share are clear race-of-victim differences - especially in the middle range of cises -=- which are statistically significant overall at a .01 (1=-in=-100) level. A ¥ ET 2 E Predicted Average Chance of Actual Death Sentencing Arithmetic a Death Sentencing Rates for Black Difference Sentence Rate for Defendant Involving in Rate of 1 (least) the Cases White Black the Victim to: 8 at Each Victim Victim Rates (highest) Level Cases cases (Col, C~ Coli, D) 1 .0 +0 .0 : (0/33) + 40/9) (0/19) .0 2 .0 .0 +5 .0 (0/33) (0/8) (8/27) 3 .08 30 + 11 «39 (0/70) {3/10) (2/18) 4 «07 as 0 vod (4/57) (3/13) (0/15) 3 «a7 oD «37 .18 (15/58) (8/26) (2/32) 6 17 “33 05 33 (11/64) (3/8) (1/20) 7 .88 «97 75 16 (51/38) (20/22) (6/8) Baldus observed that there was little disparity in the less aggravated cases, "[olut once the death sentencing rate pegins to rise, vou'll note that it rises first in the white victim cases. It rises there more sharply than it does in the black victim cases." (Id. 882-83).44/ Baldus testified that, in his opinion, these data supported an hypothesis first advanced by Harry Kalven and Hans Zeisel in their work, THE AMERICAN JURY 164-67 (1968), "what they call the liberation hypothesis and in short what it was, that the exercise of discretion is concen- crated in the area where there's real room for choice. [W]hen you look at the cases in ... the midrange, where the facts do not call clearly for one choice or another, that's where you see there's room for exercise of discretion ... the facts liberate the decision maker to have a broader freedom for the exercise of aiscretion, and it is in the context of arbitrary decisions that you see the effects of arbitrary or possibly impermissible factors working. (Id. 844) Saldus and Woodworth marshalled a substantial body of evidence in support of this liberation hypothesis during the evidentiary hearing. The most striking illustration was the figure constructed by Woodworth to illustrate the differential rates at which the likelihcod of receiving a death sentence rises in Georgia fer black victim and white victim cases, given similar levels of aggravation. Woodworth noted that, according to this graph, petitioner Warren McCleskey's level of aggravation "slace(s] him in a class of defendants where there is roughly a 44/ The District Court apparently misunderstood those tables. It noted, as if the fact were contrary to Baldus' testimony, that DB 89 reports "higher racial disparities in the most aggrav- ated level of cases," (emphasis added). It also discounted the results in DB 90 because, unlike DB 89, it was purportedly not "oredicated on a multiple regression analysis." (R. 1205). In fact, the liberation hypothesis predicts that « Ltd h t Mm Wun (t f jo | fu a — - 0 — Co Nn 1) wn ; exist only at the higher levels of DB 89, a tabpl all cases -- most Of them very unaggravated. It is only in DB 90, which comprises the subset of cases in which the risk Of a deat! sentence becomes significant, that the disparities in the middle range appear. (Fed. Hab. Tr. 882-83) Like DB 83, morsover, DB 90 was built ov employing regression analysis; tne Court's surmise t¢ the contrary is clearly erroneous. -3l- Gwe ions and Nonlinearities-- - = Interac ody rd 100 75 & £9 i l e n CQ Q WE 1) u s nl ; Bi 5 250 n mn 4 (AME) w o n a ka | Sse eg ny C 0 qr -- A 5 3 8 a > C a OO Wr 8) "nn i U n 0 “) u a QO 0 0 "n a ~! ( G 1 ) £ 3 wm om J o d w t p i Q O m on on wy oa UO fs 1 [@ Vv nn nl . om — he 0) 0 , 3) io Mm a a h y p ) i nm o v o 9 he 1 3 L M U wD BF MIE 1) v a d ERE AD) W E 2 9 0 = un ov . nt) twenty percentage point of greater disparity between black victim cases [and] ... white victim cases." (Id. 1734-35). [See GW 8] Baldus performed a wide variety of further analyses which we cannot fully review within the confines of this brief. A few, however, require additional attenticn. The District Court, unguided by experts .for either petitioner or respondent, suggested that DB 95 was "perhaps the most significant table in the Balaus study," since it "measures the race of the victim and the race of the defendant effect in the prosecutorial decision td seek the death sentence and the jury decision to impose the death sentence.” (R. 1185). The Court noted that "tlhe coefficients produced by the 230-variable model on the Charging and Sentencing Study data base [in DB 95] produce no statistically significant race of the victim effect either in the prosecutor's decision ... Or in the jury sentencing decision." (R. 1188).. The Court's statement in a literal sense is accurate. It disregards, however, that the CSS figure, P=.06, is in fact maryinally significant; that the equivalent PRS model does pro- duce a statistically significant result;45/ that the smaller model results were highly significant; 48/ and that an analysis 45/ The Court discounted this figure as "totally invalid for [the PRS Mcdel] contains no variable for strength of the evidence." (R. 1185). In so doing, it ignored Baldus' obvious point that strength of the evidence was substantially controlled for in the PRS, since the universe was limited by definition to cases in which a conviction -- presumably based on evidence sufficient beyond a reasonable doubt =-- had been obtained. (Fed. Hab. Tr. 124-25). 