Attorney Notes Pages 1328-1329
Working File
January 1, 1982

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Case Files, Thornburg v. Gingles Working Files - Guinier. Attorney Notes Pages 1328-1329, 1982. ec0060d8-e092-ee11-be37-6045bdeb8873. LDF Archives, Thurgood Marshall Institute. https://ldfrecollection.org/archives/archives-search/archives-item/9c210c4e-d355-4433-86b1-a5b6ee76078b/attorney-notes-pages-1328-1329. Accessed June 01, 2025.
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ru ' L1Lr-\'*l @ il*ui{ a Now there is a rejolndcr to thls .rguocnt that 16 not altogether without rDerit. It is th16: In a great Eany local1tles, Eajor1ty oplnion ls sufflclently hooogeneous ao that, alnost regardleas of th€ electoral systerD euployed, there are no incentlves to appeal for uinority support. where thls 1s the case, at-.rarge erectl0ns wlll generally leave ninorlt), \,oter6 poorly served. But there 16, ln Eurn, a good ansuer to this deplction of resllt],. It 6inply cannot be assuoed that contests will not occur in Lrhict r.fiite candidateE L.lll consider lt 1n their interr3t to a..k rinorlty vote6. To put lt dlf_ r820 ferently, even i,n the South, stltte coheston Lg a varlable, mt a cooataut. There Le yet another varlable that neede to be conaldered: denography' Ttroee rrho argue on "drlutron" grounde agarnst et-rarge repreaentatl.on and agalnat annexatLon do eo becauee they belleve Elnorltles to be geographtcally coDpact and, nore precleely, to be cluatered iu center-clty arees. For the black populatlon ln Detropol_ Itau ereaa, tht8 ha8 largely been true, thowh it 18 le8€ true for uexr'can-Amerr'cane' But $e shoutd not overlook changea In populatron dlstrrbutron that bear on thrs questron. Sone of theee changee are extreordlnary' Froo rg60 to lg7g, the black populetron rnarde centrar cltles to Eetropollten areaa grew by 79 percent. In the eane perlod, the black populetroo outsrde centrel crtres ra the eane retropolrtan areaa gre, by f34 percent, Dot qulte twlce aa faat but much faater. I{here reeidentral conceatratron could be taken for grented tn the past, lt no longer can be. The Lupllcatlone of thls s€en obvlous. It ls a uletake to lock the country r.nto a ayate, of nlnorrty representetr.on that a88ure8 racl.al clusterlng in perpetuity, that accordlngly favora elngle_meuber constLtuenclee, and thet Deaauree effectlvenegg of the vote by the proportLon of nlnorlty repreaentatlvea to ulnorlty populatlon. Itrat 18 the lneluctable trend under the "effects" atendard, and that aeeEa to ne what the amendnent to aectr.on 2 would do natronplde. on the basle of ltDtted aaarr.ptrons that are aound at gome trnee and placea but not at othera, the anendoent rDuld create a body of law that 18 nelther tlue-bound nor place-bound but unlforu, once and for all. I