Correspondence from Spaniol to Leonard; Thornburg v. Gingles Syllabus; Thornburg v. Gingles Court Opinion; Concur; Concur/Dissent
Public Court Documents
June 30, 1986

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Case Files, Thornburg v. Gingles Hardbacks, Briefs, and Trial Transcript. Correspondence from Spaniol to Leonard; Thornburg v. Gingles Syllabus; Thornburg v. Gingles Court Opinion; Concur; Concur/Dissent, 1986. a9c166b3-d692-ee11-be37-00224827e97b. LDF Archives, Thurgood Marshall Institute. https://ldfrecollection.org/archives/archives-search/archives-item/a40c8ac8-bb0f-4406-ac72-2c6cd98a7fe9/correspondence-from-spaniol-to-leonard-thornburg-v-gingles-syllabus-thornburg-v-gingles-court-opinion-concur-concurdissent. Accessed April 18, 2025.
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t SUPREME COURT OF THE UNITED STATES OFFICE OF THE CLERK WASHINGTON, D. C. 20543 JOSEPH F. SPANIOL, JR., CLIN( OF THE COURT , Vlctoria J. Rogers! Aesistant Cl.erk I i i Enc. i i cc: Iacy H. Thornburg, Eeq. Hon. CharIeE Frled, Sollcitor General Julius L. Chanbere, Esg. AREA COOE 2O2 479-301 I June 30, 1986 J. Rlch Leonard, Esqulre Clerk, U.S. Dlstrict Court for the Eastern District of North Carolina i,, P.O. Box 25570 Raleigh, NC 276Lt Re' "tE'IrT; $31"*ll3;r"t "t' "' *""1 nt"nt"'' (Your No. 81-803-CIV-5)" Dear Mr. Ireonard: The enclosed oplnion of thie Court ln the above-entitled case was announced on the date indlcated. The Judgrnent wl1l Lssue after the ocplratlon of 25 days from the date of the oplnlon unlese a tlnely petitlon for rehearing ls filed. Very tnrly youra, JOSEPH F. SPAIIIOIJ, iIR., Clerk By $(}fE: Wtt r. L i. fouibL. .lylLhrr lh.rd!oa.) will br nlrrrrd' rr u b.i;;'d;.'l;;".cti ;tI rhii cer. rr i!. ci!.-dr opiaioa ir ixud fti ivttrUr co*itw.a ao pr.a o( ttr otilaoo o( tb' Co''!ra- D'lt lLl D'ro qD ffiT,H.He1l5f8,l.*'offrT$:ffie,:' t!' r..o"' ra SI.]PREIIIE COUFN OF TIIE UMTED STATES Syllebur THORNBURG, ATTORNEY GENERAL OF NORTH CAROLINA, Er AL u. GINGLES ET AL. APPEAL FBOM fIIE UNITED STATES DTSTRICT COURT T'OR TITE EASITERN DISTRICT OP NORTII CAROLINA No. 83-196& Argucd December {, I985-Dccided June 30' 1986 In l9€0, tir Nortb Carolina Gcneral -{ssembly enected a legisiadve rc' dirtricting plan for $c Strrc'r Seaete and House of Representativos. Appe1eca, 6tect eitizenc of Noah Csdlina who rre registered to voter tooushs suit in Fcdcrai Disirict Court, chdlenging onc sing{+mamber dlctri; and six multirnembar districts on the glound, inl* a,ic, thac the rcdistricting plan impsired bleck citizens'ability to elect representativ€t of their ctroici in violarion of I 2 of the Voting Rigb6 Act of I9i5. Af ter appellees brought suit. bui bcfore trial. ! 2 wrs arnended. targely in re- ,po*. to Mobilc v. iolbn, +16 u. s. 55, to mele clear that a violation or I z -,.u br proued by showing discriminecory clTect alone. rzrher then having to show a discrirninator7 PurPoEe. and to establish at the releyanr legal standerd thc *Ilsulls test." Section 2(a), as amended. prohibits " St"t. or political suMit'ison hom imposing any voting quali' ffcstionE or prerequisites to voting, or .uy standards, practices, or pro' cedures that rzsu.lt in the denial or abridgment of the right of any cjtrzen to vot6 on sccou11t of race or color. Section 2(b], as arnended, provides thet, I2(a) is violered wherc the "totality of the cireumstances" reveals that.the political prlcesses leading to nominagion or election . . are noc equally open t,o participadon by member: of a [protected class] ' ' ' in that, its member: have less opporturury than other members of the elec' torate to participate in the political proc$s and to elect represenlatives of their choice,o and that the extenG to which member: of a procected class have been elected to office is one circurnsgnce that may be consid' ered. The Districs Coqrt applied the 'totality of the circurnstances" lest s€t forrh in l2(b) and held that the redistricting plan violated I 2(a) be' cause it resullcd in the dilution of black citizeng' votes in all of the dis' puted districrs. .{ppeltants, the -{ttorney General of Nonh Carolina I l THORNBURG u. GINGLES Sythbu,3 lrd otherl tmk e dirrct 3pp.d co thir Court with nesp€ct to flvr o( thr nultiracsrbcr diauicts" IJrt& Ttrc judgmsnc ir afrm.d in part and revcrrrd in psrt. 590 F. Supp.345. .frlrmed in pert and rcvcrrcd in part. Jusrtct BngxvaN delivered the opinion of tha Court with respcct ro Prrtr. [, II, III-A, III-B, IV-A, and V, concluding that: l. Minority votrn who contend thst tho multimenber fonu of district- ingviolatca ! 2 must prcve the! the use of a multimember elecsorel ssnrc- ture op$at€c ro minirnize or cancel out $air ability to ele€t their prr- forred cendidai,er While many or all of the facton listed in thc Senate Rcpott mry bl rclavanc to e ctrrirn of votc dilurion through submcrgencr io multimember districcs, unlcas therc is a conjunction of the following circunrtance+ thc ure of multimember diEFicts generally will nos irn pedc thc ability o( minority yolet! to elcct represencative+ o( thcb choicc St t d ruccinctly, a bloc vocing mejority mu,ct uJaolly br ablc to d.f.rl c.ndid.t . rupportcd by a politicelly cohcsive, geognphically iruutr rBinority 8roup. Thc rclevencc of thc eristcncc of rzsid bloc vodnl to r. vote dilution cleim is nro(old: to ascenain wherlrer minority group mcmbcrs constitute a politically cohesive rrnit and to det.rminc whetherwhits! voo rufficiently as a bloc usuelly ro defear the minorit/s prcfcrr:cd cadideo. 1tus, the queltion whether a given disrricr ex- pcriuc.es l4dly rigniicant racid bloc votingrequires discnete inquiriel ino. minoriey aad whita voting practices. A showing thar a signiffcurc number of minority group memben rrsuelly vote for the same candideer ir one wry of proving ths. political cohesiveness nccesEary to a vota dilu. tion cleim, and consequently ectebtishec minority bloc voting within rhc rocaaing of $ 2. And, in genaral, a whitc bloc vote that normdly will defert the combincd strength of minority support plus white "crossover' vote+riscs to the level oflegally signiflcant white bloc vocing. Because lcs of political power through vote dilurion is disrinct &om the mere in ebility to win e perticular election, a psrtern of racial bloc voring thar extends over a period of drne is more probarive of a claim thar a disrrict experiencee signiflcant polarization rhan are the.resuJts ot'a single elec- tion. [n edistrict where elacdons are showa usudly to be polarized. the faccthst racially polarized vocing is not present in one elecrion or a ftw elections does not necessarily negete the conclusion ths! the disrric e.r. periences legally signrficanr bloc voting. Furrhermore, the succegs ot'r minority candidare in a particular election does not necessarily prove thas the distric did nor experience polarized vocing in that, elecdon. Herci the Disrricr Coun's apprcach, which tested data derived bom three election year! in each discrict in question, and which revealed thas blacks strcngly supported black candidetes, while, to the black candi. THORNBURG A GINGLES Syllebu drta'rluel drGrimont, whitec rzrely did. rerisfactorily addreser crch f.c.3 of thc progcr ltao&rd for lcgrlly rigni&ent racid bloc vocing. Pp. P-rr. e nto hngrrege of t 2 urd itr legirlativc history plainly deoronrtraO that prmf thar somc oinority candidater hevc been elccted do.s rct forcclor e l2 cteinr" Ttru, thc Dirtrict Court did not err, as a msttet of hw, in rclirring to trtsi the fact thr& somc black ceDdidsto! havc au€' cred.d rs dbpositive of appellees' e 2 chinu. Where multimember dir" trieting gencrally wor*s lo dilute the miaority vote, it cannot be de' fendedon tha ground thet it sporadicelly urd rrcrdipitously beneits minority voc.rs. h" 4r-{& & Th. clcarly-erroneous test of Fdoral Buh of Clvil hocedura 52(a) ir thc epprupriarc srendard for eppcller reviev of ultiraerc flndinF of vora dilusioa At both aarended $ 2 and its lcgirletivc historT make cher, in evdueting t ltatutory cleim of votc dilution thrugh diltricting, th. Ei8l cqfi it to eoruider the *totdity of thc circtrmsunces" and !o' &tantdm, ba*d upoa a practical cvduatioa of thc prst srd pmt€ni rt diticr. whethcr the political process is equdly opon so minority Yocsrrs In thir car, lhe Dissrict Court carefully considercd the totdity of tlto cttrtatstanca and found-thet in each district rzcidly Pohriz€d voting; thc legacy of oIlcid dixriminsgion in voting m.tt€t:l, educerion, hour. ing, etupbyucnr, and health setwiccsi and tho pcrsistencc of canpai5l appelr to racid prcjudicc actd in concsrt rith the multimember dir. cictiag schcnr to impeir the rbility of gcognphicdly inrular ard politi' celly cobeaivo groupc ofblack voter: o prrticipatr equsily in the political prlccls and to eleet csdidstes of their choiea h. 4d-.17. Jusrrcu BtEMrlx, joincd by Jusmce l(eesxer.t Jusmca Bucx- ruN, ud Jusincs SrEvEus. concluded h Pert UI-C that for pupo*er of I 2, ths legal concept of racidly polerized voting, as it relates to claims of voto dilution-chst is, when it is rrsed til pmvc thsl fit minority group ir po&icdly eolrcrive and ther whito voterc will uurdly ba rbla to defeat the minorit/r prcferred candidarer-rafen only to thc e.ristencc of e correlation between the race of voten and the selection of cenain candi. dscer. PlaintilB need not prove ciursation or intent in order to Prove a prime facie case of racid bloc voting, rnd defendgnts may noG rebut chal casarrith evidence of causation or insent. h. A-.{0. Jusrtce BBErxrN, joined by Jusrtcg WHITE, concluded in Pars IV-B, ther ths Distriet Cor.rt erred. es a nrarter of law, in ignoring the significance of the sustained success black voter: havc experienced in House Disrict .3. '[he persistent proportiond represencacion for black residents in ther districr in the last six elections is incoosistenc with ap pellees'elleg;arion thar black voter:i' ability in thas district to elect repre. sentatives of their choice is not equal to thac enjoyed by the white major- m --) THORNBURG U GINGLES, . Syllahs iry, h. {3-44. fusriCe O,CoNN9E, joined by TxE CH1ap JUsflCE, JUs'llcE Powut t* rDd Jusf,tcE BEnNquBt, eoncluded thac l. lnrofar ar ttstiltical evidenc. of divcrgenc rzcid voting pattcras ir rdmitt d solcly to.ertablish that the minority group it politically cohr' rivc rnd to alsrat3t its prospects for ehctord lucccr'ltEr such e showinS can' not b..rcbuttcd by cvidence thst the diverlenc vorinS Psttem! mey bo erplrined by caruee g3hef rhsn rzcs. Ifowever, evidence of the reesonc, foi aivergent voting p8ttertp can in somc circ-trmststcgs be relevani to thr ovedl vots dilurion inqusy, urd thera is no nrlc aSrinst coruider' *iou of ell ovidencc concerning votin3 prrfercncel othcr than statirtical evidence of mcid voting P8ttcnul" h- l?-l& 2. Consi$snt and ruraineA cuccqll by czndid&er prcfcrrcd by minor' ity votrn ir prolumgaively inconsirtent with tho cristsncc of e l2 viols' tiiu Ttr.. Dileica Court erred in as*ssing thc artcn! of bhck clectord succG.t in lloqse District 39 sd Senere DirtriC 22, as wcll ac in Hou& Diseict 23. Excepr io House District 23. d.lPit thcr crron $c Dit, eict Coqrt's ullimtas conclruion of votc dilutioo i3 noC clsrrty erroa.ou$ But in llousc Districr 23 appcllees friled to 83t bliEh e violrcion o[ I L h. lE-22. BAENX^N. J., ennounccd thc judgrnenr of tho Court and delivercd. thc opinion ol thc Coun with respoct to Prrts I, [1. III-A. Ill-8, [V-A' and V, inwhiclr WEttE, M^nstl^tJ. Bt acrrur, ard SrEvf-Ys, JJ., joinsd. an opinion with rrsp€ct to Part III-C, in which ld.msHalt Bt rctqux' ard Stzveirs, JJ., joirsd, rnd an opinion with relPect to Pan [V-,8, in which WHItr, .1., ioinlA. WHlrE, J., 6l€d a connrringopinioc - O'CoNxon, J', 0led rn opinion comuring in thc judgmenr, in which BuRcEB, C' J" . PowEu- sd RElo{qusr, JJ.. joined. SrEvsxs, J., fll€d ut opinion concurring in psrt end dirsenring in part, in T hich DtAnsHAI.L a"d Bt rcuuN, JJ., joincd SIJPREME COTTRf OF fiIE UMIED ST{IES No. 83-196E I,ACY H. THORNBURG, ET AL, APPELLANTS U. BALPH GINGLES Uf EL: oN AppEAL tBoM nrn uurtiP-ryTp DIsrRIcr counf, FoB urg EAsrei-t'{ oisrnrct oF NoRTI{ cARoLINA 0unr 30, 19861 Jusncu BRsxxa-rr announced -the judgment of P^" ?* .rrd-illi;;r'ed the opi"ion ot'the Court with rcspeet to Parts in, iii-;, iII-s, iv:a,.-g v-,gd ao opinion withresPect ;'i*, iit-c, in- *uctr Jusrtcs MAnsH I.l.'' JusmeE" Blectotuu, ana liisricp St"'ens join' and an opinion with ;' ;fiIil;-t-*-e,-i" *ttitt' Jusircn Wxrre joins' I'tris cdse requires that we constnre for the frrst time $ 2 of the Voting Rights Act of 1965' as amended June 29' 1982' 12 U. s. c. $ rszi.---ih; specific quesrion to be decided is whether tfre tf,"ee-j;;; ilistrict Court' convened-in the Eastern District .f 'X"nf, Carolina pursuant to 28 U' S' C' $228a(a) and 42 U- S. C' $19?3(c)' corectly held that the use in a legislativ. ,.Ji.rii.iing plan of multimember districts in five Nonh C*"U;itg"riti'9 districts.'i"h1l-11^ll irnp"l"ing ttre opportunity-of black voter: "to participate m the politic"f p*J.." .nd ,o elect representatives of cheir choice." l2(b), 96 Stat' I&1' I BACKGROUND InAprillgs2,theNorthCarolinaGeneralAssemblyen. acted a legislative-.tJitttltting plan for the State's Senate and House of Representat'lves'. Appellees' black eitizens of North Carolina who are registeied to vote' challenged , 83-1968{PINION 2 THOBNBURG l GINGLES seven districts, one single-memberr and slx multimember' diseicB, allegrnf that the redistricting scheme impaired black citizensf ability Uo elect representagiv$ of their choice in violation of the Forrrteenth and Fifteenth Amendments lo the United States Corstitutioo and of | 2 of the Voting Rights Act.r After appellees brought suit, bui before lrid, Congress asrended $ 2. The amendmeni was largely a resporule to this Conrt's plurality opinion 'n Mobile v. Boldm, *16 U. S' 55 (19E0), which had declared that, in order to establish a viola- tion of either $ 2 or of the Forrrteenth or F ifteenth .{,rnend- ments, minority voters must prove that a eontested electoral mechsnism was intentionally adopted or maintained by state ofrcials for a dixriminatory purpose. Congress substan- tially r.evised $ 2 to mal(e clear that a violation could be proyen by showing discriminatory effect alone and to estab- tistr as the relevent legal standard the 'tesults test," applied by this Court nWthite v. Regester,4l2 U. S. 755 (1913), and by other federal courts beforc Boldsn, cuqro;- S. Rep' No. 9I-4I?, p. 28 (1982) (hereinafter S. Rep-)- Section 2, as amended, 96 Stae 134, reads as follows: , Appellece, clrallenged Senate Districr No. 2, which consisted of the wboli-of Northearpton, Henford. Gata, Benie, and Chowur Counties. and partr of Wrshington. Manin. Hdifax. and Edgecombe Counties. I Appelleer eballenged rhe following multirnember districts: senate No. 22 (Mecklenburg and cabemrs counries-{ memtrcrs), Hogse No. 36 (Mecklenburg County{ membert), House No- 89 (pan' of Forsyth Corurry-i mernbes), House No. I (Durham County-i members). Ilorrsc No. 21 (Wajte Councy-ri mernbers)' and House No. 8 (IVilson. Nash and Edgecombe Coundes-l members). rAppellanrs iniriared this action in September 1981, challenging the Nonh Caroline General .{ssembl/s July l98l redisuicting. The history of this action is recounted in greater deral in the Districc Coutt's opinion in this cese, Giryles v. Edmbtcn.590 F. Supp. 345, 350-358 (EDNC l9&l). It sgfices here to note thar rhe General Assembly revised the l98l plan in April 1982 and that rhe plan at issue in rhis case is the 1982 plan. a-1968-oPINION THORNBURG u GINGLES 3 "(a) No voting qualifieation or prer€quisite to voting or sta;dard, pnitice, or procedure shdl be imposed or appliedby*yStateorpoliticalsubdivisioninamarurer wtiich r.ioltr-in a deniai or abridgement of the right of ury citizen of the United states to voie on account of race or color, or in contravention of the guarantees set forth in section'l(fxz), as provided in subsection (b)' "(b) A violation of subsection (a) is established tf, based on the totality of the circumstances, it is shown that the political pro"Lr..t leading to nomination or election in it " St t. or political suMivision are not equdly open to participation by members of a class of'citizerc protected Ly subsection (a) in that its members have less oppottu' oity tt "n other members of the electorate to participate i" it " political process urd to elect representatives of their choice. The extent to which members of a pro' tected class have been elected to offlce in the state or political subdivision is one cireumstance which may be considered: Pltid,ed,, That nothing in this secrion establishes a right to have members of a protected class elected in numbes equal to their proportion in the population.' Codified at 42 U- S- C- ! lyB. Ttre Senate Judiciary Committee majorit'y Repoft ac' companying lhe bill thac amended $ 2, elaborates on the circtimsiances that might be probative of a $ 2 violation, not- ing the fotlowing "typical factol'rs:"' "I. the extent of any history of official discrimination in the state or political subdivision that, touched the right of the members of the minority grouP to register, to vote, or otherwise to particiPate in the democratic process; 'Ttese facors were dertved from the analytical ftzrnework of lVlrrlc v' Regcstcr, {I2 U. S. ?55 (t9?3), as refured and developerl by the lower *,i,n., in parriculer by rhe Fift1r Circuit n Zbnmcr v. llc6cilhc7., l$ F. 2d 129? (19?3), a.ff;d sub non. Eost Conoll Potish Sc/rool Boatd v' llo;l,lr.ll,,l2{ U. S. 63{i (196) (per atnom). S. Rep. 28' n' ll3' a 88-1968-4PINtON. { THORNBURG u. GINGLES 2 the extenL to which voting in the elections of the state or political subdivision is racidly polarized; "3. the extenc to which the state or political suMivision has used rurusually larie election districts,. majority vote requirements, urti'single shot provisions, or other voting practices or procedures that may enhance lhe opportunity for discrimination against- the minority grouP; "4. if there is a, eandidate slating process' whether the members of lhe minority grouP have been denied accesst to that prccess; '5. the extent to'which members of the minority grouP iu the stste or political subdivision bear the effects of discrimination in such areas as education' employment and health, which hinder their ability to participate efrectivdy in ihe political Proc$n; "& whetherpolitical eampaigns have been characterized by overt or subtle racial aPPeals; -L the e.