Letter to Leslie Winner (Redacted)
Working File
April 5, 1983
4 pages
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Case Files, Thornburg v. Gingles Hardbacks, Briefs, and Trial Transcript. Letter to Leslie Winner (Redacted), 1983. d48f75d9-0ff1-ee11-904c-6045bdeb8873. LDF Archives, Thurgood Marshall Institute. https://ldfrecollection.org/archives/archives-search/archives-item/5e672c0a-8a4b-4e0d-a148-e29a18673808/letter-to-leslie-winner-redacted. Accessed December 04, 2025.
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ME.' Lee.l ie lalinner
"951 S. I ndependence El ud.
su I te /3u
Chan I of te . ttJC 2E2Oz
Dean l'4s. lal inner,
The fnllotaring iE infor.ma.tion you reque_=.ted dur.inq our. pecerrt
tel ephonp con(.,prsat ion. I can compl ete -ln anal ysis o{ necent el *ct iansin Forsvth Cuuntv rcrh ich I hel ieve wi I I cl eanl y suhstant ia.te thehypothesis that uoting behauior is highlr polanize,J rarhen blacl.icarrdidatee nun loc public of f ice.
The studv r,rrill examine the election results of lZ county-pidecantestE in rrlh ich t,l ack candidates ran f or of { ice. These inc I ude:
1 . The 1976 race f or Fonsyth Coun ty Board c,f Comm i ss i snEp_c.-F,n imaryand general electione..
2. The 1?7S race far the lrlorth Carolina State Hc,u=e-pr.imary arrdgenenal electione.
3. The 1FgO raceE for the lrlorth f,anolina State Hou:.e and the For.sythcounty Boand of commissionens-pnimany and general electir_,n.:..
4 . The l-t*2 r'acPE f or' the tlnr'th Carol i rra 5t*.te Hnus.p and the For.s.>,thCc,unty Board of Commissioner.s-Frrimary _rnd general elections.
Fnom these tu,relue elections E( clear. Eattenn of crc,tinq heha,.rior.becomes neadily aFF'ar'ent. The pr'eliminar.l, data I haue e](a.minedindicates that the I ack of s.uppar't f or. hl ack: c;rrrdidates inpredominantl v rrth i te pnec incts is per.ua.si,.rE and conEistent, thu.=s'everel v I imi t ing the el ectar'al oppor'tun i t ie:. of t,l acFt candidates.. Euenthough ?l'f, of the neqietered utr,tens in For.el,th f,ount;, aFe bla.cpi r.Nou.t9E?) and approximatelr'..,-gi{ of the -rdult FoF,ulation c,ver ls ypar.E c,fage is bl acl( ( 1990 Ceneus data) n the proF,ort ion of I ocal I l, el ecte,Joff icials hag not apF,r.c,ached eimilar.f igur.pE..
Included is a sample of some of the data {rom the 1pgz generalelection lor the North E:arolina State Hous.e. Ct+ the ZS p"i'.inctsoutside o{ the citv of t^Jinston-$alem all had a majority whitePoF'ulation. In ?4 out o{ ?5 pr'ecincts for. ane candidate and Za out of25 for the other. the two black cendidates neceiued belc,u,.r the auerage,uote cast {or' Demscratic candidates. Thia difference ranged fr.om as. lowas ?:l belsrx the aupnagp to as high aE ?sl: trelsw the avepsge.
The coet for comFiring the infc,rmation far. this. anaryEie wourd t,e!F250.00. The cost fon appearing as an exper.t r,,ritness uuould be rFl2S,/,Ja,,,
p lus tr'rve l *:lpenseE. Thes'e caets hatre been kept min imal becauEe o{ thenatune of the iseueE inuol tred irr th is caEe.
AI so encl o=.ed is. a cgpy of m), u i ta. i+ th i:. inf c,r.mat ian can E,eusef ul in you| pending I i t igat ic,n contact me f c,n f urther ,Jetai I s.
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uratiri Ltirii", w.ill
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to
Apnil 4, liv83
27:20 Loch Dr..
lalinston-Salem, l.lC
271 06
Sincerely,
ZJ€ZFFranl{ E, Roger=, ph.D.
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DATA FREM THE I?g? GE}.IERAL ELECTION.FT]RSYTH COUNTY
to
FRECINCT Z lrlHITE AU. DEI"I.
TJOTE
HENNEDY
UOTE
7. ABC)VE,/
BELIIbJ *U.
HAUSER U AEOUE/'
UOTE BELOT-J AUER.
I] T 1 ABBTITTS
It I2 ABBOTTS
I:I3I BETHANIA
L| 32 BETHANIA
033 BETHANIA
TI4I BROADBA'/
D42 BROADBAY
O5T CLEHMI'NS
TS2CLEMI"ICINSV
U61 KERNERSV
il62 KERNERSV
i1,53 KERNERSU
D7L LEhJISVIL
! 72 LEIJI SVI L
U g2 14I DDLEFO
LI 93 I',II DOLEFD
O?I OLD RI CH
I tlZ BLD TOt^lN
103 OLD TOI^JN
I 04 E|LD TErt^J|.I
I 2I SOUTH FO
1 22 SOUTH FO
123 SOUTH FO
131 UIEtINA I
132 VIENNA 2
?9
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7J
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74
?&
?7
?a
9g
97
a7
96
7E
?7
76
?4
97
6L
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?9
7A
?6
?7
451
4L?
