Green v. Andrews Printed Record
Public Court Documents
September 20, 1965

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Case Files, Cromartie Hardbacks. Correspondence from Engstrom to Hodgkiss Re: Gantt Analysis, 1997. c0e4fec8-de0e-f011-9989-002248226c06. LDF Archives, Thurgood Marshall Institute. https://ldfrecollection.org/archives/archives-search/archives-item/9ebb0cfa-c115-46de-b44a-994f95fe7c5a/correspondence-from-engstrom-to-hodgkiss-re-gantt-analysis. Accessed August 19, 2025.
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University of Department of Political Science 3 New Orleans New Orleans, LA 70148 February 7, 1957 Ms. Anita S. Hcdgkiss Ferguson, Stein, Wallace, Adkins, Gresham, and Sumter Suite 300 741 Renilworth Ave. Charlotta, NC 28204 Dear Ms. Hodgkiss: I have perfcrmed, at your recuest, an analysis of the vcte for Mr. Harvey B. Gantt in the November 1236 general electior for a United States Senate seat in North Carolina. This werk supplements the analyses of WNcrth Carolina elections that 1 performed previously for the State of Nor=: Carolina in the Shaw v. Hun- litigation. The methcdolcgies emploved in the analysis of this election, regression ard homcgensous precinct analyses, are identical to those employed in my previous reports for the state. The voter registraticn data utilized tec analyze this electicn are for Ccrtober 11, #1%%96, and nersiore reflec: the registesrad electorate at the time of this electi The homogeneous precinct analysis concerns the votes cast in precincts in which over 90% c¢I the registered voters was African American and in which less than 10% was African American. Mr. Gantt received $7.9% of the vctes cast in the homogenecus African American precincts acycsgs the state, "but only 38.1% in the homogencus non-African American precincts. The voter participation rate in this eleckicn in tI homegenecus African American precincts, expressed as a percent of the registered voters, was 49.6%, while the participation rate within the non-Alrican American precincts was 59.C%. The estimated support for Mr. Gantt among the African American voters in this eiecticn produced by the regression analysis, which is based on the votes cast in al of the precincts in the state, is 100%. His suppor: among the non-African American voters is estimated by regression to have been 35.7%. The ccrrelation coefficient for the relationship betwean the racial composition of the precincts and the vette for Gantt is a statistically significan .777.. The regression estimate cf the participation rate in thls election among state’s African American registered voters 1s 45.3%, while that for non-Alrizan Americans is 58.9%. You alsc requested the results of these analyses fcr the northeast regicn of the state, an area that you informed me is comprised cf the following 18 ccunties; Beaufort, Bertie, Craven, Edgecomb, Gates, Granvil.e, Greene, Halifax, Hertford, Lenoir, A Member of the Louisiana State University System Committed to Equal Cpportunity Employment Martin, Northadfffon, Pitt, Vance, Warren, @rington, Wayne, and Wilson. The vote in this area is more racially divided than in state as a whole. Mr. Gantt received 96.6% of the wvctces cas: in homcgeneous African American precincts in this region, but only 29.0% of those cast in the homogeneous non-African American precincts. Voter participation in these African American precincts, again expressed as a percentage of registered voters, was 50.2%, compared toc 61.9% in the non-African American pracinct The regression ana’ysis of the votes cast in all of the precincts in these 18 counties places Mr. Gantt'’s support among the African American voters at 100% and his suppor: amcng the non- African American voters at 24.9%. The correlation coefficient fcr the relationship between the racial composition of the precincts and the vote for Gantt 1s .930, higher than that for the state as a whole. This is also a statistically significant correlation. The regression estimates of the voter participation rates in the northeast region are 47.0% for African Americans and 61.56% for nen- African Americans. I hope you £ind this information useful. If you require any additional analysis, please let me know. Sinceraly, Trl Co Rickard L. Engstrom ok Protfesscr of Politi cal Science