\tent to which memberc of the minority group have been elected. to public office in the jurisdiction- "Additional factors that in some cases have had prcba- live value iul parE of plaintiffs' evidence to establish a violadon are:. '\rhether there is a significant lack of responsiveness on the pan of elected officials io the pfiicularized needs of the members of uhe minoritY frouP. '\rhether the policy underlying the state or political sub- division's use of such voting qualification, prerequisite to voting or standard, practice or procedure is tenuous." S. Rep. ?f,-29. The District Court applied the "totdity of the circum' stances" test set tbnh in $ 2(b) to appellees' satu[ory claim, urd, relying principaily on the factors outlined in the Senate Report, held ihat rhe redistricting scheme violated $ 2 because it resulted in the dilution of black citizens' votes in all o 83-r968--OPINION THORNBURC u CtitCt gs 5 s,even disputed districts. In light of uhis conclusion, the court did not reach appellees' constitutiond claims. Ghqles v. Edmistm, 590 F. SuPp. 345 (EDNC 1984). hetiminarily, tJre co,rrt found that black citizens consti- tuted a distinct population and registered-voter minority in each challenged district. The cotrrt noted that at the time the multimember districts were created, there were con' centrations of black citizens within the boundaries of each that were sufficiently large and contiguous to constitute efrecrive voting majorities in single.member districts lytng wholly within the boundaries of the multimember districts. With respect to fhe challenged single'member district, Sen' ate DisUict No. 2, the court also found that there axisted a concenmtion of black citizens within its bourdaries and within those of adioining Senate District No. 6 that was suffi' cienL in numbers and in contiguity to constitute ur effective voting majority in a single-member disrict- Ttre Distriet Court then proceeded to find that, the fo[owing circum- staDces combined with the multimember districting scheme to result in the dilution of black citizens' voteg. Fitr/,, the court found that North Carolina had officially discrimiiiated against its black citizens with respect to their e.rercise'of the voting franchise ftom approximately 1900 to 1910 by employing a0 differenl times a poll ta-\, a literacy test, a prohibition against bullet (single'shot) voting' and ! Bullet (single'rhot) vodng has been descriH as follows: ".Consider [al totyn of 600 whites and 400 blacks with an at-large election to choose four corurcil member:. Each yoter is able lo stst four votes. Suppose there are eight white candidates, with Uc votes of the whitel splir acrong them approxirnately equdly, end one bleck cendidare. with dl the blscks vocing for him and no one elge. The result is that each white candi' dam receives abour 3fl) votes and the black candidace receives-100 vores. The black has probably woo a seat. Ttris rechnique is called :ingle'shot voring. Singta'shot vocing enables a minority grouP to wln some ar'large s.ac if it concentrales its vote behind a limited number of candidates and if the vote of the majority is divided emoog r nurnber of candidetes-"' City o! Romc v. united S.otes, +{6 U. S. lE6. !84. n. 19 (1980). quoting U. S- &t-1968-OPINIONI 6 TITORNBURG u GINGLES, designated seat plarul' for multimember districts. The eo,rrt observed that even after the removal of direct barriers to black voter registration, such as the poll ta"x and literacy test, black voter registration remained relatively depressed; in t98Z only 52.7?o of age-qualified blacks statewide were registered to vote, whereas ffi.I?o of whites were reguitered- Ttri District Court found Lhese statewide depressed levels of black voter registration to be present in all of the disputed districts and uo be traceable, a! least in part, to the historical pattern: of statewids ofncial discrimination" Seconl, the eourt found that historic discrimination in educaiion, housing, employment, and health serrrices had' resulted in a lower socioeconomic status for North Carolina blecb a,s a group than for whites. The court concluded thac th,is-lower status both gives rise to special Foup interests' urd hinders. blacks' ability to participate effectively in the political process and to elect representatives of their choice. Ttvird, the cout considered other voting procedures that rnay opemte to lessen the opportunify of black votetE to elect candidates of their choice. Il noted that, North Carolina has a majority'vote requirement for primary elections and while rcloowlcdging thsl no black cildidste for election to the state General '{'ssembly had failed to win' solelyr because of this requirement, the court concluded that it nonecheless presents a continuing practical impediment to the opportu' nity of black voting minorities to elect candidates of their choice. The court also remarked on rhe facc that Notth Carolina does not have a subdistricc residency requirement for members of the General Assembly elected from multimember districts, a requiremenf which the court found Comrnission on Civil Rights. The Voting Righrs .lct: Ten Years After. pp. 206-207 (lYts). 'Designated (or nurnbered) seac ichemes requlre a candidate lor elec' tion in multimember dissrics !o run for sPecific seas. and can. under certain cireumstances, &ustrace bullet voting. See. e. 9., City vl' Ronte, sttry, ar 185, n. 21. j' 8il-1968--OPINION THORNBURGU GINGLES T could offset to some extent the disadvanuges minority votels often exPerience in multimember districts" pourti, the court found that white candidates in North Carolina have encouragd voting along color lines.by apped' i"g t. *.ial prejudicel It notid that the record is replete wi-th speciflc ixanples of racial appeals, ranging in style from overt and blatant to subtle and ftutive, and in {ate from the lsgo,stothelg84campaignforaseatintheUnitedStates Senate.Thecorrrtdeterminedthattheuseofracialappeals in poliUcal campaigns in North Carolina persists to the p".i.* day and that iu cutreni effect is to lessen to some a.g"""thaopportunityofblackcitizenstoparticipateeffec. ;"?li i" ,rre potitieal pr(lce3ses and to elect candidates of theb cltoice. ?ifrll, the corrrt esamined the extent to which blacks have been elected to office in North Cartlina, both statewide and i, ifr" challenged districts. It forud, among otJter t6ngE' Li-p"i"i io frorld war II, only one black had been elected to p,iuri. offlce in rhis cenrury. while recognizing that'5t har now become possible for biaalrcitizens to be elAted !.":l . 0." .t all levels of rt"t" government in North carolina," 390 ' F. Gp., at 36?, the court found that, in comparison to white .*aia"t"r *rnring for the sarne of;flce, black candidates are at a disadvurtage in terms of relative probability of.success' It also found that the overall rate of black electoral Succe$l has been minimal in relation to the Percentage of blacks in che total state population. For e.xample, the court noted' from l9?1 and t982 there were at any given time only two-to'four blacks in the l20-mernber House of Representatives-thac it, oJV 1.67o to 3.3io of House members were black' From IyfS to 1983 chere were at any one time only one or t'wo blacks in the 5O-member State Senare-that is, only 29o to 1?o of State Senators were black. By contrast, at the time of the District court,s opinion, blacks constituted about 2,.4?o of the total state PoPulation. 83-Ig6HPINION t THORNBURG u GINGLES With respect to the success in thiE century of black candi' dates.in t}1! contested districts, see also Appendix B, infw, the corrrt found that only one black had been elected to House District 36-after this lawsuii began. similarly, only one black had served in the Senate ftom District 22" ftom 1976-1980. Before rhe 1,982 election, a black was elected only iwice to the llouse from District 39 (part of Forsyth county); in rhe 1982 contest two blacks. were elected. since tsaS a utack eitizen had been elected each 2-year term to the Irouse ftom District 23 (Durham county), bub no black had been elected to the Senate from Durham County. In House District 2I (Wake County), a black had been elected twice to t}e lfoqr, and another black ser"red two ter:as, in the State senata No black had ever been elected to the House or Senete ftom the areacovered by Hoqse District No. 8 and no black person had ever been elected to the senate ftorn the area covered by Senate District No. 2- . The court did acknowledge the improved success of black candidates, in the 1982' elections, in which 11 blacks were elected to.the State House of Representaiives, including i blecks from the multimember districts at issue here. IIow- ever, the corrrt pointed ou[ ihat the 1982 election was con- ducted after the commencement of this liugation. The court fognd the cireumstances of the 1982 election su.fficiently ab- errational and the success by black candidates too minimal and too recent in relation to the long history of complece denial of elective opportunities lo support the conclusion rhac black vote!:' opportunities to elect representativ$ of their choice wett noc irnPaired. Finally, the coun considered the extent to which voting in the challenged districn was racially polarized. Based on statistical evidence presented by expert witnesses. supple- mencd to some degree by the testimony of lay witnesses, the cout found that all of the challenged districts exhibit severe and persistent raciaily polarized voting. a-l968JPlNION TITORNBURG u GTNGLES I Brs€donthese6ndingl,theeourtdeclaredtlrecontested *lio* oi rrre rgai-ieGtiicring plan violarive of !2 and en' ffi;;;ffi;frd conductirig electione pursualt to ihose 'oi};ffi;]f,;;il:-' epp"it""tt, the Attornev General of ffifi'&;ur* iia .,rr"i, took a direer appeel ro this c:*, p"*ii-, t,. zg U- a.-C. J rzse, with respect to -flve of. the multimember aistricl-lio*" Districts 2L' z3' 36' and 39' and Senate DistriciE. - eppellants argue' first' that the ffirffEo,,1 oriSr.d a legaliy inconect standard in deter' ;;,irrg*h.tt." ttre contesta distri.t" e.rSibit racid bloc vot' ffi f;-;;t tt"ii" cognizab'le under $2' Second' thev eontend that the .o* *"i * incori'ect deonition of racially ;'i;rir.i ;;dng urd rhus et?oneously relied on statistical svidencs thet was "", p.i"'ive of potirUea vodng' T'hird' il;i;"in,.i" trt"i-ih! cotrrt assigned the wrong weighc to evidence of some Uiack candidatei' electoral succe$l' Fi' ually,theyarguethatthetrialcourteredinconcludingtha! thoi" muitirn mU"i districts result in black citizens having i.*,pp"*dty than their white counterparts to participate inlr," [uuot-pt;; and lo elect representa-tiv-e3 of their ehoice. We notJ probable jurisdicdon' {?l'U'Lt -irgg$, and now .tr "t with respect to all of the districts ;;.;il n"*. District 23. wittr resard it qit:1t:T' *" ilil;;iort,t. District Court is reversed and remanded for further Proceedings U SECAION 2 Ar\D VOTE DILUTION THROUGH USE OF MULTIMEMBER DISTRICTS An understanding both of $ 2 and of the way in which multimember distriits can oPerate to impair blacks'.ability co elect representatives of their ehoice is prerequisite to an evaluation of appellants' contentions' First' then' we re' viewamendedSeanaitslegislativehistolYinsomederail. Slcona, we explain the rheoietical basis for appellees' claim of vote dilution. .! ,i. A SECTION 8 AND ITS LEGISLATIVE HISTORY Subse€tion 2(a) prohibits dl States and potitieal suMi' visions ftom imposing ozy voting qudificatiorut or prercq- uisites to voting, or any standards, practices, or procedures which result in.lhe, denial or abridgment of the right to vote of any citizen who is a member of a protected class of racial urd language minorities. Subsection 2(b) estabtishes that $ 2 has been violated wherc the "totality of the circurnstance3'' reved that "the political processrxl leading to, nomination or election . . . are not equally open to partieipation by rn€rll' ber: of a [protected class] . . . in thet its members have less opportunity then other membere of the electoraie to partici' piie in tlte poiiUcal process and to elect- representatives of iheir choice.;' While explaining that "ttlhe extent to which members of a protected class have been elected to office in the State or political suMivision is one cireumstance which may be considered" in evaluadng an dleged violation, tz(b) cautions that 'hothing in [$ 2J establishes a right to have memberg of a protected class elected in numbers equal to their proportion in the populrtioru" ThC Senate Report which accompanied the 1982 amend- ments elaborater on the nature of $ 2 violations and on the proof required to establish these violations.' First and fore most, the Report dispositively rcjects the position of the pltrrality 'u Mobile v. Boldm,446 U. S. 55 (1980), which 83-1968--OPINtON THORNBURGTT GTNGLES 'Tha Solicitor Generzl urger this Court to give littla weight to the Sen- am Repoft, arSr,rng thac it nePr€s€nss a compromise among contlicting *fac!ions,' urd rhgs is somehow le$ authoricative then most Comrnittee Repons. Brief for United States as Amrcus Curioe 8, n- 12. 2{' n. '19. We are noc persuaded tbat ths legislative history of amended 12 conrains urything to lead r.rs to conclude thas this Senale Report should be accorded little weight- We have repeatedly rec,rgnized thar the aurhoritative 3ource for legslarive intent lies in the comrnittee reports on the bill. See' e. g. Goreiov. lJntlcd Sl,oles, {69 U. S. -, -(1984); Zubctv..{'llcn, 396 U. S. 168, 186 (19(i9). 83-1968-4PINION THORNBURG u GINGLES ll requir€d proof that the eontestd electoral practice or-mecha' nism wa,radopted or maintained with the intent to discrimi' nate against minority voterg.' See, a. 9., S. Rep. 2, 15-16, n. Ge intent test was repudiated for three principd rea' sons-it is "unnecessarily divisive because it involves charges of racism on the part of individud officials or entire comrnuni' ties," it places ur 'tnordinately dfficult" burden of proof on plaintiffs, and it "asks the wrong question." Id., at 36. The tight" question, as the Report emphasizes repeatedly, is whet}er "as a result of the challenged practice or stnrcture plaintiffs do not have an equal opPofttuity to psrticipate in he political processes urd to elect candidates of their choice."' Id., at 28. See also id., at2, *, D, n. ll8' 36- ln order to angwer thia question, a court must asE68 tJte impact of the contested stntcture or praetice on minority electoral opporilniUes "on the basis of objective factot:." Id., at Tl. Tlre Senate Report speeifles factors which tlAi- cally may be relevant to a $ 2 claim: the history of voting- related discrimination in the State or political subdivision; the exteit, to which voting in rhe electioru of the State or political 'Thr Seng6 Report ctreE thst uended 12 was daign€d to natorG tbrtrults tara"-thc legel staadard thet governod voring dircriminctioa carca prior to our decision ia Mobilt v, 9olda4 446 U. S. 55 (1980). S. Rep. 16-16. The Repor not€s th$ in pre'80{&z carcs such al Rc7cs/rr, df2 U. & ?55 (1973), alrtd Zhnmer, 485 F. U l?9? (tfil). phir t'fi. codd preveil by showing chr3, urder tho totdity of the drourstslcG.' r challenged election lew or procedure had thc effect ofdenying a protected minority an equd chance to participate in the electoral process. Under the *resulu test,- plaintiffs lrc no! required to demoostnre thas the chellenged eleccoml law or ttnrcture wes designed or maintained for r discriminatoty purposo. S. Rep. 16. rThe Senete Commi[ee lound thas \oting practices and pmcedures tbrr have discriminatorT results perpesuare the effecss of past purposeful discrimination." S. Rep. {0 (foocnote omitted). As the Senate Repcn notes, the purpose of the Voting Rights .lct was ''not only to corna* an acrive historT of discrimination. the denying to Negroes of the righl lo reg- iscer and vote. bus also to ded with the accurnutacion of discrimination."' S. Rep. 5 (quodng lll Cong. Rec. 8295 (196i) (remarks of Sen. Javic)). E3.I96E.OPINION rg THORNBUBG u GINGLES suMivision is racially polarized; the extent to wNch the State or political suMivision has rrsed voting practices or prcce' dur* that tend to enhance the opportunity for discrimination against the minority group, such as rurusually large election districts, majority vote requirements, and proNbition+ against bullet vocing the e.relusion of members.of the minor' ity group from candidate slating processes; the extent to which minority grcup members bear the effects of past dis- crimination in areas such as edueation, employment, and health, which hinder their ability to participate effectively in the political pnocess; lhe use ofovert or subtle racial appeals in poliUcal caurpaigns; and the extent to which members of the minority grtup have been elected to,public office in the jurisdiction S. Rep. ?8-?$, see also ctrqtu,, at -. fite Report notes also that evidence demorutrating that elected, ofrcials are unreponsive bo the particularized needs of the members of the minority group and that the policy underly- ing the'State's.or the political subdivision's ulte of the con- tested practice'or stntcture is lenuous may have prcbative value. S- Bep. 29. The Repon stresses, however, that this list. of tyTical factors is neither comprehensive nor exclusive. While the enumerated thcton will often be peftinent to cer- tain t1ryes. of $2 violations, particularly to Yote dilution clairus,'' other fa4tors may also be relevant and may be con- sidered. S. Rep. 8-30. Furthermote, the Senate Commit- tee obser,red that "there is no requirement that any particu- lar number of factors be proved, or that a majority of them point one way or the other." Id., a;t,29. Rather, the Com- mittee determined that '"the question whether the political processes are'equally open' depends upon a searching practi- cal evaluation of the 'past and present reality,"' id., at 30 (footnote omitted). and on a "ftrnctional" view of the policical process. 1d,., tt 30, n. 120. "Section 2 prohibia all forms of voting discriminationr nos jr.st vocc dilurion. S. Bep. 30. a-r968-OPINION THORNBURG u GINGLES l8 Although the Senate Report esPouses a flesible, fact' intenrive test for $ 2 violations, it limits the circumstances under wliich 02 violationc may be proved in three ways- First, electoral devices, such as at-large eleetions, may not be considerd po se violative of $2. Plaintiffs must demon' smte that, under the totdity of the circumstances, the devices result in unequal access to the electoral process. Id., at 16. Second, the conjunction of ur allegedly dilutive electoral meclunism and the lack of proportional representi' tion alone does not establish a violation. Ibid^ Third, the results test does not assume the existence of racial bloc vot' ing; plaintiffs mr:st prove it. /d., at 3i!. B VOTE DILUTION TIIROUGH THE USE OF MULTIMEMBER DISTRICTS Appellees contend that the legislative decision to employ multimember, rather than single-member, disfiicts in rhe contested jurisdicrions dilutes their votes by submerging thern in a white majority," thus impairing their ability to 'elect representatives of their choice.'! 'r Dilution of reciel minority group voting scrength rney be caused by tho dirpend of blaclts inio districts in whjch they constitute an ineffectivc minority of vocen or hom the conceqtracion of bhckl into disaricts wheru they constitute an exc€sive mejority. Enptrom &, Witdgen, huning Tlpran from thcThickec An Emgiricel Tcrc of thc Exlrtence of Racid Gcr' ryrnrndcring. 2 Legis. Sua. Q. .165, {66-466 (l9fD (hereinefter Engstrom & Wildgen). See also Derfrrer, Racid Discriminetion and rhe Righr co Vore. 26 Vand L Rev. 623, 553 (19f,3) (hercineftar Derfirer); F. Parker, Bacial Gerrynrandering urd Legisletive Reapponionmenc (hereinafter Parker). in Yinoriry Vote Dilution 86-100 (Davidson ed.. 198{) (hereina,l ter Minority Voce Diludon). sTJre clain we address in rhis opinion is one in which the pleintiffs al' leged and atternpred to prove ttras sheir ability lo elect the represenstives ot'their choice was impaired by the selecdon of a mtr,ltrmember electrrral structure. We have no occasion to consider whether 12 permits, and if it does, whas scendards should pertain to. a clairn brought by a minority gmupt which is nog sulflciently large and compact lo constitute a majority 8g-1968{PINION 14 THORNBURG u GINGLES The essence of a $ 2 cleim is that a certain electoral law, pr"ctice or stnrctur€ interacts with socid and historical con' ditions to cause an inequdity in the oPPoftunities enjoyed by black and white voters to eleci their prefened reprcsent' atives. Ttris Court has long recogflzed that multimember districts and at-large voting schemes may "'opet?te to mini' mize or cancel out the voting stength of racial [minorities in] the voting populalion.""r Bunu v. Riclurdson, 84 U. S- in e singlc'membcr dis6ict, dleging thar thc rrsc of a mqltinember district iageirc its ability u in1luarce electioru. Wc mte also theg wo heve no occasior to consider whetherthe stardards wo apgly to.r=spondentd ctrim thst multimember districts oper*. to dlluta tbo vota of geographically coherivc minority gtouPr. whidr rrs lrtle urougb to, constitute mejoritica in singl+olcmb.r disrricts .rd whjch rrt cootein d within thc bourderiea of thc cheUangd multimernbcr districts. arc fully pertinent to othar sorts of votc dilution clrirng, such as r cleiau dlegrng ther thc rplitting of e larls and geogrsphicelly cohesive minoricy botween tvo or mors muJtinamber or singl,rmeruber dissricts raultcd in the dilution of sho minority voce. trCornrnentatort are in widespread agreement with thi* conclurioru See,. a 9., Bcrry & Dye, 'Ilre Discriminatory Efrects of At-Large EIec- uioru. ? Fla. Su U. L Rev. 86 (r9B) (hertinafter BertT & Dye); Blacksher & Menefcc. From EarTaol& v. S&nc ro'Cily of Llobile v. Boldca, 9, Ilastingr L J. I (1982) (hereinafter Blacksher & Menefee); Bonepfel, Minority Chdlenges io At-Lerg? Elections: Tte Dilution hoblem, l0 Gr L Rev. 358 (ff6) (hereinefter Bonapfel); Butler, Constitutiond and Stac' utory Chdlengc! lo Election Slruccure$ Dilution ard the Valuc of rhe Right to Vote, 42 L." L. Rev. 861 (1982) (hereinafter Butler); Carpcneti, Legistetive Apponionmeni yultimember Disuicts and Fair Represena' tion, l1) Pa. L. Rev. 666 (1912) (hereinafter Carpeneri); Davidson & IGrbel,.fl-Large Eleccions urd Yinority Group Representation, in Minor' ity Vote Dilution ti6; Dertren B. Grofrnan. Alternacivec to Singte.Member Plurelity Disricts: Legd urd Empirical lssues (hereinafter Grofman, Alteraativee), in Represeotation urd Redistricting Issues 107 (B. Grof' man, R. Ujphan, H. Mclfuy, & H- Scarrow eds., 1982) (hereinaJter Represenracion urd Redistriccing Issues); Hartman. Racial Voce Dilution urd Separation of Powen, 50 Geo. Wash. L. Rev. 689 (1982): Jewell, The Consequences of Single- and -Yultimember Disrricting, in Represenntion and Redistricting lssues 129 ( l98A) (hereinafter Jewell)i Jones, The lmpacr of L,lcd Elecdon Sysrems on Political Representation, tl Urb. A6. Q. 3f6 83-l968JPlNION THORNBURG u' GINGLES l5 ?3, 88 (1966) (quoting Fortson u' DT-'y : 3J9 -U: Si- 111'^4il9 iirioojl s.l .bo Ristrs v. Lod4e,458 U. S. 613, 61? (1e82); iUti v" Regester, 4i2 U. S-, at 16\ Whitcorub v' Chows' 40S U. S. Ui, 143 (1y71). The theoretical basis for this type of impairm.ni is thas where minority and majority.voters consistensty pret'er different candidates, the major-ity' by virtue of its numerical superiority, will regularly defeat the choices of minority voters-r' See, e' 9', Grofrnan, A{erna- tivee, in Representation and Redistricting Issues lB-1r4. Multimember districts and at-large election schemeg, how' ever, are \ol Pst sc violative of minority voters' rights' i. RLp" rO. it. Aogr,t v. Lodge, nqry, a!