Legacy of Lead: Report and Proposal for Legislative Action
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March 1, 1990

65 pages
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Case Files, Matthews v. Kizer Hardbacks. Legacy of Lead: Report and Proposal for Legislative Action, 1990. 97f94171-5c40-f011-b4cb-7c1e5267c7b6. LDF Archives, Thurgood Marshall Institute. https://ldfrecollection.org/archives/archives-search/archives-item/b850d0a9-6fa5-4fb5-9d21-4f6225888f91/legacy-of-lead-report-and-proposal-for-legislative-action. Accessed August 19, 2025.
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LEGACY OF LEAD: AMERICA’S CONTINUING EPIDEMIC OF CHILDHOOD LEAD POISONING LEGACY OF LEAD: AMERICA’S CONTINUING EPIDEMIC OF CHILDHOOD LEAD POISONING A Report and Proposal for Legislative Action Written by Karen L. Florini Senior Attorney Environmental Defense Fund George D. Krumbhaar, Jr. Consulting Author Ellen K. Silbergeld Senior Toxicologist Environmental Defense Fund March 1990 Environmental Defense Fund Washington, DC © Copyright 1990, Environmental Defense Fund 2" Printing. Printed on recycled paper. Acknowledgements The authors gratefully acknowledge the assistance of numerous individuals in preparing this report. Special thanks are due to Annemarie Crocetti, Ph.D., who prepared the regional data analysis in Appendix I; Stephanie Pollack, Esq., of the Conservation Law Foundation for her extensive comments on an earlier draft; and to Dr. Lawrence Goulder, Department of Economics, Stanford University, and Dr. Susan Cohen, Columbia University, for their assistance on economic issues. Additional extremely helpful comments were received from Eliza- beth Feuer, MD; Cheryl Burke, Esq., of Aiken, Gump; Herbert L. Needle- man, MD, of the University of Pittsburg Department of Psychiatry; Keith Winston; Mary Lynn Sferrazza; and Jerry McLaughlin. All errors are entirely the responsibility of the authors. Environmental Defense Fund 1616 P st. NW Washington, DC 20036 (202) 387-3500 Document layout by Keith Winston. TABLE OF CONTENTS EXECUTIVE SUMMARY AND OVERVIEW Introduction The Toxicity and Pervasiveness of Lead Exposure Levels and the Environmental Reservoir of Lead Toward a Solution: A Proposal for Legislative Action PART I: UNDERSTANDING THE PROBLEM 1. THE TOXICITY OF LEAD Neurotoxic Effects Cancer Reproductive Effects Effects on Blood Pressure 2. EVALUATING EXPOSURES TO LEAD 3. SOURCES AND PATHWAYS OF LEAD EXPOSURE Lead-Based Paint Gasoline Drinking Water Food Continuing Uses of Lead in Commerce Auto Batteries Other Uses 4. NUMBERS OF INDIVIDUALS AFFECTED Children Fetuses Adults A Final Note 5. TREATMENT AND PREVENTION OPTIONS Limitations of Conventional Treatment The Preventive Approach: Getting the Lead Out 6. GOVERNMENT ACTION -- AND INACTION -- ON LEAD The Lead-Based Paint Poisoning Prevention Act Limits on the Use of Lead Paint Grant Programs Paint Abatement Efforts State and Local Action on Lead Paint Federal Controls on Other Lead Sources Lead in Air Lead in Soil Lead in Solid Waste Lead in Drinking Water Summary of Government Efforts PART lI: TOWARD A SOLUTION: A PROPOSAL FOR LEGISLATIVE ACTION 7. SETTING GOALS AND PRIORITIES FOR FUTURE ACTION Identifying groups most at risk Establishing “least cost” methods Erecting administrative and budgetary safeguards Joining new efforts with secondary goals 8. AN OUTLINE OF THE PROPOSAL The trust fund The excise fee Flexibility Administration Hiring Preferences Abatement Technology Development Abatement Oversight CONCLUSION: Future Concerns APPENDIX I: Geographical Distributions of Lead-Poisoned Children BIBLIOGRAPHY Introduction As a tragic legacy of the decades-long use of leaded products on a vast scale, lead today pervades America’s environment The result is a nation- wide epidemic of low-level lead poisoning, an epidemic that is causing permanent neurologic damage to millions of American children. Recent studies demonstrate that the long-term consequences of this disease are profound: children who had moderately elevated lead levels in early child- hood later exhibited seven-fold increases in school dropout rates, six-fold in- creases in reading disabilities, and lower final high school class standing.’ These effects occurred even though the inital exposures caused no overt symptoms. Although no precise national measurements have been collected, the federal government estimates that well over three million pre-school chil- dren -- more than 1 in every 6 -- have dangerously elevated lead levels. Poor and minority children are disproportionally affected, but the problem cuts across all socioeconomic lines. The consequences of low-level lead poisoning are devastating not only for the affected children and their families, but also for society as a whole. As the Secretary of Education observed earlier this year, reading and writing skills of the nation’s children remain “dreadfully inadequate” despite a decade of educational reform. The new data suggest that lead is partly to blame. By the same token, until children’s lead exposures are substantially curtailed, the nation will continue to fall short of its educational goals. The severity of the nation’s lead-poisoning crisis has gone generally unrecognized for decades largely because the great majority of cases have never been diagnosed. The effects of Jow-level lead poisoning, through severe, are not unique or obvious. Unlike the readily observable signs of chicken pox, for example, the impairment of intellectual ability caused by low-level lead poisoning is hard to pinpoint in individual children. Even when identified, such symptoms overlap with those of a variety of other biological and socioeconomic factors. Only recently, with the completion of sophisticated long-term studies, was the compelling association between childhood lead poisoning and significant neurologic impairmentrecognized. The Toxicity of Lead In the human body, lead is a potent poison that can affect individuals in any age group. Children and fetuses are particularly vulnerable, because their rapidly developing nervous systems are sensitive to lead’s potency as a neurotoxin. Moreover, children generally are exposed tomore lead thanare + See HL Needleman, A Schell, D Bellinger, A Leviton, and EN Allred (1990), “The Long-Term Effects of Exposure to Low Doses of Lead In Childhood,” New Enaland Journal of Medicine, Vol. 322, pp. 83-88. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY AND OVERVIEW The federal government estimates that welloverthree million pre-school children -- more than 1 in every 6 -- have dangerously elevated lead levels. Many public health experts now be- lieve that lead presents a “continuum of toxicity,” in which the slightest exposure contributes to an adverse result somewhere in the body adults, and their absorption rates are substantially higher. Lead’s specific neurotoxic effects include impairments to IQ level, short-term memory, and reaction time; it also impairs the ability to concen- trate. In adults, low-level lead exposure has been associated with hyperten- sion in men and pregnancy complications in women, including minor birth defects. Once absorbed, lead is stored primarily in bone. To a lesser degree, I storage also occurs in the kidneys and the brain, while a small portion remains in circulation in the blood. Lead’s persistence in the body is unequalled by virtually any other toxin. Its “half life” in bone -- the time it takes half of a given dose to be removed -- exceeds twenty years. As a result, even small amounts of lead accumulate in the body, and can cause effects that endure long after exposure ends. Further, because stored lead can be released during pregnancy and readily transferred to the fetus, lead poisoning is, in effect, a heritable disease. In the early and middle decades of this century, lead was generally thought to be harmful only at high doses. Subsequent research, however, has uncovered a variety of effects at lower and lower levels. This trend has accelerated within the last few years, as increasingly sensitive analytic techniques allow investigators to document consequences that persist for years after initial exposure. Many public health experts now believe that lead presents a “continuum of toxicity,” in which the slightest exposure contrib- utes to an adverse result somewhere in the body. Because lead causes neurologic damage even atdoses that do not cause overt toxicity, levels of lead in blood are generally used in identifying lead exposures of concern. The federal government’s Centers for Disease Control (part of the Public Health Service) is currently reviewing its definition of “lead toxicity,” which is now set at 25 micrograms of lead per deciliter of blood (ug/dl); CDC is expected to adopt a new definition of between 10 and 15 ug/dl within the year. The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, along with many public health experts, has already recognized that blood-lead levels of 10 to 15 ug/dl cause neurotoxic effects in children. This report uses the term “low-level lead poisoning” to denote these levels and the associated health effects. Even at the 25 ug/dl level, the very limited lead-screening programs now in place uncover over 10,000 previously unreported cases of poisoning each year. Indeed, though little recognized by the general public, the scale of this insidious epidemic makes it among the most common diseases of childhood.? It is also nationwide in scope, as an analysis of the estimated numbers of affected children throughout the country reveals. Exposures are 2 Some common childhood illnesses and their reported 1988 incidence rates include: Lead Poisoning (25+ ug/dl) 11,793 Viral meningitis 6,927 Mumps 4,730 Whooping cough 3,008 Measles 2,933 Source: Centers for Disease Control. The Centers’ records include only cases that were identified through screening programs and reported by health officials; therefore, these must be considered minimum figures. endemic in some urban regions, with over 50 % of children under 6 estimated to have blood lead levels over 10 ug/dl.? As a practical matter, prevention is the only realistic “cure” for lead poisoning. Available treatments are expensive and painful, do not com- pletely remove lead from the body, and are powerless to undo neurologic damage. But little has been done to prevent childrens’ exposures to lead already dispersed into existing environmental reservoirs. Exposure Levels and the Environmental Reservoir of Lead Most children are exposed to lead as a result of its presence in paint, plumbing, gasoline, solder, and other products. Over many decades, these uses have dispersed millions of tons of lead throughout the environment. And that reservoir continues to grow each year, as the United States uses another million-plus tons of lead in products such as automotive batteries, construction materials, gasoline, and other items. Because lead is an element, no force save a nuclear reaction can transform it into a more innocuous material; once excavated from the earth and distributed in commerce, lead can exert its inherent toxicity on the biosphere almost indefinitely. Of all the sources that make up the existing reservoir of environmental lead, one is responsible for especially intense exposures for many children: the three million tons of leaded paint remaining on the walls and woodwork of American homes. Though banned for most uses in 1977, leaded paint applied during the preceding decades continues to present a hazard. An estimated 1.2 million children under 6 absorb enough lead from deteriorated paint to elevate their blood-lead levels beyond 15 ug/dl, with a significant chance of subsequent neurologic impairment. Although the pronounced long-term consequences of childhood lead poisoning have only recently been identified, its more obvious manifesta- tions have been a focus of concern for decades. As early as 1904, reports of childhood lead intoxication appeared in the medical literature. Butdue to the limited diagnostic capabilities of the time, only the most obvious cases were identified -- those involving high doses of lead resulting in readily observable effects suchas convulsions, coma, and even death. With the advent of blood- lead determinations in the 1940s and ’50s, however, it became increasingly apparent that the problem was far greater in scope than had been recognized previously. Citing the “epidemic proportions” of childhood lead poisoning, Congress first took action in 1970 to eliminate a primary source of children’s exposures. The Lead-Based Paint Poisoning Prevention Act of 1971* authorized a wide range of actions designed to identify and treat those already harmed, to remove lead-based paint from federally-assisted homes, and to prohibit its use in areas thought to be accessible to children. Unfor- tunately, implementation of key provisions faltered badly almost from the start. As a result, two decades later the epidemic persists. 3 Geographical distributions of lead-affected children are described in Appendix 1. 1.42 U.S.C, sections 4801-4846. The reservoir continues to grow each year, as the United States uses another million-plus tons of lead in products such as automotive batter- ies, construction materials, gasoline, and other items. "Ideally, in keeping with the pre- cepts of primary prevention, lead should have been prohibited from ever having been dispersed in the modern environment." American Academy of Pediatrics The role of paint is even clearer today than it was twenty years ago, for many other major sources of lead have been at least partially controlled in the interim. For the American populace as a whole, the most. significant reductions in lead exposure have resulted from the phase-down in use of leaded gasoline over the last fifteen years. But while this step has provided important benefits in reducing lead exposures for many people, it has done little to aid those children whose primary source of lead is from paint. And these children -- many of them poor and/or minorities -- are precisely the same individuals who are most disadvantaged by a myriad of other social and economic factors. Toward a Solution: A Proposal for Legislative Action The massive amounts of information on lead’s toxicity -- bolstered by recent findings on low exposure level effects -- as well as indications of children’s current exposure levels, reveal an urgent need for an aggressive federal program to control America’s continuing epidemic of lead poisoning. To be effective, such a program must provide a mechanism not only to stop adding lead to children’s environments, but also to remove it from the areas where they are most heavily exposed: their homes. And, to be politically feasible, it must respond to current budgetary realities the nation now faces. The Environmental Defense Fund proposes creation of a National Lead Paint Abatement Trust Fund, to be financed by placement of a substantial excise fee on the production and importation of lead. Proceeds from the fund initially would be devoted to the removal of deteriorating lead- based paint from the group of highest-risk homes. In addition, a portion of the monies could be made available for research to develop more effective lead-removal methods. The program would be implemented jointly by the Environmental Pro- tection Agency and the Department of Health and Human Services. It would contain provisions to enable it to reflect market conditions and, where possible, accomplish secondary goals of improving housing and creating employment opportunities by hiring and training workers for abatement programs. In addition, by avoiding the slow and resource-intensive process of developing a regulatory approach to control continuing uses of lead in products, it would yield results far more quickly than would more traditional approaches. While the proposed program would not alleviate every aspect of the nation’s current lead poisoning epidemic, it would constitute a pragmatic and timely next step. Lead poisoning already burdens America with millions of dollars of costs each year -- both the direct costs of medical treatments, and the indirect social costs of special education, lost income, and a less productive citizenry. Italso imposes grave handicaps on individual children, their families, and their communities. For them and for the nation as a whole, these handicaps will only intensify as the transition to the twenty-first century’s “information age” continues. By creating a nationwide paint- abatement program funded by a lead excise tax, America can permanently reduce lead exposures and bring about a significant improvement in the health and abilities of the nation’s children -- now and for generations to come. 1. THE TOXICITY OF LEAD’ Lead's primary effect of concern is neurotoxic damage to fetuses and preschool children, for this effect occurs at levels of exposure that are commonplace in con- temporary society. Low levels of lead exposure can also cause kidney damage and high blood pressure in adults. Upon entering the body, lead makes its way into the blood stream; into soft body tissue, including the brain and kidneys; and into the “hard tissues,” such as bone and teeth.? Biood-lead content is generally considered to be the most accurate measure of short-term lead exposure. The estimated half life of blood lead (i.e., the time required for one half of the lead to disappear) is 35 days.?> While about 50 to 60 percent of the lead entering a person’s body is eliminated fairly rapidly ,* most of the remainder is stored in bone, where it stays for far longer periods. In fact, lead in bone has an estimated half life of about 20 years. Long thought to be inert, bone-based lead isnow looked on asa double threat to the body. Bone is a living tissue that is itself sensitive to toxic assaults.® Many conditions, moreover, can rapidly release bone-based lead back into the blood stream. For example, pregnancy and osteoporosis, both " The documentation of lead’s toxic effects is immense. Key sources include: Agency for Toxic Substances and Disease Registry (1988), The Nature and Extent of Lead Poisoning in Children in the United States: A Report to Congress (Atlanta: U.S. Dep't of Health and Human Services/Public Health Service), Doc. No. 99-2966, especially Chapters lll and IV; U.S. En- vironmental Protection Agency (1986a), Air Quality Criteria Document for Lead, Vols. I through IV; Centers for Disease Control (1985), Preventing Lead Poisoning in Young Children, (Atlanta: Dept of Health and Human Services/ U.S. Public Health Service). Excellent review articles include HL Needleman (1988a), “Why We Should Worry About Lead Poisoning,” Contemporary Pediatrics, pp. 34 - 56; JM Davis and DJ Svensgaard (1987), “Lead and Child Development,” Nature, Vol. 329, pp. 299-300; HL Needleman (1 988b), “The Persistent Threat of Lead: Medical and Sociological Issues,” Current Prob- lems in Pediatrics, Vol. XVIII, pp. 703-76; EK Silbergeld (1985), “Neurotoxi- cology of Lead,” in K Blum and L Manzo (eds.), Neurotoxicology (Amsterdam: Dekker). 