46/ The Court stated that it "knows of no statistical convention wnich would permit a researcher arbitrarily to exclude factors on the basis of artificial criteria.” (R. 1186). Baldus in fact cestified without contradiction that such a procedure 1s commonly used in statistical analyses. (The State's principal expert employed a variant of it throughout his testimony.) (See, e.d., Resp. Ex. 26, 43, 45, S50). -52- of the combined effect of the prosecutorial and jury decision (see DB 98) showed a series of highly statistically significant race-of-victim effects. In truth, what the Court has done 1s to identify one of the very few large model coefficients for the race-of-victim variable in either study that is not statistically significant, brand it as a key figure, and then disparage all collateral evidence that places it in context. Such an approach to petitioner's comprehensive statistical evidence constitutes a legally insufficient basis to reject petitioner's persistent racial findings.47/ THe second series of analyses that require comment are those directed toward Fulton County (Where petitioner was tried) and toward petitioner's own case. Baldus conducted both quantitative and qualitative studies of death sentencing rates in Fulton County which were reflected in DB 106 through DB 116.48/ Baldus testified that a repetition in Fulton County of the pro- gressively more elaborate analyses he had conducted statewide "showed a clear pattern of race-of-victim disparties in death sentencing rates among the cases which our analyses suggested were death eligible." (Id. 983). Regression analyses at success 47/ The District Court also chose to impugn the integrity of petitioner or his experts in discussing this exhibit, noting that "we are given no outcomes based on the larger scaled regression," although the Court "does not understand that the analysis was impossible, but instead ,,. that mecause of the small numbers the result produced may not have been statistically significant." (R. 1137). The Court is wrong; such analyses employing these small numbers are statistically inappropriate. See 2.9., galinski and Feldt, "The Selection of Variables in Multiple Regression Analysis," 7 J. EDUC. MEASUREMENT, 151 (1970). We note, morever, that noth in this table and elsewhere, petiticner and his experts regularly reported non-significant findings sven when statisti- cal procedures could be appropriately conducted upon them. 48/ The District Court refused t DB 107 (id. 981-92), and DB 108 ( they did not sufficiently control were irrelevant. This holding is o admic DB 106 (id. 979), . 984), holding that recause or background variables they egally erroneous. 3 Rig - - 1 «3m sive stages in the charging and sentencing process revealed highly significant racial disparities at two points: the prosecutor's plea bargaining decision and the prosecutor's decision to advance a case to the penalty phase. (Id. 1038-39). While Baldus necessar- ily tempered his evaluation of these results Decause of the small size of the universe, (id. 1040-43), he noted tnat "these coeffi- cients are very large, it's not as if we're dealing with small coefficients, these are substantial. So that leads me to believe that what you're seeing is evidence of a real effect." (Id. 1044). To supplement this statistical picture, Baldus con- ducted two cohort studies, one of the "near neighbors" cases, those which scored most like petitioner McCleskey in an overvall "aggravation index." (Id. 986-91). Having identified 32 near neighbors, Baldus sorted them into typical, more aggravated, and less aggravated groups. (Id. 991). Computing death sentencing rates by race of victim and race of defendant, Baldus found sig- nificant disparities; in McCleskey's group, the disparity was 40, {1d. 993). In a second cohert study Baldus examined 17. defendants involved in the homicides of police officers. Two among the seventeen, including petitioner McCleskey, went