-!17; .Resesttr' *'W, at ?65; Whitiornb, W1 tt .L42" Minority voten wlio contend that the multimember form of districting vio' lates $ 2, mtut prove that lhe use of a multimember electoral stnrcture operat$ to minimize or cancel out their ability to elect lheir ireferred candidages- See, 6' 9', S-' Rep' 16' wrrn" many or all of the factors tisted in the Senate Report may be relevanr to a claim ot'vote dilution through submer' g.n.. in multimember districts, rrnless there is a conjunetion if *r" following cireumstances, the use of multimember di'" tricts generalli will not impede the ability of rninority vocent to eleci nepresentatives of their choice.'' Stated succinctly, (1916); lbrnig, Black Resources and City Council Represenadon' 'll J' ior- ril trylSi: Karnig, Btack Representacion on City Councils' 12 Urb' AIf Q. 233 (1916): Parker 8?-68.- " Xir onty does '[v]osing along racial lines" deprive minority volen ol fheir prefened representaiive in these circurnstancesr il also "allows those elecred ro ignorc [minoriry] interesss without fear of political conse' qu.n.".,,' Rigen v. Ldqc, iSA U. S. 6I& 62] t1982). leaving the minoricy effecuvely unrepresenced. See, c. 9., Grofman. Should Representatives g. t"i."l of iheir Consciruencs?, in Representation and Redistricring Issues'9? (hereinafrer Croiman. Should Representatives b€ Typica.l?): Parker 108. r under a ..funcrional" view of rhe potitieal process mandated by l:, S. Rep. 30, n. 120. rhe moss imponanc Senate Report tbctors bearing on $2 chellenges to multimember districrs are the "esten! to which minority g-up ,o"rib"n have been elerted to public ofhce in the jurisdiction" and 83-I96t--OPINION 16 THORNBURG u GINGLES a bloc voting majority mult zE2.o lty beable io defeat canai' dater supponed by a politicdly cohesive, geographicdly in- sular minority group. Bonapfel 355; Blacksher & Menefee 3{; Butler 9O3; Carpeneti 696-699; Davidson, Minority Yote Dilution: fui 0verview (hereinafter Davidson), in Minority Vote Dilution 4; Groftnan, Alternatives 117. Cf. Boldm, q+6 U. S., at 105, n- 3 (IvIensHALL, J., dissenting) C'It is obvious thc "cxtcnt to which vocing in the elections of thr Et8t. or politicd suMi- virioo is.racidly pohrized.' I&, ?f,.-?9. U prc:rat, thc o&er factorl utch rr tho llngering eEects of pest dircriminetion, thc ruc of eppedr to racbl bies in elccGion campaigru, ald rhc use of clectotzl devicec which cnhrncs tlrc ditutivc Effscts of multimember dissricts when rubotsntial. whllo bloc voting arisrs-for exernph eatibullet voting lewr cnd rnejoricy yotr FquirtoGatsr .r.l suppottive o( but nd eirrlnil to, r. mimrity votrr/r drim. Ir rceognizilg thrt sornc Senetc Repon farton rre mont imponutt to muldnnernbcr diruics vote dilution cleinrs than olhcr:, the Coutt efrectu- ate* ths inrnt of Congres. It is obviout thac unless minority group mcmbrrs cxprrionct rubrtrncid dit[culty clccting nprrscntativcl of thcir droicq they crnnos prcva thst e chellengrd ehctorel rncchrnirrn imprirr theb ebilily 'to- elect ' t Eb). And, where the conrcctod electoral stnrcture ir emultimember district, comrDrurtatort aad courts egrco ihet in thc abrence of signiflcaat wNte bloc votiag it'cannot bc a8id ther the ability of minority voten to elcct their chosen rrprrsentetivec b inferior to thet of whitcvoter.s Sec. r. 9., Llcilillonv. EsccrnbbCoualy, ?48 F.2d 103?, 1048 (CAS l9{if,\ United Scotes v. ltarngo County Contm'n, 7il1 F. 2d 15{6, 1566 (CAlf 1984) .ppc3l dismiss.d. cen denied, {69 Ur S. -(1984); Natctt v. Si&s, 571 F. 2d 209, U GA' t9I8). cerr dcnied. {46 U. S. 96f (1980); tohtr*n v. Holifoz County, 59{ F. Supp. 16l, l?0 (EDNC l9<: Blacksher & Menefee; Engrtrcm & Wildgen .16* Parker lm. Coruequendy, U dimcdry in electing and white btoc vocing are not pnoyenr minoricy voten heve noc established that the rnultirnembor stnrc- lura interferca with their ability to elect their preferted candidas,es. Mi- nority voterr mey be able to prove thac they still sufrer social and economic efracts of pass discrimination, that, appeals to racid bias are employed in election carnpaigru. and that a majority vote is required to win a seat. bur they heve not dernonstrateri a subsuntid inability to elect caused by thc rrse of a multunember districr. By recognung the pnmacy of the historT urd e.rtent of minority electoral success and of raciai bloc voting. the Cout simply requires thas $ 2 plaintiffs prove thek clairn before they may be awarded relief. 83-l968JPINlON ' THORNBURG " CtXCt gS l? thet the greater the degree to which the electoral minority is homogeneous and insular and the greater the degree that bloc voting oceurs dong majority.minority lines, the greaLer wiU b€ the extent to which the minorit/s voting pnwer is diluted by multimember districting"). These circurnstances are neee$iary preconditioru for multimember districts to operate to impair minority votets'ability to elect represent' atives of their choice tbr the following reasofft. First, che minority group must be able to demonstrate bhat it is suffi' eiently iarge urd geographically compact to constitute a ma' jority in a single-member district." If it is not, ali would be lhe case in a substantially integmted district, lhe rwlti' manbcrlotm of the disuict carutot be rcsponsible for minor- ity votetC iubility to elect its candidstes.tr Cf. Rqerc, " [n thir cu rupondents dlege thet within erch consested multi' mcrnbcr di&rica thrrs existt e minority group tbrt is ufrciently large rrd coraprct to comtituco r single-member discrict- [n r difierent kind of car. for eremph 1 gerryrnsndar casor pleintifis might allege thst, th. minority gloup ther ir sulficiently lergo urd compact to constituto . single-mcmber district has b.en splir between lwo or morp multirnember or ringle-mcmbcr 4istricts, 'rith the effect of diluring thc pocentid rtrrnph of lhc minority vote. ''TtE reason thec a minority group mdcing cuch a chdLnge must show, u . thrclurld mettcr, thes it is sufrcienuly lerge and geographicnlly comprc3 to comtituGe a majority in a single-member disaict is this: Unless minority voco6 pocE€ts the plcntitl to elect rcprerentatives in thc alcencc of ttre chellcnged structure or pnctice, they cerrnot claim to havc been injured by thet slructurs or practice. Thc singte.member district is generzlly the epprcpriete srandarrd agpinsc which to maasure minority group pocentid to elect because it is the smdlest poliricd unic frorn which r:presentetives are etected. Tltus, if the minority group is spread ev-enly throujhout a multimember districc, or i( rlthough geognphically cornpacr. the minonty group is so small in relarion to the surounding whire popula- tion thet it could not constitute a majoriry rn a single-rnember disrrtcr. these minority vocen cannoc meintain thac they would have been able to elect represencagives of their choice in the absence of the multimember electoral structure. As two commentatoni have e.rplained. 'To demonstrate [that minority voteG are injured by at-large electionsl. the minority vo(ers ,nust be sufficiently concenrraced and potitically o tf, 83-1968{PlNlON. tt TIIORNBURG u GINGLES; nrpto, at 616. See also; Blacksher & Menefee 51-56' 58; Bonapfel 365; Carpeneti 696; Devidsor 4; Jewell 130. S€c' ond, ihe minority iroop must be able to show that it is politi' ' cally eohesiva tf the minority grouP is not politically co' hesive, it cannoi be said that the selection of a srultimember electoral structure thwarts. distinctive minority group in' tercsts. Blacksher & Menefee 51-56, 58-60, *6 1 344; Carpeneti 696-69?; Davidson4. Third, theminority must be ablstodemonstrate that the white majority votes suffciently as a bloc to enable it-in the absence of special circum' stance3, such as the minority candidate nrnning unopposed, w, infra,.st-usually to defeat theminoritX/s preferred candidate. See, a. g., Blacksher & Menefee 51, 53, 56-57' 60. CL Rogst\, rtrptt\ at 616-61?; rfihit*omb, ntym' at 158-l5q Mc*tilton v. Escombia Cowtty, Fla,., 748 F- 2d l0t[, l0{3 (CAS 1984). In estabtishing this last circum' stercE, the minority group demonstrates that submergence in a white multimember disuict impedes its ability to eleet its chosen. reprcsentatives. Finally, we observE that the usual predictability of the majority's succe$t distinguishes stnrctural dilution from the mene loss of an occasional election. Ct. Dovb v. Botdmter, - U. S- -, - (f986) (opinion of Wruru, J.); BoWctt, stlpn\ at 1ll, n. ? (MensIrAJJ., J.,. disseuting); Whitcottb, ntry, at 153. See also Blacksher & Menefee 57, n- 33ii!; Note, Geometry urd Geographyr Racial Gerrymandering and the Voting Rights Act, 94 Yale L J. 189, 200, n.'66 (1984) (hereinafter Note, Geometry and Geography). cohesive ther. a putarive districting plur would result -in districts in which membcrs ot' a. racial minority would consrituce a majority of the vocen, whose clerr electoral choices are'in lact defeared by at'large voting. If minority voters' residences are subsuntially incegrated. throughout the ju' rMiccion. the ac-lrrge district cannot be blamed for the defeac of minority' supponed candidates . . . . [Ttris standardl thus would only prctect racial mrnority votes from diminution proximately caused by tha discricting plan: it tuould wl oswre tt*;iol mhwrilies poprlional tepresmlolion." Blacksher & Menefee 35-56 (footnotes omitted) (ernphas8 addd). €3-1968--0PINION THORNBURG U GINGLES III r9 . RACIALLY POLARIZED VOTING Havingstatedthegeneraltlr.tprinciplesrelevantto claims frat g 2 has Seen violated through the -use of multimember districts, we turn to the arguments of appel' lanta and onricus ettriae the United States addressing *.i.ify prUrLea voting.o Fint we describe the District Court's ireatment of raciAty polarized voiing' Next' we .o*ia." appellanB' claim that the District Court r.rsed ut incor.rect legal standard to determine whether racid bloc voting in thJcontested districts was sufficiently severe to be .ogni;aOf" as an element of a ! 2 claim. Finally, we consider .pi.tt-ts'contention that the trial court employed ur incor' reit de6nitioo of racially polarized voting and thus errone' o*ty relied on statistical i"iden." that was not probative of racial bloc voting. A THE DISTBICT COURTS TREATMENT OF RACIALLY POLARIZED VOTING Tte investigation conducted by the District Court into the qo"rtion of ricial bloc voting credited somo testirnony of ' lay witnesses, but rclied principatly on statisticd evidence presented by appeltees' e-xpert witnesses; in particular that If"rJ UV b".'bernard Grofman. Dr. Grofrnan iollected' ' and evaluated data &om 53 General assembly primary and ienerai elecrions involving black candidacies. These elec' Eon. *.r. held over a period of three different election year:t inrhe :ix originally challenged multimember districts.'' Dr. Grofman suUJected the dati to two complementary methods of analysis-..€xtreme case analysis and bivariaie ecologicai rThe terms'racially polarized voting" and'racral bloc voting" are used interchangeably ttroughout this opinion- ,r,Ilre l58p re"ppo.tion^ent plan left essentidly undisturbed the-,l9ll plan for ffve of the original six contested:nultimernber disrriccs. House biscricc 39 alone *"s siightly modi6ed. Brief for Appelleer 8' a-1966-OPINION m THORNBURG rr GINGLES. r€gression analysist:-in order to determine whether blacks urd whites in these dlstricts differed in their voting behavior. Ttrese uralytic techniques yielded data concerning the voting patterns of the two races, including estimata of the Pereent- ages of members of each mce who voted'for black candidates. The court's initid corsideration of these data took the form ofathree-part inquiry: did the data reveal any correlation be- tween the race of the voter and the selection of certain candi' dates; was the revealed conelation statistically signiflcant; and was the difference in black and white voting patterns "substantively signi6cant?" fire District Court found that ' blacks. and whites. generally preferred different candidates and, ou th8t basis, fonnd voting in the disEicts to be racidly corrpJated-a tte court accepted Dr. Grofttan's e.spen opin' ion that the corelation between the race of the voter and the voteris choice.of certain candidates was statisticdly signifi- canLrs Finally, adopting Dr. Groftnan's terminologJlr, seeTr. tfrc District Coun fouid both methods standard itr lho literalure for tbeanelysirrof racirlly polarized voting. 590 F. Supp. .c367-3?8, nru '8, rDd 3A 3c* rbo Engstrom & McDonald, Quantitativc Evidence in Voce Dilution Utigetion: Potitical Participetion and Pohrizcd Voring l7 Urben [aryer369 (Surnrner 1986); GroIlnan, Migalski & Noviello. Tta "Totdity of Circumstsneec Tesf in Section 2 of thc 1982 Extenrion of the Vocing RlghtsAcu A Socisl Science Perspective, 7 Lew & Policy 199 (Apr. 1985) (bereincft rGrotnen, Migalski. & Noviello). 'Th+coun used tha term'resial polarizacion'to deccriba this correle- tion. It dopted Dr. Grofmrn's definitiolt-'racial polerizerion" exiscs whers therc is "l consisteng relationship between [thel race of the vocer end the wey in which the vo(er vocesi" Tr. 160, or to puE it difrerently, where "black voters and white vorcr: voce di.fferently." /d., at,20g. W€, too, adopt. this deflnition of 'Tacial bloc" or tacidly polrrized voring. See; iafc, at -.lTlre court found thar the data reilected positive relarionships and that the correlations did noc happen by chance. 590 F. Supp. 368. utd n. :J0. See also D. Barnes & J. Conley, Statisticd Evidence in Litigation 32-:lt t1986): Fisher, Multiple Regression in Legd hoceedings. 80 Colum. L. Rev. 7@, 716-?20 t 1980); Groftnan, Migalski, & Notiello 2fii. 8-l968JPlNION THORNBURGU GINGLES U 195, the cout found that in all but two of the 53 electionsa the'degree of racial bloc voting was 'so marked as to b€ subsh;tively signiflcant, in the sense that the results of the individu8l el&tion would have been different depending upon whetlrer it had been held among only the white voters or only the black voters.'' 590 F. Supp., at' 368. fire court also reported its findings, both in tabulated nu- merical form and il written form, that a high percentage of blsck vote6 regularly supported blaek candidates and that most white voters were extiemely reluctant to voie for black eandidates- The court rhen considered the relevance to the existence of legalty signiflcant white bloc voting of the fact Chat black .-Oa"t.s heve won some elections. It deter' min€d thet in most instancel, special circumstance3, such as incumbency and lack of opposition, rather than an a diminu' tion in usually sever? white bloe voting accounted for these candidates, suecess. The court also suggested that black voters, reliance on bullet voting was a significant factor in tlreir succesful efforts to elect curdi{ates of their shoice. Based on all of the evidence before it, the trial court con' cluded that each of the districtq experiences racially polprized voting "in a periistent utd severe degree." 590 tr'. Supp', at 36?. B THE DEGREE OF BLOC VOTING THAT IS LEGALLY SIGNIFICANT UNDER $2 I A'pp e I lant s' Argu m ent s Nonh Carolina and the United States arg$e that the [est used by the District Court to determine whether voting patterns in the disputed districts are racially polarized to an extent cognizable under $ 2 will lead ro results that are incon- sistent with congressional intent. North Carolina maintains 'The two exceptions were the 1982 State House elections in Districrs 2l urd 8. 590 F. Supp., ac 368. n. 31. 8-1968-OPINtON AL TIIORNBURG u GINGLES that the court consider€d legally signiflcurt racially polarized voting to occur whenever "less than 5A?o of the white voters cast 8- ballot for the black candidate." Brief for Appellants 36. Appellurts also argue that raeially polarized vgtlng is legally li-gni6cant only when it always results in the defeat of black candidates. Id., at 39-40. The United States, on the other hand, isolates a single line in the court's opinion and identifes it as the court's complete test. According to the Solicitor General, the District Couft adopted a standard under which lega[y significant racial bloc voting is deemed io exist whenever "'the results of the individual €lection would trave beea differeni depending upon whether it had been held among only the white voters oronly the black votent in the electiolL"' Brief for United States as Amir:rrs Curioe 29 (quoting Gingles,590 F. Supp-, at' 368). We rcad the District Corrrt opinion differently. Z The Stondotdfor Legolly Significant Racinl Bloc Votitt4 The Senate Report states that, the "extent to which voting in the elections of the stste or politiczl suMivision is racidly polarized," S. Rep. 29, is relevant to a vote dilution claim. Frrrther, coufis and commentators agree thai racial bloc voting is a key element of a voue dilution claim. See, e. 9., Escombio cowtty, ?48 F. 2d, at 1043; United stotes v' Morcn4o Cau.nh4 Cornrn'n, 73f F. 2d 1&16, 1566 (CAf f t9&t); Neuett v. Sides, 571 F. 2d 209, 223 (CA5 19?8), ceft. denied, 46 U. S. 95f (1980); Johnson v. Holifox County, i9e F. Supp. 16l, l?0 (EDNC 1984); Blacksher & Menefee; Engstrom & Wildgen, Pnrning Thorns from rhe Thicket: An Empirical Test for the Existence of Raciat Gerrymandering, 2 Legis. Stud. Q. 465, 469 (I9?7) (hereafter Enstrom & Wildgen); Parker l0?; Note, Geometry and Geography 199. Because, ari lve explain below, the extent of bloc voting necessary to demonstrate lhat a minority's ability to elect its prefered representacives is impaired varies according to E3-1968.4PINION TI{ORNBURG u GINGLES A s€veral factual cireumstances, the degree of bloc voting which eonstitutes the threshold of legal significanee will va4t ftom digtrict to district. Nonetheless, it is possible to state some general principleg and we proceed to do so. Ttre-purposi of inquiring into the existence of racially po' larized voting is twofold: to ascertain whether minority grouP members constitute a potitically cohesive unit and to deter- mine whether whites vote su.fficiently as a bloc usually to de- feat the minorit/s preferred candidates. See, tu'Fro, at' Tltug, the quistion whether a given district e'rperi- en@s legally significant racially polarized voting requires dis- crete inquirieslnto minoriiy and white voting practices' A showing that a signiflcant number of minority group-mem- ben usrnlly vote for the same candidates is one way of prov' ing the potiucat cohesiveness nece$iary to a vote-dilution. clim, Blac]rsher & Menefee 59-60, and n" &14, and, conse- quently, establishes minority bloc voting within the context oi $ a And, in general, a white bloc vote that normdly will defeat the combiaed strength of minority suPport plus white 'crossover" votes rises to the level of legally signifleant white bloc voting. ,.-/d..0 at 60. Ttre amount of white bloc voting that can ge4eHtty "rninimize or cancel," S. Rep. ?3; Regester, ' 412 lJ. S., 'at ?65, black votett' ability to elect represent' atives of their choice, however, will vary from district to dis- trict according to a number of factors, including the nature of the allegedly dilutive electoral mechanism; the presence {)r' absence-of other potentially dilutive eledtoral devices, such as majority vote requirernents, designated posts, and prohi- bitions against bullet voting the percentage of registered voteni in the district who are members of the minority group; the size of the district; and, in multimember districts, the number of seats open and the number ot'candidates in the field.a See, e. g., Butler 8?a-8?6; Davidson 5; Jones, The Impact of Local Election Systems on Black Political Repre' uTtris lisc of factors is illusrnrive, not comPrehensive. t3-l968JPlNION 24 THORNBURG u GINGLES sentation, 11 Urb. fff" Q. 345 (1y16); U. S. Comrnission on Civil Rights, The Voting Rights Act: Unftrlfllled Goab 38-41 098r). Because loss of politicd power through vote dilution is dis' tinet ftom the mere inability to win a particular election, Whitcomb, 403 U. S., at l&3, a pattem of rzcid bloc vocing. that extends over a period of time is morc probative of a claim that a district experiences legally significant polariza' tion tlran are the results of a single electiotus Blacksher & Menefee 61; Note, Geometry urd Geography 200, n. 66 ("Racid polarization should be seen iul an attribute noc of a single eleetion, but rather of a polity viewed over time. Ttre concenr is necessarily temporal and the analysis historical because the evil to, be avoided is the subotdination of minor. rty groups in American politics, not the defest of individuals in particular electoral contegts"). Also for this reason, h a district where elections are shown usudly to be polarized, the fact that racially polarized voting is not prcsent in one or a few individual elections does not necessarily negate the con- clusion that the disfict experiences legally significant bloc voting. Furthermore, the suctess of aminority eurdidate in a particular election does not necessarily prove thai the districr did not e.rperience polarized voting in that election; special circumstances, such as the absence of an opponent, incumbency, or the utilization of bullet voting, may explain minority electoral success in a polarized contest.n rThe number of elections that muss be studied in order to determine whether vocing is polarized will vary acrcording to peftinent circurnstances. One imponant circumstance is the number of elections in which the minor- ity group has sponsored curdidates. Wlere a minority group has never been able to sponsor a curdidate, courts must rely on other faccon thag tend to prove unequal access co ths electoral proc$s. Similarly, where a minority group has begun to sponsor candidates jusc recently, the facs thac stagistics from only one or a few elections are available lor examination does not foreclose a vote dilution claim. rThis list of specid cirrurastances is illusttztive, ooc e.rclusive. 