2 MB Rabinowitz, GW Wetherill, and JD Kopple (1976), "Kinetic Analysis of Lead Metabolism in Healthy Humans,” Journal of Clinical Inves- tigation, Vol. 58, p. 260. 3 Ibid. 4 Agency for Toxic Substances and Disease Registry (1988), p. I-7. 5 Rabinowitz et al. (1976). ¢ Agency for Toxic Substances and Disease Registry (1988), p. Il-7. PART I: UNDERSTANDING THE PROBLEM Lead makes its way into the blood stream; into soft body tissue, includ- ing the brain and kidneys; and into the “hard tissues,” such as bone and teeth. “At a sufficient level of lead expo- sure, virtually all body systems will be injured or have a high risk of in- jury.” of which cause demineralization of bone, have been associated with sharp rises in blood lead levels.” Indeed, lead moves from bone to other parts of the body readily enough that it may well be an “insidious source” of long term lead poisoning.® An important aspect of lead’s menace, therefore, is its cumulative effect. Even seemingly trivial exposures, if often repeated, can add up to doses that exert toxic effects.’ And virtually no part of the body is immune from lead. As one recent analysis put it, “At a sufficient level of lead exposure, virtually all body systems will be injured or have a high risk of injury.”'® While researchers have not yet discerned the exact biological mechanisms of lead toxicity, they have extensively documented its effects on a number of organ systems at the cellular level. The most important effects of lead involve disruption of energy metabolism at the cellular level and interference with neural cell function in the brain. Specifically, lead interferes with the formation of heme, the molecule that carries oxygen in all cells.!! In the nervous system, lead has a unique ability to inhibit communication and slow motor nerve conduction velocity? -- the speed at which nerves process signals. !? Neurotoxic Effects: Lead’s neurotoxic effects at relatively low exposure levels include decreased intelligence, short-term memory loss, reading and spelling under-achievement, impairment of visual-motor func- tioning, poor perceptual integration, poor classroom behavior, and impaired reaction time. Children and fetuses are especially susceptible to these effects, because their neurologic systems are rapidly developing.!* Growing 7 EK Silbergeld, J Schwartz, and KR Mahaffey (1988), “Lead and Os- teoporosis: Mobilization of Lead from Bone in Menopausal Women,” Environ- mental Research, Vol. 47, p. 79. 8 Environmental Protection Agency (1986a), Vol. IV, p. 13-16. ® Centers for Disease Control (1985), p. 3. 10 Agency for Toxic Substances and Disease Registry (1988), p. IV-3. '! Silbergeld (1985). '2 |bid.; see also, PJ Landrigan (1989), “Toxicity of Lead at Low Dose,” British Journal of Industrial Medicine, Vol. 46, pp. 593-4. 3 In addition to these effects of low-level lead exposure, effects of high- level exposures are also varied, and include anemia, brain damage, muscle palsy, kidney failure, headache and vomiting, convulsions, and death. These high-dose effects have been known for centuries. The first known clinical ac- count of lead poisoning comes from the first century B.C., while Hippocrates offered unconfirmed descriptions two centuries earlier. See HA Waldron (1973), “Lead Poisoning in the Ancient World,” Medical History, Vol. 17, pp. 391-99. In eighteenth century Massachusetts, lawmakers enacted one of the country’s first public health statutes after recognizing the health effects of drinking “rum and other strong liquors” from leaded containers. See CP McCord (1953), “Lead and Lead Poisoning in Early America: Benjamin Franklin and Lead Poisoning,” Industrial Medicine and Surgery, Vol. 22, p. 397. 4 Centers for Disease Control (1985), p.1. evidence indicates that the effects of lead poisoning occur before any overt symptoms appear and often constitute a serious health problem even in the absence of obvious symptoms. Several key epidemiologic studies in recent years have compellingly demonstrated the range of lead’s effects on a variety of populations.’®* Most of these studies are retrospective, meaning that researchers identify a group of children, determine their lead levels, and evaluate their current health status in an attempt to ascertain the effects of prior lead exposure. Although lead poisoning is often viewed as primarily a disease of the poor, wealth and social status confer no immunity. Indeed, a recent government study concluded that children living above the poverty level comprise the largest category of people in danger of undue exposure.’ A series of landmark studies on lead neurotoxicity have been con- ducted by Dr. Herbert Needleman of the University of Pittsburgh and his colleagues. The researchers collected baby teeth -- which, like bone, serve as long-term storage sites for lead -- from over 2300 first and second graders in two suburban Boston school districts. They then categorized the children according to dentine (tooth) lead levels 7, and identified two. groups for further study: alow-lead group of 100 children who had extremely low levels and a high-lead group 58 children who had relatively high levels but who had no symptoms of overt lead poisoning.!®* Those 158 children were then evaluated using an array of standardized and some nonstandardized neurop- sychological tests. When the results were controlled for 39 other factors (such as socio- economic status, family size, and mother’s IQ), children in the high-lead group had a median IQ deficit of six points compared to their low-lead classmates, as well as shorter attention spans and imparied language skills. Even more striking was the effect on the overall distribution on IQ scores: the children in the higher-lead group were almost four times as likely to have an IQ below 80, while none of them scored above 125.1° Also striking were the results of evaluations by the children’s teachers (who did not know their pupils’ lead status). Using an 11-item scale that examined classroom behavior, attention, and overall functioning, teachers concluded that children with elevated lead levels scored significantly worse than the low-lead group. Five years later, the researchers re-examined these two groups of '5 Agency for Toxic Substances and Disease Registry (1988), p. 1-48. '® For an outline of epidemiological considerations, see sidebar below and Needleman (1990b), p. 677. '7 The high lead group had dentine levels above 24 parts per million (ppm); the low-lead group had dentine levels below 6 ppm. '® These 158 children were a subset of the 270 children with levels above 24 or below 6. Others were excluded to avoid possible confounding factors such as head injuries, acute lead poisoning, and variable lead levels in different teeth. ' Needleman (1988a). 20 Bellinger, D, HL Needleman, R Bromfield, and M Montz (1984), "A Follow-up Study of the Academic Attainment and Classroom Behavior of Although lead poisoning is often viewed as primarily a disease of the poor, wealth and social status confer no immunity. Indeed, a recent gov- ernment study concluded that chil- dren living above the poverty level comprise the largest category of people in danger of undue exposure. C u m u l a t i v e F r e q u e n c y Di st ri bu ti on (% ) THE IMPORTANCE OF SMALL NUMBERS Figure 1 shows the frequency distribution of IQ scores between the “low lead” and “high lead” children, and indicates that high blood lead levels are associated with a left-ward shift in the overall IQ distribution curve. In addition to showing that the median IQ deficit is 6 points, these data also illustrate two other key points: (1) High lead children in this case were almost four times as likely to have IQs of less than 80; and (2) five percent of the low lead group had IQs of more than 125, while none of | the high lead group did. In other words, lead’s effect on a population as a wholeis more dramatic than its effects on individuals, by affecting the frequency of high and low scores. The disadvantaged are further harmed, while the truly gifted are deprived of their potential. [remem High Leas ® ! (Lowieaa 4 | Tested Verbal IQ FIGURE 1 DISTRIBUTION OF IQ SCORES children.®® The high-lead group had lower IQ scores, needed more special academic services, and had a higher rate of school failure. Eleven years after the initial study, a second follow-up was conducted, to determine whether lead’s effects persist into young adulthood.? The findings were dramatic: compared to the lower-lead classmates, the higher-lead group showed a 7.4 increase in school dropout rates, and a 5.8 increase in reading disabilities (defined by scoring two or more grade levels below that expected for the highest grade completed). The higher-lead group also exhibited lower class rank and higher absenteeism. Other researchers have also found effects in epidemiological studies on lead-exposed children, though some have conducted similar studies and reported no effects. All studies published since 1972 were recently evaluated using meta-analysis, a technique thatallows investigators to pool data across studies and to draw conclusions as to the statistical reliability of the data taken collectively.? After eliminating studies that failed to meet key criteria such as adequate sample size, exclusion of acutely poisoned children, and controls for socioeconomic factors, data from the remaining twelve studies were pooled. The outcome strongly supports a linkage between low-dose lead exposure and intellectual deficits in children. Further evidence of lead’s neurotoxicity comes from a series of prospective studies, in which investigators measure variables over an ex- tended period of time into the future. Recent studies have found notable effects from prenatal lead exposures at very low levels. In fact, one study found effects from prenatal exposures as low as 6 to 7 ug/dL.% For example, in a study of several hundred children whose prenatal lead exposure had been determined from umbilical cord blood samples at the time of birth, investigators found that even moderate lead levels affected the Children with Elevated Dentine Lead Levels,” Besearch, Vol. 6, pp. 207-223. Biological Trace Elements 21 Diagram adapted from HL Needleman (1988a). 2 HL Needleman, et al. (1990a), “The Long-Term Effects of Exposure to Low Doses of Lead in Childhood,” New England Journal of Medicine Vol. 322, pp. 83-88. Researchers were able to trace and evaluate about half of the original participants. The others could not be located or refused to participate. The group that was retested tended to have lower dentine levels, higher IQs, and better school behavior reports. As aresult, it seems likely thatthe 11-year follow-up may underestimate lead’s long-term effects, since a higher percent- age of the most severely affected individuals did not participate. 22 HL Needleman, CA Gatsonis (1990b), “Low Level Lead Exposure and the IQ of Children,” Journal of the American Medical Association, Vol. 263, pp. 673-678. 24 For detailed discussion of these studies, see Agency for Toxic Sub- stances and Disease Registry (1988), pp. 1V-8 to IV-13. 23 Bellinger, D, A Levitan, C Waternaux, HL Needleman, and M Rabinowitz (1989),"Low-level Lead Exposure, Social Class, and Infant Development,” Neurotoxicology and Teratology, Vol. 10, pp 497-503. children’s performance on mental-development tests up to two years later. Similar outcomes have been found in studies in Port Pirie, Australia and Cincinnati, Ohio.? In the words of the American Academy of Pediatrics, the available data have “shown conclusively” that reduction in intelligence and alteration in behavior occur in children with elevated blood lead levels.” In addition to these extremely disturbing findings on the consequences of lead exposure in children and fetuses, a growing body of research is showing that low levels of lead also exert toxic effects on adults, including cancer, reproductive effects, and high blood pressure. Cancer: The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency has classified lead as a “probable human carcinogen,” based on data from animal studies.” Recently, EPA’s Science Advisory Board, which is comprised of outside experts from industry and academia, formally reviewed EPA’s classification and endorsed it.?° Researchers are currently comparing lead’s potency as a carcinogen to its potency as a neurotoxin.*! Reproductive Effects: Experiments on laboratory animals give ample evidence of leads toxic effects on the reproductive system (e.g., failure of ovulation, delayed sexual maturity, impotence, sterility, spontaneous abor- tions).>? While there are fewer data on the reproductive effects in humans, there are numerous reports of an increase in spontaneous abortions, structur- ally abnormal sperm, and decreased fertility in lead-poisoned adults.* Effects on Blood Pressure: An additional threat to adult males is indicated by evidence showing a link between low-level lead exposure and 26 D Bellinger, A Leviton, C Watermaux, HL Needleman, and M Rabinowitz (1987), “Longitudinal Analyses of Prenatal and Postnatal Lead Exposure and Early Cognitive Development, New England Journal of Medi- cine, Vol. 316, pp. 1037, 1039. ; 27 AJ McMichael, PA Baghurst, NR Wigg, GV Vimpai, EF Robertson, RJ Roberts (1988), “Port Pirie Cohort Study: Environmental Exposure to Lead and Children’s Abilities at the Age of Four Years,” New England Journal of Medicine, Vol. 319, pp. 468-75; KN Dietrich, KM Krafft, RL Bornschein (1987), “Low Level Fetal Exposure Effect on Neurobehavioral Development in Early Infancy,” Pediatrics, Vol. 5, pp. 721-30. 26 American Academy of Pediatrics (1987), “Statement on Childhood Lead Poisoning,” Pediatrics, Vol. 79, pp. 457. 20 See 50 Fed. Reg. 46936 (Nov. 13, 1985). 3% Environmerital Protection Agency, Scientific Advisory Board (De- cember 1989), “Report of the Joint Study Group on Lead: Review of LEad Carcinogenicity and EPA Scientific Policy on Lead,” (Doc. No. EPA-SAB- EHC-90-001), p. 1. 31 Research underway at University of Maryland, Program in Toxicol- ogy. 32 HL Needleman and PJ Landrigan (1981), “The Health Effects of Low Level Exposureto Lead,” Annual Review of Public Health, Vol. 1981, pp. 277- 98. 3 Ibid. DETERMINING CAUSE AND EFFECT THROUGH EPIDEMIOLOGICAL STUDIES In epidemiological studies, groups of people are studied in order to determine patterns of disease. Those patterns are then analyzed statistically in order to reveal links between a particular substance and certain health ef- fects. Scientists attempting to show cause and effect through epidemiological studies use five rules of thumb that, taken together, serve as a rigorous test of causality. There are: 1. Order of precedence. The “cause” must precede the “effect.” 2. Consistency. There must be broad con- sistency among data both internally, and among different studies. 3. Dose-response. Causality can be more strongly inferred when variations inthe “cause” are associated with variations in the “effect.” 4. Specificity. If the same effect can be produced by other means, the cause-effect relationship under scrutiny is weakened. Ifthe effect can be produced only by the cause, the relationship is strengthened. 5. Biological plausibility. Put simply, this test asks whether, in light of current knowl- edge of human biology, the cause/effect rela- tionship seem likely. All five criteria are met for studies on the neurotoxicity of lead. Given the role of cardiovascular disease as the number one cause of death in America, even “small” in- creases in average blood pressure are of significant concern. high blood pressure.** Although differences between blood-pressure values were relatively small, the effect nonetheless is of concern from a public health perspective. Like lead’s effects on IQ distribution, the consequences of even a small shift in the distribution curve for blood pressures can be severe on a population-wide basis. Given the role of cardiovascular disease as the number one cause of death in America, even “small” increases in average blood pressure are of significant concern. 3 In a statistical analysis based on a national health survey of 9,932 persons of all ages, one researcher found a “robust relationship between low- level lead exposure and blood pressure” in aduit males. J Schwartz (1988), “The Relationship Between Blood Lead and Blood Pressure inthe NHANES Il Survey,” Environmental Health Perspectives, Vol. 78, pp. 15-22. Areanaly- sis of the same data for males between the ages of 12 and 74, using a different and rather conservative statistical technique, also found a significant linear association between blood lead levels and blood pressures. JR Landis and KM Flegal (1988), “A Generalized Mantel-Haenszel Analysis of the Regres- sion of Blood Pressure on Blood Lead Using NHANES Il Data,” Environ- mental Health Perspectives, Vol. 78, pp. 35-42. While the actual differences in blood pressure inthese and other studies are small, the consistency across studies is strong. W Victery, HA Tyroler, R Volpe, and LD Grant (1988), “Summary of Discussion Sessions: Symposium on Lead-Blood Pressure Relationships,” in U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, Environ- mental Health Perspectives, Vol. 78, pp. 139-155. 2. EVALUATING EXPOSURES TO LEAD Most public health experts now agree that lead exhibits a “continuum of toxicity,” where the smallest exposure can have a consequence somewhere in the body. This marks a radical departure from the approach to the problem only a few years ago. Because most cases of lead poisoning have no overt symploms, screening programs are critically necessary 10 identify children in need of | treatment. Unfortunately, screening programs in many cities were curtailed or eliminated in the early 1980s after the federal government discontinued funding for such programs, and nationwide data-collection efforts were also dropped. As a result, estimates of numbers of affected children must be derived from limited sampling programs, and extrapolated using figures on other variables known to be related to lead poisoning. In measuring the amount of lead absorbed by an individual and determining whether treatment is needed, doctors generally rely on measure- ments of the amount of lead in the individual's blood.! Though such measurements do not reveal the individual's lifetime history of lead exposure or the amount that is currently stored in bone, blood-lead levels can provide a “snapshot” of recent lead exposures.