452
356
518
27t
?'44
37d
511
637
.l5D
403
FtE n5 "J.+
4??
544
if r /
4?6
391
461
177
lB7
37?
?24
EE ?t
.J-JLi
Dta
351
338
385
351
432
2t7
244
303
437
288
6EA.fJLI
4Ua
409
367
tta
344
437
t4?
152
t78
484
388
-23
-20
-15
-7
-13
-?0
-11
-24
-15
-?
-14
-14
-20
-t7
4
-14
-13
-5
-5
-1P
-23
-20
-13
-17
379
FJaO
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456
223
23?
317
-16
-10
-15
-t7
-12
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-20
-?d.
r-267 -ld
E3J*.I
2?4
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?74
e.:17
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356
J.C. Lt
437
155
I ,1. FJ
3?4
195
430
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UI TA
FRANK E. ROGERS
Hor Address
Tel. ?19 727-673?
Busi ness Address
Soc i al Sc i ence Dept.
P.O. 13037
[rlinston-Sal em State
lelinston-Sal em, NC
27tto
Tel ?l? 761-?lll
arM.A.r.Ph,D.(1?72>
Fore igrr Pol icy in
Un i versi ty of Vi ngi n i
Di Esertat i on: Ch i na'E
Indoch i na,1?4?-t?66.
Fields of Special ization:Intennational Relations
American Govennment,Pol i tical Theory.
Hol y Cross Col I ege , B. S. , Phys i cs < 1963)
Ass i stan t Prof essor' , 1973-1978 t Assoc i ate
Pro{essor rl?78-greEent.Taught couFses i n
Amer i can Government, Ouant i tat i ue Research
Me thods, I n ternat i onal Re I at i ons,
Political Theory
co-authorr AIR CARGO:AN INTEGRATED SYSTEI'4S
VIElr, NASA-Langley Research Center, l97B
"Si no-Amen i can Rel at i ons and the Vi etnam
lrJan l?64-1966, THE CHINA OUARTERLYTNo.6d,
June l?76r pp.2?3-314.
URBAN POLITICS-A STUDY GUIDE-INDEPENDENT
STUDY BY EXTENSION. University of Nonth
Carol ina-Chapel Hi I I, l98f .
" EI ec t i on-80 : The l*lak ing of an EI ec toral
Database ', publ i cat i on pendi ng
80-t'4I CRO.
Eook Reviews {oe THE AMERICAN POLITICAL
SCIENCE REVIEI^|, PERSPECTIUE, JOURI\hL OF
ASIAN STUDIES, and others.
"Youth Employment-National Needs and Local
E{forts i n North Carol i na' , Th i rd Annual
Urban A+fiars ConfeFence of the Uniuersity
of North Carol i na-Apr i I l?81 .
" Interdependence and Sel f-Rel i ance: A
Theoret i cal Model to Anal yze Ch i nese
Fone i gn Pol i cy" . Annual Meet i ng of the
I 1 tgrnat i onal Stud i es Assoc i at i on-Toron to,
1979
EDUCATI BN
TEACHING
PUBLI CATI ONS
PAPERS
lo
\)
"The Targeting Behavior of Laos and
Cambodia" .Annual l"leet ing of the South-
eastern Conference of the AEsoc i at i on of
Asi an Studi es-1978
'Impl ications of the Sino-Amenican
Rappnochement in Southeast Asia'. Annual
l4eeting o{ the Southeastern Conference
of the Association of Asian Studies-1977
"The Housing and Community Act o{ l?74-A
Part i aI Assessment".Vi rgi n i a Conference on
Unban Studi es-l ?75.
CURRENT Conrpleting a study of the cornelation
RESEARCH between voter part i c i pat i on and mi nor i ty
ACTMTI ES l*epresen tat i on i n Forsyth Coun ty
ATARDS Faculty Fellottr in the Historically Black
AND Colleges Program sponsored by the U.S.
GRANTS Department of Labor (1780)
Facul ty Fel I ow i n the NASA-ASEE Engi neen i ng
Systems Design Program at the Langeley
Research Center-Virginia (1978)
Summen Research 6rant from the National
Endowment for the Humanities <1976>
Three Research Grants fnom the hISSU
Consort i um on Reseanch Trai n i ng ( 1973-1 976)
Facul ty Fel I ow i n the Seru i ce Learn i ng
. Program of the Gouernment of Nonth Canolina
OTHER
ACTMTIES Analyst and l{anager of the POLITICAL
INFOR},IATION CONSULTING SERUICES
Hember of the Advisory Board of the North
Carol i na Ch i na Counc i I ( 1980-l ?A2>
I4emben of the Board of Directors of the
Forsyth County Council on Drug Abuse (197S-present)