83-I96HPINION THORNBURG u GINGLES 6 As must be apparent, the degree of racial bloc voting that is cognizable as an element of a $2 vote dilution claim will vary according to a variety of factual circumstances. Conse- quently, there is no simple doctrinal test for the existence of legally significant racid bloc voting. However, the forego- ing general principles should provide courts with substantid guidance in determining whether evidence thac black and white voters generdly prcfer different candidates rises to the level of legal significance under $2. 3 Stonfutd Utilized Ay the Dbtrict Court Ttre DistricE Court elearly did not employ the simplistic standad identiffed by North Carolin+-legally signifieant bloc voting occurs whenever less than 50% of the white vot- ers cast a bdlot for the black candidate. Brief for Appel- lants 36. And, although the District Court did utilize the measiune of "substantive significance" that the United States ascribes to it-"tJre results of the individual election would trave been different depending on whether it had been held among only the white voten or only the black voters,"' Brief for United States asAmians Cuiu 29 (quoting Ghtglse, S9O F. Supp., at 368Fthe court did not reach its ultimate conclu- sion lhat the degree of racial bloc voting present in each dis- trict is legolly significant through mechanical reliance on this sandard.' While che court did not phrzse the standard for legally significant racial bloc voting e.xactly as we do, a fair reading of rhe court's opinion reveals that the court's analysis cordorms to our view of the proper legal standard. 'Ttre rid coun did noc actuelly employ the term "legally signi6cant." At timca it seems to have used "subsrentive sigaificance" as Dr. Grofrnan did. to describe polarization sevene :nough to result in the selection of difrerent candidaces in racially sepafirte electorates. .{,t other tirnes. however, the cout used the term'substanrively signiffcrnt" to refer to irs ultim3te determination that racidly polrrized voting in these districts is su.fficiently severe to be relevant to a 92 claim. 83-1968--0PINION a THORNBUBGu GINGLES fire District Corrrt's findings concerning black suPpoft for black candidates in the ffve multimember districts ai issue here clearly etablish the political cohesiveness of black voc' ent. As is-appareni from the District Court's tabulated ffnd' ings, reproduced in Appendix L, inftu,, black votenf support for Utactc candidates was ovenvhelming in almosi every elee' tion- In all but 5 of 16 prima4r elections, black support for black candidatis ranged between 1L% and 92?o; and' in the general elections, black support for bladc Democrai candi' dates rznged between 87% and 96%. In sharp contmst to its. findings of strong black suppott for black candidates, the District Court found that a substanrial majority of white yoten would mrely, if ever, vote for a black candidate. In the priraary elections, white support for blach candidates rzngd behreen 8% and 50%, and in the general elections it raoged between 8lo ud 4Wo. See Appendix A, infia. The court dso determined that, on average; 8t.7% of white votetl did nof vote forany blackcan- didate in the primary elections. In the general electioru, white yoters almost always ranked black candidates either lasi. or next to last in the multicandidate ffeld, excepL in heavily Democratic arleas where white voters consistently ranked black candidates last among the Democrats, if not last or next to last among all candidates. The corrrt.further ob' serred that approximately iwo-thirds of white voten did not vote for blaci( candidaces in general elecliong, eveo after the candidate had won the Democratic primary and the choice was io vote for a. Republican or for no one.t 'In stacing ther 81.7% of white voseE did not vote for any black candi- detes in rhe primery eleetton and that two"thirds of while vocer: did nog vote for black csndidates in general electiong. the Districs Coun aggre' gped dare from ail six challenged multimernber districts' apparently for ease of reponing. The inquiry into the existence ot'vote dilusion caused by submergence in a multirnernber dissricr is diEuics'sP€cific. When con' sidering seveml separate vote dilution claims in a stngle case, couns rnusg noc rely on data aggreg;ated hom all the chdlenged districts in concluding that racidly polarized voting e.rists in each district. In tie instani case, Its-IgotJPINION THORNBURGU GINGLES N While the District Court did not state expressly that the percen0age of whites who refused to vote for black,:andidates in the contested districts would, in the qsual cou$le of events, rcsult in the defeat of Ehe minority's candidates, that conclu- sion is epparent both ffom the court'g factud findings and from thq rest of its analysis. FiEt, with the exception of Ilorrse District &3, see infio, lt-, the trid court's fuidingE clearly show that black voters have enjoyed only minimal and sporadic succe$t in electing representatives of cheir choice. SLe Appendix B, infm. Second, where black candidaces won eliction, the court closely e.ramined the circumstances of those electioru before concluding that the suctess of these blacks did not negate other evidence, derived from all of the elections shrdi€d in each district, lhat legally signiffcant ra- cially polarized voting e.{ists in each district. For example; the corrrt took account of the beneflts incumbency and run- ning essentially unopposed confened on some of the success' U UUcf candidetes,! as well as of the verT different order of houcvar, it b clser bom thc trial courds tabuleted flndingr erd from the .r&ilriB thet 'ren befor. it, I APP., Exg 2-10. thrt the court relied on d.t3 thra war spoeific lo erch indiYidurl diltrict in coucluding thet each dis" trict experienccd legdly signifrcant rrcidly polarizld votingl tForexanrpb, thc conn found that incumbency aidcd a successful black candidate in thc IYIS prirnary in Senate Disu.ict 2g The conrt abo noced th$ in Hou.G DLtrict 23, a bleck eandidecc who Seined election in lyl8, lso. .rd 19t8, nn ucoorecred in the l9r8 generd election and in both ths firDrry and gcneral elections in 1980. In l9E2 there was no Republican opposition, a frct the trial court incerpreted to mean that the generzl eiection was for ail practical p1g.PoEes turopposed. Moreover, in rha 1982 primsry, there were only two white candidatec for three seaB, so thet one bleck candidate hed io succd. Even under this condition, the cou.n rcrnarked, 63% of white vocen still refused to voce for the bhck irrcum' bens-who was the choice of 9096 of the blacks. [n House District 21. where a black won election to the six-member deleg'ation in 1980 and 1982' tlre conn, found that, in rhe relevanc primaries approximarely 60% to 70?o oI whirc vocers did not vote for the black candidate, whereas approximarely t0% of blacks did. The cor.ut additionelly obsen'ed that although winning thc Democraric prirnary in this disuict is historically tantarnounc lo 83-1968JPINION A TIIORNBURG U GINGLES preference blecks and whites assigned black eandidates,t in reaching its conclusion tbat legally significant racid polariza- tion exists in each district. We conclude that the District Court's appruach, which tested data derived bom three election yean in each district, and which revealed that blacks strongly supported black can- didates, whild, to the black candidates' usual detrirnent, whites rzrely did, satisfactorily addrtsses each facei of the proper legal standard, c EVIDENCE OF RACIALLY POLARIZED VOTING L Appell,onts' Atytutrnt North Carolina and the United States. also contest the evi- dence upoo. which the District Court rclied in flnding that voting patteras in the chdlenged disEicts were racially po- larized. They ar3ue that the term.'racially polarized votingl' must, as a matter of law, refer to voting patterns for which the'principolcouss is race: They contend that the District Corrrt utilized a legally incorect. defuiition of racially polar- ized voting by relying on bivariate statistical urdyses which rner.ely demonstrabd a conclotiott between the race of the voter and the level of voter eupport for certain candidates, but which did nob pnove that race was the primary determi- nant of voters' choices. According to appellants and ghe United States, bnly multiple regression urdysis, which can take account of other variables wHch might also esplain vot- ers'choices, such as.'larty affiliation, age, religion, income[,] election, 55% of whites declined !o voie for the Democatic bleck candidate in tha genenl elecrion. r'llre court noted thet in the l9t2 prinrary held in House Disuict 36, ouc of a fleld of eighr, the successful black candidase was ranked ffrsc by bla* vorenrr bu! seventh by whites. Similarly, the court forurd thas the rwo btacks who won seals in the five-member deleg;ation from Horse Districc 39 were ranrked flnt and secood by black voter:, buc sevenlh urd eighrh by white vocen a-r96t{PtNION THOBNBURGn GINGLES D incumbency, education, campaign expenditures," Brief for Appellano42, 'tnedia use measured by cost, . . . name,.iden' tifiiation, or distance that a candidate lived ftom a particular precinct," Brief for United Siates I Amialc Curiu 30, ru 5?, can prove that race was the primary determinang of voter behavior.rr Whetier appellants and the United States believe that it is the voter's race or the candidate's race that must be the pri' mary determinant of the voter/s choice is undear; inde€d' their catalog: of relevant variables suggest both.r Age, rcli' gion, incomi, and education Seem most relevant to the voter; inetrmbency, campaign expenditures, name identiflcation, and medis us€ are pertinent to the caodidate; and party afllli' ation eouH refer both to the voter and the candidate- In either case, we disagree: For purposes of $ 2, the legal con' cept of racidly polarized voting incorporates neither qsusa- tion nor intent. [t means simply that the race of votetl cor' relatee with the selection of a certain eandidate or candidates; thai is, tt refers to the situation where different races (or minority language groups) vote in blocs for different candi' dates. Groftnan, Migatski & Noviello 203. As we demon' strate below, appellants' theory of racially polarized voting would thwart the goals Congress sought to achieve when it amended. $ 2 and would prcvent courts ftom perforrning lhe "functiond' uralysis of the politicd process, S. Rep. 30, n. ll9, and the "searching practical evduation of the 'past r Appellana arpre that plaintifrs must establish thac rzce was the primery dererminant of voter behanor as part of their pnzrc/ccre showing of polarized voting; the Solicitor Generai sugSests that plainrilfs make out a prdzu, lasic a* merely by showing a correlation between rzce urd the selection ofcertgin candidetes, buc that defendants should be ablc to rebut by showing thst fafror: other than r?ce were the principd causes of voten' choicec. We rejecr boch argumen:s. rTlre Fifth Circuit c:rltes on wNclr North Carotina and the Solicitor General rely for their position are equelly embiSrous. See Lec County Bnrch of NAACP v. City of Opcliko, ?48 F. 2d 14n}. l@ (1984); Jotes v. C ity of Lubboc&, 730 F. 2d ?39, 234 ( 1984) (Higginbotham, J. , coacurring). A-I96E.-OPINION 30 THORNBUBG u GINGLES and present reality,"' id., tt30 (footnote omitted), mandaCed by the Senate Repon. ,e Cottsotiotl- Inelannt b Section 2 Inqu:'uy The 6rst neason we reject appellanis' argument that ra- cially polarized voting refers 0o voting patterns Lhat are in soml way coused by tz,ce, rather than to voting patterns'that are merely cotrelaled uith the mce of tha uot*r, is that the rearrcrul black and white voters vote differently have no rele- yance to the central inquiry of $ 2. By contrast, the correla' tioo between ruce of voter and the selection of certain candi- dates is cnrcial to that inquirY. Both $2 itsef and the Senate Report make clear tha! the critical question in a g 2 clairo is whether the use of. a coa- tested electoral practice or stnrchrre results in members of a protected group having less opportunity than other members Lf tle elecioraie to participate in uhe political process utd to elect representarive! of their choice. See, e'- 9-, S- Rep. 2, ZT, 8,29, tr. 118, 36. As we explained, su?rut trt -,multimember districts may impair the ability of blacks to elect representatives of their choice where blacks vote'suffr' ciently as a bloc aE to be able to elect their prefered candi- dates in ablack maiority, single-memberdistrict urd where a white majority votes sufrciently as a bloc usually to del'eat the candidates chosen by blacks. . It is the diffrmce be- twe€n the choices made by blacks and whites-not the rea' sons for that differenc*-that results in blacks having less opportunity than whites to elect their prefered represent- atives. Consequently, we eonclude that under the "results test" of $ 2, only the correlation between lzce of voter and se- lection of certain candidates, not the causies of the correla- cfirn, matters. The irelevance to a $ 2 inquiry of the reasions why black urd white voters vote differently suppofts, by itself, our rejection of appellants' theory of racially polarized voting. However, their theory contains other equally serious flaws E3-I96E-OPINION THORNBURG u GINGLES 3r' that merit further attention As we demonstrate below, the .aation of inelevant variables distort the equation and yi.fa. i.roft that are indisputably incorrect under $ 2 and the Senate RePo*. & Roce of Votst os Prirnl,rl Detqmbuntt of Voter Behwi'or Appellants and the united states contend that the legal *n*.pt of ,tzcially polarized voting" refers not to voting patterrs that are nieiely conc14ttd 4lh tlu aotcr'E rzce, but io voting patterrui that are d^tam1*d prirnorily W the itn', rico, rather Lhan by the Yoter's other socioeconomic draracteristics. The flrst problem with this argument is that it ignorer the hct that mimbers or'geographically insular racid and ethnic g*op. ftequently share iocioeconomic characteristics, such L i*or" ievel, employment stahrs' amount of education, housing and ot}er lirini conditions-, religion, language, and so fort[. See, a. g., Butler 902 (Minority group 'rnembers' sbar.ed conceme, including political oneS, arE . . . a function of group status, and as such are largely involrurtary-' ' '. ' As a gro"p utacks are conceraed, for example, with.police bnrtal-, f,y, suUstandard housing, unemployment, etc-, because-these proUt.t* fall disproportionately upon the Eo!q':); S' Vefta 6. U. Nie, Participation in Americra l5l-152 (1y12) (hereinaf- ter Verba & Niei (,,socioeconomic status . . . is closely re- lated to race. Blacks in American society are likely to be in lower-status jobs than whites, |o have less education, and !o have lower incomes.") Where such charzcteristics are shared, race or ethnic group not only denotes color or place of origin, it also functions as a shorthand notation for common ro"I^l and economic characteristics. Appellants' defuiition of racially polarized voting is even more pernicious where shared characteristics are causally related to race or ethnic' ity. the opportunity to achieve high employment status and ineome, for example, is often influenced by the presence or absence of racial or ethnic discrirnination. A definition of ra- E3-1968--0PINtON 3e TIIORNBURG u GINGLES. eially polarized voting which holds that black bloc voting doe+ not exisi when black voters' choice of certain candidates is ruost strongly infruenced by the fact that the voters have low incomes and menid jobs -when the rcason most of those voten have menial jobs and low incomes is ataibutable to past or present racial discrimination-nrns counter to the Senate Report's instruction to conduct a searching and prac' tical evaluation of past urd present rcaliff, S. Rep. 30, and interferes with the purpose of the Voting Bights Act to elimi- nate tbE negative effects of past discrimination on the elec' toral opportuniti$ of minorities. 1d,., zl5, 40. Furthermott, under appellants' theory of rzcially polarized voting, eyen uncontrovertible evidencs that, sandidateg strongly preferred by black voten are olwotls defeated by a bloc voting white majority would be dismissed for failure to prove racid polarization whenever tha black ard white popu' lations could b€ described in terms of other socioeconomic characteristics. To illusAzte, assutne a racially-mixed, urtan multimember districtin whidr blacks andwhites potts€ss the samesocioeco- nomic characteristics that the record in this case attributes to blacksand whites in Halifax County, a part of Senate District 2- Ttre uurud mean income for blacks in this district is $10,466, and 41.8?o of the black community lives in poverty. More rhan half-El.ltut black adults over the age of 25 have only ur eighth grade education or less. Just over half of black citizens reside in their own homes; 48.97o live in rental units. And, almost a third of all black households are' without a car. [n contrast, only l2.6Vo of the whites in the district live below the poverty line. Whites enjoy a mean in- come of S19,042. White residents are better educated than blacks--only ?5.67o of wNtes over the age of 25 have ordy an eighth grade education or less. Furthermore, only 26.2?o of whites [ve in rental units, and only 10.27o live in households with no vehicle available.. 1 App., Ex-dA. As is the case in 83-I96E.OPINION THOBNBURG u GINGLES 33 Senate District 2, blac}s in this hypothetical urban district hsve never been able to elect a rePresentative of their choice. According to appellants theory of racially polarized voting, proof that black and white voters in this hypothetical district iegularly choose different candidaces and that the blacks'' prefened candidates regularly lose could be rejected as not probative of racid bloc voting. fire basis for the rejection would be that blacks chose a certain candidate, not princi- pally because of their race, but principdly b**9 this candi- aarc Uest represented the interests of residents who, because of their low incomes, are Particularly interested in govern- ment subsidized health and welfare seryices; who are gener' ally poorly educated, and thtrs share aa interest in job tt?in- ing prograu; who are, to a greater extent than the white cominuniry, concerned wittr rent control issues; and who' f;rvor major public transportation expenditures. Similarly, whites would be found fo have voted for a different candi- date, not principdly because of their rzce, but primarily because that candidate best represented the interests of residents who, due to their education urd income levels, and !o their property and vehicle ownership, favor gentriflcation, low residential property taxes, and e.xtensive expenditures for street urd highway improvements. Congress could not have intended lhat courts employ this definition of racial bloc voting. First, this defuiition leads to results that are inconsistent with lhe effects test adopted by Congress when it amended $ 2 and with the Senate Report's admonition that courts take a "functiongl" Yie,,Y of the politi' cal process, S. Rep. 30, n. 119, and conduct a searching and practical evaluation of reality. 