® Results are generally expressed as micrograms of lead per deciliter of blood, or ug/dl. One practical way to obtain some longer-term data for children involves collecting children’s teeth as they are naturally shed (generally between ages five and nine). This approach, however, means that parents must be informed of the need to collect teeth and must agree to participate, and is obviously inapplicable to adults and older children. Prior to the mid 1960s blood lead levels of 60 micrograms of lead per deciliter of blood (ug/dL) or less were generally considered as not dangerous ' Because analysis of blood samples takes up to two weeks, screening tests are sometimes used to give a preliminary indication of whether further testing is warranted. The so-called “EP” test, which is a finger-prick test that gives immediate results, was used as a screening tool for many years. The test measures the presence of a naturally occurring protein that is produced at higher levels in response to lead exposure. Unfortunately, the accuracy of the EP test is limited for blood-lead levels below 40 ug/dl. State of California, Department of Health Services (1989), Chil ad Poisoning in Calif nia: Causes and Prevention, p. 8, 14 (interim report). As a result, it is not useful in screening for exposures at current levels of concern. Researchers at the University of Maryland Department of Toxicology are attempting to develop a substitute test that will serve as a preliminary screening test for blood-lead levels around 10 ug/dl. 2 While promising, methods of directly measuring the total amount of lead stored in an individual's body are still undergoing development and are not yet widely available. See, for example, JF Rosen etal. (1988), “L-Line X- ray fluorescence of Cortical Bone Lead Compared with the CaNa2EDTA Test in Lead-Toxic Children: Public Health Implications,” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (USA), Vol. 86, pp. 685-689. Though such measurements do not reveal the individual's lifetime his- tory of lead exposure or the amount that is currently stored in bone, blood- lead levels can provide a “snapshot” of recent lead exposures. 80 Bl oo d Le ad , Pb -B (u g/ dl ) 7071757885900 Year FIGURE ll: RECOMMENDED BLOOD LEAD LEVELS FOR MEDICAL INTERVENTION Figure ll shows the erosion of the rec- ognized threshold for lead toxicity as new evidence has emerged through in- creasingly sophisticated scientific stud- ies. 12 enough to require monitoring or treatment.’ This became an official standard in October 1970 when the U.S. Surgeon General issued a report defining 60 ug/dL asa level of “undue lead absorption.” Buteven within the year, further analysis prompted the Public Health Service to circulate a draft lowering that threshold for undue absorption by a third, to 40 ug/dL.* Within five years the - threshold fell again, to 30 ug/dL, while the threshold for outright lead poisoning was set at 80.’ In 1978, the Public Health Service revised its finding, with 30 ug/dL as the threshold for undue lead absorption and 70 ug/dL as the threshold for poisoning.’ In 1985 the Service’s Centers for Disease Control (CDC) issued a statement lowering its thresholds for both excessive lead absorption and lead toxicity to 25 ug/dL.” And in late 1989, CDC announced that it was convening an Advisory Committee to update its statement on preventing lead poisoning in young children, to reflect research findings since 1985. Public health experts interpret this action as portending another downward revision of the standard, probably to 15 ug/dl or lower.? The Environmental Protection Agency has also evaluated lead’s toxicity in developing regulations under a variety of environmental statutes, including the Clean Air Act, the Clean Water Act, and the Safe Drinking Water Act. A 1986 report prepared as a background document on air regulations cited 10-15 ug/dL as the range associated with “neurological 3 Centers for Disease Control/Public Health Service (1985), p. 1 4 Public Health Service, Bureau of Community Environmental Management, Control of Poisoning in Children - pr blication (Washington, U.S. Department of Health, Education, and Welfare, December 1970), p. 2. 5 Pu Health Service, anes Lead sa cn Lead Poison- ing i hildr for ntrol ry U.S. Department of rrr pan and Wears March 1975), p. 1. That document used lead “poisoning” or “toxicity” to mean a condition showing acute or obvious symptoms; “undue lead absorption” or “elevated blood lead level” means a level warranting medical intervention but where obvious symptoms may not be present. ® Public Health Service, Preventin d Poisoning in Young Children: m h for Di rol (Washington, U.S. Depart- ment of Health, Education, and Welfare, April 1978), p. 1. 7 Centers for Disease Control/Public Health Service, (1985), pp. 1-2. Lead toxicity is defined by two factors: a blood lead level of 25 ug/dl together with an erythrocyte protoporphyrin (“EP”) of 35 ug/dl. EP is a naturally occurring protein that plays a key role in the manufacture of hemoglobin; an elevated EP level is one of the earliest and most reliable signs of impaired function due to lead. lbid., p. 3. ® 54 Fed. Reg. 48026 (November 20, 1989). The CDC convenes such committees at irregular intervals, when it considers the evidence strong enough to warrant re-examination of the standard. deficits.” In its proposed regulations on lead in drinking water, the EPA again cited 10-15 ug/dL as an “appropriate range of concern for health effects that warrant avoidance.”® A December 1989 statement of EPA’s Science Advisory Board concludes that “...there is likely to be no threshold for lead neurotoxicity, at least within the contemporary range of blood lead levels (i.e., 1-10 ug/dl).”"! And as another EPA advisory group pointed out even more recently, "[t]he value of 10 ug/dl refers to the maximum blood-lead level permissible for all members of these groups, and not mean or median values."!? The steady erosion of the accepted threshold for lead’s toxic effects, coupled with lead’s known biochemical properties, has convinced many public health experts that lead has no threshold. Rather, the emerging view is that lead presents a “continuum of toxicity” in which traditional symptoms associated with high dosage, such as kidney failure and anemia, have their low dosage counterparts, such as IQ deficits and decreased nerve conduc- tion." Public health experts have also found that the same level of lead exposure may affect different people unequally. Among the chief variables appear to be dietary intake of essential trace minerals. Lead’s effects are aggravated in people who lack adequate dietary calcium, iron, zinc, or phosphorous.!* This places poor families, where malnutrition may be more common, at greater risk of adverse effects from lead. ® Environmental Protection Agency (1986a), Addendum to Vol. 4, p. A- 53 Fed. Reg. 31524 (August 18, 1988). Environmental Protection Agency, Science Advisory Board (1989), Environmental Protection Agency, Science Advisory Board (1990), Ibid. See also PJ Landrigan (198_), p. 593. Centers for Disease Control (1985), p. 3. "Because the ‘baseline’ level of lead in blood inthe U.S. population is apparently about 10 - 15 ug/dl, it is virtually impossible to demonstrate effects of lead at lower blood levels... the physiological states now defined as "normal" might actually be "ab- normal” conditions associated with typical levels of lead in the body. The hypothesis that people would be healthier in subtle ways if the aver- age blood lead level were 1 - 2 ug/dl (or less) deserves sober considera- tion..." National Research Council (1980), p.137 3. SOURCES AND PATHWAYS OF LEAD EXPOSURE Lead can enter the environment directly, as from industrial emissions, or indirectly, as when automotive batteries are incinerated or when dust from lead paint forms part of household dust. The most critical source of lead exposure for most children isdeteriorating lead paint in dwellings; lead from gasoline and from drinking water are also significant. Additional exposures occur through continuing uses of lead. Each year industry produces, and consumers use and discard, products containing well over a million tons of lead. The lead in each of those products is indestructible. Because lead is an element, it cannot break down or decompose into something less toxic. Both pure lead and its compounds are harmful to humans. Once introduced into the biosphere -- that part of the earth’s surface and atmosphere where living organisms exist -- lead remains toxic indefi- nitely. Lead’s widespread usage and its resulting dispersal into the environ- ment have been no accident. Its convenient properties have been recognized from the earliest historical times. Itis malleable and easy to work. It insulates Figure Ill. Above, the medieval well and does not rust. It alloys readily. Lead compounds make excellent | chemical symbol for lead. Below, the pigments in paints that also weather especially well. Egyptians in the ime | modern equivalent. of the pharaohs used lead in ornaments and cosmetics.! Chalices made of lead-silver alloys carried wine for the ancient Greeks and lead piping still carries rainwater from the roofs of medieval cathedrals. Indeed, the word “plumbing” is itself derived from the Latin word for lead, “plumbum” (as is its chemical symbol, Pb). The United States currently consumes well over one million tons of lead per year.? A substantial fraction of that amount -- approximately 60% -- comes from secondary refining (recycling). About a third comes from primary refining of lead, while imports (primarily from Canada) slightly exceed exports.’ Almost 90% of U.S. lead mining occurs in Missouri, with some operations in Alaska, Colorado, Idaho, and Montana, as well as very limited mining in half a dozen additional states.* Major industrial sources alone dispose of or release 15,000 tons of lead wastes in the U.S. annually, in forms ranging from placement in landfills to fugitive emissions from fa- cilities.’ ' See HA Waldron (1973), p. 392. 2 Bureau of Mines (1989c¢) Mineral Commodity Summaries 1989, pp. 90 - 91 (Washington: U.S. Dept of the Interior) (1988, data converted from metric tons to short tons; one metric ton equals about 2,200 pounds, while a U.S. or “short” ton equals 2,000 pounds). 3 Ibid. ‘ Ibid. 5 Environmental Protection Agency, Office of Pesticides and Toxic Substances (1989), The Toxics Release Inventory: A National Perspective, | The prevalence of lead in the environment, and the public health problem it poses, is almost entirely the result of human activity. Ice layers in Greenland, far from industrial centers, reveal a record of increasing lead | use by humans, with certain phases (the industrial revolution, widespread use of leaded gasoline) clearly marked in the frozen strata.® The increased exposure to lead in our society is so pronounced that the skeletons of modern humans contain 200 times more lead than those of their preindustrial ancestors.’ From the standpoint of public health and environmental quality, therefore, the threat posed by lead is inescapably cumulative. Simply curtailing additional releases of lead does not solve the problem; it is also necessary to take action to remove existing sources of lead exposure. Reducing current lead usage can, however, slow the rate at which the cumulative exposure problem worsens. Ongoing releases of lead -- whether through a product’s manufacture, its use, or its disposal -- add to existing en- vironmental stockpiles. In sum, controlling lead exposures requires a two- fold approach of both limiting ongoing uses of lead and attacking stockpiles created by past uses. Because lead accumulates in the body, all sources that add lead to the environment contribute to lead poisoning. Some, however, play a far greater role than others, particularly for children’s exposures. Currently, lead in house paint is the most significant of these, especially for those children with Simply curtailing additional re- leases of lead does not solve the problem; it is also necessary to take action to remove existing sources of lead exposure. 1987 (Doc. No. EPA 560/4-89-005), p. 59. The toxics release inventory program covers manufacturing in the industrial sector (as defined by Stan- dard Industrial Codes 20 through 39) that employ more than ten individuals and use more than certain amounts of specified chemicals, including lead compounds. TRI requires reporting the amounts of substances released directly to the environment or transferred rT to off-site locations, including gaseous or RES RR I RRR particulate emissions to air, discharges to 0.20 p~ water, disposal of solid wastes in landfills, injection into underground wells, or trans- Shak fer to off-site treatment, storage, or dis- B46 p= posal facilities. | Worldwide, annual production of 0.14 p= lead waste from industrial sources amounts 3 to an estimated 1.3 milliontons. JO Nriagu, z 012 and JM Pacyna (1988), “Quantitative As- > sessment of Worldwide Contamination of P9101 Air, Water and Soils by Trace Metals,” g ote Nature, Vol. 333, p. 139. ~ 0.06 b= ¢ Needleman and Landrigan (1981), p. 279. 0.04 p= 7 Environmental Protection Agency 0.02 p— (1986a), Vol. I, p. I-81. This relationship 5 14 rane dORTHI TOV TRC EY was first recognized by CC Patterson 800 1750 1800 1850 1900 1950 (1980), An Alternative Perspective --Lead beg. la AD sy Pollution in the Human Environment: oad oe gd ih Origin, Extent, and Significance,” pp. 265- AGE OF SAMPLES 348, in National Research Council, Lead Figure IV. Lead concentration profile in snow strata of Northern in the Human Environment (Washington, Greenland. Source: Environmental Protection Agency (1986a), Vol. |, DC: National Academy of Sciences). p. 1-26. 16 moderate to heavy total lead burdens; indeed, a majority of the cases of lead poisoning that show up in clinics today are the result of paint that was applied to houses decades ago.® But other sources also make a notable contribution. Some of these -- such as leaded gasoline -- are products whose use has fallen in recent years, but their legacy of contamination persists. In addition, over a million tons of lead continue to be introduced into commerce in the form of new products each year; the manufacture, use, and disposal of those products adds still more lead to the environment. Lead-based paint During the early and middle decades of this century, lead-based paint was the preferred medium in millions of homes.” The lead content of such paint varied, with some -- particularly in earlier years -- containing as much as fifty percent lead by dry weight.'® Even as late as 1971, the New York City Health Department tested 76 different paints and found eight of them to contain lead concentrations between 3 and 11%.!! Today an estimated three million tons of lead from paint still remains in dwellings." At one time, the general consensus was that children were exposed to lead-based paint primarily when they actually ate flakes of the sweet-tasting product or chewed on readily accessible surfaces such as window sills. More recently, however, researchers have realized that the primary exposure route starts with the transformation of lead paint into ordinary household dust. Children absorb lead by playing in the dust that is contaminated with these fine particles of paint. Simply by behaving like children, they get dust particles on their clothes and hands, and into their mouths.!? Even a well-maintained home is likely to have some deterioration of paint on window sills, particularly in parts of the nation exposed to freeze- thaw cycles. Many older houses, however, have been poorly maintained. Paint from these dwellings can easily be converted into dust-size particles that pose an extra menace to any active child. Over 40 million houses 8 Personal Communications with Dr. John Graef, Director, Boston Lead Screening Program, Boston, MA; Dr. J. Julian Chisholm, Director, John Hopkins School of Medicine Lead Program, Baltimore, MD. ® Hearings before the Subcommittee on Housing and Community De- velopment of the House Committee on Banking, Finance and Urban Affairs, 100th Cong., 2d Sess. (1988) (testimony of James Keck, Deputy Commis- sioner, Baltimore Department of Housing and Community Development). See also R. Rabin (1989), “Warnings Unheeded: A History of Child Lead Poisoning,” American Journal of Public Health, Vol. 79, pp. 1668-1674. 10 HL Needleman and PJ Landrigan, (1981), p. 279. 1" Rabin (1989). p. 1673. 12 Agency for Toxic Substances and Disease Registry (1988), p. II-5. | 13 Centers for Disease Control (1985), p. 7. Simply by behaving like children, they get dust particlesontheirclothes and hands, and into their mouths 17 Over 40 million houses containing leaded paint are the homes for each successive generation of American children, with 1.97 million of these houses particularly unsound from deteriorating paint. 18 containing leaded paint are the’ homes for each successive generation of American children, with 1.97 million of these houses particularly unsound from deteriorating paint.'* Lead based paint was also used extensively on exterior applications, and it too presents a hazard. Particles from exterior paint -- along with air borne lead from gasoline and other sources -- can settle on the ground. These particles then mix into the soil and accumulate with other falling particles year after year. A recent study in Oakland, California found that exterior paint had an even higher average lead content than paint on interior walls. The same study identified a strong correlation between the lead levels in a house’s exterior paint and the blood lead levels of children residing in that house. Lead in soil does not come solely from paint. The same sources that have deposited lead in measurable amounts on Greenland’s icecap spread dust in the nation's front and back yards each day. In some regions, total soil- lead levels are alarmingly high. Forexample, a majority of soil samples from Oakland exceeded 1000 parts per million -- a level that defines materials as hazardous waste under California law.!® The same study also found that a child’s blood lead level increased an average 4-5 ug/dL for every 500 ppm rise in front or back yard soil lead level.'” In light of the emerging consensus among public health experts that blood-lead levels above 10 or 15 ug/dl are associated with significant toxicity, this exposure source is of obvious concern. Gasoline Leaded gasoline was once a major source of lead releases, and lead from this source undoubtedly still remains in the soils of virtually every urban and suburban area throughout the country. EPA estimates that the lead level of soil alongside roadways can reach 10,000 ppm, or more than eight times the levels associated with elevated blood lead levels in the Oakland study.’ Areas alongside heavily traveled urban arteries -- such as sidewalks, parking lots, or street-front playgrounds -- may have even higher levels of lead in soil and dust.” Because farm vehicles long ran on leaded gasoline, and are still allowed to do so, lead is widely dispersed into agricultural soils as well. Data gathered during the first phasedown of leaded gasoline provides remarkable evidence of the strong association between blood lead levels and the use of leaded gas. The Environmental Protection Agency noted in a 1986 4 Agency for Toxic Substances and Disease Registry (1988), pp. VI- 13, VI-14, '5 State of California (1989), p. 19. 