to a penalty trial. The other defendant, whose police victim was lack, received a life sentence. (Id. 1050-52; DB 116). Petitioner's sentence was, of course, death. "(T]he principal cenclusion rhat one is left with," Baldus testified, "is that ... this dea=h sentence that was imposed in McCleskey's case is not consistent with the disposition of cases involving police officer victims in this county." (See also 1085-88). Finally, Dr. George Woodworth, petitioner's expert statistician, testified concerning the likely impact of the -54- racial variables on a case at petitioner McCleskey's level of aggravation. Woodworth noted that, using his exhibit Gw-3, ne had computed the race-of-victim disparity at petitioner's level of aggravation to be 22 percentage poincs., (14. 1738). He then turned to DB 90 and observed an 18 percentage point dis- parity by race at petitioner's level. (Id. 1739). Calculated by use of an unweighted logistic regression, the racial disparity was 23 percent. (Id. 1740). Wocdworth concluded: So it would seem that at Mr. McCleskey's level of aggravation the average white victim case has approxi- mately a twenty percentage point higher risk of receiv- ing the death sentence than a similarly situated black victim case. (Id. 1740) .43/ Petitioner's final expert was Dr. Richard Berk, . a highly qualified social scientist (see RB 1) and a frequent consultant on criminal justice matters to the United States Department of Justice. (Id. 1753). Berk in fact had served on a distinguished National Academy of Sciences panel charged with reviewing all previous research on criminal sentencing issues in order to set standards for the conduct of such research. (Id. 1761-62). After reviewing Baldus' studies, 49/ Beyond this statistical and qualitative evidence on cases Tike petitioner's, petitioner introduced the depositicn of Dis~- trict Attorney Lewis Slayton. (Id. 1319). In that deposition, Slayton acknowledged that his office has no express written or unwritten policies or guidelines to govern the disposition of homicide cases at the indictment stage (Dep., 10-12), the plea stage, (Dep. at 26) or the penalty stage (Dep., 31, 41, 58-539). Moreover, murder cases in his office are assigned at different stages to one of a dozen or more assistant district attorneys (Dep., 15, 45-48), and there is no one persecn who invariably reviews all decisions on homicide dispositions. (Dep., 12-14, 20-22, 28, 34-38). Slayton confessed that his office does not always seek a sentencing trial in a capital case, even when statutory aggravating circumstances are present (Dep., 38-33). Slayton testified further that the decisionmaking process in his office for seeking a death sentence is "probably ... the same” as it was in the pre-Furman period. (Dep., 59-61). analyzing the data, and reviewing Baldus' preliminary report, Berk's opinion on Baldus' study, especially its findings on race, was virtually unqualified: This has very aigh credibility, especially compared ro the studies that [The National Academy of Science panel] ... reviewed. We reviewed hundreds of studies on sentencing over this two-year period, and there's no doubt that at this moment, this is far and away the most complete and thorough analysis of sentencing rhat's been done. I mean there's nothing even close. (Id. 1766.) Berk's conclusion is fully warranted. The data was reliable and carefully compiled. The regression analyses: relied upon by petitioner were properly conducted Dy leading experts in the field. These analyses were carefully monitored for possible statistical problems, and they have been found to be both statistically appropriate and accurate in their assessment of the presence and magnitude of racial disparities in capital sentencing in Georgia. These disparities are real and persistent; they establish petitioner's prima facie case. C. The Law: The District Court Misapplied the Law In Rejecting Petitioner's Prima Facie Case We have already pointed out many instances in which the District Court misread the record, overlooked testimony, or made findings contrary to the evidence presented oy both parties -- petitioner and respondent alike. Yet the principal errors committed by the District Court on this record stem from its apparent misunderstanding of statistical proof, and its misapplication of controlling legal authority. h In effect, the District Court created for itself a roster of ¥ new legal standards and principles to judge the quality of petitioner's data, the admissibilit O nh HS) t = wn exhibits, tne appropriateness of his models, and even the usefulness of -585~-