1d,., ac 30, A test for racially polarized voting that denies the fact that race and socioeco- nomic characteristics are often closely correlated permits nei' ther a practical evaluation of reality nor a functional analysis of vote diluuion. furd, contrary to Congress' intent in adopt' ing the ?esults test," appellants' proposed definition could result in the inability of minority voten to establish a critical o 88-1968--OPINION 34' TIIORNBURG a GINCLES element of a vote dilution claim, even though both ra'ces engage in."rnonolithiC' bloc voting, id-t tt&3, and generations ofEdct voters have been rurable to elect a rcpresentative of their choicE Second, appellantsf lnterpretation of tacidly Pol.arized votint'' creaiis ur irreconcilable tension between their pro' posed-treatment of socioeconomic characteristics in the bloc voting context and the'Senate Repor"u's statement that "the extenl to which members of the minority group . . . bear the effects of discrimination in such areas as education, employ' ment and health" may be relevant to a $ 2 claim. Id-, tt D- W'e can furd no support in either logic or the le{islative his- tory for ths uroroalous conclusiort to *hi.lt appell-utts] nosi' tiori leads,-that Congress intended, on the one hand, that p-of that a minoriti gtluP is predgminately poor, ruredu' bted, and rgr5ealthy should be considered a factor tending to prlove a $2 violation; but that Congress intended' on tbe other hand, thae proof that the same socioeconomic charac' teristica gfeatly influence black voterC choice of candidates should desroy these voters' ability to establish one of the most importent elements of a vote dilution claim- { Roce of Candifute os Prhnory Detertrainont of Voter Behodor Nortb Carolinas and the United State's suggestion that racially polarized voting means that voters select or reject candidates principollg on the'basis of the candidafa's ,zce is dso misplaced. First, both the language of $ 2and a functional understand- ing of the phenomenon of vote dilution mandate the conclu' sion that the race of the candidate Pqt se is irelevant to racial bloc voting analysis. Section 2&) states that a violation is established if it can be shown that members of a protected minority group "have less opportrurity than other members of the electorate co . . . elect represeniatives o/ their clwice." t3.I96E{PINTON TIIOBNBUBG u GINGLES 36 (Emphasis added). Because both minority utd majority vot' ers often select members of their own race as their prefered representatives, it will frequently be the case that a black candidate is the choice of blacks, while a white candidate is the ehoice of whites. Cf. Letter to the Editor from Chandler Davidson, 1? New Perspeetives 3tl (Fdl 1985). Indeed, the facts of this case illustrate thac tendency-blacks preferred black candidates, whites prefered white candidates- Thus, as a matter of convenience, we and the District Court may rcfer to the prefered representative of black voters as the 'black candidate" and to the prefened representative of white voten as the'\rhite candidate." Nonetleless, the fact tiat raca of voter and mce of candidate is often corelated is uot directly p€ftinent to a $2 hquiry. Under $2, it is the stotus of the candidate as the chosen represmtotiae of e porticulor ru,cio,l grot'p, not the race of the candidate, ihat is. impoftanr. A.o rurderstanding of how vote dilution through submer' gence in a white majority works leads to the sahe conclusiott The essence of a submergence claim is that minority group members prefer certain candidates whom they could elect were it not for the interaction of the chdlenged electoral law or stnrctur€ with a white majority that votes as a significant bloc for different candidates. Ttruq, iur we explained in Part lll, tuyrv., the e-tistence of racial bloc voting is relevant to a vote dilution claim in two ways. BIoc voting by blaeks tends to prove that the black community is potitically cohesive, thai is, it shows that blacks prefer cenain candidates whom they could elect in a single-member, black majority district. Bloc voting by a white majority tends to prove that blacks wiil generally be unable to elect representatives of their.choice. Clearly, only the race of the voter, not the race of the candi- date, is relevant [o vote dilution analysis. See, a. 9., Blacksher & Menefee 59-60; Grofrnan, Should Represent' atives be Typical? 98; Note, Geometry and Geography 2trI. . E-I968JPlNION 36 THORNBURG u GINGLES Second, appeltsnts' suggmtion that racially polarized vot' ing refers to voting patterns where whitea vote for white candidatei because they prefer members of their own race or are hostila to'blacl€, as opposed to voting patterns wherp whites vote for white candidates because the white candi- dates spent mone on their campaigns, utilized more media c0vemge; and thus enjoyed greater name recognition than the black candidates, faile for another, independent reason. This argument, like the argument that the race of the voter mnst be the primary determinant of the vote/s ballot, is inconsistent with the purposes of $ 2'and would render mear' ingless the Senate Report factor that addresses the impact of low socio€conomic status on a minority group's level of potiti- cal participatiott- Clngreis intended thst the Voting Bights Act emdicate in- equdities in political.opportunities that exist due to tha vesti- gid effects of past purposeful discriminetion. S. Rep 5, 40; II. B- Rep. No. n-U|, p. 3I (1981). Both this Court and other federal courts,have recognized that politied participa- tion by minorities tends.to be dePressed where minority grcup members suffer effects of prior discrimination such as inferior education, poor employment opporhrnities, and low incomes. See, €. g., Whitc v. Regater, 4LZ U. S., at 768-769; Kirksey v. Boord.of Supentissfi of Hind,s Cumty, Miss.,564 F. 2d 139, 145-146 (CAi) (en banc), cert. denied, ,134 U. S. 968 (19f,7). See also Verba & Nie 152. The Sen- ate Report acknowledges this tendency and instnrcts that "the extent to wHch members of the minority group . . . bear ' the effects of discrimination in such areas as education, ern- ployment and hedth, which Nnder their ability to pafticipate effectively in the political process," S. Rep. 29 (footnote omitted), is a factor which may be probative of unequal opportrurity to participate in the political process and to elect reprrsentatives. Courts and comrnentatoE have recognized funher chat candidates generally must spend more money in order to win election in a multimember district than in a E3.I968JPINION THORNBURG u GINGLES n single-member district. See, a. g-, Gtottes v. Botws,343 F. Supp. 7C{., 7?.u721 (WD Tex. 1912), aff'd 1n partl ret'd in pa*'srrb twm. Whita v. Regcster, &tqro- -Bert7 & Dye 88; bavidson & Fraga, Nonpartisan Slating Groups in-an At' Largp Setting, in Minority Vote Dilution 122-123; Dertpr SAf, n. 126; Jirrell l3f; Ibrnig Black Representation on City Councils, 12 Urb. A-f" Q. m,80 (lyl6)- If, because of in- ferior education and poor employment opportrurities, blacks earn less than whites, they will not be able to provide the candidates of their choice with Che same level of financial sup port that whites cur provide theirs. 'fitus, electoral losses, 6y candidates preferred by the blffk commrurity may well be attributable in part to the fact thet their white oPponents outspent them. - But, the fact is that, in this instance, the econlmic effects of prior discrirnination have combined with the multimember electoral stnrcture to afrord blacks less opportunity than whites lo participate in tJre po[qd prycess aira to elect representatives of their choice- It would be both anomalous and lncoruistent with eongressional intent to hold that, on the one hand, the effects of past discrimination which hinder blacks' atility to participace in the political process tend to prove a $2 violation, while holding on the other hand thst, where these same effects of past discrirnina' tion deter whites ftorn voting for blacks, blacks cannot make out a cnrcial elemeni of a vote dilution elaim- Accord, ,Esmmhio County, ?48 F. Zd, at 1043 ("'the failure of the L.l;cll:-i l,; sr,li,:!t iv!:it,: vuic:: n'iiry l:e tlu:;rl by 1!.4.:1j.-'Jl;: '-rf p.;,-st tl!:,':'.rt.it:;;ii,i1'") (riu.:r'uir:g l-l *i,;.'.i illriir:s v. -rlt: ji"r's t.'iu:tl1l lt.,rtl'rt'it,::;9 1,. 2rl .li.Z:1, i*lti trl.-!11 I3S-l)); Iin't!,.J ..:,'i:1,.S v. .r,!t:-,,i!5O CO,r ,rl':l L';.t:t't:i'tt., ';If l F. !11 li.:ti, i;A? (CA]1 i98.1), appeal disnrissed, cert. denie'1, {69 U. S- --(1984). 5 Rociol Animosity os Pimory Determ,inont of Voter Belwrior Finally, we reject Lhe suggestion that racially polarized 83-1968--0PtNION 3t THORNBUBG u- GINGLES voting rcfen only to white bloc voting which is caused by whitJvoter: roaal lwstility toward black candidates.! To accept this theory would ft't itrate the goals Congress sought !o achieve by repudiating the intent test of MoAile v. Boldtn, 446 U. S. 55 (1980), and would prevent minority voten who have clearly been denied an opportunity to elect represent' atives of their choice from establishing a eritical elernent of a vote dilution claim. In amending $2, Congress rejected the requiremeni an' noruteed by thi" Court in Boldcn, ctt?lu,. that- $2 plaintiffs must prove tbe discriminatory intent of state or loczl govern- ments in adopcing or maintaining the chdlenged electoral mechanism.s Appellants' suggestion that the discriminatory int€nt of idividusl white Yoten must be pnoven in order to make out a !2.claim must fail for the very Fea{xlns Congress r.ejected the intent test with r$Pect to governrnentd bodies- See Engrttom, I1te Reincarnation of the lntent Standard: Federalludges and At-Large Election Cases, 28 How. L- J. 495.(1985). Tlre Senate Report states that one r€ason the Senate Corn- mittee abendoned the intent test was that "tJre Comrnittee . . . heard penuasive testimony that the intent test is umec' essarily divisive because it involves charges of racism on the rlt b tnrs. rs wc heve recognized previously, thst racid lrostility may oftan fuel r.ci8l bhc votin& Uaibd Jcutlth Orgoairatiott v. Coray. {30 U. S. l{4, 166 (lgrl): Rogea v. Ld4c,458 U. S.. er 683. But. as we oxplein in this decision. lhe actuel motivagion of the voter hec no relevance to a vote dilution claim. This is noc to suggest thaa racid bloc voting is :-.ijrrr.'tr,,irl.i; 5;, 1:.,:ra ..\,taf lrrl:r.;lCr rr,frrt: tcS s,ifh ruCe, ,bYiOU...ly it is ':u[,. it .-i,r.:i,i 'l-r r€..i,...-',lttr..l, '.1;1,,1g1', ;: '.::e qoli:!,r'a]lriur ],as ,.b- :- ireri, t!.:.t "'il!',t :.|)c€lrce ,ii l'ac1el a;',itn;.. .r iru! oile .lelncrrl uf ra:ei: rr:;iri:.iit Y. " I l,r( e, (.-1.ir;t€tr-r- itr,l'li,,gr', 1:hy ?t)8.. "'ii,,,S, l.iiit. Fr[)r rt:'ni,:r:!,j.1 thc grij..::jdr:I l],xt ihe.r'urd-" "otl ir(C'.rtllrt rf r!r:,,, ' ci,:.'.i..,r.tl l:r S :l(a), ,.r'e:itrl i;i:y rt:qt;iit,i:lt:lt ',t' Pur;:.:ri'.;l discrinrinadon. 'tllt is parenrly [clear] that, Congress has used lhe rvords 'on accouo! of mce or color' in the .{ct lo meen \.vlth resPecl to' race or color, end noG !o coonole ury required purPos€ of racid discrimination." S. Rep. n-8, n 109. 83-1968--0PINION TITORNBURG U GINGLES 3} part of individual officials or eniire comrnunities.' S. Rep' 36. The Committee found the testimony of Dr. Arthur S' Flemming, Chairman of the United States Commission on Civil Rig[6 particularly persuasive. He testiffed: ''[Under an intent testl n]tigaton rcprcsenting ex' cluded minorities will have to explorc the motivations of individual council members, mayont' and other citizens' The question would be whether their decisions were motivited by invidious racial considerations- Such inquirier can only be divisive, threatening to destroy any existing racial progress in a comrnunity. It is the iatent test, not the results test, that would make it necessary to brand individuals as racist in order to obtain judicial rrlief.'' IDrd. (footnote omitted). fire grave threat to racial Progrms and harmony which CongrCs perceived from requiring proof that racism caused the idoption or maintenanc€ of a chdlenged electoral rnTht- nism is present co a much greater degree in the proposed rt quirement that plainr,iffs demonstrate thag raeial animosity dehrmined wNte voting patterns. Under the old intent tesq plaintiffs might succeed by proving only'thaf a lirnited numblr of elected officials were racist; under the new intent test plaintiffs would be required to prove ihat most of the whiti community is racist in order to obtain judieid relief- It is diffrcult to imagine a more racially divisive requirement. A second reason Congress rejected the old intenl test was that in most cases it plAced an 'tnordinacely difficult burden" on $ 2 plaintiffs. lbid. The new intenr, test would be ;:r-.r:t!!v, if t:ot nnore, l',1.'rrlpp.,r11ig'. In i,rdpr to flrrrve that a ,y.e'4ic Jutl.i;r-"tusj;"l l..i:.,. 'Ly-4.tertirit*d rr hite \ utr:r's' ballots, it would be necessary to demonstrate that other potentially relevanc cousol factors, such as socioeconomic characteristics and candidate e.xpenditures, do not corelate better than racial animosity with white voting behavior. As one commentator has explained: - a-l968--oPINION d0 THORNBURG u CTNGLES "Many of the[se] independent varigbles . . . would be all but impossible for a social scientist to operationalize as intend-level independent varisbles for use in a mulii' ple regression equation, whether on a stepwise basis or iot To conduct such an extensive statistical urdysis' as this- implies, moneover, can become prohibitively expensive. "Compared to this sort of effort, proving discrirnina' tory intenL in the adoption of ur at'large system is both simple and inexpensive." McCrzry,'Discriminatory In- tent: The Continuing Relevance ot '11s'pose" Evidence in Vote-Dilution Lawsuits, A How. L. J. 463, 492 0986). lte final and most dispositive nealxln the Senate Report repudiated the old intent test was that it "asls the wrong question.- S. Rep. 36. Amended $ 2 asks instead \hether minorities have equd access to the proces of eleeting their representatives." Ibid. Focusing on the discriminatory irltent of the votett, rather than the behavior of the voters, dso asks the wrong question- AII that raattetr tuder $ 2 and under a functional theory of vote dilution is voter be*ravior, not its explanatioru. More- oveti as we have explained in detail, cu'Ptu,, requiring proof that racial considerations actually coused voter behavior will result --conrrary to congressional intent-in situations where a black minority that functionally has been totally excluded ftom the politieal prccess will be unable to establish a $ 2 violation. fire Senate Report's remark concerning the old intent test thus is peninent to the new iest: Ttre requi.rement that a"court . . . make a separate. . . finding of intent, after accepting the proof of the factors involved in $e White [v. Regester, 4fZ U. S. 7551 analysis . . . lwould] seriously clou[dJ the prospects of eradicating the remaining instances of racial discrimination in Arnerican elections." Id., at tl. We therefore decline to adopt such a requirement. 63-196&4PlNlON THOBNBURG U GINGLES 6 ' SumtnarY In sum, we would hold thsc the legal concept of racially po- lerized voting as it reletes to elaims of vote dilution, rcfers only to the exigtence of a corelation between the rzce of vot' ersand the selection of certain candidates. Plaintiffs need not prove causation or intent in order to prove a yrimo faci"e case- of racial bloc voting and defendants may not rebut that case with evidence of caruation or intenC- ry THE LEGAL SIGNIFICANCE OF SOME BLACK CA}IDIDATES' SUCCESS A North Carolina and the United Statcs maintain that the District Court failed to accord the proper weight to the success of some black candidates in the chdlenged districts. Black residenle of these districts, they point out, achieved improved repnesentation in the 1982 General Assembly elec' tion-r They also note that blacks in House District 23 have enjoyed proportional representaiion consistently since 1973 and. that blacks in the other districts have occasiondly enjoyed nearly proportional representation.r This electoral 'Thr nhvant resulB of &e l@ Gcnent Asrmbly election lnt al follows. llouse Distric 21. in which blscks mdte up 21.8% of the popub' Lion, elected one black to the six.penon House delegation" llouse Distric! 23, in vhich blacks constitute 36.3% of the populasion, elected one bleck to the three-person House delegation. [n Hogse District 36, where blacks consGituce %.5% oi lhe population. one blnck was elected to the eight' member delegation. ln House Disrricr 39, where 5.1?o of the populrdon is blrcL, two blacks were elected to che five'member delegation. [n Sen' ate Discrict '13, where blacks constiture 2{.39o of the populetion, no black was elected to thc Senate in 1988. rTtre United States points our that. under a substantidly identical predecessor to the chdlenged plen, see n. 15, su'rllo., House District 2l enctea a bbck to its six-member delegation in 1980, llouse District 39 4l t3-I96E-OPINION 42 THORNBURG U GINGLiS I sucress demonstrates conclqsively, appellsnts and the United states artue, that blacks in those disgricts do noi have {less opportrrnity than otier members of the electorate to partici- piie in the potitical process end _t9 elect representatives. of U"U choice' 42LJ. S. C. $ 1fi3(b). Essentidly, appel' lants and rhe United States contend that if a racial minority gains proportional or nearly proportional representation-in a s-ingte-etection, thab fact alone precludes, as a matter of law, finding a $2 violation. SecEon 2 providee that "[t]he extent to which members of a protected class have been elected to office . . . ic one cir' cu'nrstance whictr rnsy b€ considercd-" 42 U. S- C. E lyI3O). Tlre Senate Committee Beport dso identjfies tJ1e extent to, which minority candidet€s,heve succeeded as a pertinent fac- tor. S. Rep. 29. However, the Senste Report expressly states that "the election of a few minority candi&tes does nob hecesssrily forectosa the possibility of dilution of the bleck vots;'' noting that if it did, "the possibility e-rists that ths majority citizens might evade t$ 2l by muripulaling the elec' tion of a,'safd minority candidate." Id-, ai 29, n. ll5' quot- ing Zimmer v. McKeithsn, 486 F. ?i lW?, 1307 (CA5ly73) (en banc), aff'd nl6 non. Eost Conoll Porish Sciool Bwd v. Mattholl,424 U. S. 636 (lyt6) Qer curiam)- fire Senate Committee decided, hstead, to 'tequire ur indePendent consideration of the record.'' S. Rep. 29, n. 115. The Sen- at€. Report also emphasizes that the question whether "the potitical processes are'equally open'depends upon a search- ing practical evaluation of the last and present reality.'" Id., at 30 (footnote omitted). Thus, the language of 12 and its legislative Nstory plainly demonstrate that proof that some minority candidateg have been elected does. nou fore' close a $2 claim. Moreover, in conducting its "independent consideration of the record" urd its "searching practical evaiuation of the'past elected a black to its flve-member delegadon in lyr{ and 19?6' and Senare District 2 had a black Senetor bctween 1915 ud 1980. E8-1968--0PINION THORNBUBG U GINGLES € and present reality,"'uhe District Court could appropriately taka account of the circumstances surrounding recent black electoral success in deciding its significance to appellees' claim. In particular, 8s the Senate Report makes clear, /d., tt D, ru ll5, the court eould properly notice the fact that black electoral success increased markedly in the 1982 elec' tion -an election Lhac occured after the instant lawsuit had been fited-and could properly consider to what extent "the pendency of this very litigation [mighc have] worked a one' tirne advantage for black candidates in the form of unusual organizd political suPport by white leaders concenned to foresall single-mernber disriering."' 590 F. SuPp., at 36?, * t7. Nothing in the statute or its legislative history prohibited the court hom viewing with some caution black candidates' suecess in the 1982 election, and ftom deciding on the basis of all the relevutt circumstances to accord greaLer weight to blaclcd relative lack of succe$i over the cour:se of several recent elections. Consequencly, we hold ghat the District Court did noC etr, iul a mitter of law, in refusing to treac the fact that some black candidstes have succeeded as dispositive ' of appellees' $2 cla,im. Where multirnember districting'gen:".' erally works to dilute the minority vote, it cannot be de- fended on the ground that it sporadically and serendipitously benefits minority voters. 'See also Zimnttr v. -llcKathen .lSS F. U lryl, 1307 (CA5 tg?:l) ("tWle csnnoG endone she view tha[ rhe suoce!]E of black candidetes at the polls necessarily forecloses the possibility of dilution of the blcclt'{ote. Such success might, on ocession, be atrributable to the work ofpoliticians. who, apprehending thac the iuppon of a black candidace would be potiti' cally e.rpedienr, eampaiga to insute his election. 0r such success might be artriburable to political suppon motivated by dilferenc considerations- narnely that election of a black candidare will thwart successful chdlenges to electoral schemes on dilurion grounds. In either situetion, a candidate could be elccted despite the rtlative political backwardness of black rccideocs in che electoral district). 