16 Ibid. '® Environmental Protection Agency (1986a), Vol. IV, p. 13-5. '® bid, Vol. IV, p. 13-7. study that ambient air lead levels declined markedly during the changeover to nonleaded gasoline that started in 1978.2 While other factors were simul- taneously at work (e.g., a reduction in the use of leaded solder in food cans), physicians and epidemiologists observed a strong drop in blood lead levels attributable to the changeover. Between 1976 and 1980, the period covered by a national health survey of over nine thousand persons, the average blood lead level of all respondents fell by 5.8 ug/dL, from above to below the CDC’s current 25 ug/dL standard (itself soon to be revised as noted above). And in a study of umbilical cord blood lead in 12,000 newborn children in Boston, doctors charted a twenty percent drop in blood lead content between 1979 and 1981.2 While sales of leaded gasoline are but a small fraction of what they were at their height, they are nonetheless substantial. Current law still allows the use of leaded gasoline in pre-1975 vehicles, and in farm vehicles of any age.” Indeed, leaded gasoline still accounts for about 9 percent of total U.S. gasoline consumption.? During 1989, Americans burned approximately 9.8 billion gallons of leaded gasoline containing a total of 880 million grams of lead.” Pending amendments to the Clean Air Act, if enacted, would ban the sale of leaded gasoline for motor vehicles by 1991 (with a two year extension available for farm vehicles). Drinking water Lead can enter drinking water in a number of ways. Atmospheric lead, or lead leached from solid waste sites, can accumulate in the water supply. By far the most significant source, however, is lead pipes or lead solder in the plumbing system. Lead pipes may be present in the water main, in the connecting service line, or within the home; lead solder may likewise be found in a variety of locations. Lead is more easily leached by water that is “soft” (has a low mineral content) and/or acidic (has a low pH). However, any water can leach lead, especially water that is hot or that sits in pipes for 2 |bid., Vol. IV, pp. 13-4, 13-6. See also Agency for Toxic Substances and Disease Registry (1988), p. VI-19. 21 American Academy of Pediatrics (1987), “Statement on Childhood Lead Poisoning,” Pediatrics, Vol. 79, p. 458. See also Environmental Protection Agency (1986a), Vol. |, pp. 1-87 through 1-95 for a detailed discussion of associations between blood lead levels and the reduction in use of leaded gasoline. 2 Bellinger, et al. (1987). 23 See 42 U.S.C. section 7550. 24 Data from Environmental Protection Agency, “Lead in Gasoline,” for the quarter 1 July 1989 to 30 September 1989. 25 bid. (extrapolated from quarterly data to annual basis). 2 S.1630, 101st Cong., 1st Sess. section 216 (1989). Section 211 of the bill requires EPA to issue regulations prohibiting the sale of vehicle engines that require leaded gasoline as of 1992. This provision is designed to curtail production of farm machinery and small gasoline-powered engines, Leaded gasoline still accounts for about 9 percent of total U.S. gasoline consumption. Recently constructed or renovated housing may pose a problem because plumbing with freshly soldered joints can leach high levels of lead if lead solder was used. extended periods such as overnight. And, by contrast to paint-associated exposures that primarily occur in pre-1960 homes, recently constructed or renovated housing may pose a problem because plumbing with freshly soldered joints can leach high levels of lead if lead solder was used.” Food Adults consume an estimated 32-45 micrograms of lead each day through food. This is the major route by which lead enters adult bodies.? Lead contaminates food through a variety of routes. Atmospheric lead can land on crops at any stage of growth, harvest or food preparation. Lead-con- taminated water used in food preparation or cooking can contribute lead to the food. Finally, the same household lead dust that gets on children’s hands and faces can get into food during preparation. 3 Lead also enters food from lead-soldered cans. In 1979, more than ninety percent of food cans had lead-soldered seams.” Subsequently, the Food and Drug Administration has been working with the National Food Processors Association, the Can Manufacturers Institute, and the major can manufacturers on a “voluntary phaseout” of leaded solder.>* According to industry statistics, the number of cans with leaded solder in 1988 fell to 5.8 percent of total U.S. production.’ However, recent tests of canned tomato products by an independent consumers group found that about one quarter of the cans tested contained lead-soldered seams.** Even using the industry data, the problem remains extensive: Americans purchase more than twenty- eight billion cans of food and beverages yearly,” which at the 5.8 percent rate leaves more than 1.6 billion leaded cans passing through the nation’s grocery stores each year. The FDA effort, moreover, does not apply to imported canned foods. which are stillbeing manufactured to runon leaded gasoline. S. Rep. No. 101- 228, 101st Cong., 1st Sess. 105 (1989). 27 Agency for Toxic Substances and Disease Registry (1988), p. VI- 37. 28 Environmental Protection Agency (1986a), Vol. IV, p. 13-7. 2 Agency for Toxic Substances and Disease Registry (1988), p. I-30. The statistics in this paragraph refer to food cans only; since 1983, soft drink cans have been made entirely without leaded solder. [Source: Food and Drug Administration] % Interview with Mr. Pat Lombardo, Associate Director for Contami- nants, Division of Contaminants Chemistry, Center for Food Safety and Applied Nutrition, Food and Drug Administration. 3 Can Manufacturers Institute, letter dated March 28, 1989, to Mr. Jerry Burke, Acting Director, Office of Physical Sciences, Center for Food Safety and Applied Nutrition, Food and Drug Administration. 2 Consumer Reports, July 1989, p. 473. 3 Source: Can Manufacturers Institute. Continuing Uses of Lead in Commerce Currently, U.S. industries introduce approximately 1 million tons of lead into the economy each year. By far the largest use for lead today is in automobile starting/lighting/ignition batteries, with over 70% of lead de- voted to that one use.> But a wide variety of other products also continue to be made with lead. Many workers experience occupational exposures well above govern- ment standards, as do communities near primary and secondary smelters. Individuals living in the vicinity of such plants -- or of formerly operating plants -- may receive particularly high lead exposures. These continuing uses of lead are supported by federal tax policy: domestically mined lead has long benefitted from a 22% depletion allow- ance, and continues to do so today.” Interestingly, though lead consumption in the United States has decreased over the past decade, it has increased throughout much of the rest of the world. Auto batteries: The principal public health threat from lead in batteries stems from their manufacture and disposal, rather than from their use. While 80% of automobile batteries are recycled, the remainder forms the predominant source -- about 65% -- of the lead in municipal garbage, and an estimated 138,000 tons of automobile battery lead was discarded in 1989.* Although States have begun enacting mandatory recycling laws for auto batteries, there are no federal regulations affecting disposal by individ- ual consumers; batteries continue to be dumped in the open, placed in landfills, and incinerated under conditions that allow environmental release of lead to occur.* Other: Other continuing uses of lead in commerce include ammuni- tion, brass, coverings for power and communication cables, in glass (primar- 3 Bureau of Mines (1989b), p. 5, Table 5 (1988 annual data). This category includes other large storage batteries as well, such as for other vehicles and computers. % See Bureau of Mines (1988), Impact of Existing and Proposed Regulations on the Domestic Lead Industry, pp. 10-13. % Environmental Protection Agency (1986a), Vol. |, p. 1-49 (noting residence near a lead smelter as the single highest-intensity pathway for lead exposure by children). 37 26 U.S.C. section 613. 3 Bureau of Mines (1990b), “Mineral Industry Surveys: Lead Industry in November 1989,” p. 1 (citing statistics from the International Lead and Zinc Study group indicating the lead metal consumption in the “western world” increased for a seventh consecutive year to a record 4.41 million tons). 3% Environmental Protection Agency (1989b), Characterization of Unit 2 ; 00: FinalF (Washington: u.s. ErvORMental Protection Agency), Doc No. EPA/530-SW-89-015A), pp. 1 & 81. 40 Recently introduced federal legislation would bar disposal and instead mandate recycling of all lead-acid batteries. H.R. 3735, section 107, 101st Cong., 1st Sess. (1989). An estimated 138,000 tons of auto- mobile battery lead was discarded in 1989. 21 ily for color TV tubes), pipes and other extruded products, radiation shield- ing, and sheet lead as a sound-insulation material.*! Other uses included solders, pigments, and plastics.*? As with batteries, when lead-containing consumer items are discarded into municipal incinerators or landfills, that lead may be released into the environment. Finally, it is worth noting that although lead paint has been banned for household use, it still has many other applications. Lead paint’s durability and its rust inhibiting qualities have made it popular for traffic paints and for outdoor installations such as bridges, and it is still used extensively for those purposes. CRUSTAL - WEATHERING AUTO INDUSTRIAL EMISSIONS EMISSIONS y | AMBIENT |re——- SOI SURFACE AND | AIR RY ; »1 GROUND WATER | 4 | PAINT PLANTS ANIMALS SOLDER | NL 1 J J INHALED DRINKING pons Ll ee ¥ MAN | J Figure V. Environmental pathways of lead. Adapted from Environmental Protection Agency (1986), Vol. l, p. I-12. 4 Bureau of Mines (1989b), p. 4, Table 5. “2 Environmental Protection Agency (1989b). 22 4. NUMBERS OF INDIVIDUALS AFFECTED Millions of Americans are at risk of absorbing enough lead to trigger medically adverse outcomes. Because children. and fetuses absorb more lead than adults, theirs is a special danger. But adults are far from immune. Children Precise measurements of the numbers of U.S. children with elevated blood-lead levels are not available. However, a comprehensive set of estimates was compiled as part of a ground-breaking Report to Congress on Child Lead Poisoning. The report, which was prepared by the Agency for Toxic Substances and Disease Registry, or ATSDR -- a component of the U.S. Public Health Service -- used data from blood samples collected in the late 1970s.! Those data were then adjusted for changes in lead exposure in the intervening years, and extrapolated based on key factors known to affect blood-lead levels: age, race, family income, and age of housing. The ATSDR findings are remarkable. An estimated 3 to 4 million children under six have blood lead levels above 15 ug/dl.? Of those, about half -- 1.2 million children -- live in housing with deteriorating surfaces: peeling paint, broken plaster, or holes in walls.? Children who live in housing with peeling paint are particularly likely to absorb substantial amounts of lead. In addition to deteriorating paint, several other sources contribute to elevated blood-lead levels.* Lead in drinking water is estimated to account for approximately 240,000 cases.’ Available data do not allow calculation of directly comparable data for remaining major sources such as gasoline, dust/soil, smelters, and food.® For most children, however, those sources are less likely to cause significant increases in lead absorption than exposure to deteriorating paint. In the nation as a whole, exposure to paint-derived dust is the source of greatest concern. Moreover, many children have blood-lead levels well above 15 ug/dl. Over 200,00 children, about 1.5% of the nation's children, are estimated to have a blood lead level of 25 ug/dl or above.” At that level, observable IQ deficiencies, poor attention spans, and slow childhood development can be pronounced. Exposure rates are particularly high for poor, urban black ' Agency for Toxic Substances and Disease Registry (1988). 2 Ibid, p. 4. 3 Ibid, p. I-19. ‘4 Ibid, p. 6-8. * Ibid, p. 8. ‘ bid 7 |bid., p. 4. (extrapolating from SMSAs to the entire population). An estimated 3 to 4 million children under 6 have blood lead levels above 15 ug/dl. While the national incidence of chil- dren with blood-lead levels over 15 ug/dlis 17%, almost 70% of the urban black children from poor families are estimated to exceed that level, as are over 35% of white children in similar circumstances 24 children under age 6, an estimated 10% of whom have blood lead levels above 25 ug/dl.? Several observations are relevant. First, the data possibly understate the problem. Families move, and a new set of children can become exposed to the paint, dust and other contaminants in and around their new home. A California survey noted that 40 percent of the families in its survey moved every 15 months.’ The lead in the paint, dust and soil pose a continuing risk to each new resident. Second, the large numbers illustrate the magnitude of the problem from a public health perspective. Preventing exposure is the only appropriate approach, because available lead-poisoning treatments are fundamentally limited: they can neither remove all of the lead from target organs or long- term storage sites (i.., bone), nor undo neurological damage. Further, such treatments are both expensive and painful for the patient.!° Third, lead poisoning is not just a problem of poor children. While children from poorer families are at greater risk, in part because of other factors such as the greater incidence of malnutrition, millions of more affluent persons live in older housing. Indeed, the majority of children living in the nation’s oldest (pre-1950) homes come from families above the poverty level! The problem not only cuts across socioeconomic classes but also across regional boundaries. Appendix I of this report presents detailed estimates of the prevalence of elevated blood-lead levels in over 300 areas throughout the nation. Patterns revealed by this analysis are alarming. While the national incidence of children with blood-lead levels over 15 ug/dl is 17%, almost 70% of the urban black children from poor families are estimated to exceed that level, as are over 35% of white children in similar circumstances. While these estimates are necessarily crude, given the limits of the available data, they compellingly indicate the breadth -- in the most literal sense -- of America’s lead-poisoning problem, and highlight the gravity of current ex- posure levels and the urgent need for action. Fetuses The ATSDR Report estimates that at current levels of environmental lead, more than four million individual fetuses will suffer toxic effects of cumulative lead exposure over the next ten years.!? Lead is especially harmful to the fetus because of the ease with which it passes through the placenta. As noted above, several studies have concluded that the fetus is sensitive to lead even at levels of absorption by the mother previously thought to be harmless.!? & Ibid. (1988), p. V-7. ® State of California (1989), p. 25. 10 See Section 5 of this report. '! Agency for Toxic Substances and Disease Registry (1988), p. 1-48. '2 Agency for Toxic Substances and Disease Registry, (1988), p. 1-49. '* Needleman (1988b). Adults A 1987 survey of occupational illness in New York, New Jersey and California found more than 1,000 workers with blood lead levels above 40 ug/dL; 200 of these had levels of more than 50 ug/dL."* Exposure from occupational conditions presents the most serious hazard to adults. Contrary to the popular perception, however, several occupations present greater hazards than work at lead smelters. Table I sets forth the results of studies of actual lead exposure during various occupational activities. It indicates that persons working at steel cutting or welding risk exposure several times the level of those working in a primary or secondary lead smelter. Ironically, the current occupational standard for short-term exposure to lead -- now set at 50 micrograms per cubic meter of air (ug/m3) averaged over 8 hours -- does not apply to the construction industry.!s For males, risks from lead exposure include elevated blood pressure. The growing literature on the subject, establishing a statistically significant relationships between blood lead levels and blood pressure raises a public health concern in light of high blood pressure’s role in coronary disease -- the most common cause of death for adult males'®. The largest adult female population that is at risk from lead exposure is the child-bearing age group. This stems not only from the danger to the fetus itself, but also from the obstetrical complications that can accompany a non-normal childbirth. While available data are not conclusive, some studies suggest a connection between maternal blood lead levels and both pre-term delivery and premature membrane rupture.'’ Table I Maximum Observed Occupational Exposure to Lead (ug/m?) Activity Exposure Oxy-acetylene torch cutting of lead-painted structural steel, good ventilation 24.000 Electric arc welding of zinc silicate-coated steel, poor ventilation 15,000 Secondary smelter operation 4,800 Lead smelter operation 4,000 Alkyl lead manufacturing 1,249 Battery manufacturing 1,200 Can manufacturing 800 Sanding indoor leaded paint surface for 5 min. 550 Sanding outdoor leaded paint surface for 22 min. 510 Source: Adapted from U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (1986a), Vol. I, pp. 1-45, 1-46; also Vol II, pp. 7-64 through 7-70. 4 Landrigan (1989). 5 29 C.F.R. Part 1910.1025 (“permissible exposure limit” for lead as established by U.S. Occupational Safety and Health Administration). 6 See discussion in section 1 of this report. 7 Environmental Protection Agency (1986a), Vol. |, p. 1-156. Ironically, the current occupational standard for short-term exposure to lead does not apply to the construc- tion industry. 25 A large target population -- namely children from poorer families -- may go undiagnosed because of inade- quate access to medical care. 26 A Final Note The fact that only a small fraction of the persons exposed to lead may be diagnosed as lead-poisoned does not indicate that the public health danger is slight.’® The symptoms of low-level lead poisoning are nonspecific, and may occur in many persons who escape diagnosis. A large target population -- namely children from poorer families -- may go undiagnosed because of inadequate access to medical care. From a public health standpoint, the strong statistical correlation between lead exposure and the onset of symp- toms in populations that are at risk is sufficient cause for alarm and action. The sad truth is that virtually every group surveyed for low level lead poisoning has turned up many cases that had previously gone undiagnosed. For reasons such as these, the American Academy of Pediatrics recommends that children whose life circumstance determines them potentially to be at high risk be screened when they are one year old." '® The Board on Toxicology of the National Research Council is prepar- ing a landmark report identifying critical populations at risk for low level lead poisoning. This report will include specific recomendations on exposure prevention and present for the first time a detailed analysis of the costs of source control and the health benefits of reducing lead toxicity. American Academy of Pediatrics (1987). '* American Academy of Pediatrics (1987). 5. TREATMENT AND PREVENTION OPTIONS Treatment for lead poisoning is a partial cure at best. It is expensive, does not remove all the lead in the body, and cannot undo neurological damage. Nor does it address the conditions that caused the exposure in the first place. Removing lead from the environment is also expensive. Yet its results are more permanent, and proba- bly cheaper in both the short and long run. Lead poisoning is treated through the use of chelation, a process in which a drug binds itself to lead in the body and makes the lead easy to excrete. Candidates for possible chelation therapy generally spend a day in the hospital undergoing screening. If test results indicate that chelation is warranted, the patient spends an additional five days there for treatment and post-treatment testing. Not every child with an elevated blood-lead level requires chelation therapy: such treatment generally is considered warranted only in a relatively small fraction of cases, for chelation is not risk-free. Limitations of conventional treatment While chelation can substantially reduce lead levels, it has a number of significant limitations. The three major limitations of chelation are: 1) Chelation cannot repair neurologic impairment, but rather can only keep further damage to the nervous system from occurring. Children treated for lead poisoning are still likely to require special education and other cognitive or behavior-related therapy long after their initial treatment.? 2) Chelation generally cannot reach lead that has found its way to long- term storage sites in the hard body tissues (bone, teeth) or the brain and kidneys. As discussed above, lead can re-enter the soft tissues from bone at high levels. Chelation therapy does not prevent this. In fact, doctors have observed a “rebound” phenomenon in some patients, where blood lead levels rise after the cessation of chelation therapy? 3) Finally, chelation has little effect when the patient, as is often the case, returns to the same lead-contaminated environment in which the ! Centers for Disease Control (1985), p. 26. Using the 1985 definition for lead toxicity -- a level that, as discussed above, may soon be lowered based on more recent data -- EPA estimated that chelation therapy would be needed for about 5% of the children who have blood-lead levels above 25 ug/ dl, in orderto reduce theiroverall lead body burden. Environmental Protection Agency (1986b), Reducing Lead in Drinking Water: A Benefits Analysis, pp. I1-53 (Washington: U.S. Environmental Protection Agency), Doc. No. EPA- 230-09-86-019. 2 Bellinger et al. (1984). 3 Centers for Disease Control (1985), pp. 16-17. In one documented case, the rebound took place a full five years after the initial treatment for lead exposure, with no additional exposure being observed during the interim period. See OJ David, S Katz, CA Arcolo, and J Clark (1987), “Chelation Therapy in Children as Treatment of Sequelae in Severe Lead Toxicity,” Archives of Environmental Health, Vol. 40, p. 113. Not every child with an elevated blood-lead level requires chelation therapy: such treatment generally is considered warranted only in a rela- tively small fraction of cases. "Medical treatment with chelating agents must not be considered a substitute for dedicated preventive efforts to eradicate controllable sources of lead..." Centers for Disease Control exposure occurred. Unless the source of exposure can be eliminated -- for example, by removal of accessible lead paint, or by substitution of bottled drinking water for lead-contaminated tap water -- itis likely that the problem will recur. In one reported case, a patient required nineteen chelation treat- ments over his childhood.* Moreover, the costs of chelation therapy are high. They include hospitalization, physician visits, laboratory tests, and psychological testing and evaluation. Using conservative assumptions, EPA estimates the cost for a single course of chelation treatment at $2,980, in 1988 dollars.® This estimate does not include the costs of multiple sessions, which EPA esti- mates may be needed for half of patients undergoing chelation. Nor does it include the costs of follow-up care such as remedial education and psycho- logical testing. The Preventive Approach: Getting the Lead Out Removing lead paint from homes is a complex task. It typically involves testing surfaces to determine where lead paint is present; replacing, encapsulating, or removing paint from woodwork or wall surfaces; careful cleanup of all dusts generated during the process; and post-removal testing to ensure that cleanup was properly completed. Because some of these operations can exacerbate the problem if not done properly, lead removal usually requires skilled labor and special equipment such as respirators and specialized vacuum cleaners. The Consumer Product Safety Commission wams flatly that “[c]onsumers should not attempt to remove lead-based paint.” Unfortunately, safe and effective removal of lead paint is not cheap. The City of Baltimore, which has an active lead abatement program, estimates the per unit cost of lead removal to run from approximately three thousand dollars, at the low end of the scale, toas high aseight to ten thousand dollars.” An urgent need exists for research aimed at developing abatement technologies that are fully effective but less expensive. “ S. Pollack (1989), “Solving the Lead Dilemma,” Technology Review, Oct. 1989, pp. 22-31. 5 U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (1986b), p. l1I-53. Figures in the cited source are given in 1985 dollars. & Consumer Product Safety Commission (1989), “CPSC Warns About Hazards of ‘Do It Yourself’ Removal of Lead-Based Paint,” Consumer Product Safety Alert, p.1. 7 Interview with James Keck, Deputy Commissioner, Baltimore Department of Housing and Community Development. The low number assumes abatement being carried out in tandem with other rehabilitation, and reflects abatement contractor costs on a specific modernization project in Bal- timore comprising 328 units; the high numbers assume “worst case” condi- tions of very deteriorated units where paint abatement alone is being carried out. 6. GOVERNMENT ACTION -- AND INACTION -- ON LEAD To date, Congress has responded to the lead prob- lem on a number of fronts, enacting legislation to control lead in paint, ambient air, drinking water and solid waste. Initiatives to reduce lead in gasoline and lead-soldered food cans have made headway in “de-leading” the nation as a whole. But there have been only sporadic efforts to control the most stubborn and significant source of children’s exposure to lead: house paint. The Lead-Based Paint Poisoning Prevention Act The United States historically has been slow to respond to the health threats posed by lead paint. While most European countries signed a treaty banning the use of lead-based paint in the interior of buildings in 1921, the Merely prohibiting the use of addi- federal government took no action at all until 1971. That year, citing the tional lead-based paint in dwellings “epidemic proportions” of childhood lead poisoning in large cities, Con- has proven to be an Inadequate re- gress enacted the first national lead abatement legislation. The Lead-Based sponse to the problem. Paint Poisoning Prevention Act? sought to address three distinct aspects of the lead-paint problem. Specifically, the Act set some limits on the use of lead paint; created grants for lead-poisoning screening and treatment programs, and required the submission of a report on abatement methods. The three components have had notably different histories over the intervening two decades. Limits on the Use of Lead Paint: Contrary to general belief, the Act did not ban the production of lead paint or even all of its uses in dwellings. Rather, it merely prohibited the use of leaded paint on surfaces accessible to children. The Act also authorized the Secretary of Health, Education, and Welfare to issue regulations prohibiting the use of lead-based paint in Fed- eral construction or rehabilitation of residential housing. Recognizing the need to strengthen these provisions, Congress amended the Actin 1973 to prohibit the use of leaded paint (defined as paint containing 0.5 percent lead by dry weight) in federally funded housing and extended the prohibition to toys and other articles.> Not until 1977 was the use of lead paint in housing actually banned -- and that ban was imposed by a regulation issued by the Consumer Product Safety Administration rather than by statute.* Grant Programs: The 1971 Act placed the administration of the grant program with the Secretary of Health, Education, and Welfare. A decade ' 1921 Convention Concerning the Use of White Lead in Painting. 2 Pub. L. No. 91-695, 84 Stat. 2087; current version at 42 U.S.C. sections 4801-4846. 3 Pub. L. No. 93-151, 87 Stat. 560 (1973). | 4 42 Fed. Reg. 44199 (Sept. 1, 1977), codified at 16 C.F.R. Part 1303. | Certain products were exempted, including agricultural and industrial coat- | ings, including building coatings, traffic paints, and artists paints. The regulations also revised the definition of lead paint to mean paint containing more than 0.06% lead by dry weight. 20 Today, fewer than one half of the States have active lead screening programs. 30 later, the Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1981 eliminated grants under the Lead-Based Paint Poisoning Prevention Act and several other child health-related grant-in-aid programs; in their place, the 1981 Act created the Matemal and Child Health Block Grants Program. Today, fewer than one half of the States have active lead screening programs.® Moreover, because the block-grant program contained far fewer reporting requirements, the changeover to block grants also had the effect of denying the Federal government ongoing information about the extent of lead poisoning in this country. The restoration of line-item funding for lead screening in the Lead Contamination Control Act of 1988 will help reinvig- orate screening programs by authorizing expenditures of $24 million for fiscal year 1991 and requiring grant recipients to report screening statistics.’ Paint Abatement Efforts: As its third and final component, the 1971 Lead-Based Paint Poisoning Prevention Act directed the Secretary of Hous- ing and Urban Development (HUD) to prepare a report to Congress on “the nature and extent of the problem of lead-based paint poisoning” and methods for removal of paint to which children were exposed.®! Subsequent amend- ments directed HUD to eliminate “as far as practicable” the hazards of lead paint in existing housing,” and to promulgate regulations on lead paint abatement.” HUD’s implementation of these mandates can only be termed abys- mal. Asearlyas 1980, the U.S. General Accounting Office harshly criticized HUD'’s efforts in a report entitled “HUD Not Fulfilling Responsibility to Eliminate Lead-Based Paint Hazard in Federal Housing.”"! In subsequent litigation, the courts agreed, and ordered HUD to revise its regulations.’ The revised regulations were issued in 1986 and 1987.13 * Prior to the 1981 Budget Act, the grant provisions of the Lead Paint Poisoning Prevention Act had been amended and transferred into section 316 of the Public Health Service Act, codified as 42 U.S.C. section 247a. See Pub. L. No. 95-626, section 316, 92 Stat. 3551, 3586 (1978). The 1981 Budget Act then repealed section 316 of the Public Health Service Act. Pub. L. No. 97-35 section 2193(b)(1), 95 Stat. 357, 827 (1981). See 42 U.S.C A. section 701, historical note. ® See Agency for Toxic Substances and Disease Registry (1985) pp. V-24 through V-26. 7 Pub. L. No. 100-572, 100th Cong. 2d Sess. (1988), section 566, codified at 42 U.S.C. 247b-1 (section 317A of the Public Health Service Act). 8 Pub. L. No. 91-695, Sec. 301, 87 Stat. 2078. ® Pub. L. No. 93-151, 87 Stat. 560 (1973), codified at 42 U.S.C. sec. 4822. '° Pub. L. No. 94-317, 90 Stat. 695 (1976), codified at 42 U.S.C. sec. 4821 et seq. '" (Washington: U.S. General Accounting Office), Doc. No. CED-81- 31. 2 Ashton v, Pierce, 541 F. Supp. 633 (D.D.C. 1982), affirmed, 716 F.2d 56, modified, 723 F.2d 70 (D.C. Cir. 1983). B.24CF.R Pant 35. Responding to HUD’s intransigent failure to develop regulations fo- cused on preventing lead poisoning, Congress made major changes to the Act in 1988.'* Those amendments required HUD to promulgate regulations by June, 1988 that addressed lead paint on all surfaces and to conduct lead paint testing and abatement in housing receiving comprehensive modernization funds. The amendments also required HUD to conduct a demonstration program on the cost-effectiveness of different abatement methods and to prepare and submit to Congress two “comprehensive and workable” plans. One plan must address the abatement of public housing over a five year period and the other must address abatement of lead paint in private housing. This new HUD effort is moving ahead, albeit more slowly than Congress originally anticipated. In the almost twenty years since the passage of the Lead Based Paint Poisoning Prevention Act, several generations of children have occupied homes and apartments filled with lead paint. To date, however, the federal government has failed to craft an effective program that would reduce exposures to this source and thus prevent poisoning in the first place. A bold new initiative is needed to ensure that children are not still being poisoned by lead paint twenty years from now. State and Local Action on Lead Paint Housing quality issues such as lead paint have traditionally been regulated at the local or state level, rather that by the federal government. The federal Lead-Based Paint Poisoning Prevention Act applies only to housing that is owned, subsidized or the subject of mortgage guarantees by the federal government. Thus, the only regulation of lead paint in the vast majority of the U.S. housing stock occurs at the municipal or state level. Approximately twenty states and many cities and counties have laws or ordinances that regulate the use of lead paint in housing and require abatement under at least some circumstatnces. Many of these regulatory programs date to the 1970s and so do not reflect the past decade's research findings on the need to prevent low level lead poisoning from lead paint and dust. Three states, however, have recently enacted more comprehensive schemes to prevent childhood lead poisoning. Since 1971, Massachusetts law has required the removal of peeling paint and lead paint on certain accessible surfaces (such as window sills) in all dwellings occupied by a child under the age of six. The Massachusetts statute was amended and expanded early in 1988 and is now the most far- reaching state lead poisoning prevention law. One goal of the amended law is to screen all pre-school children for lead poisoning, by requiring doctors and health care providers to screen according to a prescribed schedule and by requiring day care providers to ensure that all two-year olds have been screened. Another goal is to make abatement safer by requiring training and licensing of lead paint inspecters and workers, requiring clean-up after abate- ment and prohibiting occupants from remaining in dwellings during abate- ment. To promote deleading in connection with property. transfers, the law requires home sellers to provide perspective buyers with information about * Pub. L. No. 100-242, section 566(a), 102 Stat. 1945, amended by Pub. L. No. 100-628, section 10288, 102 Stat. 3280 (1988), codified at 42 U.S.C. 4822. In the almost twenty years since the passage of the Lead Based Paint Poisoning Prevention Act, several generations of children have occu- pied homes and apartments filled with lead paint. 32 lead paint and the lead law and to give buyers ten days to obtain a lead paint inspection. Finally, the law creates a $1,000 per unit state income tax credit to provide partial financial support for owners or tenants who pay for the removal of leaded paint or soil.'* California enacted the Childhood Lead Poisoning Prevention Program in 1986.'¢ The Program required the Department of Health Services to: 1) conduct screening programs in three geographical areas to determine the extent and causes of childhood lead poisoning; 2) analyze the information collected and implement a program to reduce childhood lead exposure; 3) re- quire laboratories to report cases of elevated blood lead levels; and 4) submit a policy report to the legislature with recommendations for future prevention of childhood lead poisoning. Preliminary findings from the screening programs show that 19-20% of children in these high risk areas had blood lead levels above 15 ug/dl and 1.5% had blood lead levels over 25 ug/dl." Of programs at the local level, Baltimore is the most extensive. Approximately 26,000 children are tested yearly. When a lead-poisoned child is identified, either by city health officials or by a private physician, the city health department is notified and an inspection of the child's home is ordered.'® Inspections are also required when a day care center that may have lead paint is reviewed for licensing or begins renovations which may disturb lead paint. A property owner who is concerned that a lead hazard may exist can also request an inspection. If the inspection shows a lead paint hazard to exist, a violation notice is issued to the landlord or owner of the premises, who must abate or remove the lead paint. Federal Controls on Other Lead Sources In addition to efforts to control lead from paint, other sources of lead have also come under government scrutiny. Most of these fall within the | jurisdiction of the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA). Lead in Air: Ironically, the nation’s most effective steps in preventing lead exposure were only partially prompted by concerns over lead toxicity. The Clean Air Act of 1970 set standards for auto emissions of certain pollutants (namely hydrocarbons, carbon monoxide and nitrogen dioxide)." To meet those standards, auto-makers developed the catalyuc converter, a device that happens to be rendered inoperative by leaded gasoline. As a result, the use of leaded gasoline in vehicles equipped with converters had to 15 1987 Mass. Acts ch. 773 (codified primarily at Mass. Gen. Laws Ann. Ch. 111, ss 190-199). Implementing regulations have been promulgated by both the Department fo Public Health, Mass Admin. Code title. 