88-1968-4PINION THORNBURG U. GINGLES B Ttre District Cotrrt did err, however, in ignoring the signiflcance of the fiLstained success black voten have ex' perienced in llouse District 23. In that district, the last six ilections have resulted in proportional represeniation for black residents. This persistent proportional representation is inconsistent with appellees' allegation that the ability of black voters in District 23 uo elect representatives of their choice is not equal to that, enjoyed by the white majority. In some situations, it may be possible for $ 2 plaintiffs to demonstrate that such sustained success does not aceurately reflect lhe minority group's ability to elect its preferred rcpresentatives,t but appellees have not done so het'e. Ap' pellbes presented evidence relating to black electoral sucee$l in the last three election; they failed utterly, though, to offer any explanation for the success of bladt candidates in the previous three elections. Consequently, we believe that the District Court elred, as a matter of law, in ignoring the sustained succe$l black voters have enjoyed in House Dis- trict 23, urd would rever:ie with respect to that Disuict. v ULTIIYhTE DETERMINATION OF VOTE DILUTION Finally, appellants and the United States dispute tbe District Court's u,ltimate conclusion that the multimember districting scheme at issue in this case deprived black voter:t of an equal opportunity to panicipate in uhe politieal process and to elect represencatives of their choice.*o As an initial matter, both Nonh Carolina and the United Sgates contend rhat the Disrict Cout't's ultirnate conclusion thac the chailenged multimember districcs operate ro dilure r We have no occasion in this case to decide what types of speeial circum- stances coqld sadsfacrorily demonsrate that sr,stained success does not ac' cr.rately rellect che minorit/s ability to elect iB prefened represenutives. 83-r968JPlNION THORNBURG u GINGLES {5 black citizeru' votes is a mixed question of law and fact subject lo fu nouo review on appeal. In support of their proposed standerd of review, they rely primarily on Bose Coryoratlon v. Cqn&tmen Udott of U. S., fac., 466 U. S. 4tl5 (1984), a case in wNch we reconflrmed that, as a ma[ter of constitutional law, there must be independent appellate review of evidence of "actual malice" in defarnation cases- Appeltants and rhe United States ar5re that because a find' ing of vote dilution under amended $ 2 requiree the applica- 6on of e rule of law to a particular sei of facts it corstitutes a legal, rather than factual, determination. Reply Brief for Appellants ?; Brief for United States as Amicus Curiae 18-19. Neither appellurts nor the United States cite our several pr"ecedents in which we have treated the ultimate ffnding of vote dilution as a question of fact subject to the elearly-enoneous standard of Rule 62(t). See, a. 9., Rqen v- Lod4e,458 U. S., at 62,-6tl; City of Rone v. United Stoles, 445 U. S. 156, I8il (1980); White v. Regester, 4L2 U" S., at ?66-fl0. Cf. Andet,t,un v. Besssttler City, 170 u" s. -, - 0985). lt Reger,lrl', su'rzlo, we noted that the District Court had bas€d its condusion that minority voterg in two multimember distrlets in Texas h::,1 less ')pf)ofi:ltrity io participate in the ;.,.litlr:r I puo,'css th;,rl l-,;iiij,irii.y voters on the totality of the , .:', :,ii,>t1,,,. rlt-i iU'.,1 r t;IC,l tl::it ''-,'.',.. i,!'G :rot in,'!itr,.,l (,' ov'crt';rlr thftt: firulitrgs, fgpfe' :ctrting is il:u;' elr.r a ule::d ol' hi-stolY and an intensely local appraisal oi the design and impact of the . . . multirnember district in thg light of past and Presenl reality, politicd and otherrrise." Id., at 769-770. Quoting this passage ftom Regestr with approval, we expressly held in Rogen v. Lodge, sttpro, thar the question whether an at-large election system rvas maintained for dis- criminatory purposes and subsidiary issues, which include whether that system had the effect of diluting the minority vote, were quescions of fact, reviewable under Rule 52(a)'s !- &t-1968-0PINION 46 THORNBURG u. GINGLES clearly-eroneous standard. 458 U. S., at 6?2.-6?f,,- Simi' larly, in City of Rone v. lJnited Stotes, we declared that the question whetfier certain electoral structures had a "diserimi' natory effect," in the sense of diluting the minority vote, was a question of facr subject to clearly-erroneous review. 46 U. S., at 188. We reaffirm our vierv lhat rhe clearly'enoneous test of Rule 52(a) is che appropriate standard for appellate review of a finding of vote &[urion. As both amended $ 2 and its legis- lative history make clear, in evduating a statutory elaim of vote dilution through distrieting, the crial court is to consider the "totality of the circumstances" and to determine, based "upon a searching practicd evaluation of the 'past and prcsent r€elity,"' s. Rep. 30 (footnote omicted), whether the political pnoc€s is equally open to minority votetl. "'This determination is peculiarly dependent upon the facts of each case,l" Rogr"t,, ntyru, at 621, quoting Nevetl v. Sides, 571 F'. 2d 209, U4 (CAS l9?8), and require3 "an intensely local ap praisd of the design and impact" of the contested electoral mechanisms. 458 U. S., at 622. The fact that amended $2. and its legislative history provide legal standards which a eourt must apply to the facts in orrler to Cetennir,e whcther' :iZ l:ur L'qstt iic,liiteJ d.,ss nut aitcr'the:i.r:,'-lar'd ';[ rcvietv. As we explained in Bose, Rule 52(a) "does not inhibif an ap- pellate court's power to correct erron of law, including those that may infect a so-called mixed finding of law and fact, or a furdingof fact that is predieated on a misunderstanding of the governing nrle of law." 466 U. S., at 501, citing Pulhnon' Standard v. Surint,456 U. S. 273, 287 (1982): Inwood, Lab- oratories, Inc. v. Iaes Labotzlories, |nc.,456 U. S. 844, 855, n. l5 (1982). Thus, the application of the clearly-erroneous standard co ultimate tindings of vote dilution preseryes the benefit of che trial court's particular familiarity with the indigenous political reality without endangering the nrle of law. 83-r968-0PINION THORNBURG U GINGLES B The District Court in this case carefully considered the totality of the circumstances and found that in each district racially polarized voting; the legacy of official diserimination in voting matten, education, housing, employment, and health ser.rices; and the persistence of campaign appeals to racial prejudice acted in concert with the multimember dis- tricting scheme !o impair the ability of geographically insular and politically cohesive groups of black voters to participate equally in ihe political process and to elect candidates of their choice. It found that the success a few black candidates have enjoyed in these districts is loo receni, too limited' and, wit} regard to the 1982 elections, perhaps too aberrational, to disprove its conclrsion. Excepting House District 23, with iespect to which the District Court'committed legal error, see szpro, 3[ -, we affirnr the District Court's judg- ment. We cannot say that the District Court, composed of local judges who are well-acquainted with the politicd reali' cies of the State, clearly erred in concluding that use of a muitimember electoral structure has caused black voters in the districts other lhan House District ?"i to have less oppor' tunity than white voters to eleet r€presentatives of their choice. Ttre judgmenc of the District Court is Alfirmed in port, rwersed in Port. {t 8i}-I96&-APPENDIX THORNBUBG U GINGLES APPENDIX A 41 &r z3 78 32 83 2L ?6 31 8r 39 82 Senate District 22 ' Primwa Gmsrol White Block White Block Percentag* of Voies Cast by Black and White Voters for Black Curdidates in the Five Contested Districts 1fl18 (Alexander) 1980 (Alexander) 1982 (Polk) lYlE (Blue) 1980 (Blue) ,rtr,tto"] - 1978 Senate Barns (Repub.) 1978 Hw,se Clement Spaulding 198O House $paulding 1982 House Clement Spaulding 41 *t nlz nla. 38 94 Housc District 21 Primory Gensra,l White Block Vlhite Blo* nh nla. 4d90 45 91 1' Hau,se District 23 Primory Generol White Black Vlhite 8lo*h rtla nla. 89 92 nla 10 r6- nla, rrlt nla 37 89 nla nla lil 89 26 32 3? 90 L1 9049 1980 (Maxwell) 1982 (Beny) 1982 (Riehardson) tg-I968-APPENDTX THORNBURG U GINGLES House District 36 Prhnory Wlaiic Bluh 2, 7l 50 ?9 39 7L Hottso Db/;rict 39 Primanl Wbite Bbck {9 G'enqrol White Bbck ?892 42 gz ?s 88 Gqnqol Whita Bluk 19?E House Kennedy, II. Normen Ross Sumter (Repub) 1980 Housc Kennedy, A i Norman 1980 Sawb Small 1982 Howe Hauser' Kennedy, A. rtla, 42 46 40 86 18 36 L2 61 ?s 80 36 g7 a, 93 nb nlt nh rrla, &! ?5, ?a 76 8n L7 53 nla, nl." rua gl 94 38 96 nla, nla. e90 F. Supp., at 369-3?1. 4.. 60 t3-I96E-APPENDIX THORNBURG U GINGLES APPENDIX B Bleck Cendidates Elected From ? Qriginally Contested Distticts hior to tg72 lylu 1yI4 1yI6 lvlS 1980 1982 0000000 0000011 0111111 0000001 0011002 0Q:00000 0011100 See Brief forAppellees, table printed between pages 8 and 9; App. 98-9a. District (No.Seats) Ilouse 8 (4) House 2f (6) House 23 (3) Ilouse 36 (8) Ilorrse 39 (5) Senete Ze) Sensts 2,6) SI,JPRE}TE COURT OF TIIE I]NITED STAT1OS No" 83-1968 tACY H. THORNBURG, Ef AL, APPELLANTS U BAI.PH GINGI,ES E:r AL oNAPPEALFRo}rfirEUNITEDsIATEsDISIBICTcoUEf,l.oR TIIE E^STERN DI TBIqT OF NORTII CAAOLINA [Junc fl), 19861 Ju.sfl cg WttttE, concurting. I join Parts I, tI, III-A, III-8, IV-A and V of the Court's opinion urd egree with JusmcE BRENNrxls opinion-as to p"an tV-S. i aisagree with Part III-C of-lIusrfIcE''BREN- ''r- NA!{'s opinion. Jusn'ca Bnexxex states in Part III-C that the cnrcial factor in identifying polarized voting is the race of the voter and that the rzce ol the candidate is irrelevant. Under this test, there is polarized voting iJ the majority of white voters vote for different candidates than the majority of the blacks, regardless of the race of the candidates. I do not agree. Suppose an &member multimember district that is 607o wtriie and 10?o black, the blacks being geograp6cally located so that 2 safe black single.member disuicts could be drawn. Suppose fr.uther that there are 6 white and 2 black Demo- crati nrnning againsc 6 white and 2 black Repubticans. Under Justtcs BnexNex's test, there would be polarieed voting and a tikely ! 2 violation if all the Republicans, includ- ing thi 2 blacks, are elected, and 807o of the blacks in the pre- dominandy black areas vote Democratic. I tal1g it that there would also be a violacion in a single-member district that is 607o black, but enough of the blacks vote with the wNtes to etect a black candidate who is not the choice of the majority of black voters. This is interest-group politics rather than a nrle hedging against racial discrimination. I doubt that this A-ICCtqCONCUR g tBORNBUIGT 0INGLES b rbrt ConSHr hrd ir mind ia utcndtnS ! ! u-1.dd, rnd it rrrmr ouiti d oddt vith tbo dltculrion b Whitaon$ u Clouit,'{8 U.S Ul4, t49-l0 (1971). Furtlpranolt, on th. dtr of thit crts, thur b no trd to dnw thr votrdondldrte dbtincdoo" Ilra DlrUict Coun did not rnd rorched the corect rcrult orc'cPt, in rry vhr, with nrpcct to Dimict E. ST'PREME COURT OF TIIE T]NIIED STAIES No. E3.,196t LACY H. THORNBURG, ET AL,,APPELLANTS U. BALPH GINGLES EX AL ON AIPE^L FROU fIIE I.'NITED S,IATES DIS,TSICT COURT FOB lIIE EASirEBN DI TRICT OT'NORfII CAAOLINA 13o6i 30. t9t6l Ju$nce O'Coruon, with whom THs CgmrJusncs, Jus- TtcE PowEtr, and Jusnce Rgxxqunf join, concuring in the judgment- In this case, tfle are called upon to constnre $2 of the Vot' ' : ' ing Rights Act of 1966, as amendedJture 29, 1982.' Amended' ""1: gf is-intended to cod$ the *results" legt employed ih Whitctmb v. Cltovis, 403 U. S. 12{ (IyIl), and lVhite v' Regesta,4f2 U. S. ?55 (197:l), and to reject the tntent" lest proponnded in the plurality opinion in Mobile v. Bolden, 4/i6 U. 3. ;e (1980). S. Rep. No. fi-al?,9P. n-8 (1982) (here- inafter s. Rep.). whereas Bolden required members of a racial minoriiy who alleged impairment of their voting strengh to prove thac the challenged electoral system was creatJd or maintained with a discriminatory pgrpose and led to discriminatotT results, under the results Lest, "plainri'ffs may choose io establish discriminatory results without prov' ing any kind of discriminatory purpose." S. Rep. 28. At the same tirne, however, 12 unequivocally disclaims the creation of a right to proportiond representation. ltris disclairner was essential to lhe compromise that resulted in passage of the arnendment. See id.,.at 193-19{ (Additiond Views of Sen. Dole). ln constnring this compromise legislation, we must make every effort to be faichful to the bdance Congress stnrck. This is not iul easy task. We know that Congress intended t3-196S{0NcuR 2 ' THORNBURGu GINGLES to allow vote dilution clairns to be brought under $ 2, but we also know that Congress did not intend io create a right to fioportional represintation for minority vote6. Ttrere is an iotri".nt tension between what Congress wished to do and what it wished to avoid because ury theory of vote dilution must necessarily rety to some extent on a mealiure of rninor' ity voting strength tirac makes some reference to the propor- tion Uetd.en thi minority grouP urd the electorate at large. In addition, severd important aspects of the 'tesults" test had received little atteniion in this court's cases or in the de' .iSo* of the Corl:ts of -{ppeals employing that test on which Co"gt".. also relied. Sie ia-, at 32. 9p.o49]t, the legal ,""iing to be given to the concepts of 'tzcial bloc voting" and "trinority ioting strength" had been left largely un- addressed by the courts when $2 was amended' Ttre couri attempts to resolve all these difficulties today. FiEt, the Court suppties deffnitions of racial bloc voting urd minority voting saingth that will apparently be applicalle in all casel urd that wili dictate the stnrcture of vote dilution litigation. Second, the Court adopts a test, based on rhe levil of minority electoral success, for determining when an electoral scheme has sufficiently diminished minority voting strength to constitute vote dilution. Ttlird, although the Corrrt-does not acknowledge it expressly, the combination of the Court's defuiition of minority voting strength and its test for vote dilution results in the ereation of a right to a form of propoftional repfesenration in favor of all geo.graphicaily and lotitlcatty coheiive minority groups uhat are large enough to constitute majorities if concentrated within one or more sin' gle-member districts. In so doing, the Court disre' g"a"a the balance stntck by Congress in amending S 2 and [as failed to apply the results r,est as described by ttus Cor.ut rn Whitcomb and White. I In order to explain my disagreement w'ith the Court's in' terpretation of 0 2, it is useful to illustrate the impact that al- -.r. 'i- I . I rts-I96E--CONCUR THOBNBURG U GINGLES 3 tarnative districting plans or t1ryes of districts tlpicdly have on rhe likelihood thai a minority grouP will be able to elect candidates it prefen, urd then to set out the critical elements of a vote diluiion ctaim as they emerge in the Court's opinion. coruider a town of 1,000 votetl that is governed by a cout- qil of four representatlv$, in which 30% of the voters are black, and in which the black voters are concentratd in one section of the city urd tend to vote as a bloc. [t would be po.riUt. to drraw iour single-member districts, in one of which Lf""f,r would constituti an overr,rrhelming majority. The black vojgn] in this district would be assured of electing a represeotative of their choice, while any remaining black vot' .i in tbc ot1rer dis6icts would be submerged in largp white majoritice. This option would give the minority group roughly prcportiond representation. e]t"iniUiely, it would ,sually be possible to draw four single-member districts in tuo of wilch black voters qon- stitirtea much nerrower majorities of about 6Mo. fire black voters in rhese districts would often be able to elect ihe repnesentative of their choice in each of these two districts, Uui if even ZWo of the black voterg supported the candidate frvored by the white minority in those diitricts 'tbe ctndi.' dates preien ed by the majority of black voters might lose. Ttris option would, depending on the circumstances of a Par' ticular election, sometimes give the minority group more than proportional representation, but would increase the risk thar the grouP would not acNeve even roughly proportional representation. It would also usually be possible to draw four single-mem' ber districrs in each of rvhich black voters constitured a mi- nority. [n rhe e.rtreme case, black voters would conscitute 30?o of rhe vocers in each district. Unless approximately 307o of the white votem in this extreme case backed the mi' nority candidare, black Yoters in such a district would be unable ro elect the candidate of their choice in an election between only two candidates even if they unanimously sup ---;:1'-'.'.1- a-Ie68-cONCUR ,t THORNBUBG u GINGLES ported him. This option would make it dif6cult for black voters to elect candidetes of their choice even with significant white support, and dl but impossible without such support- Fina[r, it would be possible to elect all four rtpres€nt' atives in a singte at.large election in which eech voter eould vote for four candidates. Under this scheme, white votent could elect all the representatives even if black votet: turned out in large numbers and voted for one urd only one candi- date. To illrrstrate, if only four white candidates ran, and each received approximately equal suppon ftom white vot' ers, each would receive about ?00 votes, whercas black voc' ers could cast no mone than 300 votes for any one candidate. U, on the other hand, eight white candidates rzn, and white votes were distributed less evenly, so tfia! tfie five least fa- vorcd white candidates received fewer than 300 votes while three others received 400 or more, it would be feasible for blacks to elect one rePresentative with 300 votes even with- out substantid white supPorG. If even %?o of the white vot- ers backed a particular minority candidate, and black votetl' voted only for that candidate, the candidate would receive a total of 4?5 votes, which would ensure victorT unless white voters. also concentrzted their votes on forrr of the eight .' -- rcmsining candidates, so that each received'the $pPort of'--. j.l :r'.:.r almost 70% of white voters. As these variations show, the at-large or multimernber district has ur inherent tendency to submerge lhe votes of the minority. Ttre minority group's prospects for electoral success under such a district heavily depend on a variety of factors such as voter turnout, horv many candidates run, how evenly rvhite support is spread, how much white suppoft is given to a candidate or candidates preferred by the minority grouP, and the e.\rent ro whieh mi- nority voten engage in "bullec voting" (which occuls when yoters refrain from casting all their vo(es lo avoid the risk thac by voting for their lower-ranked choices they may give those candidates enough votes to defeat their higher'ranked choices, see ante, at -, n. 5). t,-.