105, s 460.000 (1989), and the Department of Labor and Industries, Mass. Admin. Code titl. 454, s 22:00 (1988. '® Cal. Health & Safety Code Section 309.7. '7 State of California (1989). '® Interview with M. Michael Wojotovycz, Baltimore City Health Depart- ment, Lead Poisoning Prevention Program (Feb. 2, 1990). '® Pub. L. No. 91-604, 84 Stat. 1676, 91% Cong., 2° Sess., codified at 42 U.S.C. 1857 et seq. be prohibited.? As EPA moved to develop the necessary regulations, however, the Agency began evaluating lead-toxicity issues as well as the need to protect catalytic converters. But EPA found itself unable to resolve certain issues and deferred the adoption of health-based limits. Following litigation brought by environmentalists, EPA eventually adopted a health-based phasedown inleaded gasoline. Those regulations in turn were challenged by industry, but were upheld by a federal appellate court.” Efforts by the Reagan Administration to relax those standards in the early 1980s triggered a storm of protest by the public health community and were eventually abandoned. Indeed, EPA tightened the regulations some- what as a result of data presented during that process. Industry again challenged the regulations, and the courts substantially upheld them.z During that litigation, the court became so impressed by the strength of the scientific evidence that it took an unusual step: going beyond the scope of the regulations before it, the court remarked that the significant risk of adverse health effects from blood lead levels as low as 10-15 ug/dl would justify EPA in banning lead from gasoline entirely.” EPA subsequently lowered allowable levels in gasoline still further, effective January 1, 1986.% Overall, between 1975 and 1986, the amount of lead added to gasoline declined nearly 90 percent.” In addiuon to the substantial effects of the leaded-gas restrictions, the Clean Air Act also authorizes EPA to set ambient standards for pollutants “which may reasonably be anticipated to endanger public health or wel- fare.”? These standards, termed National Ambient Air Quality Standards or “NAAQS,” prescribe the maximum concentration of lead allowed in the air throughout the nation. In 1978, EPA set the current standard of 1.5 micro- grams of lead per cubic meters of air (“ug/m3”), averaged over a calendar 20 For a detailed review of this topic, see EK Silbergeld and RV Percival (1987), “The Organometals: Impacts of Accidental Exposure and Experimen- tal Data on Regulatory Policies,” pp. 328-352 in S Sparber and H Tilson (eds.), Neurotoxicology of Organometals, New York: Wiley Interscience. 2 Ethyl Corp. v. EPA, 541 F. 2d 1 (D.C. Cir. 1976) (en banc). 22 ine hase n Kk r nvir | Protection Agency, 705 F.2d 506 (D.C. Cir. 1983) (upholding numeric statndards though remanding to correct procedural flaws). 2 |bid,, 705 F.2d at 531. 24 See 24 C.F.R. Part 80. The current limit for lead in leaded gasoline is 0.10 grams per gallon. 40 C.F.R. Section 80.20(a)(iii). 2 The figures are: 1975 = 190 metric tons; 1986 = 29 metric tons. Sources: Bureau of Mines (1985), Mineral Facts and Problems, Lead Chap- ter, Table 4 (preprint); Bureau of Mines (1987), Minerals Yearbook, Lead Chapter, Table 11. Since 1986, figures for use of lead as a gasoline additive have been merged with other miscellaneous uses. 2 42 U.S.C. section 7408(a). The court remarked that the signifi- cant risk of adverse health effects from blood lead levels as low as 10- 15 ug/di would justify EPA in banning lead from gasoline entirely. One study acknowledges that nearly every primary smelter now in operation is violating current occu- pational and environmental lead stan- dards. 34 quarter.” Industry unsuccessfully challenged those regulations as well. The Act requires that a NAAQS be reviewed and, if needed, revised every five years.® EPA is still working on its first revision of the lead standard, and anticipates proposing it in October 1990.3° Given that EPA’s existing air quality standard was based on a target blood-lead level of 15 ug/ dl, it appears almost inevitable that the standard will be lowered. EPA’s preliminary analyses for a revised lead NAAQS were recently reviewed by a group of EPA-appointed outside experts, as mandated by the Clean Air Act® That group, known as the Clean Air Scientific Advisory Committee, noted that levels approaching the current standard provide “relatively little, ifany, margin of safety,” and urged “greater consideration be given to air lead values below 1.0 ug/m?3.”"? With the prevailing use of unleaded gasoline, the only parts of the country exceeding the current standard are those in the vicinity of lead smelters and refineries. While the technology exists to reduce these emis- sions, some familiar with the industry assert that the cost of cleanup is too high for the domestic industry to remain competitive against foreign im- ports.*® Indeed, one study acknowledges that nearly every primary smelter now in operation is violating current occupational and environmental lead standards.* Lead in Soil: There is no specific Federal program for soil-based lead removal. Under the authority granted in Title III of the 1986 amendments to the Superfund legislation®*, EPA has recently earmarked a small portion of Superfund money for long-term residual toxic deposits of lead in soil. Boston, Baltimore, and Cincinnati are currently using Superfund money for projects designed to test the health effects of removing high-lead soil in residential neighborhoods. 27 40 C.F.R. section 50.12, 43 Fed. Reg. 46246 (Oct. 5, 1978). 28 Lead Industries Association v. Environmental Protection Agency, 647 F. 2d 1130 (D.C. Cir. 1980). 28 42 U.S.C. section 7409(d). % EPA's projected schedule was stated in its semi-annual regulatory agenda of October 1989. 54 Fed. Reg. 45323 (Oct. 30, 1989). 31 42 U.S.C. section 7409(d)(2). 3 Environmental Protection Agency, Science Advisory Board (1990), p- 3 3 See, e.g., Bureau of National Affairs, “Tighter Emission Controls at Lead Smelters Achievable But Costly, Bureau of Mines Says,” Environmental Beporter, Vol. 18, (December 18, 1987), p. 1931. 3 Bureau of Mines (1988) pp. 9-10. 35 Pub. L. No. 99-499, Superfund Amendments and Reauthorization Act of 1986, codified as ammendments to 42 U.S.C. 9601 et seq. % These projects are modest and aimed primarily at research on health effects of soil lead abatement. The three-year Baltimore effort is funded at $4.8 million and involves 160 dwellings, one half of which constitute a control Lead in Solid Waste: The primary federal statute governing control of solid waste is the Resource Conservation and Recovery Act of 1976 (“RCRA”).*” Under RCRA and its implementing regulations, a waste qualifies as hazardous if it leaches lead above a certain threshold (namely 5 parts per million).*® Hazardous wastes must be managed and disposed of according to detailed requirements.* Regulations for management of non- hazardous waste are virtually non-existent, though standards for municipal landfills were proposed in 1988.4 The incineration of municipal waste presents another area covered by legislation. The Clean Air Act requires the EPA to set standards for air pollutants from solid waste incineration but EPA’s recently proposed stan- dards do not specifically address lead emissions.*! Lead in Drinking Water: Federal responsibility for control of lead in drinking water arises under the Safe Drinking Water Act,*? administered by EPA. EPA’s current standard for lead in drinking water is 50 micrograms per liter of water (50ug/L), but the Agency recently proposed a 10-fold lowering of the standard to 5 ug/L.* Because lead is contributed primarily by leaching of pipes and solder during distribution (rather than contamination at the wellhead or reservoir), EPA has proposed to set an “action level” that would require public water systems to reduce the corrosiveness of water if more than 5% of household water samples contain more than 20 ug/L of lead. EPA estimates that the drinking water of approximately 42 million Americans contains more than 20 ug/L of lead,* largely because many jurisdictions nationwide had used lead service lines and leaded solder in their group. Interview with Susan Guyaux, Technical Specialist for Lead, Center for Environmental Health, State of Maryland Department of the Environment. 37 42 U.S.C. 6901 et. seq. 3 40 C.F.R. section 261.24. Certain lead-containing wastes are also separately listed as hazardous wastes. % See generally 40 C.F.R. parts 260-270. 40 53 Fed. Reg. 33314 (Aug. 30, 1988) (proposed municipal landfill re- quirements). “1 54 Fed. Reg. (Nov. 1989). For ash residues from such incineration, controversy exists as to whether ash that exceeds the threshold for leachable lead must be managed as hazardous waste. Although EPA has taken the position that it must, two district courts recently interpreted RCRA to provide an exception for ash under certain circumstances. See Environmental Defense Fund v. Wheelabrator, No. 88-0569 (S.D.N.Y. slip. op. Nov. 21, 1989); EDF v, City of Chicago, No. 88-0769 (N.D. Ill. slip op. Nov. 29, 1989). “2 42 U.S.C. section 300f et seq. “ The current standard is found at 40 C.F.R. section 141.11(b); the revision was proposed on August 18, 1988, 53 Fed. Reg. 31516, 31571. “4 Environmental Protection Agency (1986b), p. 11-58. Under RCRA and its implementing regulations, a waste qualifies as “hazardous if it leaches lead above five parts per million. 35 36 tings in any private or public potable (drinking) water supply system. water systems for years. Indeed, until recently the City of Chicago required the use of lead pipe in new service lines.*’ The 1986 Amendments to the Safe Drinking Water Act banned the further use of lead products in new public water systems and in new homes connected to them.*® The ban encompasses both leaded plumbing fixtures and leaded solder (containing more than 0.2% lead). Nonetheless, leaded solder continues to be sold for a variety of other uses. Unfortunately, it is far from clear that the small warming labels printed on solder packages serve as an effective means for deterring its use in drinking water systems, partcu- larly because unleaded solder is not carried by all hardware stores. Yet another source of lead in drinking water is found in the lead liners or solder in drinking fountains. Discovery of this problem in 1988 prompted enactment of the 1988 Lead Contamination Control Act, which banned the manufacture and sale of drinking water fountains containing lead that comes into contact with drinking water supplies.” The Act also directed EPA to compile lists of lead-containing water coolers, and assist schools in detecting lead in school drinking water.*® Summary of Government Efforts America has made significant progress in the battle to “de-iead” some aspects of its environment -- most notably air following the phase-down of leaded gasoline -- but has had woefully limited success in addressing other exposure sources. Chief among the latter is lead paint in older homes. This is ironic in view of the fact that the Lead-Based Paint Poisoning Prevention Act was enacted nearly two decades ago expressly to control this very source. But because leaded paint continues to be a highly accessible source of lead as long as it remains on the premises, merely prohibiting the use of additonal iead-based paint in dwellings has proven to be an inadequate response to the problem. The intractable features of this issue indicate that leaded paint represents a public health threat demanding extraordinary efforts, different in both degree and kind from those of the past. “ Ibid, p. I-15. “ Pub. L. No. 99-339, section 109, 100th Cong., 2d Sess. (1986), codified at 42 U.S.C. section 300g. 47 Pub. L. No. 100-572, 102 Stat. 2884, 100th Cong., 2d Sess. (1988), codified to 42 U.S.C. section 300j-21 to 300j-25. “8 The final water cooler list was issued at 55 Fed. Reg. 1772 (Jan. 18, 1990), while guidance for schools was published at 54 Fed. Reg. 14316 (April 10, 1989). 7. SETTING GOALS AND PRIORITIES FOR FUTURE ACTION Lead’s persistence and toxicity mandate efforts to minimize blood- lead levels for all Americans. At the same time, special attention must be directed to those who are most heavily exposed and most vulnerable. A new Federal effort should therefore aim at the two million high risk houses that have been and will be home to millions of children. It should also aim to cut the amount of lead being introduced into commerce. The vast amount of information available on lead’s persistence and toxicity, especially in light of new data on lead’s long-term neurologic effects provide a compelling basis for an aggressive Federal program of lead removal. Key factors include the following: €@ Lead in the body has no known biologic or physiologic value. Its only known effect is that of interfering with essential bodily functions. © Lead is indestructible. Virtually all of the reported cases of lead poisoning today stem from decades-old paint from the walls and woodwork of homes. © Lead’spresence inthe body is largely cumulative and its effects are largely irreversible. The half-life of lead stored in our bones and teeth is approximately twenty years; minute accumulations of lead in the body over time can produce toxic levels of blood lead, and bring about symptoms that last long after treatment. © New research continues to decrease the levels of human absorption that we deem to be dangerous. The federal government now recognizes adverse effects at levels that are a small fraction of the official standard in place twenty years ago. €@ While the exact number of persons with unduly high blood lead levels cannot be precisely calculated, the number far exceeds that reported through screening programs. That number includes millions of adults as well as children, and more affluent as well as poorer Americans. As a practical matter, society cannot immediately remove all the lead that may threaten the public health. In the words of one report, “Lead is toxic wherever it is found, and it is found everywhere.” As a result, priorities must be set. One approach is to (1) identify the group or groups who currently have the highest exposures to lead and sus- ceptibility to its effects, (2) establish a “least cost” method of minimizing those exposures, (3) erect administrative and financial safeguards to ensure the realization of policy goals, and (4) to the degree possible, join any new effort with other important policy goals, including stimulating the use of nonleaded products and environmentally responsible recycling of lead, and ' Centers for Disease Control (1985), p. 1. 2 Agency for Toxic Substances and Disease Registry (1985), p. I-1. PART II: TOWARD A SOLUTION: A PROPOSAL FOR LEGISLATIVE ACTION “Lead is toxic wherever it is found, and it is found everywhere.” An estimated 1.97 million homes with peeling lead-based paint house well over half a million children. increasing the supply of safe and affordable housing. Identify Groups Most At Risk As discussed above, children living in homes with deteriorating lead- based paint are at greatest risk of ingesting undue amounts of lead today. An estimated 1.97 million homes with peeling lead-based paint house well over half a million children today, and pose a continuing threat to additonal children in the future. The program could be structured so that the first areas addressed are those in which large numbers of lead-poisoned children have already been identified. By beginning lead abatement programs on this highest-risk segment of the population, resources will be spent where the potential public health benefits are the greatest, with concomitant economic benefits. In addition, millions of American families will avoid the financial and emotional costs of lead-induced school failure and reading disabilities. Establish “Least Cost” Methods The $3-10 thousand per unit cost of de-leading a house assumes current market conditions and current operating technology. The average cost could weigh in closer to the bottom end of this scale given a concerted effort to (1) maximize competition among contractors licensed to perform lead removal, (2) train additional workers in lead removal procedures, (3) encourage local governments and owners of multi-family housing units to couple paint abatement with other rehabilitation, and (4) develop new meth- ods of paint abatement. Erect Administrative and Budgetary Safeguards Congress enacted the 1970 Lead-Based Paint Poisoning Prevention Act with the best of intentions, but the Act’s effectiveness has been severely limited by HUD’s inaction and by inadequate funding. To avoid arecurrence of this problem, a program to combat the problem of lead-based paint should contain administrative and financial safeguards. These could include (1) guaranteed funding, (2) administrative responsibility vested in health and en- vironmental agencies whose expertise best comports with the goals of the program, and (3) a built-in policy approach that emphasizes prevention in addition to treatment. This third safeguard is particularly desirable given the irreversible effects of lead poisoning, for a policy consisting solely of treat- ment carries countless social, educational, and medical costs. Join New Efforts with Secondary Goals Any new Federal program takes its place beside others attempting to attain related goals. Where a new program can be constructed so as to reinforce the goals of existing programs, one achieves administrative effi- ciency and a better return on the taxpayer dollar. Over the years, some of the aims of Federal lead programs have included mandating or encouraging the use of substitutes for lead (e.g., the phase-down on leaded gasoline, the ban on leaded solders in drinking water systems, and FDA-National Food Processors Association program for use of non-leaded solder in food cans). 8. AN OUTLINE OF THE PROPOSAL The Environmental Defense Fund (EDF) proposes a trust fund, to be financed by the creation of an excise fee on the production and importation of lead. Proceeds from the fund would be devotedfirst to the goal of paint removal in the high risk group of homes with peeling, lead-based paint. The program would be administered jointly by the Environmental Protection Agency and the Department of Health and Human Services; these agencies would also monitor the health effects of the lead removal actions. The program would contain extra provisions to enable it to adapt to market conditions and, where possible, accom- plish secondary goals. The Trust Fund EDF believes that earmarking funds in the budget within a specific trust fund is the preferred way to ensure that the goals of this program can be met.’ Congress has earmarked funds where it has determined that any inflexibility inherent in the earmarking process is more than offset by the need to accomplish specific policy goals, by the importance of generating secure and long-term funding, and where there is complementarity between the specific funding source, on the one hand, and the policy goals on the other. In the environmental arena, the Hazardous Substance Superfund,? the Nuclear Waste Fund,’ and the Leaking Underground Storage Tank Trust Fund,* each operate to achieve specific goals comparable to the one at hand.’ ' It may be appropriate to adopt a means test or other eligibility test to ensurethattrustfund monies go to housing owners (whether public or private) who are not otherwise able to finance abatement of lead paint within their units. If such a restriction were adopted, it might be desirable to provide tax credits for abatement to homeowners not eligible for grants or loans. 2 Established by the Comprehensive Environmental Response, Com- pensation, and Liability Act, Pub. L. No. 96-510, section 221, 94 Stat. 2767, 2801 (1980), codified to 26 U.S.C. section 9631 (commonly referred to as “Superfund”). ® Established by the Nuclear Waste Policy Act of 1982, Pub. L. No. 97- 425, section 302, codified to 42 U.S.C. section 10222. Strictly speaking, this is a “special fund” rather than a trust fund, but it involves the same principles of earmarked funds. See General Accounting Office, Trust Funds and Their Relationship to the Federal Budget, (Washington, GAO, September 1988) GAO Document No. GAO/AFMD-88-55, p. 7. “ Established by the Superfund Act Amendments and Reauthorization Act of 1986, Pub. L. No. 99-499, section 522, 100 Stat. 1613, 1780, codified to 26 U.S.C. 9508. > Afourth environmental trust fund, the Oil Spill Liability Trust Fund, was established by the Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1986 (Pub. L. No. 99-509, 100 Stat. 1874, and awaits authorization. 39 40 The Excise Fee Each of the trust funds mentioned in the previous paragraph is financed by a narrowly based excise or a series of excises that is closely related to the goal of the fund. Overall, on-budget federal trust fund receipts from excise and other levies in fiscal year 1989 were approximately $250 billion.® EDF proposes an excise on the introduction of new lead into commerce, including imported lead, for an initial period of seven years. The goal of de-leading two million homes, at an estimated average cost of $5,000 per unit, determines the total level of needed receipts as $10 billion.” If the program is designed to have a seven year life, and to spend funds at aconstant rate, then the fee should be set to yield approximately $1.5 billion annually (subject to adjustment for inflation). In 1988, the volume of new and imported lead entering U.S. commerce was approximately 600,000 tons.® These data suggest that the fee initially should be set at approximately $2500 per ton, equivalent to $1.25 per pound of lead. Based on the November, 1989 average price of lead at 41.3 cents per pound,’ the excise would work out to approximately a four-fold increase in the price of lead." Imposition of a fee of this magnitude is not a novel concept. For example, the Budget Reconciliation Act of 1989 contains a per-pound feeon ozone depleting CFCs that rises to $4.90 per pound by the end of the decade.” A preliminary analysis suggest thal impacts on Consumers would generally be moderate. Assuming the fee has a linear effect on prices, anew automobile battery (which contains approximately 18 pounds of lead) would cost about $11 more if the battery contained 50% virgin or imported lead. Batteries range significantly in price, from about $50 to about $100, and typically carry a warranty of 5 years or longer.” The $11 initial price increase thus could be viewed as an incremental cost of about $2 per year over the guaranteed lifetime of the battery. Moreover, in practice the increase would probably be considerably smaller, since most batteries already contain more than 50% recycled lead. Price increases (in absolute terms) on other classes of products that use less lead by weight would be correspondingly lower. ¢ Office of Management and Budget (1989), Budget of the United States Government, Fiscal year 1990: Special Analysis C (Washington, Government Printing Office), p. C-14. 7 This brief analysis is not intended to be exhaustive or comprehensive, but rather only to provide a starting point for further discussion. ® Figure derived from the Bureau of Mines (1989c) and converted from metric tons to short tons. ® Bureau of Mines (1989b), Table 10. 10 By way of comparison, during the last dozen years, lead prices have fluctuated from $0.202 per pound (1985) to $0.789 (1979) (based on constant 1987 dollars). Bureau of Mines (1989a), Nonferrous Metal Prices in the United States Through 1988, (Washington: U.S. Dep't of the Interior), pp. 55- 57. 1 Budget Reconciliation Act of 1989, Pub. L. No. 101-238, section 7506, 103 Stat. 2106, 2364, 101st Cong., 1st Sess. (1989). 2 Consumer Reports, p. 103 (Feb. 1987). We propose that the level of the fee, the possibility of additional funding sources, and the duration of the program be carefully monitored in order to ensure the viability of the program as lead production levels fluctuate. We believe this narrow excise fully meets the test of complementarity between funding source and policy objective. Italso takes a policy approach to the issue that we believe maximizes the efficiency of the program, by ac- complishing a number of other important policy goals. First, it would use market signals, rather than cumbersome regulatory processes, to discourage new lead production. The proposed excise is intentionally large, so as to help begin to internalize the extraordinary social costs of lead exposure and thus create incentives to adopt safer substitutes. The excise fee approach avoids the current resource-intensive federal ap- proach to toxic substance control embodied in the Toxic Substances Control Act (TSCA). That approach, which involves a lengthy and expensive use- by-use investigation of the health effects of a particular substance, fails the pragmatic test. Since TSCA’s enactment in 1976, only a handful of substances have been regulated. The most far-reaching set of regulations — those banning many uses of asbestos — took almost a decade to develop and will not take effect for most asbestos products until 1997, almost two decades after the rulemaking process began.!* Moreover, TSCA’s regulatory approach as implemented to date ig- nores economic forces, while this proposal seeks to exploit them. Making new lead more expensive will provide a market incentive to use existing substitutes for lead, and to develop additional ones. This approach bypasses TSCA'’s inefficient reliance on bans coupled with use-by-use waivers, a process that is inherently cumbersome and that does nothing to encourage de- velopment of substitutes for any use that is initially granted a waiver. Second, the excise would promote the more responsible use and reuse of lead. Increases in the price of virgin lead would raise the price that smelters would be willing to pay for scrap, because they in turn will be able to receive higher prices for selling secondary lead. Because the excise would apply to virgin lead alone, there would be no corresponding direct increase in the costs of scrap lead. Thus, construction firms, salvage firms, and even individuals would have a strong economic incentive to sell their lead scrap. Third, the excise would direct needed attention to the dangers of lead in our environment. The failure of the 1970s lead-based paint legislation is attributable in part to the fact that lead poisoning slipped from the forefront of the nations's health policy concerns. As a result, competing budget priorities deprived the program of adequate funding. By placing a substantial fee on lead production and assigning specific responsibility for preventing lead poisoning in the nation’s health and environmental agencies, Congress would both create a stable funding source for a sustained response, and send a strong signal that lead poisoning is one of the country’s top environmental health priorities. Fourth, the program would increase the availability of safe housing for low income families. The deteriorated housing units targeted by the abatement program frequently house poor families with young children. By creating an external source of funding for abatement, the program will help 13 54 Fed. Reg. 29460 (July 12, 1989). 41 42 advance the goal of providing such families with housing that is both safe and affordable. Flexibility It is possible that market conditions will develop differently than predicted, so as to bring the trust fund income short of, or beyond, projec- tions. Therefore, the trust fund should be given sufficient flexibility in its au- thorizing legislation to (1) apportion trust fund disbursements in the form of both loans and grants, based upon timely income projections, so as to ensure a viable income stream; (2) adjust the excise upwards or downward, within specified limits, to correct for conditions that threaten an excessive deficit or surplus; (3) extend the life of the trust fund, within specified limits, to achieve the program goals; and (4) report on a regular basis to Congress on the need for additional legislation. Administration The success of this program will depend to a substantial extent upon our willingness to keep it oriented toward its major goals: improving the health of children and families who are today most likely to develop low- level lead poisoning, and developing a safe living environment for present and future generations of Americans. In this regard, we note that State lead abatement programs are routinely administered by departments of health or environment,’ and that the 1970 lead-based paint legislation placed admini- stration of the grant program in the Department of Health, Educauon and Welfare. We also note the classic conceptual basis of government organization into purpose, process, clientele, and place.” Consistent with these principles and with previous Federal and State experience, we recommend placing this program jointly under the jurisdictions of the Environmental Protection Agency and the Department of Health and Human Services (HHS). We believe that each of the four classic concepts points to these two entities. As stated above, the purpose of this program is to improve public health that is daily under assault from environmental factors. EPA and HHS are, quite simply, the federal government's primary agencies in the area of 4 Maryland's lead abatement program is administered by the Toxics Operations Program, in the Department of the Environment (MDE). MDE drafted the regulations on lead paint abatement that all other departments (e.g., Department of Housing and Community Development, which oversees public housing) must follow when engaging in leaded paint abatement. The Childhood Lead Poisoning Prevention Program in Massachusetts is admini- stered by the Bureau of Environmental Health, in the Department of Public Health (DPH). Similarly, DPH's leaded paint regulations govern other programs (e.g., housing programs administered by the Executive Office of Communities and Development). Ohio's lead poisoning prevention program is administered by the State's Department of Health, through the Bureau of Environmental Health andthe Division of Maternal and Child Health. Sources: Toxics Operations Program, State of Maryland; Ohio Department of Health, State of Ohio; Department of Health, Commonwealth of Massachusetts. 15 LH Gulick (1937), in L Gulick and L Urwick (eds.) Papers on the Science of Administration, Institute of Public Administration, Columbia Uni- versity (Concord NH, The Rumford Press), p. 15. environmental factors that affect our health. The process of paint abatement would have to take place under strict guidelines that, in view of the substantial health risk if performed improperly, have usually been drafted and enforced by departments of health or environment. Gauging the effectiveness of the process will require careful testing and monitoring procedures akin to those involved in other EPA programs. Bringing coun- seling and follow-up services to families affected by this program will require additional specialized resources that HHS has readily at hand. The clientele, i.e., children and families in danger of lead poisoning, come logically under the jurisdiction of HHS and EPA. And the place, the United States, is matched by the fact that both EPA and HHS have regional offices around the country.!® With EPA’s primary jurisdiction over environmental matters -- in- cluding environmental lead contamination -- and HHS’s expertise in public health services and programs affecting the family, the two agencies can bring a wide spectrum of resources to bear on this multifaceted problem. Hiring Preferences Many communities to be served by this proposal initially will not have sufficient labor to perform the specialized tasks of leaded paint removal. Paint removal projects covered by the trust fund could be required to give hiring preference to unemployed workers living in those communities. For example, the State of Maryland program initially carried an employment/job training component that emphasized technique and occupational safety. At one point, seventy-five percent of those working on leaded paint abatement in Baltimore came under the job training provision, which gave unskilled workers a one-week course of instruction before placing them on a project.” Bringing a similar feature into this program would help alleviate the serious unemployment that tends to afflict precisely the same areas in which deleading must be undertaken.'®* Workers would develop marketable skills, returning money to their communities from their paychecks. Such a feature might also help prevent the provision of these specialized services from becoming lodged in too few providers, a situation that can lead to price in- flation and poor quality. Abatement Technology Development Regulation of lead paint in housing is plagued by a “cost-quantity trade-off”: needed safety regulations that drive up costs are likely to reduce the number of units that can be abated.’ Conversely, lowering the unit cost '6 National Archives and Record Administration, Office of the Federal Register (1988), ni e ment Manual 1988/89, (Washing- ton: U.S. Government Printing Office), p. 293. '7 Interview with Ms. Susan Kleinhammer, Project Superintendent, Lead Paint Abatement Program, City of Baltimore. '® This concept was originally suggested by Dr. Herbert Needleman. See HL Needleman (1988b), p. 737-738. 1° S Pollack (1989), “Solving the Lead Dilemma,” Technology Review, October 1989, p. 22. 44 of safe abatement could greatly increase the number of homes that could be rendered lead-free with a given amount of resources. A less expensive way to remove or encapsulate lead paint would help to stretch trust fund (and other public or private) abatement dollars. For this reason, EPA and HHS should be authorized to devote a small percentage of the fund to research on, and evaluation of new abatement technologies. Abatement Oversight There are a number of areas in which EPA should play aregulatory and oversight role. For example, EPA (together with HHS and the Occupational Safety and Health Administration) should set safety regulations or guide- lines applicable to all abatement work financed by the trust fund. These regulations or guidelines should address issues such as worker protection, tenant relocation and re-occupancy clearance criteria. In addition, once the excise has been fully in place for a suitable period -- perhaps five years -- EPA should review whether the excise is having its intended purpose of prompting economic forces to shifting the market away from using lead in products where substitutes are available. In addition to submitting its findings in a Report to Congress, EPA should also be required to determine whether any remaining uses pose particular threats to health or the environment, and, if so, to use other existing statutory authorities to address those uses. Other oversight provisions should be included in the enabling legisla- tion such as regular reporting requirements of the progress of abatement programs. Both HHS and EPA should be given specific authority to collect statistics on lead screening and treatment programs. CONCLUSION: FUTURE CONCERNS At the close of the initial seven-year program, adjustments may need to be made to preserve the market conditions that foster lower lead usage in our economy. What is needed today, however, is the public will to apply pragmatic measures to a serious public health problem. Such steps will hasten the day when lead poisoning has become as rare a threat to this nation’s children and adults as polio is today. After completion of the initial de-leading program aimed at abatement of the two million units with deteriorating paint, the abatement program could be either retired or extended to begin addressing the 38 million hous- ing units with intact leaded paint -- a significant, though less immediate, source of concern. If the abatement program were terminated, the excise could either be repealed or the proceeds diverted to the General Fund of the Treasury. If the tax is discontinued, other constraints on increased use of lead may well be necessary to preserve the market conditions that foster lower lead usage in our economy. These, however, are issues for another day. Our primary concern at present is the millions and tens of millions of children who can be protected from actual lead poisoning by removing peeling paint immediately. Unlike the scientific breakthroughs that had to occur before conquer- ing diseases such as polio, effective solutions to this problem are at hand. Now, the major impetus for change must come from the realization that the current situation is both intolerable and unnecessary. As a society, we must translate that realization into the only truly effective response to lead poisoning: its prevention. We can choose to start on the road toward that goal or, through continued inaction, we can consign ourselves to the human misery and economic costs of ubiquitous lead contamination. The opportu- nity is ours. But the benefits will extend to our children and our children’s children for generations to come. The Local Prevalence of Lead Poisoning in the US This appendix presents estimates of the extent of lead expo- sure in American children on a local basis; such figures have not been available previously. These estimates clearly reveal the seriousness of lead poisoning for communities in many urban areas of the country: in many of these areas, a majority of children have unacceptable blood lead levels (i.e., above 10- 15 ug/dl). And the prevalence of affected children is especially alarming among the urban poor in certain regions of the U.S. Urban areas (standard metropolitan statistical areas, or SMSAs) with older central cities and relatively small amounts of new housing -- the “Rust Belt”, the Northeast, and much of the Midwest --typically have higher prevalence rates. By contrast, urban areas in the “Sun Belt” and the West Coast generally have lower prevalence rates, because of their higher proportion of newer housing. Tables A-1 and A-2 contain summaries of the data on a national basis. The importance of key parameters -- family income, child’s age, race, and residence location -- are clear. Overall, in the central cities of large urban areas, almost 70% of poor Black children and about 35% of poor white children are at risk of lead toxicity. Tables A-3, A-4, and A-5 present a breakdown of these data on a local basis, by SMSA.! How the Estimates were Derived These estimates are based upon information collected and analyzed for the Agency for Toxic Substances and Disease Registry (ATSDR), a component of the US Public Health Service. In 1988 the ATSDR published a comprehensive Report to Congress on childhood lead poisoning in the United States.? That report ' Table A-3 contains estimates for SMSAs of over 1 million people. Tables A-4 and A-5 both contain estimates for SMSAs of under 1 million people, butthose in Table A-5 tend to be smaller. As an artifact of the census data from which the estimates were calculated, the residence location could be distinguished as “central city” versus “not central city” for SMSAs included in Table 4 but notin Table 5. As a result, the calculations in Table 5 are likely to be proportionally underestimated. 2 Agency for Toxic Substances and Disease Registry (1988), The Nature and Extent of Lead Poisoning in Children in the United States: A Report to Congress (Atlanta: U.S. Department of Health and Human Services/Public Health Service), Doc. No. 99-2966. APPENDIX | GEOGRAPHICAL DISTRIBUTIONS OF LEAD-POISONED CHILDREN analyzed existing data on numbers of lead-exposed children throughout the U.S., including results from a national sampling of children in the late 1970s. Those data were adjusted (by linear and logistic regression techniques) to take into account the reductions in lead exposure following the phasedown in use of leaded gasoline since 1982. To derive the data set forth in this appendix, data from the ATSDR Report were used to take into account the distribution of children in housing units according to the age of the housing. Because levels of lead in paint are closely associated with the age of housing, residence by age of housingis an appropriate surrogate for apportioning the risk of elevated blood lead levels attributable to paint exposure. The ATSDR report presented aggregate data for the US as a whole. Because of the limitations of the national sampling data,? the ATSDR Report only dealt with white and Black children, aged six months to 5 years livingin the nation’s 318 standard metropoli- tan statistical areas (SMSAs). Omitted from the ATSDR analysis, and from the estimates presented in this appendix, are all children of other racial and ethnic groups, all children not living in these 318 urban areas, and all children older than 6 years of age. Usingthe ATSDR data, one of the two principal authors ofthe ' ATSDR Report, Dr. Annemarie Crocetti, has derived local esti- | mates of numbers of children with blood lead levels above the range of concern (i.e., 10 to 15 ug/dl). These local estimates reflect the impact of local differences in the age of housing and presence of lead paint in housing. | To calculate the local estimates, data used in the ATSDR | Report were categorized by housing unit, as pre-1950, 1950-1969, and post-1970. The data were further stratified to take into account variations in family income (less than $6000, $6000- 14,999, and equal to or greater than $15,000), age (six months to 2 years; 3-5 years), race (white or Black), and location (in central city or not in central city). These figures are estimates, not measurements. They are by no means definitive, and no margin of error can be calculated. However, these estimates are based upon reasonable | assumptions astotheimpact of exposure tolead painton children’s | blood lead levels. Data from recent lead screening programs in | Oakland and Baltimore have been compared to these estimates; the latter fall within 5% of the projections made by local public health officials, using actual screening data, of the number of children with elevated blood lead levels attributable to lead paint. 3 The samples were collected and analyzed as part of the Second National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, or NHANES II. Table A-1 Estimated percentages of children 6 months to 5 years who are projected to exceed selected blood lead levels by strata and residence in SMSAs of 1 million or more. In Central City Not In Central City >10 >15 >10 >15 Strata (ug/dl) (ug/dl) > $6,000 White .5 - 2 years 79.9 36.6 69.7 28.4 3 - § years 80.8 35.5 70.2 27.1 Black .5 - 2 years 95.9 67.0 91.6 57.4 3 -5 years 97.1 68.5 93.3 58.1 $6,000 - 14,99 White 5 - 2 years 65.1 23.5 53.1 17.4 3 - 5 years 65.1 22.2 52.6 16.1 Black .5 - 2 years 91.4 53.6 84.6 43.9 3 - 5 years 92.6 53.6 85.9 43.3 > $15,000 White 5 - 2 years 47.7 12.5 35.4 8.6 3 - 5 years 46.7 114 34.2 7.9 Black .5 - 2 years 85.2 38.8 75.2 29.6 3 - 5 years 85.7 37.7 75.4 28.3 Young Black children living be- low the poverty level in urban ar- eas may have a greater than 95% chance of having a blood lead level in excess of 10 ug/dl. Table A-2. Estimated percentages of children 6 months to 5 years who are projected to exceed selected blood lead levels by strata and residence in SMSAs under 1 million. In Central City Not in Central City | >10 >15 >10 >15 | Strata (ug/dl) (ug/dl) > $6,000 White 5 - 2 years 67.2 26.3 55.8 19.8 3 - 5 years 67.4 25.0 55.6 18.6 | Black 5-2 years 90.8 55.2 84.3 46.0 | 3-5years 92.4 55.7 86.0 45.8 $6,000 - 14,999 White 5 - 2 years 50.1 15.8 38.8 11.4 3 - 5 years 49.5 14.6 37.7 10.3 Black .5 - 2 years 82.9 41.5 73.7 33.0 3 - 5 years 84.1 40.7 74.7 31.9 >$15,000 White .5 - 2 years 32.5 7.6 22.79 5.1 3 - 5 years 31.2 6.7 21.4 4.4 Black 5-2 years 72.6 27.3 60.6 20.2 3 - 5 years 72.7 26.0 60.2 13.9 Table A-3. Estimated total number of children 6 months to 5 years who are projected to exceed selected blood lead levels for individual SMSAs with populations over 1 million. SMSA Anaheim-Santa Ana-Garden Grove, CA Atlanta, GA Baltimore, MD Boston, MA Buffalo, NY Chicago, IL Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN Cleveland, OH Columbus, OH Dallas-Fort Worth, TX Denver-Boulder, CO Detroit, MI Fort Lauderdale-Hollywood, FL Houston, TX Indianapolis, IN Kansas City, MO-KS Los Angeles-Long Beach, CA Miami, FL Milwaukee, WI Minneapolis- St. Paul, MN-WI Nassau-Suffolk, NY New Orleans, LA New York, N.Y-NJ Newark, NJ Philadelphia, PA-NJ Phoenix, AZ Pittsburgh, PA Portland, OR-WA Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA Sacremento, CA St. Louis, MO-IL San Antonio, TX San Diego, CA San Francisco-Oakland, CA San Jose, CA Seattle-Everett, WA Tampa-St. Petersburg, FL Washington, DC-MD-VA SMSA Population 158969 175183 168837 176957 87443 604862 120413 147225 96246 290019 142197 330694 64944 314479 100752 114924 654692 125378 116685 184637 172248 112345 656937 134614 357534 119152 147585 98903 156291 825689 178984 111714 156162 206937 98287 119113 101611 236578 # 52670 82453 98857 122862 54012 371952 65746 95304 48738 124350 51825 186768 25345 124209 50174 58019 380905 64150 66110 82904 61078 64845 490977 95230 221654 38518 86921 44249 63519 33781 99705 48747 62949 114921 34700 47556 41849 122406 14858 28614 42063 42187 20631 154037 23957 40365 17179 41025 16122 77492 8062 40204 17323 21743 137769 24194 25041 24921 16776 29866 222229 40318 94297 12298 30447 13899 18204 10627 41969 17114 19683 40817 9863 14321 14585 46267 Table A-4. Estimated total number of children 6 months to 5 years who are projected to exceed selected Jlood lead levels for individual SMSAs with populations of 1 million or less. SMSA Akron, OH Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY Albuquerque, NM Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ Ann Arbor, MI Appleton-Oshkosh, WI Austin, TX Bakersfield, CA Baton Rouge, LA Beaumont-Port Arthur-Orange, TX Birmingham, AL Bridgeport, CT Charleston-North Charleston, SC Charlotte-Gastonia, NC Chattanooga, TN-GA Colorado Springs, CO Columbia, SC Davenport-Rock Island-Moline, [A-IL Dayton, OH Des Moines, IA Duluth-Superior, MN-WI Erie, PA Eugene-Springfield, OR Evansville, IN-KY Flint, MI Fort Wayne, IN Fresno, CA Gary-Hammond-East Chicago, IN Grand Rapids, Mi Greenville-Spartanburg, SC Hartford, CT Honolulu, HA Huntsville, AL Jackson, MS Jacksonville, FL Jersey City, NJ Kalamazoo-Portage, Ml Knoxville, TN Lansing- East Lansing, MI Las Vegas, NV SMSA Population 49485 59747 39071 43276 19647 23728 52468 46461 52065 36925 68266 27682 43296 50445 30889 31351 33221 33983 68605 27196 22088 22830 20898 25042 39017 33846 52133 58072 58978 43837 50646 24296 24900 31228 70984 43551 22318 33976 41420 41774 >10 ugdl # 8242 8847 3120 5461 1925 1915 4473 4364 7229 6479 13265 5394 6290 6575 5207 2647 4476 4456 10425 2766 2608 3198 1533 3164 6707 5229 6210 10310 7426 5464 8404 2170 2950 5639 11630 12739 2854 4201 4595 3316 ugvd % 18.7 14.8 8.0 12.6 0.8 8.1 8.5 9.4 13.9 17.5 19.4 19.5 14.5 13.0 168.9 8.4 13.5 13.1 18.2 10.2 11.8 14.0 73 12.6 17.2 15.4 11.9 17.8 12.6 12.4 16.6 8.9 11.8 18.1 16.4 29.3 12.8 12.4 11.43 7.9 Continued ‘Table A-4 Continued SMSA >10 ug/dl >15 ug SMSA Population # % # % Lawrence-Haverhill, MA-NH 22355 11134 49.8 3391 15.2 Lexington-Fayette, KY 26668 111563 41.8 3580 13.4 Lorain-Elyria, OH 21713 8471 39.0 2687 12.4 Louisville, KY-IN 73518 29203 39.7 10684 14.5 Macon, GA 22100 10774 48.8 3926 - 17.8 Madison, WI 23209 6783 29.2 1794 7.7 Mcallen-Pharr-Edinburg, TX 39025 12771 32.7 3810 9.8 Memphis, TN-AR-MS 87808 44671 50.9 18082 20.6 Mobile, AL 43200 18308 42.4 6606 15.3 Modesto, CA 24415 7628 31.2 2072 8.5 Nashville-Davidson, TN 70665 26153 37.0 8475 12.0 New Brunswick-Perth Amboy-Sayreville, N 40200 14721 36.6 4058 10.1 New Haven-West Haven, CT 31415 15790 50.3 6049 19.3 Norfolk-Virginia Beach-Portsmouth, VA-N( 76451 36210 47.4 14924 ° 19.8 Oklahoma City, OK 79127 27265 34.5 8554 10.8 Omaha, NE-IA 52525 19742 37.6 6392 12.2 Orlando, FL 59118 19414 32.8 7050 11.9 Oxnard-Simi Valley-Ventura, CA 46338 12672 27.3 3383 7.2 Paterson-Clifton-Passaic, NJ 34954 20872 59.7 8723 25.0 Peoria, IL 31382 12726 40.6 4162 13.3 Providence-Warwick-Pawtucket, RI-MA 60958 30624 50.2 10317 16.9 Raleigh-Durham, NC 38089 14458 38.0 5088 13.4 Richmond, VA 48973 20881 42.6 8268 16.9 Roanoke, VA 15271 5340 35.0 1707 11.2 Rochester, NY 76623 35835 46.8 12130 15.8 Rockford, IL 23738 9715 40.9 2794 11.8 Salinas-Seaside-Montery, CA 29091 10804 37.1 3112 10.7 Salt Lake City-Ogden, UT 129167 33147 25.7 8706 6.7 Santa Barbara-Santa Maria-Lompoc, CA 21855 7497 34.3 1957 8.0 Shreveport, LA 38986 19978 51.2 8130 . 20.9 South Bend, IN 23745 11867 50.0 4054 17.1 Spokane, WA 30870 9659 31.3 2759 8.9 Springfield-Chicopee-Holyoke, MA-CT 37183 18126 48.7 6036 16.2 Stockton, CA 32809 12488 38.1 3900 11.9 Syracuse, NY 53313 24031 45.1 7479 14.0 Tacoma, WA 47047 17782 737.8 5304 11.3 Tuscon, AZ 45133 11819 .25.5 3174 7.0 Tulsa, OK 62119 21785 35.1 6518 10.5 Uticia-Rome, NY 23982 11736 48.9 3624 15.1 Vallejo-Fairfield-Napa, CA 28569 8999 31.5 2717 9.5 Waterbury, CT 18777 7110 45.1 2604 16.5 West Palm Beach-Boca Raton, FL 39576 13666 34.5 4328 10.9 Wichita, KS 41057 17830 43.7 5662 13.8 Worcester, MA 25913 12244 47.3 3534 13.6 Youngstown-Warren, OH 40084 18529 46.2 6654 16.6 Table A-5. Estimated total number of children 6 months to 5 years who are projected to exceed selected blood lead levels for individual small SMSAs. SMSA SMSA Population Abilene, TX 14225 : 1645 Albany, GA 11632 : 2171 Alexandria, LA. 16306 ; 3054 Altoona, PA 10151 ; 1101 Amarillo, TX 17746 : 1980 Anchorage, AK 21407 : 1445 Anderson, IN 9632 . 1608 Anderson SC 9616 : 1551 Anniston, AL 9154 : 1628 Asheville, NC 11197 : 1061 Athens, GA 18196 : 2712 Atlantic City, NJ 14555 . 2622 Augusta, GA-SC 31646 : 4180 Bangor, ME and Lewiston-Auburn, ME 11993 : 1610 Battle Creek, Mi 14682 : 2549 Bay City, Mi 10201 818 Bellingham, Wa 7796 3 703 Benton Harbor, Mi 14393 ; 2634 Billings, MT 10159 . 806 Biloxi-Gulfport, MS 18850 : 2336 Binghampton, NY-PA 18656 : 2517 Bismarck ND and Grand Forks,ND-MN 18443 . 1630 8.8 Bloomington, IN and Owensboro, KY 14569 : 1897 Bloomington-Normal, IL 9472 ; 729 7.7 Boise City, ID 17230 . 1041 6.0 Bradenton, FL 9790 : 994 10.2 Bremerton, WA 11475 . 801 7.0 Bristol, CT and Meriden, CT 8989 : 1082 12.0 Brockton, MA 12103 : 1549 12.8 Brownsville-Harlingen-San Benito, TX 26998 : 2422 9.0 Bryan-College Station, Tex. And Sherman- [ 16515 : 1532 9.3 Burlington, Vt. 9044 : 670 7.4 Canton, OH 31219 : 4230 13.5 Casper, WY and Great Falls, MT 16226 : 1083 6.7 Cedar Rapids, IA 13168 ; 1179 9.0 Champaigna-Urbana-Rantoul, IL 13291 : 1302 8.8 Charleston, WV 19226 . 2190 11.4 Charlottesville, VA 75083 ‘ 747 10.0 Chico, CA 10771 : 879 8.2 Clarksville-Hopkinsville, TN-KY 15972 ; 1684 10.5 Columbia, MO 8618 . 553 6.4 Continued Table A-5 Continued SMSA >10 ugdl >15 ugdl SMSA Population # % # % Columbus, GA-AL 21334 10793 50.6 3752 17.6 Corpus Christi, TX 37248 14351. 38.5 4211 11.3 Cumberland,Md.-WV 77%} 4117 53.4 1358 17.8 Danbury, CT 9714 3233 33.3 1136 11.7 Danville, VA 9090 3950 43.5 1576 17.3 Daytona Beach, FL 18061 6758 37.4 2394 13.3 Decatur, IL 10145 5073 50.0 2377 23.4 Dubuque, IA and lowa City, IA 15991 5934 37.3 1615 10.1 Eau Claire, WI 9989 3596 36.0 . 956 9.6 El Paso TX and Las Cruces, NM 64306 32423. 50.4 10484 16.3 Elkhart, IN 11804 4724 40.0 1491 12.6 Elmira, NY 10935 3246 29.7 885 8.1 Fall River, MA-RI 13069 6744 51.6 1927 14.7 Fargo-Moorhead, ND-MN 12868 4002 31.1 1046 8.1 Fayetteville, NC 27557 11285 41.0 3517. 12.8 Fayetteville-Springdale, AR 14422 3736 25.9 980 6.8 Fitchburg-Leominster, MA and Pittsfield, M 13068 6056 46.3 1736. 133 Florence, AL 9916 3440 34.7 13671 11.7 Florence, SC - 9486 3857 40.7 1351 14.2 Fort Collins, CO 13130 2570 19.6 644 4.9 Fort Myers-Cape Coral, FL 14925 4044 271 1262 8.5 Fort Smith, AR-OK 15809 5229 33.1 1737 11.0 Fort Walton Beach, FL and Panama City, FL 19921 6153 30.9 1960 9.8 Gadsden, AL 8391 . : 3501 42.8 1355 “16.1 Gainesville, FL 12528 3712 29.86 1186. 9.5 Galveston-Texas City, TX 19484 8742 44.9 3274 16.8 Glen Falls, NY 8144 4233 52.0 1202 14.8 Greely, CO 12386 3456 27.9 888 7.2 Green Bay, WI 12812 4283 33.2 1142 8.9 Greensboro-Winston-Salem-High Point, NC 53487 20807 38.9 6439 12.0 Hagerstown, MD 8009 3349 41.8 912 11.4 Hamilton-Middietown, OH 22874 8546 37.4 2787 12.2 Harrisburg, PA 24192 13004 53.8 5347 - 21.3 Hickory, NC 8888 2797 -- 31.5 880 9.9 Huntington-Ashland, WV-KY-OH 24931 10666 42.8 3313...:13.3 Jackson,MI 11694 5201 44.5 1609 13.8 Jacksonville, NC 15536 5723 36.8 1934 12.4 Janesville-Beloit, WI 11476 4820 42.0 1418 12.4 Johnson City-Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA 27946 9044 32.4 2598 9.3 Johnstown, PA 14308 7639. 53.4 2332... 18.3 Joplin, MO 8539 4464 52.3 1274 14.9 Kankakee, IL 9332 4235 45.4 1677 18.0 Kenosha, WI 9103 4134 45.4 1182 13.1 Killeen-Temple, TX 28554 9752 34.2 2809 9.8 Kokomo,IN 17943 7964 44.4 2633. 14.7 Continued Table A-5 Continued SMSA >10 ugdl >15 ugdl SMSA Population # % # % La Crosse, WI and Rochester, MN 15905 4679 29.4 1193 7.5 Lafayette, LA 17473 5911 33.8 1940 111 Lafayette-West Layafette, IN 8218 2582 31.4 744 9.1 Lake Charles, LA 18245 8102 44.4 2845 156 Lakeland-Winterhaven, FL 27123 10120 37.3 3425 = 12.6 Lancaster, PA 23663 12473. 52.7 3743. 15.8 Laredo, TX and Victoria, TX 22498 7877 35.0 2328 10.3 Lawton, OK and Enid, OK 19245 8052 41.8 2841 14.8 Lima, OH 20587 9481 46.1 2740 13.3 Lincoln, NE 16369 4724 28.9 1386 8.5 Little Rock-No. Little Rock, AR and Pine BI. 35625 15794 44.3 6674 18.7 Long Branch-Asbury Park, NJ 34205 12666 37.0 4045....11.8 Longview-Marshall, TX 13585 5723 42.3 2017 14.8 Lowell, MA-NH 16114 6849 42.5 2093. -13.0 Lubbock, TX 21505 7739 38.0 2208 10.3 Lynchburg, VA 9762 3733: 38.2 1224. 12.5 Manchester, NH 13545 6127 45.2 ¥723 112.7 Mansfield, OH 10353 4553 44.0 1505 14.5 Medford, OR 10376 3147 30.3 888 8.6 Melbourne-Titusville-Cocoa, FL 19038 6126 32.2 1854 9.7 Midland, TX and San Angelo, TX 20398 7038 34.5 1907 0.3 Monroe, LA 11628 4612 39.7 1683 14.5 Montgomery, AL 22645 11724 51.8 4709 20.8 Munice, IN 8679 4058 46.8 1322. 18.2 Muskegon-Norton Shores-Muskegon Heights, 14451 6440 44.6 2375 16.4 Nashua, NH 8720 2558 ~ 29.3 630 7.2 New Bedford, MA 12355 6168 49.9 1901 15.4 New Britain, CT 8761 3578 4Q.8 946 10.8 New London-Norwich, CT-RI 20995 8017... 42.5 2740-131 Newark, OH 0029 4204 42.3 1206 12.1 Newburgh-Middleton, NY 21434 9027 42.1 2576. 12.0 Newport-News Hampton, VA 26886 10886 40.8 3220. :..12.0 Northeast Pennsylvania 40080 15658 39.1 4389. 10.9 Norwalk, CT 8057 3957 49.1 1454 18.0 Ocala, FL 9539 3483 36.5 1416 14.8 Odessa, TX 14966 4120 727.5 1073 7.2 Olympia WA 10931 2377 21.7 630 5.8 Parkersburg-Marietta, WV-OH 13332 4769 35.8 1499 11.2 Pascagoula-Moss Point, MS 11402 3030 26.8 850 7.5 Pensacola, FL 25674 90189 . 35.8 3122 12.2 Petersburg-Colonial Heights-Hopewell, VA 9525 4232 44.4 1346 14.1 Portland, ME 15075 6617 43.9 1842 12.2 Portsmouth-Dover-Rochester, NH-ME 12840 6147 47.9 710: 13.3 Poughskeepsie, NY 17870 7255 40.6 2265 12.7 Provo-Orem, UT 39433 8736 22.2 2384 6.0 Continued Table A-5 Continued SMSA >15 ug/l SMSA Population # % Pueblo, CO 10188 1052 10.3 Racine, WI 15267 2291 15.0 Reading , PA 18971 2702 14.7 Reddina. CA 10303 721 7.0 Reno, NV 15497 890 5.7 Richland-Kennewick-Pasco, WA 15888 945 5.9 Rock Hill, SC 8018 1163. 14.5 Saginaw, MI 19585 3092 15.8 St.Cloud, MN 17825 1341 72.5 St. Joseph, MO 8029 8962 42.0 Salem, OR 22225 1939 8.7 Salisbury-Concord, NC 13781 2167 15.7 Santa Cruz, CA 13799 1394 10.1 Santa Rosa, CA 23936 2050 Sarasota, FL 9681 635 Savannah, GA 22997 4781 Sharon, PA 9231 1309 Sheboygan, WI 8437 1017 Sioux City, IA-NE 11012 1047 Sioux Falls, SD 9535 825 Springfield, IL 15764 2521 Springfield, MO 16944 1715 Springfield, OH 14214 2434 Stamford, CT 12672 1909 State College, PA 6467 705 Steubenville-Weirton, OH-WV 12249 1396 Tallahasse, FL 12816 1659 Terre Haute, IN 13280 1995 Texarkana, TX-Texarkana, AR 10369 1457 Toledo, OH-MI 64793 10634 Topeka, KS and Lawrence, KS 17289 1480 Trenton NJ 20327 4975 Tuscaloosa, AL 10415 1333 Tyler, TX 12801 1774 Vineland-Millville-Bridgeton, NJ 11307 2079 Visalia-Tulare-Porterville, CA 29095 2686 Waco, TX 16268 2424 Waterloo-Cedar Falls, [A 11890 1363 Wausau, WI 8620 828 Wheeling, WV-OH 12473 1644 Wichita Falls, TX 12229 1862 Williamsport, PA 8894 1244 Wilmington, DE-NJ-MD 41065 5888 Wilmington, NC 113151 1529 Yakima, WA 13409 1531 York, PA 20323 3194 Yuba City, CA 9217 882 Agency for Toxic Substances and Disease Boga? 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