\ * -1. -- a-1968{oNcuR THORNBUBGuGINGLES '0 Therc is no difierensB in principle between the verying efiecB of the elteraatives outlind rbove urd the varying efccts of alternative singledistrict plens end multimembor districts. The ryac of districting selccted and tho wey in shich disEict linei are-drawn cur have a powerlltl cfrect on the likelihood that members of a geographically utd politi. cally cohesive minority group wiu be able to elect candidates of their choice. Although 92 doel not speak in terms of \ote dilution," I agrte with the Court that proof of vote dilution can estsblish e-violation of !2 as amended" fire phrzse (vote dilution," in the legal seilie, simply refers to the impermissible discrimi' nrtory efisct that a multimember or other districting plan has when it operates *to cancel out or minimize the voting strength of raciat groups." Whitc,4fz U. S-, at ?65" See abo,iorrson v. Dorsctl, ylg U. S. 4.frt, 4il9 (1960. Ttrie defi' nition, however, conceals some very formidable diffculties. Is the \oting strength" of a racid grcup to be ass€3sed solely with reference to iB prospects for electoral success' or should courts look at other avenues of political influence open to tlre.' racial group? Insofar as minority voting streogth it,'15r,::: .,' sessed with reference to electoral success, how should undi- luted minority voting strenglh be measured? How much of ur impairmenc of minority voting strength is necessarT co prove a violation of I2? W}at constitutes racial blOc voting and how is it proved? What weight is to be given to evi' dence of actual electoral success by minority candidates in the face of evidence of racial bloc voting? ltre Coun resolves the first quesdon summarily: minoricy vocing strength is to be assessed solely in terms of the minor- ity group's ability to elect candidaces it prefers. Anle, at lution claim is that the State has created single-member or multimember districts that unacceptably impair the minority group's ability to elect rhe candidates its members prefer. t a-1968{0NcuR 6 . THOBNBURGU GTNGLES In order to evaluate a claim that a particular multimember district or singte-member district has tliluted the minority gtpup's Yoting-strength to a degree ihat violates 12, how' ir"r, it is aG necessary to co*truct a measure of 'rurdi- luted. minority voting strength. Ttlhe p;rase [vote dilu- tionl itself sugg.rts a n6rm with respect to which the fact of dilution may iiascettained." Musrssipl Rcpublicon Eru* uthte Committce v. Brooks, 469 U. S. 1002, 1012 (1984) (Rexxqurcr, J., dissenting ftom summar? affrmance)' hlt iirply,-in order to decide whether an electoral system has r.d" it harder for minority votet€ to elect the candidates they prefer, a court must have an idea in mind of how hard it "sh;uld" be for minority voter: to elect their preferred candi- detes under an accePtable sYstem. Several possible measures of trndiluted" minority voting strength suggest Lhemselves. First, a court could simply ,rs" pilportionatity as its guide: if the minority grouP consti' . hrted IMo of the voters in a given area, the court would re- gard rhe minority group as having the potentid to elect 307o 6f tl" representatives in lhat area- Second, a coufi could posit some alternative districting plan as a 'norztal" or'feir" electorat scheme utd attempt to ealculate how roariy cirndi': '.; l. detes prefened by the minority group wodld Probsbty be' ' '!' elected ruder that scheme. There are, as we have geen, a variety of ways in which even single-member dis6icts could be drawn, and each will present the minority group with its own iuray of electoral risks and benefits; the court. might, therefore, consider a range of acceptable plans in attempting to estimate '\rndiluted" minority voting strength by this method. Third, the court could attempt to arrive at a plan that would ma-ximize feasible minority electoral Success, and use this degree of predicted success as its measure of "undi- luted" minority voting strenglh. If a court were to employ this third alternative, it would often face hard choices about what would hrly "maximize" minority electoral success. An example is the scenario described above, in which a minority 'r t8-196t-coNcuR THORNBURGU GINGLES 1 group could be concent6ted in one cornpletely.safe district or O"iah .mong two districts in each of which its members would constitute a somewhat precarious majority The Court today has adopied e variant of the third ap prcach, to wit, undiluted minority voting strcnqh meam the maximum feasible min6riry voting strenglh. In explaining the elements of a vote dilution claim, the Court first states thet'the minority gtlup mrrst be able to demonstrate that it is sufrciently large-and geographically cornpect to constitute a mejority in a single-mimber district." Antc, at -' If not, ipparently the minority group has no cognizable clam ttrai its ability to elect the representatives of its choice has b..!r impair€4.' Second, "the minority group must be able to show thet it is politieally cohesivc, that is, thac a signif,' cant proponion of the minority group sgPports the same can' didai.es.; Anto, at -. Third, the Court requires the mi. 11"s- I 'I rxprcu no virw ar to whcthcr the ability of e minority ltlup to cor rtiSut i mejority ia a dngle.membrr dirtrict should conrtirutc e thrcshold rrquirrncnt for e ctcim rhet rtrc usc of multimernber districrs imPslrs th. ebility of arinority vot ns to pirticiprta in th. Politicd Pry91t end o clect rrpmrcntraives of rheir choicr. Bcceura the pleintifi! in thi car would ro6t thet rcquircrncnt. if indced it aritts, I nerd nor decide whcthlr .' i! is impos€d by t 2. I nota. howevcr, thc rrtiicidity of thc courr's dis" finctioo bctwecn clairns thl e minoriry grouP'S "ebiliry to Glecl the repn' rntraives of [i(sl choice- has bcen imprired and cleirac thas 'its ability to htftlrlrr rhctionr'her been inpir€d. Ant.,.L -. n- 12. [r is truc thes e minority grtup th$ could coostitucc r majority in e single'member discrict ordinerily has the potential ability to elecc represencatives withouc white suppon. end thar r minority thes could not consritute such e majority ordinarili does nou But the Coun recognizes that when the candidates prcfered by r minority group are elected in r multimembcr district' the minoricy group hes elcctcd those eandideter, even if white supPon was in. dispenseble to thesc victories. 0n the sane reasoning. rf a rnlr,ority grouP tha! is noC lerge enough to constitule a voting majority rn a smgle.member disrrict can sho* thrt whitt supPort would probably be forthcoming in some such district to ln e.\(en! that would enable the elecrion of the czndi' detes its member: prefer. that rnioority group worrld lPpea, ro have dem' onsuared that. et leest under this measurc of itS votrng strength. it would be eble to elect some candidates of its choice. t. F':...trr'" a-ls6rcoNcuR E THORNBURG B GINGLES nority group bo "demonstrate that the white majority votes sulffcieitly as I bloc to enable it-in the absence of special circumstances . . . -rrsudly to defeat the minorit/s pre' ferred candidate." IW. If these three requirements ere !net, ,.tJle minority group demonstrates that submergence in a *hit. multimembir diltrict impedes its ability to elect its chosen representatives." Ibid. That is to say, the minority group has proved vote dilution in violation of ! 2'' th. cou:rt,s definition of the elements of a vote dilution claim is simple and invariabler a coult should calculate minor' ity voting sirengtJr by assuming that the minority group is concentrited in e singl*member district in which it consti' tut€ a voting majority. Where the minority group is not large enough, geograpirically concentl?ted enough, or politi' callv cohesive inough for this to be possible, the minority group's clairn fails. -Where the minority grouP meets.these r.qui"erents, the representatives that it could elect in the hyiothetical disuict or disEicts in which it constitutes a majority will serve as the measure of its undiluted voting strlngh. Whatever plan the Slate actudly adopts must be assesJed in terms of t}e efrect it has on this rrldiluted voting str€ngth. Lf this is indeed the single, universal standard for evaluating undiluted minority voting strength for vote dilu- tion purposes, the standard is applicable whether what is challenged is a multimember district or a pardcular single; member districting scheme. The Court,s Statement of the elements of a vote dilution clnim also supplies an answer to anocher question posed above: how nruch of an impairment of undilured minority vot- ing strength is necessary to prove voce dilucion. '[he Coult requires the minority group that satisfies the rhreshold re- quirements of size and cohesiveness to prove that it will y,a.r,lly be unable to elect as many rePresentatives of its choice under the challenged districting scheme as its un- diluted voting strength would permit. This requirement, then, constitutes the true test of vote dilution. Again, no +i. f-:_" I : a t3-1968--CONCUR THORNBUBG U GINGLES 9 fieson apPesn why tNs test would not b applicable -to r vote dilution clrim challenging single-member as well as raultimember districts. This measure of vote ditution, taken in conjunetion with the Court,s standerd fo5 measuring undiluted minority voting strength, creeles whaiamounts to a right to ttanl, rw4hly proportional repr$entation on the part of sizeeble, eompact, cohirive minoiity grouPs. If, urder a particular multi' member or single-member district plan, qualified minority groups rrsually cannot elect the rreprelentatives they would be liicely to elect under the most favorable single-member districting phn, then E2 is violated Unless minority suosott uidar the challenged electoral system regularly ap' pruximates this rough version of proportiond representation, ih"t .yrt", dilutes minority voting strenglh and violates $ 2. To ippreeiate the implications of this apProach, it is trseful to return to the illustration of a town with four council repre' sentatives given above. Under the Court's approach, if the black votert who comprise 307o of the town's voting popula' tion do not gsually succeed in eleeting one representative of tbeir ehoice, thcn regardless of rhether the to\m crhployr a3- large elections or is divided into four singlembm-ber districts, itsilectoral system violates ! 2- Moreover, if the town haC a black voting population of 409o, on the Coutt'S reasoning lhe black minority, so long as it was geogrzphicdly and Potiti' cally cohesive, would be entitled usually to elect two of the four representatives, Since it would normally be possible lo cneate lwo districts in which black voters constituted safe majorities of approximatelY 80?c. To be sure, the Court also requires that plaintiffs Prove that racial bloc voting by the white majority interacts with the challenged districting plan so as usually to defeat the mi- norit/s preferred candidate. In fact, however, this require' ment adds little that is not already containd in the Court's requirements that the minority grouP be politically cohesive and that its preferred candidaces usually lose. As the Court l' i ? 83-196&-40NCUB lo THORNBURG u GINGLES acknowledges, rrnder its approach, "in general, a white bloc vote tbat normally will defeat the combined'strengtn oI mr- oo..ity irpport pl'i. white ,crossover,votes rises to the level ;ii;g"ut .lgnificant white bloc voting." Ante, at-" But thitt to alnn legally significant bloc voting by !he. racid majority in terms df tt e eitent of the racial minorit/s elec- torat success. If the minority can Provo that it could consti- tute a majority in a single-member district, that it supported ..rt"in..naidat.. and lhac those candidates have not usually be"n ele.ted, tJren a ffnding that there is "legally significant white bloc voting- will necessarily follow. otherwise; by deflnition, thoselandidates would tuudly heve won rather than tost. E sfrapea by the Court today, then, tlre basic coatours of a vote diluiion ciaim require no ieference to most of the "Zim' mer factors,, that were developed by the Fifth circuit to i.pf"r.nt lrhitds results test urd which were highlighted in the Senate Repon. S. Rep. 8-29; see Zimmer v' iffiau*u 485 f'. za 129? (Ig?3), tfr'd ntb tom' Eost CoioU Porish Sclrool Bootd' v- Marslwll, 424 U' S' 636 oglol(ptcrcuriorn).UaminorityEPupispoliticallyand geographically cohesive urd large enoirgh to gorutitute a vot' irgir+rity in one or more single-member districts, then un- less white voters usually suPPort the minority's prefemed candidates in suiflcient nurnbers to enable the minority group to elect as many of those candidates as it could elect in such hypothetical districts, it will mutinely follow lhat a vote dilu- tion claim can be made out, and che multimember district will be invalidated. there is simply no need for plaintiffs [o es- tablish 'the history of voting-related discrimination in rhe State or political subdivision," anle, at -, or "the e'xtent' lo which the Stare or political subdivision has used voting prac' tices or procedures thar rend to erirance the opportunity tor discriminadon against the minority group," ibid', or "the ex' cftxion of members of the minority grouP from candidate slat' ing processes," ibid., or "the e.\tent to which minority grouP I 13-I96FCONCUR THORNBUBG u GINGLES ll memb€nr bear the effects of past discrimination in areas such rc education, employment, and health," ibid', or.'th9- l:" of overt or subtle niiat appeals in political carnpaigni,";Did', or that.elected ofrcials .re *tesponsive to the paticularized needs of the members of the minority grouP.' Ante, $-' Of cour:e, these otherfacton may be supportive.of such a claim, because they may strengthen a court's eonfidence thag minority voreF wiit Ue unable io overrcome the relative disad' ,.rrag. at which they are placed by a partiorlar districting plan, ir suggest a mone geniral lack of opportuniJy to partici- patain ttre-fotiticat p"ociss. But the fact remairu that elec' 'Uo..l ru...rs trs now emerBed, rurder the Court's standard, as the linchpin of vote dilution claims, and that the elements of a votc dilution claim create an entitlement to roughly pro' portional representation within the frzmework of single- member districts. I1 In my view, the Court's test for measuring minority voting st .ngtt urd its test for vote dilution, operating in tandem' core-.lorer to an absolute requirernent of pro-portioSd repne- sentation than Congress intended'when it codiffed the results test iD 0 2. 'lt is not necessary or appropriate' to,decide io this case whether $2 requires a uliform measure of undiluted minority voting strengh in every Glse, nor have appellants challenied the-standard employed by the Distriet Court for rssessing undiluted minority voting strength- In thiJcase, the District Court seems to have taken an aP' prnoach quite similar to the Court's in making its prelirninary assessmlnc of undiluted minority voting strength: 'At the time of the creation of these multi'member dis' tricrs, rhere were concentrations of black citizens within the boundaries of each that were sufficient in numbers and conriguity to constitu(e effective voting majorities in srngle-member districrs lying wholly within the bound- ariis of the multi-member districts, which single-mem' ber districts would satisfy dl constitutional require- tg-1968--C0NCUR L2 THOBNBURG u GINGLES ments of population and geographic-al- co-nfguration.'' OWtu v.'Edm*ttn, 590 F. Srpp' 345, 358-359 (ED N. C. 1984). The Coqrt goes well beyond simply sustaining the District Corgt's deeiiion to employ this measure of undiluted minority voting strength .s a i.alonable one that is consistent with E 2. in ,y iie'r, we should refrain from deciding in this case whether ecourt must invariably posit as its measure of "un' diluted" minority voting strength singl+member districts in which minority grout members constitute L majority' There is substantial aouUt that Congress intended "undiluted minority voting strength" lo mean'tna-ximum feasible minor' ity ,otiig streigth." Even if that is the appropriate defini- tion in sime cir.umstances, there is no indication thai Con- gress intended to mandate a single, ruriversdly applicable iandard for measuring undiluted minority voting strength, regardless of loczl conditions and regardless of the e.xtent of past discrimination against minority votetB in a particular SUt..or politieal subdivision. Since appellants have noc raised the issue, I would assiume that what the District Courr did here' was permissible under 92, and'leave open the broader question whether $2 requites this approach'- what appellanu do conrest is the propriety'of the Districu court,s starraara for vote dilution. Appellants claim that the District Court held that "[a]lthough blacks had achieved con' siderable success in winning state legislative seats in the challenged districts, their failure to consistenlly attain the numbei of seats lhat numbcrs alone wutld presumptiuely giue them (i. e., in proportion to their presence in the popula- tion)," standing alone, constituted a violation of S 2' Briei for Appeltants 20 (emphasis in orignai). This holding, ap- pellants tr8lte, clearly r'ontravenes S 2's proviso that "nothing in this section estabiishes a right to have members of a pro' tected class elected in numbers equal to their proportion in the populalion." 42 U. S. C. I l9?3. ag;r#coNcuR TITORNBURG u GINGLES l3 I believe appeltantd characterizatioo of the District Court's holding is incorrect. In my view, the Dbtrict Court con' cluded thet there walt a severe diminution in the prosp€cts for black electoral success in each of the chdlenged districts, as compared to single-member districts in which blscks could constitute a majority, and thai this severe diminution was in large part attributable to the interaction of the multimember form of the disuict with persistent racial bloc voting on the part of the white majoritier in those districts. See 590 F. Sopp., at fi2-t The District Court attached great weight to this cireumstance as one part of its ultirnate fuiding that 'the creation of each of the multi'member districts clrdlenged in this rction rusultr in tbe black registered voters of that dis' trict being submerged as a voting minority in the district and thereby having less opportunity than do other members of the electorate to participate in the political Prccesll and to elect representativeg of their choice." Id., at, {14- But the District Coun's exteruive opinion clearly relies rs well on a variety of the other Zimmq factorg, as the Coutl's thortugh sumnarT of the District Coun's frndings indicates. See uttc, lt "t :: If the District Court had held that the chdlenged multi'' member districts violated 5 2 solely because blacks had not consistently attained seats in proportion to their presence in the poptrletion, its holding would clearly have been inconsisc' ent with $ 2's disclaimer of a righc to proportiond representa' tion. Surely Congress did not intend to say, on lhe one hand, that membert of a prccectd class have no right to pro' portiond representation, and on the other, that uty consist' ent failure to achieve proPonional representation, without rAt tirnas. the District Coun seems to have looked to sirnple ProPortton' rlity nrher than co hypothetical singt+rnember districts in which black voser: would constitute a malority. See. c. 9., 590 F. Supp'. aG 367. No' where in irs opinion. however, did thc District Coun state thac $ 2 requires thac minority 8loupr consistently ertain thc levcl of electorzl success lhat would conespond with their proportion of thc tolal or voting populatron. r3-is6S{ONCUR l. THORNBUBG u GINGLES more, violates $2. A requirement that minority rePresenta' tion rraually be proportional to the minority group's ProPor' tion in the bopulition is not quite the same as aright to strict proportionit r"p.e""r,tation, but it clmes so close to such e hgit as to be inconsistent with 9?s disclaimer and with the riott . test that is codified in $ 2. In the words of Senator Dole; the architect of the compromis€ that resulted in Pas- sage of the amendments to $ 2: {'he language of the subsection explicitly rejects, as did Vthitc ana irc progeny, the notion that members of a pro- tected elass hivel right to be elected in numbers equd to their proportion of the populadon- The extenc to which members of a protected class have been elected under the challenged practice or structure is jrrst one fac. tor, atrrong the totality of circumstanca to be consid' ered, and ls not dispositive-" S- Rep. 194 (Additional Views of Sen. Dole). 0n the same reasoning, I would reject the Court's test for vote dilution. Ttre Court measures undiluted minority vot' ing strength by reference to the possibility of creating single- ' mimber aist"icrs in which the rainciiity group ufould consti- tute a majority, rather than by looking to raw Proportionality alone. Ttre Court's srandard for vote dilution, when com- bined with its test for undiluted minority voting strength, makes actionable every deviation from usual, rcugh propor' tionality in representacion for any cohesive minority group zui to which this degree of proportionality is feasible within the framework of single-member disricts. Requiring that every minority group that could possibly constitute a major' ity in a single-member distrig be assigned to such a district would approach a requirement of proportional representation as nearly as is possible within the framework of single-mem' ber districts. Since the Court's analysis entitles every such minority group usually to elect as many representatives rurder a multimember district as it could elect under the most favorable single-member discrict scheme, it follows that the \d 63-196E;-coNcuR THORNBURG U GINGLES 15 Court is requiring a. form of proportional representation. ttir .ppr*,til is i;consisteni with the results test urd with I Zi airit"irer of a right to proportional representation.- fn .o""ting !Z; Coigress-codified the *results" test this Court had eripioyed, d an interpretation of the Fourteenth G.nar.nt, in Wttfe'and Whiicomb. The factors devel' ;ild by ttre irifttr Circuit and relied on by the Senate l.pot ifinpfy'nff in the contouB of the 'tesults" test as described in thoie-decisions, and do not purporl to redefine or alter the ottir"t. showing of discriminarorT efreet required--ly .Whit' comb and w[ite. In my view, therefore, it is to whitcmrb znd Vlhite that we shouid look in the first instance in deter' nining how great, an irnpairment of minority voting_strength is req;ir.d t-o establish vote dilution in violation of $ 2' Tlri "results, test as reflected n Y{hitcornb and Whil* r* quires ur inquiry into the e-rtent of the minority group's opponunities to -participate in the political pnocesses" See Wiilr, $.?ro, at ?66. 'While electoral succesE is a eentral part of the vote dilutlon inqutry, W.hite held that to prove iote dilurion, "it is not enough that the racial s.ouP allegedly discriminated against has not had legislative sests in p-ropor' tion to its votlng potential'" 412 U. S., at ?65-766, and Whitcwnb flatly iejected the proposition that "uty Rroup with distinctive intirests must be represented in legislative halls if it is numerous enough to command at least one Seat, and represents a minority living in an area sufficiently com- pact to constitute a single member district"' {03 U' S" at iSO. To lhe contrary, the results test as described in White requires plaintiffs to establish "that the political processes leahing to nomination and election were nor equally oPen to participation by the group in question-that its members had i"r. opportunity than did other residents in the district to participate in rhe political Processes and to elect legislators ol' ih.ir .hoi..." 4I2 LI. S., ac ?66. By showing both "a his' tory of disproportionate results" and "strong indicia of lack of potiticat pb'ri" and the denial of fair representation," the a-196&-CONCUR 16 THORNBURG u GINGLES plaintiffs in tt[hite met uhis standard, which, as emphasized just ttris Term, requires "a substantidly greater shotring of adverse efrects than a mere lack of proportional representa' tion to support a flnding of uneonstitutiond vote dilution"" Dons v. Eandemn, 7 U. S. -r -, - (1986) (plu. rdity opinion). When Congress amended $ 2 it intended to adopt this- "re' sults" test, while abandoning the additiond showing of dis' criminatory inteni required by Bold,en the vote dilution analysis adopted by the Cotrrt today clearly bears little resemblence 1o the "results" test that emerged in ltlhitcarnb and White. The Court's test for vote dilution, combined with its standerd for evaluating \oting potential," White, su'W, at ?66, means that any racid minority with distinctive interests must uE?rolly "be represented in legislative hdls if it is numerous enough to command at,least one seat and rep resents a minority living in an area suffciently compact to constitute" a voting majority in "a single member district-" Wltitcomb, d03 U. S., at 156. Nothing inVlhitcomb,White, or the language urd legislative history of $ 2 suppons the Court's creation of tNs right to usud, roughly proponiond.' representation on the part of every geographicdly compact, potiticatty cohesive minority grouP that is large enough to foim a majority in one or more single-member districts. I would adhere to the approach outlind in Whitcomb and White and followed, with some elabotzlion, n Zimrner and other cases in the Courts of Appeals prior to Boldau Under thar approach, a court should consider dl relevant factors bearing on whether lhe minority group has "less opportunity than ocher members of the electorate to participate in the po- [tical process and lo eleet representatives of their choice." 42 lJ. S. C. ! 19?3 (emphasis added). The cour:t should not focus solely on the minority group's ability to elect represent- atives of irs choice. Whatever measure of undiluted minor' ity voting strength the court employs in connection with eval' uating the presence or absence of minority electoral success, I t3-le6t{oNcuR THOBNBUBG u GTNGLES U it should rlgo b€8r in mind that "the power to influence the potiticat prccess is not limit€d to winning electiong" .Davis i. Aorrd;rrrsr, W, xl -. 0f course, the rclative lack of minority electoral success urder a chdleng{ ql"n,. when compared with lhe sucress that would bc predicted under the ,..r,r"" of rurdiluted fninority voting suength the court ie employing, can constitute powerfirl evidence of vote dilution. Uoreovei, the rninority group rnay in fact lgck access to or influence upon nepresantatives it did oot suPPofi as candi' a"tat. Ct. Owis'v. Baadan'cr, uuqrz,, at - (Poweu', J", conouring in pert and dissenting in p-*tl- Nonetheless, a rcviewinicourt should be required to flnd mote then simply tbrt ths irinority group does not rrsually attain ur undiluted measlue of clectoral success. The court must find that even *U.Ur,ti"f minority success will b€ highly infrequent under the challenged plan before it may conelude, on this basis done, that the plan operates *to cancel out or minimize the voting strength of lthel rzcial grodp]." White, {12 U' S., st 765. rq Only a pluzlity of the Court joins Part III-C of Jusmcs . Bns$tAlfs opiniLn, which addresses the validity of the 1ta- tistical evidence on which the District Court relied in finding rzcially polarized voting in each of the challenged districts. Insofa; as stetistical evidence of divergent racial vodng pat- terns is admitted solely to establish that the minority group is politicauy cohesive gnd to ass€ss its prospects for electoral success, I agree with the pluralitlr that defendants cannot re- but this showing by offering evidence that the divergent ra- cial voting patterns may be explained in part by causes other than race, such as an underlying divergence in the interests of minority and white vo(eni. I do not agree, however, that such evidence can never affect the overall vote dilution in' quiry. Evidence that a candidate prefered by the minority iroup in a particular election was rejected by white vo[ers ior re.sons other than those which made that candidate the 8-1968-{0NCUB tE THORNBURd u GINGLES prefe'Td choice of rhe minority group would.s€em clearly relevant in answering the question whether bloc voting by white voters will coisistenily defeat minority candidates. SuO evidence woutd sugg$t ihat rnother candidate, equally preferred by the minoiity groupl mieht be able to attract greeter white suPport in future elections- I believe congrlss also intended that e.rplanations of the reasorur why while votert rejected minority candidates would be probativi of the likelihood that candidates elected without dec'rsive minority suppoft would be willing to take theminor' it/s interests inio acctunt. In a community that is-polarized aling rzcial lines, racial hostility may bar these and other in- air.ot ayenues of politicd influence to a much greater extent tbar in a eommunity where racial animosity is_ absent al' though t}e interests of racial rouPs diverge.. Indeed, the Senaie Report clearly stated that one factor that could have p.U"tlr" ,"lue in $i cases was \hether there is a signifi- Lrrt t".t of responsiveness on the part of elected officials to the particularijea needs of the members of the minority group:" S. Rep. 29. Ttre overall vote dilution inquiry nei- il.r'r"qoites no" permits ur arbitnry rule against consider- ation of all evidence concerning voting preferences other than statistical.evidence of racial voting patterns. such a ntle would give no effect whatever to the Senate Report's' rc- peated-emphasis on "intensive racial politics," on .'lzcial political considerations,'r and on whether'tzcid politics . . . bominate [he electoral process" asi one aspect of the "racial bloc voting" that Congress deemed relevant to showing a $ 2 violation. S. Rep. 33-34. Similarly, I agree with Justtce Wttttg that the plurality's conclusion that the race of the can- didate is always irrelevant in identifying racially polarized voting conflicts with ErlitcomD and is not necessary to the dispoiition of rhis case. .{,te, at - (WUtte, J.. concur- ring in part and in the judgment and dissenting in pan)' ln this case, as rhe Coufi gndgingly acknowledges, the District Corrrt clearly erred in oggregating data from all of ., a-1968{ON9UR THORNBUBG l GINGLES 19 the challenged districts, and then relying gn th9 fact that on average, gi.l* of white voters did not Yole fof :ny black candidl-ate h the primary elections selected for study. Ante, rt -, n- 8. Although Senate District 22 encompasses Iloqse Districr 36, with that exception the districts at issue in this case are distributed throughout the State of North Caro- lh& Whib calls for "an intensely local appraisal of the de' sign and impact of the . . . multimember district," 4U U' S', at ZSg-fO, and rzcial voting statistics &om one district are ordinarily irrelevant in assessing the totality of the circum' stances in another district. In view of the speciffc evidence from each disUiet that the District Coqrt also considered, however, I cannot say that its conclusion thet there was se- verc racial bloc voting was clearly erroneous with regard to any of the chellenged districts. Except in llouse District 8, *liere racial bloc voting did not prevent sustained and virtu- ally proportional minoiity electoral success, I would accord- initi teive undistgrbed the District Court's decision to give goat weight to racial bloc voting in each of the challenged districts. ..". ry - Having made usual, roughly proportional ruccess the sole focus of its vote dilurion analysis, the Court goelr on to hold that prmf that an occasional minority candidate has_ been electCd does not foreclose a $ 2 claim. But Jusrtca Bnex' xex, joined by Justtcs WHlte, concludes that "persistent proportional representation" wiU foreclose a $ 2 claim unless the plaintiffs prove that this "sustained success does noc ac' curately reflect rhe minority group's ability to elect its pre- fened representatives." Anle, at -. I agree with Jus- rcE BRENNT,x that consistent and sustained success bl' candidates preferred by minority vocen is presumptively in' consistent with the e.ristence of a $ 2 violation- Moreover, I agree that this case presents no occasion for determining what would constitute proof that such success did not accu- $ -83-196E-40NcuB N . THORNBUBG&GINGLES retelyrtflecttheminoritygroup'sactualvotingstrengthina challenged district or districts"-- r" ,i "iew, the District co.rt ened in assessing t!e- e.r- tent ofiUck ilectoral success in House District 39 and Sen' ate Districta, ts well as in House District 8, where the coort acknowledges eror. As the evidence summarized by tt. Co,rtt in tabl;form shows, onte, at -, ApP' I' the de- gr-"-oiUf".k electoral success differed widely in_the s€ven iriginalty conrestJ districts. In House District 8 and Sen- ate'Distiict 2, neither of which is contested in this Court' no Uf".i candidaie had ever been elected to the offices in ques- d; il i;use District 2l and House District 36, rhe only i*t r..a of black electoral success eame in the two most re' cent electiorur, one of which took plece drrring th-e pendency of ;hi" fii*m By coatrast, in .{oqse District 39 urd Senate Oiitri"n Z, blaci successes, although intermittent,. dated U."f, to l9?i, and a black candidate hid been elected in each oi it.r" disuicts in three of the last 6ve elections. Findly, in tto*. District I a black candidate had been elected in each of tbe last six elections. --r " -: : ' :":i :' -t" District court, drawing no distinctions'rm0hg thesE districts for purposes of its findinF, concluded that "ttlhe *.off i...tts achievea to date at, all levels of elective offlce. are minimal in relation ro the percentage of blacks in the_ totd poput"tion." 59O F. SuPp., at 36?' The District Court .t."rty erred to the extenf that it considered electoral Success in rhe aggregare, rather than in each of the challenged dis' tricts, tilr.., .s the Court staLes, "ttlhe inquiry into the exist- ence of vote dilution is distriet'specific"' Ante' at -'n. ?3. The coun asserts rhal the District corut was free to regard Lhe results of the 1982 eleetions with suspicion and to aecide "on the basis of all the relevant circumstances to ac' cord greater weight to blacks' relative lack of success over the cJune of seviral recent elections," onle, al -, but the court does not e.rplain how rhis technique would apply in Senate District 22, where a black candidate was elected in I I a-1968--CONCUB TITORNBURG u GTNGLES 2l three eons€cutiye electioru fbom 1914 to 1fi8, but no black candidate was elected in 1982, or in House District 39, where. black candidates were elected in lyl4 and 1fi6 rs well as in 1982. ContrarT to what the DisEict Court thought, see 590 F. Supp., at 36?, these pre-1982 successes' which werc Prc' portional or nearly prtportiond to black population in these itre. multimembir aisiricts, certainly lend smrs suPport for r finding thst black voters in these districts enjoy an equal opportfiity to partieipate in the political proce$t and to elect rcpr$entstives of their choice. bespite this enor, I agree with the Court's conclusion that, ixcept in House District tt, minority elec-toral succe$t was not s'uficiently frequent to compel a fuiding of ^equal oppornrnity to panicipate and elect. The District court fdrha &at "in eich of the chdlenged districts racial polariza- tion in voting presently exists to a substantial or severe de' gree. ard . . .-in esch disEict it presently opentes to-rnini' iliz"-tte voting strength of black votet!.' Id-, tt t7?- I cannot say thai this finding was clearly erroneous *i{t * cpect to Fiogse District 39 or Senate District 22,_particularly when tahen together with the Dis*ict Court's findings con' cerning the other Zimmcr factors, and hence that court's'ul- dmatJconclusion of vote dilution in these. districts is ade- quately supported. '''-".' This flnding. however, is clearly eroneous with respect to flouse District 23. Blacks comprise 36.37o of the population in that district, and constitute 28.67o of the registered voters. In each of the six elections since 1970 one of rhe three repre- sentatives frorn this district has been a black. There is no finding, or iuy reason even to suspeet, that the successful black candidates in District 23 did not in fact represent the interests of black votelt, and rhe District Court did not frnd that black success in previous elections was aberrant. Zimmds caveCt against necessaily foreclosing a vote di- lution ctaim on the basis of isolated black successes, '185 F. 2d, at 13ffI; see S. Rep. 29, n. lI5, cannot be pressed this a aa a-196E-coNcuR 2 THORNBUBG u GINGLES far. Indeed, the 23 Court of Appeals decisions on which the Itn"t. n.poh re6ea, urd whicli are the best evidence of the ][p. of tni. caveat, contain no e.rample of minority electoral eucce$ tha3 even remotely approximites the consistent, dec' ade-long pattern in Dislriii A' See, c' g't Turnct v' UiXirtri. 490 F. Zd.t91 (CAo l9?3) (no black can_didates .t".i.al; Vlolloce v- House,5l! F' -2d 619 (CA6 19?5)' va' cated on other grounds, 4?5u. s. 94? (19?6) (one black candi' date elected). IdonotProposethatconsistentandvirtuallyproportional rin*it.t".tiot success should always, &t a matter of law. barffndingag2violation.But,asageneralntle'suchsuc' ..r. i" eniitl.d to gr..t weight in evaluating whether a chal' ffi;.i..to".f ri.h-ir* has, on the totdity of the circum- ;;;: opet?td to deny black Yoten an equal oPPortuity io p"tti.id"te in the polili."l Proce$i and to elect rePrcsent' ;tfi of ttreir choice. With respect to House District 23, the' bisuict Courds failure to accord black electoral success such ;;fii "* ctearty erroneous, and the Disrricr cor,t idenri- Aea-no reasion for not giving this degree of suecess preclusive effect. Accordingly,i agiee with JustlcE BRENNAN that "pp"U."r f.if.a t"-."LUti.t, a violation of $ 2 in District 23. .v when mernbers of a racial minority chdlenge a multi- member district on [he grounds that it dilutes theii voting strength, I agree witl de Court that they must show that ;ht ;"4;.ss iuch strengh and rhac the multimember disrriec impairs it. a court niusr therefore appraise the minority g-up', undiluted voting strength in order to &ssess the Iff..ir of rhe multimember distriet. I would reserue the questionofthepropermethodormethodsformakingthisas. ,"ar*.n,.' Bui once such an assessment is made, in my view the evaluarion of an alleged impairment of voting strenSh requires consideration oithe minority grouP': access to the potiticat processes generally, not solely consideration of the 't) t t , t! a-1968--coNcuR THORNBURG u GTNGLES A chancca thet its preferrd candidates will actudly- be elected. *ooe that whid yo6', withhold their support &om Imnor' ity"prefer:red candidat$ to an extent thgt consistently en' ild. their defest is entitled to significant weight in plaintifrs' favor. However, if plaintifrs d-irect their prtof solely to' *"ra" the minority group's pr95ryec6 for electoral success' tt.i r*t show t-ha-t sutstsntiat minority success wiU be *i[fy infrequent under the challenge.d nlan in order.toestab- ti3i-- t[.t the plan operates to "cancel out or minirnize" their voting strength. Wlvitc,4f2 U. S., -at ?65. Coirp.nuie is essential to much if not most major f.{.*l legislarion, urd conffdence that the federal cour6 will enforce .,ih .orp.mises is indispensable to their creation I be' licve that tbe Court todai strikes e different balance than Ongr... intended to whin it codiffed the results test and Ar.f,ir"a ury right to proportional representation under $2. For that reason, I joiir tle Court's judgment but not its opinion" -t , . l ..t, SI'PREME COTTf,T OF fiIE I.]NITED STATIES No. 83-1968 LACY H. THORNBURG, ET AL., APPELLANTS t,. RALPH GINGLES ET AL. ON APPEAL FROM THE UNITED SIATES DISTRI T COURT FOR THE EASTERN DI TRICT OF NORTH CAROLTNA lJune 30, 19861 Justrcr SrnvExs, with whom Justtcn MeRsHer.l and Justlcp Buecxuutl join, concuning in part and dissenting in part. In my opinion, the findings of the District Court, which the Court fairly sumrnarizes, onte, at 4-8; 19-20 and n;:?Jl;26-n and nn. 28 and 29, adequately support the District:Court's judgment concerning House District 23 as w3ll'gs the balance of that judgment. '':" r ,: ' I, of course, agree that the election of one black candidate in each election since 19?2 provides significant support, for the State's position. The notion that this evidence creates some sort of a conclusive, legal presumption, onte, at 43-44, is not, however, supported by the language of the statute or by its legislative history.' I therefore cannot agree with the Court's view that the District Court committed error by fail' ing to apply a ntle of law that emerges today without statu' rsee ozle, at 42 ("Section 2 provides that '[t]he extent to which mem- bens of a protecled class have been elected to office . . . is one circumsLance which may be considered .' 42 U. S. C. t l9?3(b). . - . However, the Sen' ele Report expressly states that 'the election of a few minority candidatts does not 'necessarity foreclose the possibility ofdilution of the black vote," noting that if it did, 'the possibility exists that the majority citizens might evade [$ 2] by manipulating the election of a "safe" minority candi' date.' . . . The Senate Committee decided, instead, to 'require an inde' pendent consideration of the record"') (internal citations omitted)' I ('. t &I-I96HONCUR/DISSENT 2 THORNBURG u. GINGLES tory support. The evidence of candidate success in District 23 is merely one part of an extremely large recotd which the District Court carefully considered before making its ulti- mate findings of fact, all of which should be upheld under a normal application of the "clearly etroneous" standard that the Court traditionally applies.t The Court identifies the reason why the success of one black candidate in the efections in 19?8, 1980, and 1982 is not inconsistent with the District Court's ultimate finding con- cerning House District 23.' The fact that one black candi- date was also elected in the 1972, 1y74, and 19?6 elections, onte, App. B, is not sufficient, in my opinion, to overcome the additional findings that apply to House District 23, as well as to other districts in the State for each of those years. The Court accurately summarizes those ffndings: "The District Court in this case carefully considered the totality of the circumstances and found that in each dis- trict racially polarized voting; the legacy of official dis- crimination in voting mattem, education, housing, em- ployment, and health services; and the persistence of campaign appeals to racial prejudice acted in concert with the multimember districting scheme to impair the ability of geographically insular and politically'cohebive groups of black voters to participate equally.in t}re politi. ' cal process and to elect candidates of their choice. It found that the success a few black candidates have en- joyed in these districts is too recent, too limited, and, with regard to the 1982 elections, perhaps too aberrz- tional, to disprove its conclusion." Antn, at 46-17. To parzphrase the Court's conclusion about the other dis- tricts, ibkl.,l cannot say that the District Court, composed of I See onle, at 46 ("[T]he application of the clearly{troneous standard to ultimate findings of vote dilution preser-ves the benefit of the cial coutt's particular familiarity with the indigenous political reality without endan- gering the rule of law"). rSee oale, at 19-20 and n. 23; tl, n. t9;42-43, t t a, 83-IB-CONCUR/DISSENT THORNBURG u. GINGLES local judges who ar. u,all-^^ar.^..-r , --.-.- 3 ties;i;fr;"sffi:,ii,ff,1,.:ff ];,?j.[#;I;ff ff 1l,i1;r".ffl,j$[f,fii.:"""r .i*.tr1."i"." caused black vorers intr.r..trlp".r.;"1?,::ui',r.j,||nf:nitv.tr,*iiit"'",=o,.r, n:*',t ".:;H: ffi i,{l'*i}IiiTii+;:t }::t**,, -___.- roii#lm,;:gmiC:l:,'u*riffi il:ffi [* ;ST1it"*:ln $e_coltorrrs "r,r,"ir,"ii'ond' the co.rt does no, .,"n decide what r)?es o1rll?,:,^'.u' '' E,.fr*' and why it was not satis' H'r..H*:ffi:.Tr'ffi ;Ttrtri,,;r{l{*i{Ti}H,rf,"ffiii ffi +Tti,Hjr:ffiii.'rffi H,l,*t*Irr;;il,TJbliil1,:i["ti['l;:i' is due, *,i.,,Iiri conrend;,c";;.'*":H;fjffi;j#l;3